AMAZON: Small pullback expected. Buy the dip.Amazon is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4H timeframe, supported by both the 4H MA50 and the 4H MA200 and almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.804, MACD = 6.500, ADX = 38.620). The 4H RSI is printing a sideways pattern which was a sell signal when the previous bullish waves peaked. The first pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, the second to the 0.5 Fib. Consequently we expect a quick pullback here but technically the dip should be bought on the 0.382 Fib. Our target after that will be near the top of the Channel (TP = 230.00).
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SasanSeifi| Can It Hit the $300 Zone?Hey there, ✌ Examining the 4-day chart for NASDAQ:TSLA , we can see a slight upward movement from the $140 price range. After multiple attempts to break above, the price encountered resistance around $265, resulting in a negative reaction and subsequent correction. Currently, the price hovers around the $248 level. My medium- and long-term outlook remains bullish, with an expectation that the price could rise toward the $300 supply zone and reach targets between $320 and $350.
One possible scenario is that, after a consolidation phase, if Tesla holds within the critical support range of $230 to $200, it could see significant growth toward the mentioned targets. Preserving these key support levels is crucial. However, if the price breaks below the $200 level and consolidates there, this scenario would lose validity, possibly leading to further correction.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
FABL potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price respecting upward trendline
- Harmonic AB=CD pattern formation
- Price is at horizontal support
- Safe entry can be taken after a bullish candle closing
- No divergence
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 47.15
Stop Loss Level: Closing below 43.5
Take Profit Level 1: 52.59
Take Profit Level 2: 57.41
Take Profit Level 3: 72
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
COINBASE: Can it survive this brutal -10% selloff ??Coinbase remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.131, MACD = 29.400, ADX = 29.780) despite today's massive selling that is exceeding -10%. This is because the RSI was highly overbought almost at 80.000 on Monday. So far the stock seems to be correcting the insane rally from the start of November and the rebound on the 1D MA50.
Even during COIN's prior rally phases since June 2023, the time when the 1D RSI first turned overbought (above 70.000) was not the end of the rally/ top of the uptrend but merely a technical correction. At most the correction pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is now at 263. With an upcoming Golden Cross on the 1D timeframe, we believe Coinbase can exceed $400 on this rally phase. Our minimum target remains (TP1 = 360.00) and maximum if you seek more risk TP2 = 435.00.
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TCI EXPRESS Massive Short Trade Caught on RisologicalTechnical Analysis: TCI Express (15-Minute Timeframe)
The chart demonstrates a highly successful short trade on TCI Express, with a stellar 12% decline captured within just five trading days. Here's a breakdown of the technical scenario:
Trade Overview
Stock: TCI Express
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Entry Price: ₹986 (on 7th November)
Current Market Price: ₹867
Price Movement: -₹119 (-12%) in approximately 5 days.
Trend Confirmation:
The chart showcases a well-defined downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure highlights strong bearish momentum.
Indicators in Action:
The visible red bands represent a dynamic resistance zone (Risological Trading Indicator). The price has consistently respected these resistance levels, confirming the strength of the sell-off.
Volume Support:
The volume aligns with the price action, increasing volume during the breakdown reinforced the bearish sentiment.
Momentum Breakdown:
The significant gap and subsequent bearish continuation patterns suggest that sellers are in complete control, with no signs of reversal yet. The tight clustering of the Risological resistance bands further validates the ongoing strength of the downtrend.
Performance
This short trade has outperformed expectations by delivering a 12% return in just five days, underscoring the precision of the entry at ₹986. Such rapid declines in a short timeframe highlight the effectiveness of the technical analysis and adherence to trend-following strategies.
Outlook
Support Zone: The price may find psychological support near ₹850, where traders should watch for potential profit booking or consolidation.
Next Levels to Watch : A break below ₹850 could trigger further downside, targeting ₹820 or lower.
Reversal Triggers: Reversal signals, such as a strong bullish engulfing pattern or price closing above the resistance bands, could indicate an exit point.
Key Takeaway
This short trade exemplifies disciplined execution, leveraging technical indicators and market momentum to achieve remarkable gains in a short timeframe. With the stock still in a robust downtrend, traders should continue monitoring for trailing stop adjustments to maximize profits while managing risk effectively.
MAGS - Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is FLYING! UPDATE!I told you over a month ago IT WAS TIME TO BUY! Did you take me seriously? How about now?
Watch the detailed forecast I posted for viewers Oct 2, 2024.
"May profits be upon" is not just a greeting. I'm trying to support your trading journey to consistent profits.
Please leave a comment, and let me know if you found a benefit in this forecast.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MICROSOFT: Channel Down bottomed. Bullish wave starting to 540.MSFT is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.171, MACD = -0.910, ADX = 23.585) as since the September 6th Low it has been ranging sideways. Despite the lack of trend, this price action still hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up and technically the new bullish wave should start. The conditions for that are perfect as the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. The last bullish wave touched the HH trendline of the Channel Up after surpassing the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our current target (TP = 540).
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Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen!
Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well.
Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump.
But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump.
$146.50-$148.50
TP1: $142.93
TP2: $134.65
TP3: $131.75
Tight Stop Loss: $149.50
Good Stop Loss: $151.25
Loose Stop Loss:$154.50
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Victoria's Secret (VSCO) AnalysisCompany Overview: Victoria's Secret NYSE:VSCO is undergoing a strategic transformation aimed at revitalizing its brand and capturing a larger share of the lingerie and intimate apparel market. The company is leveraging new partnerships, focusing on digital expansion, and embracing inclusivity to appeal to a broader customer base.
Key Developments:
Partnership with Amazon:
Victoria's Secret's collaboration with Amazon represents a significant move to expand its digital footprint. By listing products on one of the world's largest e-commerce platforms, the company gains access to Amazon's vast customer base, potentially driving substantial online sales growth.
This partnership enables Victoria's Secret to reach new customers who prefer online shopping, aligning with broader retail trends where e-commerce continues to take a larger share of sales.
Brand Transformation and Inclusivity:
The company is undergoing a brand overhaul, focusing on inclusivity and diversity. By showcasing a wider range of body types and promoting a more inclusive brand image, Victoria's Secret aims to reconnect with a broader audience, particularly Gen Z and Millennial consumers who value representation and authenticity.
This strategic shift is expected to enhance the brand's market appeal, improve customer perception, and potentially boost sales and market share.
International Expansion:
Victoria's Secret is targeting high-growth international markets such as China and India, where demand for premium and luxury lingerie is on the rise. The expansion into these regions is a strategic effort to tap into new revenue streams and capitalize on growing consumer purchasing power.
Establishing a stronger presence in these markets positions the company to benefit from increasing global demand for premium intimate apparel.
New Leadership Driving Transformation:
With new industry veterans in key leadership roles, including a CEO experienced in retail transformation, Victoria's Secret is set for accelerated growth. The revamped leadership team is focusing on strategic initiatives aimed at revitalizing the brand, enhancing customer experience, and driving financial performance.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on VSCO above the $27.00-$28.00 range, as the company's strategic initiatives and renewed focus on inclusivity are expected to drive growth and market expansion. Upside Potential: Our price target for Victoria's Secret is set at $45.00-$46.00, reflecting potential gains from the Amazon partnership, brand transformation efforts, and international expansion strategy.
🚀 VSCO—Reinventing the Brand and Expanding Horizons! #RetailTransformation #EcommerceGrowth #InclusivityInFashion
Coca Cola - A Clear Trading Setup!Coca Cola ( NYSE:KO ) will provide a textbook setup soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Coca Cola is one of these "under the radar" stocks which is just trending higher and higher but nobody is really paying attention. However currently Coca Cola is retesting a resistance trendline of the governing rising channel pattern so a short term retracement is quite likely.
Levels to watch: $72, $65
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TG Therapeutics (TGTX) Analysis Company Overview: TG Therapeutics NASDAQ:TGTX is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative treatments for B-cell diseases. The company's recent FDA approval of BRIUMVI for relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) marks a significant milestone, positioning TG Therapeutics to capitalize on a high-demand therapeutic area.
Key Developments:
FDA Approval of BRIUMVI: The approval of BRIUMVI for relapsing multiple sclerosis opens access to a substantial market, with nearly 1 million individuals in the U.S. affected by RMS. This provides a significant revenue opportunity, with BRIUMVI offering a new treatment option that has shown favorable efficacy, safety, and convenient dosing compared to existing therapies.
Positive Market Reception: CEO Michael S. Weiss has expressed strong confidence in BRIUMVI's potential, noting positive feedback from both healthcare providers and patients. The drug's unique value proposition lies in its twice-yearly dosing, which is more convenient than the monthly or quarterly regimens offered by competitors, enhancing patient compliance and satisfaction.
Pipeline and Future Growth: The successful launch of BRIUMVI is a testament to TG Therapeutics' ability to introduce novel treatments. This sets a strong foundation for future developments in B-cell disease therapies, as the company explores additional indications and expands its pipeline. BRIUMVI's performance in the market could pave the way for further advancements in TG Therapeutics' product offerings.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on TGTX above the $21.00-$22.00 range, driven by the strong initial reception of BRIUMVI and its potential to capture a significant share of the RMS market. Upside Potential: Our price target for TG Therapeutics is set at $34.00-$35.00, reflecting the expected revenue growth from BRIUMVI and the company's strategic positioning in the biopharma sector.
🚀 TGTX—Leading the Way in B-cell Disease Therapies! #BiopharmaInnovation #MultipleSclerosis #NewTreatmentOptions
CALT.N0000 - Weekly Chart UpdateThe Fibonacci retracement levels are plotted based on the all-time high and low values, providing insight into potential support and resistance zones.
The key Fibonacci levels observed on this chart are :
0.236 Level: Around 73.2, which could act as a significant resistance if the stock starts moving up from the current levels.
0.382 Level: Around 60.8, another potential resistance.
0.5 Level: Around 50.7, often considered a pivotal level in retracement analysis.
0.618 Level (Golden Pocket): Around 40.6, which is a critical level and can act as strong support if the price approaches it from above.
Current Price and 21-Week Moving Average (Green Line) :
The price is currently around 43.8, slightly above the 0.618 Fibonacci level (40.6), suggesting the price is in a critical area.
The 21-week moving average (green line) is also near the current price level. This moving average could act as dynamic support if the price remains above it. If it breaks below, it may signal further downside risk.
Descending Trendline Resistance :
The chart shows a strong descending trendline that has been respected multiple times as resistance. The stock would need to break above this trendline to confirm a reversal or more significant bullish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels :
Immediate Resistance: Around 47.1 (Weekly Mid Resistance) and 53 (Weekly Resistance).
Support Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 40.6 and the 0.786 level around 26.3 are key support areas. If the price falls below 40.6, the next significant support zone would be around 26.3.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) :
The RSI appears to be in a lower range, which could imply oversold conditions on the weekly chart. This may provide some support for the price, but a confirmed upward trend would still depend on breaking key resistance levels.
Summary:
The stock is in a consolidation phase near critical Fibonacci and moving average levels.
A break above 47.1 and ultimately above the descending trendline could signal the beginning of a potential reversal.
However, if the price falls below the 0.618 level (40.6), there may be a further downside risk, with 26.3 acting as the next major support.
The 21-week MA and the 0.618 level are crucial for maintaining the current consolidation or an upward move, so keeping an eye on these levels is essential.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
PALANTIR: Extremely overbought. High probability sell to $40.Palantir is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 79.771, MACD = 3.330, ADX = 33.075), even the 1W RSI is on extreme levels (80.789) and that alone would be a good enough reason to sell. The picture gets even clearer on the 1W timeframe where the price has almost reached the top of the 2 year Channel Up, having completed a +241.84% rise from the January 2nd 2024 bottom and almost +172.53% rise from the August 5th bottom. Those are the symmetrical rally levels from the December 27th 2022 and May 1st 2023 Lows respectively. The result on that HH rejection was a test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That is our target (TP = 40.00).
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Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors
NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43
One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43
Support Level: $135.00
Resistance Level: $150.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024
Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024
Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion
TTM: $6 billion
Dividend Yield: 0.02%
Institutional Holdings: 70%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $140.00
200-Day: $125.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00
P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00
EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00
NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $10 billion
Current Ratio: 2.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30%
Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57
Percentage Gain: ~9.27%
Stop Loss (SL): $135.00
Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43
Percentage Loss: ~7.80%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19
Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $125.00
Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
NRL potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price gave trendline breakout
- Harmonic XABCD pattern formation
- Price gave LH breakout
- Price bounced from a strong support zone
- Bullish divergence
- SFEL trade call recommendation
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Buy 1(CMP): 239
Buy 2: 215
Stop Loss Level: Closing below 199
Take Profit Level 1: 279
Take Profit Level 2: 320
Take Profit Level 3: 380
TESLA: Hit the July 2023. Doesn't look it will stop before $400.Tesla is approaching the overbought state on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.976, MACD = 8.690, ADX = 38.748) but the 1W chart still on healthy enough levels (RSI = 63.761) to keep fuelling the uptrend despite today's enormous +15% rise approximately. The reason is that the double testing and hold of the 1W MA50 in October kickstarted Phase 2 of the bullish wave of the 2 year Channel Up. That can keep rising until the 1W RSI is well overbought. The first bullish wave completed a +194.25% rise at the top of the Channel Up, so there is no reason to expect otherwise on the current wave also. That is our long term target (TP = $400).
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Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel.
I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock
Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history
Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors
There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section
Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company.
Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand
As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade.
When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory
Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively
That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future.
Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years.
I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here.
In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions
The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
Nvidia [NVDA] Top is in!! [S #1]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**First off, I have not posted in a while but the good news is I plan to become active and post consistently!
I will be providing high quality signals, and only signals and analysis that I personally find worth showing. Any smaller less likely to succeed trades I will be avoiding.
This will be a new series of content, I will label posts depending on category:
= Signal (Expect clear and direct post, I will not be showing or explaining much of the TA)
= Educative Post (I will be showing my Technical Analysis (TA) and teaching how it works)
Since this is a new series of posts, I will label this post as the first signal (S #1)
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***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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Current Price which is $140,25 at market close, and $140.30 during the pre market.
It is already starting to dip a bit during the pre market!
This Signal is based from bearish divergences, price action, miscellaneous bear flags, and my special indicator.
$135.24
$127.87
$122.71
Tight Stop loss: $142.52
Good Stop loss: $144.50
Loose Stop loss: $146.20
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***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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COSTCO: 4H MA50-200 squeeze is forming the bottom.Costco is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.149, MACD = -2.870, ADX = 33.443) as the price is trading inside the 4H MA50-MA200 range. This is taking place right at the bottom of the year long Channel Up, which has formed the previous two HL exactly on the 4H MA200. Coupled with a 4H MACD Bullish Cross, this is technically the new bottom formation. Our target is at least a +16.30% repeat (TP = 1,000).
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Nu Holdings (NU) AnalysisCompany Overview: Nu Holdings NYSE:NU , a leading digital bank in Latin America, is rapidly expanding its footprint across the region, leveraging innovative fintech solutions to drive growth in underbanked markets. With a mission to offer simple and accessible financial services, Nu Holdings continues to strengthen its presence, especially in key markets like Mexico and Colombia.
Key Developments:
Expansion in Latin America: Nu has successfully launched checking accounts in Mexico and Colombia, showcasing strong customer demand. The company has attracted $3.3 billion in deposits in Mexico and $220 million in Colombia, underscoring its ability to effectively penetrate new markets. This expansion opens up significant growth potential for Nu, as the digital banking revolution in Latin America continues to gather momentum.
Strong Customer Engagement: Nu's active user base continues to grow, with an impressive record-high activity rate of 83%, marking the 11th consecutive increase in user engagement. This high level of customer activity demonstrates Nu's ability to retain and engage its users, a crucial factor for long-term profitability in the fintech sector.
Accelerating Revenue & Profitability: In addition to customer growth, Nu has shown consistent acceleration in revenue and profitability, solidifying its position as a top contender in the fintech space. The company's unique combination of digital banking services, credit offerings, and low-cost structure sets it apart from traditional banks and other fintech competitors.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NU above the $13.50-$14.00 range, driven by its successful market expansion, strong customer engagement, and accelerating financial performance. Upside Potential: Our price target for Nu Holdings is set at $23.00-$24.00, reflecting its potential for continued regional growth and increasing profitability as it scales operations across Latin America.
🚀 NU—Transforming Banking Across Latin America! #FintechGrowth #LatAmBanking #DigitalRevolution
Coinbase (COIN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN is one of the largest and most recognized cryptocurrency exchanges globally, offering a wide range of services, from retail trading to institutional crypto solutions. The company has focused on strengthening its position in the crypto ecosystem by targeting both retail and institutional investors.
Key Developments:
Institutional Adoption & BlackRock Partnership: Coinbase’s strategic partnership with BlackRock allows Aladdin clients to access cryptocurrency trading and custody services via Coinbase Prime, which caters to institutional investors. This partnership has the potential to drive significant institutional capital into the platform, thereby increasing transaction volumes and boosting revenue.
Diversification Efforts: Coinbase has successfully reduced its dependence on trading fees by growing its subscription and services revenue, which saw a 34% year-over-year increase in Q2 2023. This revenue diversification helps mitigate the impact of the volatile trading environment often seen in the cryptocurrency space.
Regulatory Compliance: With regulatory scrutiny tightening across the crypto industry, Coinbase’s strong focus on compliance gives it a competitive advantage. As regulatory hurdles increase, the company is likely to capture market share from less compliant competitors, positioning itself as a trusted platform in an evolving regulatory landscape.
Product Innovation: Coinbase continues to innovate with new offerings like the Ethereum layer-2 network and enhanced staking services. These product launches not only enhance Coinbase’s competitive edge but also position the company well for future growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and staking markets.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on COIN above the $180.00-$185.00 range, driven by institutional adoption, diversification of revenue streams, and strong regulatory positioning. Upside Potential: Our price target for Coinbase is set at $370.00-$375.00, reflecting its potential to capture more institutional market share and sustain growth through innovative product offerings.
🚀 COIN—Leading the Way in Institutional Crypto Adoption! #CryptoInnovation #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoCompliance