Chart Analysis: Establishing Trading Strategies
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When you start studying charts, the first thing you learn is about candles.
However, you start studying about the Open, Close, High, and Low of candles.
When you start studying about the Moving Average, you start to think that you understand the charts.
However, when you actually start trading with the Moving Average, you realize that nothing works properly.
So, you start studying other indicators.
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The above is based on my experience. When you study various charts, you may think you know them, but when you actually start trading, you realize that they don't apply at all.
Where on earth did I go wrong?... What I learned after a long time is that I was wrong from the very beginning.
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In other words, I realized that my subsequent chart studies were not done properly because I lacked understanding of candles.
When you start studying candles, you study candles of various shapes and patterns.
At this time, you should not be too obsessed with the names of candle shapes or patterns or the conditions that occur and try to memorize them.
It is important to read it repeatedly several times until you can grasp the concept of the arrangements formed by the combination of candle shapes or patterns, that is, the support and resistance points.
Eventually, when the candle shapes or patterns are combined, you can find the volume profile section formed around it, that is, the section where trading volume occurs.
By drawing and marking the support and resistance points you find in this way on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can create a trading strategy on the charts you mainly trade.
That's all the experts in chart analysis say.
In the end, everything is about looking at the combination of candles that make up the chart, finding the corresponding support and resistance points, and trading according to your trading strategy.
A trading strategy is to create a response strategy at the corresponding support and resistance points based on the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
However, since most books do not include trading strategies, you will only learn about the timing of trading and closing of trading using various indicators.
Because of this, there are many cases where you cannot respond to the volatility that occurs after starting trading and end up losing money.
Even so, it is difficult to specifically define the contents of trading strategies.
This is because the investment period, investment size, and trading method are different depending on the individual's investment style.
Therefore, what I can tell you is that you need to set the buy, sell, and stop loss points according to the support and resistance points obtained through chart analysis and wait for a while.
Due to price volatility, you may not touch the buy, sell, and stop loss points or may move past them.
You should learn how to create a trading strategy by modifying the way you respond to these things according to your investment style.
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One important thing here is that you should mark the support and resistance points in advance through chart analysis before starting trading.
Otherwise, if you start trading and then mark support and resistance points, psychological factors will come into play, which will likely lead to an unexpected transaction.
Don't forget this, and you should practice marking support and resistance points in advance before starting a transaction.
Also, you should avoid analyzing charts after listening to various articles, news, or community content.
The reason is that psychological factors can come into play.
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I think trading is a response to the movement of prices that fluctuate in real time.
Therefore, waiting and determination are necessary.
If you wait too long or do not make a decision and pass it by, there is a high possibility that you will suffer losses or make little profit, so you need something to refer to when waiting or making a decision.
That is the support and resistance points I mentioned above.
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However, support and resistance points alone do not solve everything.
Therefore, you should add trend lines and various indicators to ask for a method of responding to price fluctuations.
However, since the trend line is formed by a diagonal line, there is a lack of countermeasure strategies using the trend line.
Therefore, the trend line is used to literally find out what the current trend is.
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Therefore, when it deviates from the trend line, the movement at the support and resistance points is checked and the corresponding response is made.
When trading with a chart consisting of the above two support and resistance points or only the trend line, there are often cases where the transaction cannot be properly conducted due to fakes or sweeps.
Therefore, in order to counter these fakes or sweeps, various indicators are added to the chart.
The most commonly used of these is the price moving average.
Even if you add the price moving average, you realize that it is a curve, just like the trend line, and is therefore not suitable for countermeasure strategies.
So, the price moving average is also used to check the trend, just like the trend line.
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In that regard, the indicator I recommend is the StochRSI indicator.
The default settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The value of the Signal line (EMA) of the StochRSI indicator is 7.
If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying period.
On the other hand, if the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a selling period.
However, you should trade depending on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points formed at that location.
Even if there is movement in the StochRSI indicator, it is recommended not to trade if you do not have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The reason is that you may feel psychologically anxious, so there is a possibility that the trade will proceed incorrectly.
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If you can trade with only what I mentioned above and make an average profit, it is because you have established a trading strategy according to your investment style.
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We need objective information to establish a trading strategy according to your investment style.
We think that this is the only way to minimize the psychological factors that arise when starting a trade.
If you can add various indicators to the chart to obtain objective information and receive support and resistance point information according to them, you can create a trading strategy according to them at any time.
To do this, we used the StochRSI, OBV, CCI, and RSI indicators to display support and resistance points on the price candle part.
And, we added the StochRSI and BW indicators as auxiliary indicators.
The StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is not the StochRSI indicator provided by default, but an indicator with a modified formula, so you can share the chart and use it or copy and paste the TS-BW UP indicator to your own chart and use it.
There is no problem using the basic StochRSI indicator.
However, there is a slight difference from what I said, so there may be a slight problem in understanding.
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As above, since the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are drawn on the chart to create a trading strategy, my chart is very confusing and not easy to understand when you first look at it.
And, since there are many indicators that I have not explained, it may be even more difficult to see the chart.
Therefore, to resolve the difficult parts, share the chart, hide the indicators added to the chart, and activate them one by one while looking at them, and you will be able to understand the chart.
If you share the chart, you can use it normally, so you can check the chart from various angles.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Stochastic RSI (STOCH RSI)
Finding a section to start tradingHello, traders.
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The BW indicator included in the TS - BW indicator is an indicator expressed by synthesizing the MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and superTrend indicators.
When the BW indicator
- records a high point, it is time to sell, and
- When it records a low point, it is time to buy.
The BW indicator in the price candle section is the same as the BW indicator included in the TS - BW indicator, but it is an indicator that is expressed in the price candle when a horizontal line is formed at the highest or lowest point.
If you look at the position of the BW indicator expressed in the price candle section, you can know when to proceed with a trade.
I think you can be confident about starting a trade by referring to the status of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D, 1W, 1M charts) indicator that can confirm the trend.
If you add the HA-Low, HA-High indicators here, you can create a more detailed trading strategy.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section that is expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Examples of how to draw and use trend linesHello traders!
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(1W chart)
Usually, the way to draw a trend line is to connect the high point and the high point where the trend changes, or to connect the low point and the low point to display the trend line.
Then, a channel is formed to express movement within that channel.
It is a relatively simple analysis tool that anyone with a good understanding of charts can draw trend lines.
However, I think whether you can use it in actual trading depends on how much you trust the trend line.
However, due to the nature of the trend line, it is expressed as a diagonal line, so it has a fundamental problem that it is not easy to respond even if it deviates from the trend line.
So, in order to trade with information obtained from chart analysis, you must draw support and resistance points close to the horizontal line.
Therefore, in chart analysis, you must have a basic understanding of the candle arrangement.
In my chart, the StochRSI indicator is
1. Use the waves of the StochRSI indicator to check support and resistance at support and resistance points.
2. Used to draw trend lines.
When drawing a trend line with the StochRSI indicator, the oversold section is below 20, the overbought section is above 80, and the trend line is drawn by connecting the points where the vertices are created.
However, the trend line drawn between high points is drawn based on the opening price of the falling candle.
Therefore, draw a trend line by selecting the peak of the StochRSI indicator or the opening price of the nearest bearish candle.
You can draw a trend line by connecting the low points of candles corresponding to the vertices of the trend line, which is drawn by connecting the low points.
For detailed instructions, please refer to the trend line displayed on the chart.
Among the trend lines drawn on the chart, I think that the trend line drawn almost horizontally is actually important.
Otherwise, I think it is a trend line drawn for chart analysis because it is difficult to use diagonal trend lines for trading.
In order to utilize a trend line expressed as a diagonal line, support and resistance points must be displayed together to be considered a trend line that can be used for trading.
When using various chart tools that are used by specifying a selection point, how the selection point is specified is very important.
Therefore, if the criteria are not clear when specifying the selection point, what is drawn using various chart tools cannot be trusted.
To solve this problem to some extent, we used the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line.
(1D chart)
If you look at the trend lines drawn on the 1D chart, you can see that the two trend lines at the current price position are drawn close to the horizon.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking above the trend line of 1.
If this is not the case and it falls below trend line 2, it can be seen that there is a high possibility that it will lead to a further decline.
In that sense, the key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator, that is, above 43K.
If it falls, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator, so it is important to check for support near the HA-Low indicator when it is generated.
When drawing a trend line using the StochRSI indicator, vertices formed outside of oversold or overbought areas are excluded.
The reason is that the upward or downward intensity is weak.
This is to prevent confusion because if the rising or falling strength is weak, it is likely to be a fake or whipsaw.
It is important to draw in a way that has a solid basis so that you can trust the tools you draw on the chart.
StochRSI settings : 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
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Using Heikin Ashi and MS-Signal Indicatorshello?
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(1h chart)
The biggest disadvantage of trading using moving averages is that it is not easy to identify support and resistance points.
To compensate for this to some extent, we looked at how to add and utilize Bollinger bands and StochRSI indicators.
The 150 moving average is an important moving average in utilizing the moving average.
This 150 Moving Average can be applied and utilized on any time frame chart.
The next possible moving average combinations are 5 and 26, 26 and 50.
Time frame charts suitable for utilizing the 26 and 50 moving averages can be utilized on charts under the 15m chart.
The reason is that it is a time frame chart with too fast volatility.
For other time frame charts, i.e. 15m charts and above, you can use a combination of 5 and 26 moving averages.
I have written down the names of the indicators displayed on this chart.
5 The indicator corresponding to the moving average corresponds to the Heikin Ashi indicator.
26 The indicator corresponding to the moving average corresponds to the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, when the 5 moving average crosses upward from the 26 moving average, that is, when a regular arrangement is made, it is time to buy.
As such, when the Heikin Ashi indicator breaks above the MS-Signal indicator, it is time to buy.
The good thing about using the MS-Signal indicator and the Heikin Ashi indicator is that you can see the breadth along the trend.
The thicker the width, the stronger the role of support and resistance.
Thus, it provides more confidence in direction than a single line, such as the 5EMA indicator on a 1D chart.
And, you can also tell if a trend reversal is taking place or not.
This change is indicated by the color change of the MS-Signal indicator and the width of the Heikin Ashi indicator.
The transition of the MS-Signal indicator from downtrend to uptrend is indicated by the transition from red to blue.
Conversely, a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend is indicated by the transition from blue to red.
The Heikin Ashi indicator transitions from blue to orange for a downtrend to uptrend and orange to blue for an uptrend to bearish transition.
This change in appearance can be useful when conducting transactions.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts and the 5EMA indicator on the 1D chart are very useful when conducting day trading.
Therefore, it is recommended to activate it and check the movement during day trading.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart works similarly to the 26 Moving Average.
Therefore, the short-term trend of the 1D chart can be intuitively identified by the 5EMA indicator on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, it can be very useful if you trade using tradingview brokers.
(1D chart)
Also, if you mark the M-Signal indicators of the 1W and 1M charts on the chart, you can intuitively know the mid- to long-term trend, so you can complete the chart analysis faster.
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With this, we learned how to trade using moving averages and indicators that are more valuable than this.
Chart analysis is only one part of the process to trade after all.
No matter how good your chart analysis is, if you don't come up with a good trading strategy, you will end up with losses or small profits.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Day trading using moving averagesHello?
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The first time you studied moving averages, you must have had a new and surprising experience.
However, if you trade using the moving average, you will also have experienced that it does not work properly.
This is the limit of moving averages.
This is a problem because it is not easy to quickly determine whether the moving average line is supported or resisted because it is made up of curved lines.
Moving averages, which are explained in many textbooks, usually have a lot of descriptions of 20 and 60 setting values.
This can be said to be the result of the utilization value in the stock market, which has been utilized for a long time.
However, charts in the coin market use a default value of 150, which is greater than the 20 and 60 settings.
Therefore, if the price is above the 150 moving average based on the 150 moving average, it is an uptrend, that is, a buying season.
Conversely, if the price is below the 150 moving average, it is in a downtrend, i.e. selling period.
Therefore, the time to buy corresponds to LONG and the time to sell corresponds to SHORT.
The setting value of 150 for this moving average is a value that can be applied to all time frame charts.
Therefore, even in day trading, you can trade based on the 150 moving average.
However, as mentioned above, it is not easy to trade only with the moving average, so to overcome this, Bollinger bands and StochRSI indicators are added and utilized.
Because the moving average line is made up of curves, you proceed with trading by your own sensory decision.
Therefore, market transactions are mainly conducted rather than limit transactions.
Therefore, it is necessary to be careful when trading because it is often bought at a higher price than expected and sold at a lower price than expected.
Depending on the size of the trading volume, it is necessary to decide whether to proceed with the transaction based on the limit or market price.
Coins (tokens) with a high trading volume can be traded at market prices, but caution is required when trading coins (tokens) with a low trading volume.
Therefore, when conducting day trading, you should check the size of the trading volume rather than the increase in the price.
Although the above explanation may seem difficult, you should make good use of the search function supported by the exchange as it is a must-have for day trading. (Search by trading volume)
Once you have decided which coin (token) to trade, you now need to decide which time frame chart and which moving average line to use.
Time frame charts that fall under scalping usually refer to trades under the 3m chart.
Therefore, you should set 5 moving averages on the chart and practice trading from the 1m chart.
Buy when the price crosses above the 5 Moving Average, and sell when it crosses below the 5 Moving Average.
After several trades like this, you can find a time frame chart that suits you.
Finding a time frame chart that suits you depends on whether you traded near the price you thought when you traded when the 5 moving average line was broken up or down.
If the trades are continuously made near the price you thought, the time frame chart you traded now becomes a day trading chart that suits you.
If the time frame chart found is a chart below the 5m chart, set a 26, 50 moving average line on the chart.
Otherwise, if it exceeds the 5m chart, set 5, 26 moving averages on the chart.
(1m chart)
(15m chart)
Note that,
Settings for the bowlinger bands are 60, 1.8.
The StochRSI indicator is 3, 3, 14, 7.
Here 7 is the Stochastic Length value.
You have also found a coin (token) to trade, and have completed setting up a time frame chart and indicator to use.
If you are trading spot, buy when the 150 moving average, the most basic moving average, is crossed upward, and when the price is above the 150 moving average, 5 and 26, and also when the 26 and 50 moving averages are in regular alignment.
At this time, what you need to check is whether it is located near the top of the Bollinger Band and whether the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
If it is near the top of the Bollinger Bands or if the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, do not buy.
Therefore, in order to buy, the price must be located in the middle or below the Bollinger Band, and the StochRSI indicator must also be located near or below 50.
To recap,
In spot trading,
1. When the 150 moving average crosses upward, it is a buying time.
2. When the price is located above the 150 moving average, when the 5 and 26 and 26 and 50 moving averages form a regular array, when the Bollinger Band is below the middle and the StochRSI indicator is below 50, it is a buying time.
when to sell
1. When it falls below the 150 Moving Average
2. When the 5 and 26 and 26 and 50 moving averages create an inverted array
3. When the StochRSI indicator breaks out of the overbought zone
SHORT trading in futures trading is the opposite of the spot trading above.
This concludes the study of moving averages.
Moving averages are an important part of chart study.
In order to perform lower chart analysis or trading, you must learn the concept and movement of moving averages.
Therefore, you should awaken your senses by using various indicators using moving averages.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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STORJ - Fly 🕊️ Or Flop 🎭Storj had a strong pop off during the run, gaining more than 59% in less than 24 hours.
Selling pressure has finally bottomed out and a potential breakout is possible.
However, the volume is a bit weak on this move so far and if Bitcoin sold off quickly, this set-up would likely invalidate.
How to interpret charts from indicators (trading strategy)Hello?
Traders, welcome.
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Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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Please understand that the 'Vol & Trend' and 'Strength' sub-indicators are a synthesis of existing indicators, and cannot be disclosed because they have been judged to be unsuitable for publishing as public scripts.
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It is not easy to see and interpret all the indicators displayed on the chart.
Therefore, it should be viewed and interpreted as the most critical interpretation method.
The first thing to look at is the position of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart), HA-Low, HA-High, M-Signal indicators on the 1W and 1M charts.
The most important of these is the location of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and price.
The price is currently located below the MS-Signal indicator, indicating a downtrend.
To add one more thing to this, you can also check the relationship with the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts.
Since the price is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and 1M chart, it can be interpreted as a downtrend from a mid- to long-term perspective.
Therefore, you can see that the chart as a whole is starting to enter a downtrend.
In order to trade in this situation, you need to check the location of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is rising and is about to be created.
Therefore, if today's candlestick closes around now, we would expect the HA-Low indicator to form at 21552.44.
Therefore, it becomes important whether it can rise above 21552.44.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 21552.44, whether it can rise above 21552.44 has become an important question.
If the HA-Low indicator is created at 21552.44 and fails to rise above 21552.44, there is a possibility of renewing the previous low, so you need to think about countermeasures.
If support is received at the 21552.44 point, it is likely to touch the vicinity of the MS-signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
At this time, if you succeed in breaking through the MS-signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, the possibility of rising to the vicinity of the HA-High indicator increases.
When the candle is formed today, the body of Heikin Ashi is showing a bullish sign.
Therefore, even if the price fails to rise, if the price remains above the Heikin Ashi body, it can be interpreted that there is a high probability of a rise around 21552.44.
At this time, you need to check whether it is supported or resisted at the point 21552.44.
As such, indicators on price charts represent trends and support and resistance roles, making it the most intuitive way to anticipate future movements.
To support this, 'Vol & Trend' and 'Strength' auxiliary indicators are utilized.
This auxiliary indicator strengthens the interpretation of the price chart indicators by providing additional evidence when the movements of the price chart indicators are judged ambiguous.
The 'Vol & Trend' sub-indicator is an indicator related to trading volume.
Therefore, you can check the buy strength and sell strength according to the movement of trading volume.
You can also check whether the volume is trending up or down.
The 'Strength' sub-indicator consists of the Stoch, StochRSI, RSI and CCI indicators.
The most important of these are the StochRSI indicator and the RSI indicator.
The RSI indicator is an indicator that is related to the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Therefore, it is not directly interpretable.
However, it is paired with the Stoch indicator and used as a basis for determining an upward trend or a downward trend.
It is currently looking to switch from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is used to predict periods of volatility.
In addition, it is used as a basis for determining whether the trend will change to an uptrend or a downtrend in the future due to the change in the wave.
The current downtrend has turned to an uptrend, and it appears to be coming out of the oversold zone.
The CCI indicator is used as a basis for judging whether there is an upward trend or a downward trend.
However, it shows a trend that is more than short-term.
All of these indicators are scored as uptrend, stationary, and downtrend to make an overall judgment.
'Vol & Trend' indicator
Stationary : 1
Downtrend: 1
'Strength' indicator
Uptrend: 1
Matching: 2
Downtrend: 1
It is a situation where the basis for judgment of the sub-indicators is not needed, as all indicators that are near the current price chart are located below the price.
If it starts to show stationary or sideways movements near the price chart, then with the help of the indicators, you will be able to use it as a basis for judgment.
Someone said it's a chart with all the indicators, yes, that's right.
However, it is not always possible to see all indicators.
You only need to report it when necessary and use it as a basis for judgment.
We do not think of additional interpretation methods for each indicator other than the interpretation methods described above.
You should pay attention to this.
By combining support and resistance points here, you can create a trading strategy.
No matter how you analyze the chart, analysis ends its role with analysis.
To trade, you need to create a trading strategy based on chart analysis and correlation with support and resistance points so you can start trading.
However, when it comes to most chart analysis, there is a tendency to ignore trading strategies.
If you ignore your trading strategy, you will most likely not be able to find the right way to respond if the movement comes out in the opposite direction you thought.
Therefore, both chart analysis and trading strategy are important, but you need to do chart analysis to create a trading strategy.
If you forget about this and invest all your time and effort into chart analysis, you will end up with a higher chance of failing trades when you run out of time to craft your trading strategy right.
Therefore, chart analysis should be completed in the quickest way to give you plenty of time to create your trading strategy.
To do so, it is urgently necessary to make efforts to predict movements beyond the current one, rather than looking at the charts based on past movements and past patterns.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Why you should only think about charts when looking at chartsHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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When looking at the investment market, the first thing to do is to analyze the chart, and I wanted to say that the most important thing is how to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with that chart.
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Most people try to predict the movement of the investment market by looking at the announcement of various economic indicators and the contents of global issues (war, corona, etc.).
A big issue must be something that can cause great volatility in the investment market, but it is also clear that when such an issue accumulates, it can no longer create volatility.
So, you should be careful that trying to predict the movement of the investment market with such issues can make a wrong prediction.
Sudden big issues For example, in the case of a global shock due to an issue such as the 9/11 terrorist attack, it may cause great volatility without time to respond.
Other than these issues, most of the chart's price movement will react first.
In order to see this pre-reflection in advance, you need to look at the chart without reflecting factors that can change your psychological state, such as the announcement of various economic indicators or global issues.
I don't think this kind of work is a big deal, but it is a very important factor that occupies a fairly important part of investing.
We need to think a lot about how to figure out the trend only with the movement of the chart, away from the announcement of various economic indicators and thoughts about global issues.
As it rises above the indicator called Low, which was created on June 19, 2022, we can see that it is splitting the flow of the chart in half.
A change in the -100 indicator has always completed a low.
Although it is currently showing a different look than before, it will form a low as long as the -100 indicator is created.
The +100 indicator is an indicator that starts generating when a high is formed.
Therefore, a rise above the +100 indicator means that the uptrend to break the high is likely.
Therefore, in order to show a full-fledged uptrend from the current price position, it must rise above 38K.
The high point has been holding for a long time now.
However, the low point has not yet formed a clear point due to the change of the -100 indicator.
However, as the -100 point is moved near the current price range, the possibility of forming a low is very high.
This shows that we are facing a new trend.
Keeping the price above 17941.69 is most important from a short-term perspective to create this new trend.
The next most important thing is to keep the price above 20552.75.
Then, it completes the appearance of a trough (a phenomenon in which the price drops more before making a bigger rise) before showing an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a fairly rapid decline.
We will verify what we said above by looking at where the Stoch RSI indicator finds support and resistance when it turns upside down.
This change in support and resistance points can tell you which direction the movement of the current chart is about to head.
You may think my explanation is inconclusive, but the conclusion has already been drawn.
We live in a flood of information.
It is quite difficult to infer an objective conclusion by synthesizing such a large amount of information.
Therefore, it is necessary to objectify all information using objectified tools and indicators.
Many celebrities' chart analysis methods and trading methods are introduced on the Internet or in books.
In order to make the contents of these people my own, it can only be acquired through numerous transactions and numerous experiences.
Over time, trends change and all patterns change and evolve.
In order to read the chart in line with these changes, I think it is better to use a simpler and faster way to analyze.
This is because you can keep up with the ever-changing trends.
It is more important to make your own mental state stable due to volatility by investing more time in the trading strategy than the time used for analysis.
What do you guys think?
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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Regarding the SR_R_C (Stoch RSI + RSI + CCI) indicator...Hello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Like".
Have a good day.
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We use several methods to analyze charts.
When you start studying charts, you study a lot of things.
However, you should forget everything you have studied, trends, patterns, and indicators when conducting real trading.
Otherwise, it is because you are stuck in the studied frame and try to fit the chart into the studied frame without interpreting the chart movement as it is.
I think that this behavior makes you analyze charts with subjective thoughts, which increases the chances of creating a wrong trading strategy.
To prevent this, we will explain a new indicator.
The SR_R_C indicator is a combined indicator of the Stoch RSI, RSI, and CCI indicators.
- The set values of the Stoch RSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3.
It is displayed as one line by treating it as the middle value of the K and D lines.
- The setting value of the RSI indicator is 14.
Instead of the existing Close value, we tried to maintain the continuity between the oversold section and the overbought section by calculating the Heikin Ashi Close value.
RSI indicators are displayed in columns.
- The set value of the CCI indicator is 9.
When the CCI value rises above the +100 point, it is marked as overbought, and when it falls below the -100 point, it is marked as oversold.
CCI indicators are displayed in bgcolor.
There are a lot of information on how to interpret each indicator if you search.
However, you can read the searched content and forget it.
The detailed interpretation method can add subjective interpretation to the objective information that can be obtained through the index, so you can forget about the method of interpretation of the index itself.
The core interpretation method of the SR_R_C indicator can be interpreted that if two or more of the three indicators are defective, a reversal of the trend is highly likely.
For example, if two or more of the Stoch RSI, RSI, and CCI indicators are in the oversold zone, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of turning into an uptrend.
Conversely, if it enters the overbought zone, it can be interpreted that it is highly likely to turn into a downtrend.
Trend patterns such as Fibonacci, Harmonic, and Elliott waves will show the result of the discussion depending on the selected point.
Therefore, in order to use these patterns, indicators, and tools, the selection of a selection point is the most important.
However, I think that auxiliary indicators, such as MACD, RSI, Stoch RSI, CCI, etc., can help to obtain objective information because there is no point of choice.
In conclusion, the reason for analyzing the chart is to make a trading strategy based on the analyzed content to make a successful trade, so it is important to analyze the chart in the most objective and essential way.
Even with any of these indicators, patterns, and tools, critically choosing the wrong support and resistance points will lead to trouble crafting a trading strategy.
Therefore, solid learning of support and resistance points is required before studying or utilizing all indicators, patterns, and tools.
Thank you for reading this long article to the end.
For reference, all indicators included in this chart can be used normally if the chart is shared.
Also, you can copy and paste the indicators to other layouts to use them neatly.
$COMP so ready for a full blown reversal #comp #compusdtThe overall pattern is a massive inverse fibonacci that's had a 227 touch followed by consolidation, & now, a higher low. The price will, I suspect, now form a regular fibonacci and touch the extension marked, which lines with the last price level on the small time frame. I suspect it will retrace there slightly, then continue up further. My ultimate target (in the coming weeks) is around $240, where the MA's/price levels are on the month chart. I see the stoch rsi on the week turning up to support this theory.
Using RSI and Stoch RSI IndicatorsHello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Like".
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
The use of indicators has value in the sense that it provides objective information.
However, since the indicator is lagging behind (slower change) than the price and trading volume, care must be taken when using it.
To compensate for these shortcomings, support and resistance points are marked.
The RSI and Stoch RSI indicators are used to indicate support and resistance points, and to indicate oversold and overbought zones.
The oversold and overbought sections of the RSI indicator in the price chart are selected as the Close value of the price.
The oversold section and overbought section of the RSI indicator in the Long/Short-S indicator were selected as the Close value of the Heikin Ashi candle.
- Support and resistance points using RSI indicators are indicated by RSI 80 and RSI 20 indicators.
- Support and resistance points using the Stoch RSI indicator are indicated as Low and High indicators.
- In the Long/Short-S indicator, the Stoch RSI indicator was made to be displayed as the middle value of the K and D values.
In addition, the oversold section and the overbought section were made to be displayed, and a line was displayed to determine the strength of the ups and downs.
If it breaks out of the oversold zone and starts to rise, then falls without going up to the overbought zone, it means that the upside is weak.
Conversely, if it breaks out of the overbought zone and starts to fall and then rises without falling into the oversold zone, it means that the bearish force is weak.
- When the RSI and Stoch RSI indicators move out of the overbought zone, it is highly likely to lead to a strong decline.
RSI Indicator, Stoch When the RSI indicator moves out of the oversold zone, it is highly likely to lead to a strong uptrend.
I believe the support and resistance point indicators are weaker than the OBV, -100, +100, HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
However, I think the RSI and Stoch RSI indicators indicate meaningful support and resistance points because they mark the part that corresponds to the end of the wave.
Therefore, I think it can be used as a branch of split trading.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
** The MRHAB-T indicator, which is inactive on the chart, contains indicators that indicate support and resistance points.
** Background color of Long/Short-S indicator: RSI oversold and overbought sections
** Background color of CCI-C indicator: When the short-term CCI line is below -100 and above +100, oversold and overbought sections are displayed.
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
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Global Commodity Price Index versus SPXCommodities are basic good used in commerce of primary origin, produced on a large scale and used as raw materials by various economic agents.
Examples are soy, corn, cotton, meat, oil, natural gas, wood and water.
They are classified, according to their origin, into agricultural, livestock, mineral and environmental.
Its main function is the supply of raw materials for the production of industrialized goods.
Its commercialization works, according to the international market, through negotiations carried out on stock exchanges.
They are of paramount importance for the supply of primary goods for the functioning of society.
(Mundo Educação - UOL)
This index represents the benchmark prices which are representative of the global market.
They are determined by the largest exporter of a given commodity.
Prices are period averages in nominal U.S. dollars.
(fred.stlouisfed.org)
This index is at an all-time high, due to the high cost of energy and the world apocalyptic scenario.
The Stochastic RSI on the monthly chart is about to cross downwards.
Allied to this, the correlation with SPX is decreasing, which could indicate an important moment.
Historically, when these two technical events happened (stochastic crossing down and correlation falling), there was a sharp drop in SPX.
This can be seen in the red circles.
$COMP $COMPUSDT Large Inverse Fibonacci + Wedge-breakout coming?Like with most charts, I like to zoom all the way out to the monthly to see the larger picture at play. Here, it looks to be like there is a large inverse fibonacci retracement happening, in which the price has already hit the 227 extension. Combined with this, it looks as if the price has fallen within this large wedge, of which the month of July broke out of. Also, the price is squarely resting on the all time point of control. Lastly, the stoch rsi on the month is extremely flat and crossed. It looks to me as if the price is due for a move up! I do see a tiny fibonacci on the smaller time frames (an inverse one), that could result in the price dropping further from here. It just would seem unlikely to me though, given everything else I've mentioned that the chart has going in favor of a bullish scenario. That said, BTC to me looks as if it's got a bit of dropping left, and that could possibly affect the price trying to squeeze out any last bit of dropping possible.
Buy signal on weekly chart for $MSGEMadison Square Gardens Entertainment has upcoming earnings on August 19th. With the data provided by AXP travel & entertainment spending are up as spending has shifted from goods to experiences, entertainment, and services. This is exemplified in what retailers are reporting. And I think this will be positive for MSGE.
Currently, the middle and upper classes are doing fairly well while the lower class is suffering from the regressive tax of inflation, which is unfortunate. Those with disposable income and better economic situations are more likely to be MSGE customers boding for a good quarter and less risk from demand destruction.
MSGE is trading above its 52-week lows at 0.5629 its book value, providing tremendous value and a good risk-reward ratio. Its EBITDA and EBIT have gone from negative previously to positive in the past two quarters. Gross profit has turned positive for the past 4 quarters and net income has been improving over the past 3 quarters.
Anytime the K% crosses the D% on the Stoch RSI around the level of 1.73, MSGE goes for a decent rally. If you average the two past rallies (MSGE has a short trading history) from the week the bullish Stoch RSI cross happened to a relative peak, it's a 59.47% move that could be implied over the next 6-12 months. It has significant resistance at the $68.06 level.
It recently broke out through a downtrend line that started in mid-April. It is still in a downtrend, but it seems the prudent thing to do would be to create 1/3 to 1/4 of a full position in the stock now and buy the next tranche upon a higher low or higher high. I have a price target of $81 on it by the end of the year. That's roughly 40% upside from here. The highest PT on the street for MSGE is $100, the lowest is $63, and the average is $82.83.
Forecasts for QQQ (Nasdaq ETF)The further the price drops, the closer to the end of the drop we are, and the riskier it is to open a short position.
The risk-return relationship begins to not pay off.
Despite all this bad news out there, I still see the sun shine and I still see children playing in the park...
Dow Jones: either up or downThe index is at the 21.4% Fibo retracement (March 23, 2020 retracement to the last top).
In the inverse retracement from January 3, 2022 to June 13, 2022, the price seems to have corrected in the region of 38.2%.
And it is in a bullish channel which in this context can be called a bearish flag.
The Stochastic RSI is retesting a resistance for the third time.
What to expect
In a bullish scenario, it is necessary for the price to fall at most to halfway through the channel, and remain above the 21.4% major retracement.
If it breaks the 38.2% inverse retracement, it will at least test the next 50% retracement.
Now, if it stays in the lower half of the channel, there is a higher probability of going all the way to the 38.2% retracement.
Bitcoin macro analysis (BTC/USD Index)Hello how are you?
On the long-term chart BTC follows a bullish channel.
It looks like he is testing the 38% Fibonacci retracement.
I placed the retracement considering the bottom of March 9, 2020 and the top of March 08, 2021.
Why did I consider these dates?
Explanation below.
BTC/USD indexed on Nasdaq
As Nasdaq is strongly correlated with BTC lately,
I analyzed in a separate chart the price of BTC indexed on the NDX.
Also on the same bull channel:
As we can see, we have the last bottom on March 9, 2020 and the last top on March 08, 2021.
Then, tracing the Fibonacci retracement by joining these dates, we saw that the price corrected until the 50% correction
Maybe test again? I don't know.
Fibonacci Channel
Reached -50% retraction.
Stochastic RSI, RSI and 100-month smoothed exponential moving average
On the monthly chart the price is in a theoretically cheap region, rarely seen.
On the RSI, the indicator broke the historic low.
And the stochastic RSI is still pointing down. When it starts to turn upwards it will be a good sign.
Another interesting sign is the 100-month regularized exponential moving average, as circled.
On-chain data
The volume of BTC on the network indicates important points.
In the yellow circles, where we had high volume on the Bitcoin network, this foreshadowed a strong swing in price, both up and down.
The percent of circulating supply that has not moved in at least 1 year
This indicator appears to be reversing downwards, which indicates that the circulating supply that has been idle for at least 1 year is starting to move.
We can see an inverse relationship as shown by the arrows.
Drawdown
In the past there was a drop of 87%, 80% and 82% approximately.
Now we're down 70%.
Have already fixed everything, or will you test that red diagonal channel, correcting 74% or more?
Stable coins dominance (dollar strength in the crypto market)
The dominance of the three main stable coins (USDT, USDC and DAI) has an inverse correlation to BTC.
When it goes up, the price of BTC goes down, and vice versa.
We have a bullish channel on the stable coin dominance chart, and when dominance reaches the top channel, it is usually a great buy signal, as shown in green circles.
Dollar dominance in the traditional market
Tested 50% Fibo retracement.
Hope this helps.
Bull Flag being formed for $DWAC continuation upward?Price is sitting right against the major trend line, inverse fibonacci on the 2nd to last extension, stoch rsi & mac d on weekly looking good too... thoughts?
Not trading advice*
First Destination of Bitcoin is $24.000Considering both the Bear Flag pattern and the Stochastic Relative Strength Index on the daily timeframe, as well as the weekly timeframe pattern, BTC's eyes are on the grave. The search for liquidity at a much lower level, in the $18-20K range, should not be overlooked. Of course, we may see an increase up to $35,000, but this possibility remains a difficult one when we consider the correlation to the US500 and US100 parities.
DAL 46.64 ShortFundamental Analysis
With Airlines getting business back up and running in a slow fashion, the Airline industry as a whole has to return back to profitability. However it looks like investor confidence is still not bullish, and DAL isn't an exception to this case. For the short-run, there is still a bearish outlook for the industry considering the consistent Covid variants causing havoc.
Technical Analysis
Price volatility since last year month-to-month.
Price is in a downtrend at resistance level of 46.64.
Widening channel with no breakout creating lower lows in the price without higher highs. This is a bearish trend in the near term.
MACD is flat near the zero line.
RSI level at 51.80. A breakout here can signal a potential upward momentum, however confirmation with a breakout at 46.46 is also needed.
Stochastics showing mixed readings so it's not valid.
Fibonacci retracements showing lows have retraced to 23.6 while resistance at 61.8 level has remained steady.
Candlesticks showing that every time there has been a push to the upside, a doji star has confirmed a reversal on several occassions.
Long various alt coins soonHello everyone,
I am seeing a potential buy signal on Ethereum and similar alt coins coming up soon (within the next couple of days if not now). I am a purely technical analyst. I believe all the possible news and rumors that all the traders in the world have heard and acted on are already priced in the market. So to me reading what the market is telling me is like reading ALL the news, without reading any! Though I do enjoy reading crypto news at times. Just remember the trading axiom to buy the rumor and sell the news. This was certainly the case for ADA and DOT last year!
Anyway I have offered an explanation of my system. I will not give you an analysis that suggests it can go two ways. Those kinds of analyses are pointless in my opinion. How does that help? I am telling you the market is showing at least a short term bottom, and so it is time for me to jump in.
In my previous analysis, I suggested a hard down move for bitcoin, possibly to 20k. But now that I am seeing this signal, I have changed my mind. The signals appear when they appear, and I heed them, regardless of what I speculated on prior.
That is it for now. If you have any questions, please feel free to ask.
Wishing you the best!