Goldman Sachs: Leap Over $500 or Just a Bubble?As we start into the Earnings Season, our focus turns to Goldman Sachs Group on the daily chart. Zooming out, we observe the completion of the higher-degree Waves III and IV, finalized at $290, marked by a Triangle where Wave E broke to the downside. Subsequently, an impulsive Wave (1) unfolded, reaching $390.
Now, the anticipation is set for Wave (2), expected to retracement between 50% and 78.6%. This retracement aligns neatly with a retest of the Triangle's trendline. The exact internal wave structure of Wave (2) remains uncertain. Given Goldman Sachs' tendency for gradual movements, we'll maintain our focus solely on the daily chart for now. This retest, while possibly extended, remains a retest, suggesting the opportunity for positioning in wave (2), or the a wave (3). Consequently, we continue to anticipate a significant and prolonged rise above the $500 mark, should the conditions align.
Stocksignals
MICROSTRATEGY Top of the Channel. Time for a shortterm pullback?MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) has been trading inside a logarithmic Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since the December 30 2022 bottom. The price is currently at the very top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern and that is a technical bearish signal on its own.
It gets increasingly relevant though if we consider the 1D RSI which is overbought and at its highest level since November 13 2023 and more importantly, the remarkable symmetry among the phases of the Channel Up.
As you ca see the price action from the October 04 2023 Higher Low until today is very similar with the price action from the December 30 2022 bottom until (so far) the April 14 2023 High. Both started on a +136.17% rise then -40% correction and a Channel Up rebound for a new Higher High. The symmetry is evident among the 1D RSI sequences as well.
If this continues to hold, we should be expecting a -22.88% pull-back followed by a +77.48% rally that will break above the long-term Channel Up, which would inevitably do at some point since the stock price is so positively correlated to Bitcoin's price.
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ROCKET LAB on an accumulation zone, +100% profit potential.Rocket Lab (RKLB) just formed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, almost a full month after rebounding near the 1.5 year Support Zone. This is technically an Accumulation Zone that the stock tends to make on that Support Zone before starting a parabolic Rally to the Higher Highs trend-line.
In fact it was the 1D Death Cross formed on March 15 2023 that started the previous Accumulation Phase, which resulted into a +114.46% really. As a result, we expect this Phase to last until the end of March maximum, and then start a parabolic rally. Assuming each rally is by +10% stronger than the previous (1st +105.08%, 2nd 114.46%) then we estimate the next one to be around +125%. This will make a perfect test of the 8.75 April 21 2022 High.
Notice how each rally peak is very efficiently depicted by the tops of the Sine Waves. Also during each Accumulation Phase, the 1D RSI forms a Bullish Divergence on Higher Lows.
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AMD Double Top formed. Time to pull-back?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been rising non-stop before February, and gave our last solid buy on our December 12 2023 analysis (see chart below):
Since then, it formed a High (Higher High for the 1.5 year Channel Up) on January 25 2024 and Resistance 1. On Friday it touched this level again, which is so far a technical Double Top formation. As long as it holds, we expect the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to break for the first time in 4 months (since November 01 2023) and approach the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Lower Highs that broke below the Higher Lows which has been the Sell Signal during the previous three occurrences. Our target is a minimum of -19.38% decline such as on the June 26 2023 Low. If the 1D MA100 breaks, we will open another one to target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level at 130.00, which will represent a -29.77% drop, being the total decline on the October 26 2023 Low.
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MPW's $4.60 Price Target After Bullish BreakoutTechnical Analysis
MPW has been showing some solid bullishness out of the buy zone. There has been 6 consecutive green weekly candles so far including this week. MPW is forming a bullish breakout above this light blue trendline and orange resistance zone. I think there will be a pullback at some point, but for now the trend is still bullish and $4.60 is the key price target on this move up.
Medical Properties Trust (MPW): Navigating Liquidity And Strategic Asset Management
Medical Properties Trust Inc. (NYSE: MPW) recently shared insights into its financial health and strategic direction during its fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. With a focus on creating significant liquidity and managing its diverse portfolio of healthcare facilities, the company outlined its plan to navigate through current challenges and capitalize on its strengths. This blog delves into the key takeaways from the earnings call, highlighting both the bullish and bearish aspects of MPW’s strategy and performance.
Strategic Initiatives For Enhanced Liquidity
MPW’s CEO, Edward Aldag Jr., unveiled a capital allocation strategy aimed at generating at least $2 billion in liquidity by 2024. This ambitious plan involves the sale of Australian facilities and hospitals to Prime Healthcare Services, showcasing MPW’s proactive approach to capital management. These strategic asset sales, alongside ongoing opportunities, underscore the company’s commitment to financial flexibility and growth.
Addressing Challenges With Optimism
Despite facing issues with Steward Health Care System’s cash collections, MPW remains optimistic. The company is actively working on re-tenanting Steward properties, reflecting confidence in its ability to manage tenant-related challenges effectively. Additionally, the improved performance of Prospect Medical Holdings adds a layer of positivity, reinforcing MPW’s diversified portfolio’s strength.
A Look At The Bearish And Bullish Highlights
Bearish Insights:
The distressed situation with Steward has necessitated strategic re-tenanting and asset sales to ensure consistent rent payments.
A significant write-down of $90 million for loans to Steward underscores the financial challenges faced.
Concerns remain for an operator within the cash accounting pool, projecting no financial support due to low coverage.
Bullish Perspectives:
Interest from multiple potential tenants for Steward properties indicates robust demand for MPW’s assets.
The company’s European and American portfolios, including Circle Health and Priory, demonstrate strong performance.
Prospect Medical Holdings’ turnaround contributes to the positive outlook, highlighting potential for growth.
Future Outlook And InvestingPro Insights
Looking ahead, MPW is poised to achieve its strategic objectives, bolstered by a focus on sustaining community health through acute care hospitals. The company’s strategic sales and financing plans aim to navigate the complex financial landscape successfully.
From an investment perspective, MPW presents a mixed bag of opportunities and challenges. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts a market cap of $2.28 billion USD and an appealing dividend yield of 15.79%. The aggressive share buyback program and low Price / Book multiple suggest that MPW may be undervalued, offering potential for income generation and price appreciation.
Conclusion
Medical Properties Trust Inc. is at a pivotal point, with strategic initiatives in place to enhance liquidity and manage its portfolio effectively. While challenges remain, particularly with certain tenants, the company’s optimistic approach and strategic sales indicate a forward-looking perspective. For investors, MPW’s current valuation and dividend yield may offer attractive opportunities, especially for those focused on income generation and value investing. As MPW navigates its strategic path, its ability to adapt and capitalize on its strengths will be crucial in driving future success.
GOOGLE Is this sell-off a buy opportunity?Alphabet Inc. (Google/ GOOG) got rejected today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and it dipped the lowest it has below it since the October 27 2023 Low. That was a Higher Low at the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up pattern.
Technically this decline is following the same pull-back sequence as the June 07 - July 10 2023 pattern. As long as the Channel Up holds or as a measure of last resort, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we will treat this sell-off as a buy opportunity, targeting the 2.236 Fibonacci extension at $168.00, which is where the previous Higher High was priced.
Also keep an eye on the 1D RSI which is piercing the 39.50 symmetrical Support. A break below it means that the stock will be a buy opportunity on the 30.00 oversold RSI barrier regardless.
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EUREKA FORBES (POLE & FLAG) Eureka Forbes is getting a lot of bulk deals from big investors and it's a sign it can break with good volumes in coming weeks.
Target 600-700-780-900
NOTE: I'm not a SEBI REG. Study before investing.
Adani Wilmar looking Oil RichAdani Wilmar Ltd. is a manufacturer of Edible Oil, Vanaspati, and Specialty Fats. The Company offers soybean oil, sesame oil, sunflower oil, cottonseed oil, groundnut oil, mustard oil, groundnut oil, and coconut oil, as well as vegetable ghee. It serves households and institutional buyers. It offers products through distributors, super stockists, brokers, and other trade associates. It exports products to The Middle East countries, South East Asian countries, Africa, Ukraine, and Ghana.
Adani Wilmar Ltd CMP is 389.95. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 597.3), Declining annual net profit, declining cash from operations annual, Promoter Holding decreasing. The positive aspects of the company are No debt, zero promoter pledge, FIIs are increasing stake, MFs are increasing stake.
Entry for paper trading can be taken after closing above 396. Targets in the stock will be 412 and 423. The long-term target in the stock will be 443 and 461. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 335.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Anupam Rasayan Rising after forming a bottom.Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. is one of the leading companies in India engaged in the custom synthesis and manufacturing of specialty chemicals. It has two distinct business segments that manufacture life science related specialty chemicals including products related to agrochemicals, personal care and pharmaceuticals, and other specialty chemicals, including specialty pigment and dyes, and polymer additives.
Anupam Rasayan India Ltd CMP is 940.45. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 69.2), FIIs are decreasing stake, High promoter pledge. The company's Positive aspects are No debt, MFs are increasing stake, improving annual net profit, improving cash from operations annual, Promoter holding increasing.
Entry for paper trading can be taken after closing above 945. Targets in the stock will be 970 and 1004. The long-term target in the stock will be 1020 and 1060. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 878.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
ELI LILLY Is a -20% correction possible?Eli Lilly (LLY) gave us the best possible buy entry at the bottom of the Channel Up last time we gave a call on it (December 14 2023, see chart below) and not hit our $705.00 Target but also aggressively broke above the pattern:
In order to grasp the magnitude of that move, this time we zoom out on the 1W time-frame where we see the long-term pattern since LLY's parabolic move started, in mid 2018 following 3 years of consolidation. The pattern that emerged since is a 6-year logarithmic Channel Up, which since 2023 has gone extremely parabolic.
The key characteristic on this long-term price action is the unique pattern that the 1W MACD forms, a Bearish Cross followed by a Bullish Cross. Four such occurrences since 2018 have caused the stock to form a Higher High top at a minimum 2 weeks and maximum 10 weeks after the Bullish Cross. Currently we are on the 3rd week since the latest 1W MACD Bullish Cross and if it extends to 10 weeks, we can technically expect the new top by April 08 2024.
However, the 1st red 1W candle following the Bullish Cross on those 4 past occurrences has always been the top, or near it. Given the fact that LLY is so close to the top of the 6-year Channel Up, we can expect that a correction will start soon. The minimum correction has been -17.44% and the maximum -23.23% (2 occasions out of the 4). Also before a new long-term rally started, the price hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Long-term investors can wait for such a contact before buying again heavily Eli Lilly for a new 12-month run.
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EMAMI LTD SWING TRADE FOR COMING 3-6 MONTHS1.Bullish Chart Pattern is Forming on Higher TF of Weekly & Monthly
2. Kind Of H&S Pattern is getting structured
3. Currently Trading at Monthly Demand Zone of 450-460
4. Filled a gap on Daily TF
5. Bullish Engulfing on Daily TF with Heavy Volume
6. Fundamentals and company business is intact and showing growth consistently with Profits
7. Share Holding Pattern is also strong among big players & Institutions.
Buy @ 460-465
Stop Loss - 445
Target- 1st- 600 2nd- 700 & 3rd & Final- 900
View Holding For Next 3-9 Months
RIVIAN Is this earnings slump a buy opportunity in disguise?Rivian Automotive (RIVN) missed earnings by $0.01 and that is expected to put extreme pressure on the stock price on the short-term. However, are those short-term tensions a buy opportunity in disguise?
Well for the long-term, Rivian remains within our technical model as every significant correction since the start of 2023 has been within the -47% and -48% range. That gives a floor price of $12.75, with only weekly closings below it being potentially dangerous for disrupting the long-term outlook.
An oversold 1D RSI (at or below 30.00) is a technical buy entry and there are two bullish scenarios unfolding for Rivian one on the short and one on the medium-term. The short-term scenario includes a +62.74% like the November 10 2023 - December 20 2023 rebound, with a $21.00 Target, which would make a 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) test. The medium-term scenario is modelled out of the April 26 2023 - July 27 2023 rise which rallied by +142.79% to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. A repeat of that gives us a 2nd Target at $31.00.
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EOAN or EO.N or Energy Long positionWe are currently in an uptrend with the 200 green ma line slooping up and the price beeing above it.
We hit a support that has previously been resisistance with multiple tops in the past.
From this support we have had positive uptrend bullish candles.
Now we set stoploss under the last bottom and go for a 1/1 ratio stoploss and take profit.
GOOGL: Gap-Filling Strategy with Exciting 6% Upside Potential !Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:GOOGL
On January 31, 2024, Alphabet's stock exhibited a gap down in after-hours trading subsequent to the disclosure of lower-than-anticipated ad revenue. Following this, the stock stabilized its descent, finding support at both the bullish trendline and the EMA90 line, indicating a possible rebound in this zone.
Furthermore, a bullish hammer pattern emerged, accompanied by elevated trading volume. These technical indicators commonly suggest a potential upward movement, either to close the gap or reach the predefined target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GOOGL."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Marico might mend the trend..Marico Ltd. Is manufactures and markets products under the brands such as Parachute, Parachute Advansed, Nihar, Nihar Naturals, Saffola, Hair & Care, Revive, Mediker, Livon, Set-wet, etc. Marico’s products reach its consumers through retail outlets serviced by Marico’s distribution network comprising regional offices, carrying & forwarding agents, redistribution centers & distributors spread all over India. Marico Ltd CMP is 536.20.
The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 47.4), FIIs are decreasing stake, Promoter Holding decreasing. The company's Positive aspects MFs are increasing stake, improving annual net profit, Improving cash from operations annual.
Entry can be taken after closing above 537. Targets in the stock will be 554 and 563. The long-term target in the stock will be 575 and 592. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 508.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
AMAZON -15% dip possible. Take advantage of it.It has been 3 months (Nov 17 2023, see chart below) since our last buy trade on Amazon (AMZN), which hit both Targets:
February opened with a big gap upwards and the stock has been consolidating ever since. This consolidation, along with the completion of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross last week, is indicative of a top formation. In fact it is similar with the starting sequence of the last Higher High (September 14 2023) of the 1-year Channel Up.
The first pull-back/ technical correction of this pattern was a -22.61% decline and the second -18.83%. If the corrections are on a -4% progression, we can assume a -14.60% decline this time. That falls marginally below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (assuming the 2.0 Fib extension from the October 26 2023 bottom will be the peak).
As a result, we are expecting $155.00 as a fair pull-back currently and buy entry for the long-term. A break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), will be the technical confirmation of the sell signal.
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Coinbase could rise above 200Following the low at the beginning of 2023, NASDAQ:COIN began to rise in a notably constructive manner, eventually reaching a peak at 186. Subsequently, a typical correction ensued, and presently, the stock is trading precisely at the former resistance level of the long-term consolidation phase.
In my view, this presents a favorable buying opportunity, with a strong likelihood of a reversal and an upward move surpassing 200 in the medium to long term.
Lithium stocks extremely oversold on weekly and Has bullish DivsLithium stocks in extreme oversold spots right now, these stocks like "LAC" in my opinion is very good long-term hold with at least 400% - 560% gains in upcoming year or two. You rarely see anything as cheap as this, possible we will never see these lows again in our life times.
When stocks like TSLA and other Electronics will rise Lithium stocks will skyrocket. I expect the bigger moves begin when the weather will start to get warmer as of now the EVs having trouble with their batteries dying because of the cold, this will issue will disapear in big part of the world at spring.
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"Lithium" is a chemical element known for its use in rechargeable batteries, particularly in electric vehicles (EVs) and electronics. Its high energy density and lightweight properties make it crucial for the advancement of battery technology.
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Investing in lithium stocks at extreme lows could be worthwhile for several reasons:
Long-term Growth Potential: The demand for lithium is expected to surge as the shift towards clean energy and electric vehicles accelerates. This long-term growth potential could make lithium stocks attractive at low prices.
Supply and Demand Dynamics: Despite fluctuations, there's a general consensus that the demand for lithium will outpace supply in the coming years. This could drive prices up and benefit companies involved in lithium production and exploration.
Diversification: Including lithium stocks in a diversified investment portfolio can offer exposure to the rapidly growing electric vehicle market and the broader renewable energy sector.
Technological Advancements: Ongoing research and technological advancements in battery technology could further increase the demand for lithium, potentially benefiting lithium producers and related stocks.
TESLA more downside? Looks like the RSI suggesting us that TSLA stock will go down to 140-150$ in upcoming week. Daily chart has bearish hidden divergence, also overbought on Stochastic RSI.
If we go down without breaking and holding 211$ the price will be rejected from 200EMA and that would be very bearish signs for Tesla.
Weekly chart looks better suggesting we will go back up fast and there shouldn't be much downside left. Putting my buy orders between 100$ to 155$