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Some say bitcoin is an un-correlated asset. What about XRP ???This chart clearly shows how XRP is uncorrelated to the price of the S&P !! Some experts in crypto say that Bitcoin is an un-correlated asset. However, if bitcoin is, XRP is even more so. The chart moreover shows how the price of XRP broke out of an 7 YEAR BEAR FLAG !!! It broke down decisevely in november 2024. At the present moment it is making a halt, drawing a bear flag (n° 2) as it did after it broke down of a very similar bear flag in March of 2017 (n° 1). How do you think this will resolve ? Any more questions ? This is a very bearish chart - for the SPX !!!
SP:SPXShort
by Dangermousebanana
Quantum's HIMS Trading Guide 4/10/25 HIMS (Hims & Hers Health, Inc.) - Sector: Healthcare (Telehealth) Sentiment: Bullish. Post-close call volume steady, RSI ~58 (up from ~55), Amplified GLP-1 demand—speculation persists despite tariff noise. Tariff Impact: Minimal. Domestic focus shields HIMS; 104% China tariffs irrelevant unless generics supply tightens. News/Catalysts: Current: tariff pause softens market fear. Upcoming: Retail Sales (April 15)—strong data could lift +5%; Fed rate outlook (May 2025)—cut signals might push +7%. Technical Setup: --Weekly Chart: ---HVN $30 (resistance), support ~$25.45. ---Uptrend (8-week EMA > 13-week > 48-week). ---RSI ~58, MACD above signal, ---Bollinger Bands upper band, ---Donchian Channels above midline, ---Williams %R -25. --One-Hour Chart: ---Support $28.50, resistance $29.50. ---RSI ~60, ---MACD above signal, ---Bollinger Bands upper band, ---Donchian Channels above midline, ---Williams %R -20. --10-Minute Chart: ---8/13/48 EMAs up, ---RSI ~62, ---MACD rising. Options Data: --GEX: Bullish—pinning near $29. --DEX: Bullish—call delta dominates. --IV: High—~50–55% vs. norm 45–50%. --OI: Call-heavy—above $29. Timeframe Analysis: ---Weekly: OI call-heavy (70% calls at $30), IV high (55%)—bullish, speculative push. ---Monthly: OI call-leaning (65% calls at $30–$32), IV moderate (50%)—bullish trend. ---3-Month: OI call-heavy (75% calls at $32), IV moderate (45%)—bullish long-term. Directional Bias: ---Bullish. GEX/DEX and call OI signal strong upside; high IV fuels volatility—intraday breakout potential. Sympathy Plays: ---TDOC rises with HIMS; AMWL gains with HIMS. ---Opposite: HIMS rallies → WMT fades. Sector Positioning with RRG: Leading Quadrant (Healthcare vs. XLV)—growth persists. Targets: Bullish +6% ($30.77); Bearish -3% ($28.16).
NYSE:HIMS
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us. The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus . The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline . The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks . From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) . I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary? Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps. Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
26
Apparatchik Trump Says 'No.. More Pain' Ahead of Amazon EarningsPresident Trump's new tariffs have had a significant negative impact on Amazon's stock performance, revenue, and earnings, primarily due to increased costs and supply chain disruptions. Here below is a detailed analysis of these effects. Impact on Amazon's Stock Performance Amazon's stock has seen substantial declines following the announcement of Trump's tariff plan. The company's shares dropped nearly 7% within two days of the announcement and are down nearly 21% year-to-date. These tariffs have exacerbated existing challenges for Amazon, which was already struggling in early 2025 with a 13% decline in stock value during the first quarter. The broader market also suffered, with technology stocks experiencing sharp declines as investors reacted to fears of higher costs and inflation. Revenue Challenges Amazon's reliance on Chinese suppliers for merchandise has made it particularly vulnerable to the newly imposed tariffs. Over 50% of Amazon's top third-party sellers are based in China, and many of their products are subject to hefty import taxes, including a 34% tariff on Chinese goods. These tariffs increase landed costs for a significant portion of Amazon's inventory, forcing sellers to either absorb the additional expenses or pass them on to consumers through higher prices. This could lead to reduced consumer demand, as higher prices may deter shoppers from purchasing goods on Amazon's platform. Additionally, the elimination of duty exemptions on minor imports—previously advantageous for discount platforms such as Temu and Shein—has disrupted Amazon's competitive pricing strategy. While this change may level the playing field among e-commerce platforms, it also raises operational costs for Amazon's marketplace vendors who had relied on these exemptions. Earnings Pressure The tariffs are projected to slash Amazon's annual operating profits by $5 billion to $10 billion due to increased merchandise costs. Goldman Sachs estimates that these costs could rise by 15% to 20%, further straining profitability. While Amazon has historically maintained lower prices compared to competitors, absorbing these increased expenses without raising prices significantly may be unsustainable in the long term. Moreover, fears of inflation resurgence due to Trump's trade policies could further dampen consumer purchasing power. This would likely lead to lower sales volumes and additional pressure on profit margins across Amazon's retail operations. Potential Mitigation Strategies To counteract these challenges, Amazon may implement several measures: Vendor Negotiations. The company could negotiate with suppliers to share the burden of increased input costs rather than bearing them entirely. Price Adjustments. Selective price increases on certain products may help offset rising costs without alienating customers entirely. Supply Chain Diversification. Shifting sourcing away from heavily tariffed regions like China or focusing more on domestic suppliers could reduce exposure to trade disruptions. Focus on Services. Amazon’s cloud division, AWS, contributes significantly to its operating income (58% in Q4 2024) and remains largely unaffected by tariffs. Increased emphasis on AWS could help mitigate losses from retail operations. Technical challenge The main technical graph indicates on Bearish market in development, with nearly 30% potential to further decline, down to major 10-year average support. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs have created substantial headwinds for Amazon by driving up costs and disrupting its supply chain. These challenges have led to stock declines, reduced revenue potential, and significant earnings pressure. While Amazon is exploring mitigation strategies such as vendor negotiations and diversification, the long-term impact will depend on how effectively the company adapts its operations amidst ongoing trade tensions. -- Best 'Apparatchik' wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:AMZN
by PandorraResearch
Quantum's ZIM Trading Guide 4/8/25 NYSE:ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) - Sector: Industrials (Shipping) Sentiment: --Bearish (slight softening). Pre-market put volume softened, RSI likely ~35 (down from ~38 with a -2.8% drop from $12.9608 to $12.591), X posts overnight mixed—tariff fears dominate, but LNG fleet news (10 new 11,500 TEU vessels announced April 8) offers faint hope, suggesting a less aggressive sell-off than March’s lows. Tariff Impact: --Severe. 10% universal tariffs raise fuel and container costs, with 46% Vietnam tariffs threatening Asia-U.S. routes (70%+ revenue). Sentiment overshadows fundamentals, though LNG fleet modernization and freight rate resilience provide a slight buffer. News/Catalysts: --Consumer Credit (April 8) could signal trade demand—weak data may deepen ZIM’s slide; X posts on the $2.3B LNG charter deal (announced April 8) and potential freight rate stabilization (e.g., Red Sea tensions) might spark a relief rally today. Technical Setup: --Weekly Chart: ---HVN near $15 as resistance (March 25 high: $15.2512), weekly low ~$12.4106 as support ---Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week, reflecting $12–$20 range since March). ---RSI ~35 (weakening, near oversold), ---MACD below signal (histogram narrowing), ---Bollinger Bands at lower band, ---Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -80 (oversold). -One-Hour Chart: ---Support at $12.81 (April 7 prev. close proxy), resistance at $13.547 (April 7 high), weekly confluence. ---RSI ~37, MACD below signal (histogram less negative), ---Bollinger Bands at lower band, --- Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -78 (easing from oversold). -10-Minute Chart: ---Pre-market drop to $12.591, 8/13/48 EMAs down, RSI ~35, MACD flat near zero. Options Data: --GEX: Bearish (softening)—pinning near $12.9608 eases pre-market, dealers less aggressive. --DEX: Bearish—put delta leads but with reduced intensity. --IV: High—~55–60% vs. norm 45–50%, reflecting tariff-driven volatility. --OI: Put-heavy—OI concentrated below $13, capping upside momentum. Directional Bias: Bearish (softening). GEX’s fading pinning reduces downside lock, DEX’s put delta sustains selling but softens, high IV supports volatility without sharp drops, and put-heavy OI anchors lower—bearish with less conviction. Sympathy Plays: --SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers): Falls if ZIM dumps (shipping correlation), rises if ZIM rebounds. --MATX (Matson, Inc.): Drops with ZIM downside, gains if ZIM recovers. --Opposite Mover: ZIM dumps → defensives like KO rally; ZIM rallies → SBLK/MATX surge. Sector Positioning with RRG: --Sector: Industrials (Shipping) ---RRG Position: Lagging Quadrant (slight improvement). ZIM’s pre-market softening from $12.9608 eases its lag vs. XLI, buoyed by LNG news. Targets: Bullish +4% ($13.50, hourly resistance); Bearish -5% ($12.00, near April low).
NYSE:ZIM
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Quantum's IWM Trading Guide 4/8/25IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) - Sector: Broad Small-Cap ETF (Russell 2000) Sentiment: --Bearish (softening). Pre-market put volume eased, RSI 44 up from 42, X posts overnight hint at an oversold bounce despite tariff fears, suggesting a less dire tone. Tariff Impact: --Moderate. Industrials/financials exposure persists. News/Catalysts: --Consumer Credit (April 8) could spark a relief rally if strong; X posts on tariff delays offer faint hope, though bearish bias lingers. Technical Setup -Weekly Chart: ---HVN above as resistance, weekly low as support. ---Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week). ---RSI 44 (less weak), MACD below signal (histogram narrowing) ---Bollinger Bands near lower band, ---Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -70 (easing from -74). -One-Hour Chart: ---Support at yesterday’s low, resistance at midday high, weekly confluence. ---RSI 42 (up from 40), ---MACD below signal (histogram less negative), ---Bollinger Bands near lower band, ---Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -72 (up from -76). -10-Minute Chart: ---Pre-market bounce attempt, 8/13/48 EMAs flat (less steep), ---RSI 42 (up from 38), ---MACD flat near zero. Options Data: ---GEX: Bearish (softening)—pinning pressure eased slightly overnight. ---DEX: Bearish (softening)—put delta leads but less aggressively. ---IV: Moderate—25–30% vs. 20–25% norm, steady volatility. ---OI: Put-heavy—high OI below close persists. ---Directional Bias: Bearish (softening). GEX’s reduced pinning suggests less dealer-driven downside, DEX’s put delta bias weakens, moderate IV supports some volatility but not extreme moves, and put-heavy OI anchors prices lower—still bearish but with less conviction. Sympathy Plays: --TNA (Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X): Falls 3x if IWM dumps, rises if IWM rebounds. --TZA (Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X): Gains if IWM dumps, fades if IWM rallies. --Opposite Mover: IWM dumps → TZA rallies; IWM rallies → TNA surges. Sector Positioning with RRG: --Sector: Broad Small-Cap ETF (Russell 2000). --RRG Position: Lagging Quadrant. Tariff/rate drag persists. Top 5 Movers (Russell 2000): SMCI (+2%), MARA (+1.5%), RIOT (+1%), CVNA (+0.8%), PLUG (+0.5%). Bottom 5 Movers (Russell 2000): AMC (-3.5%), RKT (-3%), UPWK (-2.5%), ZETA (-2%), RUN (-1.8%).
AMEX:IWM
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Intel - This Stock Is A Goldmine!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly respects all structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years Intel clearly established a significant downtrend, dropping about -70% after we saw the previous all time high. This bearish pressure is now ending though and if Intel manages to create a bullish reversal break and retest, a new uptrend is starting to form. Levels to watch: $25 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
30
Quantum's BAC Ultimate Weekly OutlookBAC (Bank of America Corporation) - Sector: Financials (Banking) Sentiment: Bearish. Put volume rises, RSI 45 weakens, X posts note banking fears from tariffs/economic uncertainty. Tariff Impact: Moderate. Tariffs may slow growth, impacting loans, but domestic focus softens the blow. Sentiment drives more than fundamentals. News/Catalysts: Banking sentiment shifts on X. Consumer Credit (April 8) could signal credit trends. Technical Setup: Weekly Chart: HVN above as resistance, weekly low as support. Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week). RSI 45 (neutral, fading), MACD below signal (negative histogram widening), Bollinger Bands near lower band, Donchian Channels below midline, Williams %R -68 (nearing oversold). One-Hour Chart: Support below, resistance near highs, weekly alignment. RSI 42, MACD below signal (negative histogram growing), Bollinger Bands at lower band, Donchian Channels below midline, Williams %R -74 (close to oversold). 10-Minute Chart: Bearish breakdown, 8/13/48 EMAs down, RSI 42 weakening, MACD flat near zero. Options Data: GEX: Bearish—pinning below close, dealers hedge puts to resist upside. DEX: Bearish—put delta leads, selling bias. IV: Moderate—slightly above norm (e.g., 25–30% vs. 20–25%), uncertainty raising prices. Supports GEX pinning, boosts DEX bearish bias. OI: Put-heavy—high OI at lower strikes, capping downside. Sympathy Plays: JPM (JPMorgan Chase): Moves in sync—rises if BAC takes off, falls if BAC dumps. C (Citigroup): Correlates via banking—gains with BAC rallies, drops with sell-offs. Opposite Mover: BAC dumps → defensive stocks like JNJ may rally; BAC rallies → JPM/C surge. Sector Positioning with RRG: Sector: Financials (Banking). RRG Position: Weakening Quadrant. BAC’s economic sensitivity fades vs. XLF as tariffs/rates weigh. Targets: Bullish +3% (hourly resistance); Bearish -5.1% (weekly support). Trade Idea: Weekly put (exp. April 11) on 10-min breakdown, target support, stop above close.
NYSE:BAC
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
USD Bear is here: Important Analysis on FX Pairs, Stock MarketIn this video I got over some important outlooks on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY along with outlook on the stock market. The U.S. Dollar has been getting absolutely crushed along with the stock market which usually has the opposite effect. Considering we may be into a stagflation scenario, this is not surprising. Tariffs have spiked volatility and puts the Federal Reserve in a very tight spot of Interest Rate Policy. Interesting times ahead to say the least. From a pure technical analysis point of view, the USD may be set for much further losses as monthly patterns suggest a big move may be on the horizon. Will be keeping a very close eye on these as we move forward in these stormy waters of the U.S. economy. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
2
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024. Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team. Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples: 1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan. 2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves. 3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround. 4. Psychological and Financial Consequences Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression. 5. Long-Term Sustainability Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability. In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling. -- Best 'squid' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Expand Energy (EXE) – Fueling Growth in the LNG BoomCompany Overview: Expand Energy NASDAQ:EXE is strategically positioned near the Gulf Coast, enabling it to capitalize on rising global LNG demand with a disciplined growth strategy. Key Catalysts: $2.7 Billion Capital Plan (2025) 💰 $500M for debt reduction & share buybacks, improving financial flexibility. Balances growth investments with shareholder returns. Production Expansion 📈 2024: 6.41 Bcfe/d 2025: 7.1 Bcfe/d 🚀 2026: 7.5 Bcfe/d 🌍 Scalable drilling & infrastructure investments enhance efficiency. Strategic LNG Market Positioning ⚡ Located near key export hubs, maximizing access to high-demand markets. Flexible capacity investments ensure adaptability to pricing trends. Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $95.00-$96.00 🚀 Upside Target: $140.00-$145.00 📈 Growth Drivers: LNG market demand, financial discipline, and production scalability. 🔥 Expand Energy – Driving the Next Wave of LNG Growth. #EXE #Energy #LNG
NASDAQ:EXELong
by Richtv_official
Wall Street vs GoldZilla. The End of 'Irrational Exuberance' Era"Irrational exuberance" is the phrase used by the then-Federal Reserve Board chairman, Alan Greenspan, in a speech given at the American Enterprise Institute during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. The phrase was interpreted as a warning that the stock market might be overvalued. Origin Greenspan's comment was made during a televised speech on December 5, 1996 (emphasis added in excerpt) Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? Greenspan wrote in his 2008 book that the phrase occurred to him in the bathtub while he was writing a speech. The irony of the phrase and its aftermath lies in Greenspan's widely held reputation as the most artful practitioner of Fedspeak, often known as Greenspeak, in the modern televised era. The speech coincided with the rise of dedicated financial TV channels around the world that would broadcast his comments live, such as CNBC. Greenspan's idea was to obfuscate his true opinion in long complex sentences with obscure words so as to intentionally mute any strong market response. The phrase was also used by Yale professor Robert J. Shiller, who was reportedly Greenspan's source for the phrase. Shiller used it as the title of his book, Irrational Exuberance, first published in 2000, where Shiller states: Irrational exuberance is the psychological basis of a speculative bubble. I define a speculative bubble as a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm, which spreads by psychological contagion from person to person, in the process amplifying stories that might justify the price increases, and bringing in a larger and larger class of investors who, despite doubts about the real value of an investment, are drawn to it partly by envy of others' successes and partly through a gamblers' excitement. The main technical graph represents a value of S&P500 Index in Gold troy ounces (current value 1.81 at time of writing this article), indicates that effusive Bull stock market goes collapsing. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Moderna. Why Anti-Covid19 Juggernaut Goes 'The Bloodmachine'It's gone 5 years or so... (Duh..? 5 years, really? 🥴) since everyone was talking about COVID-19 pandemic, vaccines, "world will never be the same again", and so on. - And now?.. - It's gone. It's absolutely gone..! Since nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind. This is why we at our 💖Super-Duper Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to build this idea, as a educational idea to learn, even this story is about single Moderna stock, and we have reasonable considerations about fundamental, technical and price movement perspectives. Well.. Let's the story begin... Over the past few years, Moderna's stock has experienced a significant decline, primarily due to several key factors. Here's a detailed explanation of why Moderna's stock has been moving downward: 1. Declining Demand for COVID-19 Vaccine The primary reason for Moderna's stock decline is the waning demand for COVID-19 vaccines. During the pandemic, Moderna's mRNA-based vaccine was one of the first and most widely used, leading to a surge in sales and profitability. However, as the pandemic transitioned into an endemic phase, demand for vaccines decreased substantially. This shift has resulted in declining sales for Moderna, impacting its revenue and profitability. 2. Sales Guidance and Performance In recent years, Moderna has faced challenges in meeting sales expectations. For instance, in 2025, the company forecasted sales between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion, which was significantly lower than analysts' expectations of around $2.9 billion. This discrepancy led to a sharp decline in stock prices as investors became increasingly pessimistic about the company's future growth prospects. 3. Cost-Cutting Measures To mitigate the impact of declining sales, Moderna has implemented cost-cutting measures. The company plans to reduce its cash operating costs by $1 billion in 2025 and an additional $500 million in 2026. While these efforts aim to improve profitability, they also reflect the challenges Moderna faces in maintaining its financial health without strong vaccine sales. 4. Competition in New Market s Moderna is expanding into new markets, such as the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine space, with its product mResvia. However, this market is highly competitive, with established players like Pfizer and GSK already present. The competition and uncertainty about market share have contributed to investor skepticism about Moderna's ability to drive growth through new products. 5. Delayed Break-Even Point Initially, Moderna aimed to break even on an operating cash cost basis by 2026. However, this goal has been pushed back to 2028, indicating a slower-than-expected transition to profitability. This delay has further eroded investor confidence in the company's ability to execute its strategic plans effectively. 6. Valuation and Market Performance Moderna's stock has underperformed both the industry and the broader market. The stock trades below its 200-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting a lack of momentum. Additionally, Moderna's price-to-sales ratio is lower than the industry average, which might suggest undervaluation but also indicates a lack of investor enthusiasm for the stock. 7. Analyst Sentiment and Profitability Forecasts Analysts have become increasingly pessimistic about Moderna's prospects, with many not expecting the company to turn profitable again until at least 2029. This negative outlook has contributed to the downward pressure on the stock. Furthermore, estimates for loss per share have increased, reinforcing the bearish sentiment among investors. In summary, Moderna's stock decline is primarily driven by declining vaccine demand, missed sales expectations, increased competition in new markets, delayed profitability, and negative analyst sentiment. While the company is taking steps to adapt to these challenges, the path to recovery remains uncertain, contributing to ongoing investor skepticism. -- Best 'No more Covid' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:MRNA
by PandorraResearch
1
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%. However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape. This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes. Trade Plan : Entry @ 20045 Stop Loss @ 19070 TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by LevelsBySBT
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now? Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide. Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue. As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry. 200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
HKEX:700
by moonypto
11
Tesla - There Is Hope For Bulls!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is just crashing recently: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high just a couple of weeks ago, we now witnessed a quite expected rejection of about -50%. However market structure remains still bullish and if we see some bullish confirmation, a substantial move higher will follow soon. Levels to watch: $260, $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
53
Chevron (CVX) – Strong Growth & Cash Flow ExpansionCompany Overview: Chevron NYSE:CVX continues to demonstrate strong operational efficiency, strategic expansion, and record-breaking U.S. production. Key Catalysts: Production Growth & Profitability 🚀 Global production up 7% in 2024. U.S. output surged 19% to record levels. Permian Basin nearing 1M bpd, reinforcing cash flow strength. Strategic Expansion & Sustainability 🌍 Gulf of Mexico projects targeting a boost from 200K to 300K bpd. Future Growth Project in Kazakhstan enhances long-term production & ESG alignment. Navigating Venezuelan challenges while leveraging stable U.S. policies for continued growth. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We remain bullish on CVX above $139.00-$140.00, backed by resilient production growth & execution. Upside Potential: Our price target is $215.00-$220.00, supported by strong cash flow & expansion initiatives. 🔥 Chevron – Powering the Future with Growth & Stability. #CVX #EnergyStocks #OilAndGas
NYSE:CVXLong
by Richtv_official
Gold Prices Doubled in 5 years. What Does It 'Historically' MeanOver the past five years, Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD have experienced a significant surge, doubling in value over the past 5 years, from mid-March 2020 to mid-March 2025. This is the 3rd time in history ever, the price of gold doubled in U.S. dollars (we counted only events when it has been observed first time only over 5-years time span). 🥇 The 1st time "A Doubling" event happened in the first quarter of 1973, when Gold hit $80 mark per ounce (google: "1973 Arab–Israeli War"). ⚒ What happened next with Gold prices after that? - Hmm.. Gold doubled in price again! (and even more) over the next three years. Watch historical charts to learn more. ⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half over the same next three years. 🥇 The 2nd time "A Doubling" event happened more than 30 years later, in the first quarter of 2006 when Gold prices hit $500 barrier by the end of the year 2005, for the first time since 1987. Some analysts blamed inflation in the US and concerns about the state of the global economy. ⚒ What happened next with Gold price after that? - Hmm.... Gold price also doubled in price again! (and even more) over next three years. Watch again historical charts to learn more. ⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half again over the same next three years (google: "2008 financial crisis"). 🥇 Now is the 3rd time "A Doubling" event has happened with Gold prices, first time over last almost 20 years. Several factors have contributed to this increase, including economic uncertainty, inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, central bank activity, and investment demand. Economic Uncertainty: Times of economic turmoil often drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset. The increase in global economic uncertainty has been a primary driver of gold's price surge. Inflation: The threat of inflation also contributes to the rising price of gold. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies during inflationary periods. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical instability encourages investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The Ukraine war, along with conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled the rise in gold prices. Central Bank Demand: Central banks' buying and easing cycles influence gold prices. Central banks often purchase gold to diversify their reserve holdings, and this demand can impact gold prices significantly. Investment Demand: Demand from technology, jewelry, and investors influences gold prices. Gold price movements are sometimes driven by investor demand. -- Best #GODL (Gold On Dear Life) wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Starbucks (SBUX) Brewing a Breakout? Don’t Miss This $100 BattleStarbucks (SBUX) 2-Hour Chart Breakdown Hey traders, let’s dive into Starbucks (SBUX) on the 2-hour chart and see what’s cooking. The price is sitting at $99.65 right now, up a tiny 0.01%, but don’t let that small move fool you—this chart has been a wild ride lately, and I think we’re at a really interesting spot for a potential trade. What’s Been Happening with the Price? If you look at the chart, you’ll see Starbucks hit a high of $112.38 back on March 17th. That was the peak, and man, did it come crashing down after that! The price tanked all the way to $97.34 by early April, a pretty steep drop. Since then, though, things have calmed down a bit, and we’ve been stuck in this tight range between $97.34 and $100.00. Lately, the price has been pushing toward the upper end of that range, and it’s got my attention. Let’s Talk Trends From mid-March to early April, we were in a clear downtrend. You can see it on the chart—lower highs, lower lows, and a descending trendline that kept the price in check as it slid down. It was a bear’s paradise, and there’s even a sell signal marked on the chart from that $112.38 peak that caught a massive 27.96% profit on the way down. Not bad at all! But now, things are starting to shift. After hitting that $97.34 low, the price has been consolidating, and just recently, it broke above that descending trendline. That’s a big deal because it tells me the bears might be losing their grip. We’re not in a full-on uptrend yet, but the momentum feels like it’s tilting toward the bulls, especially with the price testing that $100.00 level. Key Levels to Watch Let’s zoom in on the levels that matter here. On the downside, $97.34 has been a rock-solid support. The price has bounced off that level a couple of times in early April, so it’s a spot I’m keeping an eye on. If we drop back down, that’s where I’d expect buyers to step in again. On the upside, $100.00 is the big resistance we’re testing right now. The price has struggled to break through here before, so it’s a critical level. If we can get a clean break above it, I think we could see a nice move higher. The next big resistance after that would be around $107.00, which was a swing high from late March, and then up toward $111.00 or even that $112.38 peak if things really get going. What the Past Signals Tell Us The chart has a couple of trade signals marked, which give us some context. That sell signal at $112.38 was a home run, as I mentioned—27.96% profit as the price collapsed. Then there’s a buy signal at the $97.34 low on April 5th, but that one only managed a peak profit of 0.27%. Not exactly a big win, and it makes sense because the price has been stuck in this range since then. It’s like the market’s been taking a breather, trying to figure out its next move. Digging into the Technicals Alright, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of what’s happening on the chart. That break above the descending trendline is a bullish sign for me. It’s like the price is saying, “I’m done with this downtrend, let’s try something new.” We’re also in this consolidation range between $97.34 and $100.00, and when I see a range like that, I know a breakout is usually coming. The question is, which way? One thing that’s catching my eye is the potential for a double bottom pattern. We’ve got two tests of that $97.34 support, and if we can break above $100.00, that would confirm the pattern. If that happens, I’d measure the height of the pattern and project it upward, which could take us toward $107.00 as a first target. That’s something to watch for. I’d love to see volume on this chart to confirm the breakout, but from the price action alone, it feels like there’s some buying interest building as we push toward $100.00. If we get a strong candle closing above that level, I’ll be a lot more confident in the bulls. How I’d Trade This Setup So, what’s the play here? I see a few ways to approach this, depending on what the price does next. First, let’s talk about the bullish case. If we get a solid break above $100.00—ideally with a strong 2-hour candle and some good volume—I’d be looking to go long. My first target would be $107.00, and if we get some momentum, maybe even $111.00 or $112.38. I’d set my stop loss just below the recent swing low around $98.00 to protect myself in case this breakout fails. That trendline break and the potential double bottom make me think the bulls have a shot here. On the flip side, if the price gets rejected at $100.00—and I’ll be watching for something like a shooting star or a bearish engulfing candle—I’d consider a short. If we drop back down, $97.34 is the first target, and if that support breaks, we could even see $94.00, which is a psychological level and a spot where I’d expect some buyers to show up. For a short, I’d set my stop loss just above $100.65 to give it a little room. If you’re more of a scalper, you could play the range while we’re stuck in it. Buy near $97.34, sell near $100.00, and use tight stops outside the range—say, below $97.00 for longs and above $100.65 for shorts. It’s a decent way to grab some quick profits while we wait for the bigger move. A Word on Risk One thing I always remind myself is to keep risk in check. Starbucks has been volatile—look at that 27.96% drop from the peak! So, I’d be careful with my position size and aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on any breakout trade. Also, keep an eye out for any news that might shake things up, like earnings reports or big economic data releases. Starbucks is in the consumer discretionary sector, so things like consumer spending trends or even coffee prices could move the stock. The Bigger Picture Speaking of the broader market, Starbucks can be influenced by how the NASDAQ 100 is doing, since it’s listed there. If the overall market is feeling optimistic, that could help push SBUX higher. On the other hand, if there’s a risk-off vibe, we might see that $100.00 resistance hold strong. It’s always good to check the bigger picture before jumping into a trade. Wrapping It Up So, where does that leave us? Starbucks is at a really interesting spot right now, testing that $100.00 resistance after breaking above the descending trendline. I’m leaning toward a bullish breakout, especially with that potential double bottom pattern, but I’ll be watching closely to see if we get confirmation above $100.00. If we do, I think $107.00 is a realistic target, with $111.00 or higher in play if the bulls really take control. But if we get rejected here, $97.34 is the level to watch on the downside. For now, I’d say be patient and wait for the price to show its hand. Whether you’re looking for a breakout or playing the range, there’s definitely an opportunity here. Just make sure to manage your risk and stay on top of any news that might move the stock. Let’s see how this plays out I’ll be watching this one closely!
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by wolfchemist
1