Last week Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance!🚨 Bitcoin Update – A Bullish Storm Is Brewing? 💥
Last week, Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance zone, and guess what? That liquidity is still untouched. The market hasn’t fully tapped into it yet — and that’s a big deal.
Recently, BTC smashed through resistance and even left behind a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), signaling strength. But hold on—after this breakout, the market is showing signs of a minor pullback, likely to retest its marked IRL (Important Reaction Level).
📉 It’s cooling off temporarily... but don’t blink. This zone could act as a springboard for the next big leg up.
💡 Here’s the kicker: there’s still a ton of liquidity waiting above. If the market wants it—and it usually does—there’s a high probability (80%+) of another bullish push.
👀 Watch this area closely. It’s a make-or-break zone.
📊 Do Your Own Research (DYOR) – this is not financial advice, just a friendly nudge from the charts.
Stocks
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge.
On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale.
Technically, the setup remains strong:
– Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200)
– EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact
– Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation
– RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion
Targets remain aligned with the structure:
– tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag
– tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern
Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure.
LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook
The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts
📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk
Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections
🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs
Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand
📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb
U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, June 12:
8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May)
An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI.
8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims
Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅SPY went up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 610$
Which is also an All-Time-High
So its a very strong level
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 596.43$
SHORT🔥
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META: Close to a 1D Golden Cross. Strong buy.META is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.797, MACD = 30.360, ADX = 40.237) but is about to form a 1D Golden Cross, the first such pattern since March 1st 2023, which was a little after the November 2022 market bottom. The market technically thrives on such conditions and since 2019, the 3 Golden Cross patterns that were formed were bullish continuation formations. Based on the 1W RSI, the current Golden Cross might be more similar with the June 2nd 2020 Golden Cross that was formed after the COVID crash. It rose by +123.42% before pulling back to the 1D MA200 again, so we remain bullish on META with TP = 1,000.
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ELI LILLY Is starting its next big rally.Eli Lilly (LLY) is about to test its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) following a rebound just below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The latter, has been the ultimate market Support since May 2018 (last time it broke below it).
The overall correction since the July 15 2024 High seems like a Bull Flag pattern, no different than all the others after 2018 which only served as healthy rebalancing of an overbought price action.
Based on he 1W RSI in particular and the Bullish Divergence it displayed, the current Bull Flag resembles more the March - October 2019 pattern. Both that and the next one reached their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions.
As a result, our long-term Target on LLY is just below the 2.0 Fib at $1300.
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GAIL 1H Chart Analysis (Trendline Breakout Setup)NSE:GAIL GAIL 1H Chart Analysis (Trendline Breakout Setup)
The 1-hour chart of GAIL (India) Ltd shows a clean descending trendline breakout followed by higher lows, indicating strength building up. The price is consolidating just below a horizontal resistance around ₹193, forming a potential ascending triangle pattern.
Trendline Breakout:
Price has broken a long-standing descending trendline.
Retest and higher lows have followed the breakout, showing bullish intent.
Ascending Triangle Pattern:
Horizontal resistance near ₹193 is tested multiple times.
Rising trendline support suggests buyers are becoming aggressive.
Volume Confirmation Needed:
A breakout above ₹193.10 with volume would validate the bullish setup.
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Above ₹193.10 (confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: Below ₹190.00 (below rising trendline) CLOSING BASIS
Target 1: ₹196.85 (resistance zone)
Target 2: ₹204.50 (swing high)
The combination of trendline breakout and ascending triangle formation indicates a strong bullish continuation setup. Entry above ₹193.10 is ideal after confirmation, with targets up to ₹204 and risk well-managed below ₹190.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. The analysis shared is purely for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decision. Trading and investing in the stock market involves financial risk. The author will not be held responsible for any losses incurred.
@thetradeforecast
NSE:GAIL NSE:NIFTY
US100 Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keeps growing but
The index will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance
Of 22,243 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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PayPal: Rebound or Rerun?PayPal in 2025: A breakout with backbone or just another spineless fintech?
PayPal is still in the rehabilitation ward after its fall from grace in 2021. Management drama, growth slowdown — the full fintech fatigue package. But something has shifted behind the scenes. A new CEO is cutting costs, AI integration is being whispered about, and earnings have started to surprise again. Wall Street pretends not to notice — but volume tells a different story.
Technically, we’re looking at a well-formed inverse head and shoulders. The neckline stretches from $72.00 to $74.76, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. A confirmed breakout above this zone opens the path to a clear target at $93.66 — the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. Multiple EMA clusters and strong pattern symmetry reinforce the setup. But no fairy tales here: the real entry comes after a retest. Without confirmation, it’s just another pretty formation for chart enthusiasts.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress
Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers
📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches
Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities .
💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience
Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 11:
(No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
1,505% from $0.20 to $3.21 on massive 1+ Billion volume $KLTOWOW 🤯 1,505% from $0.20 to $3.21 on massive 1+ Billion shares traded 🚀 NASDAQ:KLTO
I sent out 2 Buy Alerts for everyone to get paid nicely ✅
This will trigger more runners, premarket already got movers NASDAQ:MEGL , NASDAQ:MRIN , NASDAQ:EVGN
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
MARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto MarketMARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto Market, as it can send the price even higher this year from a technical and Elliott wave perspective.
Marathon Digital Holdings with ticker MARA nicely and sharply recovered away from the strong support after a completed projected higher degree abc correction in wave B/2. So, similar as Crypto market, even MARA can be forming a bullish setup with waves »i« and »ii« that can soon extend the rally within wave »iii« of a five-wave bullish cycle within higher degree wave C or 3, especially if breaks above 21 first bullish evidence level. It could be easily supportive for the Crypto market if we consider a positive correlation.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📱 Apple Disappoints at WWDC Keynote
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) faced criticism after a lackluster WWDC keynote. Major AI and Siri upgrades were delayed, prompting a 1–1.5% drop in Apple shares—the weakest move during today's presentation
🎮 GameStop to Report Q1, Crypto Pivot in Focus
GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings after market close. Investors will be watching for updates on its $500M Bitcoin allocation and potential crypto-related strategies
📈 Small-Business Optimism Rises
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May came in at 95.9—above the 94.9 consensus—showing modest improvement in sentiment among small firms
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 10:
6:00 AM ET – NFIB Small Business Optimism (May):
A reading above expectations could boost risk market sentiment by showing stronger Main Street confidence.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Review and plan for 10th June 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Positional ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Apple (AAPL) Shares Consolidate Ahead of WWDCApple (AAPL) Shares Consolidate Ahead of WWDC
Today, 9 June, marks the start of Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) — an event that traditionally attracts significant attention from investors and traders.
It is fair to say that WWDC 2025 begins against a rather negative backdrop:
→ Since the start of 2025, AAPL stock price has fallen by 19%, and Apple has lost its title as the world’s most valuable company, now trailing behind Microsoft and Nvidia.
→ Expectations raised by last year’s conference — particularly regarding new AI features in the iPhone — were not fully realised. As Barron’s noted, in March, an Apple spokesperson admitted that the new Siri “will take longer than we thought to implement these features. We expect to roll them out next year.”
Technical Analysis of the AAPL Chart
AAPL price movements are forming a narrowing triangle pattern:
→ The red trendline highlights sustained downward pressure on AAPL shares in 2025 — partly driven by concerns over the impact of the ongoing trade war;
→ On the other hand, the area below the psychological $200 level may attract buyers willing to take on risk.
WWDC 2025 could well provide fresh hope for the bulls and prompt an attempt to break out upwards from the triangle pattern.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.