Example of explanation of chart analysis and trading strategy
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There was an inquiry asking for detailed information on how to analyze charts and create trading strategies accordingly, so I will take the time to explain it.
Before reading this article, you need a basic understanding of charts.
That is, you need to understand candles and price moving averages.
If you study this first and then read this content, I think you will have some understanding of trading.
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Whether you are trading spot or futures, marking support and resistance points according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is the first task you need to do before trading.
To do this, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
Therefore, before using my indicator, it is better to study candles first and understand the arrangement of candles.
When studying candles, it is better not to try to memorize the names or shapes of various patterns.
This is because the overall understanding of candles is important, not the various patterns of candles.
If you study with a book or video, you will be able to understand candles after reading or watching them at least 3 times.
We study charts to trade, not to analyze charts and teach them to others, so we need to study efficiently and save time.
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If you study candles, you will naturally understand the price moving average.
The indicator corresponding to the price moving average is the MS-Signal indicator.
This MS-Signal indicator consists of the M-Signal indicator and the S-Signal indicator, and the main indicator is the M-Signal indicator.
Therefore, we added the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart to the 1D chart so that we can see the overall trend.
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You can see the arrangement of the MS-Signal (M-Signal of 1M, 1W, 1D charts) indicators in the example chart.
Currently, since the M-Signal of the 1M chart > the M-Signal of the 1W chart, we can see that it is a reverse array.
If you understand the price moving average, you will understand that we should not trade when it is a reverse array, but when it is a regular array.
Therefore, since the current state of the example chart is a reverse array, it is not suitable for trading.
However, the reason we brought this chart in this state is because the M-Signal indicators of the 1M and 1W charts are converging.
As convergence progresses, it will eventually diverge.
Therefore, since the possibility of price volatility increases, the possibility of capturing the timing for trading increases depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
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The indicators included in the example chart are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
This work performs the same role as the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts according to the arrangement of the candles mentioned above.
Therefore, on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, horizontal lines are drawn on the indicators to indicate support and resistance points.
You can draw horizontal lines on indicators that are horizontal for at least 3 candles, and if possible, 5 candles.
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Among the HA-MS indicators, the important indicators are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart.
Therefore, it is the next most important indicator after the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts) indicator that can tell the trend.
You can create a trading strategy depending on whether there is support near the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
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The next most important indicator is the BW(0), BW(100) indicator.
When this indicator is created or touched, it is time to respond in detail.
That is, when you are trading with a trading strategy created from the HA-Low, HA-High indicators, when the BW(0), BW(100) indicators are created or touched, you can choose whether to proceed with a split transaction.
In addition, you can understand the OBV, +100, -100 indicators as response points for split transactions.
Therefore, you do not need to indicate support and resistance points for the OBV, +100, -100 indicators.
However, it is recommended to mark support and resistance points for the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), BW(100) indicators.
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If you look at the price position in the example chart, you can see that it is located in the 0.03347-0.03485 range.
And, the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing through this range, and the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is acting as support and resistance.
Therefore, whether there is support near 0.03485 is an important key point.
If support is confirmed near 0.03485, it is a time to buy.
However, since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing between 0.03485-0.03814, the point to watch is whether the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator can break through upward.
As I mentioned earlier, if the MS-Signal indicator passes, a trend change will occur, so it is significant.
Therefore, in order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it is likely to be supported around 0.03814-0.03982.
Therefore, the first split selling section will be around 0.03814-0.03982.
At this time, whether to sell or hold depends on your investment style and investment period.
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Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 0.04341, it is likely to start when the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart in order to turn into a long-term uptrend.
Therefore, the second split selling period will be around the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
This is also something you can choose.
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An important volume profile section is formed around 0.03038.
Therefore, the 0.03038 point corresponds to a strong support section.
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(30m chart)
When the time frame chart you are trading is below the 1D chart, it is recommended to activate the 5EMA indicator on the 1D chart.
(I just used the 30m chart as an example. The same principle applies to any time frame chart you usually use.)
This is because there is a high possibility of volatility when the 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are touched.
In other words, you can understand that it plays a certain role of support and resistance.
If it touches the HA-High, BW(100) indicator and falls and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it will basically touch the HA-Low or BW(0) indicator.
On the other hand, if it touches the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and rises and rises above the MS-Signal indicator, it will basically touch the HA-High or BW(100) indicator.
However, since it may not do so and may rise or fall in the middle, it is necessary for the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts as mentioned earlier.
The support and resistance points drawn on the 1D chart are currently indicated at the 0.03347 point.
Therefore, even if it falls below the MS-Signal indicator, you can understand that there is a possibility of rising again around 0.03347.
Since the 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart are passing around 0.03485, we can see that the area around 0.03485 is an important support and resistance zone.
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Since the StochRSI indicator is currently above 50, we should focus on finding a time to sell.
Since it has fallen below the BW(100) and HA-High indicators, it has fallen too much to start trading with a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you can respond quickly, you can enter a sell (SHORT) position when it falls from the 0.03411 point where the MS-Signal indicator is passing.
When the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, we should focus on finding a time to buy.
At this time, you can trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts or around the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts), 5EMA, HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), and BW(100) indicators on the 1D chart.
As mentioned earlier, you should not forget that trading strategies can be created based on whether there is support at the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to trade based on whether there is support near the HA-High indicator point of 0.03443.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Stochastic RSI (STOCH RSI)
I need objective information to help me interpret the chart
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With this decline, the BW(100) indicator was created at 104556.23.
Accordingly, the high boundary section is the 101947.24-104556.23 section.
Unfortunately, since it fell below 101947.24, the key is whether it can receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, i.e., around 98892.0, and rise.
If it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator I use are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
If you set it as above, it will show a movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
When the StochRSI indicator
- falls in the overbought zone,
- is located near the 50 point,
- rises in the oversold zone,
volatility is likely to occur.
However, you should check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and think of a corresponding response plan.
Therefore, by checking the relationship between the movement of the StochRSI indicator and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can choose the point where you can make a trade.
If you can calculate these selection points, I think it is highly likely that you will be able to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
It is good to predict future movements with trends or waves, but if you can calculate the point where you can actually make a trade, I think you can create a better trading strategy.
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I wrote a long article, but
1. Will the StochRSI indicator fall in the overbought zone?
2. Will it receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator?
3. Will it rise to the high boundary section?
You should focus on the three things above.
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The method of drawing support and resistance points is drawn according to the arrangement of candles.
This method can actually include subjective thoughts, so it requires skill.
Therefore, if possible, I recommend that you sign up as a paid member of TradingView and share my charts with me, and use the HA-High, HA-Low, BW(100), BW(0), OBV, +100, -100 indicators that appear on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts by the HA-MS_BW+v2 indicator as horizontal lines and use them as support and resistance points.
Then, even if others look at the charts, they will be easier to understand, and it will be easier to share opinions on trading strategies according to each other's investment styles.
By utilizing indicators that anyone can use in this way, you will be able to view the charts objectively.
If you trade based on what others tell you, you will likely not be able to respond quickly when sudden volatility occurs.
Therefore, when creating a trading strategy, you should roughly think about how to respond to all cases, both when it goes up and when it goes down.
That's why it's best to draw support and resistance points or other reference materials on your chart if possible and prepare countermeasures accordingly.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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HBAR likely to break outta flag as it breaks stochrsi resistanceNotice the yellow descending trendline on the stoch rsi indicator, we can see this line held resistance fr quite some time but stochrsi is now finally braking above t while price action has simultaneously closed the previous candle with the body poking above the top trendline and now the current daily candle looks like it will hold that trendline as solid support and potential even act as the breakout confirmation candle. Probability is high the breakout will be confirmed in the next few days *not financial advice*
Whether the bottom section will be formed is the key
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT appears to have turned into a gap downtrend.
If it does not rise quickly, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
(USDC 1D chart)
Fortunately, USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend, so there seems to be a possibility of price defense to some extent.
However, since USDC has a lower influence on the coin market than USDT, if USDT maintains a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to eventually show a decline.
What we need to do is check the stop loss point of the coin (token) we currently hold rather than increasing new transactions and think about how much we should cut loss.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether the movement of BTC is as updated last time.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that the current wave is finished and a new wave is starting, so whether there is support is an important key.
There is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will fall after being created and show a stepwise downtrend, but the fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it is ultimately forming a bottom section, so it is a time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Important Support and Resistance Areas: 3265.0-3321.30
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In this period of volatility, the key is whether it can find support near 3265.0-3321.30 and rise above 3644.71.
If not,
1st: M-Signal on 1W chart
2nd: M-Signal on 1M chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is generated, it is important to see if there is support near it.
The reason is that the movement to close the current wave and create a new wave will begin.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and shows resistance, there is a possibility that it will turn into a downtrend in the long term, so you should think about a response plan for this.
If it receives support near the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and rises, the gap between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart will decrease, so there is a possibility that a large wave will be created when rising.
Therefore, we should look at what it will look like after this volatility period.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is located near the 50 point, so there is a possibility of volatility, so caution is required when trading.
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Once this volatility ends, the next volatility period for ETH is expected to be around January 22.
However, since the next volatility period for BTC is around January 10th, we will have to see what kind of movement it will show at that time.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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About BTC Analysis and Averaging Down...
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(USDT 1D chart)
I think USDT provides funds that support the coin market.
Therefore, it has a big impact on the coin market.
If this USDT gap continues to decline, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
I think the gap decline of USDT or USDC is a sign that funds are flowing out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the current continuous inflow of funds into USDC is preventing the coin market from turning into a downtrend.
However, I think that the impact of USDC on the coin market will be short-term because it has a lower impact than USDT.
USDC cannot form a USDC market on exchanges around the world, so it cannot help but have a lower impact than USDT.
Therefore, when USDT maintains a gap downtrend, if USDC also shows a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to show a large decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
As a new candle is created, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 94742.35 point.
Accordingly, the support around 94742.35 is an important issue.
If it falls without support,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80K
You should check the support around the 1st and 2nd above.
However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising around 83.6K, it is important to check whether there is support when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched.
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(1D chart)
After passing the volatility period around December 27, it eventually reached the lower part of the sideways section.
Therefore, even if it continues to fall further, the key is whether it can touch the 92K-93.5K area and rise above 94742.35.
The next volatility period is expected to be around January 10, 2025.
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When the average purchase price falls below the average purchase price, it is best to cut your loss at the cut-off point.
However, from a mid- to long-term investment perspective, there are cases where you cannot cut your loss unconditionally just because the price falls, and you may have missed the time to respond.
In this case, you should eventually purchase more to lower the average purchase price and sell when it rebounds.
This is called averaging down.
The basic principle of averaging down is that you must purchase more than the current purchase principal.
(Usually in the stock market, you purchase more than the number of shares you currently own.)
Since decimal trading is possible in the coin market, there is an advantage of being able to purchase the purchase principal amount rather than the number of coins (tokens) you own.
In that case, the average purchase price will fall more than you think.
Therefore, in the coin market, having cash is very important.
If you have spare funds (cash), you can cut losses between 50% and 100% of the purchase principal when the price falls below the cut-off point, or you can respond without cutting losses at all.
If you do not have spare funds (cash), you should cut losses near the cut-off point.
At this time, it is important to secure cash by selling more than 50% of the purchase principal.
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If you can manage your investment ratio as explained above, the next important thing is when to make additional purchases.
If you bought when the price fell by -10% as I mentioned in the previous "Example of how to trade without being able to analyze charts" idea, then when the price falls by -10% again, it is the time to make additional purchases.
Instead, you should purchase additional stocks that you bought according to your own standards when the price rebounds, lower the average purchase price, and then sell them when the price rebounds.
In other words, the additional funds purchased must be sold when the price rebounds.
Otherwise, when it falls below the average purchase price again, the funds for the next additional purchase will increase significantly, so you will end up giving up without doing anything.
The important thing here is to know how much the original purchase principal was before you start averaging down.
The reason is that when you purchase additionally and then rebound and sell the amount of the additional funds purchased, the number of coins (tokens) remaining may change.
If you purchase additionally and the price rebounds, but it does not rise above the average purchase price and shows signs of falling, it is considered a loss from the overall trading perspective.
However, since you sell the amount of the additional purchase when the price rebounds, it is likely to be a profit when looking at the average purchase price of the additional purchase.
In other words, the coins (tokens) for that profit will remain.
Therefore, if you do not know the original purchase principal, you may end up investing excessive funds the next time you purchase additional funds.
Excessive investment of funds can eventually be applied due to psychological anxiety and pressure, which can cause you to make inappropriate transactions.
I will publish how to select the timing of additional purchases when I have the next opportunity.
However, you should select it by looking at the movements of the StochRSI, BW, DOM auxiliary indicators added to this chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
At this time, if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can trade based on whether there is support or not.
Since the MS-Signal indicator on this chart is the standard for trend reversal, you can use it.
However, it is recommended to proceed with additional purchases based on the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Example of Interpretation of USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D
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Trading Strategy
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is a stable coin that has a great influence on the coin market.
Therefore, the gap decline of USDT is likely to have a negative impact on the coin market.
Since the gap decline means that funds have flowed out of the coin market, it can be interpreted that funds have currently flowed out through USDT.
(USDC 1D chart)
USDC cannot help but have a lower influence on the coin market than USDT.
The reason is that USDC markets are not operated in all exchanges around the world.
In other words, USDC can be seen as having limitations compared to USDT as an American investment capital.
Therefore, the gap increase of USDT is likely to have a short-term impact on the coin market.
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(BTC.D 1D chart)
You can refer to BTC dominance to choose which side (BTC, Alts) to trade in the coin market.
Since the rise in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC, it can be interpreted that Alts are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
For this interpretation to be meaningful, USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
Because the decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it may be a good idea to pause all trading and take a look at the situation.
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You can roughly figure out whether funds are flowing into or out of the coin market with USDT and USDC.
You can roughly figure out which direction the funds in the actual coin market are moving with BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
As I am writing this, BTC dominance is rising and USDT dominance is falling, so it is better to trade BTC rather than Alts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Example of how to trade without chart analysis
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Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market.
(However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.)
In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions.
Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more.
Today, I will tell you why.
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In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts.
Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility.
However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market.
One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes.
So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks.
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If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy.
The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again.
When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments.
That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio.
-
If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price.
In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments.
Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale.
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As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%.
However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins.
That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart.
This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts.
If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Check support at important support and resistance zones
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(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
---------------------------------------
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
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-------------------------------------
USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
-
The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
-
Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 9.39
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(APTUSDT 1W chart)
It seems that the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has started to be created.
Accordingly, the 7.41-9.39 section is an important support and resistance section.
When it shows support in the 7.41-9.39 section, it is a time to buy.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be received above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 9.39.
-
The high point boundary section is formed in the 12.06-14.50 section, so if it rises above this section, it is expected to create a new upward wave.
If it falls below 7.41, it is expected to enter the mid- to long-term investment area.
Therefore, if possible, I think it would be better to trade when the price is maintained above 7.41 and wait and see if it falls below 7.41.
-
(1M chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise from BW(0) is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(PEPEUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator point of 0.00001898.
To do so, the point to watch is whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if it falls, you should check whether it can be supported near 0.00001463.
The strong support area is around 0.00000723.
-
(1D chart)
Since the BW(0) indicator was created at the 0.00001767 point, it is important whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
If it falls, it is important whether it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator must rise above and maintain the price.
To do so, it must rise above 0.00001898 and be supported.
-
From this perspective, if it rises, the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is likely to be the first resistance area, and the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to be the first support area.
------------------------------------------------
(1000PEPEUSDT.P 1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 0.37778
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1W chart)
As the price falls, the HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 0.37778 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 0.37778.
If not,
1st: 0.26850-0.28000
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You need to check whether it can rise with support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the overbought level, it seems likely to continue to decline further.
However, when looking at the StochRSI indicator, volatility may occur when it reaches around the 50 point, so caution is required.
-
(1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise around 92K-93.5K is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise.
When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K.
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K.
-
(1D chart)
The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18).
Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period.
It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92.
-
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28.
If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported.
Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline.
You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle.
This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint.
Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 3707.61
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point.
Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point.
However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again.
Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs.
-
In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16.
The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility.
If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit.
Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token).
In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market.
-
(1D chart)
It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12).
It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that,
1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07)
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it.
In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
-------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Entering the volatility period
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 3644.71
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the upper section of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator has not touched the 100 point so far, it will eventually show a downward trend.
However, since the StochRSI indicator cannot predict how much fluctuation will occur, you should refer to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore,
1st: 3438.16-3644.71
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point for a long time, you should keep in mind that even if a small decline occurs, the decline in the StochRSI indicator is likely to be quite large.
In other words, it means that there are cases where it pretends to decline and moves sideways and then rises.
To determine this, it is good to refer to the movement of the OBV indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Example of how to select a volatility period
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
The date that I am talking about as a volatility period refers to a period in which there may be a movement that may change the trend.
In other words, it means that there is a high possibility of creating a new wave as the volatility period passes.
Basically, the volatility period is expressed as an issue regarding the coin (token) or a global issue, but the volatility period that I am talking about is expressed by the support and resistance points and trend lines drawn on the chart.
-
The support and resistance points refer to the points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
In other words, they refer to the points of the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), BW(100), and OBV indicators displayed on each chart.
When indicating support and resistance points, indicators connected to the current price candle are unconditionally drawn.
Also, indicators that are not expressed up to the current price candle are drawn starting from the one with the longest horizontal line.
Among indicators that are not expressed up to the current candle, horizontal lines expressed less than 5 candles are not drawn if possible.
If there are support and resistance lines that are expressed too closely, the support and resistance lines that are closest to the current candle are used.
-
The StochRSI indicator is used to draw a trend line.
When the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold or overbought zone and reverses, that is, when a peak is created, those points are connected and expressed.
Therefore, the peak created in the 20~80 range of the StochRSI indicator is ignored.
Therefore, the trend line is created by connecting the high and low points of the StochRSI indicator.
However, the high point connection line connects the opening price of the falling candle.
If there is no bearish candle at the peak of the StochRSI indicator, move to the right and use the first bearish candle.
When drawing the trendline for the first time, it is better to draw it from the vicinity where the current wave started.
If the StochRSI indicator has two peaks in the overbought or oversold area, use both when it leaves the overbought or oversold area and then re-enters it.
Otherwise, use only one peak at a time.
-
Draw support and resistance points and trendlines on each chart.
-
Find and mark points where trend lines or support and resistance points intersect at least two times.
The importance is determined in the order of trend lines drawn on the 1M chart > trend lines drawn on the 1W chart > trend lines drawn on the 1D chart.
Therefore, in order to express a period of volatility with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart, there must be at least two intersecting points.
In other words, there must be at least two intersecting points when indicating a period of volatility, such as when trend lines intersect each other or when trend lines intersect support and resistance points.
In addition, support and resistance points are also important in the order of 1M > 1W > 1D charts, so when they intersect with support and resistance points, they are selected according to this importance.
-
Then, if you hide the trend line, you will complete the chart showing the period of volatility.
-
When drawing for the first time,
1. When indicating support and resistance points, if you do not understand the arrangement of candles, it may be difficult to select.
2. It may be difficult to select the peak and candle of the StochRSI indicator.
3. It may be difficult to select which intersection point to select when indicating the volatility period.
Since you cannot get used to everything at once, it is recommended to draw and observe one by one and try to solve the difficulty of the next step once you get used to it.
-
The StochRSI indicator on this chart is an indicator whose formula has been changed from the basic StochRSI indicator.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
If you use your own StochRSI indicator,
Settings: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Source value: ohlc4
If you change the values above, it will be expressed similarly.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can be supported around 224.93-228.97
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
(AMZN 1M chart)
It is already showing an upward trend.
The point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to around 172.55-186.98.
-
(1W chart)
Since the BW indicator is maintained at the 100 point, even if the price rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If not, it is expected to touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If it falls further, it is necessary to check whether there is support near 176.77-188.07.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 224.93 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 224.93 point, the key is whether it can be supported near this point and rise above 228.97.
If it falls after the HA-High indicator is created, it is important whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise.
If not, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls and maintains in the overbought zone, if it shows resistance near 224.93, it is likely to lead to further decline.
If it leads to a decline,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You need to check whether it can be supported and rise near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, when it is confirmed to be supported in the 224.93-228.97 range, it is the time to buy.
The first sell period is near the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Future Outlook with StochRSI and OBV
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I used TradingView's index chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
--------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
OBV is showing an upward breakout of the High Line.
Accordingly, we should look at how the High Line is expressed when the candle of the next month is created.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above 50 points, and has changed to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we should look at whether it will maintain the current state and show an upward trend.
Looking at the movement of the indicators on the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
-
(1W chart)
There is some ambiguity in analyzing BTC due to the movement of the 1W chart.
The StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point, and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
As of now, the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, I think the pressure for a decline is increasing as time goes by.
The OBV indicator has risen above the high line.
Accordingly, if a high line is created next week, we should see if it enters the high line.
If so, BTC is expected to show a downward trend.
However, the StochRSI and OBV indicators cannot tell the extent of the decline.
Therefore, if the decline begins, there is a possibility that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator will be touched.
-
(1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 101197.25.
Accordingly, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must rise above 101197.25 to maintain it.
The OBV indicator is near the high line.
Accordingly, when it rises above 101197.25, we need to see if the OBV indicator breaks through the high line upward.
The StochRSI indicator is below 50, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we need to see if it rises above 50 points and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and is maintained.
If not, and BTC falls below 95961.82, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, then the important issue is whether there is support near that indicator.
------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period around December 3, it is important to see whether the price can be maintained near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0 until the next volatility period.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while moving sideways unless it falls below 95904.28.
The key point is what I said on the BTCUSDT 1D chart.
If it rises above the BW(100) indicator point of 101109.59 and maintains the price, and if the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a possibility that it will rise further.
However, as I mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the StochRSI EMA indicator on the 1W chart is approaching the 100 point, so it will eventually show a downward trend.
As explained in the big picture below, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until the end of 2025.
Therefore, I think that even if there is a short-term decline or a downward trend this time, it will eventually rise above the current price.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Need to check support near the new high point
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It seems that funds have flowed into the coin market through USDT and USDC.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall below 55.01.
If BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated on BTC, so altcoins are likely to show a downward trend.
However, you cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC prices based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The movement of USDT dominance can be used to roughly estimate the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend, and if it rises, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, the movement of prices can be identified by the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, you can roughly estimate the movement of funds with BTC dominance and the trend with USDT dominance.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Although the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 50, the price of BTC is actually showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and whether it turns into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
It is currently showing an upward trend near 101109.59, which is the BW(100) indicator point.
Accordingly, whether there is support near 101109.59 is the key.
If the StochRSI indicator fails to turn into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and shows a downward trend, it is expected to fall again to the 95904.28-98892.0 range.
-
Therefore, what we should consider important in the current movement is whether we can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while maintaining the price around the newly formed high point range of 97821.58-101109.58 until around December 27th.
Based on the high point range of 97821.58-101109.58, this means that 101109.58 or higher is the high point.
Therefore, it is better to interpret the high point range as a high point boundary range.
Therefore, if it rises above the high point range and then falls below the high point range, it is highly likely that it will lead to an additional decline, and we should consider countermeasures for this.
When the decline begins, the downtrend will stop as it finally creates a low point range (low point boundary range).
That is, when it meets the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, it will create a low point section.
If it creates a low point section and then creates a bottom section, an upward trend will begin.
If we organize this movement,
1. It rises in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and most of the movement appears within the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicator.
That is, the HA-Low, BW(0) section ~ HA-High, BW(100) section forms a sideways, box section.
2. If it falls in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator, it is highly likely to create a downward wave and show a stepwise downward trend.
However, since this step-down trend will eventually play a role in creating a bottom section, if the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators show a rise higher than the previous HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed at that time.
3. If it rises in the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators, it is highly likely that it will create an upward wave and show a step-up trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to set a stop loss point when trading because there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend when it falls above the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators.
However, it is necessary to check the correlation with the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------