BTC under 3k in 2018BTC Short
Here we have 1d BTC:
- blue dashed line is simple linear regression (days/close price).
- rainbow-line is Hull Moving Average 100 days.
- green-red-line is simple moving average 400 days.
- grey line is 800 days moving average,
- middle green doted line (between the previous two) is weekly MA20-STDEV20 (see Bollinger Bands)
- and than standard Coppock and simple SMI Ergodic Indicator.
Looking at how events unfold at 2014, I think the downtrend is here to stay:
- probably on the long run (meaning 2018), we might see BTC under MA800day, which means BTC under 3k in 2018.
- as for mid-term (March-April-May) BTC might bounce back at ~6.5k and/or at ~5k.
This is NOT a trading advise, just my biased ideas. (My advise would be: use stop-sell, always calculate risk and try to avoid FOMO.)
Criticism welcome!
Standard Deviation (Volatility)
BTCUSD short -- my biased entry quadrilateralsBased on 20 days long Bollinger Bands (which is basically a price-moving averages +- standard deviation) and based on supersimple price/time linear regression : my entry zones are the two quadrilaterals (numbered "1" and "2" on the chart).
I expect BTCUSD to fall into area "1" approx by 11th of March (+-12days), if not, then my next entry area is "2". (Why do I think it is going to fall? Besides Coppock (at the bottom), take a look at basic weekly indicators! Yet on the extent/angle/aggressiveness of the falling I have no idea.)
This is not a trading advise, just a biased idea of a non-pro! Calculate risk, don't risk more that you can afford to lose, avoid FOMO, use stops and have fun!
Criticism/comments welcome! (e.g. what do you think will we enter into "?"-land? Or if you think an uptrend is coming, would u reason it for me? Might be, just I cannot see it coming.)
Ciao