ADTN 680%+ Long-Term Trade With Risks to ConsiderADTN is approaching my buy zone between $4.79 and $5.13 near historic lows. There are four key price targets on the way up, and the highest price target gives a potential ROI of around 680% if ADTN is able to return back to previous all time highs. There are some financial risks and concerns surrounding ADTN so I recommend reading articles to better understand the situation.
Entry Price: $4.79 to $5.13
Sell Targets:
- $7.48
- $13.71
- $24.90
- $37.46
Stop Loss: $4.65
I do recommend a stop loss given the financial concerns for ADTN.
Stocksignals
SBLK 200%+ ROI Trade Setup from Insiders in CongressNASDAQ:SBLK is gaining some attention today because Senator Tuberville has purchased $100k worth of SBLK stock, a stock that is focused on forestry and mineral shipping. Senator Tuberville sits on the Senate Committee of Forestry and Agriculture so he could have some insider knowledge here.
Buy price: $23 to $24 (I think an entry at $23 is possible, but I wouldn't mind buying at $24).
Sell targets:
- $77.50
- Previous all time highs are around $1,100.
Stop Loss: $22.50, if stopped out the re-entry price is around $16-17.
For now let's see if SBLK can get to $77.50 then we can discuss the other targets.
Micron Technology: 2x Minimum Potential
Regarding Micron Technology, we believe we are dealing with an overarching Wave (3). This wave should reach at least the 161.8% extension level at $158. We've seen the Wave (2) low buy at $1.36, indicating significant parabolic momentum has been built up. Since that low, there's been an increase of over 5000%, which is staggeringly high. However, as rapid and high as a rise can be, the correction downwards is often just as intense. This is both clear and increasingly likely. Examining this chart, we believe that in Wave (3), the subordinate Wave 1 has now been fully developed. We believe this due to the structure leaving little room for other possibilities. We might climb a bit further for Wave ((v)), but we also anticipate a potential downward trend or a development of Wave 2. This should lie between 50% and 78.6%, where we identify two crucial support zones. One is the subordinate Wave ((iv)) around 50%, and another is a support zone just over 78.6%. These zones are ones we place significant trust in.
We've approached the old high four times at $97.71. We doubt we'll surpass this. If we do, we'll need to take a closer look at where Wave ((v)), Wave 1, and then Wave 2 precisely are. Nonetheless, we anticipate a three-wave movement downwards, as expected for the completion of Wave 2, at a minimum of 50%.
ELI LILLY Going to $1050 but after a 1D MA50 correction.Eli Lilly (LLY) has basically turned sideways since the February 16 High. The dominant pattern is a Channel Up since the March 07 2023 Low and can be divided into 3 Bullish Waves that delivered rallies between +45% and +52%. Every time the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it was a buy opportunity.
The 1D RSI in particular has a Buy Zone, which coincided with all those dip buy opportunities within the Channel Up. As a result, since the stock has already completed a +45% rise from the October 31 2023 Low, we do expect a pull-back to start soon towards the RSI Buy Zone, but only after it rises a little again and forms a Lower High on the RSI, which would be consistent with the previous top formation on the Channel Up.
In any case, at any point the RSI hits its Buy Zone, we will position ourselves with a long and aim for a new +45% rise. Rough target from the current projection is $1050. Notice how efficiently the peak and bottom formations are caught by the Sine Waves. A very symmetric pattern for the long-term indeed.
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AVD Great Buy Between $9.56 and $10.58.AVD has three simple trading levels and is trading near the lows around $9.56 to $10.58. There are long wicks down to $9.56 and below for the best entry opportunities. I think AVD could present a buy opportunity over the next few weeks or months and I would be willing to buy around $9.56 or lower. For now there has been a missed opportunity and AVD is trending up. I would wait for a pullback though.
LSF's Bullish Rebound and 2000%+ Long-Term Growth PotentialLSF reported strong earnings this week and had a very bullish rebound. I think LSF was a dead stock, and this week is likely to capture a lot of attention and interest. The weekly candle has broken through numerous resistance levels and there is little resistance on the way up to previous all time highs at $56. This is a 2000%+ growth potential from current price levels, but I think there could be a pullback first and a lower price entry. I would buy and hold to new all time highs for this one. I definitely recommend doing some research as well to see why there has been such a bullish week.
GOTO: Price Action Analysis After TikTok's AcquisitionTikTok, owned by ByteDance Ltd., has entered into a significant agreement to invest $1.5 billion in a joint venture with Indonesia's GoTo Group. As part of this deal, TikTok will acquire 75.01% of GoTo's PT Tokopedia for $840 million. This strategic move involves integrating TikTok Shop's Indonesia business into the expanded entity, marking TikTok's return to the e-commerce landscape in Indonesia. The partnership aims to navigate and strengthen the online retail market, presenting a substantial investment by TikTok in the region. The acquisition is set to reshape the e-commerce landscape and boost market competition.
The initial market response has been negative, potentially influenced by profit-taking after a strong run-up. Some analysts believe the negative sentiment could stem from concerns regarding the impact of the acquisition on both TikTok and Tokopedia's market positions.
Now, Let's delve deeper into the technical analysis of GOTO
After facing multiple rejections around a significant resistance area and a dynamic resistance line (EMA 200 Line), the price exhibited the formation of a rising wedge pattern. This pattern, marked by two converging upward-trending lines, saw a subsequent breakout characterized by a bearish Marubozu candlestick and a notable increase in trading volume. This occurrence suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, emphasizing the strong selling pressure in the market. The confirmation of this potential bearish scenario is further supported by the MACD Indicator, which exhibited a death cross. The convergence of these technical signals indicates a robust indication of ongoing bearish momentum toward the target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on IDX:GOTO ."
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McDonald's: Is the Feast Over?
For McDonald's Corporation, we continue to believe that we are in a long-term downward correction on the daily chart. We completed the first 5-wave cycle with Wave (5), nearly at the all-time high of around $300. Since then, we've developed the subordinate Wave A and potentially also completed Wave B or at least its initial parts. We expect to see Wave C and the overarching Wave (A) at the level of the subordinate Wave A, i.e., at $245.88. However, if Wave B extends beyond 138%, or $319, and we break above this $319 level, our scenario would be invalidated, and we would need to reconsider our analysis. Until then, we anticipate a subordinate Wave ((c)) moving towards subordinate Wave B in a zigzag pattern, as the structure from Wave A to subordinate Wave ((a)) is a five-wave impulse, indicating a zigzag movement is the only possibility. Therefore, we expect a decline to between $267 and $258, followed by a reversal to develop Wave B, potentially at 138% or 127.2%.
Paypal #PYPL: Elliott Wave Analysis 🚀🌐A remarkable surge in Paypal!
Likely concluding the overarching Wave II in October, we've since built Wave (i). Our limit order at the 50% retracement was missed, but with the CEO's announcement that Paypal is set to change the world, it skyrocketed by 15%. The future trajectory of Paypal remains to be seen, but we anticipate at least a rise to $80. Long-term, we set our sights on significantly higher targets, given that this is the initial Wave II, and we shouldn't drop back to the $50 or $57 levels. 🚀🌐
MEDC: Repeating Bullish Pattern, Upside Potential +16%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of IDX:MEDC !
The current market trend for the stock unmistakably showcases a bullish continuation pattern, marked by consistent upward movement above the EMA200 Line, signaling enduring momentum. At the same time, MEDC has formed a descending broadening wedge pattern twice. In December 2023, this pattern served as a catalyst, igniting a bullish reversal or heralding the start of a bullish trend. Yet, the subsequent formation of the descending broadening wedge pattern took on a new significance, becoming a widely recognized indication of ongoing bullish sentiment.
What's particularly notable is the recent breakout from the DBW pattern, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume. This reinforces our confidence in a sustained upward trajectory. Given these compelling indicators, we anticipate an exciting potential upward movement in price. Our analysis points to a designated target ripe for potential gains, making this an enticing opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on market trends.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Medco Energi International."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
eBay: Is the Big Turnaround Coming?
Looking at the eBay chart, we believe that Wave (1) and (2) were completed at $4.17, as well as Waves (3), (4) and (5). However, we've had some uncertainties regarding the positioning of Wave (3). Nonetheless, where we've positioned Waves (3) and (4) makes the most sense to us. Regardless, it could still be considered that Wave (5) and the overarching Wave I have truly peaked at $81.19. Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, it seems more like we are dealing with an extended Wave II rather than a different downward correction. Thus, we don't believe that $81.19 marks the position of Wave (3), as we're dealing with a 5-wave impulse downwards. This could indicate we're looking at a zigzag movement, broadly marked as (A), (B), then (C).
We believe we have already seen the subordinate Waves A and B, and now we should be developing a 5-wave impulse upwards to complete Wave C and the overarching Wave (B) between 61.8% and 78.6%. Afterward, we should see another significant drop. For eBay, we're operating on a higher timeframe, so this process will take longer. However, once we reach there, it will present excellent entry opportunities for us to build a long-term position.
AMD flashed the strongest 1W sell signal you can get.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has hit the top of the Fibonacci Channel Up last week and immediately got rejected, closing the 1W candle almost flat. This is a significant 1 week turnaround, which may evolve into a bearish reversal as the 1W RSI gave the strongest sell signal possible.
That is reversing on the 82.50 (overbought) level, which since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis has always delivered a strong medium-term correction. If we focus on the last 4 years alone, we can see on the chart 4 such correction events ranging from - 21.50% to -39.50%.
As a result, we are sellers on AMD, aiming at a $180 minimum (-21.50%). If it drops more, we will wait for a more comfortable buy at $140 (-39.50%), which should potentially make contact with either the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) or the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The latter has been a former Resistance during the Bear Cycle that turned into Support after May 2023, while the 1W MA50 has two clear bottoms that evolved into aggressive rallies since the week of May 01 2023.
Basically this signal is more useful to long-term investors for when taking profit and how to make two lower buy entries and manage the long-term risk effectively, while having a $300 long-term target.
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SPLK | Splunk & CiscoShares of Splunk were up 21.3% as of 1:10 p.m ET Thursday after the data analytics and observability specialist agreed to be acquired by Cisco Systems
More specifically, on Thursday morning Splunk announced it has entered into a definitive agreement under which Cisco will acquire the company for $157 per share in cash a roughly 31% premium from Wednesday's closing price. The deal places an equity value on Splunk of approximately $28 billion.
"We're excited to bring Cisco and Splunk together," said Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins in a statement. "Our combined capabilities will drive the next generation of AI-enabled security and observability."
Splunk, for its part, was already up nearly 40% year to date leading into the announcement, helped by a post-earnings pop last month after the company delivered significantly stronger-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results. At the time, Splunk CEO Gary Steele highlighted his company's focus on accelerating innovation as a key beneficiary of the rise of artificial intelligence stocks.
The acquisition has already been unanimously approved by both companies' boards of directors, but still requires the approval of regulators and Splunk shareholders. Assuming all goes as planned, the transaction should close by the end of the third quarter of calendar year 2024. Cisco believes the purchase should be cash-flow-positive and gross margin accretive in the first fiscal year post close, and accretive to nonGAAP earnings per share in the second year.
Splunk stock is trading at a modest 7.7% discount to the agreed purchase price. So given the cash nature of the deal -- and unless waiting longer to sell might qualify you for long-term capital gains tax rates on your profits -- I think most Splunk shareholders would do well to take their money and put it to work in any number of other promising stocks.
SPLK is super bullish because its passed 50 and 200 EMA and also it broke 109$ resistance as well, the volume and most indicators are bullish too
SMCI Has it topped?Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is about to complete a 10 straight green week streak if the 1W candle closes bullish today. This is a highly impressive feat that not only it hasn't done before but only a few stocks have managed to do historically. On the other hand, this may be a signal that yet again, SMCI is time to take a breather.
Why? First because it has completed a +417.86% price increase since the October 30 2023 Low, which is the exact % rise the stock did during its previous Bullish Leg from January 27 2023 to July 31 2023. At the same time, the 1W RSI is testing the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started in June 2018.
If rejected today, we expect the stock to correct by -35.55%, which might be significant, but nothing compared to the rise it has achieved. In fact as you can see on the chart, such % decline has been very common in the past 4 years. Amidst the correction, we expect it to make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds as a Support, the long-term bullish trend is intact, and every such correction is a long-term buy opportunity.
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NYKAATechnical Data
1.Accumulation Phase of About 1 Year
2.Increased Volume during Accumulation Phase
3.Big Breakout on Weekly TF with Big Volume
4. Retest of This phase is also done
5. Price Respected Breakout zone of 150-155
6. Rejection & Buying Confirmed on Weekly TF
Fundamental Data Analysis
1.Company is posting Increased Quarterly Results
2.Fundamentals & Company management is strong
3.Big Institutions also increasing stakes continuously
4. Kind of monopoly listed player in Market
(Study BSE for monopoly listed player)
5. Consistently growing business & market share
Buy at CMP @155-157
SL- @135
Target 1-310 (100% Returns)
Target 2 - 410 (More than 150%)
Time Period- Next 6-12 Months
APPLE Long-term buying commencing.Apple (AAPL) is exactly -15% down since the December 14 2023 High and is approaching the Support Zone of the October 26 2023 Low. We are currently on the 3rd major correction of the last 18 months and being that close to both the Support Zone and the bottom of the Channel Down, suggests that institutional buying should be initiated.
If the current overall market volatility evolves into a short-term correction towards the Fed Rate Decision later this month, then there is always the possibility of Apple experiencing another -10% decline. But the upside even from the current level is greater at almost +30% and that is a conservative target based purely on the Higher highs trend-line since the August 17 2022 High.
We recommend buying now and if the price drops more as mentioned, a final buy on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been untouched for almost 8 years (since June 28 2016)! Our Target for late Q2 is $215.00. Note also that the 1D RSI hasn't been that low (oversold at 23.00) since February 02 2018, which adds more to the bullish case.
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LSXMA - Good Upside PotentialLSXMA broke the parallel channel that was holding the price since November 2022 after making a double bottom with the March 2020 low, I also liked the fact that the 2D SMMA was also broken, after having served as resistance since January 2023 and it is currently retesting it, and as if that wasn't enough to be bullish, LSXMA had a bullish divergence on the RSI on the weekly time frame.
I believe that if the LSXMA price holds above the parallel channel (SMMA), it could be the beginning of a new up trend, and could give good gains in the medium term.
Tesla is looking very bad. 150 is my targetIn mid-December of last year, NASDAQ:TSLA broke above the falling trend line. At that point, I predicted a continuation upward to the next resistance level at 300.
However, after initially rising to 263, the price began to reverse and what initially appeared to be a resumption of the upward trend turned out to be a major false break.
In January, despite prevailing optimism in the stock market, Tesla's price trajectory remained bearish, diverging from broader market trends.
Moving closer to recent days, the 200 support level was broken with a gap, signaling another major bearish sign. Currently, the gap has been filled, and Tesla is testing this support level as new resistance. Considering the imminent correction for US indices, we may witness a significant drop in Tesla's case.
I anticipate a target of 150 for this drop, although, to be honest, the 100 zone is not out of the question.
COINBASE rallying as it should since our last call. What's next?Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has started an amazing rally following our February 05 buy signal (see chart below) and is headed towards the $285.00 Target:
We are modifying the Channel Up to make contact with all three Higher Lows as the Higher Highs comfortably fit the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel retracement level. As you can see all previous Higher Highs have been formed with a 1D candle closing below the 0.786 Fib and right now the price is sitting exactly on that level.
This indicates that as long as the stock doesn't clos a 1D candle above it, we may see one last short-term pull-back towards the 0.5 Fib before eventually reaching the $285.00 Target. If however a 1D candle does close above the 0.786 Fib, we do expect the current rally to continue straight to the Target.
Notice at the same time the 1D RSI entering the 2023 Resistance Zone. This is an unnoticed key dynamic as the previous Higher Highs were priced after the RSI got rejected on the Resistance Zone and it entered back blow the 70.00 overbought barrier. Keep an eye for a timely exit.
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NETFLIX Last pull-back possible before $750Netflix (NFLX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up on the logarithmic scale for the past 20 months. The trend is very aggressive to the upside and since the first Bullish Leg made a Higher High on February 03 2022 on a +130.30% rise, we do expect a similar % rally that would technically target a little below $800, so aiming at $750 would be a fair price.
Until then however, the Channel Up structure suggests that the stock has entered the Volatility Phase which during the previous Bullish Leg took place right before the Peak. As a result, a last pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would also be fair. Technically it could seek the -0.236 Fibonacci extension ($550) from the Take-off Phase's High.
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Easing Inflation Rate Spurs Optimism for a Bullish Trend?Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on the S&P 500!
The CBOE:SPX has convincingly breached the double bottom, presenting a compelling signal for a potential bullish reversal. The price trajectory exhibits a sustained upward movement, concurrently shaping a continuation pattern recognized as the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern. As this pattern unfolds, a subsequent breakout from the descending broadening wedge provides robust confirmation of a conceivable upward trajectory toward the specified target area. Beyond the prism of price dynamics, the oscillator has undergone a significant golden cross, adding another layer of confidence to the outlook and signaling the potential for a bullish market trend.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Recent Announcement of the Inflation Data
- In October 2023, the annual inflation rate in the United States decelerated to 3.2%, marking a decrease from 3.7% observed in both September and August. This figure also fell below market forecasts of 3.3%.
- The annual core consumer price inflation rate in the United States, excluding volatile items such as food and energy, exhibited a marginal decline to an over two-year low of 4% in October 2023, down from 4.1% in the preceding month. Contrary to market expectations, which anticipated stability at 4.1%.
- The unexpected deceleration in inflation has fostered the anticipation that the Federal Reserve's assertive tightening cycle may have concluded. This development is instilling optimism for a bullish scenario in the market.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on
CBOE:SPX ."
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TESLA can start a new rally to $300Last time we looked at Tesla (TSLA) was two weeks ago (February 15, see chart below) when we called for the bottom of the Channel Down pattern on a standard Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern:
This time we switch to the longer term 1W time-frame where the stock is making a rounded bottom below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 6-month Lower Lows trend-line. The last time we saw a rounded bottom like this was during the December 2022 global market bottom. In fact, the sequence from Tesla's ATH to that bottom is quite similar to the price action from the July 2023 High to now.
A common dynamic on both patterns is the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, which has 4 rejections so far. Since however the stock made a +112.48% rise on the 2022 bottom and then on the next bullish leg a +94.91%, we expect it to initiate a new such rally of +75% (if each rally is weaker by 20%) and target the July 17 2023 Resistance. As a result we have a medium-term Target of $300.
Notice also how symmetrical the 1W RSI sequences between the two are. Right now we are below the Support level which in 2022 priced the bottom.
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