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Standardandpoor500

S&P500 The August 2022 is the Resistance but the index can peak The S&P500 / SPX / US500 is extending the rise inside the long term Channel Up, supported by the 1day MA50. As long as the 1day MA50 supports, we will stay bullish with the 4330 August 16th 2022 posing as the next Resistance. Every rally inside the Channel Up however has been at least +9.50% so we expect a peak on the Channel Up top at 4400 if the August 2022 top breaks. If a candle closes under the 1day MA50, seel and target 4030 (bottom of the Channel Up). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
13
S&P500 Near the top on two patterns. Pull back possible.S&P500 is testing Resistance (1) on the Channel Up inside the larger Megaphone pattern. Currently it is at the top on two separate patterns. The MA50 (1d) is supporting the Channel Up and the MA200 (1d) the Megaphone. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy on Support (1). 3. Sell under Support (2). Targets: 1. 4175 (Support 1). 2. 4300 (top of Channel Up). 3. 4000 (bottom of Megaphone and near MA200 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) Highs (70.00) and Lows (30.00) match perfectly the Tops and Bottoms of the Channel Up. Use this to your advantage. RSI values of 70.00 are to be sold while values of 30.00 to be bought, as long as the Channel Up holds. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingBrokersView
9
Bearish thesis is being put to the testWhile we have to admit that the U.S. economy is proving to be more resilient than we initially expected, we can not ignore that the market is going through a very uneven recovery. It is no myth that SPX and NDX have been propelled by a handful of companies related mainly to the hype in the AI sector (including Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia). However, when these companies are excluded from the calculation of the index, SPX’s year-to-date performance is actually negative. As only about 40% of the stocks within the index are above the 200-day SMA, we can make a compelling case that more companies might join the rally, which could lead to more broad recovery and completely invalidate our thesis about the bear market rally. Due to that, we will pay close attention to this metric and focus on the incoming data, including Chicago PMI, JOLTs job openings, ISM Manufacturing PMI, initial jobless claims, nonfarm payrolls, and the unemployment rate. To support our thesis about the bear market rally, we would like to see an uptick in unemployment and signs of contraction in services (which is crucial because, so far, we have seen a contraction only in manufacturing). In addition to that, we would like to see further weakness in the Chinese stock market and economy (because, as we previously noted, if China is not doing well, then the West is likely not to do well). In regard to the price action, we pay close attention to the critical level near $4,200. If SPX fails to hold above this level, it might signal exhaustion and potential short-term/medium-term trend reversal. Contrarily, if SPX holds above the resistance and more stocks start climbing above the 200-day SMA, it will be a positive sign, potentially suggesting more upside ahead. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 portrays the daily chart of SPX minus Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia; when these six companies are excluded from the index, SPX’s year-to-date performance is actually negative at approximately -8%. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the percentage of SPX stocks above the 200-day SMA. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
5
Bullish breakout from the narrow rangeA few days ago, we introduced a setup with a bearish trigger coming after the breakout below the narrow range between $4,050 and $4,200. Despite that, the market decided to go in the opposite direction and broke to the upside. This development is bullish for the short term, and because of that, we will pay close attention to the index’s ability to hold above this level. We would like to see SPX close above $4,200 in at least two following trading sessions to support the continuation upwards. Contrarily, if the price closes below the level, it will indicate exhaustion; in the case that SPX falls below $4,200 and then breaks back above it, the count will reset. As for the outlook beyond the short term, it remains unchanged (bearish). We believe the market’s rally (and increasing irrationality) is unsustainable. To support our notion, we would like to point out that only a handful of companies are responsible for more than half of SPX’s gains this year; in fact, Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA are responsible for about 60% of gains in SPX year to date (representing about a 5% move up in the index since the start of 2023). In our opinion, that raises a question of whether SPX and Nasdaq are even good to look at in order to assess the overall health of the economy (as few companies are having a too big impact on the overall performance of these indices). In addition to that, we still have not seen the full impact of FED rate hikes due to a considerable lag that monetary policy tends to bring with it. Then there are also many other problems with people maxing out their credit cards at a time when delinquencies on loans are slowly starting to tick higher (for example, delinquencies on credit card loans went up approximately 36% in 2022), existing home sales faltering after a short rebound in early 2023, various commodities declining significantly (in a sign of falling demand), industrial production moving relatively sideways for the past few months, etc. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of SPX. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout above the narrow range. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bullish Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
22
S&P500: Pull-back short term but new Bull Cycle ahead.S&P500 has almost reached the medium-term TP (4,220) so we are booking the profit on last Friday's buy position. The 1W timeframe is on steady green levels technically (RSI = 58.257, MACD = 54.060, ADX = 33.739) but the RSI is at the top of its Rising Wedge, indicating a possible loss of strength. We expect a pull-back to S1 and will buy it, targeting R1 (TP = 4,330), which is the High of August 2022. On the long term the bullish trend is intact (Channel Up) and we have an additional reason to expect a new Bull Cycle, as the 1W Ichimoku Cloud has turned green and when that happened in the past, the 1W MA50 usually turns into the long term Support for many months before a correction. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
15
The number of SPX stocks above 200-day SMA is decliningThe 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) is a widely followed technical indicator used by traders and investors to assess the overall trend of an asset. When stocks rise above their 200-day SMA, it is generally seen as a positive sign and considered a bullish development. The logic behind this idea is that if the stock's price has been consistently higher than its long-term average, it indicates strength and potential for further upward movement. Conversely, if stocks drop below this level, it is viewed as a bearish signal, implying weakness and the possibility of more downside. Monitoring the percentage of stocks above the 200-day SMA can provide valuable insights into the overall health and direction of the market. Therefore, today, we will examine the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 Index that are currently trading above their 200-day SMA. Since SPX’s lows in October 2022, there have been three significant peaks in the index, particularly on 13th December 2022, 2nd February 2023, and 1st May 2023. From October 2022 lows until the peak in December 2022, the percentage of SPX stocks was rising (as a matter of fact, this metric started to grow even sooner than the index, in late September 2022). However, after constituting a high in December 2022, SPX started to decline, and so did the percentage of SPX stocks above the 200-day SMA. This decline did not last long, and SPX began to rise again toward the end of 2022 and early 2023. The growth was sustained until 2nd February 2023, and after that, SPX started falling until a low on 13th March 2023. Then, the index began to rise again until 1st May 2023. The SPX was accompanied by a rising percentage of SPX stocks above the 200-day SMA on the first two legs up. But on the third leg up, SPX was accompanied by the growing metric only until early April 2023. Then, in mid-April 2023, the metric started deviating from the increasing (or sideways-moving) price of SPX. This catches our attention as it can potentially imply exhaustion for the rally, showing more and more stocks turning bearish while the index continues to hold up. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of SPX (on the top) and the percentage of SPX stocks above 200-day SMA (on the bottom). Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bearish (showing a lack of trend/momentum) Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
15
Flattening retail sales, declining inventories and real outputYesterday’s financial print in the United States indicated a 0.4% MoM and a 1.6% YoY rise in retail sales for April 2023. The data showed that industrial production increased by 0.5% MoM and 0.2% YoY during the same period. Business inventories shrank by 0.1% MoM, and manufacturing production jumped by 1% MoM (while showing a decline of 0.9% YoY). As this mix of data did not help to bring much clarity to the market, we would like to look at the bigger picture rather than at monthly changes in these metrics. Retail sales have been trending relatively sideways since March 2022. Moreover, since around the same time, business inventories have continuously declined, suggesting that businesses are not stacking up goods for sale (and are likely anticipating lower demand in the future). The real output in the manufacturing sector dropped slightly lower in the past half year, and the real output in the nonfarm business sector has been declining for much longer (at least since 4Q21). Furthermore, based on the preliminary report from BLS, nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased by 2.7% in the first quarter of 2023, while manufacturing sector labor productivity dropped by 1.3%. These developments are not particularly bullish and should have investors on high alert. With that said, we continue to wait for more bad data (concerning rising unemployment, declining consumer spending, growing delinquencies on debt, etc.), which should finally start spooking the overly complacent market. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the chart of U.S. retail sales. This metric can be seen flattening since at least March 2022. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the business inventories. Illustration 1.03 The picture above shows the real output in the nonfarm business sector. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
18
SPX lacks a trend Since April 2023, the Standard & Poor's 500 index has been going sideways, primarily fluctuating between $4,050 and $4,200. During this time, ADX has declined substantially on the daily time frame, reflecting the lack of a directional trend. We continue to be bearish on the index while waiting for a breakout from the narrow range. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the same setup we introduced recently (with a bearish trigger below Support 1 and tight stop-loss above it); the significance of Support 1 grew with the breakout on 4th May 2023 (when it successfully halted the price decline). Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
9
S&P500: 4H Death Cross forming and can be short term bullish.The S&P500 is on a tight 4H range with 4H technicals neutral (RSI = 47.011, MACD = 1.690, ADX = 20.555) inside the Megaphone pattern. By Tuesday we should see a 4H Death Cross completed, which even though technically bearish, it made a short term rebound on the last two occurencies. As long as S1 holds, we will target the top of the Megaphone (TP = 4,220). If the bottom of the Megaphone breaks, we will target the S2 (TP = 3,925). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
15
Fears from banking sector might be about to spread elsewhereFollowing the last FOMC meeting, notable developments in the stock market took place. First, volatility increased significantly among regional banks, seeing shares of companies like PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance, Metropolitan Bank, and Home Street plunging by high double-digits. These declines, however, did not last long, and financial institutions recovered much of their post-FOMC losses in the past three trading sessions. Then yesterday, these companies soared during the pre-market and got sold off during the regular trading hours. Interestingly, these erratic moves follow Jerome Powell’s reassurance (from a week ago) that the banking system is “safe and sound” and making progress toward recovery. While this might be true for major banks that are well-positioned to weather the storm, regional banks are still at risk of spreading contagion that can lead to a domino effect (similar to the one we saw last year in the cryptocurrency market with the bust of Celsius Network, Voyager, FTX, etc.). As a result, this might lead to more broad fear in the markets, especially once more economic indicators will start to worsen. On the topic of these indicators, so far, an extremely low level of unemployment has been used as an excuse by many economists to say there is no recession ahead (despite history being full of examples when extremely low unemployment preceded the start of a recession). Therefore, we do not consider low unemployment a reliable indicator to assess that the U.S. economy will dodge a recession (also bear in mind that a person not actively seeking a job is not counted as unemployed). Overall, we would say that labor market data show a lot of discrepancies that could suggest otherwise (a growing number of continuous jobless claims, a declining number of multiple jobholders, etc.). In addition to that, rate hikes tend to affect the economy with a lag (often noted as a lag of between 6 to 18 months), meaning the economy still has not felt the effect of the number of previous rate hikes, at least since November 2022 (equal to at least 100 basis points). With the FED’s target of a 2% inflation rate still being very distant, we think interest rates will be required to be held higher for much longer than the market is pricing in at the moment. In fact, we believe there is still a very high chance there won’t be any rate cuts in 2023. Accordingly, we expect this realization among investors to lead to a big repricing event we mentioned before. As such, our price target for SPX stays at $3,500. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the price action of particular banking stocks in yesterday’s pre-market. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the unemployment rate in the United States. Yellow arrows indicate extremely low levels of unemployment that preceded lasting periods of elevated unemployment. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Illustration 1.03 Illustration 1.03 shows continuous jobless claims. The metric is up approximately 40% since September 2022 and about 10% since the start of 2023. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
15
S&P500 Megaphone and MA50 (1d) call for a buy.The S&P500 failed to cross over the 4195 Resistance (1) and the rejection pulled the price back to the MA50 (1d). In the process, a Megaphone pattern has emerged and today's decline hit its bottom. This is a strong short term buy signal. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. 2. Sell if it closes a 1d candle under the MA50 (1d). Targets: 1. 4195 (Resistance 1). 2. 3950 (bottom of the long term Channel Up). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is bearish, trading under the MA level. The Support Zone where the previous two Higher Lows of the Channel Up were priced is lower. Use it as an additional entry signal for a potential bottom Buy. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
3
Will dreams about raging bull market get crushed today?The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting has been eagerly anticipated by investors as the central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. While this move is intended to combat high inflation, it will significantly impact the (already fragile) U.S. economy and have far-reaching implications for both businesses and consumers. One of the most significant impacts of the rate hike will be on debt servicing, which will become more expensive as interest rates rise. In addition to higher borrowing costs, the rate hike will contribute to slower economic growth, decreased consumer spending, and lower stock market returns. Moreover, this tightening of monetary conditions will come at a time when many U.S. regional banks are struggling to stay afloat, driven by a combination of factors, including loan defaults, capital outflows, and increased competition from larger banks. The potential contagion of the regional banking crisis has become a more pressing concern in light of recent failures within the financial system. In the past two months alone, we have seen the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, followed by a bust of First Republic Bank last week. Then, this week, we already saw massive declines among other regional banks, including PacWest Bancorp (-27% yesterday), Western Alliance (-15% yesterday), Metropolitan Bank (-20% yesterday), HomeStreet Bank (-14% yesterday), Zions Bancorporation (-10% yesterday). With these developments in the market, we would like to voice a word of caution to investors and once again reiterate our belief that we are merely going through a very deceptive bear market rally in market indices (rather than the raging bull market that so many people suggest). Accordingly, we remain bearish on the U.S. market and maintain a price target of $3500 for SPX. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the setup for SPX with the bearish trigger below Support 1 and tight stop-loss above it. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
23
S&P500: Head and Shoulders emerging. Sell signal.The S&P500 crossed under the 4H MA100 today and is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern on extremly bearish 4H technicals (RSI = 37.236, MACD = -4.910, ADX = 58.125). This is a sell signal especially if the price rebounds now and gets one last rejection on the 4H MA50. A similar pattern formed the February High. We are targeting S1 initially (TP1 = 4,050) and if the index closes under the 1D MA50 (red line), extend selling to S2 (TP2 = 3,925). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by InvestingScope
5
"Bad news" are becoming bad newsBad financial data for the U.S. market continues to stack up. This week, we saw a slump in ISM non-manufacturing PMI to 51.2 (from the previous figure of 55.1) and ISM manufacturing PMI to 46.3 (from 47.7 in the preceding print). In addition to that, we also saw that factory orders declined by 0.7% (MoM) in February 2023, and JOLTs job openings fell below 10 million for the first time in nearly two years. Finally, as if it was not enough, ADP employment change came in at 145 000 (vs. 261 000 in the previous release), far below expectations. More data is scheduled for release today, including initial jobless claims, continuing jobless claims, and total vehicle sales. While we can speculate whether these numbers will be good or bad, we can hardly argue about the increasingly apparent trend of worsening economic data (among various metrics). With that said, we believe the market is reaching a point when data will start to matter again (especially after a decade of disregarding fundamentals as unimportant). As a result, “bad news” will become bad news, no longer sparking speculation about the U.S.'s ability to dodge a recession. Accordingly, we remain bearish on the index and maintain our price target of $3 400. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of SPX and two simple moving averages. It also shows sloping resistance and two sloping supports. A breakout above the sloping resistance will be bullish, while a breakout below support levels will bolster a bearish case. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Slightly bullish (weak trend) Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
13
Investors are breaking the cardinal rule of Wall StreetBefore the previous meltdown in stocks, in early February 2023, we warned that investors were trying to fight the FED, breaking the cardinal rule of Wall Street. With the recent rebound in SPX and people trying to call FED’s bluff (again), this trend seems to continue. Today, so much anticipated FOMC meeting is here, and central bankers are expected to increase interest rates by 25 basis points. While this will likely bring the hiking cycle toward the end, it is important to remember that inflation is still running hot, making a case for elevated interest rates to stay here for much longer than many suggest. As Jerome Powell noted multiple times in the past few months, the FED is hiking interest rates to cool off the economy. In some regards, the FED has succeeded, which is reflected in the banking crisis, rising unemployment, a slowdown in the housing market, growing delinquencies on loans, etc. However, the rising stock market is not particularly achieving the same results, posing a threat to the FED, which is already in a tough spot. Moreover, the persistence of high-interest rates will put more weight on the U.S. economy, dragging it deeper into recession. Therefore, in our opinion, it is just a matter of time before the stock market starts cracking under the weight of tight monetary conditions. Accordingly, we stay bearish on the U.S. stock market and expect SPX to drift to $3 400 over the course of the coming months. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of SPX. Currently, it is sitting just slightly below the sloping resistance. If SPX breaks above it, it will be bullish in the short term. Interestingly, the recent rebound coincides with the price retracing toward the 50-day SMA, which often represents a strong correction. Therefore, we will also pay close attention to the price action near these levels. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bullish (very weak trend) Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
5
S&P500: Testing February's Resistace. Key to the trend.The S&P500 is testing February's LH trendline again for the first time since March 6th on strong bullish 4H tech (RSI = 64.370, MACD = 14.890, ADX = 34.844). This is also where the 0.5 Fibonacci level is and right over it the 4H MA200. We will target R1 if the LH breaks (TP1 = 4,080) and R2 (TP2 = 4,160) as long as the 0.618 holds upon re-test. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
8
S&P500 Two targets on this newly started riseThe S&P500 made the first rebound on the bottom of the Channel Up. Breaking over the MA50 (4h) has confirmed the short term bullish sentiment. Trading Plan: 1. Buy this pull back as close to the bottom of the Channel as possible. Targets: 1. 4000 short term (under the MA200 (4h)). 2. 4220 long term (top of the Channel Up and +11.00% rise). Tips: 1. The MACD (4h) has formed the same pattern it did on the November 3rd and December 20th bottoms. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: This is a continuation of this trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
2
BITCOIN and S&P500 on similar fortunes. Target 64000 and 4900.his is not one of our usual analyses but we found a pattern that Bitcoin and S&P500 shared in the past and may replicate in the future now that the Bull Cycle has restarted. Based on this the first target for both of them when the get out of a Bear Cycle is Fibonacci 2.0 from the last High before the final selloff. For Bitcoin that target is 64000 and for the S&P500 4900. Long term outlook don't get confused with our usual shorter term signals. Please like, follow and comment!!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
1
"Crash landing" instead of "soft landing"?Yesterday, U.S. inflation came up in line with expectations, and the market continued to enjoy relief after last week’s route. However, while the FED is progressing in fighting soaring prices, many problems are still on the horizon (declining corporate profits, rising unemployment, the persistence of tight monetary policy, problems in the banking sector, etc.). As such, market developments are starting to align for the “crash landing” instead of the “soft landing” that everyone was so eager to forecast just a month or two ago. With that said, we remain bearish on the U.S. stock market and expect it to decline by 20-30% in the coming months. Accordingly, we maintain our price target for SPX at $3 400. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of SPX and simple support/resistance levels. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of SPX. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover between 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
14
S&P500 flashing a buy signal of 100% success rate since October.The S&P500 index may have been rejected yesterday following Powell's testimony on a possible need for stronger rate hikes but technically it has reached a level and formed a certain pattern that since the October Channel Up started, it has appeared 4 timed with a 100% success rate for rebounding to a Higher High. The Rising Support on the RSI is common on all those 4 times as well as the current formation. Short term Target is 4130 (Fibonacci 0.5) and long term Target is 4250 (Fibonacci 0.786). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
2