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SPX Daily TA Neutral BearishSPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% SPX, 60% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . The Employment Situation was released this morning and 263k nonfarm workers were added to the economy in September while Unemployment edged back down to 3.5% from 3.7% in August. The 17th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate came in at 2.9% today compared to 2.7% on 10/05 . Cleveland Fed President Mester tried to warn us of rising Unemployment yesterday and it came down today instead, maybe the Federal Reserve is hiring thousands of nonfarm workers to get together and figure out how to bring down inflation. NY Fed President Williams said today that he envisions another aggressive rate hike in November (likely 75bps) and that he too sees a slowdown in job markets in 2023 accompanied by higher interest rates and lower inflation . In response to the oil production cut by OPEC+, The White House Admin tapped into the SPR yet again, bringing its total emergency oil reserves down to the lowest they've been in forty years . With midterm elections coming up in the USA, it's hard not to see this move by the White House as politically motivated. Key Upcoming Dates: FOMC Minutes at 2pm EST 10/12; September US CPI at 830am EST 10/13; September US Retails Sales at 830am EST 10/14; 18th GDPNow US Q3 GDP Estimate 10/14; UofM October Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 10/15.* Price is currently testing $3658 minor support + the weak descending trendline from July 2021 at ~$3633 as support after being rejected by the lower trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3800. Volume remains High (low) and has favored sellers in the past two sessions. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $3605, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently testing 38 support after breaking below the uptrend line from January 2022 at ~41. Stochastic crossed over bearish today and is trending down at 78 as it approaches 76.29 support with no signs of trough formation. MACD is currently trending down at -81 after being rejected by -76.22 minor resistance and is on the verge of crossing over bearish if it gets below -86; it's still technically testing the uptrend line from March 2020 at ~-80 as support. ADX is currently completing a trough and beginning to trend up slightly at 28 as Price is rejected by the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3800. If Price is able to bounce here at the weak descending trendline from July 2021 (~$3633) then it will have to close above $3658 minor support in order to be able to retest the lower trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3800 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $3517 minor support for the first time since November 2020. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $3658.
SP:SPX
by dailytaguy
4
Buying AGS on dips.Ageas - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 36.61 (stop at 35.38) Buying posted close to the previous low of 36.56. Levels below 37.00 continue to attract buyers. We look to buy dips. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Short term momentum is bearish. We look for a temporary move lower. The primary trend remains bullish. Our profit targets will be 39.66 and 40.66 Resistance: 40.00 / 41.50 / 43.00 Support: 38.30 / 37.50 / 36.50 Daily chart Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURONEXT:AGSLong
by Saxo
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 07/Oct/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty continued with it's excellent performance but profit booking brought Bank Nifty back to gap-up opening level. Initially bulls got good chance to earn, later option writers took over and finally profit booking gave chance to bears as well. We need to trade cautiously at higher levels as US dollar index started heating up again. Traders are able to make money who really have good technical knowledge even after taking couple of stop losses. PLEASE REVIEW MY LAST ONE MONTHS CHARTS THEN YOU WILL REALISE THAT BANK NIFTY AS WELL AS NIFTY IS RESPECTING LEVELS REALLY WELL. LEARNING: WORK LEVEL BY LEVEL WITH STRICT SL (STOPLOSS) AND MAXIMISE PROFIT USING TRAILING SL. BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 06/OCT/2022 BANK NIFTY IS UP BY 173 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 39283 39110 172.80 0.44% India VIX 19.32 19.57 -0.25 -1.30% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 13/OCT/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 40000 (Open Interest: 1448900, CE LTP: 207) Max OI (Puts) 38500 (Open Interest: 1195050, PE LTP: 180.45) PCR 0.87 (PCR is in bearish zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Shall we continue to look for buy on dips opportunity at support levels & sell on rise near resistance levels with strict SL????? Yes, I think so in case we get quality trading setup in either direction. What do you think? Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
2
Selling FCEL 50% pullback.FuelCell Energy - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4.33 (stop at 4.61) Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (3.15 - 4.40) and we expect this to continue. Daily signals are bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 4.34 found sellers. 4.39 has been pivotal. Our profit targets will be 3.61 and 3.21 Resistance: 3.80 / 4.00 / 4.40 Support: 3.25 / 3.15 / 3.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:FCELShort
by Saxo
Lucid at oversold extremes.Lucid Group - 30D - We look to Buy at 13.61 (stop at 12.59) We are trading at oversold extremes. 13.25 has been pivotal. Bespoke support is located at 14.00. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. We look to buy dips. Prices have reacted from 13.53. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Our profit targets will be 16.08 and 16.98 Resistance: 16.00 / 17.50 / 19.00 Support: 14.00 / 13.25 / 12.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Saxo
1
SPX Daily TA Cautiously BullishSPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% SPX, 35% Cash. * S&P September US PMI came in at 52 compared to 51.5 and beating the consensus estimate of 51.8. Though marginal, September PMI increasing as DXY continues to go up and inflation remains high implies that the demand outlook improved slightly since August, which is odd considering that many central banks continue to raise key interest rates around the world. The best explanation thus far is that reopening effects are still at play. Rumors of a Russian nuclear weapons convoy and the world's largest submarine with nuclear weapon capabilities being on the move broke earlier today . Key Upcoming Dates: FOMC Member Loretta Mester speaks twice on 10/06; September US Employment Situation at 830am EST 10/07; FOMC Members Kashkari, Waller and Williams speak on 10/07; FOMC Minutes at 2pm EST 10/12; September US CPI at 830am EST 10/13; September US Retails Sales at 830am EST 10/14; UofM October Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 10/15.* Price is currently continuing to test $3658 minor support for what is now the seventh consecutive session and managed to close back above it in today's session. Volume is High (low) and broke a two day streak of seller dominance by favoring buyers in today's session; Price is currently trading in the fourth largest supply/demand zone. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $3728, this is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently testing 38.06 resistance after bouncing off the uptrend line from August 2015 at ~33 (this is bullish), if it breaks above it will likely test the uptrend line from January 2022 at ~41 as resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 32 but is still technically testing 18.22 resistance; the next resistance is at 48. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending up at -108 after forming a trough at -110, although it's still technically testing the uptrend line from March 2020 at ~-83 it would have to break above ~-91 to crossover bullish. ADX is currently beginning to form a soft peak at 31 as Price is seeing buying pressure, this is mildly bullish at the moment as it signifies a potential trend change. If Price is able to close above $3658 minor support for a second consecutive session then it will likely test the lower trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3800 as resistance . However, if Price breaks back down below $3658 minor support , it will likely retest $3517 minor support for the first time since November 2020. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes below) $3658.
SP:SPX
by dailytaguy
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 04/Oct/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty was clearly choppy and trading within a range. It has touched day's lower & upper range perfectly as per chart posted yesterday. US/Global as well as Indian markets became highly volatile. Nifty is down significantly but still closed above 50 DMA. Bulls Vs Bears fight is going on. It will interesting to watch Nifty will break the range on long or short side. NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 03/OCT/2022 NIFTY IS DOWN BY -207 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 16887 17094 -207.00 -1.21% India VIX 21.37 19.97 1.40 7.00% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 06/OCT/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 17000 (Open Interest: 7613750) Max OI (Puts) 16000 (Open Interest: 5032350) PCR 0.67 (PCR is in oversold zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Covering, OTM:Short Covering, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity at support levels & sell on rise with strict SL at higher levels as long as Nifty trading within a range? Yes, I think so. What do you think? Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
S&P 500 to outperform Eurostoxx 50 as recession hits Europe?The S&P 500 index may perform noticeably better than the European stock market ( STOXX 50 ) in the event that the European Union experiences a sharp economic downturn. The S&P 500 to EURO STOXX 50 ratio, which gauges the relative strength of the US stock market in comparison to the EU stock market, has been largely flat so far in 2022. In the past, when the Euro Area economy contracted faster than that of the United States, the S&P 500 index significantly outperformed its European counterpart. The S&P 500 gained 50% more than the EURO STOXX 50 between August 2001 and December 2003, at a time when the Euro Area's GDP growth was materially lower to that of the United States. The S&P 500 outperformed the EURO STOXX 50 by 82% between May 2007 and October 2012, as the EU economy lagged far behind the US. More recently, from October 2017 to July 2020, the US stock market recorded another period of outperformance relative to the European stock market, with the S&P 500 rising 56% relative to the EURO STOXX 50 amid a global economic downturn and the pandemic outbrake. What is coming up next? The EURO STOXX 50 could enter another period of relative underperformance relative to the S&P 500 if another significant economic slowdown occurs in Europe due to the impact of the energy crisis and inflation on consumption and investments. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
SP:SPX
by Capitalcom
Renault to breakdown.Renault - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 26.79 (stop at 27.56) Short term momentum is bearish. There is no sign that this bearish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing low of 26.90. Bespoke support is located at 27.00. A break of 26.90 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Daily signals are mildly bearish. The bias is to break to the downside. Our profit targets will be 25.01 and 24.51 Resistance: 28.00 / 29.00 / 30.00 Support: 27.00 / 26.00 / 25.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by Saxo
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 03/Oct/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty was clearly trending after RBI's policy. Every dip was bought. This relief rally was much awaited by traders. Those who waited patiently for RBI's policy got rewarded heavily. PCR shifted from oversold to buying zone within a day. Those who worked level by level also got benefitted heavily by reversing their trades after SL got hit on short side. Short covering lifted Nifty to 300 plus points from day's low. ATM bullish positions are build and short covering happened in ITM calls clearly indicating strength on bullish side. It will be interesting to see if relief rally will be sold again. WORK LEVEL-BY-LEVEL WITH STRICT SL. NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 30/SEP/2022 NIFTY IS UP BY 276 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 17094 16818 276.25 1.64% India VIX 19.97 21.30 -1.33 -6.27% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 06/OCT/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 17500 (Open Interest: 4488900) Max OI (Puts) 16700 (Open Interest: 4867300) PCR 1.16 (PCR is in buying Zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity after initial gap-up & sell on rise with strict SL at higher levels? Yes, I think so. What do you think? Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 03/Oct/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty was clearly trending after RBI's policy. Every dip was bought. Those who waited patiently for RBI's policy got rewarded heavily. PCR shifted from oversold to buying zone within a day. Those who worked level by level also got benefitted heavily by reversing their trades after SL got hit on short side. Short covering lifted Bank Nifty to 1000 plus points from day's low. ATM bullish positions are build and short covering happened in ITM calls clearly indicating strength on bullish side. It will be interesting to see if relief rally will be sold again in 2nd half. WORK LEVEL-BY-LEVEL WITH STRICT SL. BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 30/SEP/2022 BANK NIFTY IS UP BY 984 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 38632 37648 984.20 2.61% India VIX 19.97 21.30 -1.33 -6.27% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 06/OCT/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 41000 (Open Interest: 2106075) Max OI (Puts) 37500 (Open Interest: 1833250) PCR 1.08 (PCR is in buying Zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Long Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Shall we look for buy on dips opportunity after initial gap-up & sell on rise with strict SL at higher levels? Yes, I think so. What do you think? Please do share your comments. Let us work & win together. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by manishmgupta
2
Barclays has no bulls at all. Yet.Barclays - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 140.42 (stop at 134.98) Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (140.00 - 175.00) and we expect this to continue. We are trading at oversold extremes. Short term momentum is bearish. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. Support is located at 140.00 and should stem dips to this area. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended. Our profit targets will be 154.48 and 159.48 Resistance: 150.00 / 155.00 / 160.00 Support: 144.00 / 140.00 / 135.00 Daily perspective Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
LSE:BARCLong
by Saxo
1
VIX Feels Like a Smoldering Volcano 🌋 Post-2020 Parabolic MoveThe consolidation pattern in the $VIX goes back to June 2020 after the initial COVID flash-crash scenario. From June '21 to November '21, you started to see a bottoming formation turning into a new uptrend , subtle as might've been. The uptrend has chopped around in this rising channel since the end of 2021 up until the recent false breakdown during August 2022. This head fake has allowed the $VIX to retake the bottom of the channel and continue up and up after every headline the market fears. Despite the approach of overbought levels, the bear market rally on Wednesday, September 28 gave volatility room to run. It appears probable a consolidation pattern around 36-38 will level off the relative strength as of late, occurring for the month of October when the market could stage a short-term rally. Coincidentally, this will set up the $VIX right into the midterm elections... To be clear, sirens won't start popping off on $SPY $QQQ and $DIA until a decisive, sustained move over 36.79 occurs. If that happens, a move to 47.20 seems like a no-brainer. Notably, that is a test of the top of the rising channel , confirming 2 technical scenarios with the midterm elections as the catalyst for the next leg. Keep your head on a swivel and keep an eye on the volatility of $VIX $TLT and $DXY for directional signposts in the broader market. Also, it's important to remember Jerome Powell and other Fed officials, Russian tensions, Europe energy or monetary headlines, and CPI could all eliminate this hypothesis.
TVC:VIXLong
by zwburger