NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
Stocktrading
Netflix on the Rise Bullish Breakout in Motion!Trendline Support
The price is respecting an ascending trendline, indicating a strong bullish sentiment.
Recent candles have bounced off this support line, confirming its reliability.
Breakout Confirmation
The price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level around $870.
This breakout suggests bullish continuation, especially with volume support.
Risk-to-Reward Setup
A well-defined risk-to-reward ratio is visible.
Stop-loss appears to be placed below $853, protecting against a false breakout.
Target set around $939 aligns with a significant resistance zone, offering a potential reward.
Indicators
Positive price momentum is evident, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
Likely supported by broader market strength in tech stocks.
Next Steps
Monitor the price action for sustained movement above $870.
A retracement to retest the breakout level could provide a secondary entry.
Key resistance to watch: $900 and $939.
NFLX is poised for a bullish continuation, with the current setup offering a high-probability trade opportunity.
Trading CFDs on Stocks vs ETFs: Differences and AdvantagesTrading CFDs on Stocks vs ETFs: Differences and Advantages
Many traders wonder whether it’s worth trading ETFs vs stocks. The truth is that they both offer distinct advantages depending on your strategy. Whether you're drawn to the diversification of ETFs or the high volatility of individual stocks, understanding their differences is key. This article breaks down the difference between stocks and ETFs and the advantages of each.
What Are ETFs vs Stocks?
Although you are well aware of what stocks and ETFs are, let us give a quick overview. ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, are collections of assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities bundled into a single security. Instead of buying individual assets, traders gain exposure to an entire market segment or strategy by trading ETFs. For example, SPY tracks the S&P 500, providing access to 500 major companies in one trade. ETFs are traded on exchanges like stocks, with prices fluctuating throughout the day based on supply and demand.
Stocks, by contrast, signify direct ownership in a particular company. When trading stocks, you’re focusing on the performance of that single entity, whether it’s a household name like Tesla (TSLA) or an emerging small-cap company. In comparing stocks vs an ETF, stocks are often more volatile than ETFs, creating opportunities for traders to capture sharp price movements.
In this article, we will talk about CFDs on ETFs and stocks. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) allow traders to speculate on the rising and falling prices of an asset without owning it. To explore a world of stocks and ETFs, head over to FXOpen.
Key Differences Between ETFs and Stocks
Understanding the distinctions between an ETF vs stocks is essential for traders aiming to refine their strategies. While both are popular instruments, they behave differently in the market and suit different trading approaches. Let’s break it down.
1. Composition
The primary difference between an ETF and a stock is its makeup. ETFs are baskets of assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities, offering built-in diversification. For example, the Invesco QQQ ETF holds top Nasdaq-listed companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla. Stocks, however, represent a single company. Trading a stock like Amazon (AMZN) means your potential returns depend solely on its performance, while ETFs spread risk across multiple assets.
2. Volatility
Stocks are generally more volatile. A single earnings miss or CEO resignation can send a stock’s price soaring or crashing. ETFs, because they pool multiple assets, experience smaller swings. For instance, SPY’s price tends to move more steadily than a volatile stock like Tesla, making ETFs potentially easier to analyse for certain trading strategies.
3. Liquidity and Trading Volume
Liquidity varies significantly. ETFs tracking major indices like SPY are considered liquid instruments, with high trading volumes. Stocks can be just as liquid, especially large-cap companies, but smaller or niche ETFs and stocks may suffer from lower liquidity and wider spreads or gaps in pricing.
4. Costs
Investing in stocks typically involves just the price of the shares and brokerage fees. ETFs often have expense ratios—annual fees taken from the fund’s value. While these are usually small (e.g., 0.09% for SPY), they’re an added cost traders need to consider.
However, with ETF CFDs, these fees are bypassed, leaving traders with only the broker’s spread and commission to consider. Stock CFDs work similarly, eliminating transaction costs tied to owning the underlying asset.
Advantages of Trading ETFs
Trading ETFs offers unique opportunities that appeal to a range of strategies. Their structure, diversity, and flexibility make them a valuable choice for traders. Here’s what sets them apart:
1. Diversification in a Single Trade
Trading ETFs gives exposure to a group of assets, reducing the risk of being impacted by a single asset's performance. For instance, SPY tracks the S&P 500, spreading risk across 500 companies. This makes ETFs a great way to trade entire sectors or indices without committing to individual assets.
2. Sector or Thematic Focus
ETFs allow traders to target industries, regions, or themes with precision. Whether it's technology through XLK, emerging markets via EEM, or even volatility with UVXY, ETFs open the door to strategies that align with traders’ interests and market views.
3. Lower Volatility
Because ETFs pool assets, they experience less extreme price movements than individual stocks. This steadier behaviour can make them suitable for traders looking to avoid the sharp volatility of single stocks while still taking advantage of price action.
4. Liquidity in Major Funds
Popular ETFs like QQQ and SPY are highly liquid, which may contribute to tighter spreads. Their volume also supports smooth execution for both large and small positions.
5. Accessibility Through CFDs
Many traders prefer ETFs via CFDs, which allow traders to open buy and sell positions without owning the underlying asset. CFDs often provide leverage, giving traders the potential to amplify returns while keeping costs tied to spreads and commissions instead of fund expense ratios (please remember about high risks related to leverage trading).
Advantages of Trading Stocks
Trading stocks offers a direct and focused way to engage with the market. In ETF trading vs stocks, stocks may provide unique opportunities for traders who are drawn to fast-paced action or want to specialise in specific companies or sectors. Here’s what makes trading stocks appealing:
1. High Volatility for Bigger Moves
Stocks often experience significant price swings, creating potential opportunities for traders to capitalise on sharp movements. For example, earnings reports, product launches, or market news can drive stocks like Tesla (TSLA) or Amazon (AMZN) to see dramatic intraday price changes.
2. Targeted Exposure
With stocks, traders can zero in on a single company, sector, or niche. If a trader believes Apple (AAPL) is set to gain due to new product developments, they can focus entirely on that potential without being diluted by other assets in a fund.
3. News Sensitivity
Stocks respond quickly and significantly to news events, providing frequent trading setups. Mergers, management changes, or regulatory updates often result in immediate price movements, making them popular among traders who thrive on analysing market catalysts.
4. Wide Range of Opportunities
The sheer variety of stocks—from large-cap giants to small-cap companies—offers endless opportunities for traders. Whether trading high-profile names like Nvidia (NVDA) or speculative small-caps, there’s something for every trading style and risk tolerance.
5. Leverage with CFDs
Stocks can also be traded via CFDs, allowing traders to take advantage of price movements with smaller initial capital. This opens the door to flexible position sizes and leverage, amplifying potential returns in active trading.
ETFs for Swing Trade and Day Trade
ETFs cater to both swing and day traders with their diverse offerings and high liquidity. Some popular swing trading ETFs and ETFs for day trading strategies include:
ETFs for Swing Trading
- SPY (S&P 500 ETF): Tracks the S&P 500, offering exposure to large-cap US companies with steady trends.
- IWO (Russell 2000 ETF): Focuses on small-cap stocks, which tend to be more volatile, providing swing traders with stronger price movements.
- XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR): A tech-heavy ETF that moves in response to sector trends, popular for capturing medium-term shifts.
- XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR): Tracks energy companies, useful for swing traders analysing oil and energy market fluctuations.
Day Trading ETFs:
- QQQ (Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF): Offers high intraday liquidity and volatility, making it a favourite for fast trades in tech-heavy markets.
- UVXY (ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF): A volatility ETF that reacts quickly to market fear, providing potential opportunities for rapid price changes.
- XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR): Tracks financial stocks and has consistent volume for capturing short-term sector-driven moves.
Stocks for Swing Trading and Day Trading
Selecting the right stocks is crucial for effective trading. High liquidity and volatility are key factors that make certain stocks more suitable for swing and day trading. Here are some of the most popular options for both styles:
Stocks for Swing Trading
- Apple Inc. (AAPL): Known for its consistent performance and clear trends.
- Tesla Inc. (TSLA): Exhibits significant price movements, offering potential opportunities to capitalise on medium-term swings.
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): A leader in the semiconductor industry with strong momentum, suitable for capturing sector trends.
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): Provides steady price action, allowing traders to take advantage of consistent movements.
Stocks for Day Trading
- Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): High daily volume and volatility make it a favourite among day traders.
- Meta Platforms Inc. (META): Offers substantial intraday price swings, presenting potential trading opportunities.
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): Combines liquidity with moderate volatility, suitable for quick trades.
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Provides consistent intraday movements.
How to Choose Between an ETF vs Individual Stocks for Trading
Choosing between stocks and ETFs depends on your trading goals, strategy, and risk appetite. Each offers unique advantages, so understanding their characteristics can help you decide which suits your approach.
- Risk Tolerance: Stocks often come with higher volatility, making them attractive for traders comfortable with sharper price movements. ETFs offer diversification, which can reduce the impact of individual market shocks.
- Trading Strategy: For short-term trades, highly liquid ETFs like QQQ or volatile stocks like TSLA might be considerable. If you're swing trading, ETFs and large-cap stocks may provide steady trends.
- Market Focus: In individual stocks vs ETFs, ETFs give access to broad sectors or indices, popular among traders analysing macro trends. Stocks allow for focused plays on individual companies reacting to earnings or news.
- Time Commitment: Stocks typically require more monitoring due to their rapid price changes. ETFs, especially sector-specific ones, may demand less frequent attention depending on your strategy.
The Bottom Line
ETFs and stocks may offer unique opportunities, whether you're targeting diversification or sharp price movements. By understanding the differences between ETFs versus stocks and aligning them with your strategy, you can take advantage of different trading conditions. Ready to start trading? Open an FXOpen account today to access a wide range of ETF and stock CFDs with trading conditions designed for active traders.
FAQ
What Is an ETF vs a Stock?
ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are collections of assets, such as stocks or bonds, combined into a single tradable unit. They offer built-in diversification, as buying one ETF provides exposure to multiple assets. Stocks, in contrast, signify ownership in an individual company.
Should I Trade the S&P 500 or Individual Stocks?
Trading the S&P 500 (via ETFs like SPY or through index CFDs) provides exposure to the 500 largest US companies, reducing reliance on any single stock. Individual stocks offer higher volatility and opportunities for sharper price movements. Evaluate your strategy and risk tolerance to choose the suitable asset.
ETFs vs Individual Stocks: Which Is Better?
Neither ETFs nor individual stocks are inherently better—it depends on your goals. ETFs offer diversification and potentially lower volatility, making them suitable for broad market exposure. Stocks provide targeted opportunities from individual company performance.
Do ETFs Pay Dividends?
Yes, ETFs often pay dividends when their underlying holdings generate income. These are typically paid out periodically, similar to dividends from individual stocks. However, when trading CFDs, dividends are not paid in the traditional sense, as you do not own the underlying asset. However, adjustments are made to your account to reflect dividend payments.
Can I Sell ETFs Anytime?
ETFs trade on exchanges during market hours, making them highly liquid. Therefore, you can buy or sell ETFs on specific days and hours.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Morgan Stanley Breaks Free A Bullish Wedge Reversal in ActionMorgan Stanley (MS) on the 4-hour chart has confirmed a breakout from a descending wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish reversal. The breakout is accompanied by increased momentum, as indicated by the clean surge above the wedge’s upper boundary. This setup is a classic reversal signal, with bulls reclaiming control.
The entry is placed at 137.87, capitalizing on the breakout momentum. The stop loss is strategically positioned at 123.50, below the wedge’s lower boundary, to safeguard against invalidation of the setup. The take profit is set at 155.35, aligning with the wedge’s projected target based on its height.
The trade exhibits a solid risk-to-reward ratio, and the breakout aligns with the broader bullish market sentiment for the stock. With buyers driving the price upwards, this trade setup offers a high-probability opportunity for trend continuation.
Feroz Technical Analysis: Potential Buy OpportunityFeroz currently displays a bullish trend supported by key indicators. Price has rebounded from a trendline and is trading above the 89-day EMA, a historically significant support level respected by the price action. A recent support zone bounce and alignment with the Fibonacci Golden Ratio further strengthen the bullish outlook. Buy levels are 330 (CMP) and 310, with a stop-loss set on a closing price below 275.
Happy trading!
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time
AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report
With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating.
From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street
AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value.
At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach.
AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore.
Performance
In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers.
Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions.
The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year.
Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform.
Valuation
Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective.
In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth.
Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably.
Risks
Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet.
Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction
Conclusion
Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps.
I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.
TESLA (TSLA)BIAS: BULLISH
After the reversal, there was a push touching ATH and now looking for support on the previous...
To change bearish bias:
A push below 360-300p/s would be expected... Strong support around 260.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
WALMART: The first buy opportunity of 2025 is here.Walmart has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.502, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 31.554) as it is trading sideways on top of the 1D MA50. This is a strong support level that has been unbroken since August 14th 2024 but the sideways trending 1D RSI resembles all times since September 2022 that it crossed under it and then rallied. Consequently this is already a strong buy signal, regardless of whether the price breaks the 1D MA50 or not as, at worst it is expected to trade sideways for another 1-2 weeks and then rebound. We aim for a +22% price increase (TP = 108.00) like the last two bullish waves delivered.
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Qifu Technology (QFIN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Qifu Technology NASDAQ:QFIN is a prominent digital financial services provider in China, offering a broad range of loan products and financial services through its growing platform. The company has built a robust consumer base, connecting millions of users with over 160 financial institutions, ensuring strong diversification and market leadership.
Key Growth Drivers
Platform Growth:
254.3 Million Consumers (As of Sept 30, 2024): Qifu's impressive growth, with an 11.6% year-over-year increase in consumer connections, underscores the expanding adoption of its services. This large and growing user base reflects strong demand for digital financial solutions in China.
Diversified Loan Products: Qifu’s partnerships with 162 financial institutions provide access to a wide variety of loan products, helping to attract a broad customer base and drive increased revenue through a diverse range of offerings.
Management Confidence:
$450 Million Share Repurchase Plan (2025): The announcement of a significant share repurchase program indicates strong confidence from management in the company's future prospects and suggests that Qifu's stock may be undervalued at current levels. This initiative is likely to boost shareholder value and enhance investor sentiment.
Strategic Growth Focus: The share buyback also demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns and signals management's belief in the company's long-term growth potential.
Market Leadership and Financial Strength:
Positioning as a Market Leader: Qifu's leadership in the digital financial services sector is reinforced by its strong partnerships and growing consumer base, giving it a competitive edge in a rapidly expanding market.
Revenue Growth: Qifu’s ability to generate revenue through its loan products and financial services will continue to expand as the platform connects more consumers and diversifies its offerings.
Investment Thesis:
Qifu Technology is well-positioned to capitalize on China’s growing digital financial services market, leveraging its vast consumer base, partnerships with financial institutions, and strategic buyback program. These factors, coupled with management’s confidence in the stock’s value, make Qifu an attractive investment opportunity.
Bullish Case:
Target Price Range: $67.00–$68.00
Entry Range: $32.00–$33.00
Upside Potential: The combination of strong consumer growth, solid partnerships, and management's strategic initiatives positions Qifu for significant upside potential in the coming quarters.
Vistra Corporation (VST) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Vistra Corporation NYSE:VST is a prominent U.S. integrated power company, combining retail and wholesale energy services. The company is actively transitioning toward renewable energy while maintaining a balanced portfolio with its conventional energy assets. Vistra's commitment to sustainability is reflected in the recent development of solar projects, positioning it well for the future of energy.
Key Growth Drivers
Renewable Energy Expansion:
Large Solar Projects in Illinois: Vistra's recent connection of two significant solar projects underscores its push to diversify into clean energy. This not only aligns with consumer demand for green energy but also supports regulatory trends favoring sustainability.
Strategic Diversification: By enhancing its portfolio with renewables, Vistra is positioning itself as a leading player in the transition to cleaner energy sources.
Operational Adaptability with Conventional Assets:
Baldwin Power Plant Extension (1,185 MW): The extension of this key asset through 2027 allows Vistra to maintain reliable power generation in the MISO market while transitioning to renewables. The move exemplifies strategic balance, ensuring reliability while supporting green energy goals.
Operational Flexibility: Vistra's ability to adapt its mix of assets enables it to capitalize on diverse market conditions.
Leadership and Regulatory Expertise:
Rob Walters Appointment: The recent addition of Rob Walters as an independent director strengthens Vistra’s regulatory and strategic leadership. This move enhances the company’s ability to navigate the evolving energy landscape, building investor confidence in its long-term strategy.
Investment Thesis:
Vistra is well-positioned to capitalize on both renewable energy growth and conventional energy reliability. The company's expansion into solar power and commitment to sustainable energy solutions, combined with the extension of key assets like Baldwin Power Plant, reinforces its competitive edge in a transforming energy market.
Bullish Case:
Target Price Range: $210.00–$220.00
Entry Range: $140.00–$142.00
Upside Potential: Strong growth potential due to diversified energy portfolio, renewable energy investments, and strategic leadership appointments.
Kalyan Jewellers: Continuation H&SPrices have formed a continuation Head & Shoulders whose neckline is 775 zone. Prices have given a breakout of the neckline and likely to continue the uptrend. The measured target of the pattern is coming in the region of 950 zone. On the downside the key level is 712.
TESLA WILL GROW|LONG|
✅TESLA made a retest of
The wide key horizontal
Support level around 380/400$ range
Then established a double bottom
And is going up now so as the
Stock is in the uptrend
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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How Ride the AI Wave in 2025 | Top AI Stocks The AI boom is still making waves on Wall Street
Over the past 15 months, investors have injected more than $ 5 billion into tech sector funds. This surge was fueled by three consecutive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, coupled with Donald Trump's presidential victory, which led investors to pour over $140 billion into the stock market, hoping tax reforms would boost corporate profits. A significant portion of this activity has been driven by the growing interest in artificial intelligence, with AI driven companies leading a remarkable 25% rally in the S&P 500 this year. Nvidia (NVDA), a key player in the AI sector, has soared 149% in the past year, while major tech firms like Microsoft (MSFT) and its collaboration with OpenAI, and Google’s (GOOG) Gemini project, have also contributed to the rise in stock prices.
The AI market is expected to expand from approximately $540 billion last year to over $1.8 trillion by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% through 2032. In the final weeks of his presidency, Joe Biden's administration introduced new regulations to block the export of US-made semiconductors to adversarial nations, including Russia and China. This move is part of the ongoing AI arms race, with the US aiming to maintain its lead in manufacturing the chips essential for powering AI technology.
AI Stocks: The Only ‘Bubble’ You Want to Be In
North America held the largest share of the global AI market in 2023, accounting for nearly 37%. Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), and Latin America followed with shares of 25.5%, 24%, and 13.6%, respectively.
Whoever controls AI holds the power and the same is true in the corporate world. AI related stocks, such as Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Nvidia, delivered triple digit returns and led the market in 2024. Growing investor interest has also made it easier to trade AI focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which offer exposure to broader industry themes rather than individual companies. However, performance can vary.
For instance, the Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) and the Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) have shown comparable results since 2020, consistently outperforming the broader market.
Meanwhile, the iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) has underperformed compared to the S&P 500. So, how can you identify the top AI stocks when certain ETFs are lagging? This is where the Quant Rating System comes in. Quant Ratings combine proprietary computer processing technology with "quantamental" analysis, allowing you to filter out the noise and focus on AI stocks with strong fundamentals that are expected to grow earnings at an above average rate.
Leading AI Companies Worldwide
Major tech giants like Amazon (AMZN), Google, Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and IBM (IBM) have invested billions into AI research to secure a dominant position in this highly profitable space. Whether it's backing high-potential startups like MSFT’s $11 billion stake in OpenAI, or supplying crucial AI hardware such as Nvidia's (NVDA) graphic processing units (GPUs), these companies are striving to stay ahead of competitors.
While generative AI tools like ChatGPT are undeniably shaping the global economy, the potential for significant returns from AI stocks is more nuanced. For instance, Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has dropped over 20% from its all-time high in December, receiving a "hold" rating from Seeking Alpha's Quant system and analysts across Wall Street as of January 9, 2025. Even Nvidia, despite a strong performance in 2024, has seen its stock show signs of stagnation. Other AI stocks are showing signs of potential overvaluation. For example, SoundHound AI (SOUN) recently dropped more than 16%, with analysts highlighting concerns over its unsustainable valuation given its weak fundamentals.
2025 Top AI Stocks
The hype in Silicon Valley can make it challenging to distinguish between AI stocks with long-term potential and those that are overhyped
Our data driven Quant system uses advanced computer processing and proprietary algorithms to analyze thousands of stocks in real time across a range of metrics like value, growth, profitability, EPS revisions, and momentum. To find the top performing AI stocks, I analyzed securities from three leading AI focused ETFs Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), Robo Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (ROBO), and Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ). From this analysis, I selected six top-performing stocks—three largecap and three small-to-medium-cap (SMID)—which represent the diverse opportunities in the AI space. These stocks, both from tech companies providing AI solutions and non-tech firms utilizing AI to enhance productivity, boast an average levered free cash flow margin of about 18.6% and have returned an average of 60% more than the past 12 months.
1. Twilio Inc
Market Capitalization $16.6B
Twilio, a cloud communications company, has returned nearly 51% over the past year and ranks second in the Top Internet Services and Infrastructure sector, just behind Kingsoft Cloud Holdings. The company’s growth has been driven by stronger revenues, reduced losses, increased cash flow, and the completion of a high-profile ETF investor Cathie Wood’s stake sale. Twilio’s strong Q3’24 earnings suggest it’s well-positioned to capitalize on the growing AI trend well into 2025, with its stock more than doubling since May.
Like many cloud computing companies, Twilio, based in San Francisco, gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic but initially struggled with high expenses and slow revenue growth. However, the surge in demand for generative AI, particularly through Twilio's CustomerAI platform which leverages large language models (LLMs) and natural language processing (NLP) to analyze customer data has played a key role in its remarkable recovery.
TWLO Revisions, Momentum, and Valuation
Over the past 90 days, Twilio has seen a remarkable 23 upward revisions to its earnings per share (EPS) and 27 revisions to its revenue projections from analysts, signaling a strong financial rebound. This turnaround is reflected in its ‘A’ Momentum Score, with six-month and nine-month price performances of 93.5% and 81.3%, respectively—both figures vastly outperforming the sector medians by over 1000%. As a result, Twilio has nearly doubled the performance of the S&P 500 in recent months.
Twilio also demonstrates solid growth prospects, with a forward EBITDA growth rate of 50.6% (783% higher than the sector median), year-over-year operating cash flow growth of 520.8% (3,348.45% above the sector median), and an impressive levered free cash flow margin of 107% (603% above the sector median). However, its average forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30x indicates that Twilio trades at a premium compared to its peers, nearly 20% higher than the sector median.
2. Celestica Inc
Market Capitalization $12B
Celestica has seen a remarkable 255% increase in its stock price over the past year, driven by its strategic pivot toward AI infrastructure manufacturing. The company has carved out a niche in producing networking switches for data centers, and its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions segment, which makes up 67% of total revenue, has grown 42% year-over-year as tech companies invest more in AI-powered data centers. Its Q3 '24 results highlighted a 22% increase in revenue to $2.5 billion and record adjusted EPS of $1.04.
CLS Valuation, Momentum, and Growth
Celestica stands out for its attractive valuation, even with impressive returns in 2024. With a forward price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers. It boasts an ‘A+’ Momentum Grade, having received six upward EPS revisions and eight revenue revisions from analysts in the past 90 days. Its Growth Grade has improved significantly, rising from ‘C+’ to ‘B+’ due to forward EPS growth of 49% and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 88%, both significantly outperforming the sector median.
3. DocuSign
Market Capitalization $18.3B
DocuSign, known for its electronic signature services, has embraced AI in innovative ways, particularly by adding new AI features to streamline contract agreement processes. These AI-driven tools have helped the company’s stock surge more than 21% following its impressive Q3 '24 earnings, and the growth trajectory is expected to continue in 2025 as DocuSign expands into new markets, both domestically and in Europe. As SA Analyst Noah’s Arc Capital Management notes, DocuSign's AI features have proven invaluable for businesses, simplifying the often complex task of reviewing and managing contracts.
DOCU Growth, Valuation, and Profitability
DocuSign has demonstrated exceptional growth, including an ‘A+’ EBIT growth rate of 239.21% (10,710% above the sector median) and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 1,852.2% (24,971% higher than its peers). While its overall ‘C+’ Growth Score is somewhat tempered by a low forward return on equity growth forecast of -29.58%, the company’s valuation looks compelling. Its trailing and forward P/E GAAP ratios of 18.6 and 17.9 are 38.6% and 41.5% lower than the sector medians, suggesting that DocuSign's shares are undervalued. Furthermore, its ‘A+’-Rated PEG ratio of 0.01, a 99% difference from the sector median, points to a strong value proposition for investors.
4. FARO Technologies
Market Capitalization $478.2M
FARO Technologies, based in Lake Mary, Florida, specializes in 3D measurement technology and has leveraged AI to establish itself as a leader in "smart factories" and "intelligent automation." Its scanning technology has been instrumental in improving productivity and accelerating production timelines. The company has seen nearly 54% growth over the past six months, benefiting from the expanding global 3D scanning market, projected to grow to $11.85 billion by 2032 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.11%.
In Q3, FARO reported $0.21 of nonGAAP EPS, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of exceeding expectations. This success is part of the company’s strategic plan, which includes the launch of a new line of laser scanners.
FARO Growth and Valuation
FARO's growth metrics stand out, with forward EBIT growth of 112.48%, 1,410.71% higher than the sector median, and an astonishing year-over-year levered free cash flow growth of 24,214.19%, 164,037% above the sector median. The company's forward EBITDA growth of 42.76%, 639.9% higher than the sector median, indicates robust growth ahead.
FARO's stock is undervalued according to its metrics. It has an EV/sales ratio of 1.41, 59% lower than the sector median, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.9, 45% below the sector median, making it an attractive investment at its current valuation.
5. Proto Labs
Market Capitalization $897 M
Proto Labs, a Minnesota-based company, specializes in on-demand manufacturing solutions, enabling businesses to avoid the costs associated with stocking large quantities of products. Despite a recent dip of around 16% in share price, Proto Labs remains a promising investment due to its strong profitability and its impressive cash flow of $24.8 million in Q3 2024, the highest since its 2020 acquisition of 3D printing company 3D Hubs.
Proto Labs has also seen five upward revisions to its EPS and five to its revenue over the last 90 days, signaling stronger-than-expected growth prospects. The company is positioned to benefit from the strong sector tailwinds of the global print-on-demand market, which was valued at $6.18 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.8% through 2030.
PRLB Valuation
Proto Labs boasts an impressive long-term growth rate of 25%, 119% higher than the sector's 11.4%, and a year-over-year capital expenditure (capex) growth of 74.4%, significantly outpacing the sector's 4.3%. This suggests that Proto Labs is reinvesting a large portion of its cash back into its operations to fuel future growth.
The stock is fairly valued with a forward PEG ratio of 0.06, indicating that it is significantly undervalued compared to its peers, at a 49.3% discount from the sector. Its price-to-book ratio of 1.36 is also an attractive metric, 52.83% lower than the sector median. However, its ‘D’-rated forward and trailing P/E ratios of 39.9 and 48.8, respectively, reflect its recent price decline, leading to an overall Valuation Grade of ‘C’.
6. Freshworks
Market Capitalization $4.9 B
Freshworks, a cloud based SaaS company founded in India, is a strong candidate for a "buy the dip" opportunity. After a rough 2024, shares in Freshworks have begun to rebound, thanks to increasing demand for its AI-enabled software solutions. The company serves over 68,000 customers, including global brands like American Express, Shopify, and Airbus. Its Q3’24 financial results were filled with positive indicators:
- 22% YoY revenue growth to $186.6M
- 21% YoY increase in free cash flow
- Raised full year guidance
- Announced a $400M buyback plan
- Maintains a debtfree balance sheet with strong liquidity
Freshworks also announced a 13% reduction in headcount, which is expected to improve margins further, in addition to the impact of its share repurchase program. The company is poised to benefit from the booming AI SaaS market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 30% by 2031.
FRSH Growth, Valuation, and Momentum
Freshworks boasts an impressive A-’ Growth Score, underpinned by its solid revenue growth and forward revenue expansion of 17.8%, a 221.8% difference from the sector median. The company also has a 3-5 year long-term CAGR of 27.5%, significantly outpacing the sector by 824.2%. Its year-over-year capital expenditure growth stands at 83.3%, signaling reinvestment in future growth.
In terms of valuation, Freshworks has a forward PEG of 1.51, suggesting that the stock is available at a slight discount to its peers. Similar to Proto Labs, its higher-than-average P/E ratios are likely due to its recent dip of around 9.3% over the past month. One of the standout features of Freshworks’ stock is its ‘A’ Revisions Score, which reflects 17 EPS upward revisions and 16 revenue upward revisions in the past three months.
As the AI frenzy continues to dominate Wall Street, some of the valuations of major AI driven companies may be edging into overinflated territory. However,so far my Quant System highlights six ‘Strong Buy’ stocks that still exhibit strong fundamentals. These companies have, on average, risen about 60% over the past year, showcasing strong bullish momentum and solid valuations. For investors looking to integrate AI into their portfolios without succumbing to the hype, these stocks present a promising opportunity
Which AI stock are you loading and why?
Sanmina Corporation (SANM) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Sanmina Corporation NASDAQ:SANM is a global leader in advanced manufacturing solutions, offering end-to-end services from design and engineering to logistics. Serving diverse industries such as healthcare, defense, automotive, and cloud computing, the company has built a reputation for quality and innovation. Sanmina's broad industry reach mitigates dependency on any single market, ensuring stable and resilient financial performance.
Key Growth Drivers
Diverse Industry Exposure:
Sanmina serves a broad spectrum of industries, including:
Healthcare: Demand for high-quality medical devices and diagnostic equipment.
Defense & Aerospace: Focus on mission-critical electronics and systems.
Automotive: Growth in electric vehicles (EVs) and autonomous technology.
Cloud Computing: Rising demand for advanced data center and networking solutions.
This diversification ensures consistent revenue generation and reduces the impact of sector-specific downturns.
Strategic Joint Venture in India:
49.9% Stake in Reliance JV:
Sanmina's partnership with Reliance Strategic Business Ventures provides access to the fast-growing Indian market, which is a hub for electronics manufacturing and technological innovation.
This joint venture positions the company to capture significant market share in India, leveraging Reliance’s local expertise and Sanmina’s manufacturing capabilities.
Focus on High-Growth Sectors:
Sanmina's emphasis on medical, defense, and cloud computing aligns with global trends, including:
Increasing healthcare investments.
Rising defense budgets globally.
The ongoing digital transformation driving demand for cloud and edge computing solutions.
Financial Highlights and Tailwinds
Steady Revenue Growth:
Sanmina's diversified portfolio and global footprint have enabled consistent financial performance, even amid economic fluctuations.
Operational Excellence:
The company’s focus on operational efficiency, including cost optimization and technological innovation, supports profit margin improvements.
Position in Emerging Markets:
With the Indian government promoting domestic manufacturing, Sanmina’s joint venture is poised to benefit from favorable policies and strong regional demand.
Stock Outlook
Bullish Momentum Above $67.00-$68.00:
The company’s strategic positioning and exposure to high-growth sectors support a positive long-term outlook.
Upside Target: $100.00-$102.00, reflecting confidence in its ability to expand revenue and enhance shareholder value.
Institutional Confidence:
Sanmina’s strong financial foundation and growth prospects make it an attractive investment for both institutional and retail investors.
Conclusion
Sanmina is well-positioned to capitalize on its global reach, diverse industry exposure, and strategic presence in high-growth markets like India. Its focus on advanced manufacturing for critical industries ensures long-term relevance and growth potential.
📈 Recommendation: Bullish on SANM above $67.00-$68.00, targeting $100.00-$102.00.
TSM One more push left.Taiwan Semiconductor is on very balanced bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.134, MACD = 3.500, ADX = 22.596) as it is unfolding the latest bullish wave of the 4 month Channel Up. The previous one completed a +35% rise. We expect the current one to peak on the same levels, thus aim for the top of the Channel (TP = 240.00).
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The Hardest Part About Trading Isn't The Charts-Its Your MindWhen I first started trading, I thought the key to success was all about the strategy. If I could just figure out the right indicators or master technical analysis, I’d be unstoppable.
But the truth hit me hard. I wasn’t losing because I didn’t understand the charts—I was losing because I didn’t understand myself.
Here’s how I learned that the biggest battle in trading isn’t with the market—it’s with your own mind.
Lesson 1: Stop Obsessing Over Results
I used to get way too caught up in the outcome of every single trade. A win would make me feel on top of the world, but a loss? That would send me into a spiral. I’d overanalyze, doubt myself, and sometimes even swear I was done trading altogether.
One day, I realized I was focusing on the wrong thing. Instead of asking, “Did I win or lose?” I started asking, “Did I follow my plan?”
That simple shift changed everything for me. I started measuring success by how consistent I was, not by whether every trade was a winner. The funny thing? Once I started doing that, the wins came more naturally.
Lesson 2: Losses Aren’t Failures
I’ll never forget the trade that wiped out 30% of my account. It was gut-wrenching. I felt like I’d failed—not just as a trader, but as a person.
It took me a long time to understand that losses are part of trading. Even the best traders take hits. What separates the pros from the rest is how they handle those losses.
Now, instead of beating myself up, I treat losses as a chance to learn. Did I miss something in my analysis? Did I break my rules? Sometimes, the market just didn’t cooperate, and that’s okay.
Lesson 3: Don’t Let Emotions Run the Show
I can’t tell you how many times I’ve let emotions wreck me. Chasing losses, revenge trading, doubling down on bad positions—I’ve done it all. And every single time, it made things worse.
The biggest game-changer for me was journaling my trades. Not just the technical stuff, but how I felt during the trade.
-Was I calm or anxious?
-Was I trading because it was a good setup or because I felt like I had to?
It was eye-opening to see how much my emotions were driving my decisions. Now, if I feel frustrated or off, I don’t even touch the charts. I’d rather miss a trade than make a bad one.
My Biggest Takeaway I Learned
Trading isn’t just about the market—it’s about you. The strategies, the charts, the setups—they’re important, but they’re not enough. You need to master your mind if you want to master the market.
I’m not perfect, and I still have tough days. But every step I’ve taken to manage my emotions, stay consistent, and focus on the process has brought me closer to where I want to be.
If you’re struggling with the mental side of trading, I get it. I’ve been there. Send me a DM or check my profile—I’m happy to share what worked for me and help however I can. You don’t have to do this alone.
Kris/Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
Start Your Day Like a Pro TraderLet’s be honest: trading isn’t just about strategy—it’s about how you show up every day. If your mornings feel rushed or scattered, it’s going to carry over into your trading. Over time, I’ve realized the way you start your day can make all the difference.
Here’s a simple morning routine that has helped me find clarity, focus, and confidence in the markets:
1. Take Time to Reset
Before diving into charts or the news, take a moment for yourself. It’s easy to carry yesterday’s stress into today, and that’s not the mindset you want when trading.
-Breathe it out: Spend 5-10 minutes just sitting quietly or meditating. Let the noise settle.
-Set the tone for the day: Ask yourself, “How do I want to approach today? Patient? Focused? Disciplined?” Write it down or just say it out loud.
2. Feed Your Brain
Good decisions require energy, and let’s face it, coffee alone won’t cut it.
-Start with water: A simple glass of water can work wonders to wake up your brain.
-Eat something solid: Go for a breakfast that gives steady energy—oatmeal, eggs, or even a smoothie. You’ll thank yourself later when you’re not crashing mid-morning.
3. Make a Game Plan
Flying blind in the markets is a recipe for stress. Before the bell rings, take a few minutes to prepare.
-Review the big picture: Check global news, economic reports, and overnight market trends.
--Map out your trades : Look at key levels, set your entries and exits, and decide how much risk you’re willing to take. This prep is your safety net.
4. Stay Connected
Trading doesn’t have to feel like a solo mission. One of the best things I’ve done is surround myself with people who understand the journey.
If you’re trying to build better habits or find more consistency in your trading, I’ve been there. DM me for more info or check out my profile—I’m happy to share what’s worked for me. No pressure, just here to help.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Netflix (NFLX) AnalysisNetflix recently experienced a pullback, dropping to a significant demand zone around $820-$850, which has historically acted as strong support. This drop has attracted traders eager to capitalize on the current discounted price, anticipating a potential bullish rebound.
Looking at the chart:
1️⃣ Previous Earnings Reaction: The last earnings report sparked a 12% spike, showcasing Netflix’s potential for strong momentum following positive results.
2️⃣ Demand Zone Support: The stock is consolidating around this key level, indicating that buyers are stepping in to defend it.
3️⃣ Bullish Expectations: Traders are positioning themselves for the upcoming earnings report, expected on 01/21/2025 after market close, which could act as a major catalyst for upward movement.
If the earnings report meets or exceeds expectations, we could see Netflix rally toward all-time highs, with the first resistance zone around $940 and a longer-term target of $1,020.
AMAZON: Neutral on 1D signals a buy opportunity.AMAZON is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.618, MACD = 1.360, ADX = 32.455) and is trading under its 4H MA50. With the long term pattern being a Channel Up and the price already hitting its bottom, this emerges as a medium term buy opportunity. The Channel's pullback has already met the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement condition, which is the level all three prior pullbacks hit before rebounding on a new bullish wave. Those waves hit at least the -0.382 Fibonacci extension on their way up, so that is our target (TP = 247.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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