HAS ANYONE ELSE NOTICED THIS MASSIVE FALLING WEDGE ON GBP/USD?Hello my beauties.
I think that the cable has just broken a massive falling wedge. I believe it might kiss the trendline goodbye before leaving for good.
If the pattern is set to complete, the opportunity could be massive.
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Luca, TrickleDownFX
Sterling
EURGBP may setup for another bullish move with a bull flag. The EURGBP has held recent gains well coming out of a "false breakdown" a few weeks ago on the break of the .8470 support and reversal out of the descending wedge. Since then, the EURGBP rallied to test the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July high to August low at .8584. From here, dips to the .8525 level could find support as a bull flag is setting up. Whenever you get a sharp reversal, then a shallow pullback, the risk builds for a continuation move.
GBPUSD - Respecting LevelsAs we can see from the chart, GBPUSD has been respecting the highlighted zones well.
I am expecting GBPUSD to reverse off its current level of support turned resistance, to revisit the June lows at the 1.36 region. Price has tried to break upward several times over the past couple of days, and for that reason my bias is short.
GBPUSD Plan of action.GBPUSD Potential price movements heading into this week, I expect price to reach that contraction we saw at the top in GU, I would expect to see a reaction here, if we are going to see strong $, if we get to this block, we can look to short weakness down to new lots, for the time being I believe we are in a continuation pattern and we can look to trade GBPUSD up before a demise, with a big 4h pinbar in DXY right now, it could be a good time to find an entry.
GBP_NZD_4H_LongThe long position is taken – 4H -Daily timeframe I checked and last day candle barriers are HL and HH, in 4H also I see the start of a movement from a 4H demand zone, although price broke an ascending channel it was above a fat ascending komu. Also in lower timeframes, I see HL and HH. I enter the long position and the TP is last week High.
R/R = 1:1.1
26th July- 30th July GBP/USD BIASSHORTING GBP/USD from 1.38000 to 1.36000 - 1.34000.
CONFLUENCES:
- Sterling Sentiment overall bearish
- Down trend continuation
- 68.1% FIB
- TRENDLINE BOUNCE
- SUPPLY ZONE
Waiting for confirmation of markdown. Currently in distribution phase of Wyckoff. (Lower timeframes)
Entering shorts week ahead unless trendline has been broken - Bias change.
GBPUSD - To Break LowerGBPUSD H1:
Lots of confluence on GBPUSD here points to a break lower.
Here we have a rejection of the 4 hour descending TL (on the 4 hour chart this also lines up with a rejection of the 100 EMA) The bullish push on the last hour candle I believe is one last run up before price continues its decline. 1.38 is holding as an area of support but if this breaks I believe we will see sub-1.38 prices today.
With 1.39 holding as such strong psychological resistance i am definitely in favour of further bearish movement.
The short position tool added to my chart highlights an excellent R:R of 1:4 with the target being at the 1.37500 mid-psychological level.
let's see how this plays out! Hopefully some USD strength on New York open can provide further momentum to reaching target.
Sterling to Find SupportGbpUsd nearly completed a clear WXY corrective cycle and ended wave Y with clear 5 waves, i expect for the coming sessions to find a short term support and bounce to retest previous wave 4.
before any uptrend might happen again. so we will consider the upward move a correction until it proves its an impulsive.
GBPUSD - To Revisit June Lows?Lots of confluence pointing toward a decline on GBPUSD here.
Here we see the rejection of the identified resistance area, in line with the downward trendline. Price is holding well under the 200 EMA also. Price action on the last hourly candle also infers a reversal.
I don't really like this pair due to both GBP and USD being two dominant currencies - I find the fundamentals hard to predict! But here I think the technicals line up nicely for a sell off.
Stop loss can be placed above resistance at around 1.39400. I'll set TP at the 1.38000 psychological level. Nice R:R, let's see how it plays out! Let's watch out for 1.38800-600 though as this could be an area of struggle.
GBPJPY 1H Drop IncomingGBPJPY showed sharp gains on Mondays Asian and European sessions with the pair rising from a bearish 151.500 to 153.750 at its peak, looking primed to continue back towards the 155 mark which the bulls have been pressuring and sustaining since late May. Coming into todays European session, the currencies volatility had worn off and the pair has been stuttering early this morning in the mid 153 range, this could be the bulls taking a breaking on the resurgence ready to make a move towards the day end, however the more likely situation is that the bulls are exhausted and so is the sterling. After posting great gains over the past few months the sterling has gone from strength to strength, no worse the Yen which has also showed remarkable strength and gains. The Former however is struggling to maintain this momentum and the pound has been slipping its grasp in the mid 155 range for a few weeks now. This could be down to the how well the Yen has performed but the pound's ground beneath its feet is slipping with Boris Johnson's delay of lockdown easing and the 'Delta variant' supposedly creating a whole new problem for the UK and its plans to get the economy back on track. With the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes kicking off in the next asian session, we can comfortable predict how the Yen will react after seeing its response to previous BoJ announcements. This will push the Yen higher and ultimately leave the GBPJPY pair looking negative. The sterling has no key fundamental economic releases on the calendar till tomorrow which leaves the stage all set for the Yen in the next Asian session. This enforces my view on the pair slipping back down to the 152 ranges until the Pound takes centre stage tomorrow afternoon where we can see some volatility.
On the Technical analysis side of things, we can see the trend angle of yesterdays resurgence as unsustainable as the pair has slipped so much and pops upwards too sharply to allow any support to be built beneath. It was met with resistance at 153.500 to 153.700 and is struggling to break its barrier. It's since slipped to 153.300 today and isn't showing strong enough signs of breaking the resistance. It may form some degree of support here but there's not enough data to show the pair will as its too short of the Mid may support level of 153.300. The pair has also dropped beneath the SMMA showing further signs of a drop incoming.
I expect a drop to 152.500 and I'll check back in on the pair then to see how sterling and yen are fairing most likely after tonights Asian session. We may have another opportunity to catch the fall back down to the support of 151.400 but theres not enough signs for me personally that the pair can't rebound at 152 and head back upwards.
I look forward to seeing how this one plays out.
GBPUSD BUY SETUPLooking to buy GBP against the green back in an area of support zone where market has tested the zone a few times already, Shorting doesn't make sense until the trend has indeed changed and reversed which so far is not the case so we will look to buy around 1.4080-1.4090 with stops under 1.4060 and targets @ 1.4180 & 1.4240