Stocks
CAPR projected to see additional volatility NEAR TERM. Recent short attack will likely be a two-part process.
Expecting strong buy wave to 17-18.5 zone near term before renewed aggressive selling down to next liquidity target zone at 10.4-11 level.
There exists a small gap at 9.95-10.05 which may be targeted by shorts. Unsure if it gets filled during market hrs or during extended session.
Planning to go long again from 10.4-11 via limit buy orders sometime this month. Expecting us to get the buy opportunity before 12/20 date before the next swing target to 25.00
once we see a break above 26.5, it'll confirm for me the greater buy sequence will continue on weekly timeframe for advancement to 75-80$ analyst target level. Until then, we may remain rangebound between 15-25$ levels.
Personally expecting price to reach 100$ sometime by late 2025.
Bit Digital, Inc. ($BTBT): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityBit Digital, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BTBT ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $4.30
- Stop-Loss:** $3.34
- Take-Profit Target: $8.40
- Long-Term Target: $16.77
Rationale:
Bit Digital, Inc. is a digital asset mining company focusing on Bitcoin. The stock has exhibited significant volatility, often influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market. This setup presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, appealing to traders with a higher risk tolerance.
Financial Performance:
In Q3 2024, Bit Digital reported a net loss of $2.69 million, with total revenue of $98 million over the trailing twelve months. The company's financial performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's market dynamics.
Volume and Short Interest:
The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations.
Analyst Ratings:
Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $6.00, indicating potential upside from the current price.
Risk Management:
Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $3.34 is crucial to manage potential losses. The take-profit target of $8.40 offers a favourable risk-reward ratio, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Waiting and Waiting For The Generational Top Man, SPX has really doubled since I first wrote about the possibility of a generational top in markets, back in 2018. In that time, have there been material improvements to our quality of life? Have economic conditions for the average person actually gotten better? Instead, it seems, market orchestrators are finding new ways to profit in the digital age - digital currencies, leverage on digital currencies, leverage on companies who buy digital currencies with leverage...more and more leverage. Extract more and more profit from people's attention. Gamify trading and our lived experiences.
Looking at the long term monthly chart for SPX, historical crashes have had price drop below the 200 month Moving Average (teal). Price has also tended to gravitate towards that purple trendline eventually. It has not touched since 2009. Before 2009, it had not touched since 1982. That's 27 years. If we see a similar gap, we wouldn't see a generational bottom until 2036, or over a decade from now.
Perhaps some caution should be exercised. Price has ventured to the top purple trendline. When price gets up there, it tends to appear overvalued, which may indicate that a mean reversion must occur. Here it is zoomed in, showing a weekly bearish divergence.
There's also the Great Depression Fractal. This could easily (in hindsight) be a blowoff phase. Previous ideas about this are linked below.
I was obviously off the mark when I first posted about this in 2018, but I still think it's work looking at, as a point of interest. Not as a prediction, per se, but as an example of how bad a crash could get at these levels. Once the Dow broke above the orange megaphone, price more than doubled before crashing. At current levels, price has now more than doubled from the breakout point.
A number of external factors are at play - rising populism/authoritarianism, rising global conflict...all symptoms of challenges with resources. Things are shaky up here. Time will tell. Great resets offer great opportunities.
This is meant for speculation only!
-Victor Cobra
Raytehon (RTX) Head and Shoulders. Fundamental reasoning: DJT is a peace president vs Biden who allowed build of geopolitical tensions and warfare.
D.O.G.E dept. to radically overhaul the deep state and waste.
Other notable Military contractors include:.
#LMT
Northrup Grumman
Avic
Boeing
General Dynamics
BAE
MARA: Strategic Entry Amid Bitcoin ResurgenceMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA ): Strategic Entry Amid Bitcoin Resurgence
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $19.59
- Stop-Loss: $15.14
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $28.61
- TP2: $39.59
Company Overview:
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a leading digital asset technology company specializing in cryptocurrency mining, with a primary focus on the COINBASE:BTCUSD ecosystem. The company has recently expanded its operations, including the acquisition of a 114-megawatt wind farm in Texas to power its mining activities with renewable energy.
Financial Performance:
In Q3 2024, Marathon reported revenue of $131.6 million, up from $97.8 million in the same period last year. However, the net loss widened to $124.8 million, exceeding analyst expectations.
Analyst Ratings:
Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $28.00, indicating potential upside from the current price.
Volume and Market Dynamics:
The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations.
Risk/Reward Analysis:
The stop-loss at $15.14 limits downside risk, while the take-profit targets of $28.61 and $39.59 offer potential returns of approximately 46% and 102%, respectively, from the entry point.
Conclusion:
Marathon Digital Holdings presents a strategic opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency sector, particularly Bitcoin. The company's expansion into renewable energy and increased mining capacity position it favorably amid the current Bitcoin rally.
*When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!*
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Fraser's Group - negative From the bottom of the pandemic they went from 180 to 995.
In Oct 24 they broke to the downside after forming a triangle pattern from July 22 to Oct 24.
There was no indication that the price would break out to the upside from that pattern.
In technical analysis, the target for Shorters would be 409.
GLA and DYOR. This is not a solicitation to hold or trade.
NVDIA Channel Up ready to explode in 2025 for a $350 target.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has started the week on a bullish 1W candle, following last week's reversal pattern. Technically that reversal is being formed exactly at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 10 2022 market bottom.
This 2-year pattern is technically very similar to the Channel Up that started on the weekly bottom of December 24 2018. The similarities between the two patterns are striking. As you can see both started after an oversold 1W RSI (<30.00) touch, which then formed Higher Lows, making the price rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then, using the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as the Support, the 2019 - 2021 Channel Up expanded all the way to the 6.0 Fibonacci extension, until the eventual break below the 1W MA50 and the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Observe also how similar their 1W RSI sequences are. Right now it appears that we are after a technical pull-back similar to May 10 2021. The 1W MA50 is supporting and the 1W RSI (which has already made a Double Bottom rebound (green circles)) is bouncing off its MA (yellow trend-line) and looking for a break-out above the (dotted) Channel Down.
We have already set two Targets ($190 and $240) for on NVDIA on our previous analysis, but this time we move a little further, making a projection for the end of this Cycle. And the final Target is $350, exactly on the 6.0 Fibonacci extension, the level that formed the November 22 2021 Top.
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PSGO - Primary BaseIDX:PSGO - PRIMARY BASE
25-11-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
5. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
6. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
7. RS Rating is over 70 (78)
(-):
1. MA 150 < 200
2. The volume on breakout is too small
CPRX Growth Stock with Favorable UpsideCatalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CPRX ): Growth Stock with Favorable Upside
Trade Setup:
- Buy Price: $21.31
- Stop-Loss: $19.31
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $25.32
- TP2: $30.22
Rationale:
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focusing on innovative therapies for rare neurological diseases. The company's solid revenue growth and market position in niche segments offer a compelling reason for potential upside.
Financial Performance:
- In Q3 2024, the company reported **revenue of $128.7 million**, a **25.3% increase year-over-year**, driven by strong demand for their lead product, FIRDAPSE®, and the successful U.S. launch of AGAMREE®.
- Net income improved to **$45.6 million**, compared to $35.2 million in the same period last year.
Analyst Ratings:
- Catalyst Pharmaceuticals has a consensus **"Strong Buy" rating** from analysts.
- The average price target is **$31.14**, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 46% from the current price.
Volume and Market Dynamics:
- Short interest sits at around **7.47%**, signaling moderate bearish positioning but also potential for a short squeeze if bullish momentum builds.
- Trading volumes have shown steady growth, reflecting increased investor interest.
Risk/Reward Analysis:
With a stop-loss at $19.31, the risk is approximately **$2 per share** from the entry price. The first take-profit target offers a reward of **$4 per share** and the second target extends it to **$9 per share**, creating a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of **1:2** and **1:4.5**, respectively.
Conclusion:
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals presents a balanced opportunity for growth-oriented traders. While short interest and volatility indicate some risk, strong financial performance and favorable analyst targets provide confidence in the stock’s potential.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
GameStop Corp. ($GME): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityGameStop Corp. ( NYSE:GME ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity
Trade Setup:
- Initial Entry: $31.45
- Alternative Entry: $24.11
- Stop-Loss: $10.88
- Take-Profit: $125.99
Rationale:
GameStop, a prominent video game retailer, has experienced significant volatility, often influenced by retail investor interest and speculative trading. The stock's history includes notable short squeezes, leading to substantial price surges. Recent discussions suggest the potential for another upward movement, presenting a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
Financial Performance:
In Q2 2024, GameStop reported revenue of $798.3 million, down from $1.16 billion the previous year. The company is focusing on cost containment and plans to close underperforming stores to enhance efficiency.
Volume and Short Interest:
As of November 15, 2024, GameStop had approximately 31.87 million shares sold short, representing about 7.47% of the float. This level of short interest indicates a moderate potential for a short squeeze.
Analyst Ratings:
Analyst coverage on GameStop is limited, with some maintaining a "Sell" rating and a price target of $10.00, suggesting potential downside. However, the stock's volatility and retail investor interest can lead to price movements that diverge from analyst expectations.
Risk Management:
Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $10.88 is crucial to manage potential losses. The ambitious take-profit target of $125.99 offers a substantial reward, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations.
*When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!*
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
$INDO: A Small Price for a Big OpportunityIndonesia Energy Corporation Limited ( AMEX:INDO ) is a U.S.-listed company engaged in oil and gas exploration and production in Indonesia. As of December 4, 2024, INDO's stock price is $2.89, reflecting a 4.62% decrease from the previous close.
**Market Comparison:**
Over the past year, INDO's stock price has increased by approximately 4.26%, while the broader market has experienced more significant gains. This suggests that INDO has underperformed relative to major indices.
**Volume and Short Interest:**
INDO has exhibited high volatility, with trading volumes fluctuating significantly. Specific data on short interest is not readily available, but the stock's volatility may indicate speculative trading activities.
**Earnings Per Share (EPS):**
For the first half of 2024, INDO reported a loss per share of $0.21, compared to a $0.16 loss in the same period in 2023. This indicates a widening loss, which may be a concern for potential investors.
**Analyst Ratings:**
Analyst coverage on INDO is limited. The Wall Street Journal reports one "Buy" rating with a price target of $10.00, suggesting potential upside. However, the lack of broader analyst consensus makes it difficult to gauge market sentiment.
**Conclusion:**
Investing in INDO presents both opportunities and risks. The company's focus on Indonesian energy resources offers growth potential, but recent financial performance and stock volatility warrant caution. Prospective investors should conduct thorough due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before investing.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
SWING IDEA - RATNAMANI MET AND TUBRatnamani Metals & Tubes, a leading manufacturer of stainless steel and carbon steel welded pipes and tubes, is showing a potential swing trade setup with several bullish technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
3800 Zone Break Out : The 3800 level has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price is now breaking through this level, signaling the possibility of a continued upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting momentum may continue.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, indicating overall bullish strength and long-term trend support.
Intact Trend : The broader trend remains intact, indicating that the current momentum is in line with the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A steady rise in volumes adds confirmation to the breakout, showing strong market participation in this move.
Target - 4270 // 4800
Stoploss - daily close below 3400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - BAJAJ FINSERV Bajaj Finserv , a prominent player in financial services, presents a compelling swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout and Retest : The price has recently broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern and successfully retested, signaling a strong support level.
Consolidation Break : A significant 3+ year consolidation phase has been broken, indicating potential for a sustained upward move.
0.618 Fibonacci Support : The price is holding above this key Fibonacci level, suggesting strong buyer interest at current levels.
EMA Support on Weekly : Trading above the 50 and 200 EMAs on the weekly timeframe reinforces the bullish sentiment and strengthens support levels.
Target - 1900 // 2030 // 2200
Stoploss - weekly close below 1635
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - JIO FINANCIAL SERVICESJio Financial Services , an emerging force in the financial sector, exhibits signs of a potential upward move, presenting a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support Zone at 300 : This level has proven to be a strong support, enhancing the likelihood of a bounce.
Bullish Hammer on Weekly Timeframe : A bullish hammer candlestick pattern indicates potential reversal and buyer interest at lower levels.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The price is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting that it could act as a springboard for further upward movement.
50 EMA Support on Weekly Timeframe : Trading above the 50 EMA adds to the bullish outlook and provides an additional layer of support.
Target - 360 // 385
Stoploss - weekly close below 295
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - DEEPAK NITRITE LTDDeepak Nitrite , a leading chemical company known for its diverse product portfolio, is showing a promising setup for swing trading.
Reasons are listed below :
2500 Support Zone : The price is resting on a well-tested support level around 2500, adding to the reliability of a potential bounce.
Hammer Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The appearance of a hammer candle suggests a reversal could be on the horizon as buyers regain control.
Golden Fibonacci Support : The current price aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement level, providing additional support.
50 EMA Support on Weekly Timeframe : The price holding above the 50 EMA is a sign of continued strength and underlying support.
Trend Intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows : The consistent formation of higher highs and higher lows reinforces a bullish trend.
Target - 3000 // 3170
Stoploss - weekly close below 2440
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SAP’s Cloud & AI MomentumSAP’s Cloud and AI Momentum: Why This Tech Giant Remains a Top Buy in 2024
SAP is a Germany based company specializing in enterprise application software
It operates through three key segments:
1.Applications, Technology & Services: This segment focuses on selling software licenses, subscriptions to SAP’s cloud applications, and related services. It encompasses support services, various professional services, implementation services for SAP’s software products, and educational services to help customers effectively use SAP solutions
2.SAP Business Network:This segment includes SAP’s cloud-based collaborative business networks and related services. It covers cloud applications and professional and educational services related to the SAP Business Network. This segment also encompasses cloud offerings developed by SAP Ariba, SAP Fieldglass, and Concur, which facilitate supplier collaboration, workforce management, and expense management.
3.Customer Experience:This segment offers both on-premise and cloud-based products designed to manage front-office functions, focusing on customer experience management. It provides solutions that help businesses enhance and streamline interactions with customers.
These segments enable SAP to offer a wide range of solutions, addressing enterprise needs from back-office functions to collaborative networks and customer-facing operations.
SAP remains a top pick, with clear growth momentum that could accelerate further and potential for margin improvements. My buy rating remains unchanged.
SAP reported its Q3 2024 earnings, showing a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in constant currency (CC) to €8.5 billion, maintaining the same growth momentum as Q2 2024. The highlight is the cloud segment’s revenue growth, reaching €4.35 billion, with a y/y CC growth rate accelerating from 25% in Q2 2024 to 27% in Q3 2024. This aligns well with my expectations, as the current cloud backlog (CCB) grew by 29% y/y CC, improving 100 basis points from Q2 2024. By product category, the Cloud ERP Suite showed 36% y/y CC growth, a 300bps sequential improvement. License revenue, though still declining, saw a slower drop from -27% in Q2 to -14% in Q3, and maintenance revenue declines also eased from -3% to -2%. This solid revenue performance contributed to a strong profit outcome, with adjusted EBIT beating estimates by approximately 9% at €2.24 billion, and a major free cash flow (FCF) beat of €1.25 billion, far surpassing the consensus of -€676 million.
Given this strong performance, it wasn’t surprising that management raised guidance, which is certainly encouraging. They now forecast adjusted EBIT in the range of €7.8 to €8 billion, a €150 million increase at the midpoint, implying y/y growth of 20% to 23% CC, up from the previous 17% to 21%. Cloud and software revenue guidance also increased by €400 million at the midpoint, with a new range of €29.5 to €29.8 billion, reflecting 10% to 11% y/y CC growth versus the previous 8% to 10%. Additionally, adjusted FCF is now projected between €3.5 to €4 billion, compared to the prior €3.5 billion.
I am confident that SAP can meet these targets for several reasons. First, the S/4HANA migration remains strong, as indicated by 29% y/y CC CCB growth and 36% y/y CC growth in the Cloud ERP Suite, which accounts for approximately 84% of total cloud revenue. Second, nearly one-third of deals signed in the quarter involved AI, highlighting increased demand for embedded AI solutions. This reinforces my previous view that AI adoption is driving SAP’s cloud migration efforts, as customers must utilize the cloud to fully leverage these AI capabilities. Notably, SAP is moving to the “expand” phase of its strategy by adding generative AI (GenAI) capabilities.
With SAP introducing more AI features, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this growth driver. For example, its AI-based assistant, Joule, now offers collaborative agent capabilities, allowing it to manage multiple AI agents for complex tasks—resulting in significant productivity gains. Additionally, the Knowledge Graph, a part of SAP’s GenAI suite, connects language and data to help users navigate SAP systems more efficiently. SAP has over 100 GenAI use cases and has added more than 500 skills to Joule so far, suggesting substantial growth potential.
AI adoption remains robust, as evidenced by AI’s central role in SAP’s sales strategy. Around 20% of deals now include premium AI features, and all ERP and LoB deals involve discussions around AI, signaling that AI is a key growth driver for SAP, especially considering that AI integration was minimal a few years ago.
I reaffirm my model assumptions and see continued attractive upside potential, even after SAP’s strong year-to-date share price rally. SAP is increasingly likely to achieve 10% growth for FY24, with further acceleration expected in FY25/26, driven by strong cloud migration and rising AI demand. Management’s upward revision of FY24 adjusted EBIT indicates that earnings margins will improve. Year-to-date, the adjusted earnings margin stands at around 21.1%, making my full-year target of 21.5% feasible. As growth accelerates and SAP completes its restructuring (which impacts 9,000 to 10,000 positions as announced in January 2024), margins should rise to the mid-20% range. I’ve added 300 basis points based on trends from FY22 to FY24. Additionally, with no visible slowdown in growth momentum, I expect the market to continue valuing SAP at a premium, at 36x forward PE compared to the three-year average of 23x.
The macroeconomic environment poses risks, especially if supply chain challenges persist or interest rates rise. Political uncertainties, such as the upcoming U.S. election, could lead to reduced business investment, impacting corporate IT budgets and SAP’s sales. Additionally, if SAP’s S/4HANA and cloud products underperform, or if there are delays in product development or launches, investor expectations may be disappointed, particularly regarding S/4HANA.
To conclude, I maintain my buy rating on SAP. The company’s strong Q3 2024 performance and revised guidance have reinforced my positive view. The accelerating growth in cloud revenue, driven by solid S/4 HANA migration and increased AI adoption, is highly encouraging. While macro risks remain, SAP’s robust fundamentals and favorable growth outlook support a buy rating.
Chevron_CVX_1WChevron shares are active in the field of oil and energy and it is a suitable trading and investment position. This symbol is based on the Elliot waves in the rising wave, which can move to rise for the 5th wave in the long term due to the completion of the 4th correction wave. The suitable range of purchase is 160.00 Target wave 5 pieces 220.00