Stockanalysis
Is there going to be a Big Bounce of 3M's stock ?Is there going to be a Big Bounce of 3M's stock ?
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of 3M's stock since 2016. The graph overlays the top to bottom golden section of 2018. As shown in the figure, the recent low point of 3M's stock is just 4.000 in the top to bottom golden section, and the low point in 2018 and 2019 is just 2.000 and 2.618 in the golden section! Then, in the future, 3M's stock will face a Big Bounce trend, probably breaking through the low point in 2020 and reaching a new high in 2023!
$PINC Punished for Lack of Working Capital?Premier health seems to be flashing some hands off signals at the moment.Based on an analysis of earnings against potential growth, fair value for NASDAQ:PINC would be around $40.38, but the stock is trading 54% below that target. They are even trading below the average analyst target of $33.40. These are signs that something is weighing on the market value of the firm.
Potential Issues for Investors Include:
1. Cash to Equity at 4%: This suggests that the company has an insufficient amount of cash to fuel growth and handle liabilities. I would direct investor attention to the company's negative working capital and 20% drop in operating cash flows.
2. Shareholder Dilution: Premier seems to be constantly issuing new shares, which negates any market value that could be had from an increase in earnings.
3. Net Cash Negative: Total debt held by the company is down trailing 12 months, but still leaves the company with -$3.31 net cash per share over that same time period.
Key Point: The company is over leveraged amidst tight financial conditions and margins in the healthcare space are dropping like a hot rock. This draws concern as the company has been working with negative working capital for 5 straight years.
To mention a few bright spots, the company generating $84 in free cash flow for every $100 in earnings and seems to at least over the past 12 months be looking to reduce their debt. The company is projected to see earnings growth of 5.6% over the next 5 years, but is priced for no growth.
Investors who look at this as a mispricing and buy today could see a push toward our forward looking valuations. This could yield as much as a 55% increase in the stock price. On the other hand the key question would be; can the company survive long enough to fix the problems?
Investors who believe they will survive can look at this as a reasonable opportunity to buy ahead of any capital appreciation.
Earnings are steady over the long term with over 4,400 member hospitals in their circle which should keep the money coming in.
Worst case scenario, they become an acquisition target down the line, but in the mean time, I the market is sending signals that hands off is the policy.
No growth value is definitely an enticing price point, but maybe a look at next quarter's earnings could provide more insight on the company's direction.
PINC faces increased competition from other healthcare improvement companies, such as Optum and UnitedHealth Group. These companies are investing heavily in new technologies and solutions, which could put pressure on PINC's margins.
PINC also faces a number of regulatory challenges, such as the implementation of the Affordable Care Act and the rising cost of healthcare. These challenges could make it difficult for PINC to grow its business and maintain its profitability.
Income and cash flows have taken a step down in 2023. Cash flows are projected to continue to decline in 2024 and return to growth in 2025.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️NFLX👉3D ⏩ 457$ / 500$▪️ Hello everyone
The possible trend is indicated on the chart.
If the support range of 360$ is maintained, in the long term, the possibility of price growth up to the liquidity range of 457$ and the price range of 500$ can be considered.✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠⚜
What do you think about this analysis? I will be glad to know your idea 🙂✌
IF you like my analysis please LIKE and comment 🙏✌
Will TSLA hit $410 by EOY ?Happy Friday everyone, and congratulations for making profit during this wave. As expected (see previous post).
Looking at TSLA on the daily timeframe we see that the price of TSLA broke above the $207 and is testing the new resistance at $215.
The trend remains bullish as long as the price creates higher highs.
Of course there will be a correction, and for those who already sold and are waiting for a new buying opportunity, here are my buying levels to keep an eye on.
The daily RSI is in the oversold territory, and we have a strong $215 resistance. However, no bearish candle formation as of this weeks close.
For this year top price prediction, I believe that TSLA will test its ATH at $410. Why? We have a bullish flag formation that is now confirmed and the target (using log chart) is at $410.
Going back to where I think the price of TSLA will correct, I think that we will see the price coming down to $173-$180. Even $165 is not out of possibilities which is the bottom of the symmetrical pattern. Fib golden pocket at $175.
Thanks for reading, and Stay tuned. Please share your thoughts and comments, and don’t miss this trade if you missed my previous trade.
Falling Knife- Consolidation Series - Asian PaintsThis stock has fallen from the high of 3500 level to almost 2800 level & that is 20% fall in almost 6-7 months. Its trading in the range for last 2-3 months & it'll be interesting to see whether it breaks itself free for its old glory.
Check your own chart, this is only for educational purpose & Not a buy recommendation.
Nice move up caught on the S&PHey traders!
So here you will see this bullish candle where the blue arrow is pointed on the 4h chart on the S&P, this trade made an easy $15,700 with a more aggressive risk of 10% of capital but with basically 0% drawdown.
My team and i noticed something big about this candle that 90% of traders miss and i mean big! especially if you trade options. Did you notice what was going on with this candle that was so big?.
Follow for regular trade insights, ideas and more.
PFE - Buy The Dip or Follow The Trend?When I began research for this post I expected to be giving the bull case for Pfizer. It's the type of stock I like - a household name oozing with quality and prestige, a strong moat, beaten up with strongly bearish sentiment with multiple factors pointing towards recovery, with short term technical support and long term positive fundamental outlook.
I like to play the contrarian in the stock market and it often pays well. So what about Pfizer?
Well, technically it's RSI oversold (or was on Thursday, before a small bump Friday) on virtually every timeframe from the 1 hour right through to the Weekly.
Looking at Measured Moves, something I do regularly, it's down 19 points from it's swing high on Dec 14th 2022, exactly the same as big upswing from Feb 25th to Aug 18th 2021, and just short of the Oct 13th to Dec 20th 2021 swing of 21 points.
Note that these 3 swings mentioned are the largest swings in Pfizer history, due to the growth and subsequent crash caused by COVID and the following recovery.
We also have the potential for an area of support here, with the area around 36 having seen both support and resistance on a regular basis since 2016, and if we zoom out a year or 2 and look at Volume Profile, depending on where your set your Visible Range you're going to see the point of control landing between 34.5 - 36. Either the current price or just below.
So what's the problem?
There are a few.
"Patent Cliffs" are always an issue for pharmaceutical companies, where after 20 years their patents expire and they have to face competition from generic brands entering the space.
Five of Pfizer’s products face patent expiration in the next six years — Eliquis, an anticoagulant medication, Ibrance to treat breast cancer, Xeljanz for arthritis, Xtandi for prostate cancer, and Vyndaqel for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy. Excluding Pfizer's COVID sales, these 5 products respresent 40% of the company's sales.
Just this week, William Pao, Pfizer’s chief development officer raised concerns about antitrust regulators cracking down on Mergers and Acquisitions, notably with the blockage of Amgen's $28billion takeover of Horizon.
This raises questions about Pfizer's proposed $43billion purchase of Seagen, and whether they too will come under regulator scrutiny.
Financially, Pfizer's revenue is expected to meaningfully decline in 2023, mainly due to a drop in COVID-19 related sales. Analysts estimate the revenue to be around $68.1B, a 32% YoY decrease.
Pfizer's adjusted EPS for FY23 is expected to be $3.37, down 49% YoY, according to Wall Street estimates.
This is a company that since 2000 has traded as low as 12 in 2008, to as high as 61 at the peak of the COVID drug mania. While technically we do look likely to see a relief rally in the near term, this isn't a company I want to be exposed to. There is too much uncertainty, and while it may look cheap on the scale of the last few years, we must bear in mind that those years were drastically inflated due to COVID drugs that are no longer relevent to it's financials. Pfizer is coming back down to earth with a thud, and I think the company belongs in the 27-36 price range until we see more clarity on it's Seagen purchase and how much it's revenues are pilfered by competing generics.
No play for me right now on Pfizer. This is the reality of stock analysis - you go down the rabbit hole, and ultimately most stocks are neither a buy or a sell. Just a "wait and see".
Paypal - too cheap? PayPal's stock looks undervalued, trading at 6-year lows and a forward P/E ratio of 12.3, despite a strong Q1 performance with respectable transaction revenues, total payment volume, and growth in value-added services.
Operating expenses are well-managed, contributing to substantial growth in operating income and earnings per share, while consensus estimates suggest mid-to-high teens EPS compound annual growth rate.
Market concerns, such as PayPal's Q2 revenue guidance and increased competition, are offset by the Moderate Buy consensus rating, suggesting a 60.7% upside potential.
The involvement of activist investor Elliott Management and the potential sale of the cross-border payment unit, Xoom, signal strategic changes that could enhance PayPal's performance.
PayPal still rides the wave of the growth in e-commerce, with 12% payment volume increase in Q1 2023, and a rise in peer-to-peer transfers, demonstrating resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment.
The fundamentals of this company have become detached from the share price, making this a long term buy and hold with hugely asymmetrical risk/return profile.
Shorter term, the move back to the highly developed Point of Control would represent over 20% growth, which I see as a high probability outcome within weeks.
AMZNHello ladies and gentleman
chart of amazon stock
Like we as see
Break key level with two candles
We have close candle above key level
And If we see first candle on the support
We can call it bullish engulfing
So now we can analyse what we can expect from
The price action
High probability to keep rise to next resistance
In next mounth
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Thank you
MRNA Short with resistance at 145.50I plan a short trade ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) at 144.41. The entry is just before the resistance zone at ~145.50 which is also confirmed by the Fibonacci 0.5 level. At 146.69 is the stop loss placed so that there is enough space to breathe. The take profit is very conservatively placed at a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.
S&P500 possible short for 4010#S&P500 strong resistance area 4200. 1st May daily key reversal bar made a new high closed on the low indication for weakness ahead. 4155 ideal selling level. target 4010. stop loss above 4200.
$ACN Long with an H4 support level NYSE:ACN Long
NYSE:ACN is in a clear downtrend since the high in December 2021. We have a level of support at ~ 254.00 which often got confirmed. The plan should be to trade the support level with a limit order. The take profit isn't that far away because of the fact we are in a downtrend.
Limit Order: 257,28
Stop Loss: 252,20
Take Profit: 265,04
American Express ($APX): Elliott Waves Analysis and Sell SetupThe American Express ($AXP) Main Trend is absolutely bullish, therefore we currently consider all descents as simple corrective structures of the trend in play. But why am I saying that? Because when you decide to take a position not following the trend, the risk is high, so logic tells us to use a smaller size, at least initially (...there's always time to increase it!). Having said that, the strategy I want to share with you is very simple: "Try to take a short position on breakout" , with stop loss above the previous swing (don't look at the levels on the chart, they are only indicative at the moment). Of course, a second option (yellow arrow) is also possible, but to do this you would need to be a little more expert. The potential target areas are the first around 119.50 and the second around 106.50 (my favorite).
Looking at the chart above (daily time frame) we can see how the potential short trade also has a good Risk/Reward ratio, and this makes this trade interesting.
I also take the opportunity to thank every Trader who supported me in the last setups on Stocks Market:
$AMAZON BULLISH SETUP
(Click and Play on Chart below)
$TESLA BEARISH SETUP
(Click and Play on Chart below)
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