CSCO covered strangleSold the OCT 20 30/32, ~ 30 deltas, 58 days, @ 40% IV Rank now, (I missed my chance selling when the IV was higher before earnings )
I'm sitting on 3 lots of stock here with 31.64 cost basis. I could have just sold the 32 call against my stock position, but it seems to make more sense to sell the strangle as it brings in more premium and both the call & put won't be assigned. I'm open to acquiring more CSCO stock at 30. A number of fundamental bullish factors should provide support the stock price:
- Free cash flow yield of 4.6%
- Dividend yield of 3.75%, payout ratio 56%
- Both CFRA and Trefis give a higher 'fair value' around $33, Credit Suisse "outperform" rating
- Valued based on 2.43 operating earnings and 5% earnings growth rate over next 3 years.
Strangle
XRT 37/42 Strangle updateOn August 10, I sold the 37/42 Sep 15 strangle in XRT, about 19 delta strikes for 0.65.
80% IV Rank and 26.6% IV. The following week I closed the 42 call at 5c for no fee.
The 37 put remains, and the share price looks like a good spot for it to bounce upward from here.
Today the XRT is up the greatest % of the sector SPDR ETFs as investors do some bargain hunting following the past few days of weakness in the major indexes.
Ideally I could let the put expire worthless...
58% probability trade on KRE (Strangle)Neutral trade on KRE to try and take advantage of what I think it would be two sided action between buyers and sellers. With a Implied Volatility Rank of 33, is still decent to sell a Strangle (53/57).
We make money as long as the price stays between 58.77 and 51.23 in the next 49 days, so we have a buffer of around 7% up or down. This gives us a probability of profit of 58% at expiration, and 77% if we manage early (which is always the plan).
The trade:
Sell AUG18 53 PUT
Sell AUG18 57 CALL
Sold it for $1.75 per contract
IWM Iron CondorPlaced an Iron Condor synthetic strangle on IWM with a 10 point sell side spread to collect .70 cents in premium. Will be looking to take the trade off at 50% max profit as soon as possible. In the event that the premium comes in faster, withing the first 10 days of the trade I will be looking to take trade off at 30-40% Max profit then redeploy.
Earnings trade on Facebook (Strangle)Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.
30 Delta Strangle on XRT I always look to have a trades on the most liquid ETF's and I just closed a Straddle on XRT so is time to redeploy with 45 days to expiration. IV rank is at 37. Sold the 40/43 Strangle on XRT for $1.02 per contract (30 Delta).
61% probability of profit
Credit = $1.02
My break evens are below 38.98 and above 44.02
Will look to close at 50% of the credit received.
Neutral trade on KRE (25 delta Strangle)KRE is a regional bank ETF, after a strong impulsive bull run, it looks like KRE is starting a correction. With a IV rank of 34 is at least decent volatility to try a neutral trade. I sold the 50/56 Strangle (25 delta) and collected $1.33 per contract.
With 64% probability of profit at expiration we need the price to stay between $57.34 and $48.67 which is a little over the expected move of 39 days.
IWM 30 Delta StrangleLast week I closed my IWM trades for a nice profit, and since IWM is part of my always on trades, and we got a nice move this week with a spike in volatility I am reloading on this one.
IWM Strangle @30 delta
IV Rank of 29.6
May 19 129 Put
May 19 138 Call
$3.68 credit
Break evens 141.68 and 125.32
57% probability of profit we will look to close it earlier at 50% of the credit received to improve our probabilities to 75%
Strangle on TLTSold the 118/124 Strangle with 52 days to expiration on TLT for 1.95 credit.
Always like to have trades on TLT so even thou the IV rank is low I like to add trades keeping the qty small and will look to diversify with other trades in bonds later on next week.
I am basically betting that we are still in a correction and will stay between my 124 calls and 118 puts.
Our break even are:
116.05
125.95
With a Probability of profit of 62%. Target is to buy it back at 50% of credit received increasing our probabilities to 75%.
SPY Synthetic StrangleTrade Setup:
-1 SPY May 19 225/235/236/245 Synthetic Strangle @ $5.51
DTE: 56
Max Win: $551
Max Loss: $449
Breakevens: $229.49 & $241.51
Trade Management: 25% winner; full loser. Will take off a side if nearly worthless; Will roll put out if ITM at expiration.
Green is profit zone; Vertical black bar is expiration.
GAP StrategySince HLF is oversold , there's a very good oportunity in making money. Target is 57.00 , but I belive that it will go over 60 .
MARKET HOURS:
Good oportunity for STRADDLE (in case the price wiil be between 59 and 63) after the market opens, as well as IRON CONDOR (STRANGLE seems to be ***too risky***).
Covered Strangle on Natural Gas FuturesAfter 14 days of mostly bullish candles, we get the first sign that the bears wants some action and/or some bulls taking profits, breaking the 20 EMA and the hourly trendline. Looking to profit from the next move down, I will be shorting the Natural Gas Futures and Sell a Strangle ( 3.2 Call and 2.85 Put) to reduce my cost basis and improve my probabilities of profit to 64%. I can improve it even more by closing it early when we make a profit of $1,260 for one contract.
TBT Short StrangleWe got some movement in Bonds, and a small rise in Volatility. The Implied volatility is above the last year average, knowing that volatility is always overstated I look every opportunity to sell some premium. This is a small trade, but I will be selling the 33/30 Strangle 49 days from expiration for $1.22 per contract with a probability of making money at expiration of 61.5%, if the price stays between 28.80 and 34.20.