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Bitcoin & Pre-Market - Reasons to remain cautiously optimistic!Traders, We have tested our multi-year support yet again! As you know, this is something I did not want to see us doing. However, our support remains incredibly strong and thus, we have bounced yet again off of that support. This is now the 16th or 17th time (depending on what one classifies as a touch) that we have tested our support. Currently, Bitcoin is forming a bullish hammer candle. Let's to a quick review of our charts here. ⛓️ 🔗 Useful Links 🔗 ⛓️ (see below)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
US10Y-US02Y Time To Pay AttentionEveryone is talking about yields inverting and the recession that follows it. Here I am going to do a quick rundown on how to actually use this information to your advantage. It is not the yields INVERTING that is cause for concern. This is only the first step of a potentially long process. It is when yields start STEEPENING that there is real cause for concern. There is no question that yields inverting is a recession signal, it has historically proven itself to be since the 1970s. But if you think the market is ready for a recession right at this moment of inversion, you are misinformed. Pay close attention to when the yield first inverts, to where/when the market actually enters a recession. It is not until after yields STEEPEN is when there is real downside. Now, this brings us to the chart, where we are potentially seeing the first signs of steepening. Not only from the yields themselves but from the Bullish Divergence on the RSI. As yields have inverted (gone down), the RSI has trended up, showing a clear divergence. Also, notice how far yields have deviated from the 200MA. If you compare it to 2000, it is potentially showing a very similar picture Even in august of 2019 we see the same divergence which signaled yields to begin rising. Which told us it was really time to pay attention in the coming months. These are just a few insights to hopefully help you understand what this all means in the bigger picture. Right now more than ever is the time to pay attention and to stay vigilant. Hope this helps! Here is my initial analysis on yields tightening, as well as the Yield Inversion in relation to the SPX:
TVC:US10Y
by NoOneWhoIsSomeone
S&P 500 - Futures by CryptoTradersWWThe S&P 500 futures have been a leading indication for BTC price direction since this morning. The stock market has gained strength over the last two days, with prices currently nearing the top of the range. If we witness a breakout above, it's possible that this will spill over into the crypto market. Today is also the FOMC Fed meeting, which is expected to hike interest rates. Historically, this has resulted in stock market volatility, which could lead to instability in the crypto market. <----------------------------> ☑️ Follow, Comment & Like ☑️ Create a civil and healty discuss in the comments and share with me your thoughts Thanks and Happy Trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CryptoTradersWW
Breaking down where the stock market is goingLooking at the daily chart on the ES futures contract (S&P) Today was a big day with price pulling up and holding the lows form Feb 24. The market has been on a crazy bull run since March 2009 so seeing this pullback is no surprise really, in fact I am surprised it didn't come earlier. Of course there was the pretty short-term collapse in 2020 but then the strong reversal we see in the chart here. 4800 was the highs and now resistance, along with 4700. You can see on Jan 18th price breaking down from the trendline and really confirming a trend change. For the bulls it is very important what happened today but we will need to see price taking out the 4300 and 4400 walls for me to be confident that the market is turning bullish again. Last week we saw a similar move only to see price pullback again. The key though is holding that Feb 24th low. Let's see if price is above 4300 by the end of this week.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Dancharles
S&P 500 Index See More Gains In 2022The market is likely to see a bit of a pullback continue, which is healthy in what has been a very strong uptrend anyway. I have no interest in shorting this market, and if it falls apart, I think that January will simply end up being at a great longer-term buying opportunity as traders will look to be putting on risk to kick off the new year as per usual. The S&P 500 initially tried to rally on Wednesday to reach towards the 4660 level again. This is an area that has been resistance over the last couple of days, and it certainly came into the picture on Wednesday. We pulled back to form a bit of an inverted hammer on the monthly chart, and close at the very bottom of the range. This is a very difficult-looking candle, so if we break down below the bottom of the candlestick, it is very likely that we go looking towards the uptrend line underneath. That uptrend line should be very important, as it has been supportive for quite some time. The 4500 level is right around the same area, so with that being the case I think it is only a matter of time before value hunters will come back into the picture. That being said, the real catalyst for the move is probably going to be a scenario on Friday after the jobs number. Between now and then, I would anticipate a lot of noisy behavior, but it certainly looks as if we are still favoring the downside. That being said, when you look at this chart, you can see that we are in a bit of a negative move, but when looked at through the prism of the longer term, it is not that big of a deal. That is the thing about pullbacks in an uptrend: the pullbacks feel much worse than they really are. We are only a few percent off from the highs, so a little bit of perspective is probably necessary. Keep in mind that Friday will cause a lot of noise, but Friday sessions end up being somewhat uneventful by the time they close most of the time, as we go back and forth only to end up somewhat unchanged. The initial knee-jerk reaction is almost always turned around so it is very likely that the market will continue to be very noisy. The market will continue to be one that you need to be cautious about putting too much money in, especially between now and the jobs number. The market is likely to see a bit of a pullback continue, which is healthy in what has been a very strong uptrend anyway. The S&P 500 bounced a bit from the 50-day EMA during a very volatile session on Tuesday. Jerome Powell shook the markets up by suggesting that inflation was “no longer transitory.” In other words, Capt. Obvious has spoken. That being said, he is about 18 months behind the curve, which is typical for central banks. As he worries about inflation, it is very likely that we are starting to peak. Take a look around you; we are seeing the word inflation everywhere, and it has suddenly become a major talking point. That typically means that we are closer to the end than the beginning. Think of Bitcoin a few years ago. Think about the US dollar and when models were demanding to be paid in euros about 12 years ago. It is normally when you hear the most hysterical wailing that you are towards the end of something. Looking at this chart, we have slammed into the 50-day EMA which quite often offers a bit of support, so it is worth paying attention to. I think given enough time, we will probably see this market try to find buyers, but it may be closer to the 4500 level. After that, we have the uptrend line that comes into the picture as well. The S&P 500 typically has the “Santa Claus rally” at the end of the year were money managers try to make up for a lack of returns. After all, they have people that they need to pay attention to in the form of clients, who will most certainly demand some type of return. This is a well-known phenomenon, and therefore that is why December is one of the most profitable months for the S&P 500 from a historical perspective. I have no interest in shorting this market, and if it falls apart, I think that January will simply end up being at a great longer-term buying opportunity as traders will look to be putting on risk to kick off the new year as per usual. While I would not necessarily be a buyer right here, I am waiting to see if we can get some type of stability to get involved. Keep in mind that the jobs number comes out on Friday as well. S&P 500 can be a profitable investment option. S&P 500 rate equal to 4537.02 on 02/12/2021... With a Mid-Hold investment, the revenue is expected to be around 7.29% - 13.00% grow in 2022 Buy & Hold | +ROI Investment Suggestion: MID-TERM Holding Duration : Min 6 months Probability: 63% INVT Fundamental Report: POSITIVE INVT Technical Report: POSITIVE INVT News Report: POSITIVE - SELLING PRESSURE PRICE: 4560.00 - FAIR BUYING PRICE: 4400.00 - 4500.00 It’s important to keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile, making it difficult to accurately predict what a coin’s price will be in a few hours or a few days and even harder to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and online forecasting sites can get their predictions wrong. We recommend that you always do your own research and consider the latest market trends, news, technical and fundamental analysis , and expert opinion before making any investment decisions. Be patient and look long term wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Trading & Investing both are the master of RISK. Please comment, like and follow if it was helpful for you. Thank you for your time. Have a profitable day. | Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
SP:SPXLong
by AliSamadiTR
Will There Be A Crash in S&P 500 (US Stock Market) From Here?My View Other countries Markets Including Indian Markets has followed US Stock Markets Bull Run. Note- These are my personal views and not investment advice or recommendation. Only for educational Purposes, moreover market is the ultimate king and anyone can go wrong predicting it. DYOR before investing/trading. Since 2000 Each S&P 500 Bull Cycle has gone for 4 to 5 years each giving an average return of (117%) before crashing/correcting Significantly for 4 to 7 Months each. Current Market Bull Run has gone for 2 Years and given a return of nearly 90%. Therefore Markets will sustain the bull run until it remains above Base band and may further continue for another 2 to 3 Years before crashing/correcting and touching the lower band. So According to me markets may not fall significantly until it breaks the base band But There is a Catch. As it has given 90% Return Markets may not move significantly higher instead rise slowly for the remaining part of the bull cycle. Once it crashes due to any fundamental issues and takes support in lower band it will rise again, and the market crash most probably will last around 6 Months (Top To Bottom Formation). So Invest in Quality Stocks For the Rest Of The Bull Run To Be Safe. As Markets will strictly adhere to valuation and quality unlike the last 2 years where every stock rallied significantly.
SP:SPXLong
by tradewidmufeeth
2
Rebound from support for Nifty but we are not out of danger yetNifty after opening gap down got a good support around 16843 and ended around 0.67% in negative at 17092. Resistances on upper side are at 17124, 17353 before it reaches major resistance of 50 days EMA at 17445. On the lower side today’s low 16843 is a great support. Below 16843 the major supports will be near 16721 which is 200 days EMA and 16419. If Nifty goes below 16419 which is less likely but there can be major selling in case of further escalation of tensions between Russia, Ukraine and other EU nations in addition to US. In worst case scenario Nifty can test a major support near 15437. This will be only in worst case scenario. As of now Nifty closing above 17050 is a good sign.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment