Stocks
Breakout in Organogenesis Holdings Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Breakout in ADT Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status QuoHello Traders!
Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value.
Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy
Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success:
Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies.
Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns.
Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in.
Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth.
Notable Investments and Activist Moves
Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays:
Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence.
Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant.
Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks.
Risk Management and Position Sizing
When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns:
Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning.
Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains.
Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform.
What This Means for Investors
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul.
For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies:
Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital.
Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions.
Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff.
Conclusion
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success.
Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 did not succeed in retesting the Mean Resistance level of 6082. Instead, the index experienced a notable decline, reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and narrowly approaching the Key Support level of 5827.
Following this downturn, a significant rebound occurred, resulting in the establishment of a new Mean Support level at 5860. The index is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5967. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current level and successfully surpass the critical Mean Resistance of 5967, it may continue to rise toward the Mean Resistance level of 6032, potentially reaching the Key Resistance level of 6143.
Conversely, if the index declines from its present position, it may create a retest pullback to revisit the Mean Support level of 5860 before resuming further upward momentum.
Trump Pump. Trump Dump. Trading Family,
We had our Trump pump. Now, we are seeing a Trump dump. Tariffs and other geopolitical events are causing market uncertainty. Let's take a look at our charts to find out how much more pain we are in for. And, a positive sign. Smaller cap altcoins and many memecoins appear to be holding strong!
✌️ Stew
Is NASDAQ Losing Steam? A Reality Check for TradersHey Realistic Traders, Is CAPITALCOM:US100 Out of Steam? Let’s Dive Into the Analysis…
On the daily timeframe, the Nasdaq remains above the EMA-100, which has served as strong support through multiple successful rebounds. Simultaneously, the price has moved above the bullish trendline, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend.
Within wave 4, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. This signals the initiation of wave 5, which could potentially extend beyond the length of wave 1, given that wave 3 did not exceed the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has already formed a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation of a positive outlook for the Nasdaq.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move upward toward the first target at 23,538 , or potentially the second target at 24,356.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying above the critical stop-loss level at 20,833.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq."
MLPL - LOW CHEATIDX:MLPL - Low Cheat
(+):
1. Very Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
5. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
6. RS Rating is over 70 (93)
7. VCP characteristic
10. Price breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. Price is below 25% of 52 weeks high
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: −91.66%
b. Quarterly YoY: −71.13%
c. TTM YoY: +12.23%
d. Annual YoY: −13.30%
About fundamental aspect, maybe is time to turn around
Starbucks (SBUX) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX is executing a strategic turnaround, focusing on barista wages, store renovations, and menu optimization to enhance efficiency and customer experience.
Key Catalysts:
Loyalty & Digital Engagement 📊
34.6M U.S. Rewards members now drive 57% of total sales.
Personalized offers and data-driven engagement are boosting customer retention and spending.
China Expansion & Growth Potential 🌏
Despite a 4% decline in same-store sales, Starbucks opened 169 new stores, reinforcing its long-term commitment to China.
The region remains a key growth driver, with opportunities for premiumization and digital adoption.
Financial Strength & Shareholder Returns 💰
SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in share buybacks could increase EPS by 3-4% annually.
A SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B sustainability bond aligns with ESG-focused institutional investors.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SBUX above $97.00-$98.00, driven by loyalty growth, operational improvements, and capital efficiency.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $160.00-$165.00, reflecting strong turnaround execution and long-term expansion.
📢 Starbucks—Brewing Growth with Digital Innovation, Expansion, and Shareholder Returns. #SBUX #StockMarket #LoyaltyEconomy
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.28.2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 PCE Inflation Data Release 📈: The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, is set to be released. Economists predict a 0.3% rise in January and a 2.5% year-over-year growth. This data will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments.
🇺🇸🛒 Consumer Spending Trends 🛒: Personal income and spending data for January will be released, offering a glimpse into consumer behavior amid ongoing economic uncertainties. Analysts anticipate a 0.4% increase in personal income and a 0.1% rise in personal spending.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, Feb 28:
💰 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💰: Reports on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE Price Index for January.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity, providing insights into the real estate market's health.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AI and why the working week won't reduceThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
Tinder, Bumble and so on were once feted as the “new thing”. Here’s how Bumble is doing now.
That’s — not great! That’s pretty bad! The world moved on from dating apps, by and large — dating app consumption is actually down as Gen Z prefers to meet in person. Textile mills of the 21st century. So-long, and thanks for the fish.
There’s two things I’m sure of here:
People will not work less. This has been proven throughout history.
Many currently high-margin, stable businesses will not be are stable or as high-margin.
One of the great economic fallacies is that of optimism — specifically, that the working week will reduce. Here is Keynes, in 1930 —
We may be able to perform all the operations of agriculture, mining, and manufacture with a quarter of the human effort to which we have been accustomed.
Keynes was writing in the wake the Great Depression — it’s fairly remarkable foresight, as the US embarked on several golden decades — $1.00 invested in the S&P in 1929, at the peak of economic gloom, would be worth around $7,622 — you’d have an inflation adjusted return of 41,690.91%. Ne bad, as they say in Scots.
But here’s where he’s wrong — he had hoped for a quarter of human effort — predicting a 15 hour workweek. That hasn’t happened. If anything, the work culture in America and many western countries has become something of a religion — work hard and glorify it. That work has transmuted for many of us from factory jobs and field labour to office jobs and such, but it remains work — we are there to create a surplus of capital, as Marx wrote long ago.
History doesn’t rhyme but it repeats — similar suggestions of the end of work have been made with the advent of AI. Now, it is likely that AI will be able to replace many jobs — especially those that were traditionally protected (you probably don’t need a lawyer to draft up a basic contract, etc…). If we look at the various other revolutions, though, especially the industrial, what we find is that work ends up being something else.
What might it be? Will we have offices filled with people slaving away to Chat GPT, typing in prompts at their terminals? Essentially, will we become part cyborg, delivering commands to our AI counterparts?
It’s interesting to think about what this will do economically. The Industrial Revolution saw vast progress and economies expand rapidly — areas like the North of England, which were traditionally poor, saw riches prosper, while the old class of aristocrats found themselves taxed by both lack of economic progress and real taxes,³ which saw the economic picture turn — at least for a while. And yet — even those economic realities change — the once-rich textile barons of the Industrial Age, with factories in France and England, saw their businesses fall into disrepair as the world moved on. Automated looms, once cutting-edge, found themselves surpassed.
Here’s another example, Chegg Inc, which makes study tools. Of course, Chat GPT has surpassed that and tends to do a better job. Just ask your teens.
That’s also — not very good!
Let me now think about industries that we all think are safe but may be disrupted (don’t you hate that word?) — lawyers, accountants, coders. Uh oh. Whatever happened to “just learn to code, bro”. What happens to the “big four” accounting firms when AI gets good enough to perform most of the functions?
Let’s invert — what are companies and industries that (should) remain impervious:
Luxury — Hermes specialises in the handmade, and that’s part of the brand. The human desire for scarcity and to signal status has not changed in all of history.
Toll-booth businesses — think exchanges (NZX, CBOE, LSE), literal toll booths (Channel Infrastructure), payment operators (Visa, Stripe, etc).
Companies which command mindshare — CostCo, Amazon, etc.
Booze. Duh. AI doesn’t drink booze; humans do.
AMAZON ($AMZN) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWINGAMAZON ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWING
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradginView! Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) posted Q4 ‘24 net sales of
187.8 B,up 10 637.959 B here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – REVENUE GROWTH
• Q4 Sales: $ 187.8B, 10% up from $ 170B 📈
• Full ‘24: $ 637.959B, 10.99% rise 📊
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 19% YoY boost 💻
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s steady climb continues.
(3/9) – EARNINGS LIFT
• Q4 Op. Income: $ 21.2B, up from $ 13.2B 💰
• NA Op. Income: $ 9.3B, from $ 6.5B 🌞
• AWS Margin: 38%, decade high 🌟
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s profit engine hums strong.
(4/9) – KEY MOVES
• AI Push: GenAI apps rolled out 📡
• AWS: Cash flow dynamo shines 🌍
• Stock: 207−230 range 🚗
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s tech bets fuel growth.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Spending: Retail feels price pinch ⚠️
• Regs: Antitrust looms large 🔒
• Comp: Azure, Walmart press hard 📉
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s solid, but hurdles lurk.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Retail: $ 115.6B Q4 NA sales 💪
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 38% margin 🏋️
• Scale: Ads, subs diversify 🌱
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s a titan, built to last.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Capex weighs 📚
• Opportunities: AI, emerging markets 🌏
Can NASDAQ:AMZN vault past the risks?
(8/9) – AMZN’s $ 187.8B Q4, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 300+ by ‘26 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Steady, risks balance 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Growth stalls 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s $ 187.8B Q4 and $ 637.959B ‘24 stack up, tech titan 🪙 AWS shines, risks loom, gem or pause?
MARA ($MARA) Q4—$214.4M HAUL STUNS MARKETMARA ( NASDAQ:MARA ) Q4—$214.4M HAUL STUNS MARKET
(1/9)
Good Morning, TradingView! MARA Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) smashed Q4 ‘24 with $ 214.4M revenue, up 37% YoY 🌍 Bitcoin hoard hits $ 3.94B—let’s unpack this mining beast! 💰
(2/9) – REVENUE SURGE
• Q4 Take: $ 214.4M, 37% up from $ 156.8M 📈
• Net Income: $ 528.3M, 248% leap 🌟
• BTC Price: 132% boost adds $ 119.9M 💸
NASDAQ:MARA ’s cashing in—halving? What halving?
(3/9) – BLOCKS BUZZ
• Blocks Won: 703, up 25% from 562 🚗
• Hashrate: 53.2 EH/s, 115% jump 🔧
• EPS: $ 1.24, beats $ 0.32 loss call 🌞
NASDAQ:MARA ’s grinding—blocks stack, stock pops!
(4/9) – BTC HOARD
• Stash: 45,659 BTC, $ 3.94B haul 🌍
• Growth: 197% since Jan ‘24—22,065 bought 💼
• Bitdeer: $ 532M loss—ouch 😕
NASDAQ:MARA ’s stacking—rival’s stumbling!
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Costs: $ 127.4M energy, up 70% ⚠️
• Volatility: BTC swings sting 🐻
• Halving: $ 64.2M output hit 🔒
NASDAQ:MARA ’s hot—can it dodge the chill?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Haul: $ 214.4M, profit beast 💪
• Blocks: 25% more—mining grit 🏋️
• Hoard: $ 3.94B BTC—stack king 🌱
NASDAQ:MARA ’s tough—built to last!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Energy costs bite 🙈
• Opportunities: BTC price, AI pivot—zing 🌏
Can NASDAQ:MARA vault past the snags?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:MARA ’s $ 214.4M Q4, what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 20+ stacks up 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Solid, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Costs clip it 😞
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:MARA ’s $ 214.4M Q4 and $ 3.94B BTC pile stun—mining hauler Costs creep, but grit shines—gem or bust?
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe)
Took out an untested low (liquidity)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
TESLA SWING LONG IDEA - TSLA We had a great run on Tesla after Trump's election, which boosted the idea of Robotaxi and green earnings over time.
If you follow me on X, you would know that I have been buying Tesla since the $204 level (August 5th crash). We had a great run from there to $490.
Currently, we have seen a 33% retracement from the top.
The price hit the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection there (forming a weekly dragonfly doji).
I have started to build a swing position from this level to ride Tesla to new all-time highs.
The first challenge will be the bearish trendline that has been driving the bearish trend since December 18th. Breaking that trendline should lead to new highs, in my opinion.
If the price breaks and closes below $300 on the daily chart, it will invalidate my setup, and I will look to exit the position.
#SMTC $SMTC AnalysisNASDAQ:SMTC Key levels:
$35 = Yearly and Biannually demand
$50 = Broken upper channel wedge "Could be retested"
$20 = A cluster og yearly and 6 month demand
#SMTC is trading on a huge yearly and bianually demand where it accumlating more buys. The stock is trading below its 200 SMA and might stall upon retesting it.
Closing below $29 will unlock a zone down to $20 per share.
#smtc #stocks #stockmarket #ahmedmesbah
#Tesla $TSLA is approaching key levels. NASDAQ:TSLA D1
Key levels:
$300: 1 Year demand zone.
$280: 200 SMA + a significant lower channel wedge extending since April 2024.
A bounce from these levels will fuel more momentum to $375 or more.
A weekly close below $270 will unlock a new zone extended down to $230
#TSLA #TESLA #STOCKS #AHMEDMESBAH
META priced the new Channel Up bottom. Eyes $800 next.Meta Platforms (META) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 02, while reaching the bottom of the short-term (dashed) Channel Up and the 1D RSI the November 15 2024 Low.
Since the 2-year pattern is also a Channel Up, this pull-back is a natural technical correction before the next Bullish Leg. Both previous rallies that started after long-term Accumulation Phases, then rallied by at least +45.10%.
As a result, we treat this correction as the most optimal medium-term buy opportunity to target $800 (top of dashed Channel Up and +45.10% from the Accumulation Phase bottom).
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Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%
The Tesla stock chart today paints a grim picture for investors, as TSLA's price during trading on 25 February:
→ fell by more than 8% in a single day;
→ dropped below the psychologically significant $300 per share mark for the first time since early November 2024 (despite nearing $500 in late December 2024).
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Have Fallen
Tesla’s sales in Europe fell by 45% in January compared to the same period last year, even as overall EV sales in Europe grew by 37%.
This sharp drop in European sales has heightened concerns that CEO Elon Musk’s political activities are negatively affecting the company’s business.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart
Price movements in 2024 formed a key upward trend channel (marked by blue lines), but yesterday’s decline led to a bearish break below the lower boundary of this trend. Specifically:
→ The $330 level, where the lower blue boundary was breached, now appears to be a significant resistance level.
→ The B→C retracement is approximately 50% of the A→B decline – a bearish signal.
→ Price movements in 2025 outline a descending trend channel (marked in red), which is becoming increasingly relevant.
If the psychological support level of $300 per TSLA share fails to hold, the price may continue to decline towards the key $270 level. This level acted as resistance to growth in the second half of 2024 but was broken after news of Trump’s victory.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, possibly hoping that Musk’s close ties with Trump will help accelerate the launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service.
Another potential positive driver could be Tesla’s entry into the Indian market.
According to TipRanks:
→ 13 out of 35 surveyed analysts recommend buying TSLA shares;
→ The average 12-month price target for TSLA is $357.
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