AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖
AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency.
Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮
The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions.
E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒
AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market.
Analyst Confidence 📊
Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors.
📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
Stocks
Why Hermès’ margins shame the competitionThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
You know my favourite stocks are luxury stocks, and they’ve had a hard last year. Richemont and Moncler were the clear standouts from the most recent season (both grew sales), while Brunello did well too. Obviously, Kering did not do well. Here’s Hermes, which pretty much smashed everyone out of the park:
Revenue amounted to €15.2 billion
(+15% at constant exchange rates and +13% at current exchange rates)
Recurring operating income reached €6.2 billion, representing 40.5% of sales
Adjusted free cash flow amounted to €3.8 billion, up by 18%
Can we take a step back and please admire what smashing results those are — that’s a luxury business which does not cut corners operating on a 40.5% margin, with a free cash flow stream that is unheard of for the luxury industry. Let’s also consider that this is during what is nominally a recession.
Worth thinking about what makes Hermes special:
A hatred of meetings, corporate hogwash, and the associated.
They compete only with themselves — not others .
Human values. Hermes objects are made by people and bought by people . Corporate hogwash tends to see people as numbers, and then corporate hogwash forgets about the importance of psychology.
A fanatical obsession with product — product is the message.
No marketing team.
If your product is good enough, and the story you communicate is good enough, the people will come. The same can be said of Brunello, which I have always said is like a “mini-Hermes” — people buy Brunello for quality and the ethos it communicates. Worth re-reading Brunello’s daily routine, which does not look like the nonsense ice bath CEOs who you see on Instagram:
US100 - Strong uptrend will probably continueThe Nasdaq 100 has demonstrated remarkable strength in its recent uptrend, pushing to new highs above 22,100. However, the current price action suggests the market may be slightly overextended in the short term, making a pullback to the marked support zone around 21,800-21,900 a potential opportunity for more favorable entry points.
Given the overall bullish market structure and momentum, any retracements should be viewed as buying opportunities rather than trend reversals. The upward trajectory remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that after a healthy pullback, the index could continue its ascent toward new highs above 22,300. Traders should watch for price action confirmation and potential bullish setups around the marked support level.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MICROSOFT: Rectangle bottom buy opportunity.Microsoft is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.052, MACD = -6.600, ADX = 39.471) but that is to be expected as the price breached the 0.786 and almost touched the bottom of the 5 month Rectangle pattern. All breaks under the 0.786 have been strong buy opportunities targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The trade is long (TP = 438.50).
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SOFI Ready to Break Out to $30+ ?I’ve been watching this move closely, and right now, we’re heading toward $16.49—a level that could decide the next big move. If we break through $16.98, there’s a real shot at pushing toward $18.33 and beyond, with a longer-term target of $30+.
But here’s the flip side: if we reject at $16.49, we could see a pullback to $15.50, maybe even $14.50 if buyers don’t step in. That $1 range is where things could get really interesting.
I know a lot of you are in SOFI or watching it closely. What’s your plan? Are you holding, adding, or waiting for a dip?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
CITIGROUP Gearing Up for a Bullish RallyNYSE:C is trading within a well-defined uptrend supported by a rising trendline. The consistent higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish structure. If buyers maintain control and the price respects the trendline, the stock could rally toward the 87.14 target level, which aligns with a measured move projection.
For confirmation, I’ll look for bullish candlestick patterns or a breakout above recent consolidation highs. However, if the trendline support is breached, it could signal a potential shift in the trend.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see the setup differently!
$BEKE Inverse head and shouldersKE Holdings Inc. is a publicly traded Chinese real estate holding firm that offers a comprehensive online and offline platform for housing transactions and related services through its subsidiaries. It stands as the largest online real estate transaction platform in China.
Investors commonly refer to the entire operation as "Beike."
The company has garnered financial support from major players like Tencent, SoftBank Group, and Hillhouse Investment.
In August 2020, KE made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), successfully raising $2.12 billion during its initial public offering. On its first trading day, the stock soared by 87%, bringing the company's valuation to nearly $40 billion.
By May 2022, KE expanded its reach by becoming a dual-listed entity, adding its shares to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
KE operates two primary businesses: Lianjia and Beike. Lianjia functions as a real estate agency, while Beike serves as an online platform that connects customers with estate agents, including Lianjia. Lianjia is often likened to Redfin, whereas Beike is compared to Zillow.
The company is divided into four key business segments:
1. Existing home transaction services
2. New home transaction services
3. Home renovation and furnishing
4. Emerging and other services
$NTES NETEASE to benefit from Chinese stimulus.NetEase, Inc. is a prominent Chinese internet technology firm established by Ding Lei in June 1997. The company offers a diverse range of online services encompassing content, community engagement, communication, and commerce. It specializes in the development and operation of online games for both PC and mobile platforms, alongside advertising, email services, and e-commerce solutions within China. As one of the largest players in the global internet and video game industry, NetEase also manages several pig farms. Additionally, it features an on-demand music streaming service. Notable video game titles from NetEase include Fantasy Westward Journey, Tianxia III, Heroes of Tang Dynasty Zero, and Ghost II. From 2008 to 2023, the company was responsible for the Chinese versions of popular Blizzard Entertainment games, including World of Warcraft, StarCraft II, and Overwatch. In August 2023, NetEase unveiled a new American studio, spearheaded by veterans from Bethesda and BioWare.
ELI LILLY ahead of a 1D Golden Cross targeting $1225Last time we looked at Eli Lilly (LLY) 3 months ago (November 21 2024, see chart below), we've identified the bottom of its 5-year Channel Up and issued a strong long-term buy signal:
Now we are upgrading our Target as the price action turned out to be very similar to the 2nd half of 2020, at the end of which the company witnessed strong growth.
As you can see both 2020 and 2024 patterns have been correction phases in the form of Channel Downs. Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar. A 1D Death Cross paved the way for the bottom soon after and a 1D Golden Cross (Jan 11 2021) confirmed the start of a new phase of growth.
The price is now above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and if it continues to replicate 2021, then we expect this to be a Bullish Leg that will target the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. Our long-term Target now goes from $1135 to $1225.
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SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025
Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade.
But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off?
Let’s break it down…
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last?
After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet.
🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk
If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen:
A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday
A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains
A market that keeps traders on their toes
📉 Bear Trades Expire Today
My bearish positions are expiring
We never quite got the drop to range lows
A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath
🔄 What’s Next?
✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today
✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉
📌 Final Takeaway?
The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting.
📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points.
💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
ADTRAN (ADTN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
ADTRAN NASDAQ:ADTN is a leader in broadband access, fiber optics, and 5G technologies, providing high-speed connectivity solutions for service providers. The company is positioned to benefit from expanding fiber deployments and emerging defense and government contract opportunities.
Key Catalysts:
Enhanced Short-Term Unit (ESTU) Module ⚙️
ADTRAN’s new ESTU timing module is a game-changer for securing high-margin contracts in defense, space, and metrology. This innovation taps into a $700 million U.S. military communication market.
5G and Fiber Expansion 📶
As telecom operators accelerate fiber and 5G deployments, ADTRAN’s OSC-52v3 timing solution targets a $1.2 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) through 2027.
Defense Contract Favorability 🛡️
Department of Defense (DoD) supply chain audits that prioritize domestic suppliers could further boost ADTRAN’s growth potential in the U.S. defense sector.
Sector Tailwinds 🌬️
The ongoing expansion of broadband infrastructure, driven by federal and private investment in fiber and high-speed networks, provides long-term tailwinds for ADTRAN’s core business.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on ADTN above the $9.00-$9.50 range, supported by product innovation, expanding defense market opportunities, and strong fiber/5G sector growth.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $16.00-$17.00, reflecting confidence in ADTRAN’s ability to leverage sector tailwinds and capitalize on defense and fiber deployment opportunities.
📢 ADTRAN—Advancing Connectivity with Fiber, 5G, and Defense Innovation. #Broadband #FiberOptics #ADTN
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.14.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
Trump Signs Reciprocal Tariffs Executive Order: President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries with trade barriers against the U.S. The tariffs will not take effect immediately, which has been well-received by the markets.
Potential Ukraine Peace Talks: The U.S. is initiating discussions with Russia and Ukraine to potentially end the ongoing conflict. This development has led to a decrease in crude oil prices and could influence global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📅 Friday, Feb 14:
🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
🌐 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes (8:30 AM ET):
Import Prices: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM.
Export Prices: Forecast: Data not available; Previous: +0.3% MoM
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Is Liquidity Zones The Hidden Battleground of Smart Money In every market move, liquidity zones are the battlefields between buyers and sellers. Understanding these zones is crucial for spotting reversals and breakouts before they happen.
What Are Liquidity Zones?
High Liquidity Areas, Where large orders are placed, typically around key support/resistance or round numbers.
Low Liquidity Areas. Where price moves quickly due to fewer orders, often creating price imbalances.
Why Liquidity Matters
Smart money (institutions) seeks liquidity to execute large orders without massive slippage. Their footprints appear as wicks, sudden volume spikes, or rapid price reversals.
Spotting Liquidity Traps
False Breakouts, Price pierces a key level, triggers stop losses, and reverses quickly.
Stop Hunts, Sudden price spikes beyond a key level, only to return inside the range.
rading Strategy Example
1. Use volume profile or heat maps to spot high-interest price areas.
2. Wait for Reaction, Enter only after confirmation (e.g., a sharp wick or order flow shift).
3.Risk Management, Place stops beyond liquidity zones to avoid getting trapped.
Master liquidity zones, and you'll start seeing the market through the eyes of institutional players.
Broadcom - This Chart Is Just Splendid!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is starting the rejection:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Broadcom has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation, perfectly rejecting the upper resistance as well as the lower support trendline. With the recent weakness, Broadcom is now preparing for a clean rejection away from the major reversal area.
Levels to watch: $250, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$TLSA Poised For An 85% Surge Amidst Alzheimer’s Drug BoomTiziana Life Sciences Ltd (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TLSA ), a stock that has been under the radar, is now showing strong signals of a potential breakout. With a falling wedge pattern and a bullish RSI reading, coupled with the growing interest in Alzheimer’s drug development, NASDAQ:TLSA is positioning itself as a stock to watch in 2025.
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TLSA ) shares are down 5.52%, but this dip is likely a temporary setback. The stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 52.77, which, despite the recent decline, suggests that bullish momentum is building. The RSI is neither overbought nor oversold, indicating a healthy consolidation phase before a potential upward move.
The most Intriguing technical indicator is the falling wedge pattern that has formed since January 23. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal signal, especially after a prolonged downtrend. The falling wedge is characterized by converging trendlines that slope downward, with the price making lower highs and lower lows. As the pattern nears its apex, the likelihood of a breakout increases.
For NASDAQ:TLSA , the immediate support lies at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A pullback to this zone could serve as an excellent buying opportunity for traders, as it aligns with recent resistance-turned-support levels. On the upside, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as a pivot point. A breakout above this level could ignite a bullish rally, potentially propelling the stock toward an 85% surge.
Alzheimer’s Drugs – The Next Big Market Opportunity
While the technical setup is compelling, the story behind NASDAQ:TLSA is equally intriguing. The Alzheimer’s drug market is emerging as the next big opportunity, drawing parallels to the obesity drug boom led by companies like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk. With an estimated market value of $13 billion by 2030, according to Bloomberg Intelligence, the race to develop effective Alzheimer’s treatments is heating up.
Companies like Biogen Inc., Eli Lilly & Co., Novo Nordisk, and Roche AG are investing billions into Alzheimer’s research. Recent developments have shown promise, with two new drugs—Leqembi (developed by Biogen and Eisai) and Kisunla (by Eli Lilly)—already approved in the U.S. These drugs target amyloid plaques in the brain, slowing the progression of the disease in its early stages. However, they are not without challenges, as side effects like brain bleeding and swelling have been reported.
For (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TLSA ) stock, this presents a unique opportunity. If the company is involved in Alzheimer’s research or has partnerships with major pharmaceutical players, it could benefit significantly from the growing interest in this sector. Even if NASDAQ:TLSA is not directly involved, the overall bullish sentiment in the healthcare and biotech sectors could provide a tailwind for the stock.
Additionally, any positive developments in Alzheimer’s drug trials or approvals could act as a catalyst for NASDAQ:TLSA , driving the stock higher. As Gregoire Biollaz, senior investment manager at Pictet Asset Management, noted, “It could be a year where we also see a bit more clarity in terms of traction for the drugs that are approved so far.”
Conclusion
NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TLSA is at a critical juncture, with both technical and fundamental indicators pointing to a potential surge. The falling wedge pattern suggest that the stock is building momentum, while the growing interest in Alzheimer’s drugs provides a strong fundamental catalyst. For investors seeking the next big opportunity, NASDAQ:TLSA could be the stock to watch in 2025.
As always, investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. However, with an 85% surge on the horizon, NASDAQ:TLSA is undoubtedly a stock worth keeping on your radar.