MSTR -- Cup & Handle Breakout // Long & Short SetupsHello Traders!
There is a beautiful cup and handle pattern that has formed on MSTR (Microstrategy).
This pattern offers us a wonderful long setup, as well as a potential short at the all time high.
Pattern Failure: If price both breaks and confirms below the C&P neckline the pattern is void.
Price will likely temporarily pull back from the all time high, giving us our short setup. However you'll want to be in and out quick considering price will likely continue to new highs after pulling back.
I will be swing trading the long setup and likely day trading the short setup.
Have fun and best of luck to everyone on their trading journey!
Stocks
INTC – Breakout Confirmed, Bullish Continuation Inside AscendingIntel NASDAQ:INTC has broken above previous resistance and a descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal.
Price is currently respecting an ascending channel and forming higher highs and higher lows. The breakout retest around $22.50 has held as new support.
If the current structure remains intact, price could continue toward the $26.00–$26.50 resistance zone. A breakout above this zone opens the door for a move toward $28+.
Key levels:
Support: $22.50 (previous resistance)
Resistance: $26.00–$26.50
Trend structure: Bullish channel
Volume supports the trend, and price is trading above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA.
📌 Watching for a pullback and continuation move inside the channel.
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders!
The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level.
The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight.
Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically.
In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs.
This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well.
Best of luck on your trading journey!
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 15, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 15, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📦 Dow Futures Dip on New Tariff Announcements
President Trump announced new 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico, with additional duties on Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, and Myanmar starting August 1. Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq futures each slipped ~0.3% as markets assess inflation risk ahead of key CPI data this week
📈 Tech & AI Stocks Lead Despite Tariffs
Stocks like Circle (+9.3%), CoreWeave (+5.2%), Palantir (+5%), Roblox (+5.8%), and Shopify (+4.1%) surged, showcasing sector resilience amid broader tariff fears
⚠️ Deutsche Bank Warns of Summer Volatility
With thin market liquidity and rising geopolitical tension (tariff deadline Aug 1), Deutsche Bank flags summer as a period prone to sudden corrections
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, July 15:
8:30 AM ET – CPI (June)
Core CPI is projected at +0.3% MoM (2.7% YoY) and headline CPI +0.3% MoM—signs tariff effects may be feeding into prices
8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (June)
Expected to come in around 3.0% YoY.
8:30 AM ET – Empire State Manufacturing Survey (July)
Forecast: –7.8 (less negative than June’s –16.0) — a modest sign of stabilizing factory conditions
Fed Speakers Throughout the Day
Watch for commentary from Fed officials (Michael Barr, Barkin, Collins, Logan) for fresh insights on inflation and monetary policy
⚠️ Market Interpretation:
Inflation Watch: A hotter-than-expected CPI could delay anticipated rate cuts and lift yields. A pick-up in core CPI above 3% would be a red flag.
Growth Signals: A less-negative Empire State reading may suggest improving industrial momentum but still signals contraction.
Political Risk: Tariff escalation could shift investor appetite, even if markets right now are focusing on broader macro narratives.
Volatility Setup: The combination of thin liquidity, tariff uncertainty, and critical data makes for a potentially choppy week.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #inflation #tariffs #Fed #CPI #manufacturing #technicalanalysis
S&P500 Slips Ahead of CPI & Earnings SeasonEquities began the week under pressure, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.5%, slipping below the 6,230-resistance area. Although the Fed minutes released last week indicate that most members are open to cutting rates this year, inflation data and second-quarter earnings could change that trajectory.
Upcoming Events to Watch:
• CPI Release (Tuesday 14:30 SAST): A cooler-than-expected print would support a breakout in risk assets. A hot reading could shift expectations toward policy tightening, weighing on equities.
• Q2 Earnings Season: Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will report this week. Strong earnings may cushion the market, while any weakness could exacerbate volatility.
S&P500 Technical View:
• Immediate Resistance: 6,230
• Potential Upside: A cooler CPI could see the index rally toward 6,290.
• Support Levels: Should inflation surprise to the upside, the index may slide to 6,190, or even 6,150 in extended selling.
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500.
Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained.
The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength.
This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets.
As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights.
Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures.
The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index.
June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain.
Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change.
According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%.
If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 14–18, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 14–18, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
⚖️ Powell Faces ‘Epic’ Trade‑Inflation Dilemma
Former Fed economists warn Chair Powell is navigating nearly unprecedented terrain: tariffs are pushing up prices even as the labor market cools. Striking a balance between inflation control and growth support remains a formidable challenge
📊 Tariff‑Driven Inflation May Peak This Week
June’s CPI is expected to show a 0.3% month-on-month increase, potentially lifting core inflation to ~2.7%—its highest level in 18 months. These data will heavily influence the Fed’s decision-making process
🏦 Big Bank Earnings Kick Off
Earnings season begins with JPMorgan ( NYSE:JPM ), Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ), Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), and Citigroup ($C) reporting. Strong results could offset trade and inflation anxieties; expect volatility in financials
📈 Goldman Sees Broader S&P Rally
Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 to climb roughly 11% to 6,900 by mid‑2026, underpinned by firm earnings and expected Fed rate cuts. But warns that breadth remains narrow, increasing downside risk without robust participation
⚠️ Summer Volatility Risk Lingers
Deutsche Bank warns that summer’s low liquidity and the looming Aug 1 tariff re‑imposition deadline may spark sudden market turbulence—even amid bullish sentiment
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, July 14
Quiet start—markets digest back-to-back CPI, tariffs, and clearing post‑earnings.
📅 Tuesday, July 15
8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (June)
Watch for potential tariff impact in CPI; core inflation data are crucial.
8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (June)
10:00 AM ET – Empire State Manufacturing Survey (July)
Early view on Northeast factory trends.
📅 Wednesday, July 16
8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (June)
Wholesale inflation signals to validate CPI trends.
10:00 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (June)
📅 Thursday, July 17
8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims
A gauge on labor-market resilience amid talks of cooling.
📅 Friday, July 18
10:00 AM ET – Federal Reserve Beige Book Release
Fed’s regional economic snapshot ahead of next FOMC.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational use only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed professional before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #inflation #earnings #Fed #CPI #technicalanalysis
A life-changing SBET long ideaSBET stock presents an amazing long opportunity that has a potential to do over 100x. After the break out of a down trend line, price retraced to the support, with price closing above this support level.
To advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy from the current market price while the exit can be at $1.34 and the targets can be at $123.70, $178.48, $541.22, $1041.90 and the final target at $2155.20.
Confluences for the long opportunity are as follows:
1. Break out of down trendline
2. Retest of the down trendline and support level.
3. Bullish divergence signal from awesome oscillator.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
GME LONG IDEA UPDATEDIn my previous post regarding the long opportunity on GME stock, I called a long signal after a break out of a downtrend line. However, price had dropped down to the demand zone, giving another long opportunity.
To take advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy at the current market price, while the exit will be at $20.30 and the targets can be at $35.70, $47.90 and the final target at $64.70.
Confluences for the long idea are as follows:
1. Weekly break of structure
2. Valid Inducement
3. Orderflow
4. Price within the discount
5. Price respecting bullish trendline
6. Hammer candlestick confirmation
7. Price at a support level
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
OSCR LONG IDEALooking at the weekly chart of OSCR stock, there's a long opportunity which can be taken advantage of to make some money provided that market follows the projection.
In order to take advantage of this long opportunity, a buy order limit can be placed at $12.38 while the exit can be at $11.09 and the final target can be at $22.80.
Confluences for this long idea are as follows:
1. Weekly break of structure
2. Valid Inducement (structural liquidity)
3. Orderflow
4. Sweep
5. Valid demand zone in the discount level
6. Imbalance
7. Pattern confirmation formed after mitigation of a demand zone indicating that there's a bullish change of trend.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
Canadian Venture index --- Inverse head & shouldersGold has reached unprecedented heights, approaching the $3000 mark—a prediction we made with precision. Now is the moment to turn our attention to silver and the mining sector.
To start, let's examine the Canadian venture index, which is displaying a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am confident that the logarithmic projection will be achieved without much difficulty.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this trading week, the S&P 500 Index has shown a predominantly downward/upward course of action and created a new Key Resistance at 6280. Currently, the index exhibits a bullish bias, with the Outer Index Rally objective set at 6420. However, it is crucial to note that the current price action may cause prices to see in a new light from their current fluctuation to push toward the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
SWING IDEA - NEULAND LABNeuland Lab , a niche API manufacturer with strong export presence and leadership in complex molecules, is offering a technically strong swing trade opportunity from key support levels.
Reasons are listed below :
11,500 zone acting as a crucial support area
Formation of a hammer candle on the weekly timeframe, signaling potential reversal
Reversing from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone – the golden pocket
Taking support at the 50-week EMA , holding long-term trend structure
Target - 14900 // 17600
Stoploss - weekly close below 10215
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) – Bitcoin Proxy Setting Up AgainMicroStrategy Incorporated NASDAQ:MSTR remains the definitive institutional proxy for Bitcoin exposure, uniquely combining its enterprise software operations with a high-conviction, leveraged Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Its $1.42B BTC purchase in April 2025 further cements this thesis, making MSTR a prime vehicle for traders seeking amplified BTC exposure via equities.
Since our May 5th analysis, MSTR has rallied ~14.61%. We’re now eyeing a re-entry opportunity on a pullback to the $394–$387 zone, aligning with technical support and previous consolidation.
🎯 Bullish targets remain unchanged: $490.00–$500.00, backed by Bitcoin strength and MicroStrategy’s unwavering strategy.
🔁 Re-entry: $394–$387
🟩 Targets: $490–$500
#MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #BTC #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MicroStrategy #HighBeta #CryptoExposure #TradingSetup
After 45% Profit On Last Trade, I Am Re-entering UMACTrading Family,
On our stock trades, using my new liquidity indicator, we have been solidly beating the market with a cool 15% profit since our first trade with it. If you had held the SPY from the same time, your profit would have been a more meager 6.5%. Our indicator is proving beneficial, to say the least. And the last time it gave me a buy signal on UMAC, we banked 45% in profit on my last exit. I then determined that if it did not give me a sell signal (it hasn't), I would look to re-enter at that 7.66 level. We have reached that level, and I have dipped my toes back in at 7.94. I would look to double up my position if we drop even further to that 6.44 level, but I don't know that we will. My target of 11.76 will give us another 48% profit on this trade, and I have a SL set at 6.18 for a nice 2.17 rrr.
Let's go!
Stew
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 11, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Strong Bank Earnings Amid Tariff Churn
Next week’s Q2 forecasts point to robust earnings from U.S. banks—JPMorgan, Citi, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo—as trading and investment-banking revenue recover, offsetting uncertainties from ongoing tariffs
💬 Dimon Flags Fed Risk Pricing
JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon cautioned that markets may be underestimating upside in interest rates. He sees a 40–50% probability of higher U.S. rates, driven by inflation from tariffs, migration, and fiscal deficits
⚖️ Tariff “Scattergun” Sparks Sector Disconnect
Trump’s plans to levy up to 200% tariffs on pharma and 50% on copper triggered uneven market reactions—copper prices rose 30% in six months, while European drugmakers remain flat, highlighting divergent sector sensitivities
📉 Tech & Macro Still Bullish
Despite policy turbulence, Nvidia climbed back above a $4 trillion valuation, and JPMorgan projects a $500 billion inflow into equities in H2—supporting gains even as broader macro pressures linger
📊 Key Data & Events
📅 Friday, July 11:
(No major U.S. economic data scheduled)
Markets will focus on bank earnings previews, tariff headlines, and the hold of the tech rally into a thin summer trading week.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #banks #tech #Fed #investing
ORACLE Can you foresee it at $2000??Oracle (ORCL) is having perhaps the most dominant recovery from Trump's Tariff lows out of the high cap stocks, trading comfortable on new All Time Highs.
This is no surprise to us, as like we've mentioned countless times on our channel, we are currently at the start of the A.I. Bubble and heavy tech giants are expected to see massive gains until 2032, where we've calculated the end of this Bull Cycle and the start of a strong Bear.
As mentioned, this situation is extremely similar to the Dotcom Bubble of the 1990s. Of course Oracle is nearly impossible to repeat the +38637% gains of that Golden Decade after the 1990 Oil Crisis but in Fibonacci price and time terms, it can technically complete a +3411% rise and hit $2000 in the next 7 years.
If you have a long-term investor mindset like us, this is a must stock to buy and hold.
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Tesla (TSLA) Market UpdateTesla NASDAQ:TSLA shares dropped nearly 7% after Elon Musk dismissed analyst Dan Ives' suggestion to scale back his political activities. Musk also proposed a new pay package, raising concerns among investors about potential distractions from Tesla’s core business.
📊 Upcoming Catalyst:
Tesla is set to report its Q2 earnings on July 23, with investors eagerly awaiting updates on the company’s financial performance and the newly launched robo-taxi service in Austin, Texas.
⚠️ Sentiment:
Recent bearish headlines include:
Concerns over potential Robotaxi issues
The ongoing Trump/Elon Musk political drama
📈 Trading Opportunity (Long Setup):
Despite the negative sentiment, this dip could offer a solid long entry opportunity:
Entry Zone: $275–$270
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $315
TP2: $335
Stop Loss: Close below $265
Long TESLATrading Fam,
Today my indicator has signaled a BUY on $TSLA. The technicals align. M pattern looks to have completed at strong support (RED TL) and is bouncing upwards inside of a solid liquidity block. Buyers are stepping in. I'm in at $315 and will shoot for $430 (probably taking some profit along the way). My SL is currently $241 but will trail as we enter profit.
Best,
Stew
A bit of profit taking on NVDA and then up again?NASDAQ:NVDA is the most talked about and everyone is capitalizing on that. Let's take a look.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Royal Gold (RGLD) Poised for Growth with $3.5B Sandstorm Acq.🚀 **Royal Gold (RGLD) Poised for Growth with $3.5B Sandstorm Acquisition!** 🥇
Royal Gold ( NASDAQ:RGLD ) is making waves with its $3.5B all-stock acquisition of Sandstorm Gold ( NYSE:SAND ) and a $196M cash buyout of Horizon Copper, announced July 7, 2025. Here’s why this could be a game-changer for investors! 📈
**🔥 Financial Highlights:**
- **Q2 2025 Performance**: Sold 40,600 GEOs at $3,248/oz gold, $32.91/oz silver, with an impressive 87% gross margin. $11.1B market cap reflects strength. 💰
- **Acquisition Impact**: Sandstorm deal adds 40 producing assets, boosting 2025 GEO production by 26%. Expect revenue & earnings growth post-Q4 2025 close. 🚀
- **Dividend Confidence**: Declared $0.45/share Q3 dividend, signaling robust cash flows. 💸
**📊 Sector Edge & Valuation**:
- **Undervalued?** Compared to Wheaton ($56B) & Franco-Nevada ($44B), Royal Gold’s lower valuation (per RBC Capital) could signal a bargain. Post-deal scale (75% gold revenue) may close the gap. 📉
- **Performance**: Sandstorm’s record Q1 2025 results + Royal Gold’s aggressive expansion outpace peers in growth potential. 🚀
**⚠️ Risks to Watch**:
- 6%–8.5% stock dip post-announcement reflects dilution fears (~19M new shares). 📉
- Commodity price volatility & regulatory approvals (due Q4 2025) pose risks. ⚖️
**🎯 SWOT Snapshot**:
- **Strengths**: Enhanced portfolio, 87% margins, leading North American royalty player.
- **Opportunities**: Analyst optimism (BMO $197 target) & copper exposure via Horizon.
- **Weaknesses**: Short-term dilution concerns.
- **Threats**: Commodity price swings, peer competition.
**💡 Why Buy Now?**
Royal Gold’s stock dip could be a buying opportunity, with analysts like BMO ($197 target) and unusual options activity signaling confidence. If precious metals stay hot ($3,342.80/oz gold futures), RGLD’s diversified portfolio could shine! 🌟
📅 **Deal Close**: Q4 2025, pending approvals.
🔎 **Dive Deeper**: Check Royal Gold’s IR page or Yahoo Finance for details.
What’s your take on NASDAQ:RGLD ’s big move? Bullish or cautious? 🐂🐻 #StockMarket #Gold #Investing