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NASDAQ Can it hold the 1D MA200 ahead of the Fed and NFP?Nasdaq (NDX) has a strong rebound near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, which formed the latest Lower Low at the bottom of the 3.5 month Channel Down. Ahead of today's Fed Rate Decision and Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls, it is important for investors to see the index holding the 1D MA200 as Support, as it will provide the technical backing for at least a short-term rise. As long as it does, our target is 14850, which is a level that meets all 4 bullish criteria: 1) Is on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel level (all previous 3 Channel Down bullish legs hit at least this level). 2) Is on/ below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). 3) Is less than +6.28% (which has been the lowest % rise of a bullish leg withi this Channel). 4) Is (quite) below the 0.786 horizontal Fibonacci level (all previous bullish legs almost hit it). If however the 1D RSI hits the 58.50 level (Resistance 1) before the index hits the 14850 target, we will book the profit earlier, as that RSI Resistance has formed the last 2 Lower Highs of the Channel Down. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
3
DOW JONES Best buy opportunity in the last 7 months.Dow Jones (DJI) hit the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern by completing leg (e). This is a similar structure to the (a) - (e) sequence that bottomed on March 15. Technically this is the best buy opportunity on the index in the last 7 months. On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows during the prices (d) - (e) wave, showcasing a huge Bullish Divergence, the first such since February 24 2022! We can't ignore however the potential 1D Death Cross formation and any bullish approach has to be adjusted short-term. As for the target, the March rally breached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, therefore giving us the framework to target 35000 (Resistance 1 + 0.786 Fib). Be careful, as failure and/ or rejection on the 34150 October 17 High, will be a bearish signal, aiming at a Lower Low, potentially near Support 2. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
2
S&P500 This trend-line separates bull from more pain.The S&P500 index had a green session yesterday as the price made a Lower Low at the bottom of the Channel Down and seems to be rebounding. Technically that is the bullish leg towards the new Lower High, with the previous being priced on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This Channel Down however, on a 1D RSI basis as well, resembles the August - October 2022 pattern. Both corrections have almost 1 year between them. If the long-term structure that connects them is a Channel Up, then there is more selling ahead, with the potential Support/ long-term Accumulation level being on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). In October 2022, that level was continuously tested for 2 weeks in a row and held. The bottom of that Channel Down was confirmed after the 4H MA150 (green trend-line) broke to the upside. As a result, a fair guess would be to buy if a break-out above the 4H MA150 (now at 4275) takes place again. If it does, we will buy again and target the standard +20% medium-term rise within this 12 month span (happened 3 times) aiming at 4930 (would make a new All Time High). If the index stays below the 4H MA150, we will wait until the price bounces off the 1W MA200 and buy with 4740 as the target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
1
S&P500 That's the longest correction since 2011.More pain ahead?S&P500 (SPX) has been on a correction mode since the week of July 24, completing 13 straight weeks (91 days) of pulling-back without a 50% retracement. As you can see on the charts above, which are on the 1W time-frame, this is the strongest such correction since October 03 2011, which stretched for 21 weeks. Even the recent Inflation Bear Cycle of 2022 had three separate correction phases of no more than 11 weeks. In total since 2011 there have been 12 such corrections (including the current), so we can realize just how long this one has gone without at least a 50% Fib retracement. This may indicate that potentially we are at or near the bottom. On the downside, it did break and close this week below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the next Support in line is the 1W MA200 orange trend-line) at 3940. Do you think it's time to rebound to the 0.5 Fib or the index 'needs' to technically reach the 1W MA200 first? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
9
FTSE Last drop before buying for the medium-term.The FTSE 100 Index (UK100) delivered a strong short-term buy signal last time we looked at it (see chart below): The index has been since rejected twice on the Lower Highs trend-line of what is almost a year long Descending Triangle. We will wait for a test of the Support Zone, ideally when the 1D RSI tests its Higher Lows trend-line and buy for the medium-term. Our target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 7535. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:UK100
by TradingShot
NASDAQ Numerous technical indicators call for a Buy.Nasdaq (NDX) gave us a low risk sell trade last week (see chart below), where after taking the loss on the Channel Up bottom buy, we reversed to selling on the break-out and hit 14530: Standard 'buy low, sell the breakout if invalidated' approach that aims at assuming low risk near supports/ resistances and high return when those break. This sell-off brought the price on the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Falling Wedge for the 4th time. Coming of a 4H Death Cross, this is the 2nd Low after its formation, which has previously been a bottom pricing and buy signal. Additionally, the 4H RSI has been on Higher Lows on every bottom. The last indication that this is a solid buy entry, is that the price hit the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (from previous Low to High), which was where the previous two bottoms where formed. As a result of all the above parameters, we issue a buy signal on Nasdaq and since the previous Lower Highs almost hit the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we set the Target at 15050. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
3
NASDAQ flashed a 13 years old BUY SIGNAL!Nasdaq (NDX) has completed a Bullish Cross between its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 (green trend-line). Even though it's not a Golden Cross, on the 1W time-frame it attracts particular importance as the last time we saw this bullish signal was more than 13 years ago (February 08 2010) in the (sharp) recovery process after the 2008 Housing Crisis. The fractals of that Crisis and the (current) 2022 Inflation Crisis are similar. Both hit the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level and got the first major rejection since the Bear Market. The current wave is ongoing but in 2010 it approached the 0.618 Fib and rebounded strongly for nearly 1 year. On the current pull-back wave the 0.618 Fib is at 14000 and thi index already hit 14420. Is it good enough to start the new recovery wave? It certainly is low enough to give us acceptable risk for the long-term, especially after the formation of a 13 year old bullish pattern. Based on the 2010 fractal, we may see new All Time Highs on Nasdaq in less than 6 months. Are you buying on this signal? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
5
RUSSELL 2000 Support Zone rebound?Russell 2000 (RUT) entered on Friday the wide Support Zone (1700 - 1630) that was formed on the May 12 2022 Low. The 1D candle closed inside it so unlike the bottoms that had wicks that recovered and closed above the Zone, this is most likely similar to the June 16 2022 and September 23 2022 breaches. A low is to be expected around 1640 but the index is already a strong long-term buy, as the cyclical behavior of the Sine Waves suggests. The tops match perfectly with the Waves. In any case, from now on the first sign of 1D RSI Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence if the candles are on Lower Lows), will be the last confirmation we need of an upcoming bullish leg, which was the characteristic of all previous 3 bottoms. On top of that, 10 days ago a 1D Death Cross was formed and even though that's a technical bearish pattern, last time it signalled the bottom. Our target is 2000, just below the 2008 - 2027 Resistance Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Long
by TradingShot
1
MOEX Moscow testing the All Time Highs.Pullback before breakout?The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is about to test today the 192.50 All Time High (ATH) made on May 10 2021. It was a similar Higher Lows rally that led to the ATH as this year's dashed Higher Lows Support. The current bullish leg has completed +80% since the last Higher Low, similar to the February 27 High (+79%). Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross, this strong Resistance combination (+80% and ATH) calls for a technical pull-back. In the last 4 years, the minimum such correction has been -12.93%. A decline repeat of such magnitude gives us a 167.50 target, exactly on the Higher Low trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
RUS:MOEXShort
by TradingShot
2
S&P500 The most important test for a long-term uptrend is now.The S&P500 had a strong rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and made a 3 day bearish streak that brought it today on the verge of testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet again. The last time it made a triple test between 4 days October 03 - 06) and managed to close all candles above it. As a result, if the S&P500 is to recover, it is critical to hold candle closings above or at least near the 1D MA200. To get a better perspective of the important of the 1D MA200 during uptrends, it is useful to look at previous such corrections that didn't end up in deeper corrections (Bear phases) but instead extended the bullish trend with rebounds on the 1D MA200. Such recent examples (besides the COVID recovery in 2020) are 2019 and 2018. In 2019 after two 1D candle closings under it (May 31, June 03 2019), the 1D MA200 held multiple times in July and September. Similarly in 2018, only two days (March 23 and April 02 2018) closed marginally below the 1D MA200 in multiple tests. Bottom-line: the index MUST hold the 1D MA200 in order to overcome the 3 month correction since July and resume the long-term bullish trend it has since the start of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
2
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders signals for a new buyDow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern and this week's pull-back, caused by a rejection on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), may be the last before it starts rising to a new Higher High. We are taking this opportunity to buy for the short-term and target the top of the dashed Channel at 34200. The IH&S can complete its long-term target on the 2.0 Fibonacci level (35000) after it breaks above the Lower Highs trendline. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
NASDAQ Best action plan for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is trading on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), pulling back after a Lower High at the top of the Falling Wedge pattern. The formation that took it that high is a Channel Up which hasn't yet been invalidated. As a result we currently sit on a bullish short-term signal until broken, with a 15270 target (Lower Highs trend-line). If the price closes below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which would also be below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), it will be a sell confirmation like that of September 19, and we will sell, targeting 14530. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
S&P500 Giant Cup and Handle completed? 5000 realistic now?The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Down since the mid-July High. Last week though made a strong reversal on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1D MA200, closed the candle in green and is about to do so again for the 2nd straight week today. Ahead of a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross (the first in 7 years), this Channel Down can be interpreted as nothing more than the Handle of a Giant Cup and Handle pattern. We can argue that the whole Inflation Crisis of 2022 has been a Cup and Handle with the subsequent market recovery. The breaking of the 1W RSI Higher Lows trend-line indicates on the macro level a shift to a new, less aggressive trend, as the 2023 rally isn't easily sustainable without more fundamental catalysts. As a result, as long as the MA Support Cluster holds, we resume being bullish long-term. Target 1 is 4700 (bottom of the All Time High Resistance Zone) and by Q2 2024 Target 2 at 5000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
3
NASDAQ Channel Down or Bullish Flag?Nasdaq (NDX) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and has almost reached the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern that started after the July 19 High. The 1D STOCH RSI Bearish Cross suggests that this is a sell opportunity on the short-term at least, towards 14900 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level). But what if this is not a Channel Down but a Bullish Flag pattern after a relentless 2023 price growth? In that case we will need to wait for confirmation in the form of a break-out above the last Lower High (and current Resistance level) at 15630. After that, we will buy the first pull-back below it and target the 16780 All Time High of November 2021, which interestingly enough is only a fraction below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, a standard technical target in case of Bullish Flag break-outs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
7
S&P500 Potentially made the biggest rebound of the next 12monthsWe have shown numerous times that the S&P500 (SPX) was in a 2.5 month Channel Down/ corrective move but all within the larger Channel Up pattern, which keeps the long-term trend bullish ever since the bottom recovery last October (2022). Much like that bottom which was formed by the rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), 12 months after (October 2023), the index may have just made the most important rebound for another 12-month period. What was the 1W MA200 then, is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which are about to form a Bullish Cross, the first since September 2016. In fact last week's candle hit the 1W MA100 and rebounded immediately, almost closing the body candle flat, leaving a large wick underneath it, an even stronger reversal than even the October 10 2022 1W candle. If that wasn't enough, the index hit (and as mentioned rebounded) the Former Resistance Zone of May 2022 through May 2023. In times of such transitions from a Bear to a Bull Cycle, we see the market technically testing former Resistances to make Demand Zones and turn them into Support levels. On top of that, this week the index just entered into green Ichimoku Cloud territory for the first time since September 05 2022. All this while the 1W RSI bounced off a 18 month Higher Lows trend-line. It is obvious that if this 5-level Support Zone holds, it can extend the 12-month Channel Up pattern to its next Higher High. Assuming a similar to the previous two bullish legs, +20% rise leg will take place, we expect the S&P500 to target 5000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
8
DAX has started the new Channel Down bullish legDAX hit last week the bottom (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down that started after the July 31 High. Technically that is a short-term buy signal, aimed at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top of the Channel Down. Our current target is 15500 (also on a +3.70% symmetry with the previous bullish leg of the Channel). A 1D candle close above the Channel Up will be a bullish break-out signal targeting 15920 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). But until it does, the trend will remain bearish within the Channel Down, targeting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at 14750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingShot
1
RUSSELL 2000 Holding the key Bull Cycle Support. Disaster below?Russell 200 (RUT) has had a big safeguard on the current Bull Cycle following the Housing Crisis bottom in 2009. The symmetrical Zone that was formed on the previous All Time High (ATH) has always held once it transitioned into Support upon periods of corrections (with the natural exception of COVID) and provided the framework for the rebound initiation of the next rally. This time the previous ATH Zone has been continuously tested since May 2022 and so far has closed all candles above it. October has already entered this Support Zone with the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) right below it and the longer it holds, the sooner it will also enter the Zone. When the 1M MA100 broke during the COVID collapse, the flash crash extended almost as low as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). Naturally the market conditions now are severely different than then, but the Support Zone must hold at all costs. If it breaks, the distress signal that will send may echo across high cap markets, especially the technology sector. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUT
by TradingShot
2
DOW JONES Channel Up Double Bottom. Solid buy entry either way.Dow Jones (DJI) is rising following a vastly oversold 1D RSI reading (reached even 23.60) at the bottom of the (blue) Channel Up. Based on the RSI pattern itself, we can draw comparisons with the December 2022 - March 2023 correction. According to that the 1D RSI has one more Low to make before it bottoms and that bottom will be leg (e). This will justify the emergence of a diverging Channel Up (dotted), where leg (e) will be its Higher Low while also completing a symmetrical -9.30% decline from the top. Still, the price has dipped well below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which was March's bottom formation, thus either entry is equally probable. As a result it is best to buy on both levels so that a low risk indeed opportunity won't be missed. Our target is 35000, which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level as well as Resistance 1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
6
NASDAQ Reality will soon hit those who bet against the market.Nasdaq (NDX) has been on a 3-month correction since its July High. No need to mention that this High almost touched its All Time High (ATH), almost recovering in less than 1 year the value lost in the Bear Cycle. ** 2010 Higher Lows and Megaphone ** The Higher Lows (dashed) trendline that has been in place since 2010 after the recovery from the 2008 - 2009 Housing Crisis started, held during the 2022 Inflation Bear Market and gave way to a Channel Up. We can claim that since mid-2018 the market entered into a Bullish Megaphone pattern and such Channel Up formations have been the common vessels to a Higher High. ** Uncertainty/ Doubt / Disbelief ** Similarly common have been minor (on a 1W scale) corrections such as the pull-back we are witnessing since July. During market uptrends, those are called 'Bull Flags'. Especially in the beginning of the recovery those are met with Uncertainty/ Doubt / Disbelief. For that reason the majority doesn't get in on the trend until it is well underway. Even the 1W RSI shows how consistent this Symmetrical Support Zone has been throughout all those Channels. Even the Higher Lows trend-line from May 2022 is still holding. ** First Bullish Cross since 2010 ** On top of all the above, Nasdaq is about to completed a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1W MA100 (green trend-line) Bullish Cross, the first since February 2010 (which as mentioned is post Housing Crisis). The price will enter next week into green Ichimoku territory, which when formed indicates significant upside potential on a well establish bull trend. We expect this to be the end of the 3-month correction and the resume of the uptrend. Based on the previous runs, NDX is aiming at 17800 towards the Christmas rally and 21500 in Q3 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
7
NASDAQ Small glimmer of hope as 1D making a MACD Bullish Cross.Nasdaq (NDX) recently broke below the Higher Lows trend-line of 2023, the trend-line from the start of the year that has been supporting the strong recovery. This created the conditions for further decline, especially since the 4H MA50 keeps the price action below it, but so far Support 1 (14430) is holding. The above levels are those we will use as break-outs. A candle close below Support 1 will be a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 13900. Since however the 1D MACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross, the bullish momentum attract probabilities and if a candle closes above the 1D MA50, we will instead buy, targeting 15650 (Resistance). The pattern since mid August is quite similar to the Arc formation of November - December 2022. After the 1D MA50 broke, it targeted the previous Resistance and even hit the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
S&P500 It is very important that this Support Cluster holds.The S&P500 (SPX) is testing the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 12-month Channel Up pattern. It is vital for the uptrend that the following Support Cluster holds, as if broken, the next Demand/ Support Zone is seen considerably lower, in the low 3800s. Back to the Support Zone. Besides the bottom of the Channel Up, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) moving parallel to that and has been unbroken since March 24. More importantly, the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) a former Resistance turned into Support after May's break-out, is marginally below the 1D MA200 and on a former Resistance Zone, which in the past 18 months, only broken twice. As long as the price closes 1D candles above this critical Support cluster, we expect a short-term (at least) rise to test the top of the Channel Down and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 4430. If the Support fails, expect a greater and perhaps quicker/ more aggressive decline towards 3830 and the former Support Zone. Notice how the 1D RSI pattern resembles the August - September 2022 correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
5
DAX Bottom rebound buy opportunity to 15650.DAX (DE40) has made a short-term bottom near the Lower Lows trend-line of the Channel Down after hitting the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is a short-term buy signal to at least 15650, which is on the Channel's top and represents a symmetrical +3.66% rise similar to the previous Lower High leg. If it doesn't get rejected, this is where the Fibonacci retracement levels come forward. The 0.382 Fib is almost exactly on our target. A break above, which would also be a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), targets Resistance 1 (15995), which is exactly on the 0.618 Fib. Only a candle closing above that Resistance justifies a bullish reversal for the long-term. If the 1D MA50 doesn't break, we expect the Channel Down to look for a 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50, which can technically deliver a downward extension towards the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) on the 6-month Support Zone. If that scenario prevails, we will need to see a clear indication that this will be the same High Demand Zone as during March 15 - 24, when all attempts to break it reversed emphatically as most candles closed above it leaving long wicks inside the Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingShot
2
S&P500 Entered the 2 year High Supply/Demand Zone. Will it hold?Time to leave the short-term charts for S&P500 (SPX) aside and look again at the long-term ones as the price failed last week to recover the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is extending this week the decline towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). ** Higher Lows and 2-year Supply/ Demand Zone ** It hasn't yet hit the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the October 13 2022 market bottom but has entered a 2 year High Supply/ Demand Zone, which has acted as the strongest Pivot Belt since October 2021, with 4 registered holds (green arrows) and 4 rejections (red arrows). It is clear that the market considered it a key during the previous Bear Cycle as well as the Bull Cycle. ** Inflation Crisis vs Subprime mortgage Crisis ** As you can see on the chart, we compare this Inflation Crisis price action with the bottom and subsequent recovery of the Subprime mortgage crisis in 2009 - 2010. The curved bottom on the 1D RSI suggests that we are so far aligned to a certain extent with the first susbtantial correction of the recovery which on May 06 2010 hit (and breached) the 1D MA200. The bottom was priced 2 months later on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. ** So what now? ** The 0.382 Fibonacci on today's sequence is on 4185, marginally above the bottom of the Pivot Zone and almost where the 1D MA200 is currently. This presents us with the probability that if the Higher Lows fails and the 1D MA200 breaks, the market has high chances to consider the bottom of the 2-year Pivot Zone as a High Demand level again. If that happens, we will be buyers for as long as 1D candles close above the bottom of the Zone. Based on the 2009 - 2010 price action, it can rise towards the -0.236 Fib ext and reach the 4820 All Time High (ATH) by Q2 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
6