C3.AI: Waiting for this huge buy breakout signal.C3.ai is on a neutral technical outlook both on the 1D and 1W timeframes (RSI = 51.525, MACD = -0.010, ADX = 22.326) as it is trading around the 1W MA50 for 5 straight weeks. This sideways price action is approaching the top of the June 2023 Channel Down, which on the greater scale technically looks like a giant Bull Flag. For the first time in its history, the 1W MA200 is at 33.00 and falling. A test of the top of the Channel Down may coincide with a 1W MA200. This is the level that separates the long term bearish from bullish trends. If it breaks we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 49.00).
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Tempus AI (TEM) Investment Analysis Company Overview: Tempus AI NASDAQ:TEM specializes in AI-driven healthcare solutions, focusing on improving patient outcomes and accelerating medical research. By leveraging extensive datasets and advanced analytics, Tempus provides innovative precision medicine solutions, solidifying its position in the growing AI healthcare sector.
Key Growth Drivers:
Strategic Acquisition of Ambry Genetics:
Tempus AI's acquisition of Ambry Genetics significantly enhances its capabilities in genetic testing. This deal, completed at favorable multiples of 1.9x revenue and 15x EBITDA, demonstrates strategic financial discipline.
The integration of Ambry Genetics is expected to boost Tempus's market presence, expanding its offerings in diagnostics and genetic analysis, and driving revenue growth.
Multi-Year Partnership with BioNTech:
A new multi-year partnership with BioNTech is a major validation of Tempus AI's expertise in precision medicine. This collaboration will focus on leveraging Tempus's vast datasets and computational biology tools to enhance BioNTech's research and development in personalized treatments.
The partnership could lead to significant advancements in oncology and other therapeutic areas, potentially resulting in considerable revenue gains from breakthrough discoveries and innovative treatment options.
Competitive Edge in AI-Enabled Precision Medicine:
Tempus AI's proprietary operating system and robust data library provide a competitive edge in the precision medicine market. The company's AI-driven platform allows for rapid analysis of complex datasets, aiding in the identification of personalized treatment options for patients.
This competitive advantage positions Tempus to capture a larger market share as demand for AI-enabled healthcare solutions continues to grow.
Technical Analysis and Investment Outlook:
Current Price Level: We are bullish on Tempus AI (TEM) above the $43.00-$44.00 range. This level reflects investor optimism, particularly following recent strategic initiatives like the Ambry Genetics acquisition and the BioNTech partnership.
Upside Potential: Our upside target for TEM is $85.00-$90.00, driven by expected revenue growth from new collaborations and enhanced genetic testing capabilities.
Catalysts to Watch: Updates on the integration progress of Ambry Genetics, along with developments from the BioNTech partnership, are key catalysts to monitor. These could significantly impact Tempus's revenue trajectory and investor sentiment.
🔍 Tempus AI—Revolutionizing Healthcare with Precision Medicine! #PrecisionMedicine #HealthcareAI #GeneticTesting #BioNTechPartnership
ASI - All time high in 2025 Q1?1. Observations on Fibonacci Levels
Current Resistance at 0.786 Fib Level (~12,123):
The index has successfully moved past several key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now approaching the 0.786 level.
A confirmed breakout above this level, with a daily/weekly candle close, would further strengthen the bullish momentum.
Golden Pocket (~10,969 - 11,189):
The golden pocket zone (0.618) previously acted as strong resistance, but it has now turned into a support zone, affirming the current uptrend.
Target: 1.618 Extension (~17,837):
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at 17,837 is a likely target if the index maintains its bullish momentum throughout 2025.
This projection aligns with a potential all-time high under strong market conditions.
2. Channel Observation
The ASI is trading within a clear upward parallel channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming a solid bullish structure.
The upper bound of this channel aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, further strengthening the case for 17,837 as a medium- to long-term target.
3. Indicators
RSI:
The RSI is nearing overbought levels, suggesting that the index might face short-term resistance or a pullback before continuing its upward trajectory.
MACD:
The MACD is showing bullish momentum, with a positive crossover and rising histogram bars. This supports the upward trend.
4. Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
12,123 (0.786 Fib): Needs to hold as support if the index retraces.
10,969 - 11,189 (Golden Pocket): Acts as the next strong support zone.
10,158 (0.5 Fib): A deeper retracement level, likely to hold during a major pullback.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is at 13,593 (1.0 Fib).
The next major resistance is the 1.272 extension (~15,257) before targeting 1.618 (~17,837).
5. Risks and Considerations
The overbought RSI could lead to short-term corrections.
Macro-economic factors, such as local and global economic conditions, could impact the bullish scenario.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up
Highlights for Today
- Trends and Market Share
- Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise
- Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway
- Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges
- Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges
In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest
1. Trends and Market Share
Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025.
Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense.
Key Trends to Watch
-Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative.
-Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix.
-YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion.
-Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix.
2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise
Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter.
-Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers.
-Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024.
- Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled.
- Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets.
- Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum.
Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership.
3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring
-Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million.
-Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year.
-Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas.
-Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID.
-Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user.
Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical.
4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges
-Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022.
-Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%.
-Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom.
-Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability.
-CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization.
Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability.
5.Paramount: Streaming Growth
-Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter.
-TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%.
-Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders.
-Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs.
-Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline.
Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
WAAREE ENERGIES - Bullish Momentum in ActionTrade Overview: The bullish setup is unfolding well with TP1 already achieved at 2955.75. Price action is showing strong signs of continuation toward the remaining targets.
Key Levels:
Entry: 2881.85
Stop Loss (SL): 2822.05
Take Profit Targets:
TP2: 3075.35
TP3: 3194.90
TP4: 3268.80
Technical Insight:
The price is trending above the 15-minute moving averages, with a GREEN signal from the Risological Indicator, confirming bullish intent. The breakout beyond TP1 suggests sustained upward pressure.
Traders should watch for any resistance near TP2.
Strategy Tip:
Trail stop loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A pullback toward the entry zone could offer an additional opportunity to strengthen long positions.
Stay tuned for further target hits as Waaree Energies powers through!
RIVIAN Is this EV maker dead??Rivian is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.757, MACD = -0.170, ADX = 26.255) as it is extendint today yesterday's massive rejection on the 1D MA200. The long term pattern is a Channel Down and we are on the latest bearish wave and about to form a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. The two previous bearish waves of the pattern reached the 1.618 and 2.0 Fibonacci extension respectively, so a progressive lower low is identified there potentially. In any event, we expect at least the 2.0 Fibonacci level to be tested (TP = 8.65).
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AMAZON: Small pullback expected. Buy the dip.Amazon is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4H timeframe, supported by both the 4H MA50 and the 4H MA200 and almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.804, MACD = 6.500, ADX = 38.620). The 4H RSI is printing a sideways pattern which was a sell signal when the previous bullish waves peaked. The first pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, the second to the 0.5 Fib. Consequently we expect a quick pullback here but technically the dip should be bought on the 0.382 Fib. Our target after that will be near the top of the Channel (TP = 230.00).
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SasanSeifi| Can It Hit the $300 Zone?Hey there, ✌ Examining the 4-day chart for NASDAQ:TSLA , we can see a slight upward movement from the $140 price range. After multiple attempts to break above, the price encountered resistance around $265, resulting in a negative reaction and subsequent correction. Currently, the price hovers around the $248 level. My medium- and long-term outlook remains bullish, with an expectation that the price could rise toward the $300 supply zone and reach targets between $320 and $350.
One possible scenario is that, after a consolidation phase, if Tesla holds within the critical support range of $230 to $200, it could see significant growth toward the mentioned targets. Preserving these key support levels is crucial. However, if the price breaks below the $200 level and consolidates there, this scenario would lose validity, possibly leading to further correction.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
FABL potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price respecting upward trendline
- Harmonic AB=CD pattern formation
- Price is at horizontal support
- Safe entry can be taken after a bullish candle closing
- No divergence
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 47.15
Stop Loss Level: Closing below 43.5
Take Profit Level 1: 52.59
Take Profit Level 2: 57.41
Take Profit Level 3: 72
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
COINBASE: Can it survive this brutal -10% selloff ??Coinbase remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.131, MACD = 29.400, ADX = 29.780) despite today's massive selling that is exceeding -10%. This is because the RSI was highly overbought almost at 80.000 on Monday. So far the stock seems to be correcting the insane rally from the start of November and the rebound on the 1D MA50.
Even during COIN's prior rally phases since June 2023, the time when the 1D RSI first turned overbought (above 70.000) was not the end of the rally/ top of the uptrend but merely a technical correction. At most the correction pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is now at 263. With an upcoming Golden Cross on the 1D timeframe, we believe Coinbase can exceed $400 on this rally phase. Our minimum target remains (TP1 = 360.00) and maximum if you seek more risk TP2 = 435.00.
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TCI EXPRESS Massive Short Trade Caught on RisologicalTechnical Analysis: TCI Express (15-Minute Timeframe)
The chart demonstrates a highly successful short trade on TCI Express, with a stellar 12% decline captured within just five trading days. Here's a breakdown of the technical scenario:
Trade Overview
Stock: TCI Express
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Entry Price: ₹986 (on 7th November)
Current Market Price: ₹867
Price Movement: -₹119 (-12%) in approximately 5 days.
Trend Confirmation:
The chart showcases a well-defined downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure highlights strong bearish momentum.
Indicators in Action:
The visible red bands represent a dynamic resistance zone (Risological Trading Indicator). The price has consistently respected these resistance levels, confirming the strength of the sell-off.
Volume Support:
The volume aligns with the price action, increasing volume during the breakdown reinforced the bearish sentiment.
Momentum Breakdown:
The significant gap and subsequent bearish continuation patterns suggest that sellers are in complete control, with no signs of reversal yet. The tight clustering of the Risological resistance bands further validates the ongoing strength of the downtrend.
Performance
This short trade has outperformed expectations by delivering a 12% return in just five days, underscoring the precision of the entry at ₹986. Such rapid declines in a short timeframe highlight the effectiveness of the technical analysis and adherence to trend-following strategies.
Outlook
Support Zone: The price may find psychological support near ₹850, where traders should watch for potential profit booking or consolidation.
Next Levels to Watch : A break below ₹850 could trigger further downside, targeting ₹820 or lower.
Reversal Triggers: Reversal signals, such as a strong bullish engulfing pattern or price closing above the resistance bands, could indicate an exit point.
Key Takeaway
This short trade exemplifies disciplined execution, leveraging technical indicators and market momentum to achieve remarkable gains in a short timeframe. With the stock still in a robust downtrend, traders should continue monitoring for trailing stop adjustments to maximize profits while managing risk effectively.
MAGS - Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is FLYING! UPDATE!I told you over a month ago IT WAS TIME TO BUY! Did you take me seriously? How about now?
Watch the detailed forecast I posted for viewers Oct 2, 2024.
"May profits be upon" is not just a greeting. I'm trying to support your trading journey to consistent profits.
Please leave a comment, and let me know if you found a benefit in this forecast.
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Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MICROSOFT: Channel Down bottomed. Bullish wave starting to 540.MSFT is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.171, MACD = -0.910, ADX = 23.585) as since the September 6th Low it has been ranging sideways. Despite the lack of trend, this price action still hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up and technically the new bullish wave should start. The conditions for that are perfect as the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. The last bullish wave touched the HH trendline of the Channel Up after surpassing the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our current target (TP = 540).
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Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen!
Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well.
Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump.
But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump.
$146.50-$148.50
TP1: $142.93
TP2: $134.65
TP3: $131.75
Tight Stop Loss: $149.50
Good Stop Loss: $151.25
Loose Stop Loss:$154.50
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***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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Victoria's Secret (VSCO) AnalysisCompany Overview: Victoria's Secret NYSE:VSCO is undergoing a strategic transformation aimed at revitalizing its brand and capturing a larger share of the lingerie and intimate apparel market. The company is leveraging new partnerships, focusing on digital expansion, and embracing inclusivity to appeal to a broader customer base.
Key Developments:
Partnership with Amazon:
Victoria's Secret's collaboration with Amazon represents a significant move to expand its digital footprint. By listing products on one of the world's largest e-commerce platforms, the company gains access to Amazon's vast customer base, potentially driving substantial online sales growth.
This partnership enables Victoria's Secret to reach new customers who prefer online shopping, aligning with broader retail trends where e-commerce continues to take a larger share of sales.
Brand Transformation and Inclusivity:
The company is undergoing a brand overhaul, focusing on inclusivity and diversity. By showcasing a wider range of body types and promoting a more inclusive brand image, Victoria's Secret aims to reconnect with a broader audience, particularly Gen Z and Millennial consumers who value representation and authenticity.
This strategic shift is expected to enhance the brand's market appeal, improve customer perception, and potentially boost sales and market share.
International Expansion:
Victoria's Secret is targeting high-growth international markets such as China and India, where demand for premium and luxury lingerie is on the rise. The expansion into these regions is a strategic effort to tap into new revenue streams and capitalize on growing consumer purchasing power.
Establishing a stronger presence in these markets positions the company to benefit from increasing global demand for premium intimate apparel.
New Leadership Driving Transformation:
With new industry veterans in key leadership roles, including a CEO experienced in retail transformation, Victoria's Secret is set for accelerated growth. The revamped leadership team is focusing on strategic initiatives aimed at revitalizing the brand, enhancing customer experience, and driving financial performance.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on VSCO above the $27.00-$28.00 range, as the company's strategic initiatives and renewed focus on inclusivity are expected to drive growth and market expansion. Upside Potential: Our price target for Victoria's Secret is set at $45.00-$46.00, reflecting potential gains from the Amazon partnership, brand transformation efforts, and international expansion strategy.
🚀 VSCO—Reinventing the Brand and Expanding Horizons! #RetailTransformation #EcommerceGrowth #InclusivityInFashion
Coca Cola - A Clear Trading Setup!Coca Cola ( NYSE:KO ) will provide a textbook setup soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Coca Cola is one of these "under the radar" stocks which is just trending higher and higher but nobody is really paying attention. However currently Coca Cola is retesting a resistance trendline of the governing rising channel pattern so a short term retracement is quite likely.
Levels to watch: $72, $65
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TG Therapeutics (TGTX) Analysis Company Overview: TG Therapeutics NASDAQ:TGTX is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative treatments for B-cell diseases. The company's recent FDA approval of BRIUMVI for relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) marks a significant milestone, positioning TG Therapeutics to capitalize on a high-demand therapeutic area.
Key Developments:
FDA Approval of BRIUMVI: The approval of BRIUMVI for relapsing multiple sclerosis opens access to a substantial market, with nearly 1 million individuals in the U.S. affected by RMS. This provides a significant revenue opportunity, with BRIUMVI offering a new treatment option that has shown favorable efficacy, safety, and convenient dosing compared to existing therapies.
Positive Market Reception: CEO Michael S. Weiss has expressed strong confidence in BRIUMVI's potential, noting positive feedback from both healthcare providers and patients. The drug's unique value proposition lies in its twice-yearly dosing, which is more convenient than the monthly or quarterly regimens offered by competitors, enhancing patient compliance and satisfaction.
Pipeline and Future Growth: The successful launch of BRIUMVI is a testament to TG Therapeutics' ability to introduce novel treatments. This sets a strong foundation for future developments in B-cell disease therapies, as the company explores additional indications and expands its pipeline. BRIUMVI's performance in the market could pave the way for further advancements in TG Therapeutics' product offerings.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on TGTX above the $21.00-$22.00 range, driven by the strong initial reception of BRIUMVI and its potential to capture a significant share of the RMS market. Upside Potential: Our price target for TG Therapeutics is set at $34.00-$35.00, reflecting the expected revenue growth from BRIUMVI and the company's strategic positioning in the biopharma sector.
🚀 TGTX—Leading the Way in B-cell Disease Therapies! #BiopharmaInnovation #MultipleSclerosis #NewTreatmentOptions
CALT.N0000 - Weekly Chart UpdateThe Fibonacci retracement levels are plotted based on the all-time high and low values, providing insight into potential support and resistance zones.
The key Fibonacci levels observed on this chart are :
0.236 Level: Around 73.2, which could act as a significant resistance if the stock starts moving up from the current levels.
0.382 Level: Around 60.8, another potential resistance.
0.5 Level: Around 50.7, often considered a pivotal level in retracement analysis.
0.618 Level (Golden Pocket): Around 40.6, which is a critical level and can act as strong support if the price approaches it from above.
Current Price and 21-Week Moving Average (Green Line) :
The price is currently around 43.8, slightly above the 0.618 Fibonacci level (40.6), suggesting the price is in a critical area.
The 21-week moving average (green line) is also near the current price level. This moving average could act as dynamic support if the price remains above it. If it breaks below, it may signal further downside risk.
Descending Trendline Resistance :
The chart shows a strong descending trendline that has been respected multiple times as resistance. The stock would need to break above this trendline to confirm a reversal or more significant bullish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels :
Immediate Resistance: Around 47.1 (Weekly Mid Resistance) and 53 (Weekly Resistance).
Support Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 40.6 and the 0.786 level around 26.3 are key support areas. If the price falls below 40.6, the next significant support zone would be around 26.3.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) :
The RSI appears to be in a lower range, which could imply oversold conditions on the weekly chart. This may provide some support for the price, but a confirmed upward trend would still depend on breaking key resistance levels.
Summary:
The stock is in a consolidation phase near critical Fibonacci and moving average levels.
A break above 47.1 and ultimately above the descending trendline could signal the beginning of a potential reversal.
However, if the price falls below the 0.618 level (40.6), there may be a further downside risk, with 26.3 acting as the next major support.
The 21-week MA and the 0.618 level are crucial for maintaining the current consolidation or an upward move, so keeping an eye on these levels is essential.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
PALANTIR: Extremely overbought. High probability sell to $40.Palantir is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 79.771, MACD = 3.330, ADX = 33.075), even the 1W RSI is on extreme levels (80.789) and that alone would be a good enough reason to sell. The picture gets even clearer on the 1W timeframe where the price has almost reached the top of the 2 year Channel Up, having completed a +241.84% rise from the January 2nd 2024 bottom and almost +172.53% rise from the August 5th bottom. Those are the symmetrical rally levels from the December 27th 2022 and May 1st 2023 Lows respectively. The result on that HH rejection was a test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That is our target (TP = 40.00).
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Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors
NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43
One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43
Support Level: $135.00
Resistance Level: $150.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024
Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024
Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion
TTM: $6 billion
Dividend Yield: 0.02%
Institutional Holdings: 70%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $140.00
200-Day: $125.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00
P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00
EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00
NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $10 billion
Current Ratio: 2.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30%
Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57
Percentage Gain: ~9.27%
Stop Loss (SL): $135.00
Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43
Percentage Loss: ~7.80%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19
Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $125.00
Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.