Stocks
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Moody's Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
Moody's has downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over rising national debt and interest payment ratios. This move aligns Moody's with previous downgrades by Fitch and S&P Global, potentially impacting investor sentiment and increasing market volatility.
🛍️ Retail Earnings in Focus
Major U.S. retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), Lowe’s ( NYSE:LOW ), Target ( NYSE:TGT ), TJX Companies ( NYSE:TJX ), Ross Stores ( NASDAQ:ROST ), and Ralph Lauren ( NYSE:RL ), are set to report earnings this week. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing tariff concerns.
💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams, are scheduled to speak this week. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions, especially in light of recent economic data and market developments.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 19:
8:30 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic speaks.
8:45 AM ET: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams speak.
10:00 AM ET: U.S. Leading Economic Indicators for April.
📅 Tuesday, May 20:
8:30 AM ET: Building Permits and Housing Starts for April.
10:00 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari speaks.
📅 Wednesday, May 21:
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales for April.
10:30 AM ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report.
📅 Thursday, May 22:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims.
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing and Services PMI for May.
📅 Friday, May 23:
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales for April.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
GOLD Has Shown A Significant Bullish Move!!Gold Market Analysis
Over the past week, gold has shown a significant bullish move by touching its weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and closing a candle above it. This price action serves as a strong indication that the market is currently exhibiting bullish momentum. However, it is important to note that the sustainability of this bullish trend will be confirmed only through future market developments and price behavior.
As of now, our analysis suggests that gold, after revisiting and respecting the weekly bullish FVG, is trending upward. Looking ahead, we anticipate a minor retracement in the short term. This pullback could provide a healthy opportunity for the market to gather momentum before making another move upward. Ideally, we expect the price to retrace slightly and re-enter the highlighted yellow zone. Within this zone, we will be watching for a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which would act as our confirmation signal to consider entering a long position.
Once confirmation is received through MSS or similar price action cues, our strategy would be to target the liquidity zones situated above the current price level. It is also worth mentioning that the market has already cleared liquidity on the sell-side, which further strengthens the bullish case. Based on current technical indications and liquidity structure, there is a high probability that gold could reach as high as $3,250 in the upcoming sessions.
That said, market conditions can evolve rapidly, and it is essential to monitor price action closely. Traders and investors are strongly advised to conduct their own research (DYOR) and await clear confirmations before making any trading decisions. Staying vigilant and informed will be key to capitalizing on potential bullish movements in the gold market.
Uber (UBER, 1W) Tightening Structure Ready for BreakoutOn the weekly chart, UBER has formed a strong ascending wedge / tightening channel, showing clear higher lows and repeated rejections near upper resistance. The price is now approaching the apex of the pattern, with a possible breakout setup above $82.42.
If confirmed, the projected measured move (H = $27.67) aligns with Fibonacci extension targets at:
– $89.86 (1.272)
– $93.74 (1.414)
– $99.32 (1.618)
Technical structure:
– Price held support twice, confirming bullish intent
– Structure tightening — breakout likely on sustained volume
– Bullish divergence forming on the weekly stochastic oscillator
– A breakout above $82.42 activates the next impulse wave
– Volume is stable, with no signs of heavy distribution
Fundamentals:
Uber has reached a major financial milestone: consistent profitability and positive EBITDA growth. The company continues to expand across mobility and delivery, with a focus on cost efficiency, platform monetization, and retention. Increased user activity and growing institutional interest support a bullish mid-term thesis. Uber is increasingly seen as a core holding in next-gen tech and services portfolios.
The technical structure is approaching resolution. A confirmed breakout above $82.42 opens the door for a move to $89.86 → $93.74 → $99.32. With bullish structure and improving fundamentals, Uber is positioned for the next leg higher. This is a setup worth watching.
TRUK - VCP (118W 66/27 3T)IDX:TRUK - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. There is nothing good with the fundamental
Nvidia —Resistance Turns Support Support Confirmed—ATH 260-194This week closes as a full green candle. A rising window or gap was left along the way. This is a bullish development.
The full green candle comes after a rounded bottom and double-bottom long-term. Coming from a resistance level turned strong long-term support.
Keeping it simple, NVDA has been rising and the chart shows potential for additional growth. There can be retraces and corrections; Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload.
In the case of a strong correction, always, we will end up with a higher low compared to the 7-April weekly session. This session marks the bottom of the correction.
A higher low means the bullish structure remains intact. A bullish structure means a bullish trend. A bullish trend means rising prices which will end up with a new All-Time High in late 2025.
Two new All-Time Highs possible and highly probable in 2025. 194 (mid-term) & 260 (long-term).
Thank you for reading.
Support boost and follow.
Namaste.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index showed a steady upward trend during this week's trading session, successfully reaching a key target at the Outer Index Rally level of 5955. However, it's important to note the significant downward trend due to letter completion, which could lead to a decline toward the Mean Support level of 5828. Additionally, there is a possibility of further drops to the Mean Support level of 5661. On the other hand, the index may continue to rise from its current level, potentially advancing toward the Inner Currency Rally target set at 6073.
Premier Explosives is exploding on charts. Premier Explosives Ltd. engages in the manufacture of explosives, detonators, propellants, services, and other traded items. Its product portfolio includes defense products and commercial explosives. Premier Explosives Ltd. Closing price is 493.50.
The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Low Debt, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, RSI indicating price strength and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 83.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 496 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 530, 583 and 605. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 633 and 673. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 429 or 405 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
IRFC trying to break out on a fast track. Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. engages in the business of borrowing funds from the finance markets to finance the acquisition of assets which are leased out to the Indian Railways as finance lease. Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Closing price is 138.61.
The positive aspects of the company are Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, RSI indicating price strength, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 27.9), PE higher than Industry PE, Companies with high market cap, lower public shareholding and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 140 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 152 and 165. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 176 and 189. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 122 or 108 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
COCA-COLA: This is a +43% wave, aiming at $82.Coca-Cola is about to turn bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.500, MACD = -0.130, ADX = 31.368), trading on a flat 1M candle, coming off another flat candle before it (April). This neutrality has historically been a re accumulation period for the stock. Given that its most recent low was on the 0.382 of its multi year Channel Up and the rebound took place on the 1M MA50, we expect at least a +43.22% rise from there. On this pattern, all rallies that started on the 1M MA50, grew by at least +43.22% and touched the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel. Our TP = 82.00 and we expect to get there by the end of the year.
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AMD Break-out above this level means new ATH at $300.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is on a recovery attempt following the April 07 2025 bottom, which is technically a Higher Low on the 3.5-year Channel Up. This week it broke above the first Resistance level of this attempt, the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is key as it had 2 rejections since February 18 2025.
However the biggest Resistance test is right above it and consists of a strong Cluster of the 1D MA200 (green trend-line), the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line from the All Time High (ATH).
The previous Bullish Leg of the Channel Up (started on October 10 2022), consolidated for 1 month once it broke above this Resistance Cluster (blue circle) and then marched towards the pattern's Higher High, which was naturally a Higher High.
The similarities between the Legs are striking, the Bearish Legs (both declined by -66.86%) were confirmed by 1W MACD Bearish Cross and the Bullish Legs by a Bullish Cross, which the 1W MACD just completed last week.
This is a major confirmation and technically the earliest for a long-term Buy. Assuming again that the symmetry will continue to hold on this emerging Bullish Leg, we can expect it rise by +318.17% as well. Based on that, our long-term Target on AMD is $300.
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Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Reaches Record HighNetflix (NFLX) Share Price Reaches Record High
According to the charts, Netflix (NFLX) shares have risen above $1,170 – the highest level in the company’s history. Since the start of 2025, the price of NFLX stock has increased by approximately 33%, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) remains close to its opening levels from 2 January.
Why Is Netflix (NFLX) Performing Strongly?
A month ago, we highlighted several factors contributing to NFLX’s outperformance relative to the broader stock market. Among them is the fact that Netflix does not offer tradable goods subject to tariffs in trade wars. As a result, the company could potentially benefit from an economic downturn if consumers spend more time at home.
According to recent reports:
→ Netflix has announced that 94 million subscribers are now using its low-cost ad-supported plan – a figure more than a third higher than the 70 million reported in November.
→ The company also forecasts that advertising revenue will double this year.
Technical Analysis of the NFLX Share Chart
The share price continues to move within the upward channel (shown in blue) we identified previously. At the same time:
→ the price is currently near the upper boundary of this channel, which has repeatedly acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows);
→ the RSI indicator shows a potential bearish divergence.
Under these conditions, a corrective move in Netflix’s stock price cannot be ruled out – for example, towards line Q or the channel median.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
btc . may . w3 . friyesterdays LONG was beautiful. ny ran aLow, and never looked back pushing higher.
. new aver entry . 102353
i'm right now scalling into new limit LONGs
. aLow . wVWAP . cw0.5 . liquidity grad - in this BULLISH environment
a last limit order is placed at pdTPO
. 102862.5
SL has been lifted to give new trade breathing room
i see us go to cwHigh . 105871, to which tp1 has been changed.
cheers
Why it's time to take a closer look at Palantir stockWell well well, a good mystery starts with a whisper. For Palantir, it began in 2003, in the shadows of war-torn Iraq and Afghanistan. U.S. forces were struggling. Data was scattered. Decisions were delayed. Then came a company that promised to stitch the chaos together - to map the battlefield, spot terrorists, and maybe, just maybe, save lives!
After two decades: Palantir is no longer just a software firm - it's a silent architect behind some of the West’s most mission-critical operations.
🕵️♂️ Mission?
Not just to build technology. Not just to analyze data. But to influence life-and-death decisions - "Our product is used on occasion to kill people," their leadership says without blinking.
💼 Game?
Winning Defense Department contracts - and commercial giants too.
They've hired former Pentagon insiders, like Gregory Barbaccia and Shyam Sankar, and even political power players like Machalagh Carr, formerly Chief of Staff to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Play chess, not checkers?
💉 During the COVID-19 pandemic, Palantir stepped into the public health arena, building the infrastructure to track outbreaks and distribute vaccines for the U.S. government. They weren’t just responding - they were organizing the response.
🧠 And now? AI is their battlefield.
In August 2024, they deepened ties with Microsoft, integrating Azure OpenAI with Palantir's AIP - but not just anywhere. In classified environments. The stakes? National security. The client? The U.S. government.
Maruti Suzuki Chart Breakout Watch | Ascending Triangle PatternNSE:MARUTI
Maruti Suzuki is currently forming a bullish ascending triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart, indicating potential for an upside breakout.
1. Pattern Formation: The price is making higher lows while facing horizontal resistance near the 12,700 zone — forming a classic ascending triangle.
2. Support Zone: Trendline support is holding well, currently near 12,550.
3. Breakout Levels: A confirmed breakout above 12,700 could trigger a sharp move toward the next resistances at 12,888, 13,075, and possibly 13,454.
4. Bullish: Post-breakout, price action is expected to retest and then rally — as shown by the projection arrows on the chart.
5. Volume Confirmation : Watch for volume expansion on breakout to confirm strength.
Trading Plan:
Buy on Breakout : Enter long above 12,700 with targets of 12,888 - 13,075 - 13,454. Use SL below 12,550.
Wait-and-Watch : If price fails to break out, stock may stay range-bound or retest trendline support.
Conclusion:
Price action suggests strength building up. A breakout from this pattern could lead to a fresh rally — ideal setup for short-term swing trades
CDSL Stocks Analysis | Strong Resistance Zone & Breakout WatchCDSL (Central Depository Services Limited) is showing an interesting setup on the charts. After a recent correction, the stock is now approaching a resistance zone near ₹1362 , with signs of bullish pattern. 📉➡️📊
A potential breakout above ₹1370 could trigger bullish momentum. Keep an eye on volume and RSI for confirmation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ₹1272
Resistance: ₹1362-1370
Trend: Neutral to Bullish (if breakout confirmed)
💬 What’s your view on CDSL? Are you bullish or waiting for more confirmation?
#CDSL #StockMarketIndia #TradingViewIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStocks #NSEStocks #SwingTrading #CDSLAnalysis #IndianStockMarket #Investing #StockChart
Tesla Inc. Stocks & Crypto: We Are All One!What one does, the rest follows.
Tesla (TSLA) hit bottom in January 2023. It has been moving within a rising channel, higher highs and higher lows since.
Volume was moving down until December 2024. The drop in volume was the preparation for a correction. Volume has been rising and 7-April 2025 produced the highest volume since February 2023.
Here is the thing, when the highest buying came in February 2023, it was the start of this major bullish dynamic, the rising channel. Now volume starts to rise again after a major low (a higher low by the way). This means that we are set to experience another phase of growth, reaching new highs compared to December 2024 and in December TSLA produced its All-Time High. This means that the current bullish wave, brand new, will end in a new ATH in a matter of months. Isn't that great?
Knowing that Tesla is growing and set to continue growing, we know that all related markets or those that have a positive correlation with this one will also grow; What one does, the rest follows.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Jamie Dimon Warns of Possible Recession
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that a U.S. recession remains a real possibility amid ongoing uncertainty from the Trump administration's tariff policies. Speaking at JPMorgan’s Global Markets Conference in Paris, Dimon stated that while he hopes a recession can be avoided, it should not be ruled out.
💵 Stablecoin Legislation May Bolster U.S. Dollar
U.S. policymakers are advancing legislation to regulate dollar-linked stablecoins, aiming to reinforce the strength and global status of the U.S. dollar. The proposed Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (GENIUS Act) seeks to regulate stablecoins and their issuers, potentially anchoring the dollar's influence in the global financial ecosystem.
🏠 The Great Property Sell Fest Begins in India
The Great Property Sell Fest, a first-of-its-kind property festival in the Indian real estate market, is scheduled to take place from May 16 to 18, 2025. The event will be hosted across key locations including Gurugram, Noida, and Panipat, offering a unique platform for homeowners looking to sell their properties at premium prices.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 16:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for April
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX is trading in an uptrend
And the index made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 23,400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BANK OF AMERICA: Strongest rebound since 2023 eyes $65.Bank of America is heavily bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.687, MACD = 1.120, ADX = 62.779) as it's on an impressive rebound since the April low, which was priced on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the long term Channel Up that begun in December 2011. Every rally on the 0.236 Fib always hit the 0.786 Fib. Long until the end of the year, TP = 65.00.
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NIFTY Resumes Its Bullish TrendHello traders! Today we will talk about an Indian stock market exchange NIFTY 50, as we see nice and clean pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
As you can see, NIFTY is in an impulsive bullish rise on the weekly basis, which looks like a higher degree wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse by Elliott wave theory.
After recent corrective slowdown in subwave (4), which perfectly tested channel support line and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, we can now see it extending even higher, ideally for subwave (5) of a higher degree wave 3 that can push the price even up to 28k-30k area this year, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.