Sterling
GBP / JPY - Broke bearish wedge - SHORT I hate trading this bear when the Pound is so weak, but I shorted this pair at the top of the wedge @145.2 and we're now retesting the edge of the wedge again, we're consistently breaking lower lows, but it takes time to get there, takes ages to rise and then drops each time, just like this!
142 is the target, but with eyes on 140, this pair is hard-work, so unless you want to feel the highs and lows of this trade, don't trade it and certainly don't watch it. I'm hoping to be out of it by 3pm Friday. Review my long term view below.
GBP / NZD - Sell into resistance - SHORT The GBP has shown a little strength (and I mean a little), more sideways movement, but this could get us back up into an area of resistance I've marked on the chart, then we'll sell that down to the final target of the attached much bigger Head and Shoulders move that I'm still in since May 16 from the top of the Right shoulder.
GBPNZD ShortAs we can see from the chart, the uptrend from last July has been broken and we've also completed a triple top pattern. The broken uptrend was retested and failed. Additionally, the Kiwi has been sold off heavily as of late and is bound to rebound. This is a longer term trade but the reward will be well worth the wait.
Good luck and thank you for looking!!
EUR / GBP - Head & Shoulders Pattern - SHORTThe neckline on the head and shoulders pattern has now been broken, a seriously bearish move which has paid dividends on similar patterns in play right now (see link below), the height from the neckline to the head is the target south from the baseline. Waiting for a SERIOUS signal to confirm the break after re-test of the neck, remember, both these currencies are very bearish, Euro is ahead right now, so a little more risky than say A USD pair, entry is key.
GBPUSD Nice to see 2 different targetsTwo different targets:
Long: 1.37335
Short: 1.33600
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GBP/USDPrice consolidated starting around the 4th of May and finally broke below it on the 18th. Currently we are seeing a potential retest near 1.35000 which was a strong support zone since the 4th of May. I am waiting for a candle formation on either the 2H or 4H timeframes before going short on this one.
GBP/USD Short to 1.3250on Cable we have a Break of the Weekly Trendline and weekly Closure below monthly support at 1.3250. A retest to the zone and break below the Moving Averages has indicated a bearish Move potential with a 250 Pip Decline very Possible in the following weeks.
I am looking to Short GBP/USD Following the Monday Open
GBP/JPY Interest Rate Outlook Short Term BearishGiving last months Carney speech about Interest rates talk being halted due to Brexit talks - Needing clarity on where the country is heading before giving an overall economic out look.
In terms of the Currency The Pound Sterling - Investors are mainly concerned about Brexit & Interest rates, as the bullish rally on the GBP was because the central banks said there will two rate hikes one which already occurred in December last year and a second rate hike expected this year.
Knowingly that inflation is what certifies the changes within Interest rates, ever since Carney gave out the speech about interest rates being halted we saw a decline on the GBP by 0.8% but seeing how we have an Inflation report next week on the GBP we could determine that based on this we could keep seeing the GBP decline to the previous lows and once that announcement is released which gives more confidence for investors on whether interest rates will increase or not,
If we see the nation stagnated with inflation remaining the same, or decreasing slightly we could possibly expect a rate hike soon which will give investors the convidence to keep pushing the GBP up.
TLDR; Short term weekly SELL
Long term Monthly Buy
GBPUSD Would be strong enough to break? SurePound looks a bit weak, but at the end of the day, is it strong enough to break the box and where? Large downward potential, >1.52% bearish.
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Short GBP/USDGBP/USD Recently broke and closed below weekly support of 1.38000. and his showing heavy bearish momentum on all time frames, after a quick retrace to the support of 1.38000 on the 4HR, Price was unable to close above,
therefore I believe we will be heading to our next weekly key level of 1.35500.
Price should be able to quickly reach our target as there is no significant level until we reach 1.35500.
Cable GBP/USD Breaks Uptrend**TRADE ALERT** SELL GBPUSD -0.41% at 1.39772 S/L 1.4190. Not for the faint hearted as Brexit talks makes this a lively pair but with the long uptrend breaking together with negative momentum looks a decent trade for a downside move. Recent dovish comments from the Bank of England's Carney also supporting this bearish set up.
CABLE BREAKS UPTREND**TRADE ALERT** SELL GBPUSD at 1.39772 S/L 1.4190. Not for the faint hearted as Brexit talks makes this a lively pair but with the long uptrend breaking together with negative momentum looks a decent trade for a downside move. Recent dovish comments from the Bank of England's Carney also supporting this bearish set up.
GBPUSD in free fall, rate hike comments in question.Yesterday after BoE's Governor Carney hinted that possibility of rate hike is much more lower than previously the GBPUSD plunged from what it was a great run to the heights of 1.4377 for more than a month, and this means also that it is on the border to exit the bullish flag zone if it goes below 1.4000 the next support. At the moment the price pivots around 1.4050, if it does not hold on 1.40 is next. It should be noted, investors would stay more on the side now, before we get more clarification for the future BoE policy and after decision announcement we will get clear direction of the movement of the price. GBPUSD potential is not lost thou and it should be supported by new buyers appearing below 1.4000. Good luck :) .
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GBPUSD: Price Pushing Into Key Resistance With No Bearish Signs.GBPUSD: Price is now pushing into the extreme zone which has a defined upper resistance boundary of 1.4423. Price is also sitting just above the 1.4345 high that was established back in January. The probability of a bearish reversal is high, BUT until there is confirmation, the bullish momentum can continue to drive price higher.
Keep in mind, if price is going to reject a resistance level, it usually happens fast. As long as price lingers in this area, or slowly grinds higher, that is a sign of strength. I do not buy highs, I look to sell them, but only under very specific conditions. If the market cannot produce the criteria that I am looking for when it comes to initiating a swing trade short, then I avoid completely.
Buying a breakout here is high risk in my opinion. If I am going to capitalize on the long side, I prefer to take risk at more attractive prices. In this case, I am watching the 1.4115 to 1.4054 area (.618 relative to recent bullish swing) which is a minor support. Otherwise my position is neutral which means I have no position.
Make sure to check out S.C. for updates, because if a swing trade short setup develops, that is where the details will be.