Statisticalarbritrage
BTCUSD H1 Clear short-term downtrendHello, world.
This page is describing statistical analysis for BTCUSD.
This time we have a call for a fast down movement, which has been defined in 60% of cases similar to past 2 days price movement.
Robot opened a pending order:
BTCUSD SELL
3603
StopLoss 3652
TakeProfit 3463
Take care of risk management, and have a safe ride!
EURUSD H4 SELL: Statistically approved down-trend continuationHello, world.
This page is overlooking a statistical analysis, and I maintain work of a group of robots on Forex and Crypto.
Today we have another call for EURUSD.
As you could see, we already have a short order at 1.14726.
Currently, the same robot made another shot for a downward movement. From its perspective, we can shortly spot a sequel.
If we don't, we will close both orders in a nice profit from selling on high.
The robot's order:
EURUSD SELL
1.13891
StopLoss 1.14203
TakeProfit 1.12799
Keep your flight safe, and maintain strong risk management!
--
You can see our Crypto trading robot live at the free signal:
www.mql5.com
EURUSD SELL H4: Statistical, Counter-TrendHello, world.
This profile is focused on a statistical analysis, and our robot found out there is a 60% probability that we will reverse currently on EURUSD.
While candlestick patterns may show a good trending plot and we have support at 1.14591, if we look on data, there is a great possibility to reverse, as the robot sees a bull trap here last 2 days, and a consolidation which turns out to a decline.
It opened order:
EURUSD
1.14726
SL 1.15043
TP 1.13621
Enjoy your sailing, and keep stable risk management!
BTCUSD H1 SHORT: Short-term downside trendHello, world.
As this page focus on a statistical design for trading, our robot shows there is currently a lack of demand at BTCUSD.
It oversees in a 60% of such scenarios its lead for a short-term down movement in 2018.
Keep stoploss tight as in the wrong case we could see a fast alteration.
The robot's opened order:
BTCUSD SELL
3655
StopLoss 3707
TakeProfit 3504
Keep a smooth sailing, and hold on good risk management!
--
You can look for our robot's live trading at a free signal:
www.mql5.com
BTCUSD LONG H1: ROLLBACK TO 3900, statistical counter-trendHello, world.
This page is overviewing quantitative analysis, and I manage several robots trading crypto right now.
BTCUSD is currently looking bearish, meanwhile, from a statistical point of view, it should have another push-up today, heading towards 3900, until we see any other continuation.
Our robot has opened a buy stop position at 3762.
BTCUSD BUY
3762
StopLoss 3709
TakeProfit 3915
Have a safe flight, and take care about risk management!
--
We have all our trades live at educational robot profile:
www.mql5.com
Statistical Research for BTCUSD positionsHello, world.
As currently three of our robots are showing the same direction, I would like to take time and define several ideas that we have as a baseline for our robot's analysis.
First, conceptually we need to define that all robot trading based on a data mining process, which includes a specific education for robot algorithms.
This is where it all starts, the system is concluding results of the robot's trading, and after a lot of iterations, specify which of the educational patterns were right (or got the most profit while keeping a small drawdown).
For Bitcoin, the most certain case scenario for any trader would be a way to understand where do we go on upscaled state, as far as we can define two market conditions: when it's in a trend, or staying in a flat.
Trading on an upscaled level means having more profit in a single order, instead of taking advantage of small movements; and in the same time, most of the critical robot tasks is minimizing a stoploss to be winning by expected value.
Functionally, all of that means a robot should find right factors to see there would be a high peak after the flat, and they will be statistically recognized on a scale that a quantity of profits is going to beat all the loss.
When you understand those points, you can spend time on defining a strategy.
BTCUSD is a perfect model of emotional trading, as it has many retail investors. In contradiction to bot-dominated markets, it has a very small-ranged flat, and very high-ranged emissions, so to have success as an upscaled robot on such exchange, your idea is to predict those emissions and try to catch large sharks.
Currently, three of our robots utilizing different statistical approach, decided to go short with three different sets, which you can see on the graph, or follow the previous analysis.
I would be glad to answer your questions about data mining for Crypto or take a look at your ideas about the algorithms.
Let me know what do you think about the future of the market, will it stay such emotional?
Have a good sailing!
BTCUSD Short H1 for trend-followingHello, yesterday drop came unexpected, we just had to keep a stoploss tight, and fix drawdown at 3790 levels.
Today, two of our robots opened about the same short order on BTCUSD.
It means there are double chances and we distribute risk management properly.
This time it's a trend-following strategy, where we catch a wave which is not finished yet.
Open a sell order in between 3720 - 3690.
BTCUSD SELL
3720-3690
StopLoss: 3929
TakeProfit: 3444
When the price comes to 3650, move stoploss to an entry point.
Remember to keep your money management for the whole account. Don't take a risk larger then you could lose.
Bitcoin long on H1: follows counter-trending approachHello, world.
This page follows a statistical approach to a currency trading. I personally manage 6 robots on a master account which trades crypto and fiat currencies.
I will redirect preferred trades to TradingView as an endeavor of collaboration with the community and bringing awareness to a data-mining community of traders.
Wish you all the best takes in this journey!
--
The first our trade is the bearish trap. According to a robot's hypothesis, BTCUSD will recover soon, and it placed a trade on a scalping position in the very base of the last panic bar.
You may place an order according to your money management strategy, it could be anywhere between 3850-3890.
BTCUSD Long position:
3850-3890
StopLoss: 3792
TakeProfit: 4020
USDCHF @ worst major cross-rate (of 21 pairs) last 52nd week `16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
7 Currencies (52th Week Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURUSD @ best major cross-rate (of 21 pairs) last 52nd week `16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
7 Currencies (52th Week Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
UAHRUB @ with 10,66% 2nd biggest moves (of 1482 pairs) in dec`16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
39 Currencies (12th Month Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
USDCHF @ worst major cross-rate (of 21 pairs) last 52nd week `16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
21 Cross-Rates (52th Week Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURUSD @ best major cross-rate (of 21 pairs) last 52nd week `16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
21 Cross-Rates (52th Week Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
BRLARS @ +49,07 % one of best performer (2016) of 1842 pairs !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURBGN @ 0,00 % lowest performer (2016) of 1842 pairs !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURGBN @ 0,00 % lowest performer (4th Quarter) of 1842 !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
BRLARS @ +49,07 % one of best performer (2016) of 1842 pairs !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
39 Currencies (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURBGN @ 0,00 % lowest performer (2016) of 1842 pairs !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
39 Currencies (2016 Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
TRYRUB @ -17.30% one of (1482) best performer (4th Quarter) !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
39 Currencies (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
EURGBN @ 0,00 % lowest performer (4th Quarter) of 1842 !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
39 Currencies (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
AUDNZD - STAT TRADE: BUY AFTER A 5TH DAY OF SELLING; P=98.7%AUDNZD:
1. Aussie kiwi has been aggressively sold lower for the last 8/9 days, with the bullday being only 4pips higher (pretty much 9 straight days of selling) and most recently the last 4 days have been pure consecutive closes lower.
2. Statistically, after analysing the last 16.5yrs of data it shows the probability of a 5th day or more of selling is 3% which means there is an implied 32/33/ 97% chance that we move higher on the next day, these odds arent too great so I suggust NOT buying on open, instead lets wait and see if we can get another close lower on the daily that takes us into the strong support zone at 1.041/3 - then this will mean buying the probability that a 6th or more day of selling occurs which is 1.3% or an implied chance of 98.7% or 99/100 that the price will go up on the 6th day
Trading strategy - AUDNZD wait for monday to close lower at 1.041/3 and buy tuesdays open:
1. I advise buying aussie here after the 5th day lower as the 6th day has a 98.7% chance of moving higher, after a 5th day of selling, the odds are good and I will take part in this.