With the fourth quarter of the year starting tomorrow, I'd like to give a short overview of the historical returns of the fourth quarter. Quarter / Returns 4-2010 / 384.7% 4-2011-8.1% 4-2012 / 9.0% 4-2013 / 421.0% 4-2014 / -16.7% 4-2015 / 81.4% 4-2016 / 59.2% 4-2017 / 220.4% 4-2018 / -43.8% 4-2019 / -13.7% 4-2020 / 168.9% Average results per quarter: 1 / 68.5% 2...
Remove the Noise!! This is pure mathematics, statistics and probability. The 'Hidden' Death Cross & 'True' Golden Cross are the cross of the weekly 50 SMA & 50 EMA, which with 8/8 historical cross cycles completed, consistently (100% of cross cycles) result in a significant market contraction or expansion. Note: I am bullish on BTC, but these macro economic...
Hi All, Please go through the HOW-TO guide for statistical study created based on drawdown from ATH. I will be using this in coming videos on Fundamental strategies. Thanks
Taking into account that the price is driven by orders proportional to its growth since 2018, this correlation could occur in 2021 between order volumes and the expected dips. Remember that Bitcoin is part of a developing market, comparable to the dot-com bubble. What's your opinion? Stay tuned on our updates!
Every day it seems that the media puts out the best of reasons... from the smartest of experts... as to why the stock market and economy is going to CRASH soon! This has gone on for as long as I can remember. Why do they continue to publish this misinformation? Because it get's ATTENTION! What does history ACTUALLY tell us about stock market performance...
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am not a statistician. I am not a trading/investing expert. I am a wildlife biologist. This is just a regurgitation of my research, thoughts, and opinions, along with my attempt at having fun with numbers to create an incredibly speculative model for Bitcoin’s future price action. Hang in there folks, this is a long one....
theres 3 senario for this chart. bad,medium,good red,yellow,green
at $0.15 on the chart at time of writing, statistically speaking, this should double in the next week... if not 1st thing Monday morning. Aside from the obvious problem they face with the merger, this will probably be one of those times where I should have opened a bigger position, but I will still play it smart.
January-February: Not much. FX some extended arms bouncing on support. Gold parabolic move inside the early bull market, short lived. March: Stocks mega-crash. Fundamentals. Coronavirus, lockdowns, etc. Gilead super volatile with Remdesivir, airlines & cruise lines die. Dollar goes up but not interesting to buy. Bitcoin crash I waited for 1 year...
a potential unified gartley is setting up. detailed stats and trading levels are on this screenshot: prnt.sc Note: 1) The stats are only valid if you find patterns the same way as I do 2) The stats are only valid for this financial asset and this timeframe 3) WIn% = win probability; Loss%=loss probability. Keep in mind the Loss%. It is calculated by the...
You can find Bitcoin probabilities for June 2020. Levels are generated using 9 years of data. Disclaimer: I'm not a professional trader or financial advisor. This is not financial advice. Trade safe, Atilla Yurtseven
You can find E-mini SP futures probabilities for June 2020. Levels are generated using 20 years of data. Disclaimer: I'm not a professional trader or financial advisor. This is not financial advice. Trade safe, Atilla Yurtseven
I have done a statistical analysis on BTCUSD chart and looks like there's 99% probability that Bitcoin will hit 9973.40 until 11th March. We can expect a pump anytime sooner. Just watch and get ready. PS. I think this move will start sooner but for now, i can say until 11th March 2020 Disclaimer: This is not a financial or investment advice. Remember to...
The other day we wrote about the calm prevailing in the financial markets and the absence of “black swans”, which can turn the situation upside down and provoke a sharp surge of volatility. Judging by how events are developing, Hong Kong could become such a “game-changer”. And the point here is not even the intensification of protest activity in the country and...
It is a good idea to buy USDCAD og sell USDNOK as one trade. With such a cointegrated pair, a historically high spread is very rare and a very good opportunity to trade.
ECB main reference rate announcement moved the market rapidly. After the open Dax moved down towards the support at 12 379, we found buyers just for a really small pullback. After this pullback market dropped below this support and slow down. At 13:45 CET the madness has begun. Dax moved rapidly up and down, we found sellers at our resistance at 12 461 and we even...
The Dax is continuously moving up, even gaps are not being closed, which is not something we are used to. Moreover, the daily ranges are below average, which is not good as Dax is popular for being a volatile market. Today we are opening with another long gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 461 Support: 12 259, 12 379 Statistics for today Detailed...