Stockstrading
Nasdaq Index: Technicals and the 2020 US Presidential ElectionsIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Analysis
- To begin with, we can look at the Nasdaq Index's monthly chart on the logarithmic scale
- The logarithmic scale provides a broader overview of the general trend, as well as clearer percentage changes in the market
- We can first see that Nasdaq (IXIC) dropped significantly during the 2008 financial crisis.
- After dropping a whopping 55% (which is a lot considering that this is an index), it has been on a steady uptrend ever since
- The Nasdaq Index has been on a clear and steady uptrend since 2009, trading within an ascending parallel channel
- Ever since it reclaimed moving average support as well, prices never dropped below the 30 simple moving average (SMA).
- The Ichimoku cloud also demonstrates that the trend is clearly bullish for the long term, as prices trade above cloud support
- There have been times in 2010 and 2011 when prices tested the upper channel resistance, only to drop back and test the channel's middle line support
- During the recent market crash caused by the Corona Virus (Covid-19) outbreak, while prices have initially dropped below the channel support, the candle managed to close above it
- Nasdaq was able to not only reclaim the lower trend line support, but also the 30 sma support
- Last month, however, prices have overextended and tested the ascending trend line resistance once again.
- Based on current technicals and the fact that the 2020 US Presidential Elections is not far ahead, even a significant 26% drop would maintain the bullish trend.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows weakening bullish histograms, but the trend's overall momentum remains solid.
Conclusion
As historical data demonstrates that the stock market has a tendency to correct before the US presidential election takes place, it's also logical to expect a form of correction, specifically in the more volatile Nasdaq Index. However, we are seeing potential signs of a functioning vaccine being developed for the Corona Virus, and with my personal expectation that the virus will no longer post any obstacles to mankind by the end of next year, that gets rid of a major issue preventing the market from further rallying. Interest rates will continue to remain low for a while, and with bullish technicals being intact, it's suggested that people look to 'buy the dip' during times of a correction.
Good spot for buying Fraport AGI expecting on the next week a bounce at "gap close" by 34.84€ and this is in our monthly buy range . Maybe we hold this and made a new lower high. RSI level on monthly is clearly oversold like 2009.
Monthly-Chart:
My buy orders are between 34.84€ and 34.46€(turquoise lines).
Take profit target is between 37.40€ and 38.68€ (+8%-10%).
Stop loss: 33.44€ (-3.50%)
Longterm target: 47.54€ (+37.14%)
REMOVE YOUR BIAS!
Trade simple, made money and be happy!
Thanks,
Disziplinierter_Trader
GO LONGgo long on apple.
the goal with apple was 530 before the stock split.
now we know apple is worth more than is current value, and we got a small correction that is actually good for the bullish trend.
everything just hit trend support level, its definitly a buy.
+ with the iphone 12 to come we can assure you that apple is still a go long position to take.
now its a good entry.
bests regards, david vice-CEO at richmonstocks.
STOCK TRADING : 20) thong guan- top20JewelMalaysiaStocks-top 20 jewels frm a very popular local bank...
-technical : let's look at some price action...
this is trade 158) frm haidojo trading and the update frm trade 126)…Tguan has broken abv the resistance-turn-support RM4.87
nowit will continue its uptrend until a lower-high and lower-low are formed...
current support : RM5.30
strong support : RM4.87
resistance : RM5.65-5.70
Overall, tguan is uptrend now…it has broken abv its resistance level and continues its uptrend journey...
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode shall not be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
**your "LIKE" and "FOLLOW" are my main source of motivation to continue posting more valuable contents...TQ**
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$NVDIA testing the channel high $NVDIA is possibly reflecting the market conditions the best, it is reaching the long-term channel up high in a narrow range channel. We have 5 days till the next earnings announcement and the expectations are quite high. Fundamentally P/E ratio of the $NVDIA at the moment is almost 90. Someone would say that this is usual for a tech company but it should be quite rational to question the ability of the stock to outperform more as the technical bulls are expecting, this is not just a question only for this stock this is a question for the market in whole, not just this stock. I would look to short this kind of the market not to go long, or in other words those that were buying need to take their profit.
Decent Dip Entry for CAPR: Buy Alert!Right now, I am confident enough to say that CAPR is due for a likely reentry. I believe that it has been recently oversold and the bearish correlation is about to have its resistance popped quite soon. The upswing potential is there. That being said, please proceed with caution and invest at your own risk. As always, everything I say is on an opinion based basis not meant to be taken seriously as actionable financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
Why I called Short on FSLY Yesterday and think it will hit <$85Aftermarket, I noticed that FSLY had a largely bearish correlation for the day. I expected it to continue to the next day given that it has been having a consistent bull run for quite a while. When a bull run is too long and people are way too overly optimistic for the earnings, what can one expect? Now I think the price may bottom out close to the $85 price point. That being said, there is still low to mid risk entering now given it may start a retracement correlation pattern. However, I would likely call this a short given safer bets are out there for dips. That being said, please proceed with caution. Everything I say is on an opinion based basis. Do your own due diligence and invest at your own risk.
My Favorite After Hours Dip: Immenent Retrace???My entry for wedge #2 was $1.76. PT target is $3.08. Right now, I expect a positive retracement given the massive selloff was towards the bottom floor and the pattern last earnings call. Once support levels pick up, this will retest and retrace closer towards today's opening. If I'm right, very large profit turnovers for those who get the dip. That being said, everything I say is on an opinion based basis. Please proceed with caution and do your own due diligence. Keep a close watch.