BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00).
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Stocks
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
DXY doing Cycle Wave 2, now inside the Wave C about to break SupHello everyone,
In this scenario the DXY has finished the Wave Cycle Wave 1, with 5 Waves (Ending in September 2022), and now it is doing the Wave 2.
Inside the Wave 2, we encounter ourselves inside the Wave C already.
The Wave C is about to break the 100 support area, and targeting at least 92 target.
The 92 target is the minimum move that it needs to perform, since it will be the same lenght as the Wave A.
Knowing this, we expect to see other Assets rise as the Dólar falls in the upcoming months
ROCKET LAB Time the next pull-back and buy.Exactly 4 months ago (May 29, see chart below) we gave the ultimate long-term buy signal on Rocket Lab (RKLB) when it was trading at $4.39 and eventually not only did it return us +100% profit by hitting our $8.75 Target but even broke above the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line and Resistance 1:
It is now confirmed that the stock has broken into a new Bull Cycle and won't (most likely) continue to follow the accumulation pattern of the previous 2-year Ascending Triangle. This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is rising on a Channel Up.
In our opinion it will continue the pull-back buy low sequence that started in July. The next key Resistance is the 0.618 Fibonacci, above which we expect the next short-term correction to start. Our intention is to buy again at 9.15 or if we see 2 red 1W candles first.
Our next Target will be 14.50 (the 0.786 Fib).
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Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities
Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method.
The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements.
This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy.
The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart.
Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future.
It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits.
Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits.
Regards,
Vaido
Pegasystems (PEGA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Pegasystems NASDAQ:PEGA is strategically positioned to leverage the increasing demand for AI-powered customer service solutions. By incorporating advanced technologies such as natural language processing and chatbots, PEGA is enhancing user experiences and streamlining customer interactions.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Powered Solutions: The rising interest in AI technologies provides a significant opportunity for Pegasystems to grow its client base and expand its offerings in customer service automation.
Leadership Insights: CEO Alan Trefler emphasizes the company's commitment to innovation, which is expected to attract new clients and deepen existing relationships, driving revenue growth.
Financial Goals: Pegasystems aims to achieve the "Rule of 40" by 2024, balancing revenue growth with free cash flow margin. This metric is crucial for appealing to investors looking for sustainable growth and profitability.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Pegasystems above $61.00-$62.00, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and market potential. Upside Potential: Our target for PEGA is set at $84.00-$86.00, driven by expected growth in AI solutions and the successful implementation of financial goals.
🚀 PEGA—Pioneering AI in Customer Service. #AI #CustomerExperience #Pegasystems
Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Analysis Company Overview: Tencent Holdings OTC:TCEHY is poised for growth as the regulatory environment in China becomes more favorable, particularly in the gaming sector. The resumption of gaming license approvals has revitalized the market, allowing Tencent to launch new titles that resonate with consumers.
Key Catalysts:
Regulatory Recovery: The easing of regulatory scrutiny around gaming licenses has set the stage for Tencent to reinvigorate its gaming portfolio.
Success of Dungeon & Fighter Mobile: The release of Dungeon & Fighter Mobile has been a standout success, generating $270 million in iOS revenue within the first 30 days. This performance highlights strong consumer demand and effective marketing strategies.
Future Revenue Potential: Analysts forecast that Dungeon & Fighter Mobile could generate between RMB 15-18 billion in 2024, positioning it as Tencent’s most commercially successful game in five years, which bodes well for the company's overall revenue growth.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Tencent above $47.00-$48.00, reflecting confidence in its ability to capitalize on the resurgent gaming market. Upside Potential: Our target for TCEHY is $70.00-$72.00, driven by the anticipated success of new game launches and a healthier regulatory landscape.
🚀 TCEHY—Unlocking Growth in Gaming and Beyond. #Gaming #Tencent #MarketRecovery
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has recently exhibited a classic gap-fill pattern, reaching 5739 with an adjusted Index Rally to 5763 during the current week's trading sessions. However, there is a strong likelihood of a retracement to the newly established Mean Support at 5700 in the upcoming week. This potential retracement could lead to a further descent to the subsequent Mean Support level at 5620, potentially disrupting the current trajectory. Conversely, a substantial rebound to the Outer Index Rally at 5840 may intercept an anticipated downward trend, nullifying the projected decline.
SWING IDEA - ENDURANCE TECHNOEndurance Technologies , a prominent player in the auto components industry, is exhibiting technical signals that indicate a potential swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Flag and Pole Pattern : The stock has broken out of a bullish flag and pole pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern signaling further upward momentum.
50 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is holding support above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), suggesting that the trend is intact and providing a strong base for potential gains.
Bullish Marubozu on Daily Timeframe : The formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure, further confirming the upward movement.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volumes signals heightened investor interest and adds credibility to the breakout.
Target - 2820 // 3060
Stoploss - daily close below 2400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - CEAT LTDCEAT Ltd , a major player in the tire industry, is currently showing technical signals that suggest a potential swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below:
Break of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern : The stock has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential shift in momentum and the beginning of a new bullish trend.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily chart, signaling strong buying pressure and a possible continuation of the upward movement.
Support of 50 EMA on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level for the current trend.
Spike in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the breakout, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the move.
Constant Higher Highs : The stock has been consistently making higher highs, a classic sign of a strong uptrend, suggesting continued momentum in the upward direction.
Target - 3000 // 3170
Stoploss - Daily close below 2575
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - JMFINANCIALJM Financial , a diversified financial services group offering services in investment banking, brokerage, and asset management, is currently presenting a potential swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
120 Zone Resistance Break : The 120 level has acted as a strong resistance since 2018. The price is now attempting to break through this zone, indicating possible continued upward movement.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish Marubozu candle on the weekly chart suggests strong buying pressure and a potential shift towards higher levels.
Massive Volume Increase : The surge in trading volumes supports the price movement, indicating strong market participation.
Constant Higher Lows : The formation of higher lows signals a consistent upward trend, reflecting increasing bullish sentiment.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, which supports the overall bullish trend and indicates long-term strength.
Target - 150 // 170 // 190
Stoploss - weekly close below 105
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
TESLA SWING SHORT|
✅TESLA is about to retest a key structure level of 271.58$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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KO (Coca-Cola): Ready to Bid on the PullbackIn our last analysis on Coca-Cola, we discussed waiting for the right opportunity to bid on $KO. We believe that opportunity has just presented itself. The stock has seen a solid surge over the past month, which is impressive for a defensive stock like Coca-Cola. The price has now tapped the trendline we mentioned previously, suggesting a possible chance to long the intra wave ((iv)). The RSI is currently heavily overbought, which further aligns with our expectation of a pullback, and Coca-Cola has also respected the 161.8% Fibonacci level quite well so far.
Our plan involves making two entries for this setup. First, we aim to bid at the 38.2% level within the support zone, and if the price continues downward, we will place a second bid at the golden pocket level around $61.24. This two-step entry strategy will allow us to use Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) to lower our average entry price.
Ideally, before reaching our target entry zones, we would like to see some kind of a three-wave corrective structure develop in NYSE:KO , which would further confirm our entry strategy. We will continue to monitor and provide updates as we approach the levels of interest.
C.E. Info Systems Ltd. (Map my India) can be mapped by investorsC.E. Info Systems Ltd. or Map My India engages in the provision of digital map data, navigation, and tracking services. It offers GPS navigation devices, GPS navigation software products, store locators, vehicle tracking products, APIs for Internet or wireless LBS applications, print and digital maps, decision support systems, and utilities products. The firm also operates an internet portal for maps, directions, and local search.
Map my India CMP is 2162.50. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 85), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2172 Targets in the stock will be 2289, 2395 and 2507. The long-term target in the stock will be 2631, 2688 and 2746. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2030 or 1970 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Atul looking attractiveAtul Ltd. engages in the manufacture and marketing of chemical products. It operates through the following segments: Life Science Chemicals, Performance and Other Chemicals, and Others. The Life Science Chemicals segment consists of active pharmaceutical ingredients (API), API intermediates, fungicides, and herbicides. The Performance and Other Chemicals segment includes adhesion promoters, bulk chemicals, epoxy resins and hardeners, intermediates, perfumery, and textile dyes. The Others segment offers agribiotech, food products, and services.
Atul Ltd. CMP is 7665.70. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 68.1), High promoter stock pledges, MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, PE higher than Industry PE and Inefficient use of shareholder funds.
Entry can be taken after closing above 7699 Targets in the stock will be 7886 and 8031. The long-term target in the stock will be 8190 and 8515. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 7455 or 6965 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BTC breaks above 65,000On the back of a larger than expected FED rate cut of .50 risk assets breathe a sigh of relief long held in since the rate cut rumors of Q2 2024. The gains were cemented by a cooler than expected PCE of .1% as opposed to the expected .2% this is the FED’s preferred measure of inflation putting some level of ease to risk asset investor that the FED may turn face on the easing of monetary policies. If this continues a fear people have a of 70’s style inflation issue will be put to rest. China also joined the party will an AGGRESSIVE stimulus packages direct to the people and promises to do more if need be. They also encouraged stock buy backs, if you know anything about the investment market in China the options for quality investment are very limited as the Real Estate market was the main choice but since the Evergrande collapse Chinese investor have had little to no choice. This makes a scenario for crypto investment as an alternative to stocks but the CCP obviously like control so we will if that plays out.
How this affect Crypto bros the short of it is when global liquidity goes up so do assets especially when people get cash in hand example 2020-2021 when everyone and their dog was investing. Now while stimulus direct to consumers is like throwing gas on the fire the FED rate cuts are like throwing a log on embers. The rate cuts take about a year to affect the general economy but the immediate effect is bank to bank loan rate i.e it’s cheaper to take on debt. Now with the rise of NASDAQ:MSTR strategy with other companies this will make it cheaper for companies to take on debt so companies like Metaplanet and other yet to disclose will find the “BTC Yield” more significant to offset loan cost. And lastly all risk assets benefit from low rate environments.
In sum NFA but I would buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC as always and load up on alts while BTC out perform my mix ideally 75% BTC 15% alts and 10% cash for dippy dips
Bitcoin Next Stop 68K!Traders,
In this video:
00:00 - Housekeeping. Thank you all for the polling responses. Greatly appreciated and helps determine site direction tremendously. Quite a few site changes have already been implemented. I will discuss these as well as added new features, services, and what my new indicator system is showing us.
00:08 - The weekly technical analysis and price trajectory for the next few weeks
Alphabet (GOOGL): Gap Fill and the Future of Wave (2)We remain convinced that Alphabet is currently in Wave (2) after the well-defined end of Wave (1) at $197. Following that, we saw a sharp and fast sell-off, which looks more like a Wave A rather than the full Wave (2). This is further supported by the fact that the sell-off respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level perfectly, a typical level for Wave A.
We still have an open gap above, and we believe this should get filled, especially considering the nature of Wave A. We're expecting Wave B to reach between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. Right between these two levels lies the gap, making it highly likely that this gap will get filled before we continue the downtrend.
Looking further ahead, if you're asking where we would consider buying shares, there are two potential opportunities. The first is around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC), and the second is lower in what we call the "Great Buy" zone, between $116 and $100. While this might seem like a significant drop, we saw a similar decline in 2022, so nothing is off the table.
We'll keep monitoring this closely for you.
Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost.
Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs.
The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk.
In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
S&P/TSX Composite Index Continues Record-Breaking MomentumCurrent Market Situation:
The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed slightly above 24,050 on Friday, marking a 0.7% weekly gain and continuing its record-breaking trend.
Driving Factors:
Weak GDP data for August pointed to economic stagnation, reinforcing expectations of a dovish stance from the Bank of Canada, which improved market sentiment.
Gains in energy and financial sectors helped buoy the index. Notable stocks like Imperial Oil and TD Bank rose over 0.6%.
Challenges:
Declines in major stocks, including CIBC, TC Energy, and First Quantum, each down over 1.3%, weighed on the broader market's performance.
Outlook:
Despite some sector-specific declines, the index maintained its upward trajectory, remaining poised for a positive close to the week.
#SPTSX #StockMarket #CanadaEconomy #EnergyStocks #FinancialSector #MarketSentiment
EXXON MOBIL Buy signal on the 1D MA200.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has turned sideways since the June 17 Low and yesterday hit and held and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Technically this calls for at least a Resistance 1 test on the short-term so we turn bullish, targeting 120.00 (marginally below that level).
If however it turns out that the dominant pattern is indeed now a Channel Up, on the long-term we can see prices as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (131.50), which is where the previous Higher High was priced on April 12 2014.
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