BPCL looking strong on Weekly Charts. Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. It operates through the Downstream Petroleum and Exploration & Production (E&P) segment. The Downstream Petroleum segment includes the refining and marketing of petroleum products. The E&P segment focuses on hydrocarbons.
Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd. Closing price is 293.20. The positive aspects of the company are Very Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 9.3), Companies with reducing Debt, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects.
Entry can be taken after closing above 296 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 306, 319 and 330. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 345, 355 and 366. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 261 or 234 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Stocks
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Index has recorded lower opening prices, thereby completing our key Outer Index Dip levels at 5026 and 4893, as previously highlighted in last week's Daily Chart analysis. This development establishes a foundation for a continuous upward trend, targeting the Outer Index Rally at 5550, with an interim resistance identified at 5455. Should this upward momentum persist, further extension may reach the subsequent resistance levels of 5672 and 5778, respectively. However, it is essential to note that a downward momentum may occur at the very significant completion target level of the Outer Index Rally at 5550, with the primary objective being a Mean Sup 5140 and retest of the completed Outer Index Dip at 4890.
ORACLE: On a 3 year bottom. Buy opportunity for 240 long termOracle is bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 35.862, MACD = -4.360, ADX = 42.565) as this week it reached almost the same levels of correction as the 2022 Bear Market (-42.72%). This is also nearly a HL bottom for the 3 year Channel Up and as the 1W MA200 is right below, a great long term buy opportunity. The bullish wave after the 2022 bottom almost reached the 1.382 Fibonacci, so we have a technical level to target this time also (TP = 240).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity.
This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level.
That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones.
Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
XPeng Inc. (XPEV) – Driving the Smart EV Revolution Company Snapshot:
XPeng NYSE:XPEV is solidifying its status as a smart electric vehicle pioneer, blending cutting-edge AI, proprietary battery tech, and global expansion to challenge the status quo in EV innovation.
Key Catalysts:
Product Innovation 🚀
New 2025 G6 & G9 feature 5C fast-charging AI batteries
Turing-powered autonomous driving is among the most advanced in China
XNGP smart driving system reaches 86% active user penetration across cities
AI-Defined Vehicles 🤖
Launch of XPENG P7+, an AI-enhanced EV with futuristic user interfaces
Showcases XPeng’s edge in machine learning + mobility
Global Expansion 🌍
Entering UK, Indonesia, and Switzerland, boosting brand recognition & revenue diversification
Creates strategic foothold in key international EV markets
First-Mover Advantage 🔧
One of the few companies to integrate full-stack smart driving + proprietary battery tech
Strong R&D focus (40% of workforce) keeps XPeng at the forefront of next-gen mobility
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $17.50–$18.00
🚀 Upside Target: $25.00–$26.00
📈 Growth Drivers: Global footprint, AI-defined mobility, and rising EV adoption
⚡ XPeng – The AI brain behind tomorrow’s drive. #XPEV #EVInnovation #AIOnWheels
Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/11/25T (AT&T Inc.)
Sentiment
• Sentiment is neutral with a bearish tilt. April 10 options activity shows put-heavy volume at $26 strikes, reflecting caution. RSI (14) at ~50 (estimated, flat trend at $26.40 close) suggests indecision. X posts highlight concerns over telecom debt loads and tariff risks on equipment imports, but some speculate on institutional accumulation below $26.50. A liquidity sweep below $26.33 could trigger a bullish reversal if buy-side liquidity is tapped.
Catalyst: Potential sweep below $26.33 may spark short covering.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Moderate.
• Explanation: T relies on imported telecom equipment, facing cost pressures from tariffs on China (active as of April 11). No relief announced, so margins could tighten, capping upside. X posts suggest tariff fears weigh on sentiment, but domestic revenue focus limits fundamental damage.
News/Catalysts
• Driver: Flat telecom sector performance on April 10, with T holding steady amid mixed market signals. X posts cited stability but no clear catalyst.
• Upcoming: CPI (April 11): High CPI could hurt T (-1.5%) due to rate hike fears; low CPI may lift it (+1%) as a yield play.
• Retail Sales (April 15): Strong data supports T (+1%); weak data pressures (-1%) due to consumer spending risks.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
• HVN: $26.00 support (bullish).
• LVN: $27.00 resistance (neutral).
• EMA Trend: 8-week ≈ 13-week > 48-week (neutral).
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near signal line (neutral).
• Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
• Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
• Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
• ADR: Stable (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.40 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: No clear MSS; consolidation phase.
One-Hour Chart:
• Support/Resistance: Support at $26.33; resistance at $26.56. Stance: neutral.
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near zero (neutral).
• Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
• Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
• Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: Sell-side liquidity below $26.33; OB at $26.40; FVG at $26.35–$26.45; OTE at $26.45; no displacement.
10-Minute Chart:
• Closing Move: Flat into close.
• EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs flat (neutral).
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near zero (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: Potential sweep below $26.33; OTE at $26.45; no clear entry signal yet.
Options Data
• GEX: Neutral, pinning at $26.50. Dealers hedge minimally.
• DEX: Put delta bias (-0.15), bearish pressure.
• IV: Low (~18%), limited swings.
• OI: Put-heavy (55% puts at $26), capping upside.
Cem Karsan’s Application:
• Weekly Trading Breakdown: OI at $26 suggests pinning. Low gamma limits volatility; vanna neutral; charm favors puts near OPEX.
• Strategy: Buy $26.50 calls at $26.45 (OTE), exit at $27, profit $0.30, risk $0.40. Ties to sweep below $26.33.
• Vanna: Stable IV, no dealer-driven lift.
• Charm: Puts gain delta near OPEX, pressuring $26.
Timeframe Analysis:
• Weekly (exp. April 18): Put OI at $26, low IV, bearish stance.
• Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, neutral stance.
• 3-Month (exp. July 18): Neutral outlook.
• Directional Bias: Neutral, leaning bearish unless sweep triggers reversal.
Sympathy Plays
• Correlated Assets: VZ (+1%), CCI (+0.5%).
• Opposite Mover: If T fades, risk-on SPOT rises (+1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG - Sector: Communication Services – Telecom.
• RRG Position: Lagging vs. XLC, reflecting weak momentum.
Targets
• Bullish: +2% to $27.00 (OB).
• Bearish: -2% to $25.87 (FVG).
Quantum's KR Trading Guide 4/11/25
KR (Kroger Company)
Sentiment
• Analysis: Market sentiment for KR is neutral leaning bullish. Post-close options activity on April 10 shows balanced put/call volume, with slight call dominance at strikes near $69, suggesting cautious optimism. RSI (14) at the April 10 close (estimated ~60 based on recent uptrend to $67.96) indicates momentum without overbought conditions, supporting a potential continuation. Anonymized X chatter highlights speculation on grocery sector stability amid tariff uncertainties, with some noting KR’s domestic focus as a hedge against import risks. A potential liquidity sweep above recent highs ($68.76) could signal institutional buying, setting up a reversal to the upside.
Catalyst: Watch for a sweep above $68.76 triggering bullish momentum, driven by retail investor interest on X.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Minimal.
• Explanation: KR’s exposure to tariffs is limited due to its primarily domestic supply chain and focus on U.S.-sourced goods. While imported specialty products could face cost pressures, these are a small fraction of revenue. No tariff relief or escalation was announced on April 10, so sentiment remains stable. Fundamentals are unaffected, but speculative X posts suggest tariff fears could cap upside unless clarity emerges.
News/Catalysts
• No specific company news on April 10, but sector strength in consumer staples drove modest gains, with KR benefiting from defensive positioning amid broader market volatility. X posts noted KR as a “safe play” in uncertain times.
• Upcoming: CPI Data (Today, April 11): Stronger-than-expected CPI could pressure consumer staples (-1% move) as investors rotate to cyclicals; weaker CPI could boost KR (+2%) as a defensive name.
• Retail Sales (April 15): Robust data may signal consumer strength, lifting KR (+1.5%); weak data could hurt (-1%) due to spending concerns.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
• HVN: $66.50 as support (bullish, price above).
• LVN: $70.00 as resistance (neutral, price below).
• EMA Trend: 8-week > 13-week > 48-week (bullish uptrend).
• RSI (14): ~62 (bullish, above 50).
• MACD: Above signal line (bullish).
• Bollinger Bands: Near upper band (bullish).
• Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
• Williams %R: ~-20 (neutral, not overbought).
• ADR: Expanding (bullish, volatility rising).
• VWAP: Above weekly VWAP at $67.00 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Higher highs/lows confirm bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS).
One-Hour Chart:
• Support/Resistance: Support at $67.50 (weekly HVN confluence); resistance at $68.76 (daily high). Stance: bullish above support.
• RSI (14): ~65 (bullish).
• MACD: Above signal (bullish).
• Bollinger Bands: At upper band (neutral, potential pullback).
• Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
• Williams %R: ~-15 (neutral).
• VWAP: Above hourly VWAP at $68.20 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Buy-side liquidity above $68.76; Order Block (OB) at $67.50 demand zone; FVG at $68.00–$68.10; OTE (Fib 61.8%) at $68.30; displacement seen in early April 11 rally.
10-Minute Chart:
• Closing Move: Strong rally into April 10 close, holding above $67.96.
• EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs rising (bullish).
• RSI (14): ~60 (neutral).
• MACD: Above zero (bullish).
• VWAP: Above VWAP at $68.30 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Liquidity sweep above $68.40 in pre-market; retracement to OTE at $68.30; pin bar forming as entry signal.
Options Data
• GEX: Neutral, slight bullish pinning at $68. Dealers may buy stock to hedge, supporting price at $68–$69. Explanation: Gamma Exposure balances calls/puts, stabilizing price near strikes.
• DEX: Moderate call delta bias (+0.25), indicating bullish pressure. Explanation: Net call buying drives directional momentum.
• IV: Moderate (~22%, near norm), suggesting steady swings. Explanation: Implied Volatility supports consistent options pricing.
• OI: Call-heavy (60% calls at $69 strike), favoring upside momentum. Explanation: Open Interest at $69 signals potential breakout target.
Cem Karsan’s Application:
• Weekly Trading Breakdown: High call OI at $69 (exp. April 18) suggests pinning or breakout potential. Gamma supports stability at $68; vanna indicates dealers buy on IV spikes to 23%, lifting price. Charm accelerates delta near OPEX, favoring $69 calls if in-the-money.
• Strategy: Buy $69 calls at $68.30 (OTE), exit at $69.50, profit $0.50, risk $0.40. Ties to liquidity sweep above $68.76, targeting $69 OB.
• Vanna: Rising IV to 23% could push dealers to buy, lifting KR to $69 (bullish).
• Charm: Near OPEX, $69 calls hold delta if ITM, boosting volatility.
Timeframe Analysis:
• Weekly (exp. April 18): 60% call OI at $69, moderate IV, bullish stance.
• Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, stable IV, neutral stance.
• 3-Month (exp. July 18): Slight call skew, low IV, bullish outlook.
• Directional Bias: Bullish, driven by call OI, positive GEX, and OTE setup at $68.30.
Sympathy Plays
• Correlated Assets: WMT (+2% if KR rallies), COST (+1.5%).
• Opposite Mover: If KR rallies (defensive), risk-on names like SHOP fade (-1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG
• Sector: Consumer Staples – Food Retail.
• RRG Position: Improving vs. XLP ETF, aligning with bullish sentiment and technicals.
Targets
• Bullish: +3% to $70.50 (next liquidity zone, OB at $70).
• Bearish: -2% to $66.60 (FVG at $66.50).
MICROSOFT On 4th largest correction in 15 years. Buy or trap?Microsoft (MSFT) has corrected by -26.50% from its All Time High (ATH), representing the 4th biggest correction since June 2010, which was the first pull-ack after the historic 2008 Housing Crisis.
At the same time the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold limit for the first time since that low of June 2010! Not even the Housing bottom didn't exhibit such low 1W RSI.
All while the current Tariff War correction stopped a little before testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the long-term Support since 2011 and was last hit (for the 2nd time during that time span) in December 2022 during the previous Inflation Crisis.
As a result, this is a unique long-term buy opportunity for such a tech giant. The 2010 rebound hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level before pulling back while the rally that was initiated after the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom reached +117.45%.
Based on the above, we have a medium-term Target on MSFT at $440 (Fib 0.786) and a long-term at $700 (+100%).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AMD: Best level to buy since Oct 2022.Advanced Micro Devices are virtually oversold on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 30.639, MACD = -13.430, ADX = 36.312) having hit the bottom (HL) of the 3 year Channel Up. The 1W RSI is slightly even lower it was on the previous bottom of October 10th 2022. This should be the start of the new long term bullish wave, which based on the previous one should make a HH on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, approximately a +300% rally (TP = 280.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Where is the support level for Nasdaq?! Is the bloodbath over?Bearish fair value gap ranges are taking over this chart and when we rally up into them, they have been sending us down over and over.
This week we have had the advantage of a bearish gap from last week's low. This gave us clear reason to seek longs to fill the gap. Now we have a small cushion of long interest in this range after retesting the 2023 yearly candle's broken high.
As long as we remain above this yearly level--16.960ish (Using last year's low for NQ 17,570ish)-- we will see a neat consolidation and sitting upon these levels before the rally that may lead us out of this range.
That is what I expect, however, if we lose these levels, you already know we are headed to the dungeon of a true recession.
20 min breakdown:
NVIDIA Update 3 Rangebound with new Low for longsIn this video I bring to your attention what we could possibly expect if we lose the current level and if we do then where is the next crucial zone to look for Longs.
If you have read this then pls do Boost my work and any questions then leave them below
Trump Delays Tariffs for 90 Days. The S&P 500 Rebounds SharplyTrump Delays Tariffs for 90 Days. The S&P 500 Rebounds Sharply
As shown in the chart of the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the index is currently trading near the 5,500 level.
This result is highly encouraging, considering that as recently as yesterday morning, the index was hovering around 4,900.
Why Have Stocks Risen?
The strong rebound seen yesterday evening was triggered by a statement from the US President — he announced a 90-day delay in the implementation of wide-ranging global trade tariffs, which had originally been unveiled on 2 April and led to a sharp drop in the index (as indicated by the arrow).
However, this does not apply to China, for which tariffs were not delayed but increased. "Due to the lack of respect China has shown towards global markets, I am raising the tariff imposed on China by the United States of America to 125%, effective immediately," said Donald Trump, according to media reports.
Overall, US stock markets responded positively to the news, and Goldman Sachs economists have withdrawn their US recession forecasts.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen)
Despite yesterday’s sharp rebound, the stock market remains in a downtrend (as indicated by the red channel).
From a bullish perspective:
→ A Double Bottom pattern (A–B) has formed around the 4,900 level;
→ Price has moved into the upper half of the channel.
From a bearish perspective:
→ Bulls must overcome key resistance near the psychological 5,000 level;
→ While tariffs have been delayed, they have not been cancelled. As such, the risk of an escalating trade war is likely to continue putting pressure on the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) in the coming months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Price Played Out Exactly As Predicted — Jan 14 Setup RevisitedOn January 14, I shared this precise setup here on TradingView. At the time, it didn’t get much attention—but I trusted the analysis.
Today, price played out exactly as projected. Every level respected. Every zone reacted to. This isn’t hindsight—this is foresight, documented and time-stamped.
Key Notes:
• Clean market structure
• Precise liquidity sweep and shift
• Institutional confluence at premium/discount zones
• Patience + precision = result
I’m sharing this not to say “I was right”—but to highlight what’s possible with disciplined analysis. If you’re serious about trading or just want to see how I break down charts in real-time, feel free to drop a follow.
Let the chart speak
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 10, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariff Pause and Increased Tariffs on China: President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for most trading partners but increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%. This move led to a surge in global stock markets, with the S&P 500 rising by 9.5% and the Dow Jones by 7.9%.
🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs: In response, China imposed additional tariffs of 84% on U.S. goods, escalating trade tensions and impacting global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, April 10:
📈 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.1%
Previous: 0.2%
Measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, indicating inflation trends.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 219,000
Previous: 225,000
Reports the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, reflecting labor market conditions.
🗣️ Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Testifies to Senate (10:00 AM ET):
Provides insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on economic conditions and monetary policy.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Tesla Taps the Golden Zone – Is the Launch Sequence Engaged?Tesla (TSLA) has shown textbook precision by respecting the golden zone after a significant sweep of previous highs. Rather than violating the last HTF low—which would’ve hinted at deeper downside—price instead retraced cleanly into the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) range and reacted with strong bullish intent.
This move indicates a healthy retracement rather than weakness, suggesting a continuation to the upside. Confirmation of this potential bullish leg would be a sustained close above the 272–300 level, which aligns with previous buyside liquidity zones and Fibonacci confluence.
Key Observations:
- Golden Zone respected: Price bounced cleanly between the 62–79% fib levels.
- HTF low protected: No violation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
- Volume spike supports the reversal move.
Targets:
- Short-term: 300.61
- Mid-term: 416.67
- Long-term swing: 861.17 (over 255% potential gain)
Conclusion:
Tesla looks set for lift-off 🚀. The reaction at the golden zone and the preservation of structure give high confluence for a potential explosive move higher. Wait for confirmation via price continuation and structure integrity.
As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Quantum's HIMS Trading Guide 4/10/25 HIMS (Hims & Hers Health, Inc.) - Sector: Healthcare (Telehealth)
Sentiment: Bullish. Post-close call volume steady, RSI ~58 (up from ~55), Amplified GLP-1 demand—speculation persists despite tariff noise.
Tariff Impact: Minimal. Domestic focus shields HIMS; 104% China tariffs irrelevant unless generics supply tightens.
News/Catalysts:
Current: tariff pause softens market fear.
Upcoming: Retail Sales (April 15)—strong data could lift +5%; Fed rate outlook (May 2025)—cut signals might push +7%.
Technical Setup:
--Weekly Chart:
---HVN $30 (resistance), support ~$25.45.
---Uptrend (8-week EMA > 13-week > 48-week).
---RSI ~58, MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -25.
--One-Hour Chart:
---Support $28.50, resistance $29.50.
---RSI ~60,
---MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -20.
--10-Minute Chart:
---8/13/48 EMAs up,
---RSI ~62,
---MACD rising.
Options Data:
--GEX: Bullish—pinning near $29.
--DEX: Bullish—call delta dominates.
--IV: High—~50–55% vs. norm 45–50%.
--OI: Call-heavy—above $29.
Timeframe Analysis:
---Weekly: OI call-heavy (70% calls at $30), IV high (55%)—bullish, speculative push.
---Monthly: OI call-leaning (65% calls at $30–$32), IV moderate (50%)—bullish trend.
---3-Month: OI call-heavy (75% calls at $32), IV moderate (45%)—bullish long-term.
Directional Bias:
---Bullish. GEX/DEX and call OI signal strong upside; high IV fuels volatility—intraday breakout potential.
Sympathy Plays:
---TDOC rises with HIMS; AMWL gains with HIMS.
---Opposite: HIMS rallies → WMT fades.
Sector Positioning with RRG: Leading Quadrant (Healthcare vs. XLV)—growth persists.
Targets: Bullish +6% ($30.77); Bearish -3% ($28.16).
Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P - What will happen next for the S&P?The S&P 500 has been dropping quickly after Trump's tariff policies were announced. It fell from 5750 to 4900, and is now at 5053, all in just a few days. This is a sharp decline, and sellers are clearly in control right now.
However, after such a big drop, it's common to see a short-term bounce before the market continues to fall. There is strong resistance between 5400 and 5500, which lines up with the golden pocket (a key level in technical analysis). This could make it harder for the S&P to rise past these levels.
Looking further down, there is another strong support area between 4500 and 4600. This level also matches the golden pocket on the daily chart, making it an important point for potential support. If the market keeps falling, we could see this area tested before any significant recovery.
Right now, it seems likely that the market will keep going lower. My main expectation is that we’ll get a small rally first, which could trick some traders into thinking the market is recovering, before continuing down. However, with all the uncertainty around the news and policies right now, it's also possible the market could keep dropping sharply without much of a rally.
Keep a close eye on the markets and stick to good risk management practices. If you don’t, it could really hurt your portfolio. Stay alert and adjust your strategy as things change.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
The Stock Market (SPX) Will Also RecoverGreat news my dear friends, reader and followers, truly great news.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is now reversing after challenging a strong support level. This level is the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bullish wave that started after the October 2023 market low. A strong bounce is visible as soon as this level was hit.
The correction is a classic ABC and the C wave is very steep. When a move is really strong, great force, it can't last that long. So the drop happened all at once, fast, and this means a fast end as well as a strong reversal, but the reversal will not be the same.
We are more likely than not to experience a long drawn out recovery, higher highs and higher lows long-term. Higher prices next.
This is the main support level, 0.618 around 4885. If this level breaks, the next strong support sits at 4540. We are going up.
It is not only Bitcoin and the Altcoins, the stock market will also grow.
The correction is over.
Total drop amounts to a little more than 21%.
This is huge and more than enough.
The bears are satisfied. The bears are done. A bearish wave is followed by a bullish wave.
Short bearish action, long bullish action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
NVIDIA: Still has a long way to go.NVIDIA turned from oversold to neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.969, MACD = 44.021, ADX = 44.021) and is about to do the same on 1W too, as today's 90-day tariff pause announcement is giving the market an aggressive comeback. Technically though that doesn't seem enough to restore the tremendous bullish sentiment of 2023 and 1st half of 2024 as the trend is currently restricted by not only the 1D MA50 and MA200 but a LH trendline also coming straight from the ATH.
The same kind of LH kept NVDA at bay on its last main correction to the August 5th 2024 bottom. This started a +44.46% rally that got rejected on the LH trendline. If we apply that today we get a projected 1D MA200 test just under the LH trendline. A TP = 125.00 fits perfectly on the short term, but long term we still have a long way to go.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
HAPPENING NOW?! HERTZ CUP AND HANDLE BREAKOUT 1D CHART?HERTZ (HTZ) Price rose significantly to $4.26 on the 1 Day chart. Is this a sign of an impending bullish breakout? My personal target opinion for bullish movement is $5.50. Will this be a major bullish turning point for Hertz? Or will it be a easy grab for traders running short positions?
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.