Netflix Skyrockets After Q1 Revenue Surge: What’s Next?📺 NASDAQ:NFLX has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical breakout structure and positive fundamental developments. After an extended rally from the March lows, the stock managed to break above a key resistance zone between $1,080 and $1,100, it has now been decisively cleared. With this breakout, the structure confirms bullish momentum, and the expectation is for a retest of this newly formed support area before resuming the uptrend.
The price is currently around $1,133, and a pullback into the $1,060–$1,080 zone would present a high-probability buy opportunity. This aligns with classic price action behavior: after a breakout, markets often retrace to test former resistance, now turned support. If we see it retest, it would validate the technical setup for a continuation move toward the projected target of $1,220.
🌟From a fundamental perspective, the recent Q1 earnings report (released on April 17, 2025) added strong fuel to the upside momentum. Netflix reported $10.54 billion in revenue for the quarter, exceeding Wall Street’s expectations and representing a 13% year-over-year growth. Net income also impressed, coming in at $2.9 billion. Perhaps more telling than the earnings themselves was Netflix’s decision to stop reporting quarterly subscriber numbers. This shift in focus toward profitability and revenue per user signals confidence in their monetization model and emphasizes a transition to a more mature phase of growth. Management’s tone on the earnings call adds to all this, citing growing traction in its ad-supported tier and plans to expand into live sports and podcast-style content.
💰Technically, the overall structure remains bullish. The breakout is clean, and volume is supportive. The area above $1,140 has low volume resistance, which means price can move relatively easily toward the next psychological barrier at $1,220. Any deeper pullback that breaches below $1,020 would invalidate the short-term bullish bias, as it would signal a failure to hold above former resistance and could mean the start of a deeper correction toward the trendline support from last October.
🚀 In conclusion, the current market behavior suggests Netflix is in the process of forming a bullish continuation, supported by a clean breakout above prior resistance, robust financial performance, and an optimistic revenue outlook.
Price is likely to retest the breakout zone, offering a potential long setup anticipating a move higher if momentum remains strong. The technical picture is backed by future growth plans, making Netflix a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks for confirmation of the pullback and continuation.
Stocks
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
Nu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical AnalysisNu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout, EMA/MA Confirmation, Recovery Toward Key Levels
On the daily chart, Nu Holdings has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling a potential structural reversal. The breakout was confirmed by a close above key exponential and simple moving averages (EMA 50/100/200), with the EMAs beginning to align in a bullish sequence. The price has held above the critical Fibonacci retracement level at $11.73 (0.618), which now serves as a key demand zone. Volume shows signs of increasing during upward impulses, suggesting accumulation interest. The current recovery structure indicates potential targets at $12.58 (0.5 Fibonacci), followed by $13.42 (0.382) and $14.46 (0.236). A more extended move could lead toward the previous supply zone near $16.15 if momentum persists.
From a fundamental standpoint, Nu Holdings continues to attract investor attention within the fintech sector, especially amid broader rotation back into growth and tech-driven financial platforms. The company's expanding market presence and improving financial metrics may support the current technical setup. As long as the price holds above the broken trendline and maintains strength above the key $11.73 level, the bullish scenario remains in focus with targets pointing toward the $13.42–$14.46 range and potentially higher in the medium term.
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Index demonstrated a steady to higher price movement, achieving a key target at the Outer Index Rally level of 5550 and successfully surpassing the Mean Resistance level of 5672. This trajectory establishes the foundation for sustained upward momentum as it approaches the Mean Resistance level of 5778 and sets sights on reaching the next Outer Index Rally target marked at 5945. However, it is essential to acknowledge the substantial risk of a sharp retracement from the current price level to the Mean Support level of 5601, with the potential for further decline to the Mean Support level of 5525.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates Amid Political Pressure
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during its meeting on May 6–7, despite political pressure to lower it. Investors will closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.
📊 Key Economic Indicators on Tap
This week brings several important economic data releases, including the U.S. trade balance, initial jobless claims, consumer credit, and wholesale inventories. These indicators will provide insights into the health of the economy amid ongoing trade tensions and concerns over consumer confidence.
💼 Corporate Earnings in Focus
Major companies such as Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ), Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Walt Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Ford ( NYSE:F ) are scheduled to report earnings this week. Investors will be watching these reports for signs of how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.
🌐 Global Events and Leadership Changes
Europe is set for significant leadership changes, with Friedrich Merz expected to be confirmed as Germany’s new chancellor. Additionally, the Vatican’s conclave to elect a new pope convenes on Wednesday. These events, along with the 80th anniversary of VE Day, may have broader implications for global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 5:
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Composite PMI (April Final)
10:00 AM ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (April)
📅 Tuesday, May 6:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March)
📅 Wednesday, May 7:
2:00 PM ET: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference
📅 Thursday, May 8:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March)
📅 Friday, May 9:
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
MSTR (Strategy) coming up to $395, the smaller resistance levelNASDAQ:MSTR has rebounded from the bottom fairly fast compared to other stocks and indexes. It's even performed better than Bitcoin itself. However it should be hitting heavy resistance now near 395-400 and above is only heavier resistance. It's time for a pullback and a breather for MSTR. Target is the Point of Control near $350, before going higher. However we could turn bullish again before reaching $350
I personally know someone who played with fire by buying MSTR options calls while it was dropping before, meaning he was trying to catch a falling knife and got burnt finally. He lost nearly $500,000 because of it. So I don't mess with options personally, however I will margin trade with stocks and trade futures, forex and leverage trade cryptocurrencies.
Asahi songwon Color tring to score a break out. Asahi Songwon Colors Ltd. engages in the business of manufacturing and export of color pigments and its derivatives.
Asahi Songwon Colors Ltd. Closing price is 361.40. The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth and Companies with Upcoming Results. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 29.8), Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income and Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 364 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 382 and 399. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 420 and 440. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 333 or 313 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Tamilnad Merca Bank trying to rise with volumes.Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. engages in the provision of banking services. It offers loan products, current accounts, business and prepaid cards, online and foreign exchange services. It operates through the following business segments: Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, and Retail Banking.
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. Closing price is 456.10. The positive aspects of the company are Very Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 6.1), Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Companies with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months. The Negative aspects of the company are Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters and Increase in Provisions in Recent Results.
Entry can be taken after closing above 457 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 472 and 486. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 494 and 502. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 437 or 423 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
This AI-Backed IPO Is Just Warming Up — Next Stop: 86% Gains?CoreWeave is showing classic IPO 'honeymoon phase' price action, with early liquidity swept and bullish structure forming.
🔍 Price swept the daily sell-side liquidity at $35.70
📈 Now pushing higher — next major buyside targets at $55.04 and $65.22
🤖 Backed by NVIDIA, adding serious momentum and credibility
🧠 Expecting strong continuation as institutions begin to build exposure
If price maintains structure, this could be one of the strongest IPO moves of 2025.
Tesla - The Next 7 Days Decide Everything!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is sitting at a crucial structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the -60% correction which we have been seeing over the past couple of months, Tesla still continuously validates its overall uptrend. That's exactly the reason for my strong bullish thesis and the assumption, that after we see bullish confirmation, Tesla will reject the current support area.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BROADCOM: Long term Channel Up points to $350 within 2025.AVGO is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.250, MACD = 3.500, ADX = 29.483) as last week it crossed and close over its 1W MA50 and on the current 1W candle it is about to close over the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well. This is similar to the November-December 2022 fractal that followed after the last major market bottom. Both sequences bottomed on the same 1W RSI level (34.80), so the structures share more similarities than differences. Since the 3 year pattern is a Channel Up, the stock is now on the new bullish wave aiming for the next HH. The 2022 rebound reached the 1.618 Fib extension before consolidating for weeks, so our long term target is the current 1.618 Fib (TP = $350.00).
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NVIDIA Massive bullish break-out after 4 months of selling.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) made a critical bullish break-out yesterday (in the aftermath of Meta's and Microsoft AI capex numbers) as it didn't just break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that has been intact as a Resistance since February 27 but also above the top of the Channel Down that has been the dominant pattern throughout this correction since the January 07 All Time High (ATH).
The 1D RSI is on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is always bullish and if NVDA closes a 1D candle above the 1D MA50 next, then our short-term Target will be 143.50, which is just below Resistance 1 and the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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TSLATesla is in a correction phase, the price has a chance to test the support zone 246-218. If the price can stay above 218, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next?Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next?
As the chart shows, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply, forming a large bullish gap: while trading closed around $391 on 30 April, yesterday’s candlestick closed just below the $425 mark.
What Drove the Rally in Microsoft Shares?
Microsoft released its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, exceeding Wall Street expectations on both revenue (actual = $70.1 billion, 2.4% above forecasts) and earnings per share (actual = $3.46, 7.4% above forecasts).
Particular attention was drawn to the strong performance of Azure – revenue from Azure and other cloud services soared by 33% year-on-year. A significant part of this growth was fuelled by robust demand for artificial intelligence services, which helps ease concerns about the return on large-scale infrastructure investments related to AI.
In addition, Microsoft issued an upbeat outlook for the next quarter, which ultimately triggered the sharp rise in its share price.
Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart
Yesterday’s candlestick closed near its low (highlighted by the arrow), indicating that bears were active during the trading session. From a technical analysis perspective, this can be explained by the proximity of the price to two key resistance lines:
1 → The upper boundary of a descending channel drawn from significant price action patterns (marked in red). The relevance of this channel is confirmed by the price’s behaviour near its median line (dashed).
2 → A former trendline that served as support throughout 2024.
Therefore, a short-term correction cannot be ruled out following the sharp rally in MSFT shares, potentially tempering some of the enthusiasm generated by Microsoft’s strong quarterly report.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Rising Unemployment Claims Signal Labor Market Softening
Initial jobless claims increased by 18,000 to 241,000 for the week ending April 26, marking the highest level since late February. Continuing claims also rose to 1.916 million, indicating potential cracks in the labor market.
🏭 Manufacturing Sector Contracts Amid Tariff Pressures
The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in April from 49.0 in March, indicating a second consecutive month of contraction. Tariffs on imported goods have strained supply chains and elevated input prices, contributing to the downturn.
📉 Construction Spending Declines
Construction spending decreased by 0.5% in March, reflecting reduced investments in both residential and nonresidential projects. This decline suggests caution in the construction sector amid economic uncertainties.
📊 Mixed Signals from Manufacturing Indices
While the ISM Manufacturing PMI indicates contraction, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI remained steady at 50.2 in April, suggesting stability in some manufacturing segments despite broader challenges.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 2:
💼 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET)
Provides insight into employment trends and overall economic health.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET)
Measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
💰 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET)
Indicates wage growth and potential inflationary pressures.
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET)
Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing sector strength.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$MARA $14.5 call *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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NVIDIA Corporation: Bullish ConsolidationThe NVDA stock is facing resistance at the 0.5 Fib. extension level. This resistance was met after a higher low and above 0.618 Fib. While this is a confirmed resistance zone, market conditions are bullish.
The RSI is now above 50. It is at its highest on a rise since late January earlier this year.
Local resistance on the RSI has been broken and this oscillator is trading straight up. This is a positive and strong signal. Here is the chart:
The yellow horizontal line is the local resistance which has been broken. On a drop, this same line would now work as support. A "magic" line I should say. :D
It is magical because it helps us predict the future with a high level of accuracy and certainty; so far so good.
These dynamics: The higher low, the small stop at resistance, the bullish RSI and overall bullish market conditions are all part of a bullish consolidation period.
Let me break it down for you; the market will continue to consolidate for a while, for as long as it needs, before moving higher to hit a new high. The conditions revealed by this chart setup is that the low that was hit 7-April remains the bottom. The market can shake, NVDA can go down, it can go up but this low will never be challenged, you can set your stop-loss below it. Any short-term movements against you is just noise. Wait patiently and eventually it will grow.
If you have any questions leave a comment it will be my pleasure to answer.
Thank you for reading again.
See you tomorrow, or the next day, or yesterday-more again.
Make sure to follow. My main focus is Cryptocurrency but I also do the SPX, NVDA and TSLA. (And sometimes Gold which is bearish now.)
Namaste.