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Stochastics

$GOOG | Watchlist | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Price is at Oversold levels from 1H all the way till the Weekly timeframe - Price just broke the 38% Fibo Retracement level (Orange) - Price bounced off the 61% Fibo Extension (Blue) - Price is also in a strong Interest zone; previously the highs of end-2021 - However, price has also broken through a Support trendline Fundamental Confluences: - No doubt, Google is a strong name in the tech and now, AI space - Due to their dominance in many sectors, they are bound to face many kinds of regulatory scrutiny and lawsuits from anti-trust laws etc. - Revenue streams moving forward may also be affected from the court's hearings - Considering that Generative AI is picking up traction, will it impact Google's core internet search business activity? Google will definitely still be there just facing stiffer competition ----- As market is consolidating and rotation out of the tech and AI strategy, I will also bide my time and not rush to get into holding this tech dominant force. It will be wait and watch story and orders have been set to buy some within the $115 - $130 range. -----
NASDAQ:GOOG
by weekendanalyst
$AVGO | Watchlist | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Stochastics is moving towards Oversold conditions - Elliot Wave count seems to have completed a Wave 4 (A,B,C count) and is starting it's Wave 5 move (assuming it is not an extended Wave 4 - Price has formed new Supply Zone area with the price rejecting that Zone 3 times and has formed a descending Trendline Fundamental Confluences: - Broadcom is considered a leader in semiconductor domains and it has a diverse product range; making them sought after in technological ecosystem - Good management team that focuses on M&A for strategic growth and market pentration - Good amount of FCFs which helps in their dividend policies ----- NASDAQ:AVGO will be releasing it's earnings soon and if there is any opportunity arising, I have placed orders to buy AVGO at my Buy Limit Zone areas. If earnings is stellar, price should continue to test the Supply Zone again and if that breaks, I will likely aim for a Buy Stop order above the Supply Zone. Will be putting this on my Watchlist. -----
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by weekendanalyst
$DXY | SilverEdge Insights |Technical Confluences: Price action is in Oversold conditions in the Daily and Weekly Timeframe. Likely to see some consolidation of positioning here. Price action broke out of an Upward Sloping Parallel Channel and cleared itself out of the that Interest Zone too. Likely will see a test to re-enter that Channel due to Oversold conditions. Elliot wave count shows it is trying to compete Wave C (expected target would be to 71% Fibo Extension levels - possible to test the 100% Fibo level) A new Downward Sloping Parallel Channel is in play now and Price action needs to see it break the mid of the Channel to see a substantial move downwards Fundamental Confluences: With the expected cuts, market started unwinding their long USD positions and it is reflected in the TVC:DXY The extent of Wave C will really depend on how quick and reactive is the FED in cutting rates (the higher chances of 50bps cuts; the likelier we will see USD get sold. Building into next week, we are likely to see some traders cover their short USD positions as they size down before NFP data. However, if there is any gyration on the geopolitical front or US elections, it is possible to see the TVC:DXY reverse back to the top of the Downward Sloping Parallel Channel and top out at the Interest Zone area again
INDEX:DXYShort
by weekendanalyst
$USDCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences: - Price action is at a Demand Zone that has seen Demands for USD a few times - Price is also supported by a descending support trendline - Stochastics is in Oversold conditions in the H4 Timeframe Fundamental Confluences: - Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive. - In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low) ----- Taking an entry into long FX:USDCHF here. Will have interest to add on as long as price remains within in my Orange Position area. -----
Long
by weekendanalyst
2
$GBPUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - The previous Supply Zone broke and have moved up towards the next Fibo Retracement level at 100% - Stochastics have started to reversed off the Overbought conditions - Resistance Trendline present - Another Interest Zone is right above the Price Action; should see price consolidating or bounce off this zone Fundamental Confluences: - No difference from previous posting ----- Previous positioning got stopped out after market continued the Soft Landing narrative which sent the USD lower and GBP went higher. Will take a new entry here with SL levels above the Interest Zone and will consider the Support trendline and the 78.60^ Fibo levels as the starting TP levels. -----
Short
by weekendanalyst
$INTC | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price action is close to the 78% Fibo Extension and is at a strong Demand Zone - Stochastics is in Oversold conditions from Daily, Weekly and Monthly Fundamental Confluences: - Currently, Intel is trading at tangible book value ( thevalue you will get if the company gets liquidated) - At such value, chances of a takeover might be there which means, potential premium to be paid on takeover news? - After weak Q2 earnings, does it mean anything if the CEO starts buying the stock himself? ________________________________ With deep discount in NASDAQ:INTC 's value, another no-brainer and minimal risk. Intel is not going to liquidate. Will be expecting a turnaround and definitely a Long-Term hold in my portfolio. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by weekendanalyst
GBPAUD | Short D1 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are close to Overbought Conditions on D1 and Overbought in both H1 and H4 time-frames - Price action is close to a Supply Zone - Price action is close to multiple Resistance Trendlines Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.9270 - 1.9380 SL @ 1.9503 TP 1 @ 1.9017 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.8745 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.87 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
Short
by weekendanalyst
EURCHF | Short D1 | Market Exec | Building Momentum for Risk OffTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Stochastics are also Overbought in multiple Cross-CHF pairs and even on USDCHF pair. - Price action is close to multiple Supply zones - Price action is close to multiple Resistance Trendlines as well - Targeting the 50% Fibo retracement for this trade Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - There seems to be some disconnect between asset classes and with everyone already so 'risk-on', the risk-off build up momentum is ripe for the taking. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9830 - 0.9870 SL @ 0.9942 TP 1 @ 0.9720 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.9598 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.59 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
EURGBP | Short H4 | Market Exec | Still Betting Against the EURTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action has multiple resistance from trendlines & also a horizontal trendline (supply zone) Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related like the AUDNZD. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8590 - 0.8620 SL @ 0.8643 TP 1 @ 0.8562 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8522 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 1.73 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
EURCAD | Short D1 | Market Exec |Oil Over EuroTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frame. D1 is also entering Overbought Conditions. - Price action is at last month's Resistance Trendline - Price action is in a Consolidation zone - Targeting the 38.2% Fibo retracement Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - ECB plans to cut interest rate next month would weaken the EUR - Oil price should sustain with all the ongoing geopolitical risks; supporting CAD economy Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.4760 - 1.4790 SL @ 1.4820 TP 1 @ 1.4709 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.4664 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.34 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
NZDCAD | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Milk/Oil Economy - 2nd EntryTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame - Price action is close to a Demand Zone (Yellow Area) & has Support Trendlines around - Aiming for the next Consolidation Zone of Price Actions Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Very different economies with market data gyration will pretty much determine the direction of this trade. Suggested Trade: Buy Limit @ 0.8098 SL @ 0.8051 TP 1 @ 0.8150 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8213 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.40 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Long
by weekendanalyst
EURNZD | Short H1 | Market Exe |Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action reversed away from Supply area - Price action may reverse back towards Resistance Trendline and 61.8% Fibo Retracement Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.8100 - 1.8110 SL @ 1.8156 TP 1 @ 1.8057 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.8009 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.03 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
GBPCAD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action is at a Supply Zone area - Price action may reverse back below Resistance Trendline Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.7140 - 1.7160 SL @ 1.7258 TP 1 @ 1.7012 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.6809 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.41 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated ! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
CSPRUSDT | MT Long H4 | Casper NetworkPair: HTX:CSPRUSDT Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action is close to bottom of a Parallel Channel - Price is entering a Demand Zone (Yellow area @ Current rice) - Aiming for the next two Supply Zones (TP 1 @ Blue Horizontal Line & TP 2 just before Supply Zone) Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Nothing much to talk about Crpyto fundamentals, too many tokens to look at and just look at it as a trading pair with liquidity Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.02700 - 0.03230 SL @ 0.0246 TP 1 @ 0.0389 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.0453 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.51 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Long
by weekendanalyst
A Renko Trading Strategy with Multiple Indicators (Update 3)An update from the last summary: Stating the obvious but the recurring pattern did not play out. This was a painful past couple of days but some realizations that I will walk through here for anyone who may be on a similar journey or realizations. “Buy high and sell low” or “buy support and sell resistance” are simple words to speak, to walk through in back testing, but, in the heat of the moment with live data and markets unfolding in ways you weren’t expecting make these phrases an near impossible accomplishment. As for the chart setup, I’ve with the following for the Renko WTI/CL chart: 25 tick block size and a 15-minute timeframe (more on this later) DEMA at 12 and 20 MA at 20 with a 9 period (or block in case of Renko) WMA Stoch of 5,3,3 and 25,3,3 DMI of 5,5 Bull Bear Power at 25 (this is new and seems to provide good insights) Wednesday and Thursday had me watching the Renko charts waiting for an opportunity to go short (remember, my trading style is to buy either Calls or Puts as near to the money as possible and at least 3 to 4 months out). From the patterns I saw on the Renko, I firmly believed that the market was ready to sell off and I wanted to be in. As an aside, I cap my losses at 10% of the price I pay for the option. In my losses this week, I realized that my strategies for every period of time that I’ve tried to trade had basically been a breakout trader. It wasn’t that I made a definitive statement of “Hey, my methodology is that of a breakout trader” but more like “Hey, I need to see confirmation of the price movement before I enter”. The problem is that the confirmation I was looking for was well after price had started moving and, as I looked at it, it was what could be classified as a breakout. And it was in my 3rd loss for the week, that I realized what I was doing wasn’t working. Sure, I could find points in time where it would have seemed to work but not this week. As closed out my 3rd loss, I read back through some items I had highlighted in the “Pivot Boss” book referenced earlier and in it found the pages were I had marked up the callout that you have to buy at support and sell into resistance if your going to succeed. It seem intuitive but in reality, it goes completely against my nature while trying to find an entry point with live data flying by. By now, if you’ve read this far, you may have picked out some items that resonate with you or you may be finding this as a serious source of entertainment :D For the discussion that continues, you’ll need to reference the previous article I wrote to see the specific charts before the price action on Thursday. The following link will give you view of how price played out. The red rectangle outline on the chart is where I was looking for price to repeat a similar pattern noted in the related article. How simple (and unrealistic) could this be. What played out was a price movement that I didn’t know how to handle and took me some time to figure out where to get in. As price continued to go up, I realized this was where I would usually just try to get in and then, I would get in at a intra-day high, have price pull back and 10-20% of my option value hit and I’d be out just to watch the market reverse. So, on this day, I resolved myself not to make a trade unless I could figure out this “buy support and sell resistance” thing. In my resolve, I agreed to some points: I will only buy at support and will sell into resistance: (the hardest concept known to man, not in understanding but execution) The key must be in the Camarilla Pivots so use them and the system that is outlined in the book. Or, as close as you can with how you want to trade. Renko chart setting will stay at 25 ticks for a block size and 15 minutes for a timeframe. What does this mean for Renko in TV? It means that price of a 25 tick increment must be held for 15 minutes before the block is committed or printed. Because volume profile and camarilla pivots are not a natural fit on the Renko charts, I’ll create a candle chart side-by-side to the Renko chart and then place all of these indicators on it. Additionally, all of the mark-ups I do for projecting the volume area on the chart and the opening range will be done on the candle chart The Renko chart will continue to have the indicators I track on it but they will be for confirmation and helping to form an opinion of the market and nothing to do with entry or exit. Remember, I want to buy support and sell resistance and not breakouts. I wanted to have multiple periods of levels on my candle chart so I included 3 sets of camarilla, a daily, weekly, and monthly set of levels. The next big decision I had to make was the timeframe for the candle chart itself. After much experimentation and debate with myself, I landed with the following: Start with an hourly chart. The first general notion of entry and if at support or resistance will come from the hourly chart. I will continue with my volume area and opening range markup but it will be for a weekly timeframe. Meaning that the volume profile indicator is set to weekly and I use the first 5 hours of the week to set the opening range. From these markups I’ll create an opinion of the coming week and a trading plan based on what I see. Then, I’ll let price movement between the camarilla pivots prove out my opinion or lead me to adjust it. Once I find a potential trigger, I will switch the 1hr candle chart to a 5 minute candle chart and look for candle setups to trigger the actual trade. What do I use for triggers and how to I decide where to look? The following chart is a bit of an eye chart but you get the idea. With the 3 camarilla pivots plus a year pivot, you can see the various levels. While it may seem like a confused mess, there is some method to the madness. The Camarilla pivots in TV allow you to color code the levels plus set the size or pixel width of the lines of the levels. For all periods, I set the pivot to black, R1/S1 and R2/S2 to purple and then based on the book’s recommendation, R3/S4 to red, R4/S3 to green, and R5/S5 to blue. For the daily, week, monthly, and yearly pivots, I set their pixel width to 1px, 2px, 3px, and 4px respectively. This is how I get a visual clue on what timeframe price is approaching (by the width) and the type of triggers or market behavior I should be looking for based on the color. I will use the weekly, monthly, and hourly pivots to look for price levels of support or resistance. It will be at these levels that I’ll look for price action to provide insight as to what the market wants to do with the level (there is a good discussion in the “Pivot Boss” book on identifying candle patterns that distills a lot of complexities of endless chapters of concepts into a few simple ones in one chapter). Once I see some type of candle pattern on the 1 hour chart that could indicate a trigger to enter, I change it to a 5 minute chart to find a pattern in the price movement of the next candle to make the entry. In theory, this should provide me with an entry at support; don’t wait for a confirmation via a breakout. So, why mess with the Renko charts then? Fair enough of a question; I believe that the Renko chart setup will filter noise out of the view and provide a cleaner view of support and resistance lines due to the nature of its makeup. If you follow along with any of this in your own charts, you will begin to see that the pivots begin to form identifiable lines of support and resistance in the Renko chart. And, back to the point that the Renko setup I have with the specific indicators and their settings seem to provide a good path toward confirmation of trends and positions. Another key issue I was struggling with was how to correlate the Renko chart with the candle chart. This is where I came up with the 5-minute chart which, after thinking about it, I realized that the 5-minute chart would reconcile nicely with the 15-minute Renko chart. If you look at how Renko charts are printed, they will print on the time frame that you set so, if a brick prints, it should do so on a :15-minute boundary. And, the 5-minute candle will correlate to it. The next chart shows the Renko with the 1hr candle side-by-side with the same rectangle. The rectangle on the 1hr is a reasonable estimate but squarely in the middle is an interesting candle formation that happens to be near the daily S5 and the weekly R1. I looked at this for awhile in real-time and thought, how do you really decide to make this trade? It seems like price has moved further from the trigger before you have the nerve to pull the trigger on the trade. Plus, if you look at the DEMA on the Renko at this time, it’s still set bearish with 20 above the 12 and the -DI was still swapped above the +DI. All things I’ve used in the past and now causing paralysis in pulling the trigger in a “buy at support” trade. The next is the same chart setup but I’ve switched to the 5 minute view and have adjusted the red rectangle in the candle chart a little. The candle chart shows the boundary of the lowest red brick, the one red brick to the left and the two green bricks to the right. In this price action, candle on the one hour chart (engulfing is corroborated by the extended wick of the green brick that is the first reversed color in the down move. However, with the DEMA swapped bearish, what would lead you to look to buy on this. There are valid cases where price continues down from the one green brick. This is where the importance of the camarilla pivots along with the 5 minute chart come in. With the engulfing candle on the 1-hour chart and the green brick on the Renko, what I should have done is use the 5-minute chart with the various pivots to find support and candle patterns to enter the market long. This would have been fulfilling the mantra of “Buy Support; Sell Resistance”. The following chart zooms in to both the Renko and the 5-minute candle in hopes to show details of how to get from potential triggers to confirmations and physical entries with tighter reins on the stops to guard more on the ‘Hope this will work’ strategy. By using the 15-minute Renko and the 5-minute chart, I can now see exactly what’s going on in the Renko bricks to get a better feel of what the market is doing. The blue double arrow on the Renko correlates with the 5-minute candle. With the first green brick being a trigger, then the key is to look at what is going on once that brick prints to see how price behaves around the Camarilla pivots. The green dashed line is the time that the first green brick printed (committed, good to go). So, what is important is to now watch the price to find a setup to enter. Or we see the market push through the support of the camarilla pivots that are in close proximity and begin the search for an entry short. The chart below is zoomed in even more on the candle chart with the daily Camarilla S4 which, from a daily context, is the last level of support before more sellers hop in and drive price lower. I’ve outlined this pivot in a green rectangle and here you can see price action and find some interesting setups. I’ve put some black arrows at some of the more interesting candles and those which are probably some type of reversal patters of 2 or 3 in nature. I’ll end this here but have more in my notes that I’ll include in a future update.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
BA 190/170 May put vertical spreadTrade thesis - technical breakout (bearish) - downward break out of 3 months consolidation zone - weekly stochastic showing more room to downside - entry trigger: retest of demand zone and failure to hold above (wicked into the zone and closed below on daily) Position - strategy: put vertical - structure: long 05/19 190p short 05/19 170p - cost: $450 - delta: -19.68 - theta: -2.311 - gamma: 0.54 - vega: 10.15 Targets - 1st target: $190.50 zone (previous gap fill) - 2nd target: $173-169 zone HVN from post covid to present confluence of .5 retracement level from previous low to recent high - SL target technical: weekly close back into consolidation zone discretionary: price action at key price levels discretionary: price action when stochastic enters oversold level (below 20)
NYSE:BAShort
by EqEx
[H4 Signal] ETHUSDT - Consolidation Technical ReversalBINANCE:ETHUSDT Timeframe: H4 Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Price action at Multi-Year Horizontal Support Trendline - Stochastic Oversold momentum - Widening of the EMAs - Fib Channel shows Price action at 0.786 Channel level Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1400 - 1500 SL: 1371 TP1: 1680 (move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP2: 2000 RR: Approx. 5.69 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
VET/USD - updateVET an in-depth 1day chart analysis: If you look at my previous 3 VET charts and press play, you can see that VET has dropped out of its Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1d timeframe. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Not that the Middle Band is moving downwards and so is the Upper and Lower Bands. VET is testing its Descending Pitchfork Pattern Median Line, if VET drops below this line the we can expect VET to drop to $0.068 again. Note that VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level at the moment. The LSMA Level is near the Pitchfork Median Line so if VET drops below the Pitchfork Median Line then it may also drop below the LSMA as this area is a crucial support. Note that if VET CLOSES a daily candle BELOW the LSMA then that will be considered a sell signal on this 1d timeframe for this indicator. Note that VET is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1d timeframe. Note that a Descending triangle Pattern is a potentially a Bearish Pattern. For your viewing pleasure i have added various Support and Resistance Lines as well as a few Support and Resistance Areas. Volume is still very low on this Binance 1d chart and note that VET has not closed a daily Volume Bar above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average since the 10th Jan and note that that Volume Bar closed n the red. VET is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for the Fixed Range of 8x daily candle s that i have selected. VET is also under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -D (Red Line) rising to 17.64 and Positive Momentum has decreased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 13.96. Not that the Trend Strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.21 and still under its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 17.73. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) is still under the 20 Threshold. If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that Momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K (Blue Line) is still below its %D (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe. If VET drops below its Pitchfork Median Line and LSMA then we will see the %K (Blue Line) enter back into the Oversold Zone agin on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is sideways for this indicator and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that Upwards momentum has weakened because today’s MACD Histogram Bar has decreased in size and has lightened. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Lien) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 21st Nov 2021. If we look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Distribution Zone. However the CMF (Green Line) is pointing upwards indicating that Accumulation is increasing and this is confirmed by the CMF (Green Line) being above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Cyan Line) which is a sign of accumulation strength. For accumulation strength to be sustainable, we need the CMF (Green Line) to eventually cross back above the 0.0 Base Line back into the Accumulation Zone on this 1d timeframe. At the moment VET is fully under the control of BTC and in what direction BTC goes in. As you can clearly see from this Binance daily chart, Volume is still very VERY LOW for VET as well as for the overall crypto market in general. As we can see, the Market Makers are focusing on other select cryptos at the moment like ADA, but that rise is also being slowed because of BTC’s drop and control of the market. Overall there seems to be a lack of Market Maker Liquidity being traded at the moment. There is a lot of talk about VET rising BUT any rise NEEDS to be backed up by INCREASING LARGE VOLUME to remain sustainable for the longterm. I would not get excited until Volume Increased and VET crosses above and more importantly CLOSES a daily candle ABOVE the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and successfully ret-test it as support on this 1d timeframe. So overall there may be some more really good opportunities to acquire more VET at a much cheaper price. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ng. NOTES: LSMA = Yellow Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal White Dashed Line on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal White Dashed Line on Chart Support and Resistance Areas = Parallel White Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart Volume Bars = Red and Green Bars bottom on Chart Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on Chart Pitchfork Median Line = Long Descending Thin White Dashed Line on Chart
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
2
BTC/USD updateI have added a Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) to this 1d timeframe. As you can clearly see, BTC tested the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line 7x as support and then that support failed on the 8th time and BTC has closed well below its Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, BTC has found some support from its support area highlighted with White Dotted Lines with Yellow Shading. Note that BTC bounced off this support yesterday and today. BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands and this expansion is for negative momentum. BTC is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA indicator is considered a sell signal on this indicator and a close above is a buy signal. Note that BTC has not closed a daily candle above its LSMA since the 27th Dec 2021. At the moment of typing this, BTC is trying to stay above the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern that it is in. Expect further downwards momentum if BTC closes a daily candle below the H&S Neckline. Note that Volume has increased and that the last 2 Daily Volume Bars have closed above its Volume 20 Period MA and today’s volume bar will also close above it. I have added a Trend-Based Fib Extension, you can see that BTC is broken way below its 23.60% level so if the Support Zone fails the next level will be the 38.20% level. Note that a 100% retracement would take BTC to $24,947. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that we have had a SELL SIGNAL on this 1d chart as you can clearly see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back under the Signal Line (Orange Line). The MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is still downwards on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 18th Nov 2021 on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dramatically increased with the -DI (Red Line) dropping slightly to 30.47. Positive Momentum has dramatically decreased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 10.93. Note that the Trend Strength has increased in strength with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.60 and is back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 31.31. Note that the +DI (Green Line) has not been above the -DI (Red Line) since the 15th Nov 2021 on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF Line (Green Line) is under the 0 Base Line and in the Distribution Zone. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has not been in the Accumulation Zone above the 0 Base Line since the 24th December 2021. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has risen but is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Cyan Line) which is a sign of positive weakness on this 1d timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the CMF (Green Line) successfully crosses above the LSMA (Cyan Line) on this 1d timeframe. If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still in the Oversold Zone and has crossed back back above the %D (Orange Line). The STOCH is indicating that momentum at the moment is downwards and note that the %K (Blue Line) is starting to look like it may cross back under the %D (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe. Here is a closer Look at this BTC 1d chart. So what does all this mean to me? If i was waiting to go LONG then i would not get excited until i start to see the MACD Line (Blue Line) move upwards back towards the Signal Line (Orange Line) indicating a potential Buy Signal might be happening. For the LONGTERM, be on the lookout for if/when the +DI (Green Line) crosses back above the -DI (Red Line) on the ADX DI, as well as the CMF (Green line) crossing back above the 0 Base Line into the Accumulation Zone of the CMF indicator on this 1d timeframe. We need BTC to eventually cross above and more importantly CLOSE a daily candle above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the LSMA on this 1d timeframe. If this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test of any previous resistance levels as support. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
5
VeChain 1d chart - still on Low VolumeVeChain Update: VeChain is still in its massive Symmetrical Triangle Pattern as indicated by the converging ascending and descending dotted trend-lines. At the moment, VeChain is trying to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VeChain need to close this daily candle above the BB Basis. Note that Lower Band is moving upwards and the Upper band is moving sideways. VeChain is still below its least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. If you are waiting to go long using this indicator then wait until a daily candle closes back above the LSMA level. Note that VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. At the moment, VeChain is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 6x daily candles that i have selected. At the moment, VeChain is below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note Volume is still very ow on this Binance 1d chart, and note that the last 6x daily Volume Bars have been way below its Volume 20 period MA. We need to see rises on increasing volume for any upwards momentum to be sustained. I have added some key support and resistance areas indicated by the Black Horizontal Parallel Lines with Orange Shading. I have also added some key support and resistance lines and indicated by the various dashed, solid and dotted lines. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.45. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.09. Note that the Trend Strength has weakened with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 25.24 and is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.19. For any upwards momentum to be sustained, we need the ADX (Orange Line) to stay above the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and we 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe. If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the %K (Blue Line) is fighting to stay above its %D (Orange Line). The %K (Blue Line) needs to stay above the %D (Orange Line) for continued upwards momentum. If the %K (Blue Line) drops and stays below the %D (Orange Line) then we will see further drops on this 1d timeframe. Here is a wider look at this 1d chart, you can clearly see the difference in Volume that VeChain has now compared to what VeChain has experienced in the past. At the moment Volume is very, very low. So what does all this mean to me? I would be very suspicious of any rise happening on really low volume. For me, I wouldn’t get excited by any rise unless its on increasing Volume. As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as Bitcoin is still in a H&S Pattern. Be on the lookout for a successful break above the LSMA indicator level and any successful re-test as support as well as the +DI (Green Line) crossing back above the -DI (Red Line) on the ADX DI indicator on this 1d timeframe. I hope you’ve found it helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
1
ADA - another 1d chart updateAt the moment, ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle,Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d timeframe. ADA needs to close this daily candle above the BB Middle Band Basis. Note that it looks like the Upper and Lower Bands may start pinching inwards if a significant new high or low cannot be achieved. ADA has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the LSMA is currently at the Horizontal Resistance Line (Dotted Line) at $1.382. Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. ADA is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 8x 1d candles that i have selected. At the moment, ADA is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR POC) for this charts visible Range. A daily close above this level is crucial for continued upwards momentum. Note that the last 3 Volume Bars closed above its Volume 20 Period MA. I have added some key Resistance and Support Areas indicated by the Horizontal Parallel Black Line with Yellow Shading. If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and is indicating momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021. Looking at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum at the moment is upwards, we may see more upwards momentum on this 1d timeframe if the %K (Blue Line) successfully crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) and stays above it. If we take a look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) its looking scary as the +DI (Green Line) is at 18.301 and has crossed back under the -DI (Red Line) which is at 18.401 indicating that Negative Momentum has overtaken Positive Momentum on this 1d timeframe. We 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.445 and it is below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.164 further indicating the Trend Strength is indeed becoming weak. At the moment, from my perspective it’s looking like SIDEWAYS within a range at best or DOWNWARDS at worst for ADA. Be on the lookout for any successful close above the BB Middle Basis and successfully re-test as support on this 1d timeframe. As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because BTC is in a H&S Pattern. If BTC drops below and more importantly CLOSES below the Neckline of the H&S Pattern then that will effect all alts including ADA in a negative way. I hope you have found this ADA analysis post helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart Resistance and Support Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart Volume Bars = Bars Bottom of Chart Volume 20 MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on Chart Ichimoku Cloud = Red and Green Cloud on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Blue Line on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Blue Line on Chart
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
8
Good old fashioned CLASSIC ETHEREUM looking to exit confluenceAfter a mini nose dive, stochastics and a little spike in volume indicate a possible move upward into resistance at a previous tested price point. However, it might be best to wait until it crosses the line to make any bets on this one. If it crosses, go long, if it continues a little further down, go short. You don't have to win all the time, just lose a little less every day. That's my dieting strategy... Make sense?
by Ifyouonlyknew
1