One of the best setups out thereLooks really good
Break of the support flipped resistance.
Volume higher today on the breakout
I will set alerts above today's highs
Stocks
CART ATHCART has just made a new ATH today, however, volume was not present.
Ideally we want to see this price holding and volume coming in for a push higher
S&P500: Breaking out towards 6,210.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.592, MACD = 11.130, ADX = 24.014) as it is ranging between the 1H MA50 and 1H MA200. This consolidation is taking place near the top of the Channel Down, a pattern almost identical with January's. When that pattern broke to the upside, it almost hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our short term target is just under this level (TP = 6,210).
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SMCI Bull Flag completed and targeting $65.Three months ago (November 07 2024, see chart below), we issued a strong buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), after the stock had declined by more than -85% from its All Time High (ATH):
The signal was an instant success, as the price rebounded on the following week. Our perspective hasn't changed and today, with the stock up currently by more +13% intra day, is another reason why.
Last week the price made an excellent rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), solidifying this level as the new Support and turning out to be a huge demand level that completed the Bull Flag pattern of December 09 2024 - January 27 2025. As you can see , the 1W MA200 was also on the symmetrical Support Zone that only broke on the 'fake-out' of November's accounting scandal peak.
The interesting take on this 1W chart is that every similar Bull Flag since the 2020 COVID crash, tested the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next technical pull-back. As a result, we expect a $65.00 test, which would exceed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), before a new 2-month correction.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Nasdaq Industrial Bull Run Getting Ready!Basically we're just over the previous highs consolidating for the next big move up.
Industrials include retailers like Amazon and Costco and Electric vehicle companies Tesla and Rivian.
Good luck and stay bullish!
S&P 500’s Next Big Move: 6,200 or Bust?Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US500 Move beyond 6,200? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the daily chart, the S&P 500 is trading above both the EMA-100 and EMA-200, confirming a robust bullish trend. This momentum was reinforced by a falling wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals the continuation of bullish pressure. Additionally, the price tested the upper trendline twice and bounced off each time, further underlining the strength of the upward move.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move downward toward the first target at 6.240 or potentially the second target at 6.391.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at 5844
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on S&P500”.
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time HighAmazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time High After Earnings Report
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, the price reached an all-time high of around $242 per share on 4 February. However, following the earnings report on 6 December, AMZN shares declined despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.86, Forecast = $1.48
→ Revenue: Actual = $187.8bn, Forecast = $187.3bn
Investor disappointment may have stemmed from:
→ Signs of slowing cloud business growth. Amazon, a pioneer in public cloud services with Amazon Web Services (AWS), now reports annual cloud revenue growth of around 20%, down from over 50% five years ago.
→ Soaring capital expenditure on AI data centres with uncertain profitability prospects. Amazon has projected approximately $105bn in capital spending for 2025, up 27% from 2024 and 57% from 2023.
Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Stock
AMZN remains within an upward trend, indicated by the blue channel on the chart. However, bullish momentum appears vulnerable as:
→ The price struggles to reach the upper boundary of the channel.
→ A bearish "head and shoulders" (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart.
→ A bearish gap (marked with an arrow) has formed post-earnings, suggesting a potential resistance area ahead.
This points to a possible pullback. If it occurs, AMZN stock could correct, potentially towards the parallel orange line, drawn based on the blue channel’s width. A test of the $217 support level is also possible.
Should You Buy AMZN Shares Now?
Following the earnings report, AMZN has underperformed the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 analysts recommend buying AMZN stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AMZN is $267.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Shopify (SHOP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Shopify NYSE:SHOP is a leading e-commerce platform that continues to grow by expanding into AI-driven solutions and fulfillment services, aiming to optimize merchant growth. Shopify is positioning itself as a major player in the e-commerce ecosystem, particularly with Shopify Plus, which is gaining momentum among large retailers.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Powered Tools for Merchants 🤖
Shopify is integrating AI-driven solutions to enhance marketing, inventory management, and checkout optimization, which improves merchant retention and adoption.
Enterprise Growth 📈
Shopify Plus is experiencing strong adoption among larger retailers, helping diversify revenue and reduce the company's reliance on small businesses. This supports more stable growth.
Long-Term E-commerce Growth 🌐
With e-commerce projected to grow at a 9.5% CAGR through 2030, Shopify holds a 10% market share in the U.S., positioning it for long-term growth in an expanding digital marketplace.
Financial Strength 💰
Free cash flow margin rose to 19%, underscoring Shopify’s robust financial health and ability to reinvest in future growth initiatives.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SHOP above the $102.00-$105.00 range, driven by AI expansion, growing enterprise adoption, and strong cash flow.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $170.00-$172.00, reflecting the company’s dominance in e-commerce and its ongoing innovations.
📢 Shopify—Shaping the Future of E-Commerce and AI. #Ecommerce #AIExpansion #SHOP
MicroStrategy (MSTR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR combines business intelligence solutions with a Bitcoin-focused investment strategy, holding 471,107 BTC (~$18B) as of now. The company has made significant strides in Bitcoin accumulation, positioning itself as a leveraged play on Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Key Catalysts:
Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation 📈
MicroStrategy continues to expand its Bitcoin holdings, raising $563M through an 8% Series A Preferred Stock offering to buy more BTC.
The "21/21" Plan 💡
This plan aims to raise $42B over three years, positioning MSTR as a strategic Bitcoin growth bet.
Indirect Bitcoin Exposure for Institutions 💰
With regulatory uncertainty around Bitcoin ETFs, MSTR offers a secure method for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through equity.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on MSTR above $295.00-$300.00, reflecting its Bitcoin-centric strategy and institutional adoption.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $600.00-$620.00, driven by continued Bitcoin accumulation and the growth of institutional interest in crypto exposure.
📢 MicroStrategy—The Bitcoin-Business Intelligence Hybrid. #Bitcoin #CryptoExposure #MSTR
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today.
Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM.
Thursday, Feb 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K.
Friday, Feb 14:
🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Beyond BTC - Why Coinbase (COIN) is a Long-Term Buy?As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story.
Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment -
CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers):
Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters.
Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets.
Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading.
Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe.
Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options.
Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term.
Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution.
Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors:
Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave.
Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players.
Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market.
Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner.
Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying -
Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run.
$350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again.
$225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play.
Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up.
RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike.
What to Watch For (Trader Style):
Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets.
Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way.
Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive.
Final Notes:
Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio.
Important Disclaimer:
Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances.
Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset.
NASDAQ:COIN COINBASE:CBETHUSD COINBASE:CBETHETH COINBASE:CBETHUSDC OANDA:NAS100USD
BTCAll you need to know about next #BTC huge moves.
We can see the next BULLRUN dates. The highest points of BITCOIN in this market 2024/2026 and 2028th years
Monday sell Off? History May Repeat Itself...Monday Sell-Off? This Setup Says It’s Coming... | SPX Market Analysis 10 Feb 2025
Another week wraps up, and as I eye Monday’s open, I can’t shake a sense of déjà vu.
The last two weeks started with a gap down, followed by a bearish finish into the weekend.
Super Bowl Sunday is also here – Can the Kansas City Chiefs complete an unprecedented three-peat in Super Bowl 59 or will the Philadelphia Eagles gain revenge? Just like the markets, only time will tell and we will have to wait and see.
That said, Friday’s setup is setting the stage for another pop ‘n drop. The only question? What triggers the fall this time?
...
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Mondays Have Been Bearish – Will This One Be Too?
The last two Mondays started with a gap down, followed by a bearish move into the weekend. If the pattern holds, next week could open with a bang – but not necessarily to the upside.
🏈 Super Bowl & The Markets – A Perfect Parallel?
The markets are playing their own Super Bowl showdown. Will the bulls make a comeback, or will the bears crush their hopes yet again? Just like the Chiefs vs. Eagles, we can only wait and see.
🔻 Friday’s Bearish Setup – A Warning Sign?
- V-shaped reversal entry ✅
- Bearish pulse bar confirmation ✅
- Similar daily bar pattern to the last two Fridays ✅
📌 So What Happens Monday?
If history repeats itself, we could see:
- A pop higher at the open, luring in buyers 🏹
- A sharp drop shortly after, trapping the late bulls 🕳
- A repeat of the last two weeks' bearish close 📉
🔑 Key Takeaway: The setup is there. Now we wait for the trigger.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests that if an AFC team wins, markets go bearish, but if an NFC team wins, markets go bullish.
💡 The Lesson? As ridiculous as it sounds, market psychology is a wild beast. While we don’t trade superstition, it’s always fun to see how random events get tied to stock performance.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively hit critical support levels at 5996 and 5936, respectively. A downtrend presently characterizes the market, as bullish momentum is stalled. Current analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with anticipated retesting of the Mean Support levels of 5996, the possibility of trading at Mean Support 5936, and a significant decline to the Outer Index Dip at 5878. Should this scenario not materialize, the market is favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, with the test of the newly established resistance level at 6083 and revisiting the previously completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120.
The Big ShortLike Ryan Gosling says in the movie:
Big bank, small bank, I like to make money.. Allright?!
On serious note: This is not fun and many lives will be ruined by this crash.
Stay safe and secure some profits for your family and loved ones
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY
CME_MINI:ES1!
SP:SPX
January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year.
First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts.
December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator.
Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year.
Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period.
TSLA Main Trend 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 month (no need for less). Chart until 2031
🟢At the moment we are running a big triangle that broke through upwards .
🔄 There is a rollback now , to retest the breakout zone. All according to technical analysis, due to the super success of the company and the liquidity of its shares. As for me, the retest should be successful, and then the trend will continue.
🔴But, they can do, like in the last cycle (I specifically highlighted this and showed %), a reset (for some grandiose news) and only then a reversal. If this happens, remember, this is a "temporary phenomenon". Do not play locally in shorts, the main trend is bullish, and it will clearly dominate in the long term.
Fundamental analysis. Competition with BYD.
That's why I'll write a lot of text about how this will greatly affect the price of TSLA shares in the future (real supply/demand) due to trade wars for sales markets.
1️⃣ The only competitor in the world is only the Chinese BYD . Which will become an order of magnitude stronger for TSLA in monetary terms and the popularity of more technologically advanced and affordable cars. Its main advantage, why it can give a cheaper price for a higher quality product, is complete control over the production of the most expensive unit of an electric car - batteries. From the extraction of raw materials for production to the assembly of the battery, without intermediaries. But, it is worth noting that the future super giant BYD will be denied access (as is currently partially the case) to countries where politics is subject to US influence.
This is the so-called "gray zone" where a "trade war" will develop for the sale of products. The one who pays more will win, or their government (USA or China) will use greater leverage. For example, as now, in Brazil. The construction of the BYD plant is closed due to "inhumane working conditions" (and this is in a company with 500 billion in capital) in an important region (Latin America), where "the enemy does not sleep" and plans to begin construction of TSLA-Brazil in 2026. You probably understand what the matter is...
The main “trade battle” will naturally take place for the European market . The European electric car industry will not be competitive with TSLA and BYD (two main flagship companies in the transition of internal combustion engines to electric transport on earth).
It is worth noting that TSLA is now very popular in China. There is a large plant (Shanghai). 40,000 pre-orders for the new Model Y. The Chinese government does not interfere with this. But if unfair play continues in other markets, it is unlikely that TSLA will not be thrown out of China. Competition must be fair. Duties on cars are similar. So far, this is conditionally observed, but there are negative signs from the United States.
2️⃣ The reality of the launch of a new hydrogen engine from Toyota. There are rumors that it is being developed jointly with BMW. This is a completely new level of hydrogen engines. Instead of refueling with hydrogen, distilled water will be poured into the tank. The engine converts it into hydrogen. Serial production will allegedly begin in 2028, when the first hydrogen BMW models will roll off the assembly line.
In some sources, also together with Mercedes-Benz, and even Porsche. Perhaps this is just a news teaser for a potential future buyer, to save the catastrophic decline in sales last year and this year, due to the virtual loss (due to the inability to compete) of the world's largest sales market — China.
It is probably logical to assume that the release of this hydrogen engine to the masses will negatively affect TSLA shares. Provided that TSLA does not follow this fuel trend. My opinion is that they are unlikely to give mass production to something like this. It is like the mass production of electric cars in the 1990s and 2000s, in the era of the reign and monopoly of the hegemonies of oil capital, and as a consequence of internal combustion engines.
3️⃣ Massive power outages around the world. The next point is probably more of a “conspiracy theory”, but I can't help but mention the extremely unlikely scenario of impact on stock prices (a sharp drop).
It is worth noting that the shares of any company that is associated with electricity are extremely “afraid” of a massive power outage and its rise in price, especially accompanied by extremely negative news. If, at least for a week, with a significant transition to electric vehicles (for example, 20-30%) in a large city there are power outages, then this can have an extremely negative impact on the shares of companies associated with the production of electric vehicles and components for them, which is logical. To scare and save and, as a result, "get your way".
4️⃣ Also, a gradual but rapid rise in the price of electricity , as a result of some events or policies, will discourage people from using electric vehicles (they will buy and drive less). This could also have a negative impact on the earnings of these companies like TSLA and BYD, and as a result on their speculative assets.
PS . Of all the points, probably the most important is 1 (real competition and trade war). Then 2, after 2028. Before that, I think TSLA and other companies related to electric cars will pump up a lot.
Doubler on 100 Million shares volume what else can you wish for?Looking beautiful NASDAQ:CDT after Buy Alert 🎯
Doubler on 100 Million shares volume what else can you wish for on a Fresh Cash Friday 🤷🏻♂️
NYSE:BBAI rocketing too
NASDAQ:GSIW , NASDAQ:FARM , NASDAQ:CYTH , NASDAQ:IVVD others on watch
BROADCOM: Buy the next dip under the 1D MA50 and target $285.AVGO is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.924, MACD = 2.910, ADX = 23.178) despite a recent end of January rebound on its 1D MA50. Technically the bearish wave of the Channel Up isn't completed, it should do so once the 1D RSI touches the S1 Zone again. Once it does, aim for a little under a +60% price increase (TP = 285.00).
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NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025
The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively.
Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📈 Bullish Move On Track
SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made.
🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover
Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see:
A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers.
A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked.
A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling.
🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher
Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits.
⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting
Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold.
---
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade.
💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
Levels to watch out I’ve been long on the market around the 960 mark and plan to hold for the long term, expecting it to eventually surpass previous highs in the coming months.
The RBI’s recent decision to cut interest rates for the first time in 5 years signals a move to stimulate economic activity. It seems they’ve waited too long, though, and it may have been a bit late.
Interest rate cuts are typically aimed at driving economic growth, especially during periods of slow growth or potential recession. While such moves are often positive for stocks in the short term—due to the stimulation of the economy, cheaper borrowing costs, and more investment in riskier assets—there’s still uncertainty about where the markets will head, especially as we may be on the brink of a major economic slowdown.
At the moment, I am short on Nifty and cautious about adding long positions to Nifty 50 stocks. I’m building my portfolio gradually rather than going all in at this point.
As for IndusInd, it has undergone a solid correction, making it a good opportunity to accumulate at these levels. The market could potentially dip further, reaching levels around 789 or 545, making it a good time to build positions.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.7.2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🤝🇨🇦🇲🇽 Tariff Developments: The U.S. has announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, set to take effect on March 4, 2025, following a 30-day delay after negotiations.
🇺🇸📈🇨🇳 Tariffs on China: A 10% tariff on Chinese imports was implemented on February 4, 2025. In response, China has announced retaliatory tariffs ranging from 10% to 15% on select U.S. goods, effective February 10, 2025.
📊 Key Data Releases:
🏢 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +165K | Previous: +150K
📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1% | Previous: 4.1%
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% | Previous: +0.2%
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up may lead to a rejection back down into the 6041 area.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Expect slight morning choppiness, followed by a significant sell-off either in the early morning or afternoon, dropping into 6025 before bouncing to close above 6041.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and then pump back higher than 6025; that's the flip level.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
FORD WEEKLYRULES:
-If price break Point 2, 4, 6, or 8 cancel the setup
-Price needs to break Point 1, 3, 5, or 7 to confirm the setup
When price reach the 100FE(BLUE BOX) it normally does a pullback/retest or reversal
The market can Truncate(fall short)
