GBPCHF - Short term momentum remains bullish GBPCHF is Bullish - We look to Buy at 1.2035
▪️ Short term momentum is bullish.
▪️ We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 1.2037 from 1.1869 to 1.2205.
▪️ Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning.
▪️ Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 1.2035, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 1 .2005
Target1: 1.2145
Target2: 1.2200
Sterling
GBPAUD LONG BETAnother long on GA.
Was hesitant to post this idea because the chart is messy.
Technicals:
-simply playing off the support
Price action:
-price held support level and going to challenge 1.9450 peg
-if sellers maintain control overall, then 1.91859 is my downward target
Fundamentals/Sentiment - See my last post // ideas are the same
Additional notes:
-GBP news this session can be the deciding factor for 1.9450 control
-GOLD dropping
EURGBP preparing for wave 3 with target 0.897A perfect retrace to the 0.886 fibo level for EURGBP which is not uncommon for a wave 2. The wave 5 pattern is forming and it needs to show more of its true colors (expect some more up & down in wave 2 & wave 4) but eventually we should see 0.897 & 0.90 in due time. This coincides with the H4 bearflag on GBPUSD & the COT data on Euro which is certainly bullish. There are currently more longs than shorts on the Euro. Stay tuned for this turtle which moves even slower than EURUSD.
Chart of the Day: GBP/AUD Good Day :) hope everybody is having a great trading week so far (That's if you've been following my analysis) wink*
I'll add the links below.
Technical Analysis: GBP/AUD
Bias: Bullish - On the 1Hour timeframe price action has created an inverse head & shoulders patterns. which occurs after a downtrend and indicates a possibility of a high probability trend reversal to the upside.
Please don't forget to leave your thoughts and comments and if you benefited in any way from this post please like & share.
Trade safe & have a great trading week :)
Chart of the Day: GBP/USDHey everybody, hope you guys are all doing well :)
Chart of the Day: GBP/USD
Bias: (Bullish) - Price action created a strong impulsive move to the upside (Solid Line). We waited for the price to return to our level of interest to look for opportunities to buy.
Please don't forget to leave your thoughts and comments and if you benefited in any way from this post please like & share.
Trade safe & have a great trading week :)
GBPUSD longs still validMorning traders!
The profit target has been reached from my last posted idea, here is another potential profit target for the GBPUSD.
We looking to see that being hit in the next day!
Thanks for tuning into my idea, I appreciate it!
As always, keep the risk managed!
Cheers :D
ridethepig | BOE & FED ComboThis is a quick update to do with pricing in rates, or what's already priced in rate market ... I wont try my best to keep it short and sweet.
I have been receiving many PM's and comments around how do we know when the Fed cuts are fully priced in? For example the -50bps that the market forced earlier in the week...everybody knew they were coming, they just didn't know it would be a surprise before the meeting.
When it comes to the fundamentals and pricing in rate cuts, the macro is slightly different on each side. The reason it's different is because of timing and placement in the economic cycle. On the UK side, when we walk forward, the further out you go in time, the more relevant Brexit becomes. Why? The market has been incrementally pricing as we've gone along... doing it in small pieces because that's how markets like to move.
The market didn't sit at the highs saying well we've got a new fiscal budget coming with tax cuts on the horizon, the taps on full blast and BOE ready to bend the knee, so lets start selling GBP and suddenly GBPUSD was down 300 ticks. Then markets looked at the 1.275x lows and did another forward walk, this time saying there is no point in going lower because of Fed cuts via coronavirus short-circuit, these are not fully priced so lets take another test of the 1.300x highs as there is more money to be made in the slow train !!!
The macro traders know this, a BOE intervention is only a matter of when and if they can wait till the meeting. We have the budget next week and a very aggressive Fiscal policy may offset the need to act inbetween although, another they will not appreciate another hammer in UK Equities so eyes there to begin the week.
Mostly when talking about whats being priced in, it's on the incremental level. So you will remember the GBP devaluation we are trading via Brexit:
This is the future, what the market will try and do is price it all in small increments. The biggest moves, the ones with real volatility will come only sessions before the actual fact of Brexit annihilation. The market is not interested in these small 50 ticks or 75 tick retracement, the further out you go the more relevant the macro becomes. You see here with the PM May resignation:
Markets priced in a little before, but you usually don't know enough details until shortly before the fact. Then before the announcement, maybe price moved 100 ticks... then markets expect it to be hawkish ... if that's the case with Boris then it gets priced and if they do not deliver then it will be priced back out.
For the technical 🗺
Steel Support 1.241x <=> Strong Support 1.258x <=> Soft Support 1.275x <=> S/R Flip 1.293x <=> Strong Resistance 1.310x <=> Steel Resistance 1.321x
It's macro ... the titanic takes a long time to turn ... Good luck all those in GBP and UK assets, here tracking a pullback in GBPUSD via BOE intervention and -50bps front loaded cut. I don't think they will be able to wait till the meeting!
Thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments and etc!!