NVDIA Is disaster just ahead of us?NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) is on a 3-month pull-back, the first it had on a 1M basis since September - October 2023. The latter was simply a mid-Bull consolidation phase within the wider picture of a Channel Up pattern that started almost 10 years ago.
The price is pulling-back from the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and if the 1M MACD forms a Bearish Cross, we should be preparing for a cyclical correction within the pattern which in the previous two times (November 2021 and October 2018 tops) it corrected back to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a bottom.
The Nov 2021 top was formed exactly at the time of the 1M MACD Bearish Cross, while the October 2018 top was formed 10 months after. If this is a 3-year Cycle then in October or November (2024) we should really see the extent of the correction. If not then this might be another Mid-bull consolidation and we may have (roughly) another 10-12 months before this Cycle tops.
What do you think it's going to be??
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Stocksignals
COINBASE at the bottom of the 20month Channel. Will it go lower?Coinbase (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (almost 20 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024.
Last Friday saw the week close on the strongest red 1W candle (-20%) since the 2022 Bear Cycle, as it failed to rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
However, this Friday closing made an exact Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, something we hadn't seen since the June 05 2023 1W candle. That was the candle that completed the longest (until the current one) correction on Coinbase. Both Bearish Legs have similar declines (-47% then and -48% now). The minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times).
As a result, as long as we close this week inside the Channel Up and ideally the 1W RSI remains above the 30.00 oversold barrier, we can expect a long-term bullish reversal on COIN with the start of the Channel's new Bullish Leg, with a minimum expectation being at $360.00 (+146.82% rally).
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Marico can make merryMarico Limited, headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, carries on business in branded consumer products. Marico manufactures and markets products with the brands such as Parachute, Parachute Advanced, Nihar, Nihar Naturals, Saffola, Hair & Care, Revive, Mediker, Livon, Set-wet, etc.
Marico Limited CMP is 665.25. The positive aspects of the company are Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, Company with Low Debt, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=56.7), High promoter stock pledges and Promoter decreasing their shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 668. Targets in the stock will be 682 AND 692. The long-term target in the stock will be 702 and 719. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 632 or 591 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Bajaj Electricals looks electrifying for the long termBajaj Electricals Limited was incorporated in July, 1938. The Company is engaged in business of consumer products (appliances, fans, lighting), EPC (illumination, power transmission and power distribution) and exports. Powered by a Pan-India presence and a market leading position in the industry, the Company functions through 20 branch offices which are duly supported by a chain of approximately over 700 distributors, 2.20 lakhs retail outlets and over 600 consumer care centres. The company has also a strong foothold in power transmission and distribution business.
Bajaj Electricals Limited CMP is 1003.90. The positive aspects of the company are Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield and Company with No Debt. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=94.8), Low durability companies, Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1022. Targets in the stock will be 1053, 1084, 1111 AND 1146. The long-term target in the stock will be 1189, 1274 and 1357. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 933 or 891 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
IDBI BANK - Short Trade, Profit Target 3 Done using RisologicalIDBI BANK - Short Trade
Guys,
Just look at this one sided move of IDBI Bank.
Trade Entry on 26 August at 98
CMP - 88!
Trailing stop loss at 93.
The price might reach 85-86
Thats the last target shown on the chart.
I love such stress-free trades TBH :)
C3.AI is a great buy opportunity for the rest of the year.C3.ai (AI) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern for more than 1 year (since the August 01 2023 High) and yesterday it almost hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). The 1D RSI breached below the 30.00 oversold barrier, and within this 1 year, it has always been a buy signal.
However we can't rule out an extended consolidation or even a slightly Lower Low within those levels until the price recovers fully, but on the long-term and particularly until the end of the year, C3.ai presents a strong buy opportunity on the current level.
The previous two Bullish Legs topped on the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target is 28.50 (marginally below it).
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Double-Top In PlayAs expected, SPY double-top looks to be playing out. I don't expect us to drop much lower than the pink ascending trendline. Maybe we'll touch that 200 dma before our full send. Let me remind you that the pink ascending tl is the neckline of a large cup and handle pattern on the bi-weekly, the target of which remains 650-700. This is still in play on the longer timeframe and as long as we don't break below the pink tl with confirmation on the weekly, I will start to buy back at or around the pink tl and down to the 200 dma. Batting 1000% thus far and hoping to keep it perfect.
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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ROCKET LAB has started a new 9-month correction phase.Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) topped on August 19 after a more than +100% rise from the bottom that eventually reached the top of the Sine Wave count and as a result even though it failed to reach our $8.75 mark (Target 2), we will take profit on the last buy signal we issued (May 29, see chart below):
As you can see by the Sine Waves, RKLB is repeating a 2-year cyclical pattern (since the June 30 2022 bottom), which every time it provides a buy opportunity that delivers a little over +100% return (3 times so far within this time span).
Now that we got our +111% rise, we expect a new multi-month correction phase to start, initially in the form of a Channel Down (red). The previous correction phase lasted for 9 months and the one before for 10 months, before the +100% rallies commenced.
As a result, we are far away from a buy opportunity at the moment and the best course of action is to short below even the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is $4.35, the middle of the High Volatility Zone, which is located just above the (green) Support Zone, where our next long-term buy will be.
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NETFLIX starting the 2nd bullish leg of its expansion phase.Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the August 20 High and is on the exact same level where during all previous Bullish Legs of the 2-year Channel Up, it ended the consolidation and moved to the 2nd rally of the expansion phase.
This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is about to start a Channel Down that in previous Legs it moved parallel with the price's 2nd rally. Our Target is $900.00 representing a +70.48% rise from April's low, which is the smallest rally recorded within the 2-year Channel Up, thus the more realistic target.
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S&P500 The Bull Cycle is still far from over!Six months ago while the market was undecided about whether or not the S&P500 (SPX) rally would continue, we presented a very useful multi-year chart on the 1M time-frame (February 27, see chart below), where we called for an extension of the uptrend, claiming confidently that the 'Bull Cycle is far from over':
As you can see those who bought without fear have enjoyed so far more than +15% gains. What's even more impressive is the massive bullish reversal of the August candle, that managed to close the month in green, despite the early aggressive sell-off.
This is a strong sign that the rally is far from over, but it's not the only one. The key here, and constitutes our main modification relative to the chart 6 months ago, is that the most accurate sell signal on a cyclical basis has been historically given after the 1M RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts Lower Highs.
This signal has had 100% accuracy in the past 10 years, effectively projecting the 2015, 2018 and 2022 corrections. The 1M RSI also has a Channel Down Resistance to consider but the Lower Highs signal should be top priority for investors to start selling.
As a result, we expect the index to surpass the 6000 mark and even approach 6500, before we consider a cyclical selling sequence again.
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Axis bank has a chance to ace it..Axis Bank Ltd. engages in banking and financial services. It provides financial solutions to retail, small and medium enterprises, government, and corporate businesses. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Retail Banking, Corporate or Wholesale Banking, and Other Banking Business. The Other Banking Business segment encompasses para banking activities such as third party product distribution advisory and other banking transactions.
Axis Bank Ltd. CMP is 1188.80. The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. =13.8), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 8 Quarters, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are Poor cash generated from core business, declining Cash Flow from Operations and Increase in Provisions in the recent results.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1191 Targets in the stock will be 1206, 1243 and 1270. The long-term target in the stock will be 1292, 1313 and 1337. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1127.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Canara Bank Can start after consolidation.Canara Bank engages in the provision of commercial banking and financial services. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Corporate or Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business.
Canara Bank CMP is 112.77 The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. =6.5), Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth, Increasing profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The share has good dividend yield of 2.9% at CMP. The Negative aspects of the company is that the stocks is underperforming their Industry Price.
Entry can be taken after closing above 114 Targets in the stock will be 117 and 122. The long-term target in the stock will be 124 and 129. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 105.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BLUE STAR - Short Trade - Target 2 Done!BLUE STAR - Short Trade - Target 2 Done!
Entry at 1721
Stoploss: 1744
Trailing stoploss: 1705
Potential to reach 1582
Potential profit: 7.7%
Profit so far: 3.6%
Current status: Hold the short trade with trailing stoploss set at 1705
Please consider following for more tips, trade setups and analysis.
Namaste!
NMDC SHORT Trade Setup and levelsNMDC SHORT Trade Setup and levels
Got a clear short entry on 28 August
Entry: 226
Stoploss: 230
Target 1: 222 (DONE)
Target 2: 215 (DONE)
Target 3: 208
Target 4: 204
Current Trailing Stop loss: 224
Hope this helps.
Support my work by following my profile for more such actionable charts.
RIVIAN giving highly accurate signals within this Channel Down.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) couldn't have been giving us more accurate signals since May (see charts below), as not only did we get a timely entry at the bottom (chart 1, May 17) but also sold at the very top (June 26 chart 2) of the Channel Down:
Right now we face a technical similarity with September 2023, exactly 1 year ago, where the price failed to utilize the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and started a new long-term Bearish sequence.
However we do realize the potential long-term trend changing effect that a potential new cycle of interest rate cuts might have in two weeks, so again our trading plan will prepare for both scenarios with clear break-out signals and levels.
Obviously as long as the price remains within the 2-year Channel Down, the trend is bearish and the action will be 'sell on every high'. The Sell Signal on the September 2023 fractal was given when the 1D RSI hit the 60.00 level (red arrow, Sep 14 2023). Naturally we will wait for another such trigger to sell and Target 10.55 on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where last year's sell signal bottomed (October 30 2023).
If on the other hand, the price closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), we will buy that clear long-term bullish break-out signal and Target 28.00 (just below Resistance 2). This could emerge as a Channel Up pattern.
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INDIAMART BUY VIEW Good Potential Stock - INDIAMART Buy Now
Trade Reason :
1) Weekly - Buying view - Market uptrend and Take support
2) Fib Retracement - 0.50 % correction Completed
3)Day Timeframe - Trend Reversed
4)Aggressive Trader - Entry Now
5)Conservative Trader - Wait for Little Correction in DAY timeframe
Entry - 2905 Rs
Stoploss - 2625 Rs
Target 1 - 3032 Rs
Target 2 - 3226 Rs
Use Proper Risk management ... Happy Trading
Powergrid can become PowerfulPower Grid Corp. of India Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the power transmission business. It operates through the following segments: Transmission Services, Consultancy Services, and Telecom Services. It is a PSU company with high dividend yield of 3.3% at current market price.
Power Grid Corp. of India Ltd. CMP is 337.40 The positive aspects of the company are moderate Valuation (P.E. =20), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin and The Negative aspects of the company are Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years and Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 343. Targets in the stock will be 348 and 356. The long-term target in the stock will be 364. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 328 or 291 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Ultratech may make not ultra but mild upward moves. UltraTech Cement Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cement and cement related products. Its products include ordinary portland cement, portland blast furnace slag cement, white cement, and ready mix concrete.
UltraTech Cement Ltd. CMP is 11301.90. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. =46.5), PE higher than Industry PE, MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 11380. Targets in the stock will be 11524 and 11707. The long-term target in the stock will be 11893 and 12096. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 10922.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
SMCI This is honestly the last stand.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) suffered yet another brutal sell-off following the announcement of a delay in filing its 10-K annual report. This may prove to be a catastrophic one as technically not only did it fail exactly on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but also saw the stock test the bottom of its multi-year parabolic support, the Higher Lows Zone since the week of July 05 2022.
This was basically the last time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) got tested with the current week coming the closest since then. The 1W MA100 last broke during the unexpected COVID flash crash in March 2020, so technically it is the stock's longest Support. If it fails to hold and SMCI closes a 1W candle below it, the long-term parabolic growth pattern is invalidated and we will risk testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at a price potentially around $250.00.
If on the other hand the 1W MA100 holds (and we will need the news sentiment to drastically reverse in order to achieve that, something that currently can't be seen on the horizon), then we can see another +400% long-term rally, in which case we estimate a Target around $2000, the stock's next critical psychological growth level.
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PALANTIR Correction starting. Short or wait to buy on that levelPalantir Technologies (PLTR) have been trading within a Channel Up since the May 04 2023 Low. Last week the price reached the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and technically we expect that to be the end of the recent Bullish Leg, as also indicated by the Sine Waves.
Naturally we anticipate a medium-term pull-back in the form of a Bearish Leg. The previous 3 Bearish Legs have been under the form of Lower Highs that broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and hit at least the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before rebounding again into a new Bullish Leg.
As a result, we expect to see at least a test of the 1D MA100, which short sellers can target $26.00. This is also above the minimum %correction we've seen inside this pattern (-25.90%).
The strongest buy signal inside this long-term Channel Up is historically give when the 1D RSI hits the 35.85 - 30.20 Support Zone.
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