DAX respecting the 4hour MA200DAX is staging a rebound coming close to the 4hour MA50 yesterday (has been untouched since January 4th). This is the normal technical reaction we expected on such an important Support Cluster (as the dotted line from the October 2nd bottom was also there) and was a short-term buy.
Maintain a tight SL though as a cross under it renders the price extremely bearish on the medium term that will target the 1day MA50.
A -6.60% repeat of December 14th - 16th gives a 14610 estimate. 4hour RSI still far from the buy opportunity when being oversold.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Stockindex
DOW JONES: Testing the 4H MA200 for the 1st time in 3 weeksDow Jones broke today the 33,460 - 33,500 Resistance Zone that was intact since December 22nd. At the moment it is attempting a test of the 4H MA200, the first since December 15th. Trading within a Channel Up and with 4H technicals bullish (RSI = 62.540, MACD = 15.660, ADX = 24.447) while the 1D MACD is about to make a Bullish Cross, we expect a strong bullish trend if the price breaks and closes above the 4H MA200, with 34,900 (December 13th Resistance) the Target. Preferably we would like to see a break above the Channel Up as well.
A break below the Channel Up will be a short-term sell opportunity with the 1D MA200 as the target, while further break below it, will target the 31,710 Support (November 3rd).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
S&P500: Bearish but the 1D MA50 can reverse the courseThe S&P500 index has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 1D time-frame ever since the December 1st rejection on the Lower Highs Resistance (Jan 4th) and the Dec 13th rejection on the 1W MA50.
With the 1D technicals neutral (RSI = 50.198, MACD = -15.660, ADX = 19.596), this is technically the level to sell as the price is at the top of the Channel Down. As long as it holds, our target is 3,710, which is marginally above the 3,695 Support of the Nov 3rd 2022 low.
A break above the 1D MA50 reverses the bearish trend and we'll target the 1D MA200 and the Lower Highs (Jan 4th) Resistance again. This scenario is supported by the Higher High (HH) on the 1D RSI (which is a bullish divergence also seen in early October and May 2022) and the 1D MACD which just formed a Bullish Cross, also consistent with the aforementioned market Lows.
Closing a candle above the 1W MA50 would restore the long-term bullish trend and we will take that break-out to target the 4,330 Resistance (Aug 16th 2022 High).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
FTSE going to beat major indices and close the year in gains?The FTSE100 index (FTSE100) has resumed its bullish trend since the October 13 bottom after hitting both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on December 20. In fact, against all odds during this inflation crisis and in contrast to its heavy stock index counterparts, it is about to close the year in gains (if it stays above the 7420 level this week).
Practically, the index has been within a huge Rectangle pattern in 2022, ranging within 7700 and 6710. If that's not impressive enough, it just completed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame (when the 1D MA50 crosses above the 1D MA200), which is technically a bullish formation. Last time we saw this pattern was on December 02 2020, as the index was recovering from the COVID crash globally. The price made a Low exactly at the time of the Golden Cross and started a very sustainable rise pattern.
What adds more weight to a bullish continuation, is the fact that the RSI on the 1W time-frame tested and held the former Lower Highs trend-line that was in effect through the majority of 2022.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You may also TELL ME 🙋♀️🙋♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US30 thoughts post CPI pre FOMCHi, and thanks for taking the time to look at our latest update. We hope everyone has been hitting some trade wins.
Today we are looking at the US30 after its wild session after yesterday's US CPI data. The data came in below expectations, and this continues the run of lower-than-expected releases. This remains a touch confusing, as last week, we saw the PPI increase. Inflation sits at 7.1% y/y. Is this enough for the fed to set a slightly more dovish stance this week?
Message from the fed has softened, but we still expect to see rates come in 50 points higher this week. This is a decrease on previous meetings, so it's a softening in that area if it does happen. The gambler in me wonders if we could see 25 points before Christmas, but the realist thinks we will most likely see the expected 50 points.
The US30 saw one heck of a fade after the CPI data, and that does make me wonder if the market is feeling edgy regarding the feds' message this week, which may coincide with a high point in the rally. For now, we see resistance at 34,600 and at 35,270.
Will that feds message this meeting cement buyer confidence, or could it start a new push lower if the message moves away from the softening tone we have started to see develop?
The FOMC, funds rate, statement and economic projections will be released tomorrow morning AEDT time at 6:00 am, followed by the press conference at 6:30 am.
US30 breaks range as buyers continue to pushHi, and welcome to today's update. Focus today on the US30 as buyers continue to push the case for a new up leg.
In today's video, we run over price action that proceeded the move and the battle we watched last Friday and yesterday as traders tried to hold and move passed 30,000. The break above resistance in today's Asian session is a great sign, and we want to see buyers hold this move or continue it to confirm today's move.
If buyers can continue to push the market higher, we would like to see new higher highs and higher lows that show bullish control. If we see a fade in today's NY session that closes back below 30,300 or 30,000, this would be a worrying sign that we could see the range continue.
Buying has been broad so far today in the out of hours, with the SPX500 and NDX100 seeing solid gains. This is a good sign that buying interest is firm and wide across the indexes.
Let's see if buyers can carry momentum forward into today's NY session.
We like to hear from you, so please feel free to drop us a comment. We also run weekly webinars with guest analysts.
ES weekly forecast - Beginning of TST journey Hello everyone! This October I begin my TopStepTrader Micro combine! TradingView is my documentation system so Like and Follow my journey!
ES has maintained its down trending posture and lending way to lower prices but currently exists in a somewhat balanced state between technical levels 3700 and 3500. This area could prove to be difficult, so I’m not particularly excited about the week ahead -
SHORT TRADES ONLY given the context of the downtrend!
1 - Breakdown of 3600 with a pullback to retest before moving lower to 3500
2 - Straight down - If ES moves below 3500 with conviction, we could see lower prices in a hurry. I’ll be looking for sharp bounces to short in this scenario/.
3 - Bullish move to 3700 and consolidation to begin accepting higher price
Last week gave us a decent short opportunity Wednesday. Be on the lookout for others in the middle of this week, although it’s unlikely they are as technically ‘juicy’.
Waiting on TradingViews BlackFriday deals to optimize charting. Stay tuned!
KingCharlesTrader - 10 years as ES swing trader by night. Web Developer by day.
GER30 are sellers starting to take control?
Hi, and welcome to Friday's update. In today's video, we are focusing on the GER30 daily chart. Price action and the OBV indicator are starting to show signs that sellers could be gaining short-term control over the market.
Looking at price we can see that buyers made a failed breakout attempt, and sellers came in strong on the next session with an engulfing bar. Yesterday buyers held a rally but closed well-off highs showing plenty of rejection. Today, sellers have started a new move but still have a little work to do. We would like to see sellers continue to push lower and break support seen at 13,640. A break and close below yesterday's low could be the trigger for a new leg lower if sellers can hold the move.
If buyers can regain control and close price back above 13,750, we would be looking for more evidence before we continue to think that the market is set to break lower.
What are your thoughts? We also like to hear feedback from our readers. Thanks for stopping by. We hope you are all enjoying your Friday and good trading.
123 Pattern building on the US30?We hope the Tradingview community are having a great day. Today we have been looking at the US30, and we can’t help but noints the solid-looking trend break on the current upswing.
This has us thinking, could we see a 123 pattern that sets up a 2nd upswing and confirms the current leg higher as a new short-medium-term uptrend?
We have the V shape pattern that’s nice to see in reversals. Next, if we see further selling develop today and tomorrow, we will start looking for a new move from buyers that breaks the last high, confirms the 123 pattern (HL), and suggests that this upswing could be a new trend.
Until we see further selling, we will continue to wait. But if the above does happen, we will be looking for breaks of the high to possibly set up new longs. If we see a new high today’ we will be waiting, and if selling breaks below 31,700, we will also be waiting.
NDX100 sellers are struggling to beat 11,780 for nowHello TradingView community, today’s video update is more to highlight an area as opposed to looking out for a potential set-up.
Tech stocks have been having a hard time of it lately, but we are seeing and watching an area between 11,780 and 11,550ish. The bottom is not exact, but after looking at the NDX100 you will see the point being made.
This area, for now, continues to reject sellers and continues to present as demand and possibly support for buyers. It’s no more than a level of interest for us at the moment. We could see price continue to hold there and perhaps push at a new move higher, or we could see sellers railroad the area.
The key for us will be if this level can continue to hold. If so, we will look for further price action to start thinking and looking for new ideas.
Good trading.
DOW JONES, Decisive Descending-Channel, Upcoming Determinations!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the DOW JONES and the daily timeframe perspectives. Since the crucial bear market declines the Dow Jones has shown up within the recent times it is moving into a determining decision phase from where the further assessments and directions need to be waged now. Therefore it is necessary to look on the technical side of things and in this case the Dow Jones is now forming this main Descending-Channel-Formation as shown in my chart, within this Descending-Channel-Formation the Dow Jones has a coherent wave-count with the initial waves A and B already forming and now as the Dow Jones approaches the upper boundary of the formation this is likely to be the origin of a main wave C to the downside which will complete the whole wave-count and move into the final support-zone from where a possible back-up can happen. When this back-up is strong enough and the Dow Jones manages to reverse from there on this will lead to a possible major reversal once the Dow Jones settled above the upper boundary of the descending-channel-formation. Such a breakout will determine the final reversal-setup from where the Dow Jones is likely to move on forward. For now we should not rush into set conclusions rather it is necessary to keep appropriate patients before moving into the market because bearish pressure can still increase again, it will be a crucial development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"There are many roads to prosperity, but one must be taken."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
US30 top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NASDAQ at the inflection pointNASDAQ is at the inflection level. That makes the next week decisive in terms of a long term trend. Friday's (Jan 28th) bounce was amazing. It was a strong defensive move. However, it has to break above the stream. The stream has been a roadblock since correction started. The lower (red) line of the stream is touched 4th time, it's working hard to enter into the stream. Expecting upside move next week.
End of month window dressing pushes US Indexes higherMorning Jumpstart Macro View and US market recap 1-02-22
The US ended the session well into the green again as end of month window dressing triggers another buying frenzy into tech. Prices on the Nasdaq, SP500 and DOW are all at key levels that could see another selloff in coming sessions.
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
View more at www.tradethestructure.com
UK100 ShortFor more daily Detailed analysis, please feel free to click the follow button. If you do have any questions, please do ask them!
Here is our FTSE chart.
We are looking short at the current highs back down to reasonable support on LOWER TFs.
FTSE dawdling..For more daily detailed analysis, don't forget to go ahead and click on the follow button. Please do ask any questions should you have them!
Here we have our UK 100 chart. We are seeing very little price movement due to lack of market senitment... Rather boring..
Anyhow, We are looking long on the next fall down to the eclipse symbol.
SPX to start short..Don't forget to click the follow button for more daily detailed analysis!
Here we have our SPX chart returning to highs that we can short.
This is because our TECHS line up and we are approaching OLD highs.
There is plenty of room for a fall back to comfortable support levels and our PREV MA's.
Price direction is noted by our directional arrow.
SPX turning shortFor more daily detailed analysis, don’t forget to click on the follow button. Also, please ask any questions you may have and I will be happy to answer them.
On the recent rally to our former long targets, We are now looking short on the SPX as we approach some good levels of resistance and circulate around key MA's. Stoch oscillator is also peaked.
Price direction shown by price arrow.
SPX updated plan.For more daily detailed analysis, don’t forget to click on the follow button. Also, please ask any questions you may have and I will be happy to answer them.
We are looking to RE long on the recent fall back to our previous trade exit zones.
Price action has proved itself previously and we are using this as an exit point again.
Make sure your risk management is controlled. It must be in line with your equity. Risking too much on any trade is never a good idea..