Get started

Strategy

USD/JPY | New High and Low with the Bearish Channel Broken!On the USDJPY front, the potential for a swing analysis is once again evident, highlighted by the recent foray into the supply zone. Specifically, the swing levels prove to be highly sensitive, precisely delineating the actual liquidity areas that the price reaches. Currently, the price stands at 148.39 after a strong breakthrough, following the NFP data, above the upper side of a bearish channel. A retracement is now expected to retest the channel, considering the high sensitivity of the price in the supply zone. Subsequently, a possible upward movement towards 149.50 is anticipated, surpassing the first supply area and bouncing in the second supply area marked on the chart, where a significant sell-off could bring the price back to 144. Turning to the fundamental analysis, the data on Nonfarm Payrolls in the United States has been exceptional, with the creation of 353,000 new jobs, surpassing the forecast of 180,000 and exceeding the upwardly revised December numbers from 216,000 to 333,000. The unemployment rate remained unchanged from the previous month's data, standing at 3.7%. Following this report, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note, closely correlated with the USD/JPY pair, rose from around 3.90% to 4%, gaining more than ten basis points (bps). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar's value against a basket of currencies, increased by 0.67%, reaching 103.76, after dipping to a low of 102.90. Meanwhile, a hawkish stance by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has increased the likelihood that Governor Kazuo Ueda and his team will end the negative interest rate cycle. Greetings to all and have a great weekend.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
7
GBPUSD is calm before the storm towards 1.27GBP/USD continues to stay in positive territory above 1.2600 during Wednesday's American session. The pair benefited from improved risk sentiment on Tuesday, recording a 0.5% increase and offsetting much of Monday's losses. The decrease in US Treasury bond yields led to the depreciation of the US dollar against its major rivals on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden stated on Wednesday that she is less concerned about further increases in the bank interest rate, emphasizing her focus on the duration of rates at current levels. After a relatively static day, the market created a new demand area after a slight increase, targeting liquidity around 1.2330. Now, I expect a retest of the demand area with a subsequent increase towards 1.2730. I will evaluate the situation tomorrow morning during the opening of the London markets to see if there are conditions for a long entry. Wishing everyone good trades and hoping for increased volatility in the coming days.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD | The situation is crucial after the NFPEUR/USD has recovered to the 1.0750 area and stabilized during the day after dropping towards 1.0720 in Tuesday's European session. The US dollar maintains its strength across the currency market, despite the momentum easing along with the run-up in government bond yields. Financial markets are still digesting the global delays in interest rate cuts, which are not expected to come as soon as anticipated. In Asia, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its monetary policy decision, leaving rates unchanged as widely expected. However, local policymakers have joined the cautious trend, stating that further rate hikes cannot be ruled out. Asian stocks saw mixed trading, with Chinese indices supported by government intervention. On the data front, Germany reported an 8.9% month-on-month increase in factory orders in December, surpassing market expectations. Conversely, the Eurozone reported a 1.1% month-on-month decrease in retail sales for the same month, worse than expected. Graphically, the breakout of a downward channel at H4 with a price retest, which may extend further downwards, even though few movements are expected in the coming sessions in the absence of news; expecting major surprises will be difficult. The market may retrace to the 1.0714 level, corresponding to the 62% Fibonacci level, or to the 1.0650 level, i.e., the 0.705% Fibonacci level. So I expect to start evaluating a long position in that area. Greetings and good evening to everyone.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
XAUUSD New lows approaching $2010After a quiet European session near $2,020 on Tuesday, gold turned higher and surpassed $2,030. Following Monday's sharp increase, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond fell by more than 1% during the day, allowing XAU/USD to rise further. Financial markets are all focused on delayed interest rate cuts after central bankers worldwide have tempered investors' expectations for tighter monetary policies. Tuesday saw the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) join the cautious stance, with policymakers deciding to keep the door open for further rate hikes if conditions require. Meanwhile, solid US macroeconomic data have further diminished the chances of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut. As a result, government bond yields have risen, supporting the US dollar. Additionally, on a chart level, there is an uncertain recovery in gold, which could return to the $2050 area to regain liquidity at the 0.705 Fibonacci level before dropping to the $2010 zone. This is my expectation at H4, and I will carefully monitor the changes in this pair. Regards and happy trading to all.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
S&P 500 - INTRADAY LEVELS 09/02/2024BUY ABOVE - 5000 SL - 4990 TARGETS - 5015,5030,5045 SELL BELOW - 4985 SL - 4995 TARGETS - 4975,4958,4940 NO TRADE ZONE - 4985 to 5000 Previous Day High - 5000 Previous Day Low - 4985 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
SP:SPX
by Jagadheesh_JP
13
Equal High & Low SweepToday I wanted to talk about two scenarios concerning market structure: the equal high for a bullish structure and the low sweep for a bearish structure. The crucial point of each setup, as always, is to identify a structural change called BOS. From there, I start looking for a demand or supply zone in the market where we should pay attention to observe the price return. This price return should occur as indicated in the setup, with the market starting to consolidate and form a double bottom or top of momentum. It is also important to consider the presence of a liquidity zone, as this will be our primary target zone, followed by the minimum or maximum of the structure. I wish everyone happy trading and remain available for further discussions on the matter.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
The Best Entry on the MarketIn this model, we will examine a tactical approach to achieve high-performance entry. It all starts with an uptrend characterized by continuous structural changes. In fact, there are continuous directional changes until the retest of the supply zone on M30. Subsequently, the market reacts to this zone by pushing downwards and generating a CHoCH. Here, switching to a 1-minute timeframe, it will be possible to wait for a retest of the supply zone before entering. The trade will target the session or daily low. Greetings and happy trading to all.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
New Approach on Forex: Inducement LowIn my analysis model, I focus on a bearish structure, where I identify the so-called "false demand zones" (SM Trap). It all starts with a supply zone, where the price begins to decline, creating a liquidity zone with a double bottom. Subsequently, the price retests the supply zone, declines again, and breaks the false demand zone, generating another one. Then, the market starts forming decreasing lows and highs, clear signals of the ongoing bearish trend. This is where I pay attention, as it constitutes a clear signal of the developing trend. To enter the market, I prefer identifying an FVG M15, targeting weekly, daily lows, or the H4 timeframe, in line with my trading plan. I find it crucial to observe the evolution of lows and highs, as their decrease further confirms the bearish trend. I wish everyone happy trading and success in their operations.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GBPUSD | 1.2626 will be the new high before the crash!The GBP/USD, after a significant descent, has finally reached the demand zone at the level of 1.2535. In this area, I anticipate a possible upward structural change on M15 during tomorrow's London session. Subsequently, I could consider entering the market with the goal of reaching the level of 1.2626, where a significant liquidity volume is present. Regarding the fundamental analysis, the GBP/USD has again been subject to bearish pressures, touching the lowest point since mid-December below 1.2550 on Monday. The widespread strength of the US dollar, fueled by impressive labor market data and the recent optimistic PMI report, continues to influence the pair. During the North American trading session, the GBP/USD recorded losses of 0.74%, trading at 1.2535. Factors such as last Friday's US economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over the weekend keep the US dollar higher in a risk-off context. Jerome Powell stated in an interview that it is premature to consider rate cuts, emphasizing that the goal of pushing inflation towards its 2% target has not been fully achieved. In last week's January Nonfarm Payrolls report, 353,000 Americans were added to the workforce, while the unemployment rate remained stable at 3.7%. US Treasury yields remain high throughout the day, supporting the greenback as investors recalibrate their bets on Fed rate cuts. Last week, they estimated the Federal Funds rate (FFR) to reach 3.96%, but following Powell's weekend comments, they expect it to reach 4.26%. Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) rises by 0.44%, reaching 104.42.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURNZD | Rally towards 1.7826 before the Crash!EUR/NZD is showing an upward trend with a rising momentum that aligns perfectly with the demand zone. Here, the price is reacting in the early hours of today, right at the Fibonacci level of 0.62%. This area could propel the price towards the upper part of the bullish channel, approaching the supply zone where a liquidity grab may occur, creating false expectations on the upside above the level of 1.7825. This might be followed by a descent towards the demand zone at 1.7580, which the price has not yet touched. It is precisely in that area that I will assess a long entry with a structural change at the M15 level. Currently, the strategy is to be patient and await a retest. I will keep you updated on the evolving situation. Greetings and happy trading to everyone.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
The Best Strategy of 2024: Reversal Entry ModelGood morning, today I would like to draw your attention to a model that I am integrating into my analyses for this year. In this model, we define simple structural changes either downwards or upwards, in this context downwards using two BOS. Subsequently, we define the main demand zone where the price retests. After the retest, the price breaks upwards the structure creating a CHOCH, or an internal breakout. Afterwards, the price will move into a lateral phase accumulating a lot of liquidity, and as it is known, as soon as the price absorbs liquidity above or below a range, it then moves in the opposite direction of the filled liquidity. In this case, liquidity is absorbed below in the order block zone and the price moves upwards. I recommend supplementing charts with this model and identifying these setups starting from an H4 timeframe which can be simpler compared to smaller timeframes. Best regards and happy trading to everyone.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
The Ultimate Strategy | ChoCh + InducementThis strategy is based on identifying a market structure, which can be bullish or bearish. In this specific case, a bullish structure characterized by rising highs and lows is considered. The expectation is for the market to change direction, creating a shock. Subsequently, the formation of a liquidity block is observed during a market consolidation phase, followed by entering a demand zone where the imbalance dictates, and the response is a downward movement, as anticipated. The target of this movement is defined graphically. Greetings and happy trading to everyone.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
XAUUSD - Following The Gold🥇Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Gold has been overall bullish, trading within the rising broadening wedge in blue. At present, Gold is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. Moreover , it is retesting a strong support zone marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #Gold approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
High probability setupThis is what I'm going to be looking in the market for the next long term journey, this is a special setup based on patience, strategy and price action, high probabilities and high R:R, works better in high timeframes, we have just wait for the firt confirmation which is: 1. Shift of structure, after watching that we have to look for: 2. A good RESISTANCE/SUPPORT zone where the price is rejecting in Daily of 4H and search for a: 3. Chart pattern which can be a HEAD AND SHOULDERS OR DOUBLE BOTTOM, DOUBLE TOP..., if we have these confirmations, we can look for the last which is: 4. Candlestick pattern: in the shift of the structure which can be an engulfing, an evening/morning star or marubozu, also can be a doji with the wick for our direction Each one of these confirmations are 22% probabilities for our strategy, after getting all them we can enter the trade, put the stop loss a bit above or below the last structure point and take a 1:3 risk reward and the most important part is: SET THE TRADE AND FORGET, Allow the price to go where it has to go, don't change the T.P, don't change the S.L, accept the risk of the trade and take a loss if is the case or take a win if the market allows that, and continue with the plan, IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO HAVE A 100% CHANCES, so even if you have all this confirmation, you can lose and you have to ACCEPT IT, for that: Stick to the RISK MANAGEMENT thinking in percentage, I recommend to use a 1%-2% per trade, and that's all BE PATIENT AND SMART, THINK IN LONG TERM Remember: "The market is a mechanism for transferring money from the impatient to the patient"
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderEaglefx
GBPUSD | Swing & Fundamental AnalysisFinally, the market has reacted after the decisions of the FED, BOC, BOE, ECB, BOJ, CPI, NFP, breaking free from a congestion phase. Today's data highlighted the resilience and strong growth of the American labor market, with inflation still below the 2% target. The possibility of a Fed rate cut in June is on the table, but remains uncertain; I strongly doubt it will happen in March or May. GBPUSD presents a bearish structure with an H4 candle that broke the entire structure, landing in the demand zone at the 1.262 level. Personally, I foresee a continuation to the downside, at least below 1.26, then retracing to the 50% Fibonacci level and consolidating in the reversal zone intersecting with the trendline, before continuing the downward trend towards the 1.2520 area as the final target. This is what I am currently observing at the H4 level. In summary, it's time to celebrate because after two weeks of sideways movement, today we've seen the first signs of momentum from the market. So, get ready for a spectacular start to the week with an acceleration from traders. Greetings and happy trading to everyone from Nicola.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
15M Pro OrderFlow | A Unique and Profitable StrategyIn this approach, we will outline one of the best entry points on M15. The model involves quickly assessing a potential demand area by identifying a liquidity zone formed during the Fibonacci retracement at the .62-0.78 level. From this zone, the market initiates a physiological uptrend before retracing downward, creating a sharp movement with an internal break, followed by a bounce in the demand area. It is at this moment that a precise entry will be executed, aiming to reach the structure's peak. It is important to note that this model is also applicable to H1, H4, and Daily time frames. Greetings to everyone and happy trading.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
EURUSD | False Bearish Setup - The Bulls are arrivingDuring Monday's American session, the EUR/USD continued its descent, reaching below 1.0800 for the first time since mid-December. Market caution favored the strength of the US dollar, negatively impacting the pair ahead of key events for the week. Despite a modest bounce from a January low at 1.0813, widespread dollar weakness prevented further declines. Daily technical analyses suggest a bearish outlook, with resistance around the 200 Simple Moving Average at 1.0845. The short-term situation is also negative, with the EUR/USD below all moving averages and bearish technical indicators. In this context, the euro is the weakest currency against the dollar at the beginning of the week, with bets on a rate cut in April despite opposition from the ECB. Peter Kazimir suggests a cut is more likely in June, citing positive signs of disinflation. ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos emphasizes inflation progress but reassures that they are not yet ready for a cut. Monday's macroeconomic calendar is sparse, but the week will see significant events, including Eurozone and Germany's GDP, the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, and January Nonfarm Payrolls report. The chart shows a well-defined long position, greetings to all.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
5
GBPUSD : Mitigation Before the Fed and of a New HighThe GBP/USD remains in a defensive position, trading in the negative territory around 1.2650 during the American session on Tuesday. The careful market approach is assisting the USD in maintaining resilience against its competitors following a release of mixed data. This cautious sentiment is putting pressure on the currency pair as it approaches the upcoming Fed and BoE meetings. The GBP/USD experienced little change at the beginning of the week but encountered slight bearish pressure early on Tuesday. During the European session, the pair is trading below 1.2700, and the technical analysis suggests a lack of interest from buyers. The prudent market stance is bolstering the US Dollar (USD), creating challenges for the GBP/USD to gain momentum on Tuesday. Investors are particularly uneasy about the escalating conflict in the Middle East. This negative sentiment is reflected in US stock index futures, which are trading in the red. Concurrently, the FTSE 100 Index in the UK opened higher but retreated slightly. If Wall Street's main indices turn positive after the opening bell, the USD might weaken, aiding the GBP/USD in limiting its losses. The US economic calendar will highlight December JOLT Job Openings data and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for January, which improved to 110.7 from 101.0 in November. While a positive sentiment could boost demand for the USD, investors are unlikely to take significant positions ahead of the policy announcements from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. The price has reacted well in the demand zone at the 1.26-1.2640 level with a bounce at the 0.705 Fibonacci level. The upward movement seems interesting, but I don't believe the price can gather much momentum given the swing high at the 1.2720 level and the high liquidity that the price could absorb before retracing further. So, I expect another day of consolidation awaiting the Fed, and then we'll see if the price can indeed push higher towards the 1.2750 area as the first target. I will keep you updated on the situation, keep an eye on macro data. Happy trading to all, greetings from Nicola.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
SMC Sell Setup: High Probability EntryGood morning everyone, today we will explore a short entry model using the concepts of smart money. This model involves entering the market in a short position after a series of specific patterns. Firstly, we start with a bearish structure where the price breaks a significant low, creating a BOS. Subsequently, we will identify the SMC zone, which is a trap zone to avoid. In this zone, the price makes a false descent before rising, creating the most important peak that we will use to evaluate a short entry. After identifying this peak, the market begins to decline, forming a CHOCH, representing an internal break. This will signal our sell point, and we could define our sell zone indicated by the POI on the chart. Once the price enters this zone, we may consider opening a short position on the security. Greetings to everyone.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1