SX5E Approaching Resistance, Potential Reversal!SX5E is approaching its resistance at 3260 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50% & 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially fall to its support at 3132 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching resistance at 97% where it could potentially reverse.
Stoxx
EuroStoxx below 3410/05 risks a slide to the May low at 3385/80EuroStoxx below 3410/05 risks a slide to the May low at 3385/80. A break below the 50% Fibonacci at 3374 targets 3366 & 3359/55.
Holding 3410/05 allows a recovery to 3428/30 with strong resistance at 3439/42. Shorts need stops above 3450. A break higher meets strong resistance at 3461/64. Shorts need stops above 3470.
STOXX 50 DAILY LONG 2618 Very good high probability setup for change in direction. Strong level of support. RSI oversold with divergence and last leg sign of a retracement. Bears couldn't break lower that lever last week. If Italian election ends well and Merkel do her job for Germany things might go pretty well.Relatively cheaper equities in EU makes me think 2018 EU may overperform US indices. Will see. Expecting appreciation further of the EUR. 2:1 RRR. DAX CAC BEL will tell the story. Good Luck
ESA: Potential CD leg forming for +9% This is further to my earlier post on ESA: Make or break it. Since then the ESA has broken down from the continuation wedge and appears to have found support on the 200-DMA which coincides with a 78.6% retracement. Given the heavy data dump coming out this week and the US heading in earnings season, I would play it on the safe side to close shorts and look for spec longs. My view is also colored by the fact that the Stoxx 50 and Stoxx 600 are also sitting on trend line support as with some of the major tech names which I have highlighted as potential shorts.
The 1Q data dump and earnings should be relatively strong given the underlying economy is doing well and the recent protectionist actions taken by the Donald will take time to flow through the hard data. Do note, this is a tactical call. The overall set-up is still negative as previously mentioned, the mismanagement from the Donald WILL eventually flow into the data and of course, an xABCD pattern which I am describing here is a reversal pattern.
SX5E: Potential downside to 3100The SX5E is a much narrower index relative to the Stoxx 600 (check out my earlier post) but you get the same bearish conclusion. The SX5E is constrained by a major downtrend line marked by the 2007 and 2015 market tops, it is building somewhat of a expanding megaphone pattern over the last year and a massive MACD divergence from the price action. The last major down swing in Europe lasted for 1 year and I would imagine this down swing to be no different. This year is turning out to be a real dog.
Stoxx 600 Futures: Megaphone pattern at major resistanceI keep hearing how Europe is a better investment relative to the US but a quick look at the FY1! chart fails to convince me so. The price action is hitting a major resistance marked by market tops in 2007 and 2015, price action is forming a bearish expanding megaphone pattern with MACD divergence. The bear in me is growling to get out.
STOXX 50! GOING LONG?!Going long on ''STOXX 50''
If prices break through our key level at 3475.0, we could see a bullish run up to highs of 3575.0/3625.0.
A solid break through our key level, will indicate to me that our targets aren't far-fetched and actually could be attained. Also we could get an opportunity to short this for the equivalent appreciation, which is really good!
EURO STOXX 50. Sell on breakdown. Target 2655This could be a large WXY flat correction.
We are in the last Y wave down.
It could be a hefty gain.
Target at 2655 level is the minimum.
I like European indexes clean charts and ideal touch points as you could see in the EURO Stoxx 50 here.
Europe 50 Bullish Channel: Expect More BullishnessWe can see a clear upward channel here. Unless we see a breakout, I expect further bullishness. We may see some sideways movement first as there may be some resistance from the recently completed triangle. If this is broken, rapid increases are possible.
Stoxx bank index - Failed breakout, larger down trend intactConcerns surrounding Europe's banking sector suddenly seemed to have vanished away from the markets. However, Stoxx 600 index chart clearly shows the larger falling trend line is intact and a bullish break from a smaller symmetrical triangle failed.
Caution is advised at least as long as the larger falling trend line isn't breached.
Eurostoxx 4 hour is going bullish- If previous fractal via the candles and RSI serves right, it may well break above 3020 and trade higher
- It remains a strong IF but it looks entirely possible as longer TF will post a strong rebound and bullish candles
- With that in mind, the bias is not to short or fade it until a much clearer signal is available - bulls seems adamant to want higher prices in the next few days
Possible cypher formation on the Euro Stoxx 50The support line on the downtrend was broken towards the end of February, and we are currently seeing a rally after the pullback.
Perfection of the black trend line crossing the triangle from the cypher.
If this rally continues to 3178 then we will have a cypher pattern completion and could go short.
Profit targets indicated by the green boxes. Stop loss indicated by the red box.
Stoxx 50 : Possible end of a correction cycleHello traders,
We might assist to the end of a correction cycle , started May-June last year.
Gann cycle also coincides with a 50% Fibo retracement from last bullish impulse . This month low should be an inflection point. I´m entering long at current level
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6 Trading Rules :
1. Never add to a losing position .
2. Don´t be the first to buy low and sell high ., and don´t be the last one to exit
3. Think like a fundamentalist, trade like a technician .
4. Keep your analysis simple
5. Start small and increase exposure when trend is confirming your analysis
6. The hard trade is the right trade
Josep Pocalles