MASTERCARD: One more dip possible but long term target is $620.Mastercard is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.317, MACD = -0.060, ADX = 29.709) having just recovered its 1D MA50 following the March 13th rebound. The pattern here is a Channel Up and March's bearish wave already hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level much like the previous one did on May 1st 2024. That however went on to extend the decline to close to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and hit the 1D MA200. Consequently there is a chance of one more month of slow decline to the 1D MA200 but overall, this is a good enough level to buy again for the long term and aim for the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 620.00).
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Stocktrading
IAG Airlines Group what next? $261 Reached & Breached! $172?🤔 IAG Airlines Group what next?
ℹ️ $261 Reached & Breached!
Will the $261 be regained and start to offer some support or is $172 NEXT?❓️❔️❓️
🌍 To be completely transparent I have no horse in this race at the moment BUT I really would like a serious flush to try and accumulate a long-term POSITION.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 is not interested at current price at all unless we start to see some SERIOUS VOLUME START TO COME IN TO PLAY
Microsoft - A Little Lower And Much Higher!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is about to retest strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
In mid 2024 Microsoft perfectly retested the previous channel resistance trendline and the recent weakness has not been unexpected at all. However the overall trend still remains rather bullish and if Microsoft retests the previous all time high, a significant move will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EXXON MOBIL: This strong rally won't end any time soon.Exxon Mobil is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.390, MACD = 2.260, ADX = 52.087) as for the 4th straigh week it is posting gains. This rally started on the first week of March when the stock almost touched the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This is a similar bullish wave to the one that started after the January 2024 bottom, which eventually reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Aim for a bit under the top of the Channel Up (TP = 128.00.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%
Moderna (MRNA) shares tumbled by approximately 8.9%, falling below $29—marking their lowest level since April 2020, when global markets were shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since the start of 2025, MRNA’s share price has declined by around 32%.
Why Did MRNA Shares Drop?
On Monday, MRNA led the decline among US biotech stocks following the resignation of Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Marks had held this position for over a decade.
During Trump’s first term, Marks oversaw the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and established guidelines for emerging treatments such as cell and gene therapy.
However, in Trump’s second term, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. now serves as Health Secretary. According to The Wall Street Journal, Marks criticised Kennedy’s stance on vaccines in his resignation letter, calling it “misinformation and lies.”
The pharmaceutical industry was already under pressure amid speculation that Trump’s tariff plans could extend to prescription drugs, which are typically exempt from such measures. Marks' departure has further intensified uncertainty regarding regulatory decisions under the new administration.
Technical Analysis of MRNA Shares
The chart indicates that:
➝ The stock remains in a downtrend that began with a sharp drop in August last year (reinforced by the moving average).
➝ Over the past five months, it has been forming a descending channel (marked in red).
➝ The lower boundary of this channel acted as support yesterday.
The formation of higher lows and highs (marked in blue) had given bulls some hope in March 2025. However, yesterday’s bearish gap appears to have shattered that optimism.
It is possible that the lower blue trendline and the median of the red channel will act as resistance moving forward, further darkening the outlook for MRNA’s share price—especially given the ongoing negative news surrounding the stock.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
VISA: One of the steadiest 2025 stock picks.Visa remains bullish on 1W and is about to do so on its 1D technical outlook as well (RSI = 54.200, MACD = 1.140, ADX = 29.207). The 1W Channel Up is what keeps the long term trend bullish and 1D is just recovering from neutral grounds the correction of March's first 2 weeks. This is nothing new for the stock as it had the same -9% correction in September 2023 after a symmetric +43.28% bullish wave. After this correction, the index extended the rally to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the stronger correction.
You can see that the 1W RSI pattern now is identical to then. Consequently, we again expect a technical rebound to the 1.382 Fib extension either at or over the 2 year Channel Up (TP = 419.00) by the end of the year.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergences - The Ultimate GuideIntroduction
SMT Divergences are a powerful concept used by professional traders to spot inefficiencies in the market. By comparing correlated assets, traders can identify hidden opportunities where one market shows strength while the other shows weakness. This guide will break down the major SMT divergences: EURUSD/GBPUSD, US100/US500, and XAUUSD/XAGUSD .
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What is SMT Divergence?
SMT Divergence occurs when two correlated assets do not move in sync, signaling potential liquidity grabs or market inefficiencies. These divergences can be used to confirm trend reversals, identify smart money movements, and improve trade precision.
Key Concepts:
- If one asset makes a higher high while the correlated asset fails to do so, this suggests potential weakness in the pair making the higher high.
- If one asset makes a lower low while the correlated asset does not, this suggests potential strength in the pair that did not make a lower low.
- Smart Money often exploits these inefficiencies to engineer liquidity hunts before moving price in the intended direction.
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EURUSD vs. GBPUSD SMT Divergence
These two forex pairs are highly correlated because both share the USD as the quote currency. However, when divergence occurs, it often signals liquidity manipulations.
How to Use:
- If GBPUSD makes a higher high but EURUSD does not, GBPUSD may be trapping breakout traders before reversing.
- If EURUSD makes a lower low but GBPUSD does not, EURUSD might be in a liquidity grab, signaling a potential reversal.
---
US100 vs. US500 SMT Divergence
The NASDAQ (US100) and S&P 500 (US500) are both major indices with a strong correlation, but tech-heavy NASDAQ can sometimes lead or lag the S&P.
How to Use:
- If US100 makes a higher high but US500 does not, it suggests US100 is extended and may reverse soon.
- If US500 makes a lower low but US100 does not, US500 might be experiencing a liquidity grab before a reversal.
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XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD SMT Divergence
Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have a historic correlation. However, due to differences in volatility and liquidity, they can diverge, presenting trading opportunities.
How to Use:
- If Gold makes a higher high but Silver does not, Gold might be overextended and ready to reverse.
- If Silver makes a lower low but Gold does not, Silver might be in a liquidity grab, signaling strength.
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Indicator Used for SMT Divergences
To simplify the process of identifying SMT divergences, this guide utilizes the TradingView indicator TehThomas ICT SMT Divergences . This tool automatically detects divergences between correlated assets, highlighting potential trade opportunities.
You can access the indicator here:
Why Use This Indicator?
- Automatically plots divergences, saving time on manual comparisons.
- Works across multiple asset classes (Forex, Indices, Metals, etc.).
- Helps traders spot Smart Money inefficiencies with ease.
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Final Tips for Trading SMT Divergences
1. Use Higher Timeframes for Confirmation: SMT Divergences on 1H or 4H hold more weight than those on lower timeframes.
2. Combine with Other Confluences: ICT concepts like Order Blocks, FVGs, or liquidity sweeps can strengthen the SMT setup.
3. Wait for Market Structure Confirmation: After spotting SMT divergence, look for a market structure shift before entering trades.
4. Be Mindful of Economic Events: Divergences can appear due to news releases, so always check the economic calendar.
---
Conclusion
SMT Divergences are a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets. By analyzing inefficiencies between correlated assets, traders can anticipate smart money movements and improve trade precision. Practice spotting these divergences on real charts, and soon, you'll develop a keen eye for hidden liquidity traps.
Happy trading!
Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Hits 2025 LowAlphabet (GOOGL) Stock Hits 2025 Low
As seen on the Alphabet (GOOGL) stock chart, the price has dropped close to $156—a level not seen since September 2024.
Since the start of 2025, the stock has fallen by more than 18%.
Why Is GOOGL Falling?
As mentioned earlier today, overall market sentiment remains bearish due to the White House’s tariff policies.
For Alphabet (GOOGL), the situation has worsened today due to the following developments (as reported by the media):
➝ Google has admitted liability and agreed to pay $100 million in cash to settle a US class-action lawsuit accusing the company of overcharging advertisers, according to Reuters. Alphabet shares dropped 4.4%.
➝ Google’s division was found guilty of anti-competitive behaviour in India related to its app store billing system.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL)
In February, we noted investors’ negative reaction to the company’s earnings report, which led to a bearish gap (marked by a red arrow).
Since then, bears have maintained control, pushing the price below the lower boundary of the ascending channel that had been valid since 2023. Key signals include:
➝ The $170 level (near the bearish gap on 10 March) acted as resistance on 25 March.
➝ Bears showed little reaction to bulls at the $160 level and have kept the price contained between two downward-sloping red lines.
Bears may now be targeting the psychological level of $150. If bulls want to maintain control over GOOGL’s long-term uptrend, they need to take action soon.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA Volatility Continues?NASDAQ:TSLA
Outlook - -GEX and -DEX with put support at 220 which would fill the Earnings gap up from last October.
Weekly -- Rejected the EMA
Daily -- Closed right above EMA
Hourly -- Consolidating
10m -- Consolidating
Bias - Neutral until one side breaks. Too much volatility to pick a side.
Pivot - 263.5
Upside Targets:
* 263.46--274.06--277.63--287.26
Downside Targets:
* 258.04--256.43--253.48--249.63
IAG Stock Took some heat! Is there anything to take here?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has this on the radar.
⭐️ Have your levels ready and wait for your A+⭐️ Setup.
ℹ️ Our levels are here marked out.
I have ZERO interest in taking a position here however a deeper sell-off and I will start paying attention.❗️
⚠️ ALERTS set and LEVELS marked.
🟢Now go away and ENJOY your WEEKEND and lets HURRY UP AND WAIT and lets see what NEXT WEEK has for us👍
Tesla - There Is Hope For Bulls!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is just crashing recently:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high just a couple of weeks ago, we now witnessed a quite expected rejection of about -50%. However market structure remains still bullish and if we see some bullish confirmation, a substantial move higher will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
WALMART: Recovery will take time but it's worth the investment.Walmart is headed to an oversold condition on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.324, MACD = -2.580, ADX = 37.504) but remains marginally neutral on 1W (RSI = 45.418). Based on its 13 year Channel Up and the 1W RSI pattern, it got rejected on its top but this 2 month decline is a usual correction inside this Channel. In fact we do expect the 1W MA50 to break but most likely the trend will find support on the Channel's middle trendline and start to gradually recover in 2026. The recovery process will be long but the prices are already to low and oversold, still one can wait for the 1W MA50 to break in order to confirm that, and buy for the long term. After all, the stock gained more than +160% in less than 3 years and an investment on the world's biggest groceries company with such amazing return, is a worthwhile one. Our target is $140 by the end of 2027/early 2028.
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Harmony Gold Mining (HMY) – Strong Growth & Rising ProfitabilityCompany Overview:
Harmony Gold Mining NYSE:HMY continues to outperform expectations, delivering higher grades, cost efficiency, and production expansion.
Key Catalysts:
High-Quality Gold Extraction ⛏️
Underground recovered grades surged to 6.4 g/t, exceeding full-year guidance.
Reinforces HMY’s ability to extract high-quality ore.
Cost Efficiency & Rising Gold Prices 📈
All-in sustaining costs at ZAR 972,000/kg, well-managed despite inflationary pressures.
Gold’s safe-haven demand surging due to geopolitical tensions, boosting HMY’s margins.
Expansion & Future Growth 🚀
New high-grade mining site announced, set to enhance future production & revenue growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on HMY above $10.50-$11.00, supported by cost control & rising gold prices.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, driven by high-margin production & increasing investor interest in gold.
🔥 HMY – Unlocking Gold’s Full Potential. #HMY #GoldMining #SafeHavenAsset
Chevron (CVX) – Strong Growth & Cash Flow ExpansionCompany Overview:
Chevron NYSE:CVX continues to demonstrate strong operational efficiency, strategic expansion, and record-breaking U.S. production.
Key Catalysts:
Production Growth & Profitability 🚀
Global production up 7% in 2024.
U.S. output surged 19% to record levels.
Permian Basin nearing 1M bpd, reinforcing cash flow strength.
Strategic Expansion & Sustainability 🌍
Gulf of Mexico projects targeting a boost from 200K to 300K bpd.
Future Growth Project in Kazakhstan enhances long-term production & ESG alignment.
Navigating Venezuelan challenges while leveraging stable U.S. policies for continued growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on CVX above $139.00-$140.00, backed by resilient production growth & execution.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $215.00-$220.00, supported by strong cash flow & expansion initiatives.
🔥 Chevron – Powering the Future with Growth & Stability. #CVX #EnergyStocks #OilAndGas
ROCKET LAB: Channel Up aiming at $78.RKLB turned marginally neutral again on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.190, MACD = 1.683, ADX = 38.570) as it basically remains flat for the past 3 weeks. Since the price is not that far off the 1W MA50, we believe that's the (long term) bottoming process of the 1 year Channel Up. We are also a little bit over the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and once the process is over we expect the new bullish wave to target the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 78.00) as the top of this Cycle.
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JP MORGAN: Perfect 1W MA50 rebound targeting $350. JP Morgan is neutral both on its 1D and 1W technical outlooks (RSI = 54.173, MACD = 7.520, ADX = 32.502), suggesting that it remains inside the best buy zone for the long term. As a matter of fact, having rebounded exactly on its 1W MA50, this is the best buy opportunity since October 23rd 2023, which was the last time it hit the 1W MA50. As shown, the long term pattern is a Channel Up and every contact with the 1W MA50 has coincided with a 1W RSI test of the S1 Zone. There is no better buy entry than the current level and we can safely aim for yet another +57.76% run (TP = $350.00).
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Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA)
The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution.
The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation.
The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio.
Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range
Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position.
However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD.
Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
GOOGL: Bullish Bounce Before a Bigger Drop? Here's My RoadmapGoogle NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is shaping up to look bullish in the short term, and I believe that in the next few weeks to months, we could see a solid upside move - before things could turn ugly again later on. Let me explain why.
Big picture: we’re currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure, which is playing out as a complex WXY correction (marked in orange). This type of correction follows a 3-3-3 wave pattern, and everything we’ve seen so far fits that structure. Since the top in February, NASDAQ:GOOGL has dropped around 24% , which is significant - but also not unexpected within this context.
What’s interesting now is that we’ve just printed a bullish divergence on the RSI for the first time in this move down. That’s the first green flag. The second? The lower wick, which I currently mark as sub-wave ((a)) has been very well respected so far. That’s the second sign that this could be the turning point - at least temporarily.
I’m expecting a move up in the coming weeks toward the 2024 VAH, around $178, where we could see a first rejection. From there, the price should continue higher in a 3-wave structure toward Wave ((b)), likely reaching between $187.80 and $196.30 (the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement zone).
But let’s be clear: this is not the start of a new bullish trend. After Wave ((b)), I expect a 5-wave move to the downside, completing Wave ((c)) - and that means lower prices ahead , potentially in Q3, Q4 2025 or even into 2026.
Until then, I’m keeping a close eye on this structure. As long as the current Wave ((a)) low holds, this short-term bullish scenario remains valid. If we get a strong breakout in the coming days / weeks, I’ll be looking to enter on a retest, targeting that $187.80–$196.28 zone.
Let’s see if the market plays it my way.
Make sure to follow me for future updates on this scenario and other setups !
RITES: INVERSE H&S BREAKOUTThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components:
Structure of the Pattern:
Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally.
Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally.
Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher.
Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head.
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in RITES, with a neckline at ₹225, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. The target price for this breakout is ₹263 calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss at 212 to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
Why I think JP Morgan Predicts a $120 price for Tesla1) The price channel (white) reveals that we’re only halfway to the next major bounce on the daily chart. With boycotts gaining traction and sales projections looking bleak, the stage is set for more downward pressure.
2) Looking back at the last significant downward swing ( purple ) within this channel, history could repeat itself with a drop of similar magnitude. The pattern is hard to ignore.
3) A critical support zone ( green ) lies beneath an unresolved price imbalance, still waiting to be tested. It’s like a magnet pulling the price lower.
4) When you weave these factors together—channel dynamics, past swings, and untouched support—they converge ominously around the $120 mark. Coincidence? I think not...
Let me know what you guys think.
SMCI: Channel Up bottomed on the 1D MA50. Long term Target: $148Super Micro Computer Inc is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.184, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 28.146), the ideal condition to go on a long term buy as the price has been holding the 1D MA50 for 2 straight weeks. The goal now is to cross again above the 1D MA200 but that was already done on February 18th and the pattern that has been established is a Channel Up. The market however may be aiming at much higher as the November 14th 2024 bottom was priced on the Head of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, a technical bullish reversal formation that targets its 2.0 Fibonacci extension once completed. The trade is long, TP = 148.00.
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