AIRBNB’S Q4 2024—$ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTHAIRBNB’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTH
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Airbnb’s Q4 2024 earnings dropped—$2.5B revenue, up 12% YoY, topping $2.42B estimates 📈🔥. Nights booked hit 111M, and a $14% stock surge shows the market’s love. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:ABNB ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $2.5B, +12% YoY ($2.2B Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Net Income: $461M vs. -$349M loss last year
• EPS: $0.73, beats $0.61 est. 📊
• Adj. EBITDA: $765M, +4% YoY, 30.8% margin
• GBV: $17.6B, +13% YoY
Travel demand’s fueling the fire!
(3/9) – KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• Stock Surge: +14% post-earnings (Feb 14) 🌍
• Buybacks: $838M in Q4, $3.4B for 2024 🚗
• New Ventures: $200-250M investment in travel services for May ‘25 ✅
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s betting big on growth beyond stays!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: ~$102B, Stock: $161.2 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 48.87 vs. BKNG (23), EXPE (15)
• Outperforms: 12% revenue growth beats BKNG (6%), EXPE (2%)
Premium valuation, but $4.5B free cash flow says it’s earned!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Economy: Retail sales dip hints travel cuts 📉
• Regs: NYC bans, Barcelona threats loom 🏛️
• Competition: BKNG, EXPE, hotels fight back ⚔️
• Costs: $200-250M spend may squeeze Q1 margins ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 12% revenue, $461M profit shines 🌟
• Cash: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B net, $4.5B FCF powers buybacks 🔍
• Tech: 535+ upgrades boost scale 🚦
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s a travel titan with muscle!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E (48.87), Q1 margin dip 💸
• Opportunities: New services ( SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + potential), LatAm/Asia boom 🌍
Can NASDAQ:ABNB turn expansion into gold?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:ABNB ’s Q4 rocks—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps climbing.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation caps it.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Airbnb’s Q4 dazzles—$2.5B revenue, stock soaring, new bets in play 🌍. Premium P/E vs. peers, but growth screams value. Risks lurk—regs, economy. Gem or peak?
Stocks
$SHOP’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE?NYSE:SHOP ’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE?
(1/9)
Hey Tradingview crew! Shopify’s Q4 2024 is dropping jaws 📈🔥! $2.81B in revenue—31% YoY blast—$94.5B GMV, and a fat cash flow flex. Is NYSE:SHOP the champ or just flexing? Let’s rip it open! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLOWOUT
• Q4 Revenue: $2.81B, +31% YoY—smoked $2.73B est. 💥
• Subscription: $666M, +27%
• Merchant Solutions: $2.15B, +33%
• EPS: $0.44, edged $0.43 est. 📊
• FCF: $611M, 22% margin— GETTEX:25M over est.
NYSE:SHOP ’s cash machine is humming!
(3/9) – BIG WINS
• GMV: $94.5B, +26%—fastest since ‘21 🚗
• Full Year: $8.88B revenue, +25.78% 🌍
• 3-Month Trials: New twist for Q1 ‘25 subs ✅
• Enterprise: 114 deals in 10 quarters—B2B up 132%!
X is buzzing— NYSE:SHOP ’s scaling like a beast!
(4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN
• Market Cap: ~$151.5B, P/E 81, P/S 14.3 🌟
• Vs. NASDAQ:BIGC : Lagging, $CRM/ NASDAQ:ADBE : Broader focus
• NYSE:SHOP ’s 31% growth smokes peers—$94.5B GMV flexes
Pricey, but is it a steal for this hustle? X debates!
(5/9) – RISKS TO DODGE
• Amazon & WooCommerce: Claws out for NYSE:SHOP ’s turf 📉
• Economy: Slowdown could choke GMV ⚠️
• Tariffs: Duty hikes loom— NYSE:SHOP ’s got tools, but ouch!
• Costs: Intern army in ‘25—cash burn risk?
X says watch out—trouble’s lurking!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Revenue: 31% YoY—$2.81B Q4 fury 🌟
• FCF: 22% Q4 margin, 18% ‘24 🔍
• Global: 33% GMV growth, EMEA +37% 🚦
NYSE:SHOP ’s an e-commerce titan—X can’t look away!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E 81, merchant reliance 💸
• Opportunities: Enterprise boom, AI tools, price hikes 🌍
Can NYSE:SHOP turn hype into gold? X wants to know!
(8/9) – NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is fire—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—$151.5B king keeps slaying
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s hot, but risks bite
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation’s a trap, crash incoming
Vote now—let’s brawl it out! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL BLAST
NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is a $2.81B thunderclap—GMV soaring, cash flowing 🌍. But competition and costs lurk. Undervalued rocket or overhyped bubble?
Arista Networks Dips 4% Premarket Despite Strong Q4 FinancialsArista Networks (NASDAQ: NYSE:ANET ) saw a 4% dip in premarket trading despite delivering better-than-expected revenue and earnings in its latest quarterly report. The stock's recent movement raises questions about market sentiment and potential buying opportunities.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Arista Networks, a leader in cloud networking, reported a fourth-quarter revenue of $1.93 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase. This beat analyst estimates and demonstrated the company’s ability to sustain growth even amid economic uncertainty.
Net earnings surged to $830.1 million (65 cents per share), compared to $664.3 million (52 cents per share) in the prior year. These strong financials reflect Arista’s continued dominance in the cloud networking industry, particularly as it pushes further into AI-driven initiatives.
Additionally, Arista Networks provided an optimistic forecast for the first quarter of 2024, expecting revenue between $1.93 billion and $1.97 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations. This suggests that despite short-term price volatility, the company’s long-term growth remains intact.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings
Despite the positive earnings report, NYSE:ANET faced early selling pressure. However, analysts remain bullish on the stock, with an average "Buy" rating from 15 analysts. The 12-month price forecast stands at $108.38, representing a slight downside of -3.12% from the latest price, indicating that the market might already be factoring in Arista’s growth potential.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, NYSE:ANET ’s premarket drop of 4.11% has placed its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47, signaling that the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet at extreme levels.
Currently, the stock is trading above key moving averages (MA), suggesting that the broader uptrend remains intact. However, the dip brings NYSE:ANET close to its one-month low, a temporary support level that traders should watch closely. If selling pressure continues, a break below this level could lead to further downside.
That said, this retracement could also be a strategic move to sweep liquidity and attract demand for a potential rebound. Investors should watch for price stabilization and confirmation of renewed buying interest before making any decisive moves.
Conclusion
Despite the early sell-off, Arista Networks’ strong fundamentals, growing revenue, and positive long-term outlook position it as a solid investment choice. The recent dip may be an opportunity for traders to capitalize on a short-term pullback before the stock resumes its upward trajectory. As always, monitoring key technical levels and broader market trends will be crucial in assessing NYSE:ANET ’s next move.
TESLA ($TSLA) "Long" -$600-Tesla (TSLA) on the 4-hour chart.
First thing to mention: Weekly Close in 2days about might print a 2nd Doji.
Key Support and Resistance Levels :
The price is currently testing a crucial support level around $350.
Orange Block, 15min unfilled gap. If we take it out and don't lose Cyan trendline I might even add to the trade.
Dotted Cyan lines, 4h resistances
Price might go to $470 or even new high then do retracement to stop out late Longs.
At $620, Projection of past price. I'll be 90% out before this.
If the price breaks above the cyan trend line and holds above $385 it could signal a bullish reversal.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above these levels and drops below $350, it may continue its downward trend.
Keep an eye on volume during any breakout attempts. Higher volume can confirm the strength of the move.
Monitor key psychological levels like $400 and $500 for further confirmation.
SPX In Limbo - Which way will it break?SPX in Limbo – Will It Break Up or Down? | SPX Market Analysis 19 Feb 2025
Still waiting. Yep, that’s where we are.
The market is about as exciting as watching paint dry, but this is not the time to get impatient. As much as I’d love to jump into a trade just to feel productive, I know better—waiting for the right entry beats chasing the wrong one.
Let’s break it down while we sip on tea and pretend to be Zen masters of market patience.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
Why Patience is Everything in Trading
There’s an old trading rule that never fails—the market will always move… eventually. But right now, it’s in one of those frustrating, indecisive moods where:
Nothing is confirming (so forcing a trade is a bad idea)
It’s stuck between two key levels (meaning we wait for the breakout or breakdown)
Volume is sluggish (which means false moves are more likely)
Still Watching Two Scenarios
☑ Scenario #1 – The Bullish Breakout Entry
Needs price to confirm above key resistance
No fakeouts—just clean, strong momentum
Only then do I consider a bullish trade
☑ Scenario #2 – The Bearish Reversal Entry
Needs clear rejection at resistance
No weak, choppy movements—just a solid confirmation
Only then do I take a bearish setup
Why Forcing Trades is a Losing Game
Let’s be honest—waiting is boring. But do you know what’s worse? Jumping into a trade just because you're impatient… and then watching it immediately go against you.
Every trader, at some point, has thought:
"It looks like it’s going to move, maybe I should enter early…" (Nope.)
"I don’t want to miss the move…" (You won’t—if you follow the plan.)
"Other traders are jumping in—should I?" (Nope. They’re probably wrong.)
The right trade at the wrong time is still the wrong trade.
What’s Next?
✅ Stay patient—the market will tip its hand soon enough
✅ Wait for clear confirmation—not “I think this might be it” confirmation
✅ Don’t trade out of boredom—trade because the setup is 100% valid
📌 Final Takeaway? Patience = profit. I’m still waiting, tea in hand, and when the market finally makes its move, I’ll be ready.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know?
The stock market used to take 5 months to process a trade before the 1970s. Now? It happens in milliseconds—but traders still struggle to wait a few hours for the right setup.
💡 The Lesson?
Patience has always been a trader’s best tool. Some things never change.
BILI Projects to $100Bilibili Inc. is a leading provider of online entertainment tailored for the youth of the People's Republic of China. The company boasts a diverse array of digital offerings, including professionally produced user-generated videos, mobile gaming experiences, and enhanced services like live streaming, occupationally created videos, audio dramas on Maoer, and comics available through Bilibili Comic. Additionally, Bilibili offers advertising solutions, IP derivatives, and various other services. The company is also involved in business and technology development, e-commerce, and the distribution of videos, comics, and games. Established in 2009, Bilibili Inc. is based in Shanghai, China.
Bilibili is currently priced at $20.81, indicating it may be undervalued according to discounted cash flow analysis, which suggests a fair value of $28.84. Although there has been notable insider selling recently, the stock remains 28% below its estimated fair value and is projected to achieve profitability within the next three years, surpassing average market growth rates. While the anticipated revenue growth of 10.2% per year is not as robust as one might hope, it still outpaces the overall US market's growth rate of 8.9%.
NVIDIA Rejected on the most important Resistance of all.Last time we looked at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) was just 20 days ago (January 29, see chart below) but we managed to get the exact bottom buy opportunity on the 1W MA50:
As the stock reacted with an immediate and relentless rally of 10 straight green 1D candles, it hit yesterday its first hurdle, the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line and closed in red.
This Lower Highs trend-line is historically very important as every time a similar technical structure broke in the past 2 years, a strong rally followed. The early ones were stronger, which is natural to expect as the company was recovering from the 2022 Inflation Crisis and had enormous room to grow. On a side-note, the 1D RSI rebounded on its 34.00 Support, where the stock's last two bottoms were priced.
As a result, we believe that if NVIDIA breaks and closes above the current Lower Highs trend-line, it should at least repeat the last rally from its bottom (+68.69%), which translates to a $190 medium-term Target.
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Alibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings Report
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is set to release its quarterly earnings report on 20 February. The Wall Street Journal cites optimistic analyst estimates, projecting gross revenue of 279.03 billion yuan (approximately $38 billion), up from 260.35 billion yuan a year ago and 236.50 billion yuan in the previous quarter.
Investor sentiment has been buoyed by Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma’s presence at an event with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to Barron’s, this signals government efforts to restore confidence in the private sector, particularly in technology. At present, such factors may be having a greater impact on the stock market than geopolitical headlines or Trump’s tariff policies.
These and other drivers—including a recent partnership between Alibaba and Apple to integrate AI features into the iPhone 16 series—have fuelled bullish momentum. As a result, Alibaba shares (BABA) have surged nearly 20% in February, reaching their highest level since February last year.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba Shares (BABA)
In our previous analysis on 29 January, we noted that BABA’s price movements were forming key levels for an Andrews' Pitchfork pattern, indicating a bullish outlook.
Currently, the price has:
→ Surpassed the October high near $118.
→ Gained bullish momentum after consolidating around the psychological $100 level.
The RSI indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential correction. However, given the strong news flow, any pullback may be shallow.
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecasts
According to BarChart, after years of underperformance, many investors are looking at China with renewed optimism for 2025. Hedge fund Appaloosa Management’s founder and president, David Tepper—whose net worth stands at $21.5 billion—recently acquired Alibaba shares, as per the latest 13F filings.
He may believe that the Chinese stock market is significantly undervalued, based on the “Warren Buffett Indicator,” which compares a country's total market capitalisation to its GDP. A ratio below 100 suggests undervaluation, while a higher figure indicates overvaluation. Currently, China’s market cap-to-GDP ratio stands below 70%, compared to over 200% for the US.
Tepper is not alone in his bullish stance. According to TipRanks:
→ 7 out of 8 analysts surveyed recommend buying BABA shares.
→ The average 12-month price target for BABA is $129.13.
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.19.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🗣️ President Trump's Address: At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech that may provide insights into upcoming policy directions.
📱🍏 Apple Product Launch: Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced a new product launch set for February 19, 2025. Speculations suggest it could be the iPhone SE 4, featuring a 6.1-inch OLED display and an A18 chip with Apple Intelligence.
📊 Key Data Releases:
🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.390M; Previous: 1.499M.
📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW
A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge.
RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025
NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price.
-Month Low $350.51
Low $350.51
Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59
Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46
Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84
Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40
Thank you
$42 TARGET $RXRX BUY NOW!The triple bottom chart pattern usually emerges after an extended downtrend with bears dominating the market. While the first bottom might reflect regular price fluctuations, the second bottom signals that the bulls are gathering strength and gearing up for a potential reversal. The third bottom demonstrates robust support, suggesting that bears may surrender when the price surpasses resistance levels.
ALSO: Investing in Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) offers intriguing possibilities for several reasons:
Innovative Technology: NASDAQ:RXRX utilizes artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to expedite drug discovery. Their BioHive-2 supercomputer, powered by Nvidia AI chips, is among the most powerful accelerated computing systems globally.
Partnerships: NASDAQ:RXRX has formed alliances with major tech and healthcare leaders, including Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), which invested $50 million into its operations. These collaborations aim to streamline drug discovery, making it faster and more cost-effective.
Promising Pipeline: NASDAQ:RXRX boasts a strong lineup of drug candidates, and their technology has already shown promising results. Their merger with Exscientia, another biotech company focused on AI-driven drug discovery, has created a more robust, vertically integrated platform.
Potential for High Returns: While investing in NASDAQ:RXRX involves risks, it also holds the potential for significant returns. The company's innovative approach could transform the healthcare industry, making it a potential "10-bagger" (a stock that increases tenfold in value).
Long-term Vision: RXRX seeks to shorten the drug discovery process from years to months and significantly reduce costs. This long-term vision could lead to substantial growth if successful.
SMCI: Rejection on the 1W MA50 will be the last buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 76.279, MACD = 3.600, ADX = 40.488) as a result of the relentless rally of the past 2 weeks but on 1W (RSI = 57.515) it just turned bullish, which is indicative of the long way it has to cover until it makes new ATH again following last year's accounting discrepancies. The price is about to test the 1W MA50 as a Resistance, which under normal circumastances of Bull Cycle, it is a support. A potential rejection there, should provide the last buy opportunity that will test the 1D MA50 as a Support. We remain long on SMCI, next TP = 95.00.
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Tripled power mover in 2 hours with 3 Buy spots along the way!Power 💪 $3.05 to $9.40 in under 2 hours reaching over +200% 🚀 NASDAQ:GCL
Wanted to buy at $5 but volume wasn't safe enough, it pops and sets up for another good entry, wanted to buy $6.21 but it moved beyond it, kept waiting for a dip buy around $6.20 but all it gave was $6.50 several times so had 2 buy orders placed at the same time one for $6.21 on the possible dip and one for $7.31 for the possible breakout.
It triggered $7.31 and kept going, all 15min candlesticks green so I kept alerting new buys for the big fat win!
A Bearish Case for Diageo: Breaking Critical Support LevelsThe descending triangle pattern on Diageo’s weekly chart presents a strong bearish signal, suggesting that the stock may be poised for a deeper decline. Historically, descending triangles indicate mounting selling pressure, and with price action nearing critical support levels, the risk of a breakdown is significantly high.
Currently, Diageo is approaching key lows last seen in 2020, around 2050, a level that previously acted as a strong support zone. However, the confluence of technical factors suggests this support may not hold:
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Confluence – Just below 2050, the 2026 level aligns with a key long-term Fibonacci retracement. While this could act as a temporary support zone, the broader technical setup suggests further weakness.
2️⃣ The Psychological 2000 Level – Round numbers often serve as psychological barriers in the market, but with a descending triangle breakdown, this level may fail to provide meaningful support.
3️⃣ Measured Move Target: 1875 – When analysing the height of the descending triangle pattern, its projected move suggests a breakdown well beyond the above-mentioned support levels. A clean breach of 2050 could see a swift move lower, with 1885 emerging as the next major target.
With the weight of these technical indicators aligning, the path of least resistance appears to be downward. Unless Diageo finds an unexpected catalyst for recovery, breaking these key levels could trigger further selling momentum, forcing the stock into deeper correction territory. Traders and investors should approach this setup with caution, as the evidence strongly favours a bearish continuation. 🚨📉
N.B. Understanding the Descending Triangle Pattern
A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern that forms when the price action is characterized by a series of lower highs converging towards a horizontal support level. This pattern signals increasing selling pressure, as buyers fail to push prices higher while sellers continuously drive prices downward.
Key Features of a Descending Triangle
1️⃣ Horizontal Support Line – The price consistently finds support at a particular level, creating a flat base.
2️⃣ Lower Highs – Price fails to reach previous highs, forming a descending trendline.
3️⃣ Breakout Expectation – A descending triangle typically breaks downward once sellers overwhelm buyers at the support level.
4️⃣ Volume Decline & Expansion – Volume usually declines as the pattern develops and increases significantly at the breakout.
________________________________________
How to Measure the Descending Triangle
To predict a potential price target, traders measure the height of the triangle and project it downward from the breakout point.
✅ Step 1: Identify the Pattern
• Find the flat support level where price repeatedly bounces.
• Draw a descending trendline connecting the lower highs.
✅ Step 2: Measure the Height
• Take the distance from the highest point of the triangle (initial peak before lower highs start forming) to the horizontal support level.
• Example: If the high of the triangle is 2675 and the support level is 2275, the height is 400 points.
✅ Step 3: Project the Breakdown Target
• Once price breaks below the support level, subtract the measured height from the breakdown point.
• Example: If the breakdown occurs at 2275, then:
o 2275 - 400 = 1875 (expected price target).
________________________________________
Confirming the Breakout
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
• A daily or weekly close below support, ideally with an increase in volume.
• Retests of the broken support level that now act as resistance.
⚠️ False Breakouts:
• Sometimes, price may briefly dip below support and reverse higher.
• Confirmation is key before entering trades based on the descending triangle pattern.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts
A descending triangle is a powerful bearish signal, particularly when seen in downtrends. Traders use it to identify potential breakdown opportunities and set realistic price targets. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur, and waiting for confirmation increases the probability of a successful trade.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Overtrading Chaos: Classroom Insights & Quick FixesWatching my students get caught up in the whirlwind of overtrading was like watching a rollercoaster ride gone wrong - all that excitement turned into stress, quick decisions based on gut feelings rather than strategy, and seeing their accounts shrink before my eyes. Here's what I've noticed firsthand:
-Emotion Over Logic: They were making choices fueled by the fear of missing out or trying to get back at the market after a loss, not because it was the smart move. Spot on. Emotional trading is the quickest path to financial ruin. It's all about managing those emotions.
-Exhaustion: The constant screen time was draining them, both physically and mentally. This is why I always preach about the importance of having a life outside of trading. Burnout is real and it clouds judgment.
-Costly Habits: Those small fees and spreads started adding up, eating away at their profits with each impulsive trade. Always remember, every trade has a cost. Overtrading is like death by a thousand cuts.
But here’s the good news - I've got some immediate steps I take to turn things around:
1)Trade Log Love: I get them to write down every trade, focusing on the reasons behind their decisions. It’s amazing how this simple act helps them learn from their actions. A trade log isn't just about accountability; it's about education. Every trade is a lesson.
2)Take a Breather: I enforce a little break after each trade. It's like hitting the reset button for your brain, ensuring the next trade isn't just a reaction to the last. This is critical. It’s about breaking the cycle of reactive trading. Think of it as forced discipline.
3)Quality Time: I shift the focus to waiting for those golden opportunities, teaching them that sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. Patience in trading is not just a virtue; it's a strategy. The markets reward those who wait for the right moment.
Come join me as I navigate through the overtrading storm, helping my students, and maybe you too, become more thoughtful, strategic traders! This is what I call practical wisdom. Overtrading is a symptom of not having a solid plan. I'd recommend this course of action to any trader looking to turn their habits around.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
HEDERA’S Q4 2024—$HBAR SURGES ON CHAIN GROWTH & ETF RUMORSHEDERA’S Q4 2024— CRYPTOCAP:HBAR SURGES ON CHAIN GROWTH & ETF RUMORS
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! Hedera’s Q4 2024 is blazing—chain GDP hit $840M, up 213% QoQ 📈🔥. Meme coins and dApps drove the surge, with CRYPTOCAP:HBAR up 30% overnight. Let’s unpack this blockchain beast! 🚀
(2/9) – NETWORK PERFORMANCE
• Q4 Chain GDP: $840M, +213% QoQ 💥
• TVL: $8.6B, DEX Volume: $3.3B/day (+150%)
• Stablecoin Volume: $5.1B/day (+36%)
• Jan ‘25: $517M app revenue, $552M econ value
Hedera’s humming—10k TPS at $0.0001 fees!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Q3 Asset Tokenization Studio: Enterprise appeal soars 🏦
• Feb 9 X Buzz: HBAR ETF rumors, NVIDIA/Intel AI chip embeds 🌍
• Coinbase HBAR Futures: Drops today, Feb 18! 🚗
Speculation and scale are lighting up $HBAR!
(4/9) – SECTOR CHECK
• Market Cap: $11.61B (Jan ‘25), Now $0.39-$0.40 🌟
• Vs. L1s: ETH ($400B), SOL ($88.6B), ADA ( FWB:20B )
• Outpaces in speed/cost, 53% of global L1 fees Dec ‘24
Undervalued sleeper vs. giants? X thinks so!
(5/9) – RISKS TO FLAG
• Volatility: Feb 8 drop hints manipulation 📉
• Regs: ETF hype could flop if SEC stalls ⚠️
• Competition: SOL’s Firedancer, ETH scaling loom 🏛️
• Meme Coin Fade: Speculative juice may dry up
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Speed: 10k TPS, $0.0001 fees slay 🌟
• Q4 Stats: $840M GDP, $8.6B TVL 🔍
• Enterprise Edge: Nairobi Stock Exchange, SpaceX 🚦
Hedera’s a lean, mean blockchain machine!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Meme coin reliance, smaller dApp pool 💸
• Opportunities: ETF approval, NVIDIA/Intel deals, DeFi push 🌍
Can CRYPTOCAP:HBAR turn hype into lasting heat?
(8/9) – CRYPTOCAP:HBAR ’s Q4 fire—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—ETF & tech blast it up.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks bite.
3️⃣ Bearish—Speculation fizzles out.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Hedera’s Q4 shines—$840M GDP, ETF buzz, and tech leaps fuel CRYPTOCAP:HBAR ’s charge 🌍. Cheap vs. L1s, but volatility lurks. Gem or trap?
$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀
(2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE
• Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥
• Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY
• Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024
Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire!
(3/9) – BIG EVENTS
• Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️
• M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊
• NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗
X posts buzz about a banking renaissance!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍
• Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY )
• P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x
Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉
• Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️
• Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦
• Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟
• Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍
• Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦
AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸
• Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍
Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth?
(8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going?
1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
ROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINSROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINS NASDAQ:HOOD
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! Robinhood’s Q4 2024 earnings are out 📈🔥—$1.01B in revenue, up 115% YoY, smashing $945M estimates. Post-election trading frenzy in equities and crypto lit the fuse. Let’s break down HOOD’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.01B, +115% YoY 💥
• Q3 Recap: $637M, +36% YoY
• Q4 EPS: $1.01, beats $0.43 est. 📊
• Net Income: $916M, up 510% from Q3’s $150M
• ARPU: $164, +102% YoY
Record profits, driven by a trading surge!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• Net Deposits: $16.1B, +42% QoQ 🌍
• New Tools: Index options, futures, Robinhood Legend launched late 2024 🚗
• SEC Settlement: $45M in Jan 2025 clears past compliance woes ✅
HOOD’s expanding fast and cleaning house!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $56.4B, Stock: $65.28 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 40.9x vs. IBKR (50x), SCHW (20x)
• Revenue Growth: 115% YoY crushes sector avg (5.7%)
Outpaces peers in growth, but valuation’s a hot debate!
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• Market Volatility: Trading boom could fade 📉
• Regs: $45M SEC hit flags ongoing scrutiny 🏛️
• Competition: Schwab, Coinbase closing in ⚔️
• Economy: $1.21T credit card debt, layoffs loom ⚠️
Big gains, big risks—tightrope ahead!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Revenue: 115% YoY, $916M profit shines 🌟
• User Loyalty: $16.1B deposits, 2.2M+ Gold subs 🔍
• Innovation: Futures, options expand the game 🚦
HOOD’s firing on all cylinders!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trading reliance, reg baggage 💸
• Opportunities: Futures growth, crypto-friendly regs, global push 🌍
Can NASDAQ:HOOD turn momentum into a dynasty?
(8/9) – HOOD’s Q4 is a banger—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks loom.
3️⃣ Bearish—Peak’s in, fade coming.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Robinhood’s Q4 is a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B thunderclap—trading, deposits, and profits soar 🌍. But volatility and regs lurk. Undervalued or overhyped?
BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD)
• Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥
• Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️
• Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est.
• Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD)
Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY).
(3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH
• Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖
• ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈
• Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗
AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍
• Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊
• Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification
At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so!
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR
• Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉
• AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔
• China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️
• Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth
• U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍
• ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟
• Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦
Baidu’s got serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸
• Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍
Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell!
(8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out.
3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025.
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions.
🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Tuesday, Feb 18:
🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State.
🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook.
Wednesday, Feb 19:
🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects.
🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
Thursday, Feb 20:
🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims.
🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region.
Friday, Feb 21:
🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance.
🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Nvidia = 4T Market CapNASDAQ:NVDA : Largest Market Cap in the World?!
4 Trillion Market Cap Inbound 🎯
Ever since Nvidia flipped to green on the H5 indicator we have come back to retest it 5 times. In which we bounced and then rallied hard!
Support created and NASDAQ:NVDA is breaking out!
Not financial advice
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇