Coca-Cola (KO) Stock Surges Nearly 5% in a DayCoca-Cola (KO) Stock Surges Nearly 5% in a Day
Yesterday, shares of The Coca-Cola Company (KO) saw a significant rally, climbing nearly 5% and reaching a yearly high above $67. The last time KO stock traded at this level was in late October 2024. Investor optimism was fueled by the release of the company’s Q4 financial report, which exceeded expectations:
→ Reported earnings per share: $0.55 vs. expected $0.52
→ Gross revenue: $11.5 billion vs. forecasted $10.7 billion
Additionally, Coca-Cola announced:
→ A substantial market share increase in the non-alcoholic beverage sector and $10.8 billion in free cash flow.
→ Projections for 5–6% organic revenue growth in 2025, highlighting the company’s resilience amid economic uncertainty.
Technical Analysis of Coca-Cola (KO) Stock
At yesterday’s market open, KO formed a large bullish gap, which may act as future support. Meanwhile, price extremes outline an ascending channel pattern.
If optimism persists:
→ The price may move towards the channel median, where supply and demand tend to balance (similar to early 2025).
→ Bears might become active around $69.25, a level that has previously influenced price movements (indicated by arrows).
Analysts' Price Forecast for Coca-Cola (KO) Stock
Following the earnings report, analysts from leading investment firms have acknowledged Coca-Cola’s strong performance, either reaffirming or raising their price targets for KO stock:
→ Citi maintained a "Buy" rating with a $85 price target.
→ Jefferies reiterated its "Buy" rating with a target of $75.
→ UBS kept its "Buy" rating, setting a $72 target.
According to TipRanks:
→ 12 out of 13 surveyed analysts recommend buying KO stock.
→ The 12-month average price target for KO is $72.4.
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Stocks
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.12.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies: At 10:00 AM ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📅 Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
📈 Core CPI (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 CPI (YoY) (Jan):
Expected 2.9%; Previous 2.9%.
📉 Core CPI (YoY) (Jan):
Expected 3.1%; Previous 3.2%.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM ET):
Previous: +8.664M.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
$3 to $8.77 vertical +182% after I told you about it at +40%!$3 to $8.77 vertical with 2 Buy Alerts right before the speed up 🚀💵 NASDAQ:AIFF
Hottest stock of the day, it was on my premarket watchlist while still only at +40% premarket 🔎 You have been warned on time
Who cares about -5% NASDAQ:TSLA and +3% NASDAQ:AAPL when so much more can be made here with catching just a piece of the move
4 Scenarios for Anticipating The Fed's PolicyBased on prevailing economic conditions and financial pressures
Scenario #1 | The Fed’s Policy and Its Implications
High Inflation Persists & Bank Liquidity Declines
Conditions:
Bank Credit grows slowly, while Deposits grow at a slower pace than Borrowings.
Cash Assets decline significantly, indicating a reduction in liquidity within the banking system.
Interbank lending rates rise, tightening funding among banks.
Inflation remains high, but economic growth slows.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Maintain high interest rates or increase further to curb inflation.
Reduce bond holdings through Quantitative Tightening (QT) to absorb liquidity from the financial system.
Open emergency lending facilities for banks to prevent panic in financial markets.
Impacts:
USD may strengthen as higher interest rates make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to global investors.
Increased pressure on banks, especially those heavily reliant on short-term funding.
Stock markets may experience a correction, particularly in interest rate-sensitive sectors such as technology and real estate.
Scenario #2 | Recession Starts to Surface & Credit Tightens
Conditions:
Bank Credit stagnates or turns negative, indicating that banks are restricting credit due to concerns about default risks.
Deposits stagnate, as investors prefer alternative assets such as bonds or gold.
Stock markets begin showing bearish pressure due to economic uncertainty.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Gradually lower interest rates to stimulate borrowing and investment.
End Quantitative Tightening (QT) and restart Quantitative Easing (QE) to inject liquidity into the markets.
Adjust bank reserve requirements to allow more flexibility in lending.
Impacts:
USD may weaken as lower interest rates reduce the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets.
U.S. government bonds will become more attractive, causing bond yields to decline further.
Stock prices may rise, particularly in sectors that benefit from lower interest rates, such as technology and real estate.
Scenario #3 | Liquidity Crisis in the Banking System
Conditions:
Sharp declines in Cash Assets, causing some banks to struggle to meet short-term obligations.
Deposits exit the banking system, as public confidence in banks decreases.
Federal Funds Rate spikes, making interbank borrowing more difficult.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Provide emergency lending facilities for banks facing liquidity shortages, as seen during the 2008 and 2023 financial crises.
Lower interest rates in an emergency move if liquidity pressures worsen to maintain financial stability.
Collaborate with the FDIC to guarantee deposits and prevent bank runs.
Impacts:
Financial markets may experience high volatility, with potential panic selling in banking stocks.
Investors will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. government bonds, causing their prices to surge.
Confidence in the USD may temporarily weaken, especially if the Fed injects large amounts of liquidity into the system.
Scenario #4 | Soft Landing - Stable Economy & Fed Policy Adjustments
Conditions:
Inflation is under control, and the economy continues to grow positively.
Bank Credit grows steadily, and bank liquidity remains adequate.
Stock markets remain calm, with no signs of panic in financial markets.
Possible Fed Policy Responses:
Keep interest rates stable for an extended period, with no drastic changes.
End Quantitative Tightening (QT), but avoid immediately restarting QE.
Collaborate with financial regulators to maintain banking system stability without major interventions.
Impacts:
USD remains stable, as no major monetary policy changes occur.
Lending rates remain in a moderate range, supporting investment and consumption growth.
Stock markets may gradually recover, particularly in sectors benefiting from stable monetary policies.
Anticipating The Fed’s Policy!
If liquidity declines and inflation remains high → The Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates & tighten monetary policy.
If a recession starts to emerge → The Fed may lower interest rates & ease monetary policy to support credit and investment.
If a liquidity crisis occurs → The Fed may bail out banks, lower interest rates, and stabilize the financial system.
If the economy remains stable → The Fed may hold interest rates & make only minor adjustments.
Recommendations:
Monitor The Fed’s statements and key economic data (CPI, PCE, NFP, GDP) to anticipate upcoming policy changes.
Analyze market reactions to monetary policy to identify trends in stocks, bonds, and USD.
Use bank liquidity and Borrowings data to assess potential liquidity constraints in the banking system.
If you have additional insights or different perspectives, I’d love to discuss them in the comments!
ICEUS:DX1! ICEUS:DXY CBOE:CBOE NASDAQ:CME TVC:US10Y
WALMART Bullish Leg of Channel Up on full extent.Walmart (WMT) has been trading within a Channel Up since January 2024 and is being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since August 14. The last contact with the 1D MA50 has been on January 16 and is what started the current Bullish Leg.
The standard %rise within this pattern has been +21.86% and as a result our short-term Target is $108.00.
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TESLA: Falling wedge recovery TESLA has not participated in any buying in the larger market. But it's fallen consistently. I see a channel forming from the range in 2024. Also a falling wedge pattern developing on the 1HR. This is falling towards a semi weak support zone with a 15 min reverse H&S. Although it's below the 0.5 fib level, my view is that downside is limited and can react at this level.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.11.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
🏢 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (6:00 AM ET): Previous: 102.7.
📈 Redbook Index (8:55 AM ET): Previous: +5.7% YoY.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
S&P500: Breaking out towards 6,210.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.592, MACD = 11.130, ADX = 24.014) as it is ranging between the 1H MA50 and 1H MA200. This consolidation is taking place near the top of the Channel Down, a pattern almost identical with January's. When that pattern broke to the upside, it almost hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our short term target is just under this level (TP = 6,210).
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SMCI Bull Flag completed and targeting $65.Three months ago (November 07 2024, see chart below), we issued a strong buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), after the stock had declined by more than -85% from its All Time High (ATH):
The signal was an instant success, as the price rebounded on the following week. Our perspective hasn't changed and today, with the stock up currently by more +13% intra day, is another reason why.
Last week the price made an excellent rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), solidifying this level as the new Support and turning out to be a huge demand level that completed the Bull Flag pattern of December 09 2024 - January 27 2025. As you can see , the 1W MA200 was also on the symmetrical Support Zone that only broke on the 'fake-out' of November's accounting scandal peak.
The interesting take on this 1W chart is that every similar Bull Flag since the 2020 COVID crash, tested the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next technical pull-back. As a result, we expect a $65.00 test, which would exceed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), before a new 2-month correction.
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S&P 500’s Next Big Move: 6,200 or Bust?Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US500 Move beyond 6,200? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the daily chart, the S&P 500 is trading above both the EMA-100 and EMA-200, confirming a robust bullish trend. This momentum was reinforced by a falling wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals the continuation of bullish pressure. Additionally, the price tested the upper trendline twice and bounced off each time, further underlining the strength of the upward move.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move downward toward the first target at 6.240 or potentially the second target at 6.391.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at 5844
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on S&P500”.
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time HighAmazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time High After Earnings Report
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, the price reached an all-time high of around $242 per share on 4 February. However, following the earnings report on 6 December, AMZN shares declined despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.86, Forecast = $1.48
→ Revenue: Actual = $187.8bn, Forecast = $187.3bn
Investor disappointment may have stemmed from:
→ Signs of slowing cloud business growth. Amazon, a pioneer in public cloud services with Amazon Web Services (AWS), now reports annual cloud revenue growth of around 20%, down from over 50% five years ago.
→ Soaring capital expenditure on AI data centres with uncertain profitability prospects. Amazon has projected approximately $105bn in capital spending for 2025, up 27% from 2024 and 57% from 2023.
Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Stock
AMZN remains within an upward trend, indicated by the blue channel on the chart. However, bullish momentum appears vulnerable as:
→ The price struggles to reach the upper boundary of the channel.
→ A bearish "head and shoulders" (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart.
→ A bearish gap (marked with an arrow) has formed post-earnings, suggesting a potential resistance area ahead.
This points to a possible pullback. If it occurs, AMZN stock could correct, potentially towards the parallel orange line, drawn based on the blue channel’s width. A test of the $217 support level is also possible.
Should You Buy AMZN Shares Now?
Following the earnings report, AMZN has underperformed the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 analysts recommend buying AMZN stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AMZN is $267.
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Shopify (SHOP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Shopify NYSE:SHOP is a leading e-commerce platform that continues to grow by expanding into AI-driven solutions and fulfillment services, aiming to optimize merchant growth. Shopify is positioning itself as a major player in the e-commerce ecosystem, particularly with Shopify Plus, which is gaining momentum among large retailers.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Powered Tools for Merchants 🤖
Shopify is integrating AI-driven solutions to enhance marketing, inventory management, and checkout optimization, which improves merchant retention and adoption.
Enterprise Growth 📈
Shopify Plus is experiencing strong adoption among larger retailers, helping diversify revenue and reduce the company's reliance on small businesses. This supports more stable growth.
Long-Term E-commerce Growth 🌐
With e-commerce projected to grow at a 9.5% CAGR through 2030, Shopify holds a 10% market share in the U.S., positioning it for long-term growth in an expanding digital marketplace.
Financial Strength 💰
Free cash flow margin rose to 19%, underscoring Shopify’s robust financial health and ability to reinvest in future growth initiatives.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SHOP above the $102.00-$105.00 range, driven by AI expansion, growing enterprise adoption, and strong cash flow.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $170.00-$172.00, reflecting the company’s dominance in e-commerce and its ongoing innovations.
📢 Shopify—Shaping the Future of E-Commerce and AI. #Ecommerce #AIExpansion #SHOP
MicroStrategy (MSTR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR combines business intelligence solutions with a Bitcoin-focused investment strategy, holding 471,107 BTC (~$18B) as of now. The company has made significant strides in Bitcoin accumulation, positioning itself as a leveraged play on Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Key Catalysts:
Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation 📈
MicroStrategy continues to expand its Bitcoin holdings, raising $563M through an 8% Series A Preferred Stock offering to buy more BTC.
The "21/21" Plan 💡
This plan aims to raise $42B over three years, positioning MSTR as a strategic Bitcoin growth bet.
Indirect Bitcoin Exposure for Institutions 💰
With regulatory uncertainty around Bitcoin ETFs, MSTR offers a secure method for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through equity.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on MSTR above $295.00-$300.00, reflecting its Bitcoin-centric strategy and institutional adoption.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $600.00-$620.00, driven by continued Bitcoin accumulation and the growth of institutional interest in crypto exposure.
📢 MicroStrategy—The Bitcoin-Business Intelligence Hybrid. #Bitcoin #CryptoExposure #MSTR
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today.
Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM.
Thursday, Feb 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K.
Friday, Feb 14:
🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Beyond BTC - Why Coinbase (COIN) is a Long-Term Buy?As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story.
Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment -
CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers):
Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters.
Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets.
Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading.
Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe.
Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options.
Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term.
Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution.
Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors:
Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave.
Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players.
Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market.
Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner.
Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying -
Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run.
$350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again.
$225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play.
Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up.
RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike.
What to Watch For (Trader Style):
Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets.
Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way.
Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive.
Final Notes:
Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio.
Important Disclaimer:
Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances.
Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset.
NASDAQ:COIN COINBASE:CBETHUSD COINBASE:CBETHETH COINBASE:CBETHUSDC OANDA:NAS100USD
Monday sell Off? History May Repeat Itself...Monday Sell-Off? This Setup Says It’s Coming... | SPX Market Analysis 10 Feb 2025
Another week wraps up, and as I eye Monday’s open, I can’t shake a sense of déjà vu.
The last two weeks started with a gap down, followed by a bearish finish into the weekend.
Super Bowl Sunday is also here – Can the Kansas City Chiefs complete an unprecedented three-peat in Super Bowl 59 or will the Philadelphia Eagles gain revenge? Just like the markets, only time will tell and we will have to wait and see.
That said, Friday’s setup is setting the stage for another pop ‘n drop. The only question? What triggers the fall this time?
...
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Mondays Have Been Bearish – Will This One Be Too?
The last two Mondays started with a gap down, followed by a bearish move into the weekend. If the pattern holds, next week could open with a bang – but not necessarily to the upside.
🏈 Super Bowl & The Markets – A Perfect Parallel?
The markets are playing their own Super Bowl showdown. Will the bulls make a comeback, or will the bears crush their hopes yet again? Just like the Chiefs vs. Eagles, we can only wait and see.
🔻 Friday’s Bearish Setup – A Warning Sign?
- V-shaped reversal entry ✅
- Bearish pulse bar confirmation ✅
- Similar daily bar pattern to the last two Fridays ✅
📌 So What Happens Monday?
If history repeats itself, we could see:
- A pop higher at the open, luring in buyers 🏹
- A sharp drop shortly after, trapping the late bulls 🕳
- A repeat of the last two weeks' bearish close 📉
🔑 Key Takeaway: The setup is there. Now we wait for the trigger.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests that if an AFC team wins, markets go bearish, but if an NFC team wins, markets go bullish.
💡 The Lesson? As ridiculous as it sounds, market psychology is a wild beast. While we don’t trade superstition, it’s always fun to see how random events get tied to stock performance.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively hit critical support levels at 5996 and 5936, respectively. A downtrend presently characterizes the market, as bullish momentum is stalled. Current analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with anticipated retesting of the Mean Support levels of 5996, the possibility of trading at Mean Support 5936, and a significant decline to the Outer Index Dip at 5878. Should this scenario not materialize, the market is favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, with the test of the newly established resistance level at 6083 and revisiting the previously completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120.