CDNA Likely Set To FallBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 39.7.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 38.81 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 6.683% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.867% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 17.423% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 16 trading bars; half occur within 23 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Stonksignaler
LOVE likely to drop very soonBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 48.06.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 47.35 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.856% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 11.629% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.77% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 12 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 30 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Can TEL leap tomorrow?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 16, 2022 with a closing price of 131.36.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 132.945 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.319% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.592% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 13.75% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 11.5 trading bars; half occur within 23.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Where SPX has been and where it is going in 2022We will enter a bear market soon, but it will be short-lived.
I included the bulk of data to explain why we are moving down in the associated chart. However, we should be up most of this week. Half of this year will be to the downside, but then we begin Cycle wave 3 which will see 1-3 years of gains (even if they are not justified)!!
HP Will Likely Gain This Week Before DeclinesBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 36.29.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 36.71 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.499% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.594% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 12.467% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Coca-Cola May Recover Over Next 2 WeeksBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 58.72.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 59.02 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 1.5345% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.719% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.30% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14.0 trading bars; half occur within 26.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 36.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
We have faith in LVS to make up big groundBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 2, 2022 with a closing price of 44.4.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 44.86 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.912% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.262% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 21.391% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
LAC about to jump higher before the March stumble?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 4, 2022 with a closing price of 24.973.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 25.11 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.579% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.399% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.491% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 40 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Atomera May Drop SoonBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on February 11, 2022 with a closing price of 15.8.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 15.58 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.756% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 9.602% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.873% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 2 trading bars; half occur within 4 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 17 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Double-Top Coming For Ciena?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 15, 2022 with a closing price of 68.53.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 69.51 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.261% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.521% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 27.504% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
KGC, The Barometer For Easing Tensions?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on February 10, 2022 with a closing price of 5.45.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 5.39 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.029% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.591% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 21.953% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Markets Stay Green through ThanksgivingThe wave moved slower than planned, but this is great for the bulls. New target top is around December 2nd. Based on historical data when a wave 3 is in a wave 5 is in a wave 1 (which is where we are according to my current models) movement and length are as follows:
WAVE 1 to WAVE 3
The ratio between wave 1 and wave 3's length falls between 0.21 to 0.60. The average ratio is 0.444, with a mean around 0.47. When the macro wave is wave 1, the average is 0.43 and median is 0.53. When the macro wave is wave 3, average is 0.45 and median is 0.38. When the macro wave is wave 5 (which is the current case) the average and median is 0.47, but the amount of data is limited.
Wave 1 lasted 105 bars on a 15 minute chart. The "table" below highlights the ratios, potential bars wave 3 would last, and the end date. I have included the minimum and maximum values to attempt to bound the movement. I have included the more common ratios as the likely top resides in the 0.40s.
Ratio Bars End Date
0.21 500 (did not calculate--unlikely to occur)
0.38 276 December 3
0.43 244 December 2
0.44 238 December 2
0.45 233 December 2
0.47 223 December 1
0.53 198 November 30
0.60 175 November 30
WAVE 2 to WAVE 3
Following a similar concept, the ratio between wave 2 and wave 3's length falls between 0.05 to 0.23. The average ratio is 0.157, with a mean around 0.15. When the macro wave is wave 1, the average is 0.156 and median is 0.15. When the macro wave is wave 3, average is 0.143 and median is 0.15. When the macro wave is wave 5 (which is the current case) the average and median is 0.19, but the amount of data is limited.
Wave 2 lasted 39 bars on a 15 minute chart. The "table" below highlights the ratios, potential bars wave 3 would last, and the end date. I have included the minimum and maximum values to attempt to bound the movement. I have included the more common ratios as the likely top resides in the 0.40s.
Ratio Bars End Date
0.05 780 (did not calculate--unlikely to occur)
0.143 272 December 2
0.15 260 December 2
0.19 205 December 2
0.23 169 November 29
The most common area for Wave 3 to end was between December 1-3 which is why I choose December 2 as my target.
I used the same concept for determining price movement. Wave 1 moved 84.09 & wave 2 moved 42.17.
WAVE 1 to WAVE 3
Ratio Movement Projected Top
0.39 215.6154 4888.395
0.49 171.612 4844.39
0.73 115.192 4787.97
0.94 89.457 4762.24
1.30 64.6846 4737.47
WAVE 2 to WAVE 3
0.14 301.214 4973.99
0.23 183.3478 4856.13
0.25 168.68 4841.46
0.29 145.4138 4818.194
0.32 130.5573 4803.337
Another set of ratios I monitor are the retracements and extensions from prior waves. Wave 1 does not retrace or extend from anything that I track so here are the ratios between wave 2's retracement of wave 1 in relation to wave 3's extension of wave 1. Wave 2 retraced 50.15% of wave 1's movement. Wave 1 began at 4630.37 so the fourth column below adds the projected movement in column three to this beginning point to project a top.
Ratio Extension Move From Start Projected Top
0.09 557.0% 468.5682 5099.43
0.10 501.5% 421.7114 5052.57
0.11 455.9% 383.374 5014.234
0.15 334.3% 281.141 4912.001
0.20 250.75% 210.856 4841.72
0.25 200.60% 168.68 4799.55
0.27 185.7% 156.18 4787.05
I noticed a few chunks of similarities when considering all of this data. 4787, 4800, and 4841 could contain or be near the tops which I why the range is contained with these values in mind.
Wave 4 is speculation and I will update it as 3 takes more shape. I have this Minor 5 ending around December 8 using similar metrics. I am projecting this top for Minor 5 and Intermediate wave 1 around 4866. I will continue to update the track as more data comes in.
After this top, looking at a decline through end of year (maybe tax/capital gains implications in new laws). Then we should be up to April 2022 before a slightly longer decline (maybe a few months from top to bottom). I don't see the "Big One" coming until 2045 (for now).
My process is not perfect, but I keep learning from failed projections. Let me know what you think.
Market Set To Drop, NTES With It?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on October 22, 2021 with a closing price of 102.24.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 99.35 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 6.51% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 10.27% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 16.765% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 22 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 30 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
HIBB another near-term buy targetBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on October 1, 2021 with a closing price of 70.74.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 71.52 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.025% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.296% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 9.856% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 19 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
SWK is target for dip buying festivalBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on October 1, 2021 with a closing price of 173.87.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 174.83 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.089% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.72% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 9.332% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 5 trading bars; half occur within 17 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 37 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Walmart should lead the way over the next month of reboundBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on October 1, 2021 with a closing price of 137.05.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 139.28 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.63% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.686% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 22.321% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 19 trading bars; half occur within 28 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 35 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Baidu Finding a Bottom SoonBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 17, 2021 with a closing price of 161.86.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 163.12 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.595% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.5065% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.633% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 8.0 trading bars; half occur within 25.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 37.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Atomos Energy Will Bottom SoonBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 15, 2021 with a closing price of 89.56.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 91.07 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.175% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.193% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.853% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 16 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 30 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Bristol-Myers Squibb Set To Rise, ButLooks like a little more downside is possible through remainder of month, but BMY is primed for a very strong October if the algorithms are correct and history continues to be accurate.
Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 15, 2021 with a closing price of 62.0.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 62.9 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.9935% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.5875% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 10.224499999999999% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6.5 trading bars; half occur within 19.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Schwab Set For Quick Bounce? Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 9, 2021 with a closing price of 73.0.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 73.65 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.444% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.3515% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 9.7635% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12.5 trading bars; half occur within 25.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 35.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NTAP has begun the algorithmic projected declineBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 1, 2021 with a closing price of 89.32.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 87.96 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.667% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 11.224% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 14.18% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 7 trading bars; half occur within 19 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
Currently the stock moved up two bars after signal which is the median reversal point. The stock could be on the decline toward the smaller green box already.
EXR In Overbought Territory?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on August 31, 2021 with a closing price of 186.91.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 184.5 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.067% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.743% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.822% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 16 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 22 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Lumen Tech Joins The Pending Selloff?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 12.12.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 12.01 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.302% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.85% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.819% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).