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History To Repeat Itself? S&P500Is it possible for the stock market to repeat itself? After the stronger-than-expected NFP last week investors are repricing the aggressive FED rate cuts expected for 2024. This was immediately affected in the stock market as the main indexes dropped and the dollar managed to recover some ground. The month of January is generally weak for the index as the 10-year average return for this month is only 0.17% making it one of the weakest periods for the index. A noticeable resistance zone can be spotted and used in advantage to look for shorts and get more than a 1:3 Risk-Reward-Ratio.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Elite_Forex
HALWANI BROS. CO. 6001 - Bullish Pullback to 200 Daily MAbullish pullback opportunity towards the 200-day moving average. Several strong indicators support this potential upward movement: RSI Value Near 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering close to the neutral 50 level, suggesting a balanced market sentiment and potential for upward momentum. Support Holding at 48.5 Level: The stock has demonstrated resilience by holding a crucial support level at 48.5, indicating buyer interest and a potential bounce. As the price retraces, there's an opportunity for a second entry around the 48.5 level. Target Levels: Take Profit 1 (TP1): 53.2 level or 200 moving average
TADAWUL:6001Long
by K_M_M
Will the S&P500 Index Touch a New All-Time High(ATH)❗️❓📈Because the S&P500 Index is near an All-Time High(ATH), I decided to analyze this index for you and answer the question of whether the S&P500 Index can create a new All-Time High(ATH) or not. 🏃‍♂️The S&P500 Index has already managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 and is moving near the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and Resistance lines . 🔔I expect two scenarios for the S&P500 Index: The scenario of S&P500 Index falling to the broken 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 (as a pullback ) and rising again. In the second scenario, the S&P500 Index falls to the 🔴 Resistance zone( $4,640-$4,540 ) 🔴 and continues falling to the Fibonacci levels that I marked for you in the chart. We saw a bull trap in this scenario. 🔔So, in general, I expect that the S&P500 Index will NOT be able to break 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and will decrease by at least ➖3% in the coming weeks. S&P500 Index (SPXUSD),4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SP:SPXShort
by pejman_zwin
7
$MATIC Price Action strategy.CRYPTOCAP:MATIC Polygon on the 1-hour timeframe faced rejection near the 50 EMA line (colored red), favoring the bears as the price broke through the previous support and is now approaching the Optimal Trading Zone (OTZ). It is crucial to remain vigilant, set alerts, and be prepared for the price to descend into this zone. As part of my strategy, a confirmation for a double bottom pattern will be considered if the price closes inside or above the OTZ. This confirmation will serve as the trigger for initiating a CRYPTOCAP:MATIC trade.
MLong
by LimitlessRx8
Uber Up 113% For 2023!Uber's stock market journey has been a rollercoaster of highs and lows over four and a half years. The stock reached a high of $64 in February 2021 but plummeted to $13 by March 2020. During a challenging period from February 2021 to June 2022, the stock saw a 68% decline but found crucial support at $20. In January 2023, it crossed the significant daily 200 simple moving average at $27, indicating a shift in investor sentiment. The stock continued its upward trajectory, surpassing $40 in June 2023 and then facing resistance at the $50 mark in July 2023. It retreated to $40 in October 2023 before breaking past $50, aided by Q3 earnings reported on November 7th. Despite earnings being slightly below estimates, the stock closed up nearly 4%. Since the earnings report, Uber's stock has risen by 15%, with a year-to-date increase of 113% and a 25% rise in November alone. As it approaches its all-time high of $64, there's anticipation about its ability to set new records and possibly establish a long-term bullish trend. However, given its volatile history, the future remains uncertain as investors watch to see if Uber can maintain sustained growth. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment! See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
NYSE:UBER
by Sublime_Trading
Cardano bullish idea.After taking a swing at the elusive $0.40 target last Wednesday (11/15/2023), ADA got a taste of rejection. But, true to form, the next day, Cardano dusted itself off, shrugged off the setback, and made a bloody good comeback. Now, pay attention. Picture Cardano strutting back into the ring, ready to take on a new, formidable resistance level. The bulls are eyeing triumph, and breaking through? Well, that's the key to unlocking a potential surge in Cardano's overall value. I'm eyeing the $0.50 - $0.60 territory.
by LimitlessRx8
1
Possible double bottom bullish patternBreaking through a year-long resistance zone between $37k to $41k on Thursday, Bitcoin's price action has set the stage for what I term an Optimal Trading Zone (OTZ). This critical development is a cornerstone of my strategy, focusing solely on the dynamics of price movement. Now, my attention is keenly fixed on the anticipation of Bitcoin's price entering and ideally closing within or above the OTZ, signaling a potential double bottom pattern. It's crucial to emphasize that a close below the OTZ would dissuade me from pursuing any trades, underlining the pivotal role this zone plays in my overall strategy.
Long
by LimitlessRx8
Regional Banks Are Still in Serious Trouble!Traders, For the second time this year, regional banks are threatening to cross on over an essential support that has carried us through this secular bull market for 14 (going on 15) years! If our support breaks, I fear that regional banks could drag everything else down with it. Remember, it is regional banks that hold the loans for much of commercial real estate. Much of commercial real estate went vacant during COVID. We are only now beginning to understand the wave of bankruptcies that are crashing in hard as a result! Watch this line closely or stay tuned here and I will keep you up to speed as I observe any significant changes. Stewdamus
AMEX:KREShort
by stewdamus
Weekend Update - Stocks and Bitcoin DivergenceTraders, If you've been reading my static posts, you'll know that the SPY has reached its downside target of 410 for the head and shoulders pattern that we've been watching. It's now looking like a bounce can be expected. I'll briefly touch on what I am seeing on the SPY chart as well as the DXY, VIX, and, of course, Bitcoin. I'll also quickly brief you all on my Bitcoin short trade and what I am expecting might occur here. Best, Stew
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
1
GEVO. Manipulation Short squeeze. How short positions are reset.This example is on paper company Gevo inc - manufacturing. Chemical industry. Specialized chemicals. I will say that I combined the training idea with the trading one , how the stocks will be relevant for trading now, the potential first profit with confirmation of support can be about + 90%. Everything that happens now, goals, read below under the description of the manipulation of a short squeeze. But let's plunge into the past and in order to examine this detective story in order to evaluate this masterpiece of trading art by applying the punishment of the zombie crowd of believers “it should be like that” and “put sure Stop-Loss like a smart uncle wrote to us in a book.” It was like this ... It seems that the downtrend will last forever. After all, the price over the past 2 years has fallen by almost -99%! Dump from $ 245 to $ 3.30! This is what happens with real companies, but what about non-existent crypto projects? After all, almost all crypto projects are built on promises that this “nothing” will cost a lot. Buy and hold, and you and the plant employee will become a millionaire in a couple of months / years. The sweetest lie, the more willing poor John believes in it. As you understand, in many cryptocurrency projects for lovers of “buy and hold”, to become a millionaire and stop going to the factory is still ahead. It doesn’t matter whether these assets are pumped up yet or not, but their ultimate fate is the complete disappearance in the near future of the life of poor believing John. The graph shows a strong downtrend , merciless to investors. But among investors, one must not forget that there are very rich uncles who can also make a mistake. But those who want to fix it. Well, it is clear that after such a fall from $ 240 to $ 3, no sane person believes in growth already, how silly it is. Most traders enter only a short position. But there are more intelligent people who have thought and decided why we don’t make a lot of money on “100% faith” of people. The strongest downtrend. Drop from $ 240 to $ 3.30. Minus 99% for 2 years. As part of this trend, many sellers are going to expect a continued decline in the trend. But after all, everyone was taught that it is necessary to put Stop-Loss, and if you do not, then you should always close somewhere. Where will everyone have stops on this chart? Yes, everything of course depends on the point of opening positions, but the generally accepted approach - Stop-Loss who enters a short position will be put for the nearest resistance, that is, we will be interested in the zones above the selected levels on the chart. If everything is clear and the main crowd has so much faith and become accustomed to the eternal fall, why not take advantage of this and start the domino effect? After all, money is burned only initially to start the process, then only fantastic earnings. How everyone will be "trapped" in a trap. Any inadequate Stop-Loss sizes will be reached. Buy or margin Call. Gevo inc. Levels where the crowd of "shorts" puts Stop-Loss. It is in these zones that Stop-Loss of most market participants are behind the resistance. Large players understand this very well, it’s a sin not to use it if you have enough money on hand for this manipulation. Perhaps the biggest player is the company itself, which is very interested in getting out of a loss-making situation and making big profits. After all, having for this a certain amount of money you can start an avalanche-like process and get the most unattainable Stop-Loss, thereby moving the market up against the current trend on Stop-Loss. This is an avalanche-like process. You understand very well what will happen to those traders who have opened a short trend and the price will begin to rise against their position, and even grow rapidly impulse with no chance of pardon. Yes, everything is simple, when we reach a certain zone, the order is executed, that is, the position is closed by Stop-Loss. And we all know that a position is closed by opening a reverse position, which means that if we were on sale, then a purchase is opened to close, that is, we create additional demand for growth. And so on the chain. And it’s not scary that then the price will return very quickly back to the previous values, because the manipulators will be in big profit, and the trader who caught the margin will no longer enter a short position on this asset. This is what came out of the chart below. Gevo inc. Growth + 600% at closing short on Stop-Loss. As we can see, the first strong resistance was + 100% of the minimum value before the short squeeze. That's how you think who believed that the price will reach these values? It is clear that no one, well, especially since the price will reach the last Stop Loos zone. For such an action, money was needed only until the first Stop-Loss zone, after which the price moves according to the domino effect. Growth fuel is the closing of short positions. Virtually no one believed in growth, which is why the impulse was + 600%, due to the closure of short positions of those who did not believe. After a while, the price broke the line of the main downtrend. Price shifted to lateral movement. Wishing to enter the short was less and less, as everyone remembered the previous margin Call. A year ago, there were two more attempts to punish those wishing to enter a short position in this trading instrument. It was not possible to repeat the short squeeze situation on such a scale. The first short squeeze is + 67% and immediately after it + 27%. It can be seen that there are no more willing traders to enter a short position on this trading instrument. Gevo inc. The situation is now. Please note that only on short-squeezes did a large volume go out at the auction. Traders with short positions were squeezed out of the market specifically. In lateral movement, the price is now drawing a formation that could become a triple bottom. If support is confirmed , the growth potential to the previous local maximum and the first resistance is about + 90%. ___________________________________________ Manipulations. Someone thinks that manipulations occur only in the crypto market, this is not so, they are everywhere, only in the crypto market they are open and arrogant, as there is no responsibility for this. In other markets, there is price manipulation, but to a lesser extent, as if the relevant authorities prove guilty there will be huge fines, or the deprivation of a license for trading activities up to the prison. ___________________________________________ What is a squeeze on the exchange. Short squeeze. Long squeeze. Squeeze (eng. Queeze - squeeze out) - a situation in the financial market when Stop Loss is sharply collected. As a result of the sharp increase, part of the Stop Loss is squeezed out, and part is closed at the “what is” price, this leads to an even greater increase / decrease in the price. Since positions can be held both in purchase and in sale, both short-squeeze and long-squeeze are possible. Short squeeze - it happens when sellers (shorts) are forced to close their open positions in order to avoid even greater losses, which only spurs the price even higher. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is up. Long squeeze - exactly the opposite. A sharp decline in the price of assets, forcing buyers (longists) to close their positions. Here, the buyers are already the “victims”, who are forced to close open transactions at a loss in order to prevent even greater losses, which provokes a further drop in the price of the instrument. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is down. ________________________________________ Short squeeze on margin trading. If it comes to margin trading, the strongest buyer today is yesterday's short. The vicious circle for bears is called "short squeeze" - short squeeze. In order not to be trapped, market participants must understand the principle of short positions, see the potential for a situation that could provoke a “short squeeze”. Experienced traders know how to make a profit with a short squeeze. The strongest short-term growth waves often occur during periods when a large number of lower players find themselves locked in an unprofitable position due to an unexpected price increase for them. As a rule, these are mid-level traders and so-called “hamsters” market participants with a level of knowledge and experience that is close to zero and close to it. Unfortunately or vice versa, fortunately the bulk of the crowd of the crypto market is precisely this layer of society. In such a situation, in order to get out of the trap they have to actively buy this cryptocurrency in which they are locked at any price in order to save part of their capital and fix the loss. I will explain in more detail so that the mechanism of this phenomenon becomes more clear. A short position or short-term transaction (from impudent short) is an operation when a trader sells a borrowed coin with the intention of buying it back later at a lower price. After the return of the borrowed coins, the difference between the sale price and the purchase price becomes profit. You can borrow cryptocurrency from the exchange, which as a guarantee for such a loan requires an adequate amount of guarantee security in the account. As a guarantee, money, bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, which are valued at a certain discount, can act. When the value of the coin in which you are in a position increases, the size of the required guarantee for short positions also begins to grow rapidly. If the amount of funds in the account is insufficient to cover the required amount of security, the exchange may forcefully close the position. Downgrade players usually try to prevent this situation and close the position before submitting a margin call request from the exchange. However, their tactics here are essentially the same - a quick purchase of a coin that has grown in price, and you are in a short unprofitable position on it. If the size of the positions of such participants is large enough, then this situation can lead to skyrocketing prices and the avalanche-like closure of other shorts. Scalper traders and intraday traders who often open counter-trend trades in the hope of a pullback after active growth can aggravate the situation even more. If the rollback is not realized, then their purchases may become additional fuel for the upward movement. ________________________________ The immaturity of the cryptocurrency market provides opportunities for manipulation. An important feature of the cryptocurrency market, which is often ignored, is its tendency to respond to the actions of individual bidders. By individual bidders, I mean large traders, the creators of individual cryptocurrencies on which manipulations occur, as well as exchanges, which naturally themselves are owners of large cryptocurrency assets. And also, if desired, can affect their price. Roughly speaking, these are market participants who are called “whales” in the slang of traders. The cryptocurrency market is more affected by the influence of these particular market participants than other markets, due to the lack of maturity and insufficient control of the relevant state financial control bodies. No fundamental does not work without money support, but money on the exchange without the influence of the fundamental works in such an uncontrolled market perfectly. For example, we are all familiar with such frequent phenomena in the crypto market as "pumps" (artificially pumping prices). Very often they occur even without the release of FUD news on a particular coin. Also, the entire crypto market is very much tied to the dynamics of bitcoin, which can lead it in the opposite direction to fundamental factors. In recent years, the market has become more “mature”: instead of the buy-and-hold trading strategy, many have begun to use more advanced methods. Futures contracts, trading with leverage, opening short positions are now available. The more powerful players appear in the industry, the more the community takes on them “tricks” from the field of trading. More and more traders are using short positions in a falling market, allowing them to earn money in such conditions. And naturally, in such conditions, short squids and long squises often occur. Since the majority of traders take short positions in the bear market, many receive big losses, some especially greedy and not experienced margin calls. Large investors can begin to behave dishonestly Short-squeeze can be carried out only by a large market participant, such manipulations are beyond the power of ordinary traders. How to do this you need a huge amount. As a rule, such manipulations are done by the exchanges themselves. This is illegal - but everything is legal on the cryptocurrency market! There are conspiracy theories that such manipulations are carried out by exchanges, thus getting rid of customers who will definitely be in the black due to short positions and withdraw money from the exchange ecosystem.
NASDAQ:GEVOEducation
by SpartaBTC
23
Booking (BKNG) -> Pay Very Close AttentionMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Booking Holdings. Almost 10 years ago Booking Holdings stock entered a quite decent rising channel and is currently retesting the upper resistance from which I do expect a minor bearish rejection. I would then look for longs at the $2400 structure zone or the $1900 rising channel support since the overall trend is still quite bullish and I do expect a bullish reversal there. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
NASDAQ:BKNGShort
by basictradingtv
25
SPY (Stocks) looks to continue uptrendTraders, For the last year you have heard me preach this blow-off top. So far, we've nailed it. Today, the FED decided to continue the pause. No surprises here and it turned out to be a non-event in the market. The FED knows that they are "this close" to breaking everything. Macro-economically, we are on the brink of disaster both nationally and globally. Many people know this both logically and instinctively. Still the market will go against all odds and price stocks irrationally. This is happening. And my blow-off top is playing out perfectly! The dollar has had 9 straight weeks of green candles. Time to take a rest. The VIX hit a two year low this last week and remains suppressed. Dollar down + VIX down = Markets UP! Additionally, you can see from a technical perspective indicators that continue to support my blow-off top thesis: Notice Elliot Wave. We are on the final wave now. Notice that trendline (wave 5). We are still above that. Notice Ichimoku cloud is green and beneath us. Notice the 50 candle moving avg below us giving us support. Notice the green area of support below us. I am not telling any one of you that you are wrong if you believe we will eventually go down. I agree with you. But before that? BLOW-OFF TOP! Best in all your trades, Stew
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
7