SWING IDEA - JUBILANT PHARMOVAJubilant Pharmova , a diversified pharmaceutical company focused on CRAMS and specialty pharma, is presenting a strong swing opportunity backed by a major pattern breakout and volume confirmation.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakout from an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern after over a year of consolidation
Attempting breakout above 1250, a key resistance zone with multiple rejections in the past
Strong marubozu candle on the daily chart with a notable volume spike, signaling conviction
Trading near all-time highs, and comfortably above key EMAs, reinforcing trend strength
Target : 1480 // 1600
Stoploss : weekly close below 1090
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Stocks
SWING IDEA - AKZO NOBEL INDIA Akzo Nobel India , a subsidiary of the global paints and coatings giant AkzoNobel N.V., is a leading player in India’s decorative and industrial paints market. Known for its premium brand Dulux , the company has strong brand recall, a wide distribution network, and consistent profitability.A strong brand, steady margins, and a bullish chart make this a candidate to watch for a short- to medium-term swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
Bullish engulfing candle spotted on the weekly timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Accompanied by the highest-ever volume spike, adding strong conviction to the move.
Price is bouncing off the golden Fibonacci support (0.618), a classic retracement zone where strong reversals often occur.
The level of 3100 acted as a solid support.
The stock is trading above its 50 & 200 EMA on the weekly chart — a sign of long-term strength.
Target - 3812 // 4520
Stoploss - weekly close below 3000
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
BA: Boeing down on better than expected results! 30-07-2025Yesterday we get Boeing earnings report which came better than expected, but the stock down more than 4% as the company is not expected to make positive profit or free cashflow before 2026. No dividends currently paid, so there is nothing attractive to me now.
Disclaimer: This content is NOT a financial advise, it is for educational purpose only.
UnitedHealth (UNH) Shares Plunge Following Earnings ReportUnitedHealth (UNH) Shares Plunge Following Earnings Report
Yesterday, prior to the opening of the main trading session, UnitedHealth released its quarterly results along with forward guidance. As a result, UNH shares dropped by over 7%, signalling deep disappointment among market participants. According to media reports:
→ Earnings per share came in at $4.08, missing analysts’ expectations of $4.48.
→ Revenue guidance was set at $445.5–448 billion, falling short of the anticipated $449.07 billion.
→ Concerns were further fuelled by rising costs and declining profitability, which the company attributed to the continued impact of Medicare funding cuts.
Consequently, the UNH share price dropped to its lowest level of 2025, last seen on 15 May.
Technical Analysis of UNH Stock Chart
In our end-of-May analysis, we updated the descending channel on the UNH stock chart and highlighted that following the recovery from the May low (marked by arrow 1), sellers could regain control. Since then:
→ Throughout June, the share price exhibited signs of supply-demand equilibrium around the psychological $300 level.
→ However, after an unsuccessful rally that formed peak A (which now resembles a bull trap), the balance shifted in favour of the bears. The price began to slide lower along the median line of the descending channel (illustrated by arrow 2).
This pattern was a red flag, particularly against the backdrop of a broadly rising equity market since the beginning of summer. Even if the bulls had hope, yesterday's candle could have completely extinguished it:
→ The session opened with a wide bearish gap.
→ During the day, bulls attempted a recovery, but failed — the candlestick closed at the daily low, leaving a long upper wick, a classic sign of selling pressure.
In this context, we could assume that:
→ Bears may seek to extend their advantage and test the year’s low;
→ The bearish gap area (highlighted in purple), reinforced by the descending channel’s median line, could act as resistance during any potential recovery.
At the same time, the $250 psychological level appears to be a strong support zone. This is backed by the 15 May bullish pin bar formed on record trading volumes — a potential sign of institutional interest in accumulating shares of this healthcare giant in anticipation of a long-term recovery.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD – Will the bullish parallel channel hold?The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading within a clearly defined bullish parallel channel, as shown on the 4-hour chart. This channel has provided consistent directional structure over recent weeks, with price respecting both its upper resistance and lower support boundaries. At present, the pair is approaching the lower end of this channel, raising the critical question: will it bounce off support and continue the bullish trajectory, or will it decisively break down, opening the door to lower price targets?
Bullish parallel channel
On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a bullish parallel channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This price structure suggests sustained upward momentum, with the top of the channel acting as dynamic resistance and the bottom as reliable support. Today, price action is testing the lower boundary of the channel once again. A successful hold at this level could confirm continued bullish structure and open the door for a potential rebound.
Bullish scenario
In the bullish scenario, the EUR/USD holds its ground at the support region around 1.164, where the lower boundary of the channel intersects with price. For upward continuation, it must overcome the short-term resistance posed by the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.169 and 1.174. A reclaim and close above this zone could signal a shift in short-term momentum and lead to a move back toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, the path upward is not without resistance , price must navigate through potential supply zones and maintain higher lows to preserve the bullish structure.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, a break and close below the channel support could indicate a change in market sentiment and invalidate the bullish pattern. In this bearish case, we would expect a structure break confirmation followed by a possible retest of the broken trendline and the 4-hour FVG. If this retest fails to reclaim the trendline, bearish continuation becomes more likely. The next significant area of interest lies around the 1.150 level, where a bullish 4-hour FVG exists. This zone could act as a potential short-term support and serve as a target for the downside move before any meaningful bounce occurs.
Final thoughts
The EUR/USD pair is currently at a technical crossroads. Traders should watch closely for price behavior around the lower channel boundary to determine whether bullish momentum will resume or whether a bearish breakout will set the tone for deeper retracement. Confirmation, either through a bounce or a breakdown with a retest, will be key in validating the next directional move.
-------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
MPWR 1D: shoulders are squared and the battery's still fullMonolithic Power Systems broke out of a long-term descending trendline after completing a clean inverse head and shoulders. Now the price is pulling back into the 705–688 zone — a textbook retest area that combines the neckline, the 0.705–0.79 Fib levels, and a major volume shelf. Add to that a golden cross (EMA50 crossing EMA200 from below) and we have a solid technical foundation for continuation. Volume on the pullback is low, indicating no panic, just rotation. If 688 holds, the next levels to watch are 755.66 and 952.17 — the latter being the 1.618 Fib extension. Tactical setup: look for a reversal signal between 705–688, with a stop just below 661. As long as price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
Fundamentally, MPWR remains one of the strongest names in the semiconductor space. With over $1.5B in annual revenue and industry-leading margins, the company continues to see strong demand from data center and EV sectors. In its latest report, management highlighted accelerating orders from Tier‑1 manufacturers. The balance sheet is clean, with zero debt, and ongoing buybacks provide downside support. In a sector full of volatility, MPWR stands out with both structural reliability and technical clarity - making it a strong candidate for long-term positioning.
If this textbook pattern plays out, the train’s just leaving the station. The best seat is usually the one taken before the doors close.
OSCR: back to support and now it’s decision timeAfter the recent impulse move, OSCR has pulled back to a key support zone around 13.65. That area aligns with the 0.79 Fib retracement, a horizontal level from spring, and a rising trendline that has already triggered reversals in the past. The structure is still intact, and buyers are testing the level again. If support holds and we get a bullish confirmation, the next target is 17.01, followed by a potential breakout toward the high at 22.81.
Volume remains elevated, the overall structure is healthy, and the correction is controlled. A break below 13.00 would invalidate the setup - until then, it’s a clean, high-reward zone with tight risk.
Fundamentally, Oscar Health has revised its 2025 guidance: revenue is expected in the $12–12.2B range, with operating losses projected between $200M and $300M. Despite softening topline growth, earnings per share are improving, and investor sentiment has been shifting. Technical strength is also reflected in the recent rise in RS Rating to 93, confirming that the stock is showing relative leadership even as the market cools.
This is one of those setups where both technicals and narrative are aligning - now we just need confirmation from the chart.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 30, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 30, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍
🧭 Fed Holds Steady Amid Uncertainty
As the FOMC enters its July 29–30 meeting, the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, even as one or two governors may dissent in favor of rate cuts amid mixed economic data. Recent strength in consumer spending contrasts with weakness in housing and construction.
🌐 U.S.–China Trade Talks Resumed in Stockholm
Talks are under way aimed at extending the tariff truce before the August 12 deadline. Both sides described progress as constructive, though analysts remain cautious on the timeline and potential outcomes.
🛢️ Oil Up / Dollar Firmer, But Risks Remain
Brent crude hit ~$72.50/barrel (+3.5%) while WTI rose to ~$69.20 on a mix of geopolitical tension (possible new Russia tariffs) and trade optimism. The U.S. dollar edged higher following the U.S.–EU trade agreement.
📈 IMF Revises Up Global Growth—but Flags Tariff Risks
The IMF raised its 2025 growth forecast to 3.0% and maintained 3.1% for 2026, citing pre-emptive consumer demand—but warned that ongoing U.S. tariffs and policy inconsistency could dampen momentum.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Wednesday, July 30:
FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Press Conference
The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady. Powell’s remarks will be closely watched for signals on the timing of future cuts and views on inflation and labor markets.
Advance Q2 U.S. GDP Estimate
The first look at Q2 growth is expected around +1.9% YoY, potentially validating a rebound after Q1’s contraction.
June PCE & Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Index)
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Markets will monitor if core inflation remains elevated, which may reinforce policy caution.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This summary is for educational and informational purposes only—it is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #GDP #inflation #trade #tariffs #markets
Hindustan Unilever looks strong. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. engages in the manufacture of consumer goods. It operates through the following segments: Home Care, Beauty and Personal Care, Foods and Refreshments, and Others. It is one of leading company in FMCG sector.
Hindustan Unilever Closing price is 2453.60. Dividend Yield @CMP = 1.78%. The positive aspects of the company are Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 53.9), Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, Declining Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters and PEG greater than Industry PEG.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2460 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 2498 and 2534. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 2571 and 2601. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2391 or 2369 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Ambika Cotton looking ambitious on the charts and fundamentally.Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. engages in the provision of manufacturing and selling of cotton yarn catering to the needs of manufacturers of premium branded shirts and t-shirts.
Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. Closing price is 1603.20 Dividend Yield @CMP = 2.35%. The positive aspects of the company are attractive Valuation (P.E. = 13.9), Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Companies with Low Debt, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, Fall in Quarterly Revenue and Net Profit (YoY) and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1609 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 1631, 1672 and 1710. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 1753 and 1801. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1533 or 1489 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 29, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍
U.S.–EU Trade Deal Sparks Optimism
The U.S. and EU signed a trade framework allowing a 15% tariff rate on most EU imports, averting harsher penalties. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at fresh record highs, supported by upbeat tech earnings sentiment—Tesla advanced on a new $16.5B AI chip deal with Samsung—while U.S.–China trade talks resume in Stockholm.
Fed Likely to Hold Rates; Political Pressure Mounts
The Fed is expected to leave its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% at the July 29–30 FOMC meeting. Chair Powell faces growing political pressure from President Trump to cut rates and concerns about central bank independence remain elevated.
Trade Talks Extension to Avoid Tariff Hike Deadline
The August 1 tariff deadline looms. Markets are watching to see if trade deals with China, Canada, and the EU extend the pause or risk new tariffs. Volume in AI/chip stocks and industrials reflects sensitivity to trade developments.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, July 29
FOMC Meeting Begins — All eyes on Fed rate decision and updated projections.
GDP (Advance Q2 Estimate) — Expected around +1.9% on signs of economic rebound.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This summary is for educational and informational purposes only—it is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #trade #tariffs #PCE #jobs #technicalanalysis
CMG entering a stage 4 downtrendCMG may have entered a stage 4 downtrend.The price has reflected sharply off the 200 daily moving average and busted rapidly on enormous volume to the low of the previous volume base formed from the week of March 10th to the week of June 9th. The 200 daily moving average has turned over and is sloping downward, alongside the 50 daily moving average. CMG has demonstrated poor relative strength (SPX). The consumer services sector remains in generally good condition, and there are large market caps that are showing strength and performing well in it. There are also many large market caps in the sector that have transitioned out of their respective stage 2 advances, and have started stage 3 distributions and stage 4 declines. Although MCD, the largest market cap in the restaurant industry, continues to perform very well- most of the stocks in the industry have begun to roll over into stage 3 distribution ranges and stage 4 declines. A short entry in CMG was made at ~$55, and more will be added to this position between $47.50 to $50 if the price corrects back to this level.
NAS100 - How will the stock market react to the FOMC meeting?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the ceiling of the channel, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward-risk.
As signs of easing global trade tensions begin to emerge, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet this week. Analysts widely expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive time. This anticipated decision comes as the U.S. President continues to push for rate cuts, persistently pressuring the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance.
So far, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark rate within a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. While some officials project two cuts by the end of the year, markets are waiting for the Fed’s patience to run out. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors have priced in a 62% chance of a rate cut in the September meeting. By then, the Fed will have access to the July and August employment reports—key indicators of whether the labor market is weakening or remains resilient.
The upcoming week marks the peak of Q2 earnings season, with 37% of S&P 500 companies reporting results, including four major tech firms. In parallel, the August 1st tariff deadline for the EU and other countries is approaching, while legal challenges over existing tariffs remain ongoing.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, many large U.S. corporations have so far absorbed the bulk of tariff-related costs without passing them on to consumers. This strategy aims to maintain market share and avoid drawing criticism from President Trump. However, the question remains—how long can this continue?
Examples from the report include:
• General Motors paid over $1 billion in tariffs in Q2 alone without announcing any price hikes.
• Nike expects a $1 billion hit from tariffs this fiscal year and is planning price increases.
• Hasbro is working on a combination of price hikes and cost cuts to offset $60 million in tariff impacts.
• Walmart has made slight pricing adjustments (e.g., bananas rising from $0.50 to $0.54) and managed pressure through inventory reductions.
This week is shaping up to be one of the busiest on the economic calendar in recent months. A flood of key data on growth, inflation, and employment, alongside three major interest rate decisions, has markets on high alert.
On Tuesday, attention will turn to two significant reports: the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for July. These metrics will offer a clearer view of labor market dynamics and household sentiment heading into critical monetary policy decisions.
The most anticipated day is Wednesday. That day brings the ADP private payrolls report, the first estimate of Q2 GDP, and pending home sales data. Additionally, both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve will announce rate decisions—events with the potential to simultaneously steer global market trajectories.
On Thursday, the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released—a key inflation gauge closely monitored by the Fed. Weekly jobless claims data will also be published that day.
The week concludes Friday with two heavyweight economic indicators: July’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a crucial input for Fed policy decisions, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which offers insights into the health of the real economy.
Some economists argue that a September rate cut may be premature, and even suggest that no rate changes might occur in 2025. Analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to reiterate a data-dependent stance, consistent with previous meetings.
Still, beyond political dynamics, the July meeting holds independent significance.The Fed’s internal policy tone is gradually leaning more dovish, and subtle signals of this shift may emerge in the final statement. Given that only one meeting remains before September, if policymakers are leaning toward a rate cut then, it’s critical that the groundwork for such communication be laid now.
Nvidia’s Historic 2025 Stock Rally: What’s Driving It?Nvidia’s stock has once again captivated Wall Street in 2025, breaking records and fueling debates on whether its blistering momentum will continue or eventually ease. Here’s an in-depth look at why Nvidia is surging, the key drivers behind the rally, and what the long-term future could hold.
Nvidia’s Stock Rally: By the Numbers
As of July 2025, Nvidia stock has rallied more than 39% year-to-date, reaching new all-time highs above $170 and propelling the company’s market cap past $4 trillion, the largest in the world.
The stock has added nearly $2 trillion in valuation since April, outpacing tech giants like Microsoft and Apple.
Analyst price targets for the rest of 2025 vary: the average ranges from ~$174 to ~$235, with bullish forecasts up to $250 and more cautious targets down to $135.
What’s Powering the Rally?
1. Surging AI Demand:
Nvidia remains at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. Its graphics and AI accelerator chips (notably the new Blackwell AI family) are the backbone of AI infrastructure for Global Tech firms (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google) and cloud service providers. This AI-centric demand has kept revenue growth robust and margins high (approaching 70%).
2. Easing China Trade Fears:
Earlier in 2025, U.S.–China export controls severely restricted Nvidia’s sales of advanced AI chips like the H20 to Chinese customers, causing a temporary selloff. However, a subsequent pause on tariffs by the U.S. and optimism about renewed China shipments reignited investor confidence, helping reverse earlier losses and extending the rally.
3. Massive Tech Investment Cycle:
The global rush to build out AI infrastructure is bringing huge investments from U.S. and international hyperscalers. Meta and Amazon alone have announced plans to pour “hundreds of billions” into AI data centers, much of it destined for Nvidia-powered hardware.
4. Strong Fundamentals and Diversification:
Nvidia sports some of the highest profit margins among mega-cap tech stocks. Its free cash flow, dominant market share, and expanding ecosystem, including platforms like Omniverse (for 3D and digital twins) and Drive (autonomous vehicles)—cement its leadership well beyond just chips.
What Could Slow Nvidia Down?
Despite the excitement, several risks linger:
Valuation Concerns: Nvidia trades at a premium (P/E above 50 for trailing earnings), raising worries of a pullback if growth slows.
Geopolitical and Regulatory Threats: Further U.S.-China tensions, new export regulations, or rising competition from rivals like AMD, Huawei, or custom silicon at cloud giants could erode growth or margins.
Cyclicality of the AI Boom: Some market watchers worry that AI infrastructure spending could prove cyclical, making Nvidia’s revenue growth more volatile in future years.
The Long-Term Outlook (2025 & Beyond)
Bullish Case: Most analysts expect continued dominance for Nvidia as AI, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and edge computing keep growing exponentially. Price targets range as high as $250 for 2025, climbing to $1,000+ by 2030 if AI adoption continues its rapid expansion.
Base Case: Moderate growth continues into 2026–2027, with a price target cluster around $180–$235 (2025) and $200–$428 (2027), assuming AI demand moderates, margins remain stable, and Nvidia fends off competitive threats.
Bearish Case: If U.S.-China relations sour and hyperscaler spending slows, the stock could retest support levels ($135–$150). However, few analysts expect a sustained collapse unless there is a fundamental change in AI or chip technology trends.
#nvda #stockmarket #finance #revenue #profit #financials #economy #technology #ai #chips
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 28–August 1, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 28–August 1, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Steady, Faces Political Pressure
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates at 4.25%–4.50% during its FOMC meeting midweek. While rates are unchanged, political pressure from President Trump continues as calls intensify for rate cuts and questions arise over the Fed’s independence—including dissent from Governors Waller and Bowman.
📦 Trade Truce Extends & New Deal With EU
A new trade framework with the EU reduces tariffs to 15%, easing tensions. Meanwhile, U.S. and Chinese trade teams begin talks in Stockholm on Monday aiming to avoid an early-August tariff deadline.
💻 Tech and Mega-Cap Earnings Spotlight
This week features earnings from tech giants including Meta, Microsoft (Wednesday), followed by Amazon and Apple (Thursday). Markets will prioritize forward guidance around AI investments, capital expenditures, and sales trends.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, July 28
No major releases
📅 Tuesday, July 29
Chicago PMI (July flash) – early indicator of regional manufacturing trends.
Global PMIs – flash readings for Europe and Asia gauge economic health.
📅 Wednesday, July 30
FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Press Conference – investors will scrutinize tone, forward guidance on rates, labor markets, and inflation.
Q2 U.S. GDP (Advance Estimate) – expected at ~1.9%, signaling rebound after Q1 contraction.
📅 Thursday, July 31
June PCE & Core PCE Indexes – Fed’s preferred inflation measure. Core PCE expected at ~2.7% YoY.
Consumer Confidence (July) – key for household spending trends.
Trade Balance (June) – provides data on U.S. import/export dynamics.
📅 Friday, August 1
July Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment & Wage Data – forecast for ~102,000 new jobs and ~4.2% unemployment; markets await for labor-market cooling signs.
Tariff Deadline – new tariffs loom unless trade agreements with EU, Canada, China etc. materialize by today’s cutoff.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This summary is educational and informational only. It is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #earnings #inflation #tariffs #GDP #PCE #jobs #technicalanalysis
HOOD WEEKLY TRADE IDEA (07/27/2025)
**🚨 HOOD WEEKLY TRADE IDEA (07/27/2025) 🚨**
**BULLISH OPTIONS FLOW MEETS EVENT RISK CAUTION**
📊 **Options Flow Snapshot:**
📈 **Call Volume > Put Volume**
🧮 **Call/Put Ratio: 2.30** → **Institutional Bullish Flow**
📈 **Momentum Readings:**
* 🟢 **Daily RSI: Bullish**
* 🟡 **Weekly RSI: Mixed to Weak**
➡️ *Momentum is short-term positive, but not confirmed long-term*
📉 **Volume Insight:**
* **Only 0.7x** last week’s volume
➡️ *Lack of participation = ⚠️ caution*
🌪️ **Volatility Environment:**
* ✅ **Low VIX = Great Entry Timing**
* ❗ Fed Meeting ahead = Binary Event Risk
---
🔍 **Model Consensus:**
All 5 models (Grok, Claude, Gemini, Meta, DeepSeek) say:
🟢 **Moderately Bullish Bias**
✅ Bullish options flow
✅ Daily RSI uptrend
⚠️ Weak volume + Fed caution
---
💥 **TRADE SETUP (Confidence: 65%)**
🎯 **Play:** Long Call
* **Strike**: \$110
* **Expiry**: Aug 1, 2025
* **Entry**: ≤ \$2.90
* **Profit Target**: \$5.80 (🟢 100%)
* **Stop Loss**: \$1.47 (🔻50%)
📆 Entry: **Market Open Monday**
📦 Size: 1 Contract
📈 Risk-Reward Ratio: \~1:2
---
🧠 **Key Risks:**
* 📉 Volume Weakness = No confirmation
* ⚠️ **FED Event Risk** = Watch for Wednesday volatility
* ⏳ Theta decay as expiry nears
---
📌 **JSON TRADE DETAILS (for bots/scripts):**
```json
{
"instrument": "HOOD",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 110.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 5.80,
"stop_loss": 1.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 2.90,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-27 15:09:35 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 Stay sharp. Ride the flow, respect the risk.
👀 Watch volume + Fed headlines!
💬 Tag your team: \ NASDAQ:HOOD Bulls loading?
\#HOOD #OptionsTrading #UnusualOptions #FedWeek #WeeklyTradeSetup #TradingView #StockMarket
ES Weekly Recap & Gameplan – 27.07.2025🧭 Market Sentiment
The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by:
• Declining inflation figures
• Trump’s pivot toward aggressive rate cuts
This shift reinforces a risk-on environment across U.S. indices.
🔙 Previous Week Recap
• ES continued its price discovery journey
• Price ran the 4H swing liquidity and shifted market structure
• A clean 1H demand zone was established post-MSS, leading to a strong move toward new ATH
• A bullish trendline has also formed as a visual representation of this momentum
• I anticipated a deeper retracement last week but adjusted my execution based on the ICT SMT concept — see previous week’s ES plan for details
📊 Technical Analysis
Looking forward:
• My expectation is a continued bullish price discovery
• Watching for price to tap into and potentially deviate below the Daily Fair Value Gap (D-FVG)
• This zone also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level, which I consider a discounted entry zone
• Confluence of liquidity + trendline + FVG + Fib makes this an ideal location for new long setups
⚙️ Setup Trigger & Trade Plan
Entry Strategy:
• Wait for a clear 1H–4H market structure shift
• Look for demand zone formation within the discount zone
• Execute long trades after confirmation and retracement into this zone
Trade Management:
🎯 Target: New All-Time Highs
⛔ Stoploss: Swing low beneath 1H–4H demand structure
🗨️ If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and drop a comment below — I’d love to hear your thoughts and setups for the week!
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GER40 in Motion: This Setup Speaks Volumes 🌅 Good morning, my friends,
I’ve put together a fresh GER40 analysis just for you. Even if the 1-hour timeframe shows some upward momentum, I fully expect the price to reach my target level of **24,050**.
I'm holding firm until that level is hit.
Every single like from you is a massive source of motivation for me to keep sharing analysis. Huge thanks to everyone supporting with a tap!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the trading activity observed last week, the S&P 500 Index exhibited a predominantly upward trajectory. It traded around the Key Resistance level of 6314. It successfully broke through this level, with the primary objective being to complete the Outer Index Rally at 6420, as outlined in the previous week's Daily Chart Analysis.
It is crucial to acknowledge that the current price movement may prompt a substantial pullback following the completion of the Outer Index Rally, with the main target identified as the Mean Support level of 6309. Following this potential downward adjustment, it is anticipated that the index will resume its upward trend, targeting a retest of the forthcoming completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6420.
99% of people buying $NVDA don't understand this:🚨99% of people buying NASDAQ:NVDA don't understand this:
NASDAQ:GOOGL : “We’re boosting AI capex by $10B.”
Wall Street: “Cool, that’s like $1B or 0.06 per share for $NVDA.”
So from $170.50 at the time of news to $170.56 right?
No.
NASDAQ:NVDA trades at 98× earnings. So that $0.06? Turns into $6.00
Why?
Because people are expecting that to be happening every single year for 98 years and they're paying All of it Today in Full amount.
So NASDAQ:NVDA will get $1B more per year. But NASDAQ:NVDA price per share already increased by $100B in past 2 days 😂
Then it crashes 40% and everyone is wondering why.