US Technology Sector Futures. The Heartbreak HotelPresident Donald Trump's tariffs on imported tech goods, targeting China, the EU, Canada, and Mexico, are reshaping the U.S. technology sector through higher costs, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade risks. While intended to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce trade deficits, these measures are creating immediate economic strain across critical industries. Below is an analysis of their key negative impacts:
Rising Consumer Prices and Hardware Costs
The 25% tariff on EU semiconductors, 10% levy on Chinese goods, and 25% duties on Canadian/Mexican imports are projected to add $50 billion in new costs to North American tech supply chains. This directly affects consumer electronics:
Smartphones and laptops. Apple’s iPhone production in China exposes it to 10% tariffs, likely forcing U.S. price hikes.
Semiconductors. The U.S. relies on China and Taiwan for 80% of 20-45nm chips and 70% of 50-180nm chips, with tariffs disrupting access to essential components.
Cloud/AI infrastructure. Steel and aluminum tariffs (25%) increase data center construction costs, potentially raising prices for AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure services.
Experts warn companies may pass 60-100% of tariff costs to consumers rather than absorb profit losses.
Supply Chain Disruptions and North American Integration
The tariffs jeopardize tightly integrated North American production networks:
Cross-border dependencies. Components often cross U.S.-Mexico or U.S.-Canada borders multiple times during manufacturing. Christine McDaniel of the Mercatus Center notes this integration means tariffs “hurt the pricing power of the U.S.” by inflating domestic costs.
Critical material shortages. Canada supplies nickel and cobalt for batteries, while Mexico handles assembly for firms like Foxconn. Tariffs risk delays and renegotiations with suppliers.
Retaliatory measures. The EU may respond with fines or trade barriers against U.S. tech giants like Apple and Google, escalating tensions.
Sector-Specific Challenges
Semiconductors and Hardware
Chip shortages. With limited domestic foundry capacity, tariffs on EU semiconductors threaten AI development and device manufacturing.
Networking equipment. Proposed 10% tariffs on Chinese-made routers and modems could disrupt cloud providers reliant on these components.
Data Centers and AI
Construction delays. Steel/aluminum tariffs increase costs for server racks and cooling systems, potentially delaying $80 billion in planned U.S. data center investments.
AI infrastructure. Projects like the $500 billion Stargate initiative face higher expenses for imported components, slowing AI adoption.
Macroeconomic Risks
Trade deficit growth. Despite tariffs aiming to reduce the $1 trillion U.S. goods trade deficit, S&P Global warns retaliatory Chinese tariffs could worsen imbalances.
Job losses. Economic modeling suggests tariffs may cost 125,000+ U.S. tech jobs through reduced consumer spending and IT budget cuts.
Innovation slowdown. While firms like TSMC and Intel accelerate U.S. fab construction, short-term supply chain reallocations divert R&D funding.
Corporate Responses and Limitations
Some companies are attempting mitigation strategies:
Stockpiling. NVIDIA and AMD are urging partners to increase pre-tariff production.
Domestic shifts. Apple plans $500 billion in U.S. manufacturing, while TSMC pledged $160 billion for stateside fabs.
However, these efforts face scalability issues. Building advanced chip foundries takes 3-5 years, leaving gaps in critical components. Meanwhile, 65% of IT firms report difficulty finding tariff-free alternatives for Chinese inputs.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for US Technology Select Sector Futures CME_MINI:XAK1! (CME Group mode of AMEX:XLK - SPDR Select Sector Fund - S&P500 Technology ETF) indicates on further Bearish market in development since major support of 52-week SMA has been broken already, with possible upcoming Bearish cascade effects in the future.
It is also important to note the almost complete absence of a Trump-a-rally in the 2024 holiday quarter, which contributed to the formation of a multi-resistance top.
Conclusion
While the tariffs aim to strengthen U.S. tech autonomy, their immediate effects—higher prices, supply instability, and strained international relations—outweigh potential long-term benefits. With global IT spending still projected to grow 9% in 2025, the sector’s resilience is being tested by policy-driven headwinds that threaten America’s competitive edge in semiconductors, AI, and consumer electronics.
Investing in S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs seeks to provide precise exposure to companies from technology hardware, storage and peripherals; software; communications equipment; semiconductors and semiconductor equipment; IT services; and electronic equipment, instruments and components industries; allows investors to take strategic or tactical positions at a more targeted level than traditional wide style based investing.
S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs are designed for investing at a more targeted Technology level, since nearly 50 percent of holdings weight just a five well-known names:
Name Weight
APPLE INC NASDAQ:AAPL 15.61%
MICROSOFT CORP 12.83%
NVIDIA CORP NASDAQ:NVDA 11.91%
BROADCOM INC NASDAQ:AVGO 5.18%
SALESFORCE INC NYSE:CRM 3.11%
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Best 'Heartbreaking' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Stockmarketanalysis
BHARAT FORGE: INVERSE H&SThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components:
Structure of the Pattern:
Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally.
Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally.
Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher.
Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head.
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in Bharat Forge, with a neckline at ₹1100, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. A breakout above ₹1100, supported by strong volume, could confirm the pattern and trigger an upward move. The target price for this breakout is ₹1200, calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss below the right shoulder to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
SRF: Breakout of Symmetrical TriangleA symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern in technical analysis that forms when the price consolidates with lower highs and higher lows, creating a converging triangle shape. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation before the price breaks out in either direction.
SRF stock has already given a bullish breakout. One should go long on the stock with Stop loss below 2550 for the measured target of 3475-80 zone.
S&P500 Index Goes 'DRILL BABY DRILL' Mode due to Tariffs BazookaThe Trump administration's aggressive use of tariffs — we termed at @PandorraResearch Team a "Tariff' Bazooka" approach due to their broad, unilateral application — has exerted significant downward pressure on the S&P 500 index through multiple channels. These include direct impacts on corporate profitability, heightened trade war risks, increased economic uncertainty, and deteriorating market sentiment.
Direct Impact on Corporate Earnings
Tariffs raise costs for U.S. firms reliant on imported inputs, forcing them to either absorb reduced profit margins or pass costs to consumers. For example, intermediate goods like steel and aluminum—key inputs for manufacturing—face steep tariffs, squeezing industries from automakers to construction. Goldman Sachs estimates every 5-percentage-point increase in U.S. tariffs reduces S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) by 1–2%. The 2025 tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico, and China could lower EPS forecasts by 2–3%, directly eroding equity valuations6. Additionally, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners (e.g., EU levies on bourbon and motorcycles) compound losses by shrinking export markets.
Trade Escalation and Retaliation
The EU’s threat to deploy its Anti-Coercion Instrument—a retaliatory tool designed to counter trade discrimination—could trigger a cycle of tit-for-tat measures. For instance, Canada and Mexico supply over 60% of U.S. steel and aluminum imports, and tariffs on these goods disrupt North American supply chains. Retaliation risks are particularly acute for S&P 500 companies with global exposure: 28% of S&P 500 revenues come from international markets, and prolonged trade wars could depress foreign sales.
Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility
The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (FED website link added for learning purposes) surged to 740 points early in March 2025, nearing levels last seen during the 2020 pandemic. Historically, such spikes correlate with a 3% contraction in the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio as investors demand higher risk premiums. Trump’s inconsistent tariff implementation—delaying Mexican tariffs after negotiations but accelerating others—has exacerbated instability. Markets reacted sharply: the S&P 500 fell 3.1% in one week following tariff announcements, erasing all post-election gains.
Recession Fears and Sector-Specific Pressures
Tariffs have amplified concerns about a U.S. recession. By raising consumer prices and disrupting supply chains, they risk slowing economic growth—a fear reflected in the S&P 500’s 5% decline in fair value estimates under current tariff policies. Industries like technology (dependent on Chinese components) and agriculture (targeted by retaliatory tariffs) face acute pressure. For example, China’s tariffs on soybeans and pork disproportionately hurt rural economies, indirectly dragging down broader market sentiment.
Long-Term Structural Risks
Studies show tariffs fail to achieve their stated goals. MIT research found Trump’s 2018 steel tariffs did not revive U.S. steel employment but caused job losses in downstream sectors8. Similarly, the 2025 tariffs risk accelerating economic decoupling, as firms diversify supply chains away from the U.S. to avoid tariff risks. This structural shift could permanently reduce the competitiveness of S&P 500 multinationals.
Conclusion
In summary, Trump’s tariff strategy has destabilized equity markets by undermining corporate profits, provoking retaliation, and fueling macroeconomic uncertainty.
Overall we still at @PandorraResearch Team are Bearishly calling on further S&P 500 Index opportunities with further possible cascading consequences.
The S&P 500’s recent slump reflects investor recognition that tariffs act as a tax on growth—one with cascading consequences for both domestic industries and global trade dynamics.
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Best 'Drill Baby, Drill' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
A Huge Technical Re-Test of This Important TL Has Just Occurred!Trading Family,
Tariff FUD is recking traders rn. After breaking important support which started in Nov. '24, I knew the SPY was in trouble. My first target down was 563. We hit that and broke it. My second target down was 550. We are there right now! Will it hold? I don't know. TBH, I don't think any analyst that is honest knows. Investors have never seen Tariffs levied like they have been recently by the Trump admin. Noone really knows how this is going to impact the current economy, which is now global (big diff from the last U.S. tariff econ in the late 1800's).
But I can say that this is a big support which is the neckline of our large long-term Cup and Handle pattern started all the way back in Jan. of 2022! We did have one retest already. Usually, this is all that is needed. But apparently, the market wants another. Though the support is strong, remember, every time it is tagged, it weakens. Thus, if it can't hold this current downturn, I suspect it will drop hard from here should it break, possibly dropping all the way to 460. Be prepared for this and watch your trendline closely!
On the other hand, if it holds, I see a huge bounce incoming! We'll probably then go all the way back up to test the underside of that support (red with two with lines) that we broke. Hold on to your hats! We are living in unprecedented times with unprecedented market volatility.
The last item to note is that, once again, this all seems to be occurring at the same time that U.S. congress and senate are voting on a continuing resolution. Correlation does not necessarily equal causation however, in this case, I would suggest that should a U.S. gov't shutdown occur, our support will break and down we'll go. Should a CR pass, big bounce incoming. Stay tuned and watch the news closely for this. It seems to be a news driven event.
✌️ Stew
Indian market cannot go bullish until RUPEE becomes strong !a lot of analysts saying Dollar is going to week vs rupees but seeing technical chart, dollar is traded above 50 EMA and never come to touch since October. currently Dollar completed Symmetrical Pattern showing any upcoming momentum may happen, either bullish or bearish is just could say after seeing breakout/breakdown this pattern. To gain strength in Rupee it is required to give USDINR 50EMA breakdown or bearish crossover. Till then the rupee will remain weak and Indian stock market also.
S&P, NASDAQ, DOW JONES Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
Markets have been bearish due to mixed numbers employment, Fed statements, and uncertainty in US trade policies. Are the markets poised for a bounce back week? Perhaps. Traders will need to exercise patience before jumping in these volatile markets, waiting for the proper confirmations before we determine a bias. Once the markets tip their hand in that way, we can take advantage.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Reliance Industries: Case of Ending DiagonalTheory:
DIAGONAL:
Diagonal are the motive waves like an impulse wave, but diagonals are different from impulse wave in that they do follow the first two Sutras (rules of impulse wave) for wave analysis, but it does not follow the third one i.e. Wave 4 should not intervene the territory of the wave 1. In a diagonal wave 4 always enters into the price territory of the wave 1.
Properties Of Diagonals:
Diagonals can be contracting or expanding type being expanding diagonal a rare one.
In contracting type, wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, wave 5 is shorter than wave 3, and wave 4 is shorter than wave 2.
In expanding type, wave 3 is longer than wave 1, wave 5 is longer than wave 3, and wave 4 is longer than wave 2.
Types Of Diagonals:
LEADING DIAGONAL
ENDING DIAGONAL
LEADING DIAGONAL: In a leading diagonal , waves 1,3, and 5 are all impulsive in nature or all in corrective form of zigzags. Wave 2 and wave 4 are always present in a zigzag form. A leading diagonal suggests the starting of a new wave & that is why it can develop wave 1 of a impulse wave and a first wave of a zigzag pattern.
ENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat.
After the termination of the diagonal , a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal has began. (generally it retrace back to the wave-2 of the diagonal structure)
TRADING PLAN:
Stock is likely to hold above 1156 on any weakness and recover towards 1290-1300 in the coming days and weeks ahead.
NVIDIA Stock Goes Diving-Dressed ahead of Dotcom Crash RepeatingNvidia’s stock recently experienced a significant decline, tanked to 6-month low reflecting a mix of investor sentiment shifts, market dynamics, and company-specific concerns.
Here’s our @PandorraResearch Team ̶M̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ ̶j̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ fundamental and technical breakdown of what is going on with Nvidia stock NASDAQ:NVDA and why:
1. Cooling AI Enthusiasm
Nvidia has been at the forefront of the AI boom, with its chips powering advanced AI platforms. However, investor optimism about AI-related stocks has begun to wane. While Nvidia reported impressive revenue growth (122% in recent earnings), its future guidance failed to meet sky-high expectations. Investors are increasingly concerned that the returns from AI investments may take longer to materialize than initially anticipated. This cooling enthusiasm has led to a reassessment of Nvidia’s valuation, contributing to the stock's decline.
2. High Valuation Concerns
Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had soared to levels significantly higher than industry averages, reflecting lofty expectations for its future growth. At its peak, Nvidia was trading at 45 times expected earnings, compared to the S&P 500’s average of 22 times. Such high valuations often make stocks vulnerable to corrections when market sentiment changes or growth slows. The recent sell-off suggests that some investors are beginning to view Nvidia’s stock as overvalued.
3. DOJ Antitrust Investigation
Another factor weighing on Nvidia’s stock is news of a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) subpoena investigating potential antitrust violations. The probe reportedly focuses on whether Nvidia’s business practices limit customer options or stifle competition. While no formal charges have been filed, such investigations create uncertainty and make investors jittery about regulatory risks.
4. Broader Market Pressures
The decline in Nvidia’s stock also coincides with broader market challenges. Rising interest rates and concerns about the U.S. economy have led many investors to shift away from high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia toward more stable, rate-sensitive investments. Additionally, a general downturn in the Nasdaq Composite index has amplified the pressure on Nvidia shares.
5. Profit-Taking After a Massive Rally
Before its recent drop, Nvidia had seen meteoric gains—its stock surged over 120% in one year and briefly became the world’s most valuable company. Such rapid growth often attracts profit-taking as traders sell off shares to lock in gains. Analysts described this as a "routine selloff" after an extraordinary rally.
Technical challenge
The main technical 3-month log scaled graph for Nvidia's stock indicates on unattainable highs never seen before since Dotcom crash, reached through a massive long term path inside upside channel.
Conclusion
Nvidia’s stock decline is driven by a combination of factors: tempered AI optimism, valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, broader economic pressures, and profit-taking after an exceptional run-up. While some analysts remain bullish on Nvidia due to its dominance in AI hardware, others see the pullback as a natural correction in response to overextended valuations and shifting market conditions.
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Best schadenfreude wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
PARQ.N00001. Current Trend and Price Action
Uptrend: The stock is in a strong bullish trend, with consistent higher highs and higher lows evident in the weekly chart.
Key Resistance Levels:
The stock is approaching a critical resistance zone between 36.7 (0.618 Fibonacci level) and 38.0 (0.65 Fib level). These levels could act as barriers unless strong buying momentum continues.
Support Levels:
Immediate support is at 32.5 (0.5 Fibonacci level). If the stock pulls back, this level should act as a strong support zone.
Additional support lies at 27.2 (0.382 Fib level) if further corrections occur.
2. Fibonacci Analysis
The 0.618 (Golden Pocket) zone at 36.7 is a critical level to watch. If the stock breaks above this zone, it may head toward the 0.786 Fib level (~43.4).
All-Time High Target: The 1.0 Fibonacci level at 52.0 represents the potential all-time high target if the uptrend continues.
3. Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is currently at 76.89, indicating that the stock is in the overbought region. This suggests a potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation before continuing the upward momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The recent candles show strong bullish momentum, supported by rising volume. However, caution is needed as the price approaches the resistance levels.
4. Observations
Bullish Case: If PARQ breaks above 38.0, the next target would likely be 43.4, followed by 52.0 as the long-term target.
Bearish Case: Failure to break the 36.7 - 38.0 resistance zone could result in a pullback toward 32.5 or even 27.2.
Will the EUR/USD recover? - Is the Stock Market on the verge...In this market preview, I go over the EUR/USD, GBP/USD & USD/JPY with the primary focus on the EUR/USD. Will it recover or give out and test lower lows...
Also, ETF's that I am watching and keeping an eye on a potential bearish tone for the stock market.
I also share a small update on Crypto trade MATIC.
As always, good luck and trade safe.
Nifty Future Analysis
1. Price Action & Trend Analysis
The NIFTY Futures has been in a strong downtrend since October 2024, with lower highs and lower lows.
A black downward trendline is clearly acting as a dynamic resistance, rejecting price multiple times.
2. Gann Fan Analysis:
The Gann fan lines are visible, providing different angles of support and resistance.
The key Gann angles to watch:
1/1 Line (Steep Downtrend Line): The price is trending below this, indicating a strong bearish trend.
2/1 and 3/1 Lines: These are acting as resistance levels, confirming the selling pressure.
If price moves above the 1/1 Gann line, a potential reversal could be seen, but as of now, it remains below the bearish zone.
3. Volume & Market Sentiment
Latest Volume: 9.18M, which is relatively lower compared to 1 week ago (30.2M) but higher than the previous day (7.25M).
This suggests decreasing participation in the downtrend, which could indicate potential consolidation before the next move.
4. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
22,200-22,400: Current support based on Fibonacci & previous price action.
21,600-21,800: Next strong demand zone if selling continues.
20,800-21,000: Long-term support (historical demand zone).
Resistance Zones:
23,407-23,500: First resistance (Fib 0.382 & Gann fan level).
23,800-24,000: Major resistance (Fib 0.618, Gann fan rejection area).
24,500-24,760: Strongest resistance (Fib 0.75 + supply zone).
5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
Bearish Bias: The market remains in a strong downtrend.
Possible Short Setup: If price breaks below 22,200, the next target would be 21,600.
Bullish Reversal Above 23,500: A move above this level could shift momentum toward 23,800-24,000.
Tesla - Elon Is Playing The Charts!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high resistance and closed with a massive rejection wick. This means that a correction - which is currently happening - is expected and after the bullish break and retest, we will then finally see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $280, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY!I believe Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM CBOE:MAGS TVC:VIX
In this video, I will go over what I believe is going on in the markets and where we will go next from here.
Doing all this while looking at all the probabilities and what they are telling us.
Not financial advice
ASI Update - 17/02/2025🔹 The ASI Index remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish momentum pushing prices towards major resistance zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance:
17,837 → 1.618 Fibonacci Extension and a critical resistance level.
17,093 - 17,092 → Short-term resistance before Fib extension.
🔻 Support:
16,728 → Key support if ASI pulls back.
16,242 - 15,523 → Major demand zones.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If 17,837 is broken with volume, ASI could continue its rally towards new highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break resistance may lead to a pullback towards 16,728 or lower support levels.
📝 Conclusion:
ASI remains bullish, but traders should watch for reactions at resistance levels.
A breakout above 17,837 would confirm further upside, while a pullback would provide potential re-entry zones.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
#CSE #ASI #SriLankaStocks #StockMarket #TradingView
Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency
Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market.
Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum
The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations.
The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers.
Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration
Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established.
Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion
In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎
What's happening in Indian Stock Market-Nifty Update 21 Feb 2025Hello Members,
Checkout the latest update on what's is happening in India Stock Market and when will the correction in market gets over. Checkout the levels and also do not forget to watch watch our previous videos for better understanding the levels
Robinhood (HOOD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD is a pioneer in commission-free trading, catering to younger investors with its intuitive, mobile-first platform. The company’s ecosystem includes 25.1 million investment accounts and $152 billion in assets under custody, creating opportunities for recurring revenue streams and cross-selling financial products.
Key Catalysts:
CME Futures Integration 📊
The recent integration of CME Group futures trading allows users access to commodities and index futures, expanding Robinhood’s offerings for more advanced traders. This could add over $200 million in annual revenue, enhancing platform monetization.
Crypto Market Expansion ₿
With a strong presence in bitcoin and ether trading, Robinhood is well-positioned to capitalize on growth in crypto adoption, particularly as regulatory clarity improves in the U.S.
Recurring Revenue Streams 💵
Robinhood’s diversified revenue base includes interest income, premium subscriptions (Robinhood Gold), and securities lending, all of which provide consistent income and bolster financial stability.
Expanding User Base 📈
Continued growth in Robinhood’s user base and account activity drives the platform’s potential for monetization, supported by new product launches and user engagement strategies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on HOOD above the $46.00-$47.00 range, supported by product expansion, crypto growth, and increasing user engagement.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $80.00-$82.00, reflecting confidence in Robinhood’s ability to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on new financial products.
📢 Robinhood—Redefining Retail Trading with Innovation and Expansion. #CommissionFreeTrading #HOOD #Crypto