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MLCF WEEKLY TIME FRAME AND TRADE IDEAMLCF GAVE A BREAKOUT AT THE ACCUMULATION BOX. THE STOCK IS HEADING TO WEEKLY STRONG RESISTANCE AT 50.92 BUT EXPECTED TO BREAKOUT DUE TO THE SENTIMENT AND THE DESECENDING ACCUMULATION JUST BEFORE THE WEEKLY BREAKOUT LOOKS LIKE A CONFIRMATION. LOOKS LIKE THAT THE BIG PLAYERS HAVE FILLED UP THIER BAGS AND READY FOR THE BREAKOUT HOWEVER THIS MIGHT BE PLAYED NEXT WEEK OR IN THESE NEXT FEW DAYS WATCH FOR PRICE ACTION ON H2 AND H4 BREAKOUT AT 50.92 will start a new quick rally however a retest might be possible at the breakout level at 50.92 to 5. The next target will be 58 to 59. watch for order flows in orderbook. and look for the 5m timeframe above vwap session near breakout
PSX:MLCFLong
by abdul0705pvt
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 5967; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline. This decline brought the index back to the Mean Support level of 5860 and further down to the next major Key Support level of 5710. After this downturn, the index established a new critical support level at 5683. It is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5840. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position and successfully surpass this key resistance, it may continue to ascend toward the subsequent Mean Resistance level of 5955. Conversely, suppose the index experiences a decline from the retested level of 5840. In that case, it will likely target the Mean Support level of 5683, with a further descent to an Outer Index Dip of 5576.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
3
Lockheed Martin... We are moving! Pt.2Just like I drew it up, NYSE:LMT is approaching its Fair Value Gap faster and faster. With the defense spending kept in the public eye, investors seem bullish on Lockheed as reflected from its rise in share price. This rise in price also is reflected from Lockheed's competitors in the industry such as NYSE:NOC , NASDAQ:HON , NYSE:RTX , and other defense contractors such as NYSE:BA , NYSE:HII , and of course $NYSE:GD. Before we attack the charts, let's review the general sentiment in the arms and defense (or offense) industry. Firstly, we are faced with constant uncertainty in the middle east and eastern Europe. With the conflict between Israel and Palestine, there is no doubt that any flare ups and scares will include U.S. involvement prompting higher revenues for defense industry leaders. As for the eastern European conflict between Russia and Ukraine, what appears to be a ceasefire closing in, there is no doubt that tensions and conflicts will continue through the region which we can expect the defense sector to be involved in. In a simpler sense, as conflict rises, investor interest in the defense sector can be expected to surge. In the case of peace, we can expect the general indices to rise, but should expect some shedding from the defense industry as their services will be in lower demand . The good news in that scenario is a diversion of a larger scale war (which I'm sure your willing to take a 6% dive on your positions). So, if you are to believe that a peace and/or ceasefire will come of the negotiations, remaining long on this position is just not for you. As for the current trade itself, I'll first review my main long entry and plans. My first post for this trade was on Feb. 11, 2025. Since then, it has returned an impressive 5.52% (even considering its very low 1y Beta). Even more impressive is the performance of the SP:SPX , TVC:NDQ , TVC:DJI , which have been -4.90%, -6.82%, -3.99% respectively. So in this instance, outperforming the main indices was a literal walk in the park as yours truly spelled the lottery ticket out for you. And now for the charts.... Here is the NYSE:LMT 1D chart looking back into 2019. We can note the strong trendline, a price action rising towards the 200 EMA, and of course out beloved Fair Value Gap which has yet to see any price action although we are approaching it. As for the good news, the price action approaching two major technical factors which are in the same place at the same time (these being the 200 EMA and our beloved FVG). Ideally, we will hit these two technical targets prior to the next quarterly financial report on April 22. Hopefully this update helped clear up any uncertainty. This position has been quite participating for anyone who took my trade and I'm glad to see us well into the green especially in times of market turmoil (no matter how minor it is). If you recall, I mentioned that I would be early to this trade (which I was) but I would have no problem with selling into the gain even if it shows no sign of slowing down. The poor man never takes profits.
NYSE:LMTLong
by addatheriver0808
S&P500 is OVERSOLD!CME_MINI:ES1! NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:COIN BUY OPPORTUNITY on CME_MINI:ES1! The chart shows a strong bullish setup. A well-defined wave structure is visible along with a key Fibonacci retracement level marking the pullback. A divergence in momentum has been noted, and the price action has bounced off the 52-week EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. Fundamentally, the outlook remains positive. Recent macroeconomic data points to solid consumer spending and steady industrial production, while bank earnings and statements from major financial institutions have added to market confidence. These positive signals help support the S&P 500’s broader resilience, reinforcing the potential for further gains. That said, caution is advised. Uncertainties such as shifting monetary policy, potential geopolitical tensions, and any unforeseen changes in economic data could introduce volatility. Traders should consider tight risk management and stop-loss strategies to mitigate downside risks. Not Financial Advice
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
TSLA’s Failed Breakout: Reversal or Deeper Drop Ahead?Tesla (TSLA) Market Outlook & Long-Term Investment Report Tesla (TSLA) has positioned itself as more than just an electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer. With its advancements in robotics, artificial intelligence (AI), autonomous driving, and energy solutions, Tesla is becoming a major player in multiple high-growth industries. While recent price action has shown volatility, long-term investors see buying opportunities at key support levels. Technical Analysis & Key Levels 1. High-Timeframe Context (HTF) - HTF Resistance: $415.71 – Tesla attempted to break above this level but faced rejection, leading to a sharp pullback. - Major Support & Resistance Zone – A critical level where Tesla has previously consolidated and reacted strongly. - Liquidity Zones (LQZs): - Daily LQZ (~$238.18) – A key demand area where buyers could step in. - Weekly LQZ (~$182.44 - $108.01) – A deeper liquidity zone, potentially offering even better long-term buying opportunities if the downtrend continues. 2. Market Structure & Trend Analysis - **Failed Breakout:** Price action showed a breakout above resistance, but the failure to hold led to a sharp reversal, indicating a potential liquidity grab. - **Retest of Support:** The price is currently testing a significant support level, which will determine the next move. - **Momentum Shift:** The aggressive rejection at HTF resistance suggests sellers are in control in the short term, but this creates long-term entry opportunities. Long-Term Investment Thesis Tesla's expansion into AI, robotics, and autonomous technology presents significant long-term growth potential beyond its traditional automotive business. Here are the key areas driving Tesla's future: 1. Robotics & Artificial Intelligence - **Tesla Optimus Robot:** Tesla’s humanoid robot project is expected to revolutionize industrial automation. It could become a major revenue source as industries move toward AI-driven labor solutions. - **Neural Networks & AI Advancements:** Tesla’s AI systems, used for Full Self-Driving (FSD), are also being adapted for robotics, increasing its competitive edge. 2. Energy & Infrastructure Expansion - **Solar & Energy Storage:** Tesla’s **Megapack** and **Powerwall** businesses are growing as renewable energy adoption accelerates. - **Grid-Scale Energy Solutions:** Tesla’s energy division could play a crucial role in stabilizing power grids worldwide, providing another strong revenue stream. 3. Autonomous Vehicles & FSD - Tesla’s **Full Self-Driving (FSD)** software could create a high-margin subscription-based revenue model. - The potential for a **Tesla Robotaxi network** could disrupt the ride-sharing industry and unlock new business models. 4. Synergies with SpaceX & AI Computing - Tesla benefits indirectly from advancements in **SpaceX** technologies, such as materials science and AI computing. - The **Dojo supercomputer** is being developed to enhance AI training, which could accelerate Tesla’s robotics and self-driving ambitions. Investment Strategy & Accumulation Plan For long-term investors, Tesla's volatility provides attractive buying opportunities. A strategic approach would involve: 1. Key Accumulation Levels - **Daily LQZ (~$238)** – A strong support zone where Tesla could see renewed buying interest. - **Weekly LQZ (~$182-$108)** – A deeper level that may offer excellent long-term value if the price declines further. 2. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy - Instead of trying to time the absolute bottom, investors can **ladder buy-ins** at different liquidity zones to optimize their cost basis. - This reduces risk and takes advantage of market dips without excessive exposure. 3. Risk Management & Long-Term Horizon - Tesla is known for its volatility; maintaining **a long-term vision (5+ years)** is crucial for maximizing gains. - Investors should be prepared for short-term fluctuations while focusing on Tesla’s multi-industry expansion. Conclusion Tesla’s failed breakout and recent pullback present a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors. With its advancements in robotics, AI, energy, and autonomous technology, Tesla is well-positioned to be a key player in multiple trillion-dollar industries over the next decade. The current price action suggests that accumulation at liquidity zones could provide strong long-term returns. As the robotics industry grows, Tesla’s potential as a leading producer for industrial automation is increasingly clear. Investors with a bullish long-term outlook may find current and upcoming dips as prime entry points. Final Thought **Is Tesla’s current dip a gift for long-term believers?** With its expanding technological footprint, this may be an opportunity to accumulate before the next major growth cycle. 🚀
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Adlercon333
NVIDIA can reach $300 by the end of the year.Crazy as it may sound, NVIDIA / NVDA may recover from the current pull back and hit $300 by the end of the year. The reason is that the consolidation it has been in for the past 9 months, has been spotted on both previous long term growth Channel Up patterns right before the Channel topped. As a matter of fact, it was the last year of its bull rally. The previous consolidation phase's bottom was in March 2021 and before that in April 2017. As we've entered March 2025 with the price sitting right at the bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up, the probabilities of a final rally increase. The previous two have been +206% and +217% respectively. The $300 Target sits right under a potential +206% increase. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheCryptagon
2
Amazon - Catch The Parabolic Rally Now!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will start the parabolic rally: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Just a couple of months ago, we finally saw the expected all time high breakout on Amazon. Following the overall governing rising channel pattern, I simply do expect the acceleration of the current rally, the creation of a parabolic rally, but maybe we will see a bullish retest first. Levels to watch: $180, $400 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
17
AMAZON: Oversold on 1D. Massive buy opportunity.Amazon is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.320, MACD = -7.090, ADX = 63.698) and this is best displayed on the 1W timeframe where the price hit this week its 1W MA50 for the first time in 7 months. The decline since the January top is technically the bearish wave of Amazon's 2 year Channel Up. The previous HL was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the one before on the 0.382. We are now just over the 0.5 Fib again, while the 1W RSI is about to hit its LL trendline. All those form massive support levels for the stock, which translate into the best buy opportunity since the early August 2024 bottom. We are expecting a similar +59.62 bullish wave to begin. The trade is long, TP = 300. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by InvestingScope
Nasdaq 100 drops below 20K after NFP, but could it rebound?The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were testing their weekly lows after what has been a bruising last few session. But with both indices testing their respective key support areas, could we see a recovery from around the current levels, especially in light of a weaker US jobs report? Keep an eye on the area around 20,000 on the Nasdaq, where the Trump rally commenced back in November. It is a key psychological area for the market. Can we see a bounce, or will the selling continue as we head deeper into the US session? At the time of writing, the index was below this level, but the session is not over yet. In any case, a confirmed reversal on the lower time frames should be observed by traders looking to potentially buy this dip. For example, if the index recovers to go bac above yesterday's low of 20180, that would be a bullish sign in my view. But right now it is looking quite bleak. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
AMD Bottom pricing inside 3 weeks. MASSIVE BUY.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have been on a downtrend for exactly 1 year, every since the March 04 2024 Top. That was a technical Higher High on the 5-year Channel Up. With the price trading below even its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), there is a massive underlying buy opportunity on the stock for the long-term. That's because this 1-year downtrend is the technical Bearish Leg of this Channel Up, whose previous one bottomed 2 weeks after breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, contained at the same time above the 0.786 Fib. As you can see, the price is just above the current 0.618 Fib and the 0.786 Fib is just below the Channel Up, where the ultimate macro Support of the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) is headed. With the 1W RSI almost oversold and on the exact level where the previous Channel Up bottom (October 10 2022) was formed, the stock is technically entering its long-term buy opportunity zone. Based on this pattern, the R/R is already on excellent levels for a buy and we expect the bottom to be formed within the next 3 weeks. If the new Bullish Leg imitates the previous one and rises by +315%, we can expect AMD to have its next Top at $320. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
19
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Among the Biggest Losers in the US MarketNetflix (NFLX) Shares Among the Biggest Losers in the US Stock Market According to market charts: → Netflix (NFLX) shares fell by approximately 8.5% during yesterday’s trading session, indicating that bulls failed to sustain the price above the psychological $1,000 per share level. → The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) hit a new low for 2025, closing down around 1.3%. These declines reflect bearish sentiment in the US stock market, which may be driven by: → Uncertainty over Trump’s trade tariff policies. Yesterday, the White House postponed the introduction of tariffs on trade with Canada and Mexico for a second time, now pushing the deadline to early April. → Anxiety ahead of the Non-Farm Employment Change report release (scheduled for today at 16:30 GMT+3), as recession fears continue to mount. Selling pressure was particularly strong in Netflix (NFLX) shares, as analysts (according to media reports) issued a cautious outlook on subscriber growth for the streaming giant. This may stem from concerns that the company's low-cost, ad-supported subscription model is losing its initial positive impact. Technical Analysis of Netflix (NFLX) Stock Chart Price movements in 2025 have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), which remains intact for now. The $955 level, which previously acted as support, may now serve as resistance. If bearish sentiment persists, the price could continue its downward trajectory. However, bulls may find hope in key support areas, including: → The lower boundary of the current price channel. → The $870 level, which marks the lower limit of a broad bullish gap formed after a strong quarterly earnings report (as we noted on 23 January). This level has also acted as a key reversal point multiple times. Analysts’ Forecasts for Netflix (NFLX) Stock Overall, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks: → The average 12-month price target for NFLX is $1,100. → 29 out of 37 analysts recommend buying NFLX shares. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by FXOpen
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 7, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report 📊: The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the February employment report on Friday, March 7. Economists expect an increase of approximately 133,000 nonfarm payrolls, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4%.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Friday, March 7: 👷‍♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) 👷‍♂️: Forecast: +133K jobs​ Previous: +150K jobs​ This report indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector, and is a key indicator of employment trends. 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: Forecast: 4.0%​ Previous: 4.0%​ This metric represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) 💵: Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month​ Previous: +0.2% month-over-month​ This metric indicates the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
2
Nvidia - The +50% Rally Is Inevitable!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is about to create a false breakdown: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After the -12% drop on Nvidia last month, Nvidia actually broke the final support trendline towards the downside. However bulls are about to break it again towards the upside, which would confirm the false bearish breakdown, leading to a short squeeze rally of about +50%. Levels to watch: $140, $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
41
Tempus AI Possible Partner for the Stargate Project in the USAAnalysis of Possible Surge in Tempus AI Stock Due to Project Stargate Introduction Tempus AI, Inc. has emerged as a key player in the health technology space, leveraging data science and artificial intelligence (AI) to develop precision medicine solutions. The company's focus on oncology, cardiology, and mental health, combined with its strong data-driven approach, has positioned it as a leader in the emerging field of AI-enabled healthcare. A possible surge in Tempus AI’s stock price is now being speculated, due to its potential involvement in Project Stargate, a new initiative spearheaded by President Donald Trump. Project Stargate promises significant investments and infrastructure development in AI, which could catalyze a favorable growth trajectory for Tempus. This analysis will explore the potential impact of Project Stargate on Tempus AI, considering both the direct and indirect benefits for the company. Additionally, the mention of prominent political figures like Nancy Pelosi purchasing Tempus stock adds an interesting layer to the speculative nature of this surge. --- Project Stargate Overview Project Stargate, as outlined by former President Donald Trump, aims to overhaul AI infrastructure in the U.S. The initiative seeks to foster partnerships between technology firms, including AI-focused companies like OpenAI, and businesses involved in critical infrastructure, such as data centers, power generation, and construction. The project’s goal is to drive advancements in AI technology, with a specific focus on enhancing U.S. competitiveness in this rapidly growing field. The strategic involvement of multiple high-profile organizations and the federal government indicates that Project Stargate is likely to have wide-reaching economic and technological ramifications. Key elements of the project include: -Infrastructure Investments: The construction and expansion of AI-driven data centers and related infrastructure. - Public-Private Partnerships: Strong cooperation between private companies and government entities, facilitating new technologies and business models. - Technological Advancements: AI solutions that push the boundaries of healthcare, cybersecurity, and national security. As a result, companies involved in the development and deployment of AI technology, particularly those in healthcare and data analytics, are poised to benefit significantly. --- Tempus AI’s Position in Project Stargate Tempus AI operates at the intersection of healthcare and AI, which makes it an intriguing candidate to potentially benefit from Project Stargate. The company’s focus on precision medicine using AI-driven diagnostics aligns well with the ambitions of Project Stargate to expand AI infrastructure. 1. Synergies with Healthcare AI Project Stargate is expected to fuel demand for AI infrastructure and innovations, particularly in sectors like healthcare. Tempus, which specializes in oncology, cardiology, and depression diagnostics, stands to benefit from both the increased focus on AI-powered healthcare solutions and the additional resources available through government-private sector partnerships. Given Tempus’s reliance on large-scale data analysis to build its precision medicine solutions, any acceleration in AI infrastructure could lower operational costs for Tempus while improving the capabilities of its platform. Enhanced AI infrastructure would likely lead to faster data processing, increased diagnostic accuracy, and the potential for more personalized treatments. 2. Expansion of Partnerships and Funding The potential for public-private partnerships, which Project Stargate promotes, could help Tempus secure additional government contracts or private sector collaborations. This influx of capital and resources could enable the company to scale its technology faster and expand into new medical areas beyond its current focus on cancer, cardiology, and mental health. 3. Alignment with National AI Strategy With AI being a major focus of Project Stargate, Tempus may find itself well-positioned within the broader national AI strategy. If the company becomes a key partner in helping build AI solutions for healthcare or other sectors, it could solidify its reputation as an industry leader, driving up stock demand and valuation. --- Nancy Pelosi’s Stock Purchase: A Political Angle The mention of Nancy Pelosi, a prominent U.S. politician, purchasing Tempus AI stock adds a speculative element to the situation. Pelosi’s involvement in the stock could be seen as a potential signal of confidence in Tempus AI’s future performance. Politicians often make investment decisions based on inside knowledge of forthcoming legislation, partnerships, or government contracts. Though speculation about Pelosi’s investment could generate increased media attention, it should be approached with caution. However, if Pelosi’s investment is tied to a potential announcement of government support or strategic alignment between Tempus and Project Stargate, it could amplify investor confidence and trigger a buying frenzy. --- Potential Catalysts for Stock Surge Several factors could drive a surge in Tempus AI’s stock price if Project Stargate moves forward: -1. Government Contracts and Funding: If Tempus is awarded government contracts under Project Stargate, particularly related to AI infrastructure or healthcare solutions, the company could see a significant increase in revenue and market capitalization. -2. Partnerships with Major Players: Any announcement of Tempus AI partnering with companies like OpenAI or other stakeholders in Project Stargate would likely signal strong growth potential and increase investor interest. -3. ncreased Demand for AI Healthcare Solutions**: As the U.S. government prioritizes AI advancements, healthcare applications could see substantial growth. Tempus could be a key beneficiary of this shift, leading to a surge in its stock price as market expectations align with actual developments. -4. Political Endorsement: If high-profile political figures continue to signal support for Tempus AI, either through public statements or stock purchases, it could bolster public perception and attract institutional investors. --- Risks and Considerations While there is substantial upside potential for Tempus AI, there are also risks to consider: - Dependence on Project Stargate’s Success: Tempus’s growth will be closely tied to the success of Project Stargate and its integration into the broader national AI ecosystem. If the project faces delays or fails to meet expectations, it could have negative implications for companies like Tempus. - Regulatory Risks: The healthcare industry is heavily regulated, and any change in regulatory policies could impact Tempus’s ability to grow at the expected pace. While AI infrastructure investment may mitigate some challenges, government policies could still create obstacles. - Market Volatility: The stock market, particularly tech and healthcare stocks, is inherently volatile. Any unforeseen global events or shifts in economic conditions could negatively affect Tempus’s valuation, regardless of Project Stargate. --- Conclusion Tempus AI stands at an exciting intersection of AI technology and healthcare, which could see its stock price surge due to its involvement in Project Stargate. The initiative’s focus on building AI infrastructure and fostering partnerships could provide Tempus with opportunities for rapid growth, enhanced funding, and access to cutting-edge technology. The involvement of high-profile political figures such as Nancy Pelosi adds an additional layer of speculation, with the potential for both public perception and market sentiment to play a significant role in the stock’s trajectory. However, investors should consider the risks associated with regulatory changes, market volatility, and the uncertain success of Project Stargate itself. Ultimately, if Tempus AI is able to capitalize on these emerging opportunities, it could see a substantial boost in both market visibility and stock price in the near future. For any questions or remarks kindly react here under the comments Greetings, Zila
NASDAQ:TEMLong
by ZILATRADES
11
PALANTIR: It's a buy but don't expect a rally any time soon.Palantir is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.509, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 35.869) as it's trading under the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that gives a strong buy signal every time it hits its 1D MA100. As a matter of fact, the February 19th High has been a HH for the pattern and last time the price hit that top (July 31st 2023), it entered a lengthy Accumulation period. As in today, the 1D RSI was again on a similar Bearish Divergence. Consequently we believe that every 1D MA100 test is a buy opportunity, but the breakout rally will probably take another 4-5 months to happen. Aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 200.00). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:PLTR
by InvestingScope
Ford (F) Stock Price Rises Following Trump's DecisionFord (F) Stock Price Rises Following Trump's Decision The White House announced on Wednesday that automakers will receive a one-month exemption from tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada for vehicles that comply with the free trade agreement between these two countries and the United States. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that this move came in response to a request from the heads of Ford Motor, General Motors, and Stellantis. The American Automotive Policy Council expressed gratitude to President Trump in a statement and noted that companies would work with the administration to boost vehicle production in the U.S. and expand exports. This fundamental backdrop triggered a bullish momentum in the stock market for these automakers. In particular, Ford (F) shares rose by more than 6%, while the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) gained about 1.1%. As shown in Ford (F) stock's price chart today, the stock has rebounded from a four-year low. Technical Analysis of Ford (F) Stock Chart As we noted in our February 7 analysis of Ford (F) stock, special attention should be paid to the level marked by the blue line. This area, around $9.65–$9.75, acted as support in 2023 and 2024 (indicated by arrows), preventing bears from pushing the price below the psychological threshold of $10 per share. We also highlighted the "Trump factor" and the fact that the newly inaugurated president could drastically alter the landscape for the iconic American automaker by imposing tariffs on foreign car manufacturers. The impact of this price driver on Ford (F) shares is visible on the chart: a sharp upward reversal (marked by a curved arrow) indicates that the bears’ attempt to push the stock below its previous low has failed. It is reasonable to assume that bulls now have the initiative. If they manage to push Ford (F) stock above the resistance of the blue line, this level could turn into future support. Ford (F) Stock Price Forecasts Analysts remain cautious in their assessments. They may believe that one month is too short a period to significantly alter supply chains and relocate production to the U.S., where, according to Trump's statements, no tariffs would be imposed. According to TipRanks: → Only 4 out of 14 analysts recommend buying Ford (F) stock. → The average 12-month price forecast for Ford (F) is $10.76. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:F
by FXOpen
1
DELL: Expecting Strong Forecasts for 2025Key arguments supporting the idea Attractive Multiples and Technical Outlook Growth Across All Business Segments Dell Rapidly Expanding Market Share in AI Server Segment Dell Technologies develops, manufactures, and sells a wide range of integrated solutions, products, and services. The company operates through two segments: Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG). The ISG segment provides solutions for customers’ digital transformation, including artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, data analytics, as well as modern and traditional data storage. The CSG segment offers branded personal computers, including laptops, desktops, workstations, and peripherals such as monitors, keyboards, and webcams. Investment Thesis Positive Technical Outlook and Low Multiples. After releasing financial results for Q3 FY2025, Dell’s stock entered a correction phase, reaching three-month lows. However, the stock subsequently resumed an upward trajectory. Currently, the RSI technical indicator remains below the overbought zone, signaling further upside potential. Dell’s market multiples appear highly attractive. The forward P/E ratio of 14 is slightly above the company’s historical levels but remains significantly lower than the sector average (24) and the S&P 500 index (23). The forward P/S ratio of 0.8 is considerably below the sector average (3.28), reinforcing the view that Dell is currently undervalued. 2025 Expected to Mark the Start of a New PC Upgrade Cycle. Following the COVID-19-driven surge in PC sales, many of these devices are reaching the end of their typical 3-4 year lifecycle. Despite initial analyst expectations for significant market growth, real growth in 2024 was just 1% YoY. According to updated IDC forecasts, 2025 is expected to be the year of PC market recovery. Key growth drivers include: massive device aging from previous years’ purchases, end of support for Windows 10 in October 2025 and increased demand for AI-integrated computers IDC projects 4.3% PC market growth in 2025, which should positively impact Dell’s largest segment – CSG. AI Infrastructure to be the Strongest Growth Driver for ISG. Dell maintains a leading position in data center supply, alongside HP and SMCI, making it a key player in AI training infrastructure. For the first nine months of FY2025, Dell’s revenue from servers and networking equipment (part of ISG) grew 60% YoY. According to Bloomberg’s consensus, ISG revenue is expected to grow by 30% YoY in FY2025 and by another 15% in FY2026. This growth is driven by rising demand for AI servers, fueled by NVIDIA GB200 chip shipments and U.S. government AI support programs. An additional growth factor could be the shift of market share from SMCI to Dell due to suspicions of SMCI violating U.S. sanctions, which erodes customer trust and encourages migration to a more stable partner. We maintain a Buy rating on DELL stock with a price target of $135. A stop-loss order is recommended at $90.
NYSE:DELLLong
by FreedomHolding
What Is Market Capitulation, and How Can You Trade It?What Is Market Capitulation, and How Can You Trade It? Market capitulation occurs when investors collectively surrender to market fears, leading to a sharp decline in asset prices. This article delves into the mechanics of capitulation, how to identify it, and ways to trade effectively during these tumultuous times. Understanding Market Capitulation Market capitulation refers to a phenomenon where a large number of investors simultaneously give up on the market, leading to a rapid and substantial decline in asset prices. This mass surrender is driven primarily by panic and fear of further losses. Capitulation often marks the peak of a bearish trend and is typically characterised by a significant spike in trading volumes and sharp price declines. Stock capitulation occurs when investors, overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty, rush to sell their assets to avoid further losses. This behaviour is often triggered by prolonged market downturns or significant economic events. For instance, during the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, the S&P 500 experienced a nearly 5% drop in a single day, a classic example of market capitulation. This event led to a subsequent 17% rebound in the index over the following week, highlighting how capitulation can precede a market turnaround. Psychologically, capitulation represents the point where investor sentiment shifts from hope to despair. The collective mindset of "cutting losses" leads to a cascade of selling pressure, pushing prices to extreme lows. The intensity of selling can be so severe that it wipes out significant market value in a very short period. While capitulation can be daunting, it also presents opportunities. For contrarian investors and traders, these periods of panic selling can offer attractive entry points. As prices plummet, fundamentally strong assets may become undervalued, providing a chance to buy at lower prices. However, caution is essential as markets can remain volatile, and further declines are possible before a sustained recovery takes hold. Identifying Market Capitulation Identifying market capitulation involves recognising several key indicators that signify a dramatic surge in selling pressure and a sharp decline in asset prices. Here are the most notable indications to look for: Steep Price Decline Capitulation is typically associated with a rapid and substantial drop in asset prices. This sharp decline occurs as panic selling accelerates, pushing prices down swiftly​, often with large candles and minimal wicks. High Trading Volume During capitulation, there is often a significant spike in trading volume as investors rush to sell their holdings. This increase in volume is a key signal that a large number of market participants are exiting their positions simultaneously​. Extreme Bearish Sentiment Market sentiment during capitulation is overwhelmingly negative. News and investor sentiment indicators turn highly pessimistic, contributing to the panic and further driving down prices​. Technical Indicators Various technical analysis tools can help identify capitulation: - Volume Oscillator and On-Balance Volume (OBV): These indicators track changes in volume and can signal when selling pressure is peaking. A sharp decrease in these indicators often accompanies capitulation​. - Candlestick Patterns: Patterns like the hammer candlestick, which shows a recovery from intraday lows, and other patterns like the three white soldiers, can indicate that the market may have reached a bottom. The presence of such patterns, especially when accompanied by high volume, suggests a potential reversal​. - Bollinger Bands: These bands plot 2 standard deviations above and below a moving average. During capitulation, prices often touch or fall below the lower band, which indicates extreme selling conditions and potential oversold levels. This is especially true if the price falls beyond 3 standard deviations. - Average True Range (ATR): The ATR is an indicator that’s used to measure market volatility. A sudden, sharp increase in ATR during a downtrend can signal capitulation as it reflects the heightened panic and large price movements typical of such periods​. Exhaustion of Selling Capitulation often marks the point where selling pressure exhausts. This occurs when most investors who intend to sell have done so, leaving fewer sellers in the market. This depletion of sellers can indicate that a bottom is near and that a reversal may be imminent. The Impact of Market Capitulation on Markets Market capitulation has significant effects on financial markets, influencing both short-term and long-term trends. Short-Term Impact Immediately following capitulation, markets often experience extreme volatility and uncertainty. The intense selling pressure often drives asset prices sharply lower, causing values to drop significantly below their intrinsic worth. This phase is characterised by wild price swings as the market seeks a new equilibrium. The pervasive negative sentiment and widespread fear can further exacerbate the situation; across a broader downward move, there can be multiple points of capitulation with high volatility surrounding these additional selloffs. Long-Term Implications Over the long term, capitulation often marks the bottom of a market downturn. As the selling pressure diminishes and fewer investors remain to sell, the market begins to stabilise. This stabilisation allows new investors to enter the market, often leading to a gradual recovery in asset prices. However, it is essential to recognise that not every capitulation results in an immediate market reversal. Some markets may continue to decline or consolidate before a sustained recovery takes hold, with these new investors falling prey to the same fear-driven trading as another potential capitulation occurs. Psychological and Sentimental Effects Capitulation also has a lasting impact on investor sentiment. The severe downturn and associated losses can create a long-term negative perception of the affected assets, causing investors to remain cautious even after the market begins to recover. This psychological impact can lead to reduced trading volumes and prolonged periods of low investor confidence​. How to Trade Around a Market Capitulation Event Trading around a market capitulation event can be challenging due to the difficulty in accurately identifying capitulation in real-time. Capitulation often becomes clear only in hindsight, which complicates the process of trading or anticipating it effectively​. Avoiding the Falling Knife After identifying potential capitulation—characterised by a sharp price drop, likely on increased volume, and backed by extreme bearish sentiment—,it's typically unwise to try and buy during the initial plunge. The sharp decline often leads to further drops, even if they are less severe. Trying to "catch the falling knife" can potentially result in further losses as prices continue to fall​. Taking a Short Position During a Dead Cat Bounce One of traders’ approaches is to take a short position during a "dead cat bounce" or brief pullback before another downward leg. However, this strategy carries a less favourable risk/reward ratio because it involves selling low with the intention of selling lower. This might be effective but requires precise timing and strong risk management​. Waiting for Stability The most prudent strategy is often to wait until market volatility subsides and a bottom appears to form. Signs of a market bottom include the price overcoming a previous swing high or breaking through a prior level of resistance. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment​, offering the trader an opportunity to buy low and sell high with a much more favourable risk-reward profile. Using Confluence in Analysis Combining different forms of analysis can provide greater confidence in identifying a market bottom. For example, if prices fall to a key support level or the decline seems disproportionately sharp compared to fundamentals, it might indicate an oversold condition. Momentum indicators and moving averages can also help confirm potential reversal points​. Risk Management Strong risk management practices are crucial. Limiting position sizes and always adhering to a stop loss can potentially prevent severe losses if the market experiences another leg down. This means that traders can potentially protect themselves against unexpected volatility and further declines​. Common Mistakes Traders Make During Market Capitulation Navigating market capitulation is challenging due to the extreme volatility and widespread panic that characterise these events. Here are some specific mistakes that traders frequently make during market capitulation: Panic Selling One of the most common mistakes is succumbing to panic and selling off assets hastily. During capitulation, the market is driven by extreme fear, and many traders sell to avoid further losses. This emotional response can lead to selling at the lowest point, locking in significant losses and missing out on potential rebounds once the market stabilises​. Holding onto Losing Positions Traders often make the mistake of holding onto a losing position, hoping for a reversal. When a trader holds a long position and witnesses market capitulation, the instinct might be to wait for the market to recover. However, this can lead to further losses as the asset's value continues to decline. Instead of cutting losses early, some traders let the losses accumulate, which can deplete their capital and limit future trading opportunities. This contradicts the previous point, and you may be confused about whether you sell or hold onto the trade. In any case, you will face a decision to either sell or hold on to their position if the capitulation is severe and protracted. It will always depend on the context and fundamental reason behind the capitulation, it’s worth noting that stocks generally recover over time. Trying to Time the Bottom Attempting to time the market bottom during capitulation is exceedingly difficult and can easily lead to additional losses. Capitulation typically involves sharp price declines and increased volatility, making it challenging to determine the exact bottom. Traders who try to catch the falling knife may find themselves buying into a market that continues to drop​. Overexposing Positions Another mistake is overexposing oneself to high-risk positions during periods of extreme market volatility. Instead of taking bolder positions, traders are best served to limit their exposure with smaller positions, stop losses, a diversified portfolio, and more judicious entries. It's essential to maintain a balanced approach and avoid putting too much capital into volatile trades​. The Bottom Line Understanding and navigating market capitulation can be challenging but offers potential opportunities for informed traders. By recognising key indicators and avoiding common mistakes, traders can better manage their strategies during these volatile periods. For a robust trading experience, consider opening an account with FXOpen to leverage these insights and trade with a broker you can trust. FAQs What Is Capitulation in the Stock Market? The capitulation meaning in the stock market refers to the moment when investors and traders, overwhelmed by fear and panic due to a prolonged decline in stock prices, decide to sell their holdings at any price to stop further losses. This mass selling leads to a sharp and rapid drop in stock prices. The term is derived from the military concept of surrender, indicating that investors are giving up on their positions. Is Capitulation Bullish or Bearish? Capitulation is both bullish and bearish. It is bearish during the actual event, as it involves widespread panic selling and a significant drop in stock prices. However, it can be bullish afterward, as it often marks the end of a severe downtrend and the beginning of a recovery or rally. This is because the selling pressure is exhausted, and buyers start to step in, finding attractive entry points. How Does Capitulation Work? Capitulation works through a cycle of fear and panic. Initially, as prices decline, some investors start selling to cut their losses. This selling pressure causes prices to drop further, leading more investors to panic and sell their holdings. This cycle continues until the majority of investors have sold their positions, leading to a sharp decline in prices. Eventually, the market stabilises as the selling pressure diminishes, often followed by a recovery. What Are Signs of Capitulation? Signs of capitulation include a sharp decline in prices, high trading volumes, extreme bearish sentiment, and market exhaustion, where selling pressure diminishes, stabilising the market. What Is Capitulation in Crypto*? Capitulation in the cryptocurrency market* follows a similar pattern to that in the stock market. It occurs when crypto* investors, driven by fear and panic due to a prolonged decline in prices, sell their holdings en masse, leading to a sharp drop in prices. This can be triggered by negative news, regulatory actions, or broader market downturns. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:GOOGLEducation
by FXOpen
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 6, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point reduction in its deposit rate, bringing it to 2.5%. This move aims to stimulate economic growth amid ongoing uncertainties, including trade tensions and fiscal policy shifts.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 6: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 220K Previous: 215K​ 📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦:This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, offering insight into manufacturing demand. Forecast: -0.5%​ Previous: +1.2%​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
TESLA Can it really reach $900?Tesla / TSLA hit its 1week MA50, having declined by -45% from its December 2024 All Time High. This is a critical Support junction as besides the 1week MA50, the price hit both the former Falling Resistance and the Rising Support of the April 2024 low. Last time we saw the exact same pattern was after the March 2020 COVID crash tested the 1week MA50 and rebounded. The rebound went all the way to just over the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This is why we remain bullish on Tesla, targeting $900 (Fibonacci 1.5 extension). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheCryptagon
9