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Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal. Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272). Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction. Tactical plan: — Entry: market $42–43 — Target 1: $55.91 — Target 2: $63.57 When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
RF 1D: Breakout or Just a Bullish Pause?Regions Financial (ticker: RF) finally escaped the descending channel it had been stuck in for nearly 8 months — like someone who missed their stop and woke up in a different state. The breakout came with volume and a hold above the 50-day MA, which technically gives the bulls a reason to stretch their legs — cautiously. The price has already cleared the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~21.66), and is now pushing toward the 0.5 zone (~22.87). If momentum holds, the next key area is target 1 around 24.00–24.50. Beyond that — and this is where things get ambitious — we have target 2 in the 27.50–28.50 range, which aligns with pre-breakdown resistance from late 2024. RSI is climbing into overbought territory but still confirms the breakout rather than warning of a top — at least for now. On the macro side: U.S. regional banks have had a rough ride in early 2025, but RF has held up better than many peers. The recent earnings beat and visible uptick in volume suggest growing institutional interest. If bond yields keep cooling and risk appetite returns to the value sector, RF could remain in favor. That said, bulls need to see a confirmed hold above 22.80. Otherwise, this could end up as another failed retest — and bears are always lurking just outside the channel.
NYSE:RFLong
by TotoshkaTrades
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels. The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets. The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback. Key Fibonacci levels: 0.618 — $133.60 0.5 — $151.42 0.382 — $169.25 0.236 — $191.30 0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high) The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet. Fundamentals: AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory. There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff. Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead. The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional. Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility. Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move. Tactical plan: — Entry: by market — Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50 — Stop: below $4.00 or trendline If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
NASDAQ:GRABLong
by TotoshkaTrades
5
"MDLZ Heist LIVE! Quick Profit Grab Before Reversal!"🚨 MONDELEZ HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Zone! (Swing/Day Trade Plan) 🚨 Thief Trading Strategy | High-Risk, High-Reward Play 🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! To all Money Makers & Strategic Robbers 🤑💸—this is your blueprint to plunder "MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC" with precision. 🔎 THIEF TRADING ANALYSIS (Technical + Fundamental) The Vault is Open! Bullish momentum detected, but caution—this is a high-risk police barricade zone (resistance level). Overbought? Consolidation? Reversal? Yes. Bears lurk here, but we’re stealing profits before the trap snaps. 🎯 Target: 72.50 (or escape earlier if momentum fades). 🚨 Scalpers: Long-only! Use trailing stops to protect gains. 📈 ENTRY: How to Swipe the Loot "Buy the Dip" Strategy: Optimal entries on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe). DCA/Layering Tactics: Spread limit orders for better risk control. Aggressive Robbers: Enter now. Patient Thieves: Wait for retests. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Survival Rules SL at 68.50 (nearest swing low wick on 2H chart). Adjust based on risk/lot size—protect your capital! ⚡ CRITICAL ALERTS 📰 News Volatility: Avoid new trades during major releases. Lock profits with trailing stops! 📊 Fundamental Drivers: Check COT reports, macro trends, and sector sentiment Klick the 🔗. ⚠️ Reminder: This is NOT financial advice. DYOR and manage risk! 💥 BOOST THE HEIST! Like 👍 + Boost 🔄 to fuel our next market robbery plan. Together, we trade smarter, steal bigger, and profit faster! 🚀 Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🤑🔥
NASDAQ:MDLZLong
by The-Thief
SOUTHBANK - BUY SOUTHBANK - BUY NOW Key points : South Indian Bank strong Fundamentals . Stock PE - 5.47 Industry PE - 10.8 Stock Price Trade at Below Book Value .. Company Price - Possible to Double Technical : Monthly - Take Support Day - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout Entry - 25.45 Rs Target - 35.55 Rs Stoploss - 21 Rs Expected - 39 % This is Only for My Trade Setup . Dont follow Blindly . Take Educational Purpose Only . We not any responsiblities for Profit and loss .. Thank You . Happy Trading ..
NSE:SOUTHBANKLong
by Dreamtrader00
Is it right time and choice to buy UNH Stock - {15/07/2025}Educational Analysis says that UNH Stock (USA) may give trend Trading opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis. Broker - NA So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range. So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap Let's see what this Stock brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading.
NYSE:UNHLong
by VishalBudhrani
OSCR LONG IDEALooking at the weekly chart of OSCR stock, there's a long opportunity which can be taken advantage of to make some money provided that market follows the projection. In order to take advantage of this long opportunity, a buy order limit can be placed at $12.38 while the exit can be at $11.09 and the final target can be at $22.80. Confluences for this long idea are as follows: 1. Weekly break of structure 2. Valid Inducement (structural liquidity) 3. Orderflow 4. Sweep 5. Valid demand zone in the discount level 6. Imbalance 7. Pattern confirmation formed after mitigation of a demand zone indicating that there's a bullish change of trend. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by KofTFx
2
RSKD - breakout confirmed, now waiting for retestRiskified (RSKD) shows a textbook breakout setup: daily triangle plus 4H bullish flag. Price already broke out and is now retesting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $5.21, which also matches the flag resistance flip and EMA cluster. This is a clean buy zone with strong technical alignment. Volume spiked during the breakout, trend structure remains intact, and moving averages are converging — usually a precursor to strong moves. The current pullback is orderly, and if buyers show strength on this retest, the price could target $6.00, then $6.54, and potentially $7.25 (1.618 extension). Fundamentally, Riskified offers fraud prevention tech for e-commerce. The business is benefiting from global growth in online transactions and improved margin control. While still unprofitable, recent quarters showed progress toward positive operating leverage and strong client acquisition. Tactical plan: — Entry on confirmation from $5.21 retest — TP1: $6.00 — TP2: $6.54 — TP3: $7.25 — SL: below $4.90 or $4.43 support zone You’ve been watching this one. The triangle broke. The pullback is clean. Maybe it’s time to stop watching and start participating.
NYSE:RSKDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally: What to consider now: 1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base. 2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential. 3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout. 4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter. 5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AAPLLong
by TopgOptions