Get started

Standardandpoor500

S&P500 About to turn bearish for the next 2 weeks.S&P500 crossed and closed a (4h) candle today under the MA50 (4h) for the first time since December 7th. Even though that was a buy opportunity then, this time we expect strong selling as the two month Channel Up is on a very strong RSI (4h) Bearish Divergence. Trading Plan: 1. Sell once the price crosses under the Channel Up. Targets: 1. 4560 (MA50 1d and Support 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is also almost oversold besides showing this Bearish Divergence. Once it gets oversold and bounces, it can give an ideal sell entry near the MA50 (4h). Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TradingBrokersView
S&P500 Giant Cup and Handle and CORRECTION in play?The S&P500 index (SPX) almost hit the 4820 All Time High (ATH) level on the last trading session of 2023. That day completed the 9th straight green weekly (1W) candle, a feat last seen on the week of February 19 2019. This doesn't necessarily indicate that any sort of correction is due as a bullish market can run rallies fueled on fundamental news for even longer period of times. But the fact that the ATH test completes a Cup pattern, could be alarming as, especially on overbought 1W RSI levels, Cup patterns tend to deliver one final pull-back in the form of a 'Handle' structure before making a new clear All Time High. Technically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to be an intact Support during the year(s) of a Bull Market and so fart it was last hit in late October 2023. If 2024 is indeed a Bull Phase year, then the 1W MA50 should hold. If the Handle pulls back the current bullish trend, then the two could 'meet' at around 4500, which is marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. A stronger correction to the 0.382 level is highly unlikely unless pessimistic news (e.g. Fed, growth, inflation, unemployment) hit the market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXShort
by TradingShot
3
S&P500 Start selling. Top of Channel is near.S&P500 / US500 has almost completed a +17.30% rise, which is the prince range it grew by on the December 1st 2022 High. That was the first High of the long term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 13th 2022 bottom. The Channel Up still has a little more room to go upwards before reaching its top but since the price is already over the 0.786 Fibonacci level, we are already inside the long term Sell Zone. Sell and target 4570, which is a possible contact point with the 1day MA50 and the 0.5 Channel Fibonacci. Technically the decline can reach as low as the 0.5 horizontal Fibonacci at 4445. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheCryptagon
S&P500: Holding the 4H MA50. Still bullish.The S&P500 index is now on a healthy green 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.835, MACD = 82.010, ADX = 81.214) following a much needed technical pullback yesterday that eased the previously overbought technical indicators. On the 4H timeframe, the index is still inside a two month Channel Up, which found support yesterday on the 4H MA50. As long as it holds, we will stay buyers until the end of the year, aiming at its top (TP = 4,850). If the price crossed under the 4H MA50, we will short aiming at the 4H MA100. If that is crossed as well, we will target the 4H MA200, which is close to the bottom of the Channel Up. It has to be said that the RSI has been inside a Channel Down, meaning that at some point, this bearish divergence will start a correction. See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
S&P500 Sold Channel Up leading it higher.The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside November's Channel Up, with the price turning sideways after nearly hitting its top. This is a comfortable bullish trade over the 4hour MA50 and looks very much like the November 5th-9th consolidation. As long as the 4hour MA50 supports, buy and target 4850 (top of the Channel Up). If it breaks, sell and target 4550 (bottom of the Channel Up and 4hour MA200). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
1
S&P500 Sell signal emerged.S&P500 is trading inside a 1 year Channel Up with the price reaching today the 0.786 Fibonacci level, following the Fed rate hike. Following the Bearish Megaphone that initiated November's rally, the can see that the last time such pattern started a rally, it peaked on the 0.786 Fibonacci (Dec 01 2022) before pulling back to the 0.236 level. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4500 (MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The MACD (1d) is also printing the same pattern as the December 2022 High. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TradingBrokersView
S&P500: Ascending Triangle trading plan.S&P500 is trading inside an Ascending Triangle pattern with the price over the July 27th Top (R1) and bullish on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 63.128MACD = 5.390, ADX = 23.122). Until the HH and more importantly the R2 level break, we will be bearish, targeting the S1 (TP = 4,550). Below the S1, the 4H MA200 is the target (TP = 4,480). If the price crosses over the R2 level, be ready for an end of year rally to the January 12th 2022 Top (TP = 4,749.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
S&P500: Trading plan towards the end of the yearS&P500 is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.156, MACD = 58.110, ADX = 59.863), a logical outcome considering the aggressive nature of November's rally. This rally is the HL rebound on the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up and is more effectively understood with the help of the Fibonacci levels and ranges. The price has been trading all week inside the 0.382 - 0.236 Fibonacci range, a band that kickstarted pullbacks on December 1st 2022 and February 2nd 2023. Both were accompanied by a 1D MACD Bearish Cross and pulled back below the 1D MA50 and the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci Support Zone. On the other hand when the June 15th 2023 rally crossed over the 0.236 Fibonacci level, the uptrend extended all the way to the top of the Channel Up. Consequently we will buy if it crosses again over it and target the top (TP = 4,800) and sell if it crosses (and closes the 1D candle) under the 0.382 Fibonacci level and target the 0.618 Fib-1D MA50 band (TP = 4,410). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
2
S&P500 Easing the aggression but top isn't in yetThe S&P500 has been rising non-stop since the October 27th Low when the Bearish Megaphone bottomed and the long term Channel Up started the new Higher High leg. The rally crossed over the top of the Bearish Megaphone and has already reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Up. The same sequence can bee seen at the end of last year (September - December), with a Bearish Megaphone bottoming and the subsequent rally topped on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4690 (projected contact with the 0.786 Fibonacci level). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has turned overbought over 70.00 and turned sideways. Clear indication that the initial aggression of late October is fading and we should see a Bearish Divergence as the index approaches the 0.786 Fibonacci. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
S&P500 The final pull back before Santa's rally!The S&P500 index / US500 has been on the strongest 2 week rise since October 2022, which was at the very start of the Fibonacci Channel Up you see on this chart. The index has established the 1day MA50 as the new long term Support and may test it soon if we expect it follow a similar course as the October-November 2022 rally, which made a short term pull back after rising by +12.20%. That pull back happened after reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level and declined slightly under the 0.382. Typical technical retrace. It then resumed the rally to complete a +17.30% rise. Buy that pull back as it will most likely be the last before Santa's rally to +17.30%. Target 4800. Note: The price is currently on the same 1day CCI level as October 25th. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheCryptagon
SPX at a decisive point Against our expectations, the rollover in the Chinese stock market has not materialized, and the SPX broke above the downward-sloping channel. Currently, the SPX trades near the $4,500 price tag. In the following days, we will pay close attention to whether it will manage to hold above the upper bound of the channel. If it fails, it will raise our suspicion over the potential reversal. Contrarily, if the SPX succeeds, it will be positive in the short term. On top of watching the channel, we will monitor RSI, Stochastic, and MACD on the daily chart. To support a bullish thesis, we would like to see Stochastic and MACD keep rising and the RSI break above 70 points. However, a flattening of MACD and Stochastic combined with a failure of RSI to perform a breakout will act as a warning sign. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 portrays the daily chart of SPX within a downward-sloping channel. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout above the channel’s upper bound. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of SPX and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
S&P500 Over the 1day MA50 but short term sell opportunityThe S&P500 index / US500 broke and closed over the 1day MA50 on Friday, for the first time in almost 2 months. Even though it is a major long term bullish development, we see a short term sell opportunity as the 1day RSI is reversing, signalling a loss of strength on the 5 day rally. The long term pattern remains a Bearish Megaphone, so such minor technical correction is justified. Sell and target 4270 (Fibonacci 0.382, a level always reached inside the Megaphone's corrections). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheCryptagon
S&P500: This is the strongest rally of the year!S&P500 hit our TP = 4,315 (see chart at the bottom) even earlier than we expected and finally turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.977, MACD = -34.150, ADX = 40.157). In the process, it broke above the 1D MA50 for the first time since September 15th. The wider pattern is a Channel Down now. If the price gets rejected inside the pattern. e.g the R1 level (4,400), we will buy on the pullback to the 1D MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 4,270. If it crosses over the top of the Channel Down, we will buy on the next 1D MA50 pullback. In both events, the target is the R3 level (TP = 4,600). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
"Higher for longer" to stay with usDuring yesterday’s FOMC press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the resiliency of the U.S. economy and labor market. In addition to that, the chairman reiterated the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation and bringing it to the goal of 2%. However, when asked whether the FED is confident about financial conditions being restrictive enough to finish the fight, the chairman answered that they are not confident about this fact and that more rate hikes might be on the table. Furthermore, Powell explained that all the effects of cumulative tightening had not been felt yet, allowing them to pause rate hikes and reassess the situation based on the upcoming data. With that said, we expect the policy of high-interest rates to continue to exert pressure on the economy, slowing it down. Plus, we disagree with FED’s outlook for no recession in 2024. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
15
S&P500: Megaphone buy opportunity.S&P500 is almost technically oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 30.205, MACD = -54.210, ADX = 37.499) with the price reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level from the March 13th Low. The last time the RSI was at 30.000 was on October 3rd, the previous LL of the Bearish Megaphone pattern. The two bullish sequences of this pattern have been around +4.60%. Since this is a double bottom signal, we expect a rise of equal proportion, targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 4,315). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
S&P500 on its 1week MA50. Expect +4600 Xmas rally if it holds.The S&P500 / US500 hit this week the 1week MA50 after 7 months. This is a major Support level, considering that it also made contact with the Rising Support of the 2022 market bottom. Also the 1week RSI hit the 12 month Support. As long as the 1week candles close over this, buy and target 4610 (annual High). This may be achieved before the end of the year since every rally in the past 2 years, even during the 2022 correction, was very aggressive. If the index closes a 1week candle under the MA50, we should technically see a test of the MA200. Fair estimate at 4000. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:SPXLong
by TheCryptagon
S&P500: A rare buy opportunity within this MA zone.S&P500 is making contact today with the 1D MA200 for the second time in 2 weeks. The 1D technical outlook is naturally bearish (RSI = 38.503, MACD = -22.450, ADX = 29.479) since the 3 month pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and we are on the third selling sequence. It is not necessary to make a new direct hit on the LL trendline as the utmost technical support level in long term uptrends is the 1W MA50 and is where the second and last buy entry can be attempted. Our target is the 1D MA50 (TP = 4,360). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
S&P500 Bullish Flag calls for a buy.The S&P500 got rejected twice near the MA50 (1d), causing a 7 day decline. Since the October rise has been stronger so far than this decline, we can consider it as a Bullish Flag. The price is approaching the MA200 (1d), where the October rally basically started. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4380 (MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is on the exact symmetrical level as the September 7th Low. An additional bullish signal, at least for the short term. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
3
Market to suck in die-hard bulls before abrupt reversal?Finally, the SPX rebounded to the level we initially expected it to reach (outlined last Friday). This move was accompanied by a bullish reversal in RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart. To support a continuation higher, we want to see these indicators continue to develop bullish structures. However, to support a thesis that this is merely a correction of a prolonged downtrend that began in late July 2023, we would want to see RSI peak below 70 points (which is very common for downtrend corrections). In addition to that, we would like to see MACD fail to break above the midpoint. As for our stance, we continue to wait on the sidelines (for short re-entry if the situation develops as expected). However, at the moment, we still do not feel comfortable to take action. The SPX might continue higher, potentially to the level where it sucks in bulls who start predicting new all-time highs and soft landing, just before an abrupt reversal. If we were to think of such a level, it would be somewhere near $4,450 (coinciding with the breakout above the sloping resistance). Though this is, of course, only a speculation at this point. It is not warranted the market will rebound as high (especially as yesterday’s candle looks somewhat exhausted). Therefore, for minor clues, we will pay close attention to the price’s ability to hold above the 20-day SMA and Resistance 1; a failure to stay above these levels will raise our suspicion and potentially signal a loss of upside momentum. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages. The 20-day SMA acts as a support. If the price fails to hold above this level, it will be slightly bearish and raise our suspicion. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Slightly bullish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXLong
by Tradersweekly
8
S&P500: Bearish as long as the Megaphone holds.Bullish if brokenS&P500 hit the 4,375 target of our last signal (chart at the end) and turned neutral on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 54.575, MACD = -15.020, ADX = 40.128). The rise is now approaching the 1D MA50, over which the new top was formed before on the LH of the Bearish Megaphone. We will wait for the top and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 4,325) as it happened with the September 7th pull back. If the price crosses over the LH, we will wait to buy on the first pull back near the 1D MA50 and target July's High (TP = 4,600). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
9
S&P500 The 4hour MA50 supported, +4000 incoming.S&P500 / US500 opened lower today but managed to hold the 4hour MA50 as its Support and is having a big boost intra day. It is not impossible to see one final pull back under the 4hour MA50 again as on August 24th but it's confirmed that this new bullish leg of the Bearish Megaphone is in full motion. Buy and target 4440 (under the 0.786 Fibonacci and top of Megaphone). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
5
Prolonged period of selling ahead?Last Thursday, we highlighted a rally in the Chinese stock market, with the Hang Seng Index rising as much as 3%. In addition to that, we speculated about the potential relief in SPX, with emphasis on resistance near $4,335 (which failed to be taken out). Today, we want to draw attention to Chinese stocks again. The Hang Send Index fell approximately 3% overnight, erasing last week’s attempt to move higher. Besides that, we are starting to notice gold and the U.S. dollar behaving similarly to last year during an extended period of selling pressure (when gold was moving lower with stocks and the U.S. dollar was strengthening). In our opinion, the environment is changing, and we could be in for a resumption of a prolonged selling period (potentially transposing to a market crash). We maintain the view that we have seen one of the most deceitful bear market rallies in stocks and cryptocurrencies over the past year. Interestingly, during that time, many people began to relax their stances in expectation of a soft landing. However, we have been skeptical about the FED’s ability to deliver one for a while. In fact, we have been more inclined toward a scenario with the U.S. economy sliding into recession, which continues to be the case. In the coming weeks, we will pay close attention to unemployment, which will pretty much guarantee recession if it rises another 0.6% (considering the fact that each 1% rise in unemployment coincided with a recession since the 1940s). On top of that, we will observe the situation in the real estate segment and the performance of the manufacturing and services sectors. As for technicals on the daily chart, we will watch DM+ and DM-, which we want to see diverging, with ADX rising simultaneously (suggesting a bearish trend is growing in strength). Furthermore, we will also look at RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, which we want to see pointing to the downside (their reversal to the upside will be bullish). In regard to price levels, we will pay close attention to support near $4.261 and resistance near $4,335. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
11