WALMART Short-term correction on the wayLast time we looked at Walmart (WMT) we gave a solid sell signal (March 27, see chart below), which served as a pull-back step for the stock's amazing recent Bullish Leg:
This time, the Channel Up it's been trading on is more aggressive, with each Bullish Leg posting rallies of +22% and 23.60% and bottoms made only just under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), presenting easy buy opportunities.
As the moment, the price is already on the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line), having completed a +22% rise and technically the maximum it can go to is +23.60%. As a result, we expect a short-term correction now of at least -6.40% (similar to the last one). We estimate that to be around $77.00 and once the 1D MA50 breaks again, we will get our new buy opportunity, possibly on the 4th candle after the break.
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Stocksignals
UNITED HEALTH forming a bottom.United Health (UNH) gave an excellent dip buy opportunity last time (March 29, see chart below), with the price even breaking above the long-term Resistance Zone eventually:
The price has since entered a Channel Up pattern with the price now below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having already topped and attempting to form a new Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern.
Like the previous one in June, this bottoming process can take another 3 weeks, so we will time it accordingly and target 675.00 (+21.00% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs).
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RBA can shine if people dine at Burger KingRestaurant Brands Asia Ltd. engages in the management of restaurants. It offers burgers, breakfast, cravers, beverages, and desserts.
Restaurant Brands Asia Ltd. CMP is 112.99. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation, Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin and Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages. The Negative aspects of the company are negative Valuation (P.E. = -26), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Book Value Per Share deteriorating for last 2 years and Inefficient use of shareholder funds.
Entry can be taken after closing above 114 Targets in the stock will be 117, 119 and 123. The long-term target in the stock will be 127 and 133. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 103 or 98 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
PROCTER & GAMBLE is bullish bouncing on the 1D MA50.Procter and Gamble (PG) closed yesterday on a 3-day red streak and the 1D candle almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the short-term Support, which is intact since August 14. The stock has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 15 2023 Low, which is inside a wider Channel Up pattern since the 2022 market bottom.
The 1D MA50 is the first Support level of the 9-month Channel Up, with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being the second (and last). The Higher Lows are priced below the 1D MA50 but currently we haven't completed most likely the Bullish Leg at hand.
Last April the price pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, which held and provided the final push to the -0.236 Fib extension for a Higher High. Currently the 1D MA50 test is also testing the 0.382. If it holds, we expect the stock to peak again near the -0.236 Fib extension. As long as it holds then, we remain bullish, targeting 182.00.
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MASTERCARD short-term weakness is a buy opportunity. Target $515Mastercard (MA) gave us an excellent sell signal on our last call (April 02, see chart below), reaching our exact Target ($440.00) before turning sideways and reach this way a Higher Low:
That Higher Low was a bottom on the 2-year Channel Up pattern that has been dominating the long-term price action of the stock. As you can see it hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and has rebounded since, which is similar to the March 16 2023 Low.
The similarities are evident on this chart between the Bullish and Bearish Legs of the Channel Up and the Sine Waves help at giving us a sense of Highs and Lows. The 1D RSI sequences between the two main fractals are also similar and this shows that probably we are at a similar symmetrical level as on July 14 2023.
As a result, we expect a short-term pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then final rally towards the elections for a Higher High around $515.00, which will be just below the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (similar to the September 14 2023 High). Then we expect the stock to yet again seek the bottom of the Channel Up near the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at $460.00.
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Intel stock down 70%...opportunity?Good Morning Testosterone Traders,
Intel has been brought to my attention
Intel stock is down 70% from the pandemic era price of $67 per share , and now actively trading around $21 per share as of this posting.
I am confident to add Intel to my long-term portfolio.
Share your thoughts....
ORACLE Channel Up targeting $200.Oracle (ORCL) broke above its previous High last week and even though the current one is under a certain degree of volatility (reasonable due to the Fed), this confirmed the upward continuation of the trend.
Technically, the stock has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and after a prolonged test this year of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, it has started the new Bullish Leg with the current phase being the last one.
An ideal 1W RSI symmetry suggests that we might be printing a sequence similar to March - June 2023, which peaked after a +110% rise from its bottom.
As a result, we remain bullish on Oracle, targeting $200.00 by the end of the year.
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JP MORGAN to rise at least +14% on this rally.We haven't looked into JP Morgan Chase (JPM) in almost 6 months (March 25, see chart below) and the excellent sell signal it gave us:
That was right at the top of its 2-year Channel Up. Right now we have the price rebounding an pricing a Higher Low on a shorter-term Channel Up since the March 25 High. Being still below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), gives time for an early buy.
The minimum % of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +14.07% so our Target is at $229.00 accordingly.
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Oracle Corporation | ORCL & Ai If there is one person that you can compare it with Tony Stark aka IRON MAN is Larry Ellison
the ruthless entrepreneur who is born to win and be the number 1. Since the close of trading Friday, Ellison’s net worth has pumped 8 billion dollar to reach $ 206 billion
Oracle’s stock has reached new highs following its earnings report last week, which exceeded expectations and raised its revenue forecast for fiscal 2026.
Orcl have risen 20% this month and If this upward trend holds, it would mark their best performance since October 2022, when the stock jumped 28%, and the second best month since October 2002, nearly two decades ago.
The company’s stock success is partly driven by its involvement in the booming artificial intelligence sector. Ellison, Oracle’s founder since 1977, mentioned in last week’s earnings call that the company is building data centers to meet the growing demand for generative AI.
“We are literally building the smallest, most portable, most affordable cloud data centers all the way up to 200 megawatt data centers, ideal for training very large language models and keeping them up to date,” Larry said during the call
also he recently mentioned that Elon Musk and I ‘begged’ Jensen Huang for GPUs over dinner!We need you to take more of our money please!! It went ok. I mean, it worked!
Oracle also announced last week a partnership with Amazon’s cloud computing division to run its database services on dedicated hardware. Over the past year, it has formed similar alliances with Microsoft and Google, two other major cloud infrastructure providers
Oracle's cloud services are a key driver of their success, with revenue from this division growing 21% year over year, reaching $5.6 billion in quarterly earnings
Oracle is becoming a crucial provider, acting like a foundational layer for AI-focused companies. Their database systems are now critical to supporting businesses like OpenAI, AWS, and Google Cloud in building the infrastructure for future AI advancements. Despite AWS and Google Cloud being direct competitors, Oracle’s software remains essential to AI’s future.
Oracle's technology plays a foundational role, much like GPUs have in AI development. As companies seek efficient cloud-database solutions for AI workloads, Oracle is well-positioned to fulfill this demand.
Considering their strong Q1 performance and the central role of their database software in this field, I now view Oracle as a strong buy. The company's AI-powered cloud solutions, strategic partnerships, and growing database market make their technology indispensable for the future of AI
Oracle’s fiscal Q1 for FY 2025 exceeded expectations, with non GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39, surpassing estimates by $0.06, and revenue hitting $13.3 billion, outperforming projections by $60 million. The cloud segment, which includes their AI database software, remains a significant growth driver, generating $5.6 billion in revenue.
Most of Oracle’s revenue came from the Americas, contributing $8.3 billion, a 6.9% year-over-year increase. The AI revolution, gaining momentum in the US, aligns with their strong revenue growth in this region.
During the Q1 earnings call, management emphasized their expanded partnerships with major tech companies like Google Cloud (Alphabet Inc) and AWS (Amazon), which are notable given that they are also competitors. Oracle highlighted its success in the AI training space, pointing to the construction of large data centers equipped with ultra-high-performance RDMA networks and 32,000-node NVIDIA GPU clusters.
In the EMEA region, crucial to Oracle’s growth due to rising demand for cloud infrastructure and AI solutions among European enterprises and governments (sovereign AI), the company reported $3.3 billion in revenue.
Oracle’s earnings per share aka EPS is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 13.5% for FY 2025, increasing to 14.41% in FY 2026, and continuing to compound at a modest double-digit rate in the coming years.
While these projections show strong potential for Oracle to be a compounder, I believe they may be somewhat conservative. The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) jumped 53% year-over-year to $99 billion by the end of the first fiscal quarter, indicating that their pipeline of signed work is growing faster than revenue. Once Oracle scales its solutions and workforce to match this RPO growth, we could see both revenue and EPS accelerate further.
In fact, while Oracle’s forward revenue growth is projected at just 8.86% for the next 12 months, their backlog is growing by over 50%. This suggests a notable gap between revenue expectations and actual demand.
I believe the current revenue growth projections are too low, and once revised upward, they could become a key growth catalyst for the company.
As for Oracle’s valuation, its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 24.74, which is just 6.76% above the sector median of 23.17. However, given Oracle’s growth potential, I think it warrants a P/E ratio closer to 30.12, which is roughly 30% above the sector median. This would imply an additional 21.75% upside for the stock, excluding dividends.
With a forward P/E ratio only slightly above the sector median, despite Oracle’s impressive growth, the company’s performance suggests the stock should be trading at a higher valuation.
Larry Ellison is the man that I always can trust his vision and always bullish on his spirit and his ambitious. Oracle expanding influence in AI, coupled with robust revenue growth, positions the stock for significant upside. AI is like a modern day Gold Rush, and Oracle, much like GPU makers, is providing the essential tools the "pickaxe" for AI companies so That’s a space I’m eager to invest in
the chart looks insane and if there will be pullback I consider it as a buy opportunity
Comprehensive Analysis of Chevron (CVX) - 16/09/2024Chevron (CVX) is an established energy company listed in the S&P 500 index.
Technical Analysis: I use moving averages as zones rather than lines. On the weekly chart, I applied the 200 EMA and 200 SMA, shading the area between them in orange to create a moving average zone. Currently, prices are finding support in this zone on the weekly chart.
Additionally, the $140 level acts as a demand zone and creates confluence.
On the daily chart, the ATR-based Keltner Channels are touching the lower band, indicating that downside volatility has reached its natural limits. There is also a bullish order block present.
On the 4-hour chart, I use the Inverse Fisher RSI. It filters out noise and provides fewer false signals compared to the standard RSI.
On the 1-hour chart, there is a noticeable decline in volume. Remember, without volume, it is difficult to break through support or resistance levels. From a technical standpoint, different timeframes are giving BUY signals.
Fundamental Analysis: The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.81, which is considered normal for the sector. In the last quarter, Chevron reported total revenue of $49.66 billion and a net profit of $4.43 billion, resulting in a 9% profit margin, which meets my no-loss rule.
Chevron has strong return on equity, and growth continues. Its current ratio is 1.16, meaning its short-term assets exceed its liabilities, indicating financial stability.
The price-to-book ratio is 1.60, which is excellent for a company of this size.
Chevron's total assets stand at $260 billion, while total liabilities are around $100 billion, meaning the company's debt-to-assets ratio is 38.51%, which is highly acceptable.
The company’s annual dividend yield is 4.55%, providing a potential bonus for long-term investors.
With CVX trading near its 52-week low and showing positive signals, it could be a good choice for portfolio managers.
MSFT Daily OverviewMICROSOFT remains one of my favourite instruments in STOCK TRADING.
I've always enjoyed watching it's price movements, I believe it has remained a solid investment consistently.
Right now I believe Microsoft is about to start recovering from it's recent drawdown and start to move bullish after it hit a major RESISTANCE zone.
We will do further analysis on this instrument once more bars are printed!
Chembond can bond well in your medium term portfolio.Chembond Chemicals Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of specialty chemicals. Its products include water treatment, polymers, construction chemicals, coatings, animal nutrition's, and industrial biotech products.
Chembond Chemicals Ltd. CMP is 617.25. The positive aspects of the company are moderate Valuation (P.E. = 19), Company with Low Debt, Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth and Strong Performer, Under Radar Stocks. The Negative aspects of the company are Fall in Quarterly Revenue, net profit and increase trend of non-core income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 624 Targets in the stock will be 656 and 677. The long-term target in the stock will be 706 and 746. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 586 or 553 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
HEG may be in last Leg of consolidation before it can move up.HEG Ltd. engages in the manufacture and exporter of graphite electrodes. It operates through the Graphite Electrodes and Power Generation segments.
HEG Ltd. CMP is 2069.30 The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Strong cash generating ability from core business and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 40.8), Declining profits every quarter for the past 4 quarters, Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and PE higher compared to Industry PE.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2089 Targets in the stock will be 2200, 2306, 2406, 2502 and 2565. The long-term target in the stock will be 2622, 2658 and 2750. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1997 or 1922 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
SPOTIFY to resume the uptrend and target $400.Spotify (SPOT) tested and held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on Monday. This is the second progressive MA hold it makes after rebounding on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on July 18 2024.
The latter technically was a Higher Low on the nearly 2-year Channel Up pattern that has posted two cycles of Bullish Legs within that time span of around +160% each. The 1D RSI is posting a similar Bull Flag as in September - October 2023, so we might be in the same symmetry as that price action.
As you can see, that fractal rose to above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension following a 1D MA50 rebound, so if the current price action replicates it, we should see $400 by early November.
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KPI GREEN Stock Long Trade Setup in 15m TF using RisologicalKPI GREEN Stock Long Trade Setup in 15m TF using Risological
Entry, Stoploss and profit targets are marked in the chart for your reference.
If the price sustains above the Risological trend line (dotted line), we will see a further move upwards.
This could potentially be a few days hold trade. So, plan accordingly.
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent!
Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area.
Levels to watch: $30, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
SNAP is perhaps the best buy in the market right now.Snap Inc. (SNAP) has formed a Double Bottom around 8.30 and posted a strong rebound yesterday, while the 1D MACD is already on a Bullish Cross since August 19. The latter has been the strongest buy signal since December 29 2022
The minimum level that the stock hit after such signal has been the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so even if the price marginally pulls back for a re-test, the current levels are an excellent medium-term buy opportunity. Our Target is $12.00 (just above the 0.5 Fib).
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Nvidia Go Bye Bye | Short or Take Profits Whenever news commentators feel the need to interview a CEO, and hail the CEO as some kind of benevolent "hero of the people", that is a pretty good indicator that something is awry.
The same applies for rampant social media hype.
At the end of the day, the chart & the macro backdrop tell the real story.
NASDAQ:NVDA will collapse from here. Don't bother trying to buy any time soon, you will only be hurting yourself; this thing, along with the broader market has some significant adjusting (downward) to work through.
Kotak bank can consolidate and move upwardsKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. Engages in the provision of commercial banking services. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Balance Sheet Management Unit (BMU) and Corporate Centre; Retail Banking; Corporate or Wholesale Banking; Vehicle Financing, Other Lending Activities; Broking; Advisory and Transactional Services; Asset Management; Insurance and Other Banking Business.
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. CMP is 1790.15. The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. = 16.5), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Good quarterly growth in the recent results. The Negative aspects of the company are PE higher than Industry PE, Increase in Provisions in Recent Results and Promoter decreasing their shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1793 Targets in the stock will be 1828 and 1864. The long-term target in the stock will be 1896 and 1928. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1732 or 1666 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
SRF can Surf upwards after consolidation. SRF Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of chemical-based industrial intermediates. It operates through the following segments: Technical Textiles Business, Chemicals Business, Packaging Film Business etc. The Chemicals Business segment comprises of refrigerant gases, industrial chemicals, specialty chemicals, fluoro chemicals & allied products and its research and development.
SRF Ltd. CMP is 2529.15. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 61), De-growth in Revenue and Profit, Inefficient use of capital to generate profits and Inefficient use of shareholder funds.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2529 Targets in the stock will be 2579, 2656 and 2693. The long-term target in the stock will be 2756 and 2855. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2427 or 2285 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.