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Bit Digital, Inc. ($BTBT): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityBit Digital, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BTBT ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $4.30 - Stop-Loss:** $3.34 - Take-Profit Target: $8.40 - Long-Term Target: $16.77 Rationale: Bit Digital, Inc. is a digital asset mining company focusing on Bitcoin. The stock has exhibited significant volatility, often influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market. This setup presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, appealing to traders with a higher risk tolerance. Financial Performance: In Q3 2024, Bit Digital reported a net loss of $2.69 million, with total revenue of $98 million over the trailing twelve months. The company's financial performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's market dynamics. Volume and Short Interest: The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations. Analyst Ratings: Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $6.00, indicating potential upside from the current price. Risk Management: Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $3.34 is crucial to manage potential losses. The take-profit target of $8.40 offers a favourable risk-reward ratio, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:BTBTLong
by SiriusTrading
2
Waiting and Waiting For The Generational Top Man, SPX has really doubled since I first wrote about the possibility of a generational top in markets, back in 2018. In that time, have there been material improvements to our quality of life? Have economic conditions for the average person actually gotten better? Instead, it seems, market orchestrators are finding new ways to profit in the digital age - digital currencies, leverage on digital currencies, leverage on companies who buy digital currencies with leverage...more and more leverage. Extract more and more profit from people's attention. Gamify trading and our lived experiences. Looking at the long term monthly chart for SPX, historical crashes have had price drop below the 200 month Moving Average (teal). Price has also tended to gravitate towards that purple trendline eventually. It has not touched since 2009. Before 2009, it had not touched since 1982. That's 27 years. If we see a similar gap, we wouldn't see a generational bottom until 2036, or over a decade from now. Perhaps some caution should be exercised. Price has ventured to the top purple trendline. When price gets up there, it tends to appear overvalued, which may indicate that a mean reversion must occur. Here it is zoomed in, showing a weekly bearish divergence. There's also the Great Depression Fractal. This could easily (in hindsight) be a blowoff phase. Previous ideas about this are linked below. I was obviously off the mark when I first posted about this in 2018, but I still think it's work looking at, as a point of interest. Not as a prediction, per se, but as an example of how bad a crash could get at these levels. Once the Dow broke above the orange megaphone, price more than doubled before crashing. At current levels, price has now more than doubled from the breakout point. A number of external factors are at play - rising populism/authoritarianism, rising global conflict...all symptoms of challenges with resources. Things are shaky up here. Time will tell. Great resets offer great opportunities. This is meant for speculation only! -Victor Cobra
SP:SPXShort
by VictorCobra
1
Tempur Sealy International (TPX) Analysis Company Overview: Tempur Sealy International NYSE:TPX , renowned for its Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster brands, is a dominant player in the global sleep solutions market. Its focus on premium product innovation and strategic global expansion underpins its robust growth trajectory. Key Growth Drivers: International Segment Growth: A 12.4% increase in net sales reflects Tempur Sealy’s successful penetration into international markets, emphasizing its ability to diversify revenue streams and reduce dependence on North American sales. North American Resilience: Despite a slight sales decline, the North American segment achieved a 20.1% adjusted operating margin, highlighting efficient cost management and the enduring strength of its brands in a competitive market. Innovation and Product Line Expansion: Continued investment in cutting-edge sleep technology and new product launches enhances consumer appeal, supporting higher average selling prices (ASP) and boosting profitability. Strong Brand Equity and Marketing Strategy: Recognized as a leader in the industry, Tempur Sealy’s sustained investments in branding and marketing reinforce its dominant market position, driving customer loyalty and expanding market share. Investment Outlook: Bullish Stance: We are bullish on TPX above $48.00-$49.00, supported by its global expansion, operational efficiency, and innovative product strategy. Upside Target: Our price target is $66.00-$68.00, reflecting anticipated revenue growth and market share gains as Tempur Sealy capitalizes on demand for premium sleep solutions. 🛏️ Tempur Sealy—Innovating Comfort, Globally! #TPX #SleepSolutions #GlobalGrowth
NYSE:SGILong
by Richtv_official
MARA: Strategic Entry Amid Bitcoin ResurgenceMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA ): Strategic Entry Amid Bitcoin Resurgence Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $19.59 - Stop-Loss: $15.14 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $28.61 - TP2: $39.59 Company Overview: Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a leading digital asset technology company specializing in cryptocurrency mining, with a primary focus on the COINBASE:BTCUSD ecosystem. The company has recently expanded its operations, including the acquisition of a 114-megawatt wind farm in Texas to power its mining activities with renewable energy. Financial Performance: In Q3 2024, Marathon reported revenue of $131.6 million, up from $97.8 million in the same period last year. However, the net loss widened to $124.8 million, exceeding analyst expectations. Analyst Ratings: Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $28.00, indicating potential upside from the current price. Volume and Market Dynamics: The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations. Risk/Reward Analysis: The stop-loss at $15.14 limits downside risk, while the take-profit targets of $28.61 and $39.59 offer potential returns of approximately 46% and 102%, respectively, from the entry point. Conclusion: Marathon Digital Holdings presents a strategic opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency sector, particularly Bitcoin. The company's expansion into renewable energy and increased mining capacity position it favorably amid the current Bitcoin rally. *When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!* *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:MARALong
by SiriusTrading
DGKC potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias: - Price gave a bullish closing above the weekly support level - Price bounced from fib golden pocket - Price gave downward trendline breakout - AB = CD pattern can be seen, if price give resistance (also TP1) breakout, then next target can be considered at point D(approx. 105) - Overall a bullish trend on daily - Bullish divergence Here are the recommended trading levels: Buy 1: 87.03 (CMP) Buy 2: 81.5 Stop Loss Level: 72.04 Take Profit Level 1: 96.5 Take Profit Level 2: Open Happy Trading
PSX:DGKCLong
by TradeWithParas
GameStop Corp. ($GME): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityGameStop Corp. ( NYSE:GME ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity Trade Setup: - Initial Entry: $31.45 - Alternative Entry: $24.11 - Stop-Loss: $10.88 - Take-Profit: $125.99 Rationale: GameStop, a prominent video game retailer, has experienced significant volatility, often influenced by retail investor interest and speculative trading. The stock's history includes notable short squeezes, leading to substantial price surges. Recent discussions suggest the potential for another upward movement, presenting a high-risk, high-reward scenario. Financial Performance: In Q2 2024, GameStop reported revenue of $798.3 million, down from $1.16 billion the previous year. The company is focusing on cost containment and plans to close underperforming stores to enhance efficiency. Volume and Short Interest: As of November 15, 2024, GameStop had approximately 31.87 million shares sold short, representing about 7.47% of the float. This level of short interest indicates a moderate potential for a short squeeze. Analyst Ratings: Analyst coverage on GameStop is limited, with some maintaining a "Sell" rating and a price target of $10.00, suggesting potential downside. However, the stock's volatility and retail investor interest can lead to price movements that diverge from analyst expectations. Risk Management: Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $10.88 is crucial to manage potential losses. The ambitious take-profit target of $125.99 offers a substantial reward, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations. *When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!* *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NYSE:GMELong
by SiriusTrading
Micron Technology ($MU): Strategic Buy with AI-Driven UpsideMicron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ): Strategic Buy with AI-Driven Upside Trade Setup: - **Buy Price:** $98.66 - **Stop-Loss:** $84.68 - **Take-Profit:** $160 to $180 **Rationale:** Micron Technology, a leader in memory and storage solutions, is poised to benefit from the growing demand in artificial intelligence (AI) applications. The company's advancements in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) position it favourably within the semiconductor industry. **Financial Performance:** In fiscal Q4 2024, Micron reported revenue of $7.75 billion, a significant increase from $4.01 billion in the same period last year. The GAAP net income was $887 million, or $0.79 per diluted share, marking a substantial turnaround from the previous year's loss. **Analyst Insights:** Analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $146.28, with estimates ranging from $90 to $250, indicating a potential upside of approximately 48% from the current price. **Risk Management:** The stop-loss at $84.68 helps mitigate downside risk, while the take-profit range of $160 to $180 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:MULong
by SiriusTrading
2
SAP’s Cloud & AI MomentumSAP’s Cloud and AI Momentum: Why This Tech Giant Remains a Top Buy in 2024 SAP is a Germany based company specializing in enterprise application software It operates through three key segments: 1.Applications, Technology & Services: This segment focuses on selling software licenses, subscriptions to SAP’s cloud applications, and related services. It encompasses support services, various professional services, implementation services for SAP’s software products, and educational services to help customers effectively use SAP solutions 2.SAP Business Network:This segment includes SAP’s cloud-based collaborative business networks and related services. It covers cloud applications and professional and educational services related to the SAP Business Network. This segment also encompasses cloud offerings developed by SAP Ariba, SAP Fieldglass, and Concur, which facilitate supplier collaboration, workforce management, and expense management. 3.Customer Experience:This segment offers both on-premise and cloud-based products designed to manage front-office functions, focusing on customer experience management. It provides solutions that help businesses enhance and streamline interactions with customers. These segments enable SAP to offer a wide range of solutions, addressing enterprise needs from back-office functions to collaborative networks and customer-facing operations. SAP remains a top pick, with clear growth momentum that could accelerate further and potential for margin improvements. My buy rating remains unchanged. SAP reported its Q3 2024 earnings, showing a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in constant currency (CC) to €8.5 billion, maintaining the same growth momentum as Q2 2024. The highlight is the cloud segment’s revenue growth, reaching €4.35 billion, with a y/y CC growth rate accelerating from 25% in Q2 2024 to 27% in Q3 2024. This aligns well with my expectations, as the current cloud backlog (CCB) grew by 29% y/y CC, improving 100 basis points from Q2 2024. By product category, the Cloud ERP Suite showed 36% y/y CC growth, a 300bps sequential improvement. License revenue, though still declining, saw a slower drop from -27% in Q2 to -14% in Q3, and maintenance revenue declines also eased from -3% to -2%. This solid revenue performance contributed to a strong profit outcome, with adjusted EBIT beating estimates by approximately 9% at €2.24 billion, and a major free cash flow (FCF) beat of €1.25 billion, far surpassing the consensus of -€676 million. Given this strong performance, it wasn’t surprising that management raised guidance, which is certainly encouraging. They now forecast adjusted EBIT in the range of €7.8 to €8 billion, a €150 million increase at the midpoint, implying y/y growth of 20% to 23% CC, up from the previous 17% to 21%. Cloud and software revenue guidance also increased by €400 million at the midpoint, with a new range of €29.5 to €29.8 billion, reflecting 10% to 11% y/y CC growth versus the previous 8% to 10%. Additionally, adjusted FCF is now projected between €3.5 to €4 billion, compared to the prior €3.5 billion. I am confident that SAP can meet these targets for several reasons. First, the S/4HANA migration remains strong, as indicated by 29% y/y CC CCB growth and 36% y/y CC growth in the Cloud ERP Suite, which accounts for approximately 84% of total cloud revenue. Second, nearly one-third of deals signed in the quarter involved AI, highlighting increased demand for embedded AI solutions. This reinforces my previous view that AI adoption is driving SAP’s cloud migration efforts, as customers must utilize the cloud to fully leverage these AI capabilities. Notably, SAP is moving to the “expand” phase of its strategy by adding generative AI (GenAI) capabilities. With SAP introducing more AI features, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this growth driver. For example, its AI-based assistant, Joule, now offers collaborative agent capabilities, allowing it to manage multiple AI agents for complex tasks—resulting in significant productivity gains. Additionally, the Knowledge Graph, a part of SAP’s GenAI suite, connects language and data to help users navigate SAP systems more efficiently. SAP has over 100 GenAI use cases and has added more than 500 skills to Joule so far, suggesting substantial growth potential. AI adoption remains robust, as evidenced by AI’s central role in SAP’s sales strategy. Around 20% of deals now include premium AI features, and all ERP and LoB deals involve discussions around AI, signaling that AI is a key growth driver for SAP, especially considering that AI integration was minimal a few years ago. I reaffirm my model assumptions and see continued attractive upside potential, even after SAP’s strong year-to-date share price rally. SAP is increasingly likely to achieve 10% growth for FY24, with further acceleration expected in FY25/26, driven by strong cloud migration and rising AI demand. Management’s upward revision of FY24 adjusted EBIT indicates that earnings margins will improve. Year-to-date, the adjusted earnings margin stands at around 21.1%, making my full-year target of 21.5% feasible. As growth accelerates and SAP completes its restructuring (which impacts 9,000 to 10,000 positions as announced in January 2024), margins should rise to the mid-20% range. I’ve added 300 basis points based on trends from FY22 to FY24. Additionally, with no visible slowdown in growth momentum, I expect the market to continue valuing SAP at a premium, at 36x forward PE compared to the three-year average of 23x. The macroeconomic environment poses risks, especially if supply chain challenges persist or interest rates rise. Political uncertainties, such as the upcoming U.S. election, could lead to reduced business investment, impacting corporate IT budgets and SAP’s sales. Additionally, if SAP’s S/4HANA and cloud products underperform, or if there are delays in product development or launches, investor expectations may be disappointed, particularly regarding S/4HANA. To conclude, I maintain my buy rating on SAP. The company’s strong Q3 2024 performance and revised guidance have reinforced my positive view. The accelerating growth in cloud revenue, driven by solid S/4 HANA migration and increased AI adoption, is highly encouraging. While macro risks remain, SAP’s robust fundamentals and favorable growth outlook support a buy rating.
NYSE:SAPLong
by moonypto
EPL Ltd Breakout Alert: 52-Week High + Bullish Momentum! Ready f📈 EPL Ltd (EPL) is showing explosive bullish momentum and has recently achieved a 52-week breakout, positioning it for potential short-term gains. Here’s why EPL should be on your radar: 🔑 Key Technical Highlights: Bullish Marubozu Candle: Strong buyer dominance, signaling a solid uptrend. RSI Breakout (63): Momentum is building; watch for continued upward pressure. Volume Breakout: Price surge supported by heavy volume—confirming buyer interest. Donchian Bands: New highs suggest further breakout potential ahead. Bollinger Bands: Positive breakout confirms the strength of the current trend. Stochastic (94) & CCI (195): Strong overbought levels indicate market strength. MACD Bullish Crossover: A confirmed bullish signal, pointing to sustained upward movement. 200 EMA: Price above the EMA, and both price and moving averages are trending up, showing a strong uptrend. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: 🔥 Long White Candles across the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes indicate consistent bullish pressure and potential for further upward movement. Why This Could Be a Great Trade: Possible Swing Trade: Targeting short-term profits with strong bullish indicators. Possible BTST (Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow): Perfect setup for quick gains. 📢 Don’t miss out on this breakout opportunity – EPL is trending upward, and the momentum is strong! 💥 🚀 Are you ready to take action? 💬 Share your thoughts, predictions, or trade setups in the comments below! 🔔 Follow for daily stock analysis and stay ahead of the market. Possible levels to watch out : 324-360-396-432
NSE:EPLLong
by ruelfernandes
Meta I Potential correction and more growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** Meta Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:METALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Analysis Company Overview: AST SpaceMobile NASDAQ:ASTS is pioneering a global space-based cellular broadband network, enabling mobile connectivity in remote and underserved areas. Its BlueBird satellite technology and strategic partnerships position ASTS as a disruptor in satellite communications. Key Growth Drivers: BlueBird Satellite Deployment: Successful launch of the first five BlueBird satellites demonstrates AST’s ability to deliver innovative mobile broadband solutions globally. This milestone positions the company to begin revenue generation through early adoption and partnerships. Space Development Agency (SDA) HALO Program: AST’s selection for the Highly Agile and Low Orbit (HALO) program opens a significant opportunity in the government and defense sectors. This collaboration may lead to diversified revenue streams and further innovation in secure satellite communications. Network Expansion Plans: Agreements for up to 60 additional satellite launches in 2025-2026 will drive subscriber growth, enable broader network coverage, and accelerate revenue generation. Strategic Partnerships and Investments: Backing from industry giants like AT&T, Verizon, Google, and Vodafone highlights ASTS’s credibility and potential to reshape the global communications market. These partnerships may also enhance access to established customer bases, supporting rapid scaling. Investment Outlook: Bullish Stance: We are bullish on ASTS above $19.50-$20.00, driven by its transformative technology, strategic partnerships, and extensive market opportunities. Upside Target: Our price target is $40.00-$42.00, reflecting ASTS’s potential to capture a substantial share of the growing satellite broadband market. 🚀 AST SpaceMobile—Connecting the World, Beyond Boundaries! #SpaceTech #ASTS #SatelliteRevolution
NASDAQ:ASTSLong
by Richtv_official
Home Depot (HD) Analysis Company Overview: Home Depot NYSE:HD , the largest home improvement retailer, leverages its extensive network of stores, robust e-commerce platform, and strategic acquisitions to maintain a dominant market position. The company continues to innovate and adapt to evolving consumer demands while capitalizing on macroeconomic trends. Key Drivers of Growth: Strategic Acquisition of SRS Distribution Inc.: The acquisition enhances Home Depot’s market reach and diversifies its product offerings, particularly in specialty building materials. This move is expected to drive revenue growth and profitability, strengthening its competitive position. Projected Sales Growth: Fiscal 2024 sales are projected to grow 3.8% year-over-year, showcasing Home Depot’s resilience and its ability to capitalize on consistent consumer demand for home improvement products. Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: Recent rate cuts are expected to stimulate housing activity, increasing demand for renovation and home improvement supplies, a key driver of Home Depot’s sales. Strong Brand and Omni-Channel Presence: Home Depot’s extensive store network and advanced e-commerce platform provide a seamless customer experience, offering resilience in both physical and digital retail markets. The company’s reputation as a trusted supplier to both consumers and professionals enhances brand loyalty and repeat business. Investment Outlook: Bullish Stance: We are bullish on HD above $385.00-$390.00, supported by its strategic growth initiatives, favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, and robust operational performance. Upside Target: Our price target is $570.00-$575.00, reflecting Home Depot’s strong growth potential and ability to navigate dynamic market conditions. 📈 Home Depot—Building the Future of Home Improvement! #HomeImprovement #GrowthStock #HD
NYSE:HDLong
by Richtv_official
1
When is a stock too high to buy? (Example: IHG)How do you know when you’ve missed the boat? A stock has already gone up a tonne, so bascally you are too late! Sometimes, you just have to let go, right? Sometimes yes, but not always - let’s look at an example. International Hotels Group (IHG) Back in 2020, LSE:IHG IHG shares were trading down at ~2000 GBX, now they are a hairs breadth from 10,000 - that’s 5X in about 4 years. Not bad. Can you really even think about buying shares at 10,000 that were 2,000 only 4 years ago. 🤔 We’re saying YES.. if you follow some guidelines. Clearly this is not a value investment - this is a momentum trade. To be buying IHG shares up here, one is basically arguing that the price at new highs indicates and buyers are in charge and the price is going to keep going up for the time being. This helps define the trade risk very well. If the trade is that IHG has broken out over the previous peak at ~8,800. We don’t want to be owning shares below this level - if they’re back below 8,800 the momentum has stalled and we need to be out. To put it another way, we are not buying just under 10,000 and willing to hold the shares all the way back down to 2,000 again - no. We want to ride the momentum up - not down ! From here there’s a pretty good chance that momentum takes the price up to the 10,000 level. As a big round number, there is also a good chance that profit taking takes place here too. That creates our buy zone between 8,800 and the current market price (9,750). So what might a trading strategy look like to capture this situation? The following is a way to have: An intial risk of £1000 to test the waters A total risk £3000 if/when the trade starts working A 2X profit potential (with the opportunity to capture more) Spread Betting Strategy: Target £6000+ Profit with £1000 Initial Risk Entry Points and Stops 9000 GBX Entry: Stop Loss: 8600 GBX. Bet Size: £2.50 per point. Risk: £1000. 9200 GBX Entry: Stop Loss: 8800 GBX. Bet Size: £2.50 per point. Risk: £1000. 9400 GBX Entry: Stop Loss: Trailing 400 points. Bet Size: £2.50 per point. Initial Risk: £1000. Profit Targets First Position (9000): Gain: 1000 points. Profit: £2500. Second Position (9200): Gain: 800 points. Profit: £2000. Third Position (9400): Trailing Stop Profit Example: 10,400 GBX: Profit = £2500. 11,000 GBX: Profit = £4000 or more. Summary Total Risk: £3000. Fixed Profit (First Two Positions): £4500. Potential Profit (Third Position): Variable, based on trailing stop. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2:1 or higher, depending on trend continuation.
LSE:IHGEducation
by jasperlawler
5
Zillow Group, Inc. (Z) AnalysisCompany Overview: Zillow Group, Inc. NASDAQ:Z is a leading online real estate marketplace, transforming the real estate industry through innovative technology and strategic partnerships. Its platform serves as a bridge between high-intent homebuyers/renters and top-performing agents, fostering an ecosystem that drives revenue growth and enhances user satisfaction. Key Drivers of Growth: Agent Connections Strategy: Zillow’s approach of connecting motivated buyers and renters with experienced agents generates immediate revenue through lead generation while cultivating a loyal user base, contributing to a self-sustaining growth flywheel. Outpacing Industry Growth: Analysts forecast 12% annual revenue growth for Zillow over the next three years, surpassing the 11% sector average. This positions the company to deliver superior stock performance amidst a competitive market. Real Estate Tech Innovation: Under the leadership of CEO Jeremy Wacksman, Zillow focuses on developing cutting-edge tools that streamline real estate transactions, such as advanced AI-driven property valuations and user-friendly interfaces. These innovations solidify its role as a leader in real estate technology. Market Potential: Zillow benefits from the increasing adoption of digital real estate solutions, supported by consumer demand for convenience and efficiency in property searches, transactions, and rentals. Investment Outlook: Bullish Stance: We are bullish on Z above $63.00-$64.00, given its strategic growth initiatives, sector-leading revenue projections, and technological advancements. Upside Target: With its strong positioning, we target $105.00-$110.00, reflecting Zillow’s potential to capitalize on a growing market and its tech-driven competitive edge. 📈 Zillow—Innovating the Real Estate Landscape! #PropTech #RealEstateInnovation #ZillowGroup
NASDAQ:ZLong
by Richtv_official
Frontline FRO possible Breakout targeting $28Analysis Trendline Breakout: Recently broke above a downward trendline; potential for bullish momentum. Support and Resistance: Watch for support near the trendline and next resistance around 25-26 levels. Recent high volatility. Key Points for Trading: Entry Point: Consider entering on pullbacks to the trendline if volume confirms. Risk Management: Set tight stop-losses below the trendline. Target: Aim for resistance levels at $26,60 and $28,60 for potential profit taking. Continued Monitoring: Watch price action and volume for sustained breakout strength. Trend Forecast: Bullish Bias: Short-term bullish trend possibly forming. Support Level: Watch for support around the $23 mark. Resistance Level: Immediate resistance near $25-$26. Forecast Summary: Expected Movement: Potential retest of resistance near $25-$26, with pullbacks to support. Triggers: Earnings reports, market news, or geopolitical events could impact movement. Risk: Tighten stop-losses to manage risk effectively.
NYSE:FROLong
by candlefire-trading
2
Tesla’s Autonomous AmbitionsMusk’s Vision vs. Reality: Tesla’s Path to Revolutionizing Transportation Tesla recently experienced its best trading day since 2013, with the stock soaring 23% following the release of its Q3 earnings report. While the financial results were solid, investors are largely drawn to Elon Musk’s ambitious vision for autonomy a vision that presents significant challenges but holds substantial potential Tesla’s rebound in deliveries, higher profit margins, and an unexpected forecast projecting 20% to 30% sales growth for next year reinvigorated investor confidence after a somewhat muted response to the October 10th 'We, Robot' event The event showcased new products like the highly anticipated Cybercab (robotaxi) and Optimus (a humanoid robot) Despite the excitement, the presentation lacked detailed information, causing Tesla’s stock to decline by nearly 10% the following day Despite being over 20 years old, the investment appeal of Tesla is still driven more by its future potential than its current state. Musk envisions mass-producing autonomous vehicles and robots, aspiring to make Tesla the largest company globally. Traditional valuation models based on recent performance can’t fully capture this long term vision Tesla’s journey can’t be understood in isolation Just three days after the 'We, Robot' event, SpaceX successfully launched its Starship spacecraft for the fifth time. The SpaceX “chopsticks” system successfully caught the Super Heavy booster after liftoff a crucial step toward making the booster completely reusable. This breakthrough could transform space travel by significantly reducing turnaround times and reshaping cost structures. Elon Musk, at the helm of both Tesla and SpaceX, has a talent for transforming bold ideas into reality. SpaceX’s success in making rockets reusable has drastically reduced the cost of space travel, demonstrating that affordability can drive broader adoption. This strategy mirrors Tesla’s vision for autonomous vehicles: by creating self-driving cars like the Cybercab, Tesla aims to reshape transportation with similar cost-efficiency principles. However, as with any disruptive technology, the range of possible outcomes is vast. A balanced perspective considers Musk’s track record while acknowledging that his timelines can often be highly optimistic. In 2021, Benedict Evans described Musk as “a bullshitter who delivers.” Whether Tesla’s vision for full autonomy will come to fruition remains uncertain, and fully autonomous fleets could still be years away. Nonetheless, Musk’s accomplishments with SpaceX add weight to Tesla’s ambitions, granting him credibility in the eyes of many. The question remains: Will Musk’s ambitious autonomy vision fully take shape? Today’s highlights: - Tesla Q3 FY24 Results - Key takeaways from the 'We, Robot' event - Notable quotes from the earnings call - Insights on Waymo, Uber, and the future of ridesharing Tesla Q3 FY24 Overview Tesla’s revenue is primarily generated from three segments 1. Automotive (80% of revenue): This includes the sale of electric vehicles, such as models S, 3, X, Y, and the Cybertruck. 2. Services and Other (11% of revenue): This segment encompasses vehicle services, the Supercharger network, and sales of automotive parts and accessories. 3.Energy Generation and Storage (9% of revenue): Revenue from solar products and energy storage solutions like the Solar Roof and Powerwall. Key Metrics for Q3 FY24: -Production: 470,000 vehicles produced (+9% YoY, +14% QoQ). -Deliveries: 463,000 vehicles delivered (+6% YoY, +4% QoQ), which was slightly below analysts’ expectations of 464,000 and fell short of the Q4 2023 record of 484,000 deliveries. Despite price cuts over the last two years, Tesla’s auto sales growth has leveled off. Financial Highlights: -Revenue: $25.2 billion, an 8% YoY increase but fell short of expectations by $0.5 billion. -Gross Margin: 20% (+2 percentage points QoQ and YoY). -Operating Margin: 11% (+5 percentage points QoQ, +3 percentage points YoY). -Adjusted EPS: $0.72, beating estimates by $0.12. Gross Margin Insights: -Automotive Gross Margin: 17% (excluding regulatory credits), up from 15% in Q2 and 16% a year earlier. The cost per vehicle dropped to an all-time low of $35,100. Notably, the Cybertruck achieved a positive gross margin for the first time. The automotive segment included $326 million in software revenue. -Services and Other Gross Margin: Reached 9%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of positive margins and a new record high. -Energy Generation and Storage Gross Margin: The highest margin segment at 31%, also hitting a record high. Overall, while Tesla faced some delivery shortfalls and plateauing auto sales, it managed to improve profitability across its segments, with key milestones in cost reductions and positive trends in gross margins. Tesla’s Margins and Cash Flow Performance Tesla’s industry-leading margins are driven by three major advantages: 1.Economies of Scale: Achieved through its expansive gigafactories. 2.Direct-to-Consumer Sales**: Tesla sells directly online and through its showrooms, bypassing traditional dealership networks. 3.Low Marketing Costs: Tesla spends very little on advertising compared to traditional automakers. While Tesla expects its margins to expand over time due to growth in its non-automotive segments and software sales, its automotive margins have been pressured by price cuts in the last two years to sustain demand. Cash Flow Highlights: -Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 89%, reaching $6.3 billion -Free Cash Flow**: Jumped by 223%, hitting $2.7 billion These cash flow figures stood out in the quarterly report, demonstrating Tesla’s ability to fund its ambitious plans for autonomy despite heavy investments in AI. Guidance 1.FY24 Improvement: Tesla now expects slight growth in vehicle deliveries for FY24 (previous guidance indicated “notably lower” growth), implying a record-setting Q4 to make up for a weaker first half. Energy storage deployment is projected to more than double. 2.FY25 Outlook Surprise: During the earnings call, Musk forecasted 20% to 30% delivery growth in FY25, surpassing market expectations. A new, more affordable model is anticipated to launch in the first half of FY25, potentially easing investor concerns about competition. 3.New Product Strategy: The upcoming affordable vehicles in 2025 will be based on Tesla’s existing platform, indicating less dramatic cost reductions than previously suggested. However, the Robotaxi will bring a fresh manufacturing strategy. Key Takeaways 1.Volumes Rebounded: After a 7% decline in deliveries during the first half of 2024, volumes recovered in Q3. Prices have stabilized, and Tesla’s focus on reducing unit costs contributed to improved automotive gross margins. Management’s priorities remain on unit volume and maintaining low inventory levels. 2.More than Just EVs: Non-automotive segments, such as Energy and Services, accounted for 20% of Tesla’s revenue this quarter, up from 16% a year ago. Likewise, these segments contributed about 20% of Tesla’s gross margin, nearly double from the previous year. As these segments grow, their impact on Tesla’s profitability will become increasingly significant. 3.Operating Margin Gains: Improved by 3 percentage points year-over-year: -Negative Impact: Price cuts, mainly due to financing incentives. -Positive Impact**: Lower costs per vehicle, growth in non-auto segments, FSD revenue, increased deliveries, and higher regulatory credit revenue. 4.Free Cash Flow Surge: Doubled sequentially to $2.7 billion. Capital expenditures increased by 43% to $3.5 billion, largely driven by investments in AI infrastructure. Tesla plans to spend over $10 billion on AI this year. 5.Strong Balance Sheet: Tesla maintains a net cash position of nearly $30 billion, which management believes provides ample liquidity to support its product roadmap and sustain positive cash flow margins. We, Robot’ Event Takeaways Key insights from the recent announcements include: - Cybercab (Robotaxi): Tesla introduced the much-awaited Cybercab, a sleek two-seater, but key technical details—such as sensor configurations and processing capabilities—were notably absent. Musk’s decision to forgo lidar technology, a feature commonly used by competitors like Waymo, could potentially raise regulatory concerns about safety and compliance. 1.Optimus (Humanoid Robot): While the Optimus robots were a hit at the event, performing tasks like serving drinks and dancing, this entertaining display overshadowed the reality of how far the technology is from practical use. Reports indicated that the robots were primarily operated by humans, raising questions about their actual autonomous capabilities and readiness for industrial applications. 2.Robovan: A surprise announcement was the debut of the Robovan, a versatile vehicle intended for both mass transit and cargo transport. Its stylish Art Deco-inspired design drew attention, but like the Cybercab, it lacked concrete details or technical insights to convince analysts that the product is close to entering production. The presentation didn’t provide enough information to quell investor skepticism about its feasibility. 3. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress: Elon Musk projected that Tesla’s FSD technology would achieve full autonomy by 2026, with the Cybercab and current models (like the Model 3 and Model Y) spearheading this effort in Texas and California. However, Musk’s history of ambitious FSD promises has been met with ongoing skepticism, and this presentation did little to change that. No new safety data or significant updates were provided to address reliability concerns, leaving regulatory and safety issues unresolved. Tesla still faces significant challenges in proving its FSD capabilities are ready for public use without human oversight and in obtaining regulatory approval at both federal and state levels. 4.Market Reaction: Analysts expressed mixed feelings about the event. While some found the futuristic concepts inspiring, others noted the lack of substantial progress and the vague nature of Musk’s promises. This left investors questioning how close Tesla truly is to achieving its autonomy and robotics goals. For many, the event leaned more towards spectacle than solid evidence of progress. Shareholder Deck Updates 1.Supercharger Network: Tesla’s Supercharger Network received widespread industry support, with most automakers now adopting Tesla’s North American Charging Standard (NACS). This acceptance is likely to boost Tesla’s Services segment and improve its margins in the long term. The number of Supercharger stations increased by 20% year-over-year to 6,706. Tesla also rehired some of the nearly 500 Supercharger team members who had been laid off earlier in the year, indicating renewed focus on this segment. 2.Market Share: Tesla’s market share remained steady in North America and Europe on a sequential basis, but saw a noticeable improvement in China, signaling stronger competitiveness in the region. These details paint a picture of a company with promising ambitions but facing significant challenges in bringing its bold visions to reality. Investors will be watching closely for concrete progress and clearer timelines moving forward. Key Updates from the Earnings Call Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress - Tesla has surpassed 2 billion miles driven using its FSD (supervised) technology, which forms a core part of the company’s data advantage. This milestone underpins Tesla’s long-term autonomy thesis. Additionally, Tesla launched **FSD version 12.5** and introduced the Actually Smart Summon feature, enabling vehicles to autonomously drive to their owners in parking lots. AI Training Capacity - Musk shared that Tesla expects to have **nearly 90,000 H100 clusters dedicated to AI training** by the end of the year, enhancing the company’s machine learning capabilities. Energy Storage Deployments - Tesla deployed **6.9 GWh of energy storage** in Q3, although this fell short of the record 9.4 GWh achieved in Q2. The 40 GWh Megafactory in Lathrop is ramping up production, reaching 200 Megapacks in a single week. The **Shanghai Megafactory** is set to start shipping Megapacks in Q1 2025 with a run rate of 20 GWh. Tesla noted that energy deployments are inherently lumpy due to factors such as customer readiness and geographic order locations. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call Elon on the Cybercab: - “I do feel confident of Cybercab reaching volume production in ‘26. We’re aiming for at least 2 million units a year, maybe 4 million ultimately.” Musk envisions the Cybercab becoming a global, high-volume autonomous vehicle service. However, achieving this scale requires overcoming two major challenges: delivering level 5 autonomy at a competitive cost and navigating regulatory approval across regions with varying laws, road conditions, and weather considerations. - Musk also dismissed the notion of a regular low-cost model, stating, “I think having a regular $ 25,000 model* is pointless.” He emphasized focusing on the Cybercab as a generational leap forward. Musk on FSD: - “Our internal estimate is **Q2 of next year** to be safer than human and then to continue with rapid improvements thereafter.” He expressed confidence that full autonomy could be achieved in 2025 with existing vehicle models, although regulatory hurdles and safety standards remain significant barriers. On Tesla’s Ridesharing App - Tesla is already testing a *ridesharing capability* in the Bay Area for employees, with safety drivers currently in place. Musk anticipates launching the service for the public in California and Texas next year, pending regulatory approval. He added, “**I’d be shocked if we don’t get approval next year**,” but acknowledged that regulatory timelines are out of Tesla’s control. Musk on Optimus: - “We’re the only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots.” He believes that the *Optimus robot* could become the “most valuable product ever made,” owing to Tesla’s combined AI and manufacturing advantages. However, the product remains at an early development stage and will likely take years to fully commercialize. On Tesla’s Valuation: - Musk reiterated his bold prediction: “Tesla will become the most valuable company in the world and probably by a long shot” He argued that Tesla’s strategic focus on future advancements in energy, transport, robotics, and AI sets it apart from competitors who are only targeting short-term trends. Waymo, Uber, and Rideshare Future There are two distinct paths to achieving full autonomy 1.Waymo’s Approach: Waymo focuses on highly structured, geo-fenced environments with extensive pre-mapping and sensor-based systems like lidar to ensure safety. 2.Tesla’s Approach: Tesla aims to develop a generalized self-driving system that works with computer vision and AI, relying on its fleet’s extensive data advantage and scaling software improvements. However, Tesla’s reluctance to use lidar technology and regulatory challenges could hinder its timeline for achieving level 5 autonomy. These differing strategies highlight the varied paths to delivering a future of autonomous transportation, with each approach facing unique technical and regulatory hurdles. Levels of Autonomy - Tesla's FSD (Supervised): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving system remains at **Level 2**, meaning it still requires driver supervision to operate. In contrast, **Waymo** operates at **Level 4** in certain cities, where its vehicles can drive without human intervention, albeit under specific conditions. -Jumping Levels: Musk’s vision for the Cybercab aims to skip from Level 2 to **Level 5 autonomy**, which implies no need for human input at all—a huge leap. Technology Approach -Tesla’s Strategy: Tesla relies on a **camera and AI-only approach**, focusing on software and data scalability rather than expensive hardware. Musk’s bet is that advanced software can eventually solve all driving scenarios. - Waymo’s Strategy: Waymo uses a **hardware-intensive model** with a combination of LiDAR, radar, and cameras**, providing highly precise navigation. However, the reliance on multiple sensors leads to higher production costs per vehicle, around **$200,000** each. Scaling Challenges -Waymo’s Limitation: The high cost of Waymo's vehicles has hindered its ability to scale quickly, while Tesla plans to leverage its extensive fleet data to improve its autonomous systems over time. -Tesla’s Repeated Delays: Despite its aspirations, Tesla’s full autonomy timeline has faced numerous delays. Scaling quickly while achieving robust and safe autonomy remains a significant challenge for the company. Safety and Regulation -Waymo’s Approach: Waymo has built trust with regulators by deploying vehicles cautiously in select cities and prioritizing safety, but its operations remain limited geographically. -Tesla’s Regulatory Hurdles: The Cybercab’s design lacks traditional controls like steering wheels and pedals, raising concerns about regulatory approval. These changes could face substantial scrutiny, particularly if safety standards require features Tesla’s design omits. Tesla and Uber: Competitors or Partners? -Potential Partnership: Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi found the Cybercab vision "pretty compelling" and didn’t dismiss the possibility of a collaboration. Uber already partners with Waymo to offer autonomous rides in cities like **Phoenix, Atlanta, and Austin**. Khosrowshahi’s openness to partnership means there’s potential for Tesla's Cybercab fleet owners to list their vehicles on Uber to boost earnings. -Hybrid Model: By leveraging Uber’s vast network, Tesla could quickly gain scale in local markets, especially given Uber’s capability to serve diverse customer needs. This could lead to a hybrid model where Tesla’s autonomous vehicles are available on Uber alongside other options. Regulatory Challenges: An Obstacle to Elon’s Vision ? -Waymo’s Critique: Former Waymo CEO John Krafcik criticized the Cybercab, highlighting its impracticality for a large-scale robotaxi business. Waymo’s approach focuses on accessibility and safety with taller vehicles and high-mounted sensors, whereas Tesla’s design was light on crucial technical details. -Possible Lidar Mandate: Krafcik also noted that if regulators eventually require LiDAR technology for safety compliance, Tesla’s camera-only approach could face a significant setback. Regulatory decisions are beyond Tesla’s control and could fundamentally reshape its autonomy strategy. -Musk’s Political Maneuvering: Musk’s political activities and controversies could complicate Tesla’s regulatory relations. Building strong connections with regulators is critical, given their power to greenlight or halt the Cybercab’s deployment. Final Thoughts The coming years will be pivotal for Tesla as it strives to overcome both techno logical and regulatory challenges. The success of Tesla’s autonomy plans hinges not just on its technological progress but also on its ability to navigate complex and varied regulatory frameworks worldwide. Whether Musk’s bold vision for full autonomy becomes a realityor remains a distant dream will depend on a combination of innovative breakthroughs and the company’s capacity to gain and maintain regulatory approval. Are you Moonish on Tesla or not?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by moonypto
NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto