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Stoxx600

DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, DOWN from 2.9% last week according to DVOL data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 24th percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 8th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 1.87% movement Bearish: 2.4% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 17.9% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 14714 BOT: 13886 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 35% probability we are going to touch previous high 14500 66% probability we are going to touch previous low 14200 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 66% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index Daily timeframe indicates 40% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index 4H timeframe indicates 13% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
XETR:DAX
by exlux
STOXX50 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 STOXX50 Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.08%, raising from 3.07% of last week , according to VDAX data (DAX Volatility Index which is highly correlated with VOLATILITY INDEX for STOXX) With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 2th percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 4th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 2.8% movement Bearish: 2.1% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 21.1% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 4050 BOT: 3800 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 27% probability we are going to touch previous low of 3850 78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 3950 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the weekly moving averages are in a bullish trend, and a combination of moving averages and oscillators are in 40% bullish stance
VELOCITY:STOXX50
by exlux
STOXX 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 STOXX 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month. This is currently placing us in the 60th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX. Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is: BEARISH Candle : 4.89% BULLISH Candle : 4.46% With this in mind we can expect with a close to 12.2% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel: BOT: 3368 TOP: 3888 Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a : 75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 3630(already happened yesterday) 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 3252
TVC:SX5E
by exlux
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Month end buying to aid a correction? SXXPTrade Idea: Buying SXXP Reasoning: Month end buying to aid a correction on SXXP Entry Level: 387 Take Profit Level: 403 Stop Loss: 379 Risk/Reward: 2.03:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
TVC:SXXPLong
by Signal_Centre
Spanish politicians reduce yield % of IBEX 35BME:IBC FX:ESP35 BME:IBC Fear, unconfidence, uncertainly and anothers negative sentiment have come back? Since 2016 we seeing a negative spread between Spanish index #Ibex35 and another European indexes like DY1! #Dax30 FX1! #EuroStoxx50 FY1! #Stoxx600 December 21st, 2015 starts the negative performance of the index (Starts RED BASELINE on daily chart), one day after the mixed results in that first elections. Almost one year to elect a Mariano Rajoy as a president after many elections and hours to discuss to "nowhere" in parlament congress, finally October 29th 2016, Rajoy got the votes to have investiture. On 14 June 2017, FIRST motion of no confidence in the government of Mariano Rajoy requested by Podemos after a string of corruption scandals, was defeated 170 to 82, with PSOE abstention. Then came the Catalunian crisis on second semester of 2017 and STILL continues, with many former funtionaries in jail, anothers in exile like Carles Puigdemont former Catalunian's president of Generalitat. Finally on 25 may 2018, SECOND motion of no confidence requested by main oppositions party (PSOE)... starts a new political crisis increasing the negative performance reaching maximun levels again... Adittionaly, context may not help= Italy case, bonds, ECB politics, debt, euro weak... www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com
FX:ESP35
by UnknownUnicorn1464680
7
ESA: Potential CD leg forming for +9% This is further to my earlier post on ESA: Make or break it. Since then the ESA has broken down from the continuation wedge and appears to have found support on the 200-DMA which coincides with a 78.6% retracement. Given the heavy data dump coming out this week and the US heading in earnings season, I would play it on the safe side to close shorts and look for spec longs. My view is also colored by the fact that the Stoxx 50 and Stoxx 600 are also sitting on trend line support as with some of the major tech names which I have highlighted as potential shorts. The 1Q data dump and earnings should be relatively strong given the underlying economy is doing well and the recent protectionist actions taken by the Donald will take time to flow through the hard data. Do note, this is a tactical call. The overall set-up is still negative as previously mentioned, the mismanagement from the Donald WILL eventually flow into the data and of course, an xABCD pattern which I am describing here is a reversal pattern.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WellTrainedMonkey
SX5E: Potential downside to 3100The SX5E is a much narrower index relative to the Stoxx 600 (check out my earlier post) but you get the same bearish conclusion. The SX5E is constrained by a major downtrend line marked by the 2007 and 2015 market tops, it is building somewhat of a expanding megaphone pattern over the last year and a massive MACD divergence from the price action. The last major down swing in Europe lasted for 1 year and I would imagine this down swing to be no different. This year is turning out to be a real dog.
TVC:SX5EShort
by WellTrainedMonkey