SMCI is about to resume up-trend after 3-months long sideways?SMCI in my opinion is right now clearly formed an Ascending Triangle, and the price is right on the up-trend line support aka. the baseline of the triangle.
The 3-months long sideways correction move is about to end, and a breakout coming?
In worst case scenario we should see a leg higher to the upper bound of the triangle.
Stockanalysis
Qorvo (QRVO) AnalysisMarket Position and Growth Drivers:
Qorvo NASDAQ:QRVO is experiencing robust growth, driven by significant gains with key mobile customers and strong performance in the defense and aerospace sectors. The company supplies RF chips to major Android OEMs like Samsung, showing expansion in the South Korean market. In China, top OEMs are adopting more of Qorvo's chips, with volume shipments expected this year.
Financial Outlook:
Qorvo anticipates fiscal 2025 Q1 revenue of $850 million, a 30% increase from last year. Analysts forecast a 3% increase in full-year revenue to $3.9 billion and an 8.3% increase in fiscal 2026. With Apple and Samsung as major customers, Qorvo is well-positioned for growth in AI-driven smartphone technologies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on QRVO above the $114.00-$115.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $160.00-$165.00, investors should consider Qorvo's strong customer base and growing market presence as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊🔬 Monitor Qorvo for promising investment opportunities! #QRVO #TechStocks 📈🔍
Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) AnalysisMarket Position and Growth Drivers:
Protagonist Therapeutics NASDAQ:PTGX is poised for substantial growth, with its recent inclusion in the S&P Small Cap 600 likely attracting significant institutional buying and boosting its stock price.
Strategic Partnership:
The company's partnership with Takeda to develop and market Rusfertide has already resulted in a $300 million upfront payment. Promising Phase II trial results for Rusfertide could lead to substantial profits through opt-out payments, milestone payments, and royalties.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on PTGX above the $31.50-$32.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $48.00-$50.00, investors should consider Protagonist Therapeutics' strategic partnership and promising clinical results as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊🔬 Monitor Protagonist Therapeutics for promising investment opportunities! #PTGX #Biotech 📈🔍
Marvell Technology (MRVL) Analysis Market Position and Growth Drivers:
Marvell Technology, a leader in semiconductor infrastructure solutions, is set for substantial growth due to increasing demand across sectors such as game consoles, printers, enterprise workstations, and AI servers.
AI and Data Center Expansion:
A key driver for NASDAQ:MRVL is the rising adoption of AI technology, fueling demand for data centers—Marvell's largest business segment, which accounted for 40% of its revenue last year. As AI infrastructure spending increases, Marvell is well-positioned to benefit, enhancing its revenue growth and stock performance.
Technological Edge:
Marvell's products are critical for AI-optimized data centers, offering interconnects and data transfer solutions necessary for high-performance computing systems. The company's custom AI component business is expected to ramp up significantly in the latter half of this year, with high-volume production anticipated in fiscal 2026.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MRVL above the $65.00-$66.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $103.00-$105.00, investors should consider Marvell's strategic position in AI and data centers as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊🔧 Monitor Marvell Technology for promising investment opportunities! #MRVL #Semiconductors 📈🔍
Netflix (NFLX) - Preparing for the Next Upward MoveBack in March, we anticipated the target zone for Netflix to be between the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. This zone was reached in April, marking the end for Wave 4 perfectly.
Since then, the overarching Wave (1) has likely been completed. We expect a significant correction before another upward move, with the anticipated pullback range between 35% to 50%. Despite the expected correction, we maintain a bullish outlook for Netflix, anticipating higher prices in the longer term.
Once we confirm the pullback and identify precise entry and exit points, we will issue a detailed market report.
PayPal (PYPL) - Approaching Potential Reversal ZonePayPal has reached our anticipated zone for Wave (ii), respecting the $59 to $57 range. The price action suggests a possible bottom formation, making it a candidate for a potential entry point.
Key observations indicate that the support and reversal zone between $59 and $57 has held and build an EQL there, indicating a possible end to the correction phase. If the price revisits the Point of Control, it could offer another attractive entry point for long-term positions.
However, PayPal remains in a range, making the situation somewhat risky as it hasn't broken out decisively yet. There is a risk that the price could revisit the lower bound around $55.77. Falling below this level would invalidate our bullish outlook.
We are monitoring PayPal closely and will consider entering long positions if the current support holds and the price action confirms a reversal. The Point of Control remains a key level to watch for another potential entry.
PANW Cup&Handle confirms strong uptrend?I find a recently confirmed Cup&Handle formation on PANW, which comes handy when the fundamentals are so strong, with AI creating bigger cybersecurity threats and the need for more sophisticated solutions to that. PANW is poised to monetize strongly on this phenomenon.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) AnalysisPioneering Treatments for NASH:
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals NASDAQ:MDGL is leading the charge in developing treatments for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Its drug, Rezdiffra, is the only approved treatment for metabolic-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). With ongoing research to expand its indications, Madrigal is well-positioned in a market projected to be worth $12 billion to $35 billion annually.
Market Potential and Analyst Outlook:
Analysts forecast Rezdiffra’s peak sales could exceed $5 billion, with clinical trials for cirrhosis treatment potentially expanding its market by 2026-2027. Given its innovative treatment, strong market potential, and positive analyst outlook, Madrigal is a compelling investment opportunity.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MDGL above the $255.00-$257.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $430.00-$440.00, investors should consider Madrigal's pioneering drug development and significant market potential as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊💊 Monitor Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for promising investment opportunities! #MDGL #BiopharmaGrowth 📈🔍
Mirum Pharmaceuticals (MIRM) AnalysisAdvancements in Rare Disease Therapies:
Mirum Pharmaceuticals NASDAQ:MIRM is advancing in the biopharma sector with a focus on therapies for rare diseases. Recently, Mirum submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) for chenodiol tablets to treat cerebrotendinous xanthomatosis (CTX), following positive phase 3 RESTORE trial results. FDA approval could be a breakthrough for early diagnosis and treatment of this rare disease.
Positive Market Response:
CEO Chris Peetz highlighted the potential impact of chenodiol in alleviating CTX symptoms. Wall Street has responded positively, with Citi raising their price target for Mirum to $64 from $38 and maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting confidence in Mirum's pipeline and recent updates on volixibat and FDA-approved Livmarli.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MIRM above the $29.00-$30.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $48.00-$49.00, investors should consider Mirum's promising pipeline and recent regulatory advancements as key drivers for potential stock appreciation.
📊💊 Monitor Mirum Pharmaceuticals for promising investment opportunities! #MIRM #BiopharmaGrowth 📈🔍
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) AnalysisStrategic Moves and Regulatory Tailwinds:
Intercontinental Exchange NYSE:ICE is set to benefit from recent SEC regulatory proposals that could shift more trading volume back to public exchanges, enhancing ICE's competitive position. Additionally, ICE's $13 billion acquisition of Black Knight Financial will bolster its presence in the mortgage technology sector, providing comprehensive exposure to the mortgage origination value chain.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on ICE above the $124.00-$125.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $195.00-$200.00, investors should consider ICE's strategic acquisitions and favorable regulatory environment as key drivers for potential stock appreciation.
📊🏦 Monitor Intercontinental Exchange for promising investment opportunities! #ICE #MarketGrowth 📈🔍
TSLA | TESLA is OvervaluedTesla, Inc.'s second quarter earnings confirm our view that the stock is one of the most overvalued stocks in the market.
Tesla's stock has been rising this year amid a sudden shift in overall market sentiment, with many investors now pricing in a soft-landing scenario after a brutal past year of Federal Reserve rate hikes. But the shift in market sentiment doesn't change the fact that Tesla's stock fundamentals are completely disconnected from reality. Tesla is a terribly overvalued stock that we think is worth closer to $26 per share instead of its current price of about $290 per share.
While Tesla is profitable, its profits are nowhere near the levels needed to justify its current valuation. We recognize that Tesla's business generates an impressive return on invested capital (ROIC), which is a key measure of profitability, especially for an automaker. However, that ROIC is already declining in the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) period.
Using our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we find that for the stock to have any upside at current levels, Tesla must improve its ROIC to levels not achieved by even the most profitable businesses in the world . Figure 1 shows Tesla's historical ROIC along with the future ROIC implied by its current stock price. We provide the assumptions behind this DCF scenario later in this report.
Tesla's latest earnings continue to show that it is not immune to competitive challenges and will likely see lower profitability in the future. But, its valuation implies the opposite. Any investor with fiduciary duties should be aware of the growing disconnect between Tesla's current fundamentals and the future fundamentals implied by its stock price. Even in an optimistic future cash flow scenario, shares could trade as low as $26/share. All the details are below.
Supply Constrained Argument Is Gone: Bulls have long argued that demand for Tesla vehicles has always exceeded the supply of vehicles. However, Tesla's multiple price cuts in 2023, along with its lackluster production levels through the first half of 2023, raise questions about just how much demand there is for Tesla vehicles, especially amid competition from rivals Ford (F), General Motors (GM) and virtually every other automaker. Q2 2023 marks Tesla's fifth consecutive quarter in which vehicles produced were greater than vehicles delivered. Tesla is no longer selling every vehicle it can make. Should demand for EVs slow, Tesla could find itself with higher than wanted inventory levels, which could lead to further price cuts and additional pressure on already falling margins.
Continued Cash Burn: Despite Tesla's top line growth, it continues to burn massive amounts of cash. Over the past five years, Tesla has burned a cumulative $4.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF), including $3.6 billion over the trailing-twelve months (TTM) alone. Tesla has generated negative FCF in all but one year (2019) of its existence as a public company.
Margin Decline: Tesla's "GAAP gross margin" was 18.2% in 2Q23, down from 19.3% in 1Q23 and 25.0% in 2Q22. 2Q23's GAAP gross margin was below expectations of 18.7% and remains at its lowest level since 4Q20.
Tesla's operating margin is also moving the wrong direction as it scales up. After selling 211 thousand more vehicles in 2Q23 compared to 2Q22, Tesla's reported operating margin fell 493 basis points YoY in 2Q23. Tesla noted in its press release that reduced average selling prices were one of the items that impacted margins in the quarter. We would expect Tesla's margins to fall further as competition limits pricing power across the industry.
While Tesla has rapidly ramped up vehicle production and deliveries, its market share must increase almost exponentially to justify the expectations baked into its stock price. However, as it stands, Tesla holds a meager share of the global auto industry, and its share of the EV market ranks behind incumbents across Europe and China.
In Europe, based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds a 12% share of the EV market, much lower than VW Group (20%) and Stellantis (STLA) at (14%).In China, also based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds 9% of the EV market compared to a staggering 38% share for top competitor BYD.
Bulls have long argued that Tesla isn't just an automaker, but rather a technology company with multiple verticals such as insurance, solar power, housing, and, yes, robots. We've long refuted these bull dreams. Regardless of the promises of developing multiple business lines, Tesla's business remains concentrated in its auto segment. Auto revenue accounted for 86% of Tesla's TTM revenue as of 2Q23.Tesla can no longer enjoy its first mover advantage as many other major automakers are producing electric vehicles. These competitors have more experience in auto production and more resources and cash flow than Tesla to invest in the electric vehicle market.
Tesla is at risk of losing market share to its competitors in the electric vehicle space and its stock price is currently not reflecting that, which is a major risk for investors.
Since bottoming out at the beginning of the year, the stock has come up almost 200%, stopping just shy of $300.
One could say the recent selloff is due to the earnings, but technical analysis would have suggested that a selloff was due even before the earnings.
Firstly, we can see that a significant bearish divergence has been building in the RSI since June. Furthermore, we have been nearing an important area of trade as highlighted by the red rectangle. The $300 level has been a key area of trade, and you’d expect to see some resistance.
So if a pullback has begun where can we expect it to end?
As I see it, we have formed an initial ABC structure from the lows in wave 1 of a five-wave impulse. This means that wave ii could now take us down to the 61.8% retracement of this rally, which lands us at $198.
We can see that this is also a very important area of support, as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile. And, of course, we have the 200 day Moving Average offering support around this level, too.
Aamazon Short for weekly trade idea.Amzn stock is continuously trading in bullish trend and also not able to break the resistance at 200-204 . the diverse pattern is clearly visible between price and indicators data . for weekly trade we have short recommendation in amazon stock.
write in comment section for more information.
Tesla (TSLA): Expecting a Pullback Before the Next RiseIn our livestream a few days ago, we talked about the impressive rise in Tesla's stock. Since our last analysis on June 13th, the stock has jumped 38% in just 19 days. This was somewhat expected because there was a lot of negative sentiment towards Tesla, which often leads to a significant rise. Congratulations to everyone who believed in Tesla with us. Our position is currently profitable, and the stock looks very strong.
Current Situation:
The current situation shows that Tesla has risen 40 % in less than 25 days, even though there was a lot of negative sentiment. The stock is very strong right now, but a pullback is likely. We think the stock could go up to $256, finishing the sub-wave 3. After hitting this level, we expect a Wave 4 correction, which will give us a chance to make more entries.
Strategy:
We plan to enter between $217 and $200. We will set the stop-loss at about $198 to protect against a failed Wave 4 scenario. Our strategy involves expecting the Wave 4 correction to close follow-up gaps and retest important levels. Even though the performance is strong, we should be careful as this could still be a temporary rise before another drop (a dead cat bounce).
In conclusion, Tesla has shown impressive strength, but we expect a pullback before it goes up further. We are targeting the $256 level for the completion of Wave 3 and plan to enter more between $217 and $200, with a stop-loss at $198. We remain cautiously optimistic and will keep a close eye on the situation.
Voltamp Transformers Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#VOLTAMP trading above Resistance of 13100
Next Resistance is at 16496
Support is at 9705
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Ircon International Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#IRCON trading above Resistance of 298
Next Resistance is at 423
Support is at 211
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#GLENMARK trading above Resistance of 1262
Next Resistance is at 1943
Support is at 970
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#DRREDDY trading above Resistance of 6474
Next Resistance is at 7803
Support is at 5786
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Zydus Lifesciences Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#ZYDUSLIFE trading above Resistance of 1128
Next Resistance is at 1297
Support is at 919
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Kirloskar Brothers Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#KIRLOSBROS trading above Resistance of 2587
Next Resistance is at 2997
Support is at 1786
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Marksans Pharma Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#MARKSANS trading above Resistance of 180
Next Resistance is at 212
Support is at 134
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.