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DGD in AccumulationJust took a position in BINANCE:DGDBTC . It has settled on some strong support and looks like its in accumulation. I have my stop loss set for .0276 for a %5 risk of loss and looking for a target at .0437 for a %50 gain. As the price moves up I am going to move my stop-loss up. Digix just launced their DGX marketplace, with gold backed DGX tokens. DGX is different than DGD. DGD is the fuel for exchanging DGX and proof of stake in the DAO. If you want a stable coin to store wealth in, consider converting ETH to DGX on the Digix marketplace.
DLong
by OakAndClay
15
My Limit buy triggered right before the recent upswing.Was able to ride the upward bounce off of the fib after it wicked below jsut enough to trigger my limit buy...I don't anticipate the bears are done yet though...especially since the upcoming 1day chart death cross is still seeming like an inevitability in the coming days. Now that I ahd a successful limit buy triggered I qwill likely put another top loss a few pips below where I originally limit bought back in ensuring that I only sshort again if it goes noticeably and reasonably lower than where wI just bought back in but not too much lower just enough to where a long wick wont cause me to miss the trend reversal. You all do as you see fit as this is not financial advice but as you can see on my chart my limit buy triggered precisely...however this bounce needs a ton of bull momentum to see any real sustainability. If not, and the death cross on the 1 day occurs we could plummet all the way as far down as the ascending grey trendline which I still am confident would provide serious support...however for now I think the biggest downside could be the grey trendline most likely somewhere around the $7200 region my new stop loss will probably be triggered $153 under where I triggered my limit buy. Do as you choose as this is not financial advice! Thanks for reading.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection StrategyXPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy Long-Term Trailing-Stop strategy detecting S&P500 Stock Market Crashes/Corrections and showing Volatility as warning signal for upcoming crashes Detecting or avoiding stock market crashes seems to be the 'Holy Grail' of strategies. Since none of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy, the purpose was to detect a stock market crash on the S&P500 and step out in time to minimize losses and beat the Buy&Hold strategy. So beat Buy&Hold strategy with less then 10 trades. 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. With the default parameters the strategy generates 5954% profit, with 6 closed trades, 100% profitable, while the Buy&Hold strategy only generates 2427% profit, so this strategy beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 2.45 times! Also the strategy detects all major S&P500 stock market crashes and corrections since 1980 depending on the Trailing Stop Smoothness parameter, and steps out in time to cut losses and steps in again after the bottom has been reached. The 5 crashes/corrections of 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008 and 2010 were successfully detected with the default parameters. The script shows a lot of graphical information: the close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is temporarily lower than the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value is lower than the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as colored curves the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue the Volatility is show below in green and red. The alert treshold (red) is default set to 200 (see Volatility Warning Treshold parameter below) Trailing Stop Smoothness value: Adjust the Trailing Stop Smoothness parameter to hide/show smaller corrections/crashes: 96: 6 trades, 100% profit, 5954% profit, detected crashes: 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010 90: 8 trades, 100% profit, 5347% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011 74: 9 trades, 100% profit, 4964% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2015 41: 10 trades, 100% profit, 4886% profit, detected crashes: 1984, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2015 How to use this Strategy ? Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters), then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals on the S&P500. More trades don't necessarily generate more overall profit. It is important to detect only the major crashes and avoid closing trades on the smaller corrections. Bearing the smaller corrections generates a higher profit. Watch out for the volatility alerts generated at the bottom (red). Threshold can by changed by the Volatility Warning Threshold parameter (default 200 = 2% ATR). In almost all crashes/corrections there is an alert ahead of the crash. Although the signal doesn't predict the exact timing of the crash/correction, it is a clear warning signal that bearish times are ahead! The current correction in march 2018 is not yet a major crash but there was already a red volatility warning alert. If the volatility alert repeats the next weeks/months, chances are higher that a bigger crash or correction is near. As can be seen in the graphic, the deeper the crash is, the higher and wider the red volatility signal goes. So keep an eye on the red flag! To use this strategy for future trades, set the end date past today and set the Sell On End Date value to false Information about the parameters: see below
SP:SPX
by XPl0RR
3
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy Bitcoin(BTCUSD) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for Bitcoin(BITFINEX:BTCUSD) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=2 Slow SMA Buy=18 Minimum Buy Strength=36 Fast EMA Sell=8 Slow SMA Sell=22 Minimum Sell Strength=52 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3 Result: 3.47 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 20770% #Trades: 25 %Profitable: 60% Buy&HoldProfit: 5977%
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by XPl0RR
5
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on KBC(KBC) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for KBC(KBC) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=12 Slow SMA Buy=55 Minimum Buy Strength=56 Fast EMA Sell=12 Slow SMA Sell=55 Minimum Sell Strength=95 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3 Result: 22.7 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 590% #Trades: 19 %Profitable: 63% Buy&HoldProfit: 26%
EURONEXT:KBC
by XPl0RR
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on AB-Inbev(ABI) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for AB-Inbev (ABI) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=9 Slow SMA Buy=30 Minimum Buy Strength=40 Fast EMA Sell=16 Slow SMA Sell=63 Minimum Sell Strength=40 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=8 Result: 2.27 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 1002% #Trades: 11 %Profitable: 63% Buy&HoldProfit: 440%
EURONEXT:ABI
by XPl0RR
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy Galapagos(GLPG) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for Galapagos (GLPG) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=12 Slow SMA Buy=39 Minimum Buy Strength=40 Fast EMA Sell=12 Slow SMA Sell=45 Minimum Sell Strength=95 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3 Result: 3.15 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 2370% #Trades: 21 %Profitable: 71% Buy&HoldProfit: 752%
EURONEXT:GLPG
by XPl0RR
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on Apple(AAPL) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for Apple (AAPL) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=12 Slow SMA Buy=45 Minimum Buy Strength=40 Fast EMA Sell=19 Slow SMA Sell=45 Minimum Sell Strength=106 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=8 Result: 2.3 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 6900% #Trades: 7 %Profitable: 71% Buy&HoldProfit: 2938%
NASDAQ:AAPL
by XPl0RR
1
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on Barco(BAR) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below). Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength. My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions: the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength. The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values. The script shows a lot of graphical information: One green area represents one trade The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade. the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed) the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue How to use this strategy? Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR). Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters) Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades! Here are the parameters: Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20) Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100) Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120) Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20) Example for Barco (BAR) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing): Fast EMA Buy=16 Slow SMA Buy=80 Minimum Buy Strength=44 Fast EMA Sell=12 Slow SMA Sell=45 Minimum Sell Strength=82 Trailing Stop (#ATR)=9 Result: 7 times better than Buy&Hold strategy NetProfit: 386% #Trades: 7 %Profitable: 71% Buy&HoldProfit: 55%
EURONEXT:BAR
by XPl0RR
What is the job of a trend-following trader?The chart is not going to tell anyone whether to go long or short. I cut deeper than that. This post is about what I see as the job of a trader, who wants to be consistently profitable over a long time using trend following strategies. The following therefore excludes systems that tend to have fixed targets, such as harmonic trading and exploiting levels of support and resistance. Trend-followers usually do not have fixed targets as they do not know how far a trend would go before changing. My job as a trend-following trader is to do the following: Estimate probability of direction of future price movement based on a sound system of analysis. Engage losses but make them controlled and reasonable within a sound methodology. Exploit probability of price movement in a favoured direction by trailing the trend. Have realistic expectations of gain in any single trade relative to the Average True Range (or other suitably reliable measure of volatility). For trading situations where the Average True Range is high, stop-losses need to be acceptable and broad. Sometimes 2 x Average True Range is used as a rule of thumb. However, human judgement has to prevail. On occasions some instruments have a pattern of spiking deeply down or up, and recovering. For those a stop-loss of 3 x Average True Range may be better to avoid being stopped out. If 3 x Average True Range or even 2 x Average True Range is unacceptable as a loss I do not enter the trade. Too often new traders are spiked out and left behind. Average True Range varies by time frame and naturally so does visual appreciation of volatility. Make volatility your friend - and treat her with respect. Develop ' nerves of steel '.
Education
by Captain_Walker
The Trend: EP7 -- Stop-Limit saves ThousandsHowdy Yall! I know its been several days! I finally was able (with some help) to get back onto the recording video train. There for awhile The Trend was shut down because I couldn't get videos to load. Once I had shot them, clicking on the publish bar would make them disappear into the great beyond. We're over that now, and we're back to work! Today we have to throw out some bad analysis and take a look at the new stuff, and open our minds a bit. The most important thing we cover is protecting ourselves from bad ideas! Use your stop-limits, and if you're privy to it, use stop-buy's as well! Until Next time! Nuke
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by blessmywork
3
The Trend: EP2 -- Managing OurselvesWelcome back yall! Today on The Trend we talk about the unknown direction of BTC. It's a challenge to call a move upward, or downward with long term trends crashing one another. What usually gives it away? VOLUME . There is no volume in sight. We have to wait untill we see some volume to have conviction in the next move. Later today - or possibly tomorrow we're going to create one of the most important pivots we've had since the 15-17k retests. These are the times we have to manage ourselves. These are the times we have to have the discipline to set stop-limit's and protect ourselves from price-action that could empty our wallets. This is not the time to get hopped up on a new indicator, and think we know whats going to happen in a market which is running so cold, for so long, with little volume. Lets take some solace in what we DO know : There is a giant sum of money on the sideline There is a ton of capital in Alts which left BTC earlier this month - ripe to come back The mining difficulty has not gone down, indicating sentiment that BTC is not dying Talk, chatter, and new analysts are picking up BTC daily! This is not a market losing favor! Now some last minute things. Last night I had a moderator who was nice enough to point out that I don't need to create a second idea for you to "Make it mine" on my chart! Apparently that works on the video too! So if you want to steal the chart from this video and muck it up yourself, simply click the "share" button on the bottom right of the video, and choose "Make it Mine" on the window which pulls up afterwards. If you have questions, challenges, or ideas you want to show off relating to this episode of The Trend I would like to encourage you use that feature. I appreciate everyones support, and thank you for all the kind reviews so far!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by blessmywork
15
Stop Management using trend linesFirst I determine the gradient most important in the currency. I then look for parallels to this. I will enter when I get two touches on the line . I wait for the close price, to make sure that price does not spike down through the sloping line. (No Entry) Depending upon market activity I adjust my stop when price moves up to the next parallel. The closer the stop the more likely you are to get stopped out. Before I entered the trade above I must decide a number of things Is it better to hold BTC or another currency? Should I choose EOS or BCD? Note BCD outperformed EOS by a large margin Does it have a pattern that I can use to trade? Is my risk to reward greater than 5.? Will the entry happen when I am not at my computer? Can I actively manage the trade or will I be unavailable for a few hours? You can see why I exited this trade. The price is stair- stepping down along these ascending parallels. If is gains clear support I would once again consider an entry When traders have lost money in a currency, they often try to regain money in that currency. They then wait and wait for price to go back up. Then they say that there is a great team behind the currency and they are doing a big deal in two weeks that will change everything. Then they become a HODLer . They have changed the original intent of their purchase. On the other hand if you bought (with the PLAN of holding) ETH December 7 then in under 40 days you have 3.5X your value in USD I think that it is usually better to take a break for a few days. Then enter a different currency.
by a1Keith