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VIX: Another Warning Sign!Hello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX). In this chart, you can see the VIX moving along a support trendline. When the VIX spikes upwards that means the markets (specifically S&P 500; generally all markets) start to move downwards. Every few years the VIX starts to slowly move upwards on a new support and resistance trend line before coming back down to the bottom support line. The current structure of the VIX looks very similar to the formation of the Great Recession so I show that on the chart as a possibility. I also note two support and resistance lines which the VIX could move on as it moves higher. Lastly noted is the RSI which is moving up a support line. This is a monthly chart so have some patience. I may be completely wrong with the prediction of the VIX moving higher, but with the inflation issue, global economic condition, stock markets crashing, companies preparing for a downturn, interest rates moving higher, the US Dollar Index (DXY) moving higher and crypto market crashing, I would assume my prediction may be on point. Click on the chart below on why I exited the crypto and stock market in December 2021: If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
CBOE:VIXLong
by MillionaireEconomics
10
COIN Coinbase: Where Is It Headed?Hello friends, today you can review the technical analysis on a 1D linear scale chart for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), a stock traded on the Nasdaq exchange. Please review the chart as it is self explanatory. The overall pattern is a bearish one so there is concern for potential downside. Also noted in the chart: Volume, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI (relative strength index), MACD, and Fibonacci Retracement. If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Have you read my recent Bitcoin chart and analysis on finding the bottom. See below: Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
NASDAQ:COIN
by MillionaireEconomics
3
VIX Feels Like a Smoldering Volcano 🌋 Post-2020 Parabolic MoveThe consolidation pattern in the $VIX goes back to June 2020 after the initial COVID flash-crash scenario. From June '21 to November '21, you started to see a bottoming formation turning into a new uptrend , subtle as might've been. The uptrend has chopped around in this rising channel since the end of 2021 up until the recent false breakdown during August 2022. This head fake has allowed the $VIX to retake the bottom of the channel and continue up and up after every headline the market fears. Despite the approach of overbought levels, the bear market rally on Wednesday, September 28 gave volatility room to run. It appears probable a consolidation pattern around 36-38 will level off the relative strength as of late, occurring for the month of October when the market could stage a short-term rally. Coincidentally, this will set up the $VIX right into the midterm elections... To be clear, sirens won't start popping off on $SPY $QQQ and $DIA until a decisive, sustained move over 36.79 occurs. If that happens, a move to 47.20 seems like a no-brainer. Notably, that is a test of the top of the rising channel , confirming 2 technical scenarios with the midterm elections as the catalyst for the next leg. Keep your head on a swivel and keep an eye on the volatility of $VIX $TLT and $DXY for directional signposts in the broader market. Also, it's important to remember Jerome Powell and other Fed officials, Russian tensions, Europe energy or monetary headlines, and CPI could all eliminate this hypothesis.
TVC:VIXLong
by zwburger
$DOWI #US30 Watch This Level For A Possible BounceTraders and Investors, With the dollar strength the indices have been taking a beating. US30, US500 and US100 have been following the same pattern but the leading one is still Dow Jones (US30). So far: 1. It has crossed the 200 sma on the weekly timeframe so a bounce/retest is expected at some point. 2. There is an FCP zone coming around round number 29000 which can act as support 3. An extended M FCP pattern is forming and will complete around the FCP zone. So watch this area closely to find a confirmation to go long for a bounce. Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
U
by vikinsa
Spy is now going to retest 320 now that 380 level has broken.FED doesn't speak again till nov first and second. They can't drag this bad market up now. September 7th to 14th they were not doing QT but buying according to their balance sheet. Every end of the month they start unloading. macd flipping on weekly for spy and QQQ Watch for earnings in October to destroy this( Fed ex showed us the way) DCA Points if going long are at 320, 275, 226, according to fibs. Watch capitulation around 100 monthly moving average on spy (will be around 300 by November) What am I doing? Long position on SQQQ DCAing on stock market at those points outlined within reason.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Okbronpbro
1
$SPX downhill without brakesFear inside Wall Street The CNN Business Fear & Greed Index, which measures seven gauges of market sentiment, is once again showing signs of Fear on Tuesday as the broader market plunged. The VIX, a volatility index that is one of the seven components of the Fear & Greed Index, shot up nearly 8%. The Fear & Greed index was in Fear mode a week ago as well but it had recently moved back into Neutral territory following a 4-day winning streak for stocks. That streak is coming to a spectacular end thanks to the hotter than hoped for consumer price index report, as investors worry that the Federal Reserve is going to raise rates even more aggressively next week to fight persistent inflationary trends. Wall Street's mood has largely tracked the rapidly changing expectations regarding inflation and rate hikes. Just a month ago, before Fed chair Jerome Powell gave a speech that suggested more big rate increases were coming, the Fear & Greed Index was indicating levels of Greed, a sign of complacency.
SP:SPX
by icheeetah
How Far Will The Indices' Correction Go?My original analysis of the S&P began on the daily chart but I'm gonna use the 4-Hour chart to better illustrate my point. On the daily chart, a demand level was formed during the mid-part of July. I marked out a specific point but that whole breakout area can be considered underlying support. What I see here is that we are still in a major uptrend, despite what has happened these past few months. In this case, however, I still think that the corrective downmove still has some room to run. With that being said, if price is able to clear out this current supply zone (4000-4075), then I see price getting up to the 4160-4200 area. This may be the more likely scenario since daily demand appears to be in control. However, if weakness occurs at the present level (which is a possibility since we're hitting supply), then I don't see any significant demand coming into the market until we hit the 2900 area. Conclusion: From a long-term perspective, this is a wait-and-see type of deal. For the short-term trader, there are many opportunities to be found whichever direction prices move. One opportunity I see is a long at 4020.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by sccapital_fx
1
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 30/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. Global cues are quite negative. FIIs sold in cash as well as F&O contracts by -6000 plus crores. Today also Dow Jones and Nasdaq are trading in red. India VIX has jumped up by 8.83%. Crude started boiling again. US Dollar & US 10Y bond yields are maintaining at quite high level. Shall continue to look for sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative? Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by manishmgupta
The Resemblance is Far Too UncannyThis chart is rather simply mocked up. However the resemblance of how the last 7 years before the 2001 stock market crash and the last 7 years leading up to the 2021 stock market crash were rather uncanny to say the least. Even more so, almost to the day/week how the patterns have resembled the exact formation of the 2001 cycle almost to the exact percentages. Anyone who believes that history repeats it self, or more or less has a similar Rhythm to the past, or is just curious to see if the next 440 play out in a similar pattern to what I believe will be a new low. Please save this post and give it a boost so that others get a chance to benefit from it in the same way you did. Thanks
SP:SPX
by Ryan1993
1
FEDEX SHORT (FDX SHORT) :(Hello, I have explained many things about the recession in my idea about the world crisis of 2023. And other articles such as the OIL SHORT, or THE BITCOIN CRASH (I will leave all these ideas linked.) But here I want to delve deeper into supply chains. I'm here again to show you a SHORT idea against FedEx , that company that is in the middle of all the orders in the world. What would we do without transportation chains? They are always in the middle of "customers", "retailers", manufacturers" and "suppliers". Transport chains like FedEx are very necessary, since without them the orders could not be transported. Now the words: "customers", "retailers", manufacturers" and "suppliers". Sounds me as a special effect, THE BULLWHIP EFFECT. You know, the BULLWHIP EFFECT, as the name suggests: "bullwhip", with a small change in the "whip", could cause devastating effects in the "whiplash". I recommend to search on Google about the Bullwhip Effect, there are nice videos on YouTube. The bullwhip effect in demand forecasting arises when each channel member forecasts demand based on information derived from the ordering patterns of an immediate inferior member. It basically consists in that consumer demand does not present significant fluctuations, while inventories reveal important changes, showing a decrease or excess in stock levels. If, in the different links of the supply chain, they do not handle constant and true information on their inventories and consumer demand for their products, the bullwhip effect gains strength, generating an excess of safety stock, which, as is known, radically increases the cost. , the end product. What are the causes of this effect? Lack of information between suppliers and intermediate buyers. Management without order in production orders, generating volatility in shipments. Possible periods without demand for the goods. Possibilities of obtaining wholesale discounts (Which generates time problems). Inflated or strategic orders. (Taking advantage of market conditions). Supply uncertainty. It can generate unnecessary orders. This effect is so devastating that it is very difficult to detect it really, but it is more difficult to detect it if we are in a "SLUMPFLATION"... I was not amused when the media said that the crisis would not yet come. OBVIOUSLY I don't want any crisis. What I don't want is for the crisis to be worse. They always make the same mistake, they hide the real data and say that the recession hasn't arrived yet. But in a few months the recession was sooner than expected. What is in the middle of all the BULLWHIP EFFECT? - Answer: "Transport Chains" Actually the transport chains will also be affected, just put on some music in a dark room, close your eyes, and think about it. Don't let your money foolishly burn! Bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble... SPLASH! I do not have much to add. You just need to do a little research on the internet, DON'T TRUST ANYONE, NOT THE FED, NOR THE PRESIDENT, NOR THE INTERNET, NOR DO YOU TRUST ME. You can only trust yourself and your research that you have done. I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND PLEASE SEARCH THE INFORMATION ON YOUR OWN, BEFORE MAKING ANY DECISION. YOU AND YOU ONLY ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR INVESTMENTS AND IN NO WAY WILL I BE RESPONSIBLE IF YOU USE THIS IDEA THAT I AM SHARING HERE. Thank you very much for reading this article and not closing it like others. Have a nice day, Esiquiel.
NYSE:FDXShort
by TheWaterBottle
8
aapl weekly chart bounce or break?aapl at inflection point of support/resistance on the chart after creating a weekly higher low will it confirm old resistance as support and bounce or breakdown and make new lows so i am looking for it to hold the 50 ema on the weekly for any possibility for upside if we break that and are trendline support drawn on the chart i will have downside pts at 145 and 138 max pain at 116 (if this abc elliott wave pattern plays out we can see a 1,2,3,4,5 down to are pts) this is a heavy weight stock in spy so check out my analysis on that for context
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Danieldaytrades