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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Anticipation Builds for Key Economic Data: Investors are on edge as they await a series of critical economic reports this week, including GDP growth figures and the April jobs report. Concerns are mounting that recent tariff policies may have begun to weigh on economic performance, with forecasts suggesting a significant slowdown in growth. ​ 💼 Earnings Season in Full Swing: Major corporations are set to report earnings today, including AstraZeneca, Honeywell, Regeneron, PayPal, PACCAR, Kraft Heinz, Ares Capital, SoFi, Zebra Technologies, Incyte, Repligen, and Commvault. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into how companies are navigating the current economic landscape. 📉 Market Volatility Persists Amid Trade Tensions: The stock market continues to experience volatility as investors grapple with the implications of ongoing trade disputes and tariff implementations. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could further dampen economic growth and corporate profitability. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 29: 📦 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET): Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. These figures provide early insights into trade balances and inventory levels, which are critical for assessing economic momentum. ​ 📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. A decline in confidence could signal reduced consumer spending, impacting overall economic growth. ​ 💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. This data helps assess the health of the job market and potential wage pressures. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
BTC - 4 Cycles Repeating Itself!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. The picture says it all! 🔄Is history about to repeat itself? If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈 What’s next? A dip toward the $75,000 zone is expected before the next impulsive move begins. 📉🚀 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
21
Coinbase Global (COIN) – Bridging Crypto and Traditional FinanceCompany Snapshot: Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN is cementing its role as the gateway to the crypto economy, offering secure trading, custody, and institutional-grade financial services—positioning itself for expansion well beyond retail. Key Catalysts: Bank Charter Ambitions 🏦 Exploring a bank charter, potentially evolving into a full-service financial institution Would diversify revenue and boost regulatory credibility, key in the maturing crypto sector Institutional Growth Momentum 📈 Extending credit to major players like CleanSpark Building sticky, high-value relationships and reducing retail dependency Strengthening Financials 💰 14.8% pre-tax margin 39.16% profit contribution margin → Clear operating leverage and path to sustainable, scalable profitability Trusted Brand Advantage 🛡️ Strong institutional trust + regulatory compliance reputation → defensible moat in a volatile industry Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $160.00–$162.00 🚀 Target Range: $280.00–$290.00 🔑 Thesis: Regulatory expansion + institutional scale-up + financial efficiency = long-term crypto-finance powerhouse 📢 COIN: Not just a crypto exchange—an evolving financial institution for the digital future. #CryptoFinance #Coinbase #DigitalAssets #Fintech #InstitutionalGrowth #BankingFuture
NASDAQ:COINLong
by Richtv_official
3 Oversold Stocks Poised for a Rally – MAS, IQV & TMOBelow is today’s SmartApingAI snapshot of three highly oversold names showing early signs of a rebound. Scroll down for a quick refresher on each company’s fundamentals, key technicals, and what makes them attractive at current levels. 1. Masco Corp ( NYSE:MAS ) What They Do: Masco designs, manufactures and sells a broad range of home-improvement and new-construction products, including faucets, cabinets, hardware, coatings and architectural products. Customers: • Homeowners tackling renovation projects • Professional contractors and builders Income Source: Primarily through the sale of mid-range to premium fixtures, cabinetry systems and paint/coatings. Geographic Footprint: • ~85% North America • ~15% Europe Product Pricing: Mid-range to premium, with strong brand recognition in kitchen and bath fixtures. SmartAping AI Model Target Price: $81.36 Technical Snapshot: • Broke below—and then bounced off—the $57 weekly support zone • Now trading at $60.42, up from the intra-week low • WiseStrat Macro ASI: deeply oversold at –120, turning bullish • WiseStrat Micro ASI: still bearish, suggesting cautious position sizing Why Watch: Home-improvement spending has held up despite moderating housing starts, and MAS’s disciplined balance sheet and dividend yield (~2%) make it a compelling recovery play if consumer confidence picks up. 2. IQVIA Holdings Inc ( NYSE:IQV ) What They Do: IQVIA provides data analytics, research services and technology solutions that power clinical trials, market research and real-world evidence for the life-sciences industry. Customers: • Pharma and biotech firms • Medical device companies • Healthcare providers and payers Income Source: Subscription and project-based fees for data platforms, consulting and trial execution services. Geographic Footprint: • 50% Americas • 30% EMEA (Europe, Middle East & Africa) • 20% Asia-Pacific Product Pricing: Variable, tailored to project scope—from high-volume data subscriptions to multi-million-dollar trial outsourcing contracts. SmartAping AI Model Target Price: $275.35 Technical Snapshot: • Dropped below the $137 weekly support last week, then staged a relief rally • Currently at $150.28 • WiseStrat Macro ASI: extremely oversold at –127, now in bullish reversal mode • WiseStrat Micro ASI: turning positive, hinting at building short-term momentum Why Watch: With global R&D spend on track to exceed $250 billion this year, IQVIA’s blend of analytics and CRO services is in high demand. A seasonal uptick in trial starts could catalyze upside toward our $275 target. 3. Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc ( NYSE:TMO ) What They Do: Thermo Fisher supplies scientific instruments, reagents and software used in research, diagnostics, manufacturing and safety testing across life-sciences and industrial markets. Customers: • Academic, government and corporate research labs • Clinical and diagnostic facilities • Biopharma manufacturers Income Source: Sales of equipment (from a few hundred to multi-million dollars), consumables, and service contracts. Geographic Footprint: • ~50% North America • ~30% Europe • ~20% Asia-Pacific & other Product Pricing: Ranges widely: entry-level lab kits to high-end sequencers and complete lab automation lines. SmartAping AI Model Target Price: $645.83 Technical Snapshot: • Tested and held the $412.73 weekly support last week, bouncing back to $424.24 • WiseStrat Macro ASI: oversold at –129, now showing bullish tilt • WiseStrat Micro ASI: still negative, cautioning potential retest of $412 Why Watch: Strong long-term secular drivers—gene therapy, personalized medicine and diagnostics—remain intact. A washout in biotech funding fears has left TMO trading at a rare discount to growth peers.
NYSE:TMOLong
by SmartApingAI
1
S&P 500 Rally Exhausted? Watch This Level for the Next Drop!The S&P 500 Index( SP:SPX ) has finally touched the Resistance zone($5,680-$5,500) as I expected in my previous post . The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,680-$5,500) , the Resistance line, and Yearly Pivot Point . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the S&P 500 Index is completing the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and if the uptrend line breaks , we can confirm the end of the Zigzag correction . When the S&P 500 Index started to rise on April 22 , Bitcoin also started to rise at the same time , so a decline in the S&P 500 Index can cause Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) to decline . I expect the S&P 500 Index to drop to at least $5,313 AFTER breaking the uptrend line . Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,712, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
11
JP MORGAN's long-term bullish trend restored above the 1D MA50.JP Morgan Chase (JPM) broke above its 1D MA50 (red trend-line) last week for the first time since the first week of March and technically put an official end to the 3-month 'Trade War' correction. This correction has technically been the Bearish Leg of the 2.5-year Channel Up. Every time the 1D MA50 broke and closed a 1W candle above it, the stock started the new Bullish Leg of the pattern. The last Bullish Leg was +6% (+48% against +42%) stronger than the previous one before the first pull-back to the 1D MA50 again. As a result, we expect to see $310 (+54%) before this year is over. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradingShot
Senior (SNR) LongSNR is coming off a range support. Price has been ranging since 2021 and has formed a horizontal channel between 115 and 185. I expect price to make a move to the range resistance area and possibly break higher. From a fundamental point of view: ✔ Revenue has increased year-on-year ✔ Gross and net profit margins are steady ✔ The company has sufficient cash and assets to meet its liabilities My only concern is margins are tight. If margins fall any lower, I will immediately close my positions.
LSE:SNRLong
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
NAS100 - Stock Market Waiting for a New Stimulus?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index continues to move upwards towards the specified supply zone, one can look for further Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, financial markets experienced a brief sigh of relief as U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to ease tensions by signaling a limited retreat in the tariff war with China, sparking hopes for reduced friction. However, this optimism quickly faded once it became clear that Trump’s retreat was neither substantial nor impactful. From Beijing’s perspective, the trade war has transcended economic concerns, becoming an issue of national pride and sovereignty. As a result, China, the world’s second-largest economy, is not retreating as easily as Trump anticipated. This stance has evolved into a significant challenge for the White House. U.S. officials indicated that tariffs of 145% could be reduced within two to three weeks if an agreement is reached. Nonetheless, according to Chinese authorities, negotiations have yet to even begin, raising doubts about Trump’s negotiation tactics. Additionally, other concessions, such as reducing tariffs on American automakers, remain uncertain, and Trump has even threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian car imports. This environment not only fails to clarify U.S. trade policy but also deepens uncertainty for domestic businesses. Although the White House claims it is monitoring markets closely and Trump is eager to strike deals with key partners, these assurances have not alleviated concerns about the future of the U.S. economy. In the upcoming week, critical economic data could either intensify or ease current worries. On Tuesday, the Consumer Confidence Index for April and the JOLTS job openings data for March will be released. The highlight, however, will be the preliminary estimate of GDP growth, scheduled for Wednesday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.2% annualized contraction in the U.S. economy for Q1 2025. Meanwhile, a Reuters survey of economists projects a modest 0.4% growth rate, a significant slowdown from Q4’s 2.4% growth. Accompanying these reports, the ADP private-sector employment data and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be published. The core PCE for March is expected to show a monthly increase of 0.1% and an annual rise of 2.5%, down from 2.8% previously. Personal spending is anticipated to maintain its 0.4% monthly growth, reflecting resilient household expenditures. Additionally, on Wednesday, the Chicago PMI and pending home sales figures will be released. Thursday will bring the Challenger layoffs data for April, but market focus will be on the ISM manufacturing PMI, expected to drop from 49 to 47.9. The week’s main event will be Friday’s release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Forecasts suggest job growth will slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3%.If NFP and PCE data come in weaker than expected, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in June could intensify, although the likelihood of a cut in May will remain low. Such data would likely be bearish for the U.S. dollar but could support equity markets if recession fears do not dominate sentiment. Some Federal Reserve officials have suggested that if economic conditions deteriorate significantly, rate cuts could start as early as June. Currently, the Fed has maintained high rates to combat inflation but may lower them to support growth and prevent a sharp rise in unemployment if necessary. Trump’s trade wars pose a dual risk of increasing inflation while hurting employment, complicating the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. Presently, the Fed is in a “wait-and-see” mode, but several officials indicated last week that cuts could begin if economic data worsens. Beth Hammack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, told CNBC on Thursday that the Fed might lower rates starting in June if signs of economic weakening due to Trump’s sporadic tariffs appear. Christopher Waller, a Fed Board member, stated on Bloomberg TV that he could foresee rate cuts if the labor market collapses but does not expect such a scenario before July. On Thursday, Waller remarked, “It would not be surprising to see an increase in layoffs and a higher unemployment rate, especially if major tariffs return. I would expect faster rate cuts once signs of severe labor market deterioration emerge.” These comments highlight the Fed’s current dilemma as it awaits clearer evidence of significant economic fallout from Trump’s trade wars. The Federal Reserve’s mandate is to maintain low inflation and unemployment levels. Its primary tool, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs across the economy. The Fed can stimulate growth by lowering rates or curb inflation by raising them. Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs present the risk of simultaneously driving up inflation while damaging employment, forcing the Fed to prioritize which challenge to address first.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
An Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price ChartAn Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price Chart Today, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), a Chinese manufacturer of "smart" electric vehicles, is trading above $4 – a development that may be viewed as an optimistic scenario following the drop to $3 in the first half of April, marking the lowest level in nearly five years. Why Has NIO’s Share Price Risen? Bullish sentiment has been supported by news that the company: → increased vehicle deliveries by 40.1% compared to the same period last year; → is launching its premium ET9 model, expanding its range of offerings. Additionally, news offering hope that high tariffs in international trade may not hinder the company's growth has also had a positive impact on NIO’s share price. Technical Analysis of NIO’s Share Price Chart From the perspective of candlestick analysis on the daily chart, a "Three White Soldiers" pattern (marked with an arrow) can be observed. This is considered an important bullish signal, as according to Thomas Bulkowski, author of Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, following the formation of a "Three White Soldiers" pattern, a bearish trend (highlighted by the red channel) reverses to the upside in 82% of cases. However, it is important to bear in mind that resistance may be encountered at: → the $4 per share level, as it previously served as a support; → the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the downward move between 12 March and 8 April. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:NIO
by FXOpen
1
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab) - Stop out LONGS - Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809 i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only looking for LONGS around 93.777 - 92.782 tp1 . 95.843 tp2 . 99.490 if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly - i believe this to come towards wednesday
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
1
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk. In this guide, we will cover: - What the Silver Bullet Strategy is - Key Times to Watch - Entry Models - Target Setting - Risk Management - Real Chart Examples --- What is the Silver Bullet Strategy? The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays. Key Principles: - Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially) - Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement - Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points --- Silver Bullet Timing Windows Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time): - First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York) - Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York) These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation. --- Silver Bullet Entry Model The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup: 1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low. 2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block. 3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement. 4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal. Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m: MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m: So all 4 steps completed! Example Entry Checklist: - Liquidity sweep - Strong displacement creating an FVG - Price retraces into FVG or OB - MSS/BOS confirmation - Execute trade with tight stop-loss --- Where to Set Targets Targets should be logical based on market structure: - First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows) - Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows) - Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals --- Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades Golden Rules: - Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup - Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG candle - Stick to one or two trades per window maximum - Avoid revenge trading outside the windows --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Trading outside the specified time windows - Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement - Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy" - Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!) Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence. --- Final Thoughts The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups. Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline. Happy Sniping!
Education
by Louigi_24
44
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction. --- 1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone The red shaded area defines a significant confluence: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react. - Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation. This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it. --- 2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone This Fib pocket offers: - A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground. - A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs. A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations. --- 3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection As price fills the inefficiency: - It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement. - Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones. This supports the short bias post-rebalancing. --- 4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior: - Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area. - Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection. - Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved. The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience. --- 5. Market Context Alignment - FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection. - Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing. --- 6. Summary: - FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence - High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection - Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Short
by Louigi_24
24
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 28 – May 2, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 President Trump's 100th Day in Office: Wednesday marks President Trump's 100th day of his second term. His administration's protectionist tariffs continue to influence global markets and political landscapes, with notable impacts observed in Canada, Australia, and the UK. 📉 Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators: Investors are closely monitoring the effects of recent U.S. tariffs on economic performance. Key data releases this week, including GDP and employment figures, will provide insights into the economy's resilience amid these trade policies. ​ 💼 Major Corporate Earnings: This week features earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, ExxonMobil, and McDonald's. These reports will offer a glimpse into how large corporations are navigating current economic challenges. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, April 28: 🏠 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership (10:00 AM ET): Provides data on rental and homeowner vacancy rates, offering insights into housing market dynamics. ​ 📅 Tuesday, April 29: 📈 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET): Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. ​ 📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. ​ 💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 GDP (Q1 Advance Estimate) (8:30 AM ET): Provides an early estimate of economic growth for the first quarter. ​ 💳 Personal Income and Outlays (10:00 AM ET): Includes data on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. 🏭 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET): Assesses business conditions in the Chicago region, reflecting manufacturing sector health. ​ 📅 Thursday, May 1: 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Reports total spending on construction projects, indicating economic activity in the sector. ​ 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Measures the number of new filings for unemployment benefits, reflecting labor market conditions. ​ 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): Provides insight into the manufacturing sector's health through a survey of purchasing managers. ​ 📅 Friday, May 2: 👷 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Reports the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector. ​ 📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Indicates the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. ​ 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Measures the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Quantum's Walmart (WMT) Trading Guide 4/28/25WMT’s weekly outlook balances its defensive resilience against macroeconomic headwinds, with a comprehensive synthesis of technical, market, and strategic factors guiding its trajectory for weekly options contracts. The FAME framework underscores WMT’s long-term bullish potential, driven by robust fundamentals (+5% revenue, $0.58 EPS, 21% e-commerce growth) and adaptability (AI, Walmart+), positioning it as a resilient player in a risk-off regime. However, elevated yields (10-year 4.255%, 20-year 4.738%, 30-year 4.721%) and a stable DXY at 99.58 amplify tariff pressures and margin concerns, capping upside and reinforcing a cautious stance. A tactical long bias is favored for weekly contracts, targeting a bounce from $94.36 to $96.47–$98.50, with a short stance viable below $88.50 if support fails. Technical implications highlight bullish momentum on daily (RSI ~40, Stochastic ~28) and weekly (RSI ~44, Stochastic ~32) timeframes, with oversold conditions signaling a rebound potential for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds. Monthly neutral momentum (RSI ~50) suggests consolidation, requiring a breakout above $96.47 to confirm bullish strength. This supports a short-term bounce but advises monitoring for sustained moves. Market influence implications reflect a risk-off environment, with high yields and a stable DXY increasing import costs, particularly amid tariff uncertainty from WMT’s upcoming Trump meeting. The VIX at 24.84 amplifies volatility, favoring WMT’s defensive appeal but heightening risks. WMT’s Q3 FY25 strength and e-commerce growth provide stability, supporting resilience near $94.36. OFD summary and implications reveal bearish pressure from Vanna (-$0.04), Charm (-$0.02), and DEX (-$0.06), driven by put-heavy flow and hedging demand tied to tariff fears. However, GEX (+$0.08) at the $95 strike pins price, stabilizing volatility and supporting a neutral-to-bullish bounce for weekly contracts if $94.36 holds, aligning with oversold technicals. Edge insights bolster the case for a bounce, with institutional buying at $94–$95 signaling accumulation, defensive retail sector strength outperforming cyclicals, and low short interest (1.4%) offering squeeze potential above $96.47. These factors enhance confidence in a tactical long bias for weekly contracts, provided support holds. Strategic outlook implications emphasize consolidation near $95.09, with $94.36 as a critical pivot. A break below risks $88.50, driven by tariff fears and bearish options flow, while a move above $96.47 targets $98.50, fueled by oversold signals and institutional support. The VIX at 24.84 and put-heavy options flow underscore volatility, but WMT’s defensive positioning mitigates downside, favoring a bounce in a risk-off regime. In summary, WMT’s weekly outlook hinges on defending $94.36, with oversold technicals, GEX pinning, and institutional buying supporting a bounce to $96.47–$98.50 for weekly contracts. Tariff risks, high yields, and DXY stability maintain a risk-off backdrop, capping upside and requiring vigilance for a break below support, which could shift bias to bearish. This balanced approach leverages WMT’s defensive strengths while navigating weekly volatility, aligning with Buffett’s preference for resilient businesses with tactical opportunities.
NYSE:WMT
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
S&P 500: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis of S&P500 will explore both bullish and bearish scenarios, incorporating key levels and considering possible market and crowd psychology. Bullish Scenario: Potential Uptrend Resumption From a bullish perspective, if the S&P 500 maintains a position above the 5482 level, it could suggest a potential end to the current correction and a resumption of the major uptrend. A hold above 5482 might reinforce bullish sentiment, encouraging further buying activity, as traders may view this as confirmation of renewed strength. The index could then potentially retest the 5801 level, where it's possible that the index may encounter resistance on the first attempt. A successful break above 5801 would then open the path towards the 6135 zone, which represents a key upside target. Bearish Scenario: Potential Retest of Support Zones Conversely, if the S&P 500 fails to hold above the 5482 support level might trigger increased selling pressure, as traders liquidate positions. The index could then potentially retest the 5092 to 4833 support zone. This zone represents a critical area where buyers may step in, but a break below it would signal further weakness. Concluding Remarks In conclusion, the S&P 500's price action around the identified key levels will be crucial in determining its short- to medium-term direction. A sustained hold above 5482 could favor a bullish continuation towards 5801 and potentially 6135, while a break below 5482 might lead to a retest of the 5092 to 4833 support zone.
SP:SPXLong
by AccumulationPro
Was this the best buying opportunity since 2011?Sure, here's a rewritten version of your text in an engaging tone: "Have you ever heard of the Zweig Breadth Thrust? Well, let me tell you, it’s an incredible metric that can really shed some light on the current market situation! So, what would it take for me to believe that this bounce isn't just another bear market rally? My first step would be to dive into the breadth indicators and look for signs of that elusive breadth thrust. Think of a breadth thrust like a rocket taking off. You need a strong initial boost to break free of gravity's grip. If the thrust is weak, the rocket can’t escape, and the same applies to stock market reversals. When we see a robust breadth thrust, that's a signal that a significant reversal is underway. Without it, we could be facing another false bounce. Now, let’s talk numbers! As of Friday, April 25th, the SPX has surged an impressive 14.2% from its recent lows, and while that’s quite a leap, it’s essential to keep it in perspective. Just think back—this index was down 21.35% from its all-time high earlier in February during the panic sell-off. Now, with the recent strength, it’s only 10.75% off its peak. The Zweig Breadth Thrust is calculated based on the 10-day EMA of NYSE Advances divided by the sum of Advances and Declines. A bullish signal pops up when the ZBT shifts from below 0.40 to above 0.615 within just ten days or less. Keep an eye on that—it might just help us navigate these choppy waters!" On the monthly chart, it’s clear that what we’ve been seeing in the broader economy (you know, Main Street) is actually showing us some bearish divergence—a concept I've mentioned in my previous ideas. Since 2009, we've had four notable instances on the Monthly chart where the ZBT dipped below 0.40, only to bounce back up past the 0.6 mark. Remember back in November 2011? That was when we got a significant signal with a low reading of 0.31, which climbed back to 0.62 by February 2013. That surge sparked a bull run that peaked in February 2020! So, the takeaway here is that this breadth thrust is generating the positive momentum we need to reach new stock market highs this year. Exciting times ahead!
SP:SPXLong
by BallaJi
BTC - Golden Pocket Confluence + FVG Sweep = Long SetupA highly refined scenario blending Fibonacci confluence with liquidity principles, setting up a controlled bullish play. --- 1. Golden Pocket + FVG Confluence — Critical Demand Zone The blue highlighted area represents a strong confluence: - FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance left by aggressive price movement, likely to attract price for rebalancing. - Golden Pocket: The 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, statistically favored for deep retracements and high-probability reversals. Expecting strong buying interest once price taps into this confluence. --- 2. 0.618-0.65 Fib Range — Key Reversal Territory The Fibonacci zone offers the perfect environment for engineered liquidity sweeps and smart money accumulation. - This range often acts as a trap for retail shorts while institutions accumulate. - A clean entry opportunity arises as price dips into this critical golden zone before expansion. --- 3. FVG Resistance Above — Initial Reaction Zone A notable FVG resistance area is marked around 94,400–94,500: - Upon reaching this zone, price may face initial selling pressure or short-term consolidation. - Observing how price interacts here can further confirm bullish strength and continuation. --- 4. Smart Money Liquidity Play The setup suggests a classic liquidity engineering move: - Induce shorts through a pullback into the Golden Pocket. - Absorb liquidity inside the FVG. - Trigger a sharp bullish reversal aligned with institutional footprints. This layered setup is clean, logical, and methodical. --- 5. Projected Price Flow Anticipated price action structure: - Step 1: Dip into the Golden Pocket + FVG demand zone. - Step 2: Reversal toward the FVG resistance. - Step 3: Breakout continuation upon reclaiming resistance, leading to further bullish expansion. Each leg is mapped to follow high-probability liquidity behavior. --- 6. Summary: - Golden Pocket + FVG = Prime Reversal Confluence - Efficient Liquidity Sweep Mechanics - Structured Bullish Progression Based on Smart Money Concepts This plan is framed to capitalize on precision entries and liquidity dynamics without chasing price.
Long
by Louigi_24
61
EURUSD - Bullish Shift after IFVG? This chart outlines a clean sequence of bullish intent where institutional accumulation is visible through structure, inefficiency, and reactive zones. --- 1. Support Zone Holds — Demand Confirmed The previous resistance area has now clearly flipped into support , marked by multiple wicks rejecting lower prices. - This region is a high-probability demand zone engineered through earlier consolidation. - Price returned to this level, swept minor liquidity, and immediately bounced—confirmation that demand is active. --- 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) — The Imbalance Magnet A clean FVG sits above price, created during the prior bearish leg. Now acting as a rebalancing zone. - Price is pushing into this inefficiency after finding support. - The gap inversion (price reclaiming and holding above the FVG) would validate bullish continuation. - Think of this as the mid-point between structure and expansion. --- 3. BSL Above — The Next Liquidity Target A key Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) level is marked higher, acting as the next logical draw for price. - Smart money seeks liquidity above recent swing highs. - If price holds above the FVG, this BSL becomes the magnet for bullish expansion . --- 4. Projected Price Action Flow The roadmap is clear and logical: - Step 1: Bounce from support (done) - Step 2: Push through and hold the FVG - Step 3: Expand higher toward BSL Each leg has purpose, and the structure confirms smart money is in accumulation mode. --- 5. Summary: - Support + FVG + BSL = Structured Bullish Thesis - As long as price stays above the FVG post-inversion, buyers have control. - This is a textbook case of price engineering via inefficiency and reactive structure.
Long
by Louigi_24
41
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, the Index did steady to higher prices, distancing itself from the rendered obsolete Mean Resistance level of 5455 and targeting the next significant mark identified as Outer Index Rally 5550. This trend lays the groundwork for a continued upward movement; however, there is also a considerable risk of a sharp pullback to the Mean Support level of 5370 after reaching the Outer Index Rally at 5550. Contrariwise, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum continuation resulting in meeting the primary target Outer Index Rally 5550 by challenging the Mean Resistance of 5672 and extending toward additional levels: Mean Resistance 5778 and Outer Index Rally 5945.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
ENIC, 1W Trend Reversal Setup and Breakout AnticipationOn the weekly chart of ENIC, a broad expanding triangle formation transitioning into a base accumulation structure is visible. The price is now approaching a critical resistance zone around $3.90–$4.00, an area that previously triggered major reversals. Currently, the market is consolidating just below this resistance, forming a platform for a potential breakout and retest. Technical structure: - EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200 are starting to converge, signaling the potential for a bullish crossover — a key indicator of mid-term trend reversal. - The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $3.25 has been broken and price is stabilizing above it, reinforcing the bullish setup. - Higher lows and higher highs have been established — a clear early sign of a new upward trend. - Volume during the consolidation phase remains stable without signs of heavy distribution or capitulation. Fundamental analysis of Enel Chile: - Sector: Energy, Renewable Energy Transition - Enel Chile is aggressively expanding into green energy, reducing its coal generation portfolio and investing heavily in solar and wind projects. - Financials: The company maintains stable dividend payouts and holds a manageable debt-to-cash-flow ratio. - Chile’s national energy policy shift towards renewable energy and international demand for clean energy solutions provide strong long-term tailwinds. - Global trends favor companies with sustainable energy models, positioning Enel Chile strategically for growth. Structural targets: After a successful breakout above $3.90 and a retest confirmation, the next upside targets are: - $4.61 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) - $5.45 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement) - Extended channel and Fibonacci target: $6.81 Enel Chile (ENIC) is building a mature base structure for a long-term bullish reversal. A confirmed breakout above $3.90, combined with bullish EMA alignment, would unlock a strong upside scenario toward and beyond $6.00. Both technical formation and fundamentals strongly support this outlook. This is a structure you don't want to miss.
NYSE:ENICLong
by TotoshkaTrades