Stockmarkets
S&P 500 Index See More Gains In 2022The market is likely to see a bit of a pullback continue, which is healthy in what has been a very strong uptrend anyway.
I have no interest in shorting this market, and if it falls apart, I think that January will simply end up being at a great longer-term buying opportunity as traders will look to be putting on risk to kick off the new year as per usual.
The S&P 500 initially tried to rally on Wednesday to reach towards the 4660 level again. This is an area that has been resistance over the last couple of days, and it certainly came into the picture on Wednesday. We pulled back to form a bit of an inverted hammer on the monthly chart, and close at the very bottom of the range. This is a very difficult-looking candle, so if we break down below the bottom of the candlestick, it is very likely that we go looking towards the uptrend line underneath.
That uptrend line should be very important, as it has been supportive for quite some time. The 4500 level is right around the same area, so with that being the case I think it is only a matter of time before value hunters will come back into the picture. That being said, the real catalyst for the move is probably going to be a scenario on Friday after the jobs number. Between now and then, I would anticipate a lot of noisy behavior, but it certainly looks as if we are still favoring the downside. That being said, when you look at this chart, you can see that we are in a bit of a negative move, but when looked at through the prism of the longer term, it is not that big of a deal.
That is the thing about pullbacks in an uptrend: the pullbacks feel much worse than they really are. We are only a few percent off from the highs, so a little bit of perspective is probably necessary. Keep in mind that Friday will cause a lot of noise, but Friday sessions end up being somewhat uneventful by the time they close most of the time, as we go back and forth only to end up somewhat unchanged. The initial knee-jerk reaction is almost always turned around so it is very likely that the market will continue to be very noisy. The market will continue to be one that you need to be cautious about putting too much money in, especially between now and the jobs number. The market is likely to see a bit of a pullback continue, which is healthy in what has been a very strong uptrend anyway.
The S&P 500 bounced a bit from the 50-day EMA during a very volatile session on Tuesday. Jerome Powell shook the markets up by suggesting that inflation was “no longer transitory.” In other words, Capt. Obvious has spoken. That being said, he is about 18 months behind the curve, which is typical for central banks. As he worries about inflation, it is very likely that we are starting to peak. Take a look around you; we are seeing the word inflation everywhere, and it has suddenly become a major talking point. That typically means that we are closer to the end than the beginning. Think of Bitcoin a few years ago. Think about the US dollar and when models were demanding to be paid in euros about 12 years ago. It is normally when you hear the most hysterical wailing that you are towards the end of something.
Looking at this chart, we have slammed into the 50-day EMA which quite often offers a bit of support, so it is worth paying attention to. I think given enough time, we will probably see this market try to find buyers, but it may be closer to the 4500 level. After that, we have the uptrend line that comes into the picture as well. The S&P 500 typically has the “Santa Claus rally” at the end of the year were money managers try to make up for a lack of returns. After all, they have people that they need to pay attention to in the form of clients, who will most certainly demand some type of return. This is a well-known phenomenon, and therefore that is why December is one of the most profitable months for the S&P 500 from a historical perspective.
I have no interest in shorting this market, and if it falls apart, I think that January will simply end up being at a great longer-term buying opportunity as traders will look to be putting on risk to kick off the new year as per usual. While I would not necessarily be a buyer right here, I am waiting to see if we can get some type of stability to get involved. Keep in mind that the jobs number comes out on Friday as well.
S&P 500 can be a profitable investment option. S&P 500 rate equal to 4537.02 on 02/12/2021... With a Mid-Hold investment, the revenue is expected to be around 7.29% - 13.00% grow in 2022
Buy & Hold | +ROI
Investment Suggestion: MID-TERM
Holding Duration : Min 6 months
Probability: 63%
INVT Fundamental Report: POSITIVE
INVT Technical Report: POSITIVE
INVT News Report: POSITIVE
- SELLING PRESSURE PRICE: 4560.00
- FAIR BUYING PRICE: 4400.00 - 4500.00
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| Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
Will There Be A Crash in S&P 500 (US Stock Market) From Here?My View
Other countries Markets Including Indian Markets has followed US Stock Markets Bull Run.
Note- These are my personal views and not investment advice or recommendation. Only for educational Purposes, moreover market is the ultimate king and anyone can go wrong predicting it. DYOR before investing/trading.
Since 2000 Each S&P 500 Bull Cycle has gone for 4 to 5 years each
giving an average return of (117%) before crashing/correcting
Significantly for 4 to 7 Months each.
Current Market Bull Run has gone for 2 Years and given a return of nearly 90%.
Therefore Markets will sustain the bull run until it remains above Base band
and may further continue for another 2 to 3 Years before crashing/correcting
and touching the lower band. So According to me markets may not fall
significantly until it breaks the base band
But There is a Catch. As it has given 90% Return Markets may not move
significantly higher instead rise slowly for the remaining part of the bull cycle.
Once it crashes due to any fundamental issues and takes support in lower band
it will rise again, and the market crash most probably will
last around 6 Months (Top To Bottom Formation).
So Invest in Quality Stocks For the Rest Of The
Bull Run To Be Safe. As Markets will strictly adhere
to valuation and quality unlike the last 2 years
where every stock rallied significantly.
Rebound from support for Nifty but we are not out of danger yetNifty after opening gap down got a good support around 16843 and ended around 0.67% in negative at 17092. Resistances on upper side are at 17124, 17353 before it reaches major resistance of 50 days EMA at 17445. On the lower side today’s low 16843 is a great support. Below 16843 the major supports will be near 16721 which is 200 days EMA and 16419. If Nifty goes below 16419 which is less likely but there can be major selling in case of further escalation of tensions between Russia, Ukraine and other EU nations in addition to US. In worst case scenario Nifty can test a major support near 15437. This will be only in worst case scenario. As of now Nifty closing above 17050 is a good sign.
SPY and marketNice double top on SPY, had the 458 trend line drawn last week. I did play some QQQ calls that went to 600% earlier in the week. Took some puts Thursday and Friday and made 200%. There is a fed meeting Monday. I did swing very small puts into it. Anything can happen though over the week leading up to the FED. Important to hold 440 or we could easily see January lows being retested.
YM1-DIA- DOW Jones Outlook I've highlighted the important zones to the upside (supply zone) and downside (demand zone). Overall I'm expecting a bit more downside (1 to 2% max) drop before earnings and Fed kicking back markets up for a week or two. Mid February . Once Markets go up to 100 ema, i will continue the LONG TERM view shorting. Expecting a 20% drop overall on all equities.
NQ1-QQQ NASDAQ OUTLOOK I've highlighted the important zones to the upside (supply zone) and downside (demand zone). Overall I'm expecting a bit more downside (1 to 2% max) drop before earnings and Fed kicking back markets up for a week or two. Mid February . Once Markets go up to 100 ema, i will continue the LONG TERM view shorting. Expecting a 20% drop overall on all equities.
Stock market looks worrying!🚨The Most Important Day of the Year, so far…🚨
You should all know by now that the crypto market and the stock market correlate with each other. It has done so for many, many years.
Over the past week, since the start of the month tbh, it has been one of the worst starts of the year for the stock market in history. The Dow Jones is down by 7.35% in just 3 weeks. We have been predicting “the big short” since 2020. After the amount of money printing and handouts last year as stimulus packs. the US is now almost $30 trillion in national debt. According to the US Debt Clock, the hidden debt (the truth) is over $141 trillion in debt. However, that is a topic for another day.
The US stock market opens this afternoon after being shut for the weekend. The Fed interest rates and the inflation spike is causing the stock markets to finally tank after being artificially pumped for longer than they should have ever been.
Today is a very important day when the market opens because it will entail the future of its correlation with Bitcoin. Will both asset classes continue to correlate and will Bitcoin be dragged down along with the stock market? Or will we see a decoupling between the two classes? Could the stock market crash be the catalyst that everyone is waiting for? Will the stock market money cycle into Bitcoin before it completely crumbles and then we see Bitcoin soar.
Of course, it is too early to tell but the future is just around the corner.
The Dow Jones/US30 chart and the crypto market cap chart look quite similar structure-wise. They have both even retraced to the same Fibonacci levels at 61.8%.
If the stock market brings Bitcoin down with it, then I’m afraid to say the bear market could be upon us. If this is the case We will not be selling anything at all and we will continue to hold. In fact, we will put better use of our coins and start staking them so we can still earn a passive income while the market is down. I will make a update on staking to our students if this is the case.