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Coal India bullish swing expectedCoal India is a potential stock which can breakout & can give a good move. Its trading at its resistance on daily time frame. If breaks resistance then min expectation will be 600. its a under valued stock having a P.E 8.97 so can be preffered for long term investment also. Disclaimer: Any of my posts should not be considered as a Buy/ Sell/Hold recommendation. This analysis is for educational and learning purpose only. I always recommend using Stop Loss and following risk management rules.
NSE:COALINDIA
by jain_abhishek
1
SWING IDEA - PETRONET LNGThis presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on the potential uptrend in Petronet LNG . Reasons are listed below : Breakout of Strong Resistance at 300 : Petronet LNG has successfully broken above a significant resistance level at 300, signaling potential bullish momentum. Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The presence of a bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern on the weekly timeframe suggests strong buying momentum and potential upward movement. Breakout from 6+ Years of Consolidation : The stock has broken out from a consolidation phase lasting over 6 years, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment and potential for sustained upward movement. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : Petronet LNG is trading above both the 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), confirming bullish bias and indicating potential for trend continuation. Support from 0.382 Fibonacci Level : Finding support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and bouncing back reinforces the bullish outlook and provides a solid foundation for potential upward movement. Trading at All-Time High (ATH) : Petronet LNG is trading at its all-time high, indicating strong bullish momentum and potential for further gains. Constant Higher Highs : The stock consistently forms higher highs, reflecting increasing bullish momentum and reinforcing the potential for further gains. Target - 340 // 380 Stoploss - weekly close below 260 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:PETRONETLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
10
Morepen Laboratories Trading IdeaIntroduction Morepen Laboratories Ltd. engages in the business of manufacturing bulk drugs, intermediates, and medical devices; and business of formulation. It operates through the following geographical segments: the United States of America, Rest of World, and India. Observation Stock Trade all the Ema making rounding bottom after a rejection from 72 level in 2021. now it is trying to breakout the same level once it breakout and sustain above 72 level no one can stop this stock to reach my levels which is 120. on weekly chart you'll see a gap up open marubozu candlestick stock look strong on all the TF. Get the inside scoop! Read the rest of the article on our blog 👆
NSE:MOREPENLABLong
by SHEHBAZ_KHAN
2
CarGurus (CARG) AnalysisCompany Overview: CarGurus, a leading online platform for buying and selling cars, continues to attract investor confidence with its growing user base and strong market positioning. The platform's ability to connect consumers with dealers is driving its popularity, making it a significant player in the automotive marketplace. Key Highlights: Rising User Engagement: CarGurus saw a 3% increase in average monthly users, a strong indicator of consumer engagement and platform relevance. This growth reflects the company's effectiveness in attracting and retaining users, crucial for long-term success. Analyst Optimism: Analysts are bullish on CarGurus' prospects. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price to $32.00, while BTIG Research set theirs at $30.00, both maintaining a "Buy" rating. This analyst confidence highlights the market's positive view of CarGurus' growth trajectory. Revenue Growth: The company's Marketplace business reported its largest quarterly revenue increase since 2021. This growth was driven by higher adoption of add-on products, a shift to premium service tiers, and expansion of its global dealer base, all contributing to stronger financial performance. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:CARG above the $23.00-$24.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $35.00-$36.00, CarGurus presents a compelling growth opportunity as it continues to enhance its platform, expand its dealer network, and increase user engagement. 📈🚗 CarGurus—driving growth and accelerating your portfolio! #CARG #Automotive 🚗💼
NASDAQ:CARGLong
by Richtv_official
TSLA / TESLATSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Stock Analysis: Key Dates and Potential Market Movements: 1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside: • Scenario: The chart indicates a potential bullish movement around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive earnings reports, advancements in Tesla’s technology, or an increase in market optimism around Tesla’s leadership in the EV market. • Impact on Price: We might see a short-term rally in Tesla’s stock price, pushing it towards previous highs around the $270 mark. 2. October 15, 2024 - Potential Downside: • Scenario: As we approach mid-October 2024, the chart suggests a potential bearish phase. This could be due to broader market corrections, profit-taking by investors, or any negative news related to supply chain disruptions or increased competition in the EV market. • Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock could see a pullback, potentially testing support levels around $215 or even lower. 3. February 19, 2025 - Recovery Phase: • Scenario: By early 2025, the chart indicates a recovery phase, possibly due to strong Q4 2024 earnings, the introduction of new Tesla models, or significant advancements in battery technology. • Impact on Price: This period might mark the beginning of a new bullish trend, with Tesla’s stock price climbing back towards the $250-$300 range. 4. May 9, 2025 - Consolidation or Continued Growth: • Scenario: The market could enter a consolidation phase, where the stock trades within a range, or Tesla could continue its growth trajectory depending on the broader economic conditions and Tesla’s performance. • Impact on Price: If the market conditions are favorable, Tesla might break out to new highs; otherwise, we could see sideways movement in the $250-$300 range. 5. September 4, 2025 - Potential Market Shift: • Scenario: As we approach late 2025, the chart suggests another critical phase, potentially influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in consumer demand for EVs. • Impact on Price: This could lead to either a breakout to new highs or a retest of lower support levels, depending on the prevailing market sentiment. 6. December 4, 2025 - Year-End Rally: • Scenario: The end of 2025 could see a year-end rally, driven by strong sales numbers, holiday season demand, or favorable policy decisions regarding EV subsidies. • Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock might experience a strong rally, potentially setting new highs or revisiting levels around $300. Considerations for Investors: • Technological Advancements: Tesla’s continued innovation in battery technology, autonomous driving, and energy solutions could be key drivers of its stock price. • Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment around the EV market and broader technology sector will play a crucial role in Tesla’s stock movements. • Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Changes in global trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer demand could impact Tesla’s performance. Given the potential market shifts and Tesla’s leadership in the EV space, are you considering adding Tesla to your portfolio? How do you see Tesla’s position evolving as we approach key market dates in 2024 and 2025?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by trushkovskiy
I AM BULLISH ON AAPL STOCK. BUY AT $218.5In the recent market activity, APPLE (AAPL) stock experienced a significant decline, dropping to approximately $196 on the 5th of this month. This event marked a challenging day for both the financial markets and the cryptocurrency sector. Currently, AAPL has rebounded to $221. Based on my analysis, I see an opportunity to enter the market at the $219 level, with a short-term target set at $224. To manage risk, a stop loss (SL) is strategically placed at $218.5. Despite the recent volatility, AAPL continues to present strong potential for investors.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ForexClinik
Tyson Foods (TSN) Analysis Company Overview: Tyson Foods, a global leader in meat production and distribution, is well-positioned to benefit as the economy shows signs of slowing. In times of economic uncertainty, investors often turn to consumer staples like Tyson Foods as a defensive play due to their steady demand and generous dividends. Key Highlights: Economic Hedge: As fears of a hard landing grow, Tyson Foods stands out as a safe investment option. The company's products remain in demand even during economic downturns, making it a reliable choice for risk-averse investors. Insider Confidence: Significant insider activity, including stock accumulation by Congress members in 2024, signals strong confidence in the company's future performance. Insiders with an informational edge are betting on Tyson’s continued success. Dividend Growth: Tyson Foods' CEO recently announced an increase in the company’s quarterly dividend, with the 2024 dividend expected to be 2% higher than in 2023. This dividend boost reflects the board's confidence in the company’s financial health and growth prospects. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:TSN above the $54.00-$55.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $85.00-$86.00, Tyson Foods offers a combination of defensive stability, income generation through dividends, and potential for capital appreciation, making it an attractive investment in uncertain economic times. 📈🍗 Tyson Foods—feeding your portfolio with dividends and growth potential! #TSN #Dividends 🍗💼
NYSE:TSNLong
by Richtv_official
AMZN / AMAZON 🔍 AMZN Analysis: Strategic Dates for Long-Term Accumulation 📈 The AMZN chart reveals key dates that could shape your investment strategy: December 29, 2025 & August 16, 2027 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, making them ideal for accumulating AMZN shares. Investors should consider these as prime opportunities to position themselves for the next major upward trend in the stock. By planning around these dates, you can optimize your long-term investment strategy and take advantage of potential market corrections. #AMZN #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #NASDAQ #SNP500 #MarketTiming #Amazon
NASDAQ:AMZN
by trushkovskiy
AME potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias: - Price at a strong support level - Price retraced from 0.786 fib level and it broke the 0.5 resistance level as well - Strong bullish weekly closing at a rising trendline - Bullish divergence Here are the recommended trading levels: Entry Level(CMP): 163.28 Stop Loss Level: 135.60 Take Profit Level 1: 185.24 Take Profit Level 2: Open Note: An SL at 145.58 can also be placed as it's a strong support zone but the trend structure will only break if 135.60 breaks, partial profit at 175.88 can also be taken.
NYSE:AMELong
by TradeWithParas
1
NIKE | JUST BUY ITNike topped Wall Street estimates for first quarter profit on Thursday as higher prices of its sneakers and apparel helped offset a hit from waning demand and persistent cost pressures, sending its shares up about 8% in extended trading. Nike (NKE) is the largest apparel company in the world, with leading positions across different categories and regions. The company is currently facing challenges such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Such issues have resulted in the stock dropping by 19% YTD. Although these headwinds are serious, I believe the company's durable brand, leading position, and high-quality products should allow it to come out stronger on the other end. 'Nike is a brand that is of China and for China' -John Donahoe Like every other apparel and retail company, Nike thought post-pandemic demand would continue, so it increased production, which led to inventory levels hitting an all-time high in Q1-FY22, but as we know, that wasn't the case. Although NKE's inventory level is down from all-time highs, investors are still concerned, especially when inflation is eating into people's pockets and growth in China is slowing. Inflation in North America has come down to 3.7% from its peak in June at 9.1%, but it is still a concern in Europe (6.1% in the EU union). As you can see from the graph below, sales in China have been decreasing for the past two years. There are multiple ways one can explain this: COVID related lockdowns resulted in the shuttering of some stores. Plus, Nike and other apparel companies started facing a backlash in China in 2021 due to the alleged use of forced labor in cotton production. However, if the company is successful at expanding into China, then we can expect a lot of room for growth. Now that I have addressed the problems that are facing Nike, let me explain why I believe the company will overcome them. Nike sponsors the most well-known athletes such as Cristiano Ronaldo (+600 million Instagram followers), LeBron James, Michael Jordan, the late Kobe Bryant, Rafael Nadal, Tiger Woods, and more. This has helped the company build a loyal customer base and further boost its brand equity. With a loyal customer base comes pricing power, and as Warrant Buffet said: Nike's pricing power is no joke. Its shoes have reached a level where they are considered luxury, with some selling for more than the $10,000 mark. In 2017, Nike's median price for a shoe regardless of gender was $80, which is $10 more than its biggest competitor, Adidas. I know 2017 was a long time ago, but shoe prices have increased since then, and I believe Nike is still in the lead given their dominant market position. Plus, Nike targets mostly the age demographic of 25 and 34. These are people who have not settled in yet. They just graduated college with extra income to spend on things such as expensive shoes. I believe this pricing power will continue as the company continues to sponsor talented upcoming athletes to build trust with customers. Another way to measure Nike's brand power is by comparing its marketing spending against its peers. Nike's marketing budget in FY 23 was $4 billion, or 7.9% of revenue. On the other hand, Adidas spent 38% and Under Armour 11%. These companies have been allocating more of their revenue towards marketing but have experienced nowhere near the growth Nike has. NKE's association with well-known athletes in the U.S. has allowed them to have a 96% awareness rate, 53% usage rate, and 43% loyalty rate. Going forward, I expect the company's brand will remain high-quality due to sponsorships, high-quality products, and market-leading technology. Founded by Bill Bowerman and Phil Knight in 1994, Nike has come a long way from its first store in Portland, Oregon. As of May 31, 2023, the company had 369 stores within the U.S. and 663 internationally, operating in more than 190 countries. Stores include franchised stores and third-party retailers. The firm owns multiple brands such as Jordan, Converse, and Nike. The company derives sales from four main segments and across four regions. I excluded Converse (4.74% of revenue) from the graphs below because I wanted to focus on the Nike brand. The company's app, NikePlus, has more than 160 million users. On a trailing free cash flow basis, the stock yields over 3.3% relative to its enterprise value. My ~$104 May 24 PT implies a 28.00x P/E and 20.00x EV/EBITDA. Both multiples are below the ten-year NTM average and in line with the median. I project revenue to compound at a rate of 6.47% over the next three years, driven by market growth and new products, while shares decrease at a rate of 2.67%, driven by stock buybacks. The company is forecast to spend $12.1 billion on share repurchases over the same period. Additionally, I believe the company still has room for margin improvement driven by price increases and DTC mix (direct-to-consumer). In FY 2019, DTC sales constituted 31% of revenue, and that figure stood at 44% in FY 2023. Although NKE is trading at a premium compared to peers, I believe it is reasonable considering its scale, high-quality products, and strong brand. The first risk that I would associate with NKE is competition. The company competes with conglomerates such as Addidas, Puma, New Balance, Under Armour, and more. Additionally, e-commerce has made it very easy for anyone to start their own footwear brand. Other key risks to my rating include supply chain distributions, a recessionary environment, and slow growth in China. Finally, we can point out that NKE appears technically oversold heading into the Q1 earnings report. From the chart , there has been relentless selling pressure over the last four months since NKE was trading at $130 per share. The potential that NKE delivers a "good" earnings report with encouraging guidance, brushing aside fears the company is facing a deeper deterioration in its operating environment could be enough for shares to reprice higher. Simply put, our take is that NKE bears have gone too far, opening the door for bulls to take control. The bottom line is that Nike is currently experiencing headwinds such as elevated inventory levels, inflationary pressure, and slow growth in China. Every business goes through similar challenges at one time or another, but I believe Nike is well-positioned to overcome these issues due to its durable brand, high-quality products, and leading position. I expect the company to keep endorsing high-quality athletes to elevate its brand equity and further strengthen its pricing power. My valuation implies a price target of ~$104 for May 31, 2024. If you into NIKE brand you can watch Air film and read Shoe Dog book as well
NYSE:NKELong
by moonypto
20
AAPL / APPLE🔍 AAPL Analysis: Key Dates for Market Movements 📈 The AAPL chart highlights two critical dates that could shape your trading strategy: October 7, 2024 - Red Line: This date marks a potential local peak. It might be an opportune moment to take profits as the stock could face resistance or enter a short-term correction. August 25, 2025 - Green Line: A significant local low is expected around this time. This could present an ideal opportunity to accumulate AAPL shares, positioning yourself for the next major upward move. By strategically planning around these dates, you can optimize your trading decisions and maximize returns. #AAPL #StockMarket #MarketTiming #InvestmentStrategy #AppleStock
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by trushkovskiy
A Guide on How to Stay on the Right Side of Market RiskStaying on the right side of the market is the only thing that matters in investing. The goal is simple: be long the things that go up and avoid the things that go down. Although this sounds straightforward, investors often focus too much on the upside potential and forget about the downside. In reality, avoiding the downside is by far the most important factor that will have the biggest impact on your total returns. This is because a -50% loss will always require a +100% gain just to break even. Step 1: Follow the Trend The most effective method to stay on the right side of the market is by following the trend, primarily through moving averages. The two most common types are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA assigns more weight to recent price movements, making it more responsive and effective for signalling the start of a downtrend, while the SMA offers a clearer view of the longer-term trend. The simplest way to construct a trend-following indicator is to combine a short-term EMA with a long-term EMA. A buying signal is triggered when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, and a selling signal is triggered when it crosses below. This systematic approach ensures clear and actionable signals. Optimizing this strategy involves backtesting various EMA combinations to strike a balance between minimal trading frequency, lowest maximum drawdown, and highest profit factor. It’s also crucial to select assets that have historically adhered to trends, as these are more likely to continue doing so. Assets that typically adhere to trends, such as cryptocurrencies, fiat currencies, commodities, and tech stocks, are often driven by speculative or uncertain future expectations. By incorporating a longer-term SMA and adding a safety margin to the calculation, you can help minimize false signals from the EMAs. It’s advisable to compare asset performance not only against the USD pair but also against the safest investable asset in the selected asset class. This comparison helps determine if the additional risk is worth taking. Step 2: Draw the Lines Trend-following strategies are effective only with a clear market trend. Without it, prices may exhibit range-bound movements and generate false signals. Drawing trend lines and identifying horizontal support and resistance levels are crucial for enhancing the accuracy of these signals. The most reliable entry points typically follow a confirmed breakout from these lines, with older lines often indicating more significant breakouts. When drawing trend lines, it’s crucial to use both normal and logarithmic chart scales. The most reliable trend lines appear consistent across these scales, with a breakout observed on both further confirming the trend. Additionally, identifying reliable patterns like head and shoulders, inverse head and shoulders or double tops and bottoms can further validate trend breakouts. TradingView’s pattern recognition tools can automate this process and provide price targets, which can be helpful but are not always guaranteed. Step 3: Understand the Macro Following current macroeconomic conditions can enhance your understanding of the overall business cycle. The primary macro forces that influence asset markets are growth, inflation, and policy. These factors are subjective and not directly quantifiable, making them unsuitable for direct investment decisions. However, they are useful for assessing the market’s risk appetite, which should influence only your position size and not your systematic approach. The US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is one of the most informative macroeconomic indicators, providing insights into potential economic growth trends and helping anticipate inflections in the business cycle. Monitoring the US inflation and unemployment rates is also beneficial, as they significantly influence monetary policy. While minor fluctuations may not provide much insight, sustained trends that align with the Federal Reserve’s targets of 2% inflation and low unemployment are indicative of a healthy economy. Furthermore, tracking global liquidity can reveal the real-time effects of monetary and fiscal policies implemented by major central banks and governments. This serves as a valuable tool to assess the market’s risk appetite. In conclusion, this guide helps investors stay on the right side of the market by adopting a systematic approach that captures bull markets while avoiding major downturns. Recognizing that the future is unpredictable and that markets are driven by momentum, this method can both preserve and grow your wealth in a less stressful way. A disciplined, systematic approach, executed dispassionately, is essential for navigating market uncertainties. All indicators discussed are publicly available or can be accessed on my profile. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by ingeforberg
5
Life Time Group (LTH) AnalysisCompany Overview: Life Time Group operates health and wellness clubs across the U.S. and Canada. Recently, the company completed a $40 million sale-leaseback transaction, which CEO Bahram Akradi views as a strategic move to strengthen the balance sheet and drive future growth. Key Highlights: Strategic Financial Moves: The $40 million sale-leaseback transaction aims to improve financial flexibility and support expansion efforts. Positive Cash Flow: Akradi projects that Life Time will achieve positive cash flow by Q2, even after accounting for capital expenditures. Debt Reduction: The company plans to reduce its net debt leverage ratio to 2.0 by year-end, which could positively impact its stock price. Insider Confidence: CEO Bahram Akradi purchased $654,000 worth of stock at $16.76, contributing to a total of $3.2 million in insider purchases over the past year, signaling strong confidence in the company's future. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:LTH above the $20.00-$21.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $35.00-$36.00, investors should consider Life Time Group's strategic financial moves, expected positive cash flow, and insider confidence as key factors for potential stock appreciation. 📈💪 Keep an eye on Life Time Group for a healthy investment opportunity! #LTH #WellnessClubs 🏋️‍♂️🚀
NYSE:LTHLong
by Richtv_official
UWM Holdings (UWMC) Investment Insight Company Overview: UWM Holdings is a prominent residential mortgage loan originator. With the Federal Reserve approaching the end of its tightening cycle, lower mortgage rates could stimulate refinancing and home purchases, presenting growth opportunities for UWMC. Key Highlights: Market Position: UWM's unique model focuses on mortgage brokers, providing them with real-time loan status visibility and better deals. Order Backlog: The company boasts a $2.8 billion order backlog and recent contract wins, underscoring its strong market position. Potential Catalyst: Anticipated lower mortgage rates could drive increased mortgage activity, benefiting UWMC's business. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:UWMC above the $7.25-$7.50 range. Upside Potential: The stock has an upside target of $11.00-$12.00, reflecting strong growth potential as market conditions become more favorable for residential mortgages. 🏡📊 Consider UWM Holdings for investment opportunities in the mortgage sector! #UWMC #MortgageLoans 💼📈
NYSE:UWMCLong
by Richtv_official
Verona Pharmaceuticals (VRNA) Analysis Company Overview: Verona Pharmaceuticals specializes in treatments for respiratory diseases. The company recently received FDA approval for its inhaled non-steroidal COPD treatment, Ohtuvayre. Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) affects approximately 16 million Americans and is a leading cause of death. Key Highlights: FDA Approval: Ohtuvayre has demonstrated strong efficacy and safety in late-stage trials. Market Potential: Analyst estimates suggest peak sales could reach $3.6 billion. Launch Strategy: Verona plans to deploy around 100 sales reps targeting 15,000 physicians for the treatment's rollout. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:VRNA above the $18.00-$19.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $29.00-$30.00, Verona Pharmaceuticals is poised for significant growth driven by Ohtuvayre's market potential and the large COPD patient population. 📈🌬️ Consider Verona Pharmaceuticals for investment opportunities in the respiratory treatment space! #VRNA #COPD 💊🚀
NASDAQ:VRNALong
by Richtv_official
S&P 500 LongUS 500 CFD The target projection for the S&P results in a target of 5428, which is in the area of ​​the 70% Fibonci retracement. It would be quite possible for the price to test the low again in the 5090 area. But for this trade I assume that a good premium area will be reached first. I open a long trade with 2 entry points. A market order and a second limit order. The risk is distributed across both positions. Target 1 = 61.8 Retracement Target 2 = 70.0 Retracement Risk Reward Trade 1 = 1/1 Risk Reward Trade 2 = 1/2.07
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by Edgezone
Red Monday: Emergency rate cut needed? US equities just experienced their worst day since 2022, with the S&P 500 dropping 3.0%, the Nasdaq falling 3.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting by 1033 points. All sectors in the US saw declines, with mega-cap tech stocks performing particularly poorly. Notably, NVIDIA saw a sharp fall of 15% during the trading day, though it managed to “recover”, ending down 6.4%. Some have called for an emergency rate cut from the Fed, but this is unlikely as this event, as it stands, is not an existential threat to the markets. It's just a large sell off. Did US stocks get off lightly? Ahead of the US trading session, Japan's stock market experienced its steepest decline since Wall Street's Black Monday in 1987, fueling fears of widespread market instability. Despite the severe sell-off, some relief came from the ISM Services PMI, which indicated a stronger rebound in the services sector, helping to alleviate investor concerns to some extent. Riskier assets, such as Bitcoin, were not spared, plunging from nearly $62,000 on Friday to around $54,000 by Monday. Contributing factors to the market turmoil include fears that the Federal Reserve is lagging in cutting interest rates, potential unwinding of the Yen carry trade, and the Sahm rule signaling the onset of a recession. This rule signals the onset of a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more above its lowest point in the past year. The threshold was surpassed recently when the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%.
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by BlackBull_Markets
Seadrill (SDRL) AnalysisCompany Overview: Seadrill provides offshore contract drilling services for the oil and natural gas industry. The company achieved a record day rate of $545,000 for a one-well contract in Q1 2024, the highest in the current cycle, significantly boosting its Q2 earnings outlook. Key Highlights: CEO Simon Johnson: Emphasized a strong start to the year with safe, efficient operations, high day rates, and capital returns to shareholders. Competitive Fleet: Seadrill's fleet and strong balance sheet are expected to sustain durable earnings and capital returns as the cycle progresses. Order Backlog: Approximately $2.8 billion, including $108 million in new contracts since February. New Contracts: $32 million contract in South Korea for the drillship West Capella and an $86 million six-month extension in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico for the drillship West Neptune. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SDRL above the $47.00-$48.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $78.00-$80.00, investors should consider Seadrill's strong performance, high day rates, and substantial order backlog as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🌊 Monitor Seadrill for promising investment opportunities! #SDRL #OffshoreDrilling 🛢️🚀
NYSE:SDRLLong
by Richtv_official
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances. MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand. MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization. MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away. MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year). The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well. Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites. MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings. Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
2